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WW 703 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 041820Z - 050200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 703 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 120 PM CDT Wed Oct 4 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of West-central and southwest Oklahoma Northwest Texas * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 120 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible SUMMARY...Several supercells will develop with a primary initial threat of very large hail. These cells should consolidate into an eastward-moving cluster towards early evening with an increasing threat for severe wind gusts. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles west northwest of Lubbock TX to 15 miles north of Fort Sill OK. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 25035. ...Grams Read more

WW 0704 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 704 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..THORNTON..10/04/23 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 704 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC033-043-059-081-103-105-115-135-151-173-207-227-235-253-317- 329-335-353-371-383-413-415-417-431-435-441-443-447-451-461- 050040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BORDEN BREWSTER CALLAHAN COKE CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON ECTOR FISHER GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOWARD IRION JONES MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS REAGAN SCHLEICHER SCURRY SHACKELFORD STERLING SUTTON TAYLOR TERRELL THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN UPTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 704 SEVERE TSTM TX 041920Z - 050200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 704 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 220 PM CDT Wed Oct 4 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southwest to west-central Texas * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 220 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Initial supercell near Fort Stockton may persist for several hours while additional supercells form farther north-northeast across the Permian Basin. Very large hail will be the main threat initially, with severe wind gusts more likely as storms consolidate into eastward-moving clusters. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles west of Dryden TX to 100 miles northeast of Big Spring TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 703... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 26025. ...Grams Read more

WW 0705 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 705 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW SPS TO 20 SW ADM TO 30 NNE ADM TO 10 SSE CQB. ..THORNTON..10/04/23 ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 705 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-013-023-061-069-077-085-091-095-101-107-111-121-127- 050040- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW HASKELL JOHNSTON LATIMER LOVE MCINTOSH MARSHALL MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA TXC085-097-119-121-147-181-223-231-237-277-337-497-503-050040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLLIN COOKE DELTA DENTON FANNIN GRAYSON HOPKINS HUNT JACK LAMAR MONTAGUE WISE YOUNG Read more

MD 2233 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 703...704... FOR NORTHWEST/SOUTHWEST/WEST-CENTRAL TX
Mesoscale Discussion 2233 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0606 PM CDT Wed Oct 04 2023 Areas affected...Northwest/Southwest/West-Central TX Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 703...704... Valid 042306Z - 050100Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 703, 704 continues. SUMMARY...Threat for large to very large hail and damaging gusts will continue for at least the next few hours. DISCUSSION...Outflow-augmented cold front extending from far northwest TX into the Permian Basin continues to progress gradually southward/southeastward. Thunderstorms persist along this boundary, supported by ample buoyancy and low-level convergence. Given the abundance of storms and close storm proximity, a supercell-in-cluster storm mode currently prevails, with the strongest updrafts north of the composite outflow/cold front. Even with most storms north of the boundary, there does appear to be a more outflow-dominant structure to the pair of updrafts over Baylor and King Counties in northwest TX. Warm, moist, and buoyant conditions exists downstream of these updrafts, with steep low-level lapse rates in place as well. Development into an organized convective line appears probable, and the overall expectations is that some severe potential will persist for at least the next few hours into western portions of north TX. Further south and west into the Permian Basin and southwest TX, a more cellular storm mode dominants. Long hodographs have supported splitting supercells capable of large hail thus far, which should remain the primary risk for at least the next few hours. Strong gusts will also remain possible, particularly with the supercell currently in Scurry County. ..Mosier.. 10/04/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF... LAT...LON 30710294 31450255 32120218 32790225 33610239 33940206 33850058 34109902 34029846 33779814 33269826 32739886 31810005 30610058 29860184 29850254 30120305 30710294 Read more

WW 705 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 041945Z - 050300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 705 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 245 PM CDT Wed Oct 4 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of South-central and southeast Oklahoma North Texas * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 245 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A few supercells should consolidate into an east-southeast moving MCS that spreads across parts of south Oklahoma and north Texas into this evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles north of Wichita Falls TX to 40 miles south southeast of Mcalester OK. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 703...WW 704... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 29030. ...Grams Read more

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 042346
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Oct 4 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Lidia, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the
southwestern coast of Mexico.

