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1 year 4 months ago
WW 0180 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 180
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W DHT TO
20 NNE CAO TO 10 SSE LHX TO 25 NNE LHX TO 35 SSE ITR TO 15 ESE
ITR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0622
..WENDT..05/04/24
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC...ABQ...AMA...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 180
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-061-099-040240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT KIOWA
PROWERS
KSC025-033-047-051-055-057-063-067-069-071-075-081-083-093-097-
101-109-119-129-135-145-165-171-175-187-189-195-199-203-
040240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS
ELLIS FINNEY FORD
GOVE GRANT GRAY
GREELEY HAMILTON HASKELL
HODGEMAN KEARNY KIOWA
LANE LOGAN MEADE
Read more
1 year 4 months ago
MD 0621 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 181... FOR PARTS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH-CENTRAL KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0621
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0728 PM CDT Fri May 03 2024
Areas affected...Parts of south-central Nebraska and north-central
Kansas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 181...
Valid 040028Z - 040200Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 181
continues.
SUMMARY...An organized line of storms could produce 60-75 mph gusts
as it moves south-southeast.
DISCUSSION...An organized line segment has developed in western
Nebraska and moved southeast along moisture gradient. Measured
winds of 61 and 63 mph were reported near North Platte. Recent
surface observations from Holdrege, NE showed the dewpoint jumping
from 51 to 55 F in the last hour. Other ASOS/KS Mesonet observations
show upper 50s to low 60s F dewpoints that may try and push
northwestward this evening. Given the organization of the line and
the theta-e gradient, this activity will likely continue for the
next few hours with aid from the low-level jet. The observed 00Z OAX
and TOP soundings showed capping/low-level drier air making the
eastward extent of this threat uncertain. Wind gusts of 60-75 mph
appear possible with this line of storms. Small to marginally severe
hail may also occur, but should be more isolated given the linear
mode.
..Wendt.. 05/04/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...GID...LBF...GLD...
LAT...LON 40320143 40890074 40950071 40859916 40689800 40489735
40249727 39939741 39559797 39509849 39679983 39900081
40320143
Read more
1 year 4 months ago
WW 0181 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 181
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW ITR
TO 35 NE GLD TO 10 ENE MCK TO 35 NE MCK TO 35 ESE LBF TO 30 SSE
BUB TO 25 SSE BUB.
..WENDT..05/04/24
ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 181
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC039-065-137-147-153-163-179-181-183-193-040240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DECATUR GRAHAM NORTON
PHILLIPS RAWLINS ROOKS
SHERIDAN SHERMAN SMITH
THOMAS
NEC001-019-035-047-061-065-073-079-081-083-093-099-121-129-137-
145-163-181-040240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BUFFALO CLAY
DAWSON FRANKLIN FURNAS
GOSPER HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HOWARD KEARNEY
MERRICK NUCKOLLS PHELPS
RED WILLOW SHERMAN WEBSTER
Read more
1 year 4 months ago
WW 0178 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 178
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE BGS
TO 55 NE BGS TO 50 NNE ABI.
..GOSS..05/04/24
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 178
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-081-083-095-151-207-235-253-307-353-399-417-431-441-
451-040240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO FISHER
HASKELL IRION JONES
MCCULLOCH NOLAN RUNNELS
SHACKELFORD STERLING TAYLOR
TOM GREEN
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
1 year 4 months ago
WW 0178 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 178
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE BGS
TO 55 NE BGS TO 50 NNE ABI.
..GOSS..05/04/24
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 178
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-081-083-095-151-207-235-253-307-353-399-417-431-441-
451-040240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO FISHER
HASKELL IRION JONES
MCCULLOCH NOLAN RUNNELS
SHACKELFORD STERLING TAYLOR
TOM GREEN
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
1 year 4 months ago
WW 0178 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 178
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE BGS
TO 55 NE BGS TO 50 NNE ABI.
..GOSS..05/04/24
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 178
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-081-083-095-151-207-235-253-307-353-399-417-431-441-
451-040240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO FISHER
HASKELL IRION JONES
MCCULLOCH NOLAN RUNNELS
SHACKELFORD STERLING TAYLOR
TOM GREEN
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
1 year 4 months ago
WW 0178 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 178
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE BGS
TO 55 NE BGS TO 50 NNE ABI.
