Aggregator

Topsoil and subsoil were reported as adequate to surplus for all counties across North Texas. Pasture and rangelands were good to fair for most counties, with a few reporting poor conditions. Temperatures were warmer for the week, and some areas had rainfall up to 2 inches. These conditions allowed winter grasses to revive from the impact of the freeze in January. Some corn fields remained too wet to work. Wheat and oat conditions were poor due to previous harsh weather. Livestock were in good condition as hay feeding continued. Hay shortages in some areas impacted cattle inventory. Armyworms and cutworms were reported in Grayson and Fannin counties, but no other pest or disease were reported. AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), Feb 6, 2024

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0216 AM CST Wed Feb 07 2024 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is not forecast on Friday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Friday, a broad area of southwest flow aloft will extend from the base of a trough across the Southwest into the eastern CONUS. This trough will slowly translate east into the Rockies through Saturday morning, as upper ridging takes place along the West Coast. Meanwhile, a wave over the upper Great Lakes will lose amplitude as it devolves into southern Ontario and Quebec, with a surface low moving across James Bay. Beneath the southwest flow regime aloft, persistent southerly winds will allow for moisture return across TX and the central Gulf Coast states, with generally upper 50s to lower 60s F dewpoints. A slow-moving front may interact with this moistening air mass Friday night as it moving toward the ArkLaTex and lower OH Valley, with a few hundred J/kg MUCAPE near the front. Given the very weak lift and marginal instability, severe weather is not forecast, but a zone of thunderstorms is expected roughly from the ArkLaTex into Middle TN Friday night. Straight hodographs and front-parallel flow could aid a few small bowing structures or robust cells producing small hail or gusty winds. ..Jewell.. 02/07/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0216 AM CST Wed Feb 07 2024 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is not forecast on Friday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Friday, a broad area of southwest flow aloft will extend from the base of a trough across the Southwest into the eastern CONUS. This trough will slowly translate east into the Rockies through Saturday morning, as upper ridging takes place along the West Coast. Meanwhile, a wave over the upper Great Lakes will lose amplitude as it devolves into southern Ontario and Quebec, with a surface low moving across James Bay. Beneath the southwest flow regime aloft, persistent southerly winds will allow for moisture return across TX and the central Gulf Coast states, with generally upper 50s to lower 60s F dewpoints. A slow-moving front may interact with this moistening air mass Friday night as it moving toward the ArkLaTex and lower OH Valley, with a few hundred J/kg MUCAPE near the front. Given the very weak lift and marginal instability, severe weather is not forecast, but a zone of thunderstorms is expected roughly from the ArkLaTex into Middle TN Friday night. Straight hodographs and front-parallel flow could aid a few small bowing structures or robust cells producing small hail or gusty winds. ..Jewell.. 02/07/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0216 AM CST Wed Feb 07 2024 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is not forecast on Friday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Friday, a broad area of southwest flow aloft will extend from the base of a trough across the Southwest into the eastern CONUS. This trough will slowly translate east into the Rockies through Saturday morning, as upper ridging takes place along the West Coast. Meanwhile, a wave over the upper Great Lakes will lose amplitude as it devolves into southern Ontario and Quebec, with a surface low moving across James Bay. Beneath the southwest flow regime aloft, persistent southerly winds will allow for moisture return across TX and the central Gulf Coast states, with generally upper 50s to lower 60s F dewpoints. A slow-moving front may interact with this moistening air mass Friday night as it moving toward the ArkLaTex and lower OH Valley, with a few hundred J/kg MUCAPE near the front. Given the very weak lift and marginal instability, severe weather is not forecast, but a zone of thunderstorms is expected roughly from the ArkLaTex into Middle TN Friday night. Straight hodographs and front-parallel flow could aid a few small bowing structures or robust cells producing small hail or gusty winds. ..Jewell.. 02/07/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0216 AM CST Wed Feb 07 2024 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is not forecast on Friday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Friday, a broad area of southwest flow aloft will extend from the base of a trough across the Southwest into the eastern CONUS. This trough will slowly translate east into the Rockies through Saturday morning, as upper ridging takes place along the West Coast. Meanwhile, a wave over the upper Great Lakes will lose amplitude as it devolves into southern Ontario and Quebec, with a surface low moving across James Bay. Beneath the southwest flow regime aloft, persistent southerly winds will allow for moisture return across TX and the central Gulf Coast states, with generally upper 50s to lower 60s F dewpoints. A slow-moving front may interact with this moistening air mass Friday night as it moving toward the ArkLaTex and lower OH Valley, with a few hundred J/kg MUCAPE near the front. Given the very weak lift and marginal instability, severe weather is not forecast, but a zone of thunderstorms is expected roughly from the ArkLaTex into Middle TN Friday night. Straight hodographs and front-parallel flow could aid a few small bowing structures or robust cells producing small hail or gusty winds. ..Jewell.. 