Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2 months ago
469
ABPZ20 KNHC 022350
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Jul 2 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Flossie, located in the eastern Pacific basin, a couple hundred
miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec:
An area of disturbed weather associated with a tropical wave is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms several hundred
miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for some gradual development of this system during
the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form over
the weekend or early next week while it moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Jelsema/Gibbs
NHC Webmaster

SPC MD 1542

2 months ago
MD 1542 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/EASTERN NEVADA...WESTERN UTAH AND FAR NORTHWEST ARIZONA
Mesoscale Discussion 1542 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0445 PM CDT Wed Jul 02 2025 Areas affected...portions of southern/eastern Nevada...western Utah and far northwest Arizona Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 022145Z - 022345Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...Scattered high-based showers and thunderstorms will continue to pose a risk for sporadic severe gusts through this evening. Weak buoyancy and limited organization potential suggest a WW is unlikely. DISCUSSION...As of 2135 UTC, regional radar and satellite imagery showed scattered high-base showers and thunderstorms ongoing over much of the southern Great Basin. Aided by ascent from broad western US troughing and diurnal heating, additional convective development appears likely through this evening. Weak buoyancy above a deeply mixed boundary layer will support strong evaporation potential in thunderstorm downdrafts, with MLCL heights greater than 2000m AGL. In combination with weak vertical shear, a pulse multicellular mode is favored, with the stronger storm clusters capable of sporadic severe gusts. Given the limited potential for storm organization, a more widespread severe risk appears unlikely. Convection will gradually diminish in coverage this evening with the loss of diurnal heating. However, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are likely to continue overnight with occasional potential for strong downdrafts given the dry low-level air mass. A WW is unlikely given the limited nature of the threat. ..Lyons/Guyer.. 07/02/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SLC...VEF...LKN... LAT...LON 36681684 37901646 39401587 40131647 40761605 40701390 39751259 38481244 37771248 37081278 36341324 35791396 35671512 35761573 36681684 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH Read more

