Aggregator

WW 0178 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 178 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE BGS TO 55 NE BGS TO 50 NNE ABI. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 178 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC049-059-081-083-095-151-207-235-253-307-353-399-417-431-441- 451-040240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN CONCHO FISHER HASKELL IRION JONES MCCULLOCH NOLAN RUNNELS SHACKELFORD STERLING TAYLOR TOM GREEN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0178 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 178 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE BGS TO 55 NE BGS TO 50 NNE ABI. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 178 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC049-059-081-083-095-151-207-235-253-307-353-399-417-431-441- 451-040240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN CONCHO FISHER HASKELL IRION JONES MCCULLOCH NOLAN RUNNELS SHACKELFORD STERLING TAYLOR TOM GREEN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0178 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 178 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE BGS TO 55 NE BGS TO 50 NNE ABI. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 178 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC049-059-081-083-095-151-207-235-253-307-353-399-417-431-441- 451-040240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN CONCHO FISHER HASKELL IRION JONES MCCULLOCH NOLAN RUNNELS SHACKELFORD STERLING TAYLOR TOM GREEN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0178 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 178 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE BGS TO 55 NE BGS TO 50 NNE ABI. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 178 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC049-059-081-083-095-151-207-235-253-307-353-399-417-431-441- 451-040240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN CONCHO FISHER HASKELL IRION JONES MCCULLOCH NOLAN RUNNELS SHACKELFORD STERLING TAYLOR TOM GREEN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0178 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 178 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE BGS TO 55 NE BGS TO 50 NNE ABI. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 178 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC049-059-081-083-095-151-207-235-253-307-353-399-417-431-441- 451-040240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN CONCHO FISHER HASKELL IRION JONES MCCULLOCH NOLAN RUNNELS SHACKELFORD STERLING TAYLOR TOM GREEN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0178 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 178 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE BGS TO 55 NE BGS TO 50 NNE ABI. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 178 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC049-059-081-083-095-151-207-235-253-307-353-399-417-431-441- 451-040240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN CONCHO FISHER HASKELL IRION JONES MCCULLOCH NOLAN RUNNELS SHACKELFORD STERLING TAYLOR TOM GREEN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 178 TORNADO TX 031910Z - 040300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 178 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 210 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northwest into West Texas * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 4.5 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are forecast to develop this afternoon into the evening across portions of the Watch area. Several intense supercells are likely to evolve and pose a risk for giant hail and tornadoes. The tornado risk will probably be greatest in the vicinity of a modifying boundary draped across the region. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles west southwest of Lubbock TX to 60 miles southeast of Abilene TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 4.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 28020. ...Smith Read more

WW 0179 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 179 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW DRT TO 65 NE 6R6 TO 30 NNW SJT. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 179 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC105-137-265-267-271-319-323-327-385-413-435-465-040240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CROCKETT EDWARDS KERR KIMBLE KINNEY MASON MAVERICK MENARD REAL SCHLEICHER SUTTON VAL VERDE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0179 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 179 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW DRT TO 65 NE 6R6 TO 30 NNW SJT. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 179 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC105-137-265-267-271-319-323-327-385-413-435-465-040240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CROCKETT EDWARDS KERR KIMBLE KINNEY MASON MAVERICK MENARD REAL SCHLEICHER SUTTON VAL VERDE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0179 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 179 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW DRT TO 65 NE 6R6 TO 30 NNW SJT. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 179 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC105-137-265-267-271-319-323-327-385-413-435-465-040240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CROCKETT EDWARDS KERR KIMBLE KINNEY MASON MAVERICK MENARD REAL SCHLEICHER SUTTON VAL VERDE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0179 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 179 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW DRT TO 65 NE 6R6 TO 30 NNW SJT. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 179 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC105-137-265-267-271-319-323-327-385-413-435-465-040240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CROCKETT EDWARDS KERR KIMBLE KINNEY MASON MAVERICK MENARD REAL SCHLEICHER SUTTON VAL VERDE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0179 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 179 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW DRT TO 65 NE 6R6 TO 30 NNW SJT. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 179 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC105-137-265-267-271-319-323-327-385-413-435-465-040240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CROCKETT EDWARDS KERR KIMBLE KINNEY MASON MAVERICK MENARD REAL SCHLEICHER SUTTON VAL VERDE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0179 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 179 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW DRT TO 65 NE 6R6 TO 30 NNW SJT. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 179 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC105-137-265-267-271-319-323-327-385-413-435-465-040240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CROCKETT EDWARDS KERR KIMBLE KINNEY MASON MAVERICK MENARD REAL SCHLEICHER SUTTON VAL VERDE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 179 SEVERE TSTM TX 032030Z - 040300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 179 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 330 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southwest Texas * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 330 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3.5 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered severe thunderstorms are forecast to develop this afternoon into the evening. Supercells will be the preferred thunderstorm type. The stronger storms will be capable of a risk for large to giant hail and severe gusts. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles east and west of a line from 65 miles west northwest of San Angelo TX to 70 miles southwest of Del Rio TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 178... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27020. ...Smith Read more