..GOSS..05/04/24
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 178
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-081-083-095-151-207-235-253-307-353-399-417-431-441-
451-040240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO FISHER
HASKELL IRION JONES
MCCULLOCH NOLAN RUNNELS
SHACKELFORD STERLING TAYLOR
TOM GREEN
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
1 year 4 months ago
WW 0178 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 178
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE BGS
TO 55 NE BGS TO 50 NNE ABI.
..GOSS..05/04/24
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 178
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-081-083-095-151-207-235-253-307-353-399-417-431-441-
451-040240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO FISHER
HASKELL IRION JONES
MCCULLOCH NOLAN RUNNELS
SHACKELFORD STERLING TAYLOR
TOM GREEN
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
1 year 4 months ago
WW 0178 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 178
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE BGS
TO 55 NE BGS TO 50 NNE ABI.
..GOSS..05/04/24
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 178
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-081-083-095-151-207-235-253-307-353-399-417-431-441-
451-040240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO FISHER
HASKELL IRION JONES
MCCULLOCH NOLAN RUNNELS
SHACKELFORD STERLING TAYLOR
TOM GREEN
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
1 year 4 months ago
WW 178 TORNADO TX 031910Z - 040300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 178
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
210 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northwest into West Texas
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 4.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are forecast to develop
this afternoon into the evening across portions of the Watch area.
Several intense supercells are likely to evolve and pose a risk for
giant hail and tornadoes. The tornado risk will probably be
greatest in the vicinity of a modifying boundary draped across the
region.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
north and south of a line from 45 miles west southwest of Lubbock TX
to 60 miles southeast of Abilene TX. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 4.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 28020.
...Smith
Read more
1 year 4 months ago
WW 0179 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 179
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW DRT
TO 65 NE 6R6 TO 30 NNW SJT.
..GOSS..05/04/24
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 179
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC105-137-265-267-271-319-323-327-385-413-435-465-040240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CROCKETT EDWARDS KERR
KIMBLE KINNEY MASON
MAVERICK MENARD REAL
SCHLEICHER SUTTON VAL VERDE
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
1 year 4 months ago
WW 0179 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 179
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW DRT
TO 65 NE 6R6 TO 30 NNW SJT.
..GOSS..05/04/24
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 179
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC105-137-265-267-271-319-323-327-385-413-435-465-040240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CROCKETT EDWARDS KERR
KIMBLE KINNEY MASON
MAVERICK MENARD REAL
SCHLEICHER SUTTON VAL VERDE
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
1 year 4 months ago
WW 0179 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 179
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW DRT
TO 65 NE 6R6 TO 30 NNW SJT.
..GOSS..05/04/24
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 179
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC105-137-265-267-271-319-323-327-385-413-435-465-040240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CROCKETT EDWARDS KERR
KIMBLE KINNEY MASON
MAVERICK MENARD REAL
SCHLEICHER SUTTON VAL VERDE
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
1 year 4 months ago
WW 0179 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 179
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW DRT
TO 65 NE 6R6 TO 30 NNW SJT.
..GOSS..05/04/24
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 179
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC105-137-265-267-271-319-323-327-385-413-435-465-040240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CROCKETT EDWARDS KERR
KIMBLE KINNEY MASON
MAVERICK MENARD REAL
SCHLEICHER SUTTON VAL VERDE
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
1 year 4 months ago
WW 0179 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 179
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW DRT
TO 65 NE 6R6 TO 30 NNW SJT.
..GOSS..05/04/24
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 179
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC105-137-265-267-271-319-323-327-385-413-435-465-040240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CROCKETT EDWARDS KERR
KIMBLE KINNEY MASON
MAVERICK MENARD REAL
SCHLEICHER SUTTON VAL VERDE
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
1 year 4 months ago
WW 0179 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 179
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW DRT
TO 65 NE 6R6 TO 30 NNW SJT.