SPC MD 1541

2 months ago
MD 1541 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR SOUTHERN/CENTRAL MT
Mesoscale Discussion 1541 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0342 PM CDT Wed Jul 02 2025 Areas affected...southern/central MT Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 022042Z - 022215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Erratic and isolated severe gusts will remain possible across a broad portion of southern to central Montana over the next few hours. Whether sufficient coverage/organization potential will exist for a Severe Thunderstorm Watch is uncertain. DISCUSSION...Isolated thunderstorms have been gradually increasing across the higher terrain of southwest/south-central MT. Despite meager buoyancy and modest deep-layer shear, one initial cell produced a measured severe gust of 64 kts at KDLN. This activity is expected to spread northward, mainly across the central portion of MT, into early evening where the downstream airmass is slightly more unstable. With 40-50 F surface temperature-dew point spreads, sporadic severe gusts are the expected hazard. Coverage of both convection and organizational potential is uncertain. Short-term guidance suggest severe gust potential may remain erratic with relatively disorganized convection. It is possible that a loosely organized cluster might evolve to the north-northeast at some point during the early evening, which would raise the potential of downstream watch issuance. ..Grams/Mosier.. 07/02/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...RIW...TFX...MSO... LAT...LON 48390825 47450806 45610827 45120967 44811229 45111259 46041309 46981319 47801197 48501044 48390825 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Wed Jul 02 2025 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z ...Day 3/Friday... A negatively tilted short-wave trough and attendant mid-level wind maxima entering into the western U.S. on Day 3/Friday will increase fire weather concerns across much of the Great Basin. The stronger dry, southwest flow will scour out remaining monsoon moisture across the much of NV and southwest UT resulting in a deep, well mixed boundary layer and low surface relative humidity. In addition, widespread showers and thunderstorms ahead of the trough will affect portions of eastern Oregon and Northern Rockies region. ...Day 4-8/Saturday-Wednesday... A mid-level trough will lift into the Northern High Plains on Day 4/Saturday with a broad but reduced southwest flow pattern continuing to push remaining monsoon moisture and associated high terrain convection along and east of the Continental Divide by Day 5/Sunday, mitigating the threat of new lightning ignitions for much of the Intermountain West. A building mid-level ridge over the Desert Southwest will support climbing temperatures to above seasonal averages across much of the West starting early next week. This pattern could also usher in another round of monsoon moisture into the Lower Colorado River Basin and southern California as early as Day 5/Sunday, although enough forecast uncertainty exists to preclude critical probabilities of dry thunderstorms at this time. ..Williams.. 07/02/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Wed Jul 02 2025 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z ...Day 3/Friday... A negatively tilted short-wave trough and attendant mid-level wind maxima entering into the western U.S. on Day 3/Friday will increase fire weather concerns across much of the Great Basin. The stronger dry, southwest flow will scour out remaining monsoon moisture across the much of NV and southwest UT resulting in a deep, well mixed boundary layer and low surface relative humidity. In addition, widespread showers and thunderstorms ahead of the trough will affect portions of eastern Oregon and Northern Rockies region. ...Day 4-8/Saturday-Wednesday... A mid-level trough will lift into the Northern High Plains on Day 4/Saturday with a broad but reduced southwest flow pattern continuing to push remaining monsoon moisture and associated high terrain convection along and east of the Continental Divide by Day 5/Sunday, mitigating the threat of new lightning ignitions for much of the Intermountain West. A building mid-level ridge over the Desert Southwest will support climbing temperatures to above seasonal averages across much of the West starting early next week. This pattern could also usher in another round of monsoon moisture into the Lower Colorado River Basin and southern California as early as Day 5/Sunday, although enough forecast uncertainty exists to preclude critical probabilities of dry thunderstorms at this time. ..Williams.. 07/02/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Wed Jul 02 2025 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z ...Day 3/Friday... A negatively tilted short-wave trough and attendant mid-level wind maxima entering into the western U.S. on Day 3/Friday will increase fire weather concerns across much of the Great Basin. The stronger dry, southwest flow will scour out remaining monsoon moisture across the much of NV and southwest UT resulting in a deep, well mixed boundary layer and low surface relative humidity. In addition, widespread showers and thunderstorms ahead of the trough will affect portions of eastern Oregon and Northern Rockies region. ...Day 4-8/Saturday-Wednesday... A mid-level trough will lift into the Northern High Plains on Day 4/Saturday with a broad but reduced southwest flow pattern continuing to push remaining monsoon moisture and associated high terrain convection along and east of the Continental Divide by Day 5/Sunday, mitigating the threat of new lightning ignitions for much of the Intermountain West. A building mid-level ridge over the Desert Southwest will support climbing temperatures to above seasonal averages across much of the West starting early next week. This pattern could also usher in another round of monsoon moisture into the Lower Colorado River Basin and southern California as early as Day 5/Sunday, although enough forecast uncertainty exists to preclude critical probabilities of dry thunderstorms at this time. ..Williams.. 07/02/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Wed Jul 02 2025 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z ...Day 3/Friday... A negatively tilted short-wave trough and attendant mid-level wind maxima entering into the western U.S. on Day 3/Friday will increase fire weather concerns across much of the Great Basin. The stronger dry, southwest flow will scour out remaining monsoon moisture across the much of NV and southwest UT resulting in a deep, well mixed boundary layer and low surface relative humidity. In addition, widespread showers and thunderstorms ahead of the trough will affect portions of eastern Oregon and Northern Rockies region. ...Day 4-8/Saturday-Wednesday... A mid-level trough will lift into the Northern High Plains on Day 4/Saturday with a broad but reduced southwest flow pattern continuing to push remaining monsoon moisture and associated high terrain convection along and east of the Continental Divide by Day 5/Sunday, mitigating the threat of new lightning ignitions for much of the Intermountain West. A building mid-level ridge over the Desert Southwest will support climbing temperatures to above seasonal averages across much of the West starting early next week. This pattern could also usher in another round of monsoon moisture into the Lower Colorado River Basin and southern California as early as Day 5/Sunday, although enough forecast uncertainty exists to preclude critical probabilities of dry thunderstorms at this time. ..Williams.. 07/02/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Wed Jul 02 2025 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z ...Day 3/Friday... A negatively tilted short-wave trough and attendant mid-level wind maxima entering into the western U.S. on Day 3/Friday will increase fire weather concerns across much of the Great Basin. The stronger dry, southwest flow will scour out remaining monsoon moisture across the much of NV and southwest UT resulting in a deep, well mixed boundary layer and low surface relative humidity. In addition, widespread showers and thunderstorms ahead of the trough will affect portions of eastern Oregon and Northern Rockies region. ...Day 4-8/Saturday-Wednesday... A mid-level trough will lift into the Northern High Plains on Day 4/Saturday with a broad but reduced southwest flow pattern continuing to push remaining monsoon moisture and associated high terrain convection along and east of the Continental Divide by Day 5/Sunday, mitigating the threat of new lightning ignitions for much of the Intermountain West. A building mid-level ridge over the Desert Southwest will support climbing temperatures to above seasonal averages across much of the West starting early next week. This pattern could also usher in another round of monsoon moisture into the Lower Colorado River Basin and southern California as early as Day 5/Sunday, although enough forecast uncertainty exists to preclude critical probabilities of dry thunderstorms at this time. ..Williams.. 