Severe Storms

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INTO CENTRAL NEW MEXICO... ...Synopsis... A stronger trough will approach the Four Corners on Sunday. As this occurs, a deep surface low will develop in the northern Rockies/High Plains with a trough extending into the southern High Plains. ...Southwest... Surface winds will increase through the day as the surface low/trough deepens. This, in combination with the approach of stronger mid-level winds during the afternoon, will promote elevated to critical fire weather from parts of eastern Arizona into much of central New Mexico. RH of 10-15% will be common with some localized single digit values possible. Winds of 15-25 mph will also be possible--higher speeds being more likely in terrain-favored areas. The eastern extent of the fire weather threat will be determined by how far west moisture pushes as well as where precipitation falls on Saturday. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INTO CENTRAL NEW MEXICO... ...Synopsis... A stronger trough will approach the Four Corners on Sunday. As this occurs, a deep surface low will develop in the northern Rockies/High Plains with a trough extending into the southern High Plains. ...Southwest... Surface winds will increase through the day as the surface low/trough deepens. This, in combination with the approach of stronger mid-level winds during the afternoon, will promote elevated to critical fire weather from parts of eastern Arizona into much of central New Mexico. RH of 10-15% will be common with some localized single digit values possible. Winds of 15-25 mph will also be possible--higher speeds being more likely in terrain-favored areas. The eastern extent of the fire weather threat will be determined by how far west moisture pushes as well as where precipitation falls on Saturday. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will be moving northeast through the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest today. In the Southwest, a low-amplitude shortwave will pass by to the south. At the surface, a cold front will move southward into the southern High Plains and push cooler air against the southern Rockies. ...Southwest... Areas of dry and breezy conditions are probable for parts of the region. Perhaps an area where winds will be enhanced is in the southwest New Mexico vicinity. There, modestly stronger mid-level winds will be present along with some surface pressure gradient enhancement near the westward-moving cold front. Though relatively confined, elevated fire weather conditions are possible during the afternoon. Wind of around 15-20 mph and RH of 10-20% are expected. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will be moving northeast through the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest today. In the Southwest, a low-amplitude shortwave will pass by to the south. At the surface, a cold front will move southward into the southern High Plains and push cooler air against the southern Rockies. ...Southwest... Areas of dry and breezy conditions are probable for parts of the region. Perhaps an area where winds will be enhanced is in the southwest New Mexico vicinity. There, modestly stronger mid-level winds will be present along with some surface pressure gradient enhancement near the westward-moving cold front. Though relatively confined, elevated fire weather conditions are possible during the afternoon. Wind of around 15-20 mph and RH of 10-20% are expected. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will be moving northeast through the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest today. In the Southwest, a low-amplitude shortwave will pass by to the south. At the surface, a cold front will move southward into the southern High Plains and push cooler air against the southern Rockies. ...Southwest... Areas of dry and breezy conditions are probable for parts of the region. Perhaps an area where winds will be enhanced is in the southwest New Mexico vicinity. There, modestly stronger mid-level winds will be present along with some surface pressure gradient enhancement near the westward-moving cold front. Though relatively confined, elevated fire weather conditions are possible during the afternoon. Wind of around 15-20 mph and RH of 10-20% are expected. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will be moving northeast through the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest today. In the Southwest, a low-amplitude shortwave will pass by to the south. At the surface, a cold front will move southward into the southern High Plains and push cooler air against the southern Rockies. ...Southwest... Areas of dry and breezy conditions are probable for parts of the region. Perhaps an area where winds will be enhanced is in the southwest New Mexico vicinity. There, modestly stronger mid-level winds will be present along with some surface pressure gradient enhancement near the westward-moving cold front. Though relatively confined, elevated fire weather conditions are possible during the afternoon. Wind of around 15-20 mph and RH of 10-20% are expected. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will be moving northeast through the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest today. In the Southwest, a low-amplitude shortwave will pass by to the south. At the surface, a cold front will move southward into the southern High Plains and push cooler air against the southern Rockies. ...Southwest... Areas of dry and breezy conditions are probable for parts of the region. Perhaps an area where winds will be enhanced is in the southwest New Mexico vicinity. There, modestly stronger mid-level winds will be present along with some surface pressure gradient enhancement near the westward-moving cold front. Though relatively confined, elevated fire weather conditions are possible during the afternoon. Wind of around 15-20 mph and RH of 10-20% are expected. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will be moving northeast through the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest today. In the Southwest, a low-amplitude shortwave will pass by to the south. At the surface, a cold front will move southward into the southern High Plains and push cooler air against the southern Rockies. ...Southwest... Areas of dry and breezy conditions are probable for parts of the region. Perhaps an area where winds will be enhanced is in the southwest New Mexico vicinity. There, modestly stronger mid-level winds will be present along with some surface pressure gradient enhancement near the westward-moving cold front. Though relatively confined, elevated fire weather conditions are possible during the afternoon. Wind of around 15-20 mph and RH of 10-20% are expected. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will be moving northeast through the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest today. In the Southwest, a low-amplitude shortwave will pass by to the south. At the surface, a cold front will move southward into the southern High Plains and push cooler air against the southern Rockies. ...Southwest... Areas of dry and breezy conditions are probable for parts of the region. Perhaps an area where winds will be enhanced is in the southwest New Mexico vicinity. There, modestly stronger mid-level winds will be present along with some surface pressure gradient enhancement near the westward-moving cold front. Though relatively confined, elevated fire weather conditions are possible during the afternoon. Wind of around 15-20 mph and RH of 10-20% are expected. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will be moving northeast through the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest today. In the Southwest, a low-amplitude shortwave will pass by to the south. At the surface, a cold front will move southward into the southern High Plains and push cooler air against the southern Rockies. ...Southwest... Areas of dry and breezy conditions are probable for parts of the region. Perhaps an area where winds will be enhanced is in the southwest New Mexico vicinity. There, modestly stronger mid-level winds will be present along with some surface pressure gradient enhancement near the westward-moving cold front. Though relatively confined, elevated fire weather conditions are possible during the afternoon. Wind of around 15-20 mph and RH of 10-20% are expected. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will be moving northeast through the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest today. In the Southwest, a low-amplitude shortwave will pass by to the south. At the surface, a cold front will move southward into the southern High Plains and push cooler air against the southern Rockies. ...Southwest... Areas of dry and breezy conditions are probable for parts of the region. Perhaps an area where winds will be enhanced is in the southwest New Mexico vicinity. There, modestly stronger mid-level winds will be present along with some surface pressure gradient enhancement near the westward-moving cold front. Though relatively confined, elevated fire weather conditions are possible during the afternoon. Wind of around 15-20 mph and RH of 10-20% are expected. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