South of Central America:
A large, elongated area of showers and thunderstorms located well
south of the coast of Guatemala is associated with a trough of low
pressure. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
gradual development during the next several days, and a tropical
depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week while
the disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Western East Pacific:
An area of low pressure located about 1200 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system,
if any, should be slow to occur while it moves little during the
next couple of days. By this weekend, environmental conditions are
forecast to become less conducive for further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 04 Oct 2023 20:40:19 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 04 Oct 2023 21:29:19 GMT

Issued at 2100 UTC WED OCT 04 2023 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 042037 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM LIDIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152023 2100 UTC WED OCT 04 2023 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LIDIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 110W 34 9 7(16) 7(23) 3(26) 4(30) 2(32) 1(33) 15N 110W 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 110W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 20N 110W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 4(10) 3(13) 2(15) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 8(10) 11(21) 9(30) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 15N 115W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 15(17) 16(33) 7(40) 15N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 3(12) 15N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 6(13) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) $$ FORECASTER KELLY/KONARIK

...LIDIA MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD... As of 3:00 PM MDT Wed Oct 4 the center of Lidia was located near 15.2, -108.9 with movement NNW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0329 PM CDT Wed Oct 04 2023 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z A strong upper trough/low will develop late this week across the upper Midwest and Northeast. In the West and High Plains, upper-level ridging will build. Surface high pressure will cover much of the CONUS behind a cold front through part of the upcoming weekend. Model guidance does show a trough approaching the Northwest by early next week, but the timing and evolution of this trough and associated surface features is uncertain. Surface high pressure into the Great Basin and Northwest will drive some dry offshore winds in parts of northern and southern California into the weekend. Given the state of fuels in these areas, only locally elevated conditions are expected. Some dry and windy conditions are also possible in the West as the trough moves into the interior, but, again, fuels are currently not receptive and are not expected to become critically dry in the near future. Depending on the evolution of the next trough early next week, some high pressure may build into the Northwest and Great Basin. Additional offshore winds would then be possible around the middle /end of next week in southern California. Uncertainty remains high this far in advance. ..Wendt.. 10/04/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0257 PM CDT Wed Oct 04 2023 Valid 042000Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF NORTHWEST TEXAS ACROSS THE RED RIVER VALLEY AND INTO PARTS OF SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered to numerous severe thunderstorms are expected through early morning across parts of the southern Great Plains. Destructive, very large hail and a few significant severe wind gusts will be the main threats. Any tornado risk is expected to be brief. ...Much of western TX into southern OK... Scattered severe storms likely producing large hail have already developed across parts of the TX Panhandle and South Plains, with a few cells now moving into southwest OK. A front continues to drift southward across central OK and the TX Panhandle, with pressure falls noted within the surface trough. The greatest potential for particularly damaging hail appears to be located from northwest TX into southern OK through this afternoon and into the evening, as storms ride east/northeast along the boundary. The deepening moist layer, even with weak low-level winds, will provide favorable storm relative inflow for long-lived severe storms given moderate steering currents aloft. This, combined with additionally favorable mid to high level wind shear/elongated hodographs, suggest a storm or two could produce long swaths of significant hail. Additional severe storms producing hail will still be possible north of the boundary, as pockets of heating continue, and the air mass remains sufficiently unstable. The northeasterly boundary-layer winds north of the boundary may yield one or more left-moving cells. Other severe storms producing hail and damaging gusts are likely across much of West and western-North TX where the air mass continues to heat well ahead of the southward-moving front, including the area from Ft. Stockton/Midland northeastward toward Abilene. ..Jewell.. 10/04/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1130 AM CDT Wed Oct 04 2023/ ...Southern Great Plains... Confidence continues to increase with potential for a significant severe weather episode across north/west TX and south OK this afternoon into tonight, yielding expansion of the cat 3 severe risk. The northern extent of a rather rich western Gulf air mass has spread across much of north TX and southwest to east OK, characterized by upper 60s to low 70s surface dew points. Moderate boundary-layer heating coupled with the rich moisture will yield a broad plume of 2000-3000 J/kg MLCAPE by late afternoon. Elevated thunderstorms may continue to shift east into northeast OK while renewed development across the TX Panhandle will probably intensify by early afternoon as it transitions to surface-based development along the southward-sagging composite cold front/large-scale outflow. Scattered thunderstorm development is also anticipated southward into the Trans-Pecos as low-level convergence/upslope increases near the dryline. A lack of surface cyclogenesis will result in relatively weak low-level mass response and correspondingly small low-level hodographs this afternoon in the warm sector. However, substantial speed shear above 700 mb will yield relatively straight and highly elongated mid to upper-level hodographs favoring splitting supercells with initial storm development. These initial supercells will be capable of producing very large to giant hail from 2-3.5 inches, mainly across west TX where steeper mid-level lapse rates and discrete supercell mode will persist longer. Farther north and east, consolidating outflow interactions and minimal convective inhibition will likely result in quicker upscale growth into clusters and bowing line segments by late afternoon/early evening as storm coverage becomes widespread. Still, given the favorable hodographs for strong mid-level rotation, longer-track embedded supercells will be possible, especially along the composite front/outflow across south OK initially, and over western north TX later. These may yield destructive wind-driven hail swaths with localized gusts reaching 75-85 mph. A large MCS is anticipated this evening, moving east-southeast over north/northeast TX with a decreasing severe wind risk overnight. Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 PM CDT Wed Oct 04 2023 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 10/04/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Wed Oct 04 2023/ ...Synopsis... In the mid-levels, ridging across the western US is forecast to intensify through the forecast period. To the east, persistent troughing is excepted over the central and eastern US as a second shortwave moves south out of Canada. With high pressure over the West, some offshore flow may linger over parts of southern CA through the day and into the overnight. However, with a cooler air mass and widespread precip over the preceding days, fire-weather concerns are low. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0699 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 699 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE GLD TO 50 WSW HLC TO 30 S MCK TO 10 ENE MCK TO 10 N BBW TO 35 NW BUB. ..LYONS..10/03/23 ATTN...WFO...GLD...DDC...GID...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 699 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC039-051-063-065-101-135-137-141-147-163-165-171-179-183-195- 203-032340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DECATUR ELLIS GOVE GRAHAM LANE NESS NORTON OSBORNE PHILLIPS ROOKS RUSH SCOTT SHERIDAN SMITH TREGO WICHITA NEC001-015-019-047-061-065-071-073-077-079-083-089-093-099-137- 145-163-175-181-183-032340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BOYD BUFFALO DAWSON FRANKLIN FURNAS GARFIELD GOSPER GREELEY HALL HARLAN HOLT HOWARD KEARNEY PHELPS Read more