07/02/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Wed Jul 02 2025 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z ...Day 3/Friday... A negatively tilted short-wave trough and attendant mid-level wind maxima entering into the western U.S. on Day 3/Friday will increase fire weather concerns across much of the Great Basin. The stronger dry, southwest flow will scour out remaining monsoon moisture across the much of NV and southwest UT resulting in a deep, well mixed boundary layer and low surface relative humidity. In addition, widespread showers and thunderstorms ahead of the trough will affect portions of eastern Oregon and Northern Rockies region. ...Day 4-8/Saturday-Wednesday... A mid-level trough will lift into the Northern High Plains on Day 4/Saturday with a broad but reduced southwest flow pattern continuing to push remaining monsoon moisture and associated high terrain convection along and east of the Continental Divide by Day 5/Sunday, mitigating the threat of new lightning ignitions for much of the Intermountain West. A building mid-level ridge over the Desert Southwest will support climbing temperatures to above seasonal averages across much of the West starting early next week. This pattern could also usher in another round of monsoon moisture into the Lower Colorado River Basin and southern California as early as Day 5/Sunday, although enough forecast uncertainty exists to preclude critical probabilities of dry thunderstorms at this time. ..Williams.. 07/02/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Wed Jul 02 2025 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z ...Day 3/Friday... A negatively tilted short-wave trough and attendant mid-level wind maxima entering into the western U.S. on Day 3/Friday will increase fire weather concerns across much of the Great Basin. The stronger dry, southwest flow will scour out remaining monsoon moisture across the much of NV and southwest UT resulting in a deep, well mixed boundary layer and low surface relative humidity. In addition, widespread showers and thunderstorms ahead of the trough will affect portions of eastern Oregon and Northern Rockies region. ...Day 4-8/Saturday-Wednesday... A mid-level trough will lift into the Northern High Plains on Day 4/Saturday with a broad but reduced southwest flow pattern continuing to push remaining monsoon moisture and associated high terrain convection along and east of the Continental Divide by Day 5/Sunday, mitigating the threat of new lightning ignitions for much of the Intermountain West. A building mid-level ridge over the Desert Southwest will support climbing temperatures to above seasonal averages across much of the West starting early next week. This pattern could also usher in another round of monsoon moisture into the Lower Colorado River Basin and southern California as early as Day 5/Sunday, although enough forecast uncertainty exists to preclude critical probabilities of dry thunderstorms at this time. ..Williams.. 07/02/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Wed Jul 02 2025 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z ...Day 3/Friday... A negatively tilted short-wave trough and attendant mid-level wind maxima entering into the western U.S. on Day 3/Friday will increase fire weather concerns across much of the Great Basin. The stronger dry, southwest flow will scour out remaining monsoon moisture across the much of NV and southwest UT resulting in a deep, well mixed boundary layer and low surface relative humidity. In addition, widespread showers and thunderstorms ahead of the trough will affect portions of eastern Oregon and Northern Rockies region. ...Day 4-8/Saturday-Wednesday... A mid-level trough will lift into the Northern High Plains on Day 4/Saturday with a broad but reduced southwest flow pattern continuing to push remaining monsoon moisture and associated high terrain convection along and east of the Continental Divide by Day 5/Sunday, mitigating the threat of new lightning ignitions for much of the Intermountain West. A building mid-level ridge over the Desert Southwest will support climbing temperatures to above seasonal averages across much of the West starting early next week. This pattern could also usher in another round of monsoon moisture into the Lower Colorado River Basin and southern California as early as Day 5/Sunday, although enough forecast uncertainty exists to preclude critical probabilities of dry thunderstorms at this time. ..Williams.. 07/02/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Wed Jul 02 2025 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z ...Day 3/Friday... A negatively tilted short-wave trough and attendant mid-level wind maxima entering into the western U.S. on Day 3/Friday will increase fire weather concerns across much of the Great Basin. The stronger dry, southwest flow will scour out remaining monsoon moisture across the much of NV and southwest UT resulting in a deep, well mixed boundary layer and low surface relative humidity. In addition, widespread showers and thunderstorms ahead of the trough will affect portions of eastern Oregon and Northern Rockies region. ...Day 4-8/Saturday-Wednesday... A mid-level trough will lift into the Northern High Plains on Day 4/Saturday with a broad but reduced southwest flow pattern continuing to push remaining monsoon moisture and associated high terrain convection along and east of the Continental Divide by Day 5/Sunday, mitigating the threat of new lightning ignitions for much of the Intermountain West. A building mid-level ridge over the Desert Southwest will support climbing temperatures to above seasonal averages across much of the West starting early next week. This pattern could also usher in another round of monsoon moisture into the Lower Colorado River Basin and southern California as early as Day 5/Sunday, although enough forecast uncertainty exists to preclude critical probabilities of dry thunderstorms at this time. ..Williams.. 07/02/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Wed Jul 02 2025 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z ...Day 3/Friday... A negatively tilted short-wave trough and attendant mid-level wind maxima entering into the western U.S. on Day 3/Friday will increase fire weather concerns across much of the Great Basin. The stronger dry, southwest flow will scour out remaining monsoon moisture across the much of NV and southwest UT resulting in a deep, well mixed boundary layer and low surface relative humidity. In addition, widespread showers and thunderstorms ahead of the trough will affect portions of eastern Oregon and Northern Rockies region. ...Day 4-8/Saturday-Wednesday... A mid-level trough will lift into the Northern High Plains on Day 4/Saturday with a broad but reduced southwest flow pattern continuing to push remaining monsoon moisture and associated high terrain convection along and east of the Continental Divide by Day 5/Sunday, mitigating the threat of new lightning ignitions for much of the Intermountain West. A building mid-level ridge over the Desert Southwest will support climbing temperatures to above seasonal averages across much of the West starting early next week. This pattern could also usher in another round of monsoon moisture into the Lower Colorado River Basin and southern California as early as Day 5/Sunday, although enough forecast uncertainty exists to preclude critical probabilities of dry thunderstorms at this time. ..Williams.. 07/02/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Wed Jul 02 2025 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z ...Day 3/Friday... A negatively tilted short-wave trough and attendant mid-level wind maxima entering into the western U.S. on Day 3/Friday will increase fire weather concerns across much of the Great Basin. The stronger dry, southwest flow will scour out remaining monsoon moisture across the much of NV and southwest UT resulting in a deep, well mixed boundary layer and low surface relative humidity. In addition, widespread showers and thunderstorms ahead of the trough will affect portions of eastern Oregon and Northern Rockies region. ...Day 4-8/Saturday-Wednesday... A mid-level trough will lift into the Northern High Plains on Day 4/Saturday with a broad but reduced southwest flow pattern continuing to push remaining monsoon moisture and associated high terrain convection along and east of the Continental Divide by Day 5/Sunday, mitigating the threat of new lightning ignitions for much of the Intermountain West. A building mid-level ridge over the Desert Southwest will support climbing temperatures to above seasonal averages across much of the West starting early next week. This pattern could also usher in another round of monsoon moisture into the Lower Colorado River Basin and southern California as early as Day 5/Sunday, although enough forecast uncertainty exists to preclude critical probabilities of dry thunderstorms at this time. ..Williams.. 07/02/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC MD 1540