02/07/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0216 AM CST Wed Feb 07 2024 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is not forecast on Friday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Friday, a broad area of southwest flow aloft will extend from the base of a trough across the Southwest into the eastern CONUS. This trough will slowly translate east into the Rockies through Saturday morning, as upper ridging takes place along the West Coast. Meanwhile, a wave over the upper Great Lakes will lose amplitude as it devolves into southern Ontario and Quebec, with a surface low moving across James Bay. Beneath the southwest flow regime aloft, persistent southerly winds will allow for moisture return across TX and the central Gulf Coast states, with generally upper 50s to lower 60s F dewpoints. A slow-moving front may interact with this moistening air mass Friday night as it moving toward the ArkLaTex and lower OH Valley, with a few hundred J/kg MUCAPE near the front. Given the very weak lift and marginal instability, severe weather is not forecast, but a zone of thunderstorms is expected roughly from the ArkLaTex into Middle TN Friday night. Straight hodographs and front-parallel flow could aid a few small bowing structures or robust cells producing small hail or gusty winds. ..Jewell.. 02/07/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0216 AM CST Wed Feb 07 2024 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is not forecast on Friday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Friday, a broad area of southwest flow aloft will extend from the base of a trough across the Southwest into the eastern CONUS. This trough will slowly translate east into the Rockies through Saturday morning, as upper ridging takes place along the West Coast. Meanwhile, a wave over the upper Great Lakes will lose amplitude as it devolves into southern Ontario and Quebec, with a surface low moving across James Bay. Beneath the southwest flow regime aloft, persistent southerly winds will allow for moisture return across TX and the central Gulf Coast states, with generally upper 50s to lower 60s F dewpoints. A slow-moving front may interact with this moistening air mass Friday night as it moving toward the ArkLaTex and lower OH Valley, with a few hundred J/kg MUCAPE near the front. Given the very weak lift and marginal instability, severe weather is not forecast, but a zone of thunderstorms is expected roughly from the ArkLaTex into Middle TN Friday night. Straight hodographs and front-parallel flow could aid a few small bowing structures or robust cells producing small hail or gusty winds. ..Jewell.. 02/07/2024 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Wed Feb 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will de-amplify while traversing the Ohio Valley as a second upper trough ejects into the southern Plains tomorrow/Thursday. A surface low will develop along the Colorado and Kansas borders, allowing for continued moisture return across the Plains into the Mississippi Valley. The combination of cool or moist low-level conditions should be common across much of the CONUS tomorrow. The one exception will be the central and southern High Plains, which should experience dry westerly downslope flow and associated Elevated equivalent surface conditions by Thursday afternoon. However, fuels in this region are poorly receptive to wildfire spread, precluding the addition of any fire weather highlights this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 02/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Wed Feb 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will de-amplify while traversing the Ohio Valley as a second upper trough ejects into the southern Plains tomorrow/Thursday. A surface low will develop along the Colorado and Kansas borders, allowing for continued moisture return across the Plains into the Mississippi Valley. The combination of cool or moist low-level conditions should be common across much of the CONUS tomorrow. The one exception will be the central and southern High Plains, which should experience dry westerly downslope flow and associated Elevated equivalent surface conditions by Thursday afternoon. However, fuels in this region are poorly receptive to wildfire spread, precluding the addition of any fire weather highlights this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 02/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Wed Feb 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will de-amplify while traversing the Ohio Valley as a second upper trough ejects into the southern Plains tomorrow/Thursday. A surface low will develop along the Colorado and Kansas borders, allowing for continued moisture return across the Plains into the Mississippi Valley. The combination of cool or moist low-level conditions should be common across much of the CONUS tomorrow. The one exception will be the central and southern High Plains, which should experience dry westerly downslope flow and associated Elevated equivalent surface conditions by Thursday afternoon. However, fuels in this region are poorly receptive to wildfire spread, precluding the addition of any fire weather highlights this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 02/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Wed Feb 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will de-amplify while traversing the Ohio Valley as a second upper trough ejects into the southern Plains tomorrow/Thursday. A surface low will develop along the Colorado and Kansas borders, allowing for continued moisture return across the Plains into the Mississippi Valley. The combination of cool or moist low-level conditions should be common across much of the CONUS tomorrow. The one exception will be the central and southern High Plains, which should experience dry westerly downslope flow and associated Elevated equivalent surface conditions by Thursday afternoon. However, fuels in this region are poorly receptive to wildfire spread, precluding the addition of any fire weather highlights this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 02/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Wed Feb 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will de-amplify while traversing the Ohio Valley as a second upper trough ejects into the southern Plains tomorrow/Thursday. A surface low will develop along the Colorado and Kansas borders, allowing for continued moisture return across the Plains into the Mississippi Valley. The combination of cool or moist low-level conditions should be common across much of the CONUS tomorrow. The one exception will be the central and southern High Plains, which should experience dry westerly downslope flow and associated Elevated equivalent surface conditions by Thursday afternoon. However, fuels in this region are poorly receptive to wildfire spread, precluding the addition of any fire weather highlights this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 02/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Wed Feb 07 2024 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will overspread the Southeast as a pronounced mid-level trough ejects into the MS Valley today. Surface cyclone development should take place over the northern Plains, with the central Plains experiencing low-level moisture return and the central/southern High Plains receiving strong, but modestly dry westerly surface winds behind a cold front. Meanwhile, modestly dry low-level air will meander over the central Appalachians. Overall, quiescent fire weather conditions are expected across the CONUS given the lack of favorably overlapping strong surface winds/low RH over receptive fuels, with no fire weather highlights introduced. ..Squitieri.. 