WW 699 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE 031820Z - 040100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 699 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 120 PM CDT Tue Oct 3 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Far northeast Colorado Northwest to north-central Kansas Southwest to central Nebraska * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 120 PM until 800 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A few to several supercells should develop but quickly grow upscale into northeast-moving clusters. Large hail will be the primary initial threat with sporadic severe wind gusts becoming more prominent towards early evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 75 miles southwest of Hill City KS to 15 miles north northeast of Broken Bow NE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 23035. ...Grams Read more

WW 0700 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 700 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SPC..10/03/23 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 700 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC003-033-043-081-103-105-115-135-151-173-227-235-317-329-335- 353-371-383-415-431-443-451-461-040040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER COKE CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON ECTOR FISHER GLASSCOCK HOWARD IRION MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS REAGAN SCURRY STERLING TERRELL TOM GREEN UPTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 700 SEVERE TSTM TX 032005Z - 040300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 700 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 305 PM CDT Tue Oct 3 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of West Texas * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 305 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...A few supercells are likely initially near the Lower Pecos Valley and then developing north across the eastern Permian Basin vicinity. Large hail up to golf ball size will be the main threat. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles south southeast of Fort Stockton TX to 55 miles north northeast of Big Spring TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 699... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 24025. ...Grams Read more

WW 0701 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0701 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more