2 months ago
MD 1540 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST WISCONSIN AND THE UP/LP OF MICHIGAN
Mesoscale Discussion 1540 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0328 PM CDT Wed Jul 02 2025 Areas affected...portions of northeast Wisconsin and the UP/LP of Michigan Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 022028Z - 022200Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...Isolated severe winds gusts/hail possible this afternoon/evening. DISCUSSION...Visible satellite/radar shows a small cluster of cells over portions of northeast Wisconsin, and a few isolated cells over the LP of Michigan, traversing southeast. These storms initiated during the heating of the day amid a weakly capped environment. Persistent downstream heating, where dew point temperatures are in the low 60s F, is yielding MLCAPE values near 1000 J/kg and low level lapse rates near 9 C/km. The weak instability combined with marginal deep-layer shear (approaching 25-35 kt) should limit storm organization. That said, some potential exists for a localized damaging wind gust or severe hail with the strongest cells throughout the remainder of the afternoon and into the evening. ..Karstens/Mosier.. 07/02/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DTX...APX...GRR...MQT...GRB...MKX...ARX... LAT...LON 45918727 45928808 45558936 45098997 44308987 43708952 43438906 43128768 42898593 42768480 42698390 42968291 43888303 44338350 45078356 45378498 45878694 45838684 45918727 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

Hurricane Flossie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15

2 months ago
Issued at 2100 UTC WED JUL 02 2025 739 FOPZ11 KNHC 022032 PWSEP1 HURRICANE FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062025 2100 UTC WED JUL 02 2025 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAN JOSE CABO 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 20N 110W 50 92 X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) 20N 110W 64 37 X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) ISLA SOCORRO 34 10 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 20N 115W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 25N 115W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
NHC Webmaster