..GOSS..05/04/24
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 179
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC105-137-265-267-271-319-323-327-385-413-435-465-040240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CROCKETT EDWARDS KERR
KIMBLE KINNEY MASON
MAVERICK MENARD REAL
SCHLEICHER SUTTON VAL VERDE
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
1 year 4 months ago
WW 179 SEVERE TSTM TX 032030Z - 040300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 179
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
330 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest Texas
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 330 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered severe thunderstorms are
forecast to develop this afternoon into the evening. Supercells
will be the preferred thunderstorm type. The stronger storms will
be capable of a risk for large to giant hail and severe gusts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles east and west of a line from 65 miles west northwest
of San Angelo TX to 70 miles southwest of Del Rio TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 178...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27020.
...Smith
Read more
1 year 4 months ago
MD 0619 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 179... FOR THE TRANSPECOS REGION OF WESTERN TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0619
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0627 PM CDT Fri May 03 2024
Areas affected...the Transpecos region of western Texas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 179...
Valid 032327Z - 040130Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 179
continues.
SUMMARY...Isolated severe storms continue to pose a risk for very
large hail and damaging wind gusts over portions of the Transpecos
region of western Texas.
DISCUSSION...Modest low-level moisture is indicated across parts of
the Transpecos region east of the dryline, which is supporting 1000
to 2000 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE. This has been sufficient -- in
tandem with the veering winds with height/ample shear across this
region -- to support development of isolated supercell storms
roughly along the Pecos Valley area.
The two most prominent storms -- one in eastern Pecos County and the
other near the Terrell/Crockett County line -- continue to exhibit
radar indications of very large hail production. Locally damaging
wind gusts are also possible with these storms, given the relatively
deep mixed layer. Storms will likely continue over the next couple
of hours, with potential for additional/isolated updraft
development.
..Goss.. 05/03/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...
LAT...LON 29890213 30700250 31540239 31650123 30680070 29220026
28750043 29190094 29890213
Read more
1 year 4 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0752 PM CDT Fri May 03 2024
Valid 040100Z - 041200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected across portions of the
central and southern Plains. Large hail and damaging winds are the
primary risks.
...01z Outlook...
Cool mid-level profiles, and steep lapse rates contributed to the
evolution of supercell clusters over much of northwest TX into the
Edwards Plateau region. This activity is beginning to overturn much
of the buoyancy across northwest TX, hence the strongest updrafts
are now propagating southeast across the Edwards Plateau along an
instability axis characterized by MLCAPE on the order of 3000 J/kg.
Additionally, strong convection has developed just west of the
international border and is approaching Eagle Pass. Will adjust
severe probabilities into the middle Rio Grande Valley to account
for this activity spreading east of the River.
Farther north, organized band of thunderstorms has developed along a
cold front that is surging southeast across south-central
NE-northwest KS-northeast CO. In addition to a few dryline
supercells over western KS, this complex will continue to propagate
southeast aided in large part to the surging cold front. Given the
organization of this activity, and momentum, will extend higher
severe probs a bit downstream to account for wind/hail threat with
this squall line.
..Darrow.. 05/04/2024
Read more
1 year 4 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0752 PM CDT Fri May 03 2024
Valid 040100Z - 041200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected across portions of the
central and southern Plains. Large hail and damaging winds are the
primary risks.
...01z Outlook...
Cool mid-level profiles, and steep lapse rates contributed to the
evolution of supercell clusters over much of northwest TX into the
Edwards Plateau region. This activity is beginning to overturn much
of the buoyancy across northwest TX, hence the strongest updrafts
are now propagating southeast across the Edwards Plateau along an
instability axis characterized by MLCAPE on the order of 3000 J/kg.
Additionally, strong convection has developed just west of the
international border and is approaching Eagle Pass. Will adjust
severe probabilities into the middle Rio Grande Valley to account
for this activity spreading east of the River.
Farther north, organized band of thunderstorms has developed along a
cold front that is surging southeast across south-central
NE-northwest KS-northeast CO. In addition to a few dryline
supercells over western KS, this complex will continue to propagate
southeast aided in large part to the surging cold front. Given the
organization of this activity, and momentum, will extend higher
severe probs a bit downstream to account for wind/hail threat with
this squall line.
..Darrow.. 05/04/2024
Read more
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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