02/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Wed Feb 07 2024 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will overspread the Southeast as a pronounced mid-level trough ejects into the MS Valley today. Surface cyclone development should take place over the northern Plains, with the central Plains experiencing low-level moisture return and the central/southern High Plains receiving strong, but modestly dry westerly surface winds behind a cold front. Meanwhile, modestly dry low-level air will meander over the central Appalachians. Overall, quiescent fire weather conditions are expected across the CONUS given the lack of favorably overlapping strong surface winds/low RH over receptive fuels, with no fire weather highlights introduced. ..Squitieri.. 02/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Wed Feb 07 2024 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will overspread the Southeast as a pronounced mid-level trough ejects into the MS Valley today. Surface cyclone development should take place over the northern Plains, with the central Plains experiencing low-level moisture return and the central/southern High Plains receiving strong, but modestly dry westerly surface winds behind a cold front. Meanwhile, modestly dry low-level air will meander over the central Appalachians. Overall, quiescent fire weather conditions are expected across the CONUS given the lack of favorably overlapping strong surface winds/low RH over receptive fuels, with no fire weather highlights introduced. ..Squitieri.. 02/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Wed Feb 07 2024 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will overspread the Southeast as a pronounced mid-level trough ejects into the MS Valley today. Surface cyclone development should take place over the northern Plains, with the central Plains experiencing low-level moisture return and the central/southern High Plains receiving strong, but modestly dry westerly surface winds behind a cold front. Meanwhile, modestly dry low-level air will meander over the central Appalachians. Overall, quiescent fire weather conditions are expected across the CONUS given the lack of favorably overlapping strong surface winds/low RH over receptive fuels, with no fire weather highlights introduced. ..Squitieri.. 02/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Wed Feb 07 2024 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will overspread the Southeast as a pronounced mid-level trough ejects into the MS Valley today. Surface cyclone development should take place over the northern Plains, with the central Plains experiencing low-level moisture return and the central/southern High Plains receiving strong, but modestly dry westerly surface winds behind a cold front. Meanwhile, modestly dry low-level air will meander over the central Appalachians. Overall, quiescent fire weather conditions are expected across the CONUS given the lack of favorably overlapping strong surface winds/low RH over receptive fuels, with no fire weather highlights introduced. ..Squitieri.. 02/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1242 AM CST Wed Feb 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... A few general thunderstorms may occur over the upper Mississippi Valley on Thursday. Severe weather is unlikely. ...Synopsis... A vertically stacked low over ND will move northeastward into Ontario on Thursday, with little change in pressure. A fetch of southerly winds will extend southward across much of the Plains and MS Valley, with modest low-level moistening from eastern TX toward the mid MS Valley. Cooling aloft will accompany the primary embedded wave, moving from the central Plains toward the upper Great Lakes through Friday morning. In terms of ascent, the trajectory of the low will orphan the developing moist sector farther south, as veered/westerly winds just off the surface result in drying and weakening convergence. Scattered showers with a few thunderstorms appear most likely roughly from IA into WI during the ahead of the strong midlevel vorticity maximum, with steepening lapse rates supporting lightning within the developing arc of precipitation. Elsewhere, another shortwave trough will move across the CO River Valley and into AZ, providing cooling aloft and aiding isolated weak convection north of the Rim in a weakly unstable environment. ..Jewell.. 02/07/2024 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1242 AM CST Wed Feb 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... A few general thunderstorms may occur over the upper Mississippi Valley on Thursday. Severe weather is unlikely. ...Synopsis... A vertically stacked low over ND will move northeastward into Ontario on Thursday, with little change in pressure. A fetch of southerly winds will extend southward across much of the Plains and MS Valley, with modest low-level moistening from eastern TX toward the mid MS Valley. Cooling aloft will accompany the primary embedded wave, moving from the central Plains toward the upper Great Lakes through Friday morning. In terms of ascent, the trajectory of the low will orphan the developing moist sector farther south, as veered/westerly winds just off the surface result in drying and weakening convergence. Scattered showers with a few thunderstorms appear most likely roughly from IA into WI during the ahead of the strong midlevel vorticity maximum, with steepening lapse rates supporting lightning within the developing arc of precipitation. Elsewhere, another shortwave trough will move across the CO River Valley and into AZ, providing cooling aloft and aiding isolated weak convection north of the Rim in a weakly unstable environment. ..Jewell.. 02/07/2024 Read more