MD 0625 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 181...182... FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN NEBRASKA AND ADJACENT NORTH-CENTRAL KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0625 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1101 PM CDT Fri May 03 2024 Areas affected...parts of southern Nebraska and adjacent north-central Kansas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 181...182... Valid 040401Z - 040500Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 181, 182 continues. SUMMARY...A bowing band of severe storms -- capable of producing damaging wind gusts and possibly a brief tornado -- will continue moving eastward near and just north of the Nebraska/Kansas border. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a bowing band of strong/severe storms crossing south-central Nebraska at this time. The convection is situated just east of a weak frontal wave, and riding along the surface warm front. With weaker instability with eastward extent, storms may diminish somewhat over the next 1 to 2 hours, though a slight east-southeastward turn -- along the instability gradient -- is also anticipated. Damaging wind gusts will be possible over the next 1 to 2 hours, along with potential for a brief tornado. ..Goss.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...GID... LAT...LON 39919865 40289850 40719867 40679791 40679751 40209710 39799741 39919865 Read more

WW 0181 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 181 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E HLC TO 35 SE HSI TO 25 ENE HSI TO 30 NNW GRI. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 181 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC089-123-141-163-183-040540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE ROOKS SMITH NEC035-059-081-121-129-169-185-040540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY FILLMORE HAMILTON MERRICK NUCKOLLS THAYER YORK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0181 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 181 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E HLC TO 35 SE HSI TO 25 ENE HSI TO 30 NNW GRI. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 181 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC089-123-141-163-183-040540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE ROOKS SMITH NEC035-059-081-121-129-169-185-040540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY FILLMORE HAMILTON MERRICK NUCKOLLS THAYER YORK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0181 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 181 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E HLC TO 35 SE HSI TO 25 ENE HSI TO 30 NNW GRI. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 181 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC089-123-141-163-183-040540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE ROOKS SMITH NEC035-059-081-121-129-169-185-040540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY FILLMORE HAMILTON MERRICK NUCKOLLS THAYER YORK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0181 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 181 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E HLC TO 35 SE HSI TO 25 ENE HSI TO 30 NNW GRI. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 181 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC089-123-141-163-183-040540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE ROOKS SMITH NEC035-059-081-121-129-169-185-040540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY FILLMORE HAMILTON MERRICK NUCKOLLS THAYER YORK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0181 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 181 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E HLC TO 35 SE HSI TO 25 ENE HSI TO 30 NNW GRI. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 181 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC089-123-141-163-183-040540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE ROOKS SMITH NEC035-059-081-121-129-169-185-040540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY FILLMORE HAMILTON MERRICK NUCKOLLS THAYER YORK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 181 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE 032250Z - 040500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 181 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 450 PM MDT Fri May 3 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northeast Colorado Northern Kansas Southwest and Central Nebraska * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 450 PM until 1100 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Bands of storms will continue to increase in coverage and intensity through early/mid-evening, initially across southwest Nebraska and far northeast Colorado into northwest Kansas. Damaging winds and severe hail are the primary hazards. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles north of Burlington CO to 30 miles east southeast of Hastings NE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 178...WW 179...WW 180... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27025. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0182 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 182 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...OAX...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 182 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC009-017-027-029-041-053-061-077-079-095-105-113-115-117-127- 131-143-149-155-157-159-161-167-169-173-191-197-201-040540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTON CHASE CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON ELLSWORTH GEARY HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN LINCOLN MCPHERSON MARION MARSHALL MORRIS NEMAHA OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE RENO REPUBLIC RICE RILEY RUSSELL SALINE SEDGWICK SUMNER WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON NEC067-095-097-109-131-133-151-159-040540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GAGE JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANCASTER OTOE PAWNEE SALINE SEWARD Read more

WW 0182 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 182 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...OAX...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 182 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC009-017-027-029-041-053-061-077-079-095-105-113-115-117-127- 131-143-149-155-157-159-161-167-169-173-191-197-201-040540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTON CHASE CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON ELLSWORTH GEARY HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN LINCOLN MCPHERSON MARION MARSHALL MORRIS NEMAHA OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE RENO REPUBLIC RICE RILEY RUSSELL SALINE SEDGWICK SUMNER WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON NEC067-095-097-109-131-133-151-159-040540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GAGE JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANCASTER OTOE PAWNEE SALINE SEWARD Read more