MD 0619 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 179... FOR THE TRANSPECOS REGION OF WESTERN TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0619 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0627 PM CDT Fri May 03 2024 Areas affected...the Transpecos region of western Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 179... Valid 032327Z - 040130Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 179 continues. SUMMARY...Isolated severe storms continue to pose a risk for very large hail and damaging wind gusts over portions of the Transpecos region of western Texas. DISCUSSION...Modest low-level moisture is indicated across parts of the Transpecos region east of the dryline, which is supporting 1000 to 2000 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE. This has been sufficient -- in tandem with the veering winds with height/ample shear across this region -- to support development of isolated supercell storms roughly along the Pecos Valley area. The two most prominent storms -- one in eastern Pecos County and the other near the Terrell/Crockett County line -- continue to exhibit radar indications of very large hail production. Locally damaging wind gusts are also possible with these storms, given the relatively deep mixed layer. Storms will likely continue over the next couple of hours, with potential for additional/isolated updraft development. ..Goss.. 05/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF... LAT...LON 29890213 30700250 31540239 31650123 30680070 29220026 28750043 29190094 29890213 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0752 PM CDT Fri May 03 2024 Valid 040100Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected across portions of the central and southern Plains. Large hail and damaging winds are the primary risks. ...01z Outlook... Cool mid-level profiles, and steep lapse rates contributed to the evolution of supercell clusters over much of northwest TX into the Edwards Plateau region. This activity is beginning to overturn much of the buoyancy across northwest TX, hence the strongest updrafts are now propagating southeast across the Edwards Plateau along an instability axis characterized by MLCAPE on the order of 3000 J/kg. Additionally, strong convection has developed just west of the international border and is approaching Eagle Pass. Will adjust severe probabilities into the middle Rio Grande Valley to account for this activity spreading east of the River. Farther north, organized band of thunderstorms has developed along a cold front that is surging southeast across south-central NE-northwest KS-northeast CO. In addition to a few dryline supercells over western KS, this complex will continue to propagate southeast aided in large part to the surging cold front. Given the organization of this activity, and momentum, will extend higher severe probs a bit downstream to account for wind/hail threat with this squall line. ..Darrow.. 05/04/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0752 PM CDT Fri May 03 2024 Valid 040100Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected across portions of the central and southern Plains. Large hail and damaging winds are the primary risks. ...01z Outlook... Cool mid-level profiles, and steep lapse rates contributed to the evolution of supercell clusters over much of northwest TX into the Edwards Plateau region. This activity is beginning to overturn much of the buoyancy across northwest TX, hence the strongest updrafts are now propagating southeast across the Edwards Plateau along an instability axis characterized by MLCAPE on the order of 3000 J/kg. Additionally, strong convection has developed just west of the international border and is approaching Eagle Pass. Will adjust severe probabilities into the middle Rio Grande Valley to account for this activity spreading east of the River. Farther north, organized band of thunderstorms has developed along a cold front that is surging southeast across south-central NE-northwest KS-northeast CO. In addition to a few dryline supercells over western KS, this complex will continue to propagate southeast aided in large part to the surging cold front. Given the organization of this activity, and momentum, will extend higher severe probs a bit downstream to account for wind/hail threat with this squall line. ..Darrow.. 05/04/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0752 PM CDT Fri May 03 2024 Valid 040100Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected across portions of the central and southern Plains. Large hail and damaging winds are the primary risks. ...01z Outlook... Cool mid-level profiles, and steep lapse rates contributed to the evolution of supercell clusters over much of northwest TX into the Edwards Plateau region. This activity is beginning to overturn much of the buoyancy across northwest TX, hence the strongest updrafts are now propagating southeast across the Edwards Plateau along an instability axis characterized by MLCAPE on the order of 3000 J/kg. Additionally, strong convection has developed just west of the international border and is approaching Eagle Pass. Will adjust severe probabilities into the middle Rio Grande Valley to account for this activity spreading east of the River. Farther north, organized band of thunderstorms has developed along a cold front that is surging southeast across south-central NE-northwest KS-northeast CO. In addition to a few dryline supercells over western KS, this complex will continue to propagate southeast aided in large part to the surging cold front. Given the organization of this activity, and momentum, will extend higher severe probs a bit downstream to account for wind/hail threat with this squall line. ..Darrow.. 05/04/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0752 PM CDT Fri May 03 2024 Valid 040100Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected across portions of the central and southern Plains. Large hail and damaging winds are the primary risks. ...01z Outlook... Cool mid-level profiles, and steep lapse rates contributed to the evolution of supercell clusters over much of northwest TX into the Edwards Plateau region. This activity is beginning to overturn much of the buoyancy across northwest TX, hence the strongest updrafts are now propagating southeast across the Edwards Plateau along an instability axis characterized by MLCAPE on the order of 3000 J/kg. Additionally, strong convection has developed just west of the international border and is approaching Eagle Pass. Will adjust severe probabilities into the middle Rio Grande Valley to account for this activity spreading east of the River. Farther north, organized band of thunderstorms has developed along a cold front that is surging southeast across south-central NE-northwest KS-northeast CO. In addition to a few dryline supercells over western KS, this complex will continue to propagate southeast aided in large part to the surging cold front. Given the organization of this activity, and momentum, will extend higher severe probs a bit downstream to account for wind/hail threat with this squall line. ..Darrow.. 05/04/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0752 PM CDT Fri May 03 2024 Valid 040100Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected across portions of the central and southern Plains. Large hail and damaging winds are the primary risks. ...01z Outlook... Cool mid-level profiles, and steep lapse rates contributed to the evolution of supercell clusters over much of northwest TX into the Edwards Plateau region. This activity is beginning to overturn much of the buoyancy across northwest TX, hence the strongest updrafts are now propagating southeast across the Edwards Plateau along an instability axis characterized by MLCAPE on the order of 3000 J/kg. Additionally, strong convection has developed just west of the international border and is approaching Eagle Pass. Will adjust severe probabilities into the middle Rio Grande Valley to account for this activity spreading east of the River. Farther north, organized band of thunderstorms has developed along a cold front that is surging southeast across south-central NE-northwest KS-northeast CO. In addition to a few dryline supercells over western KS, this complex will continue to propagate southeast aided in large part to the surging cold front. Given the organization of this activity, and momentum, will extend higher severe probs a bit downstream to account for wind/hail threat with this squall line. ..Darrow.. 05/04/2024 Read more