Aggregator

MD 0596 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 171... FOR TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS...SOUTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE...FAR SOUTHWEST OK
Mesoscale Discussion 0596 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0756 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Areas affected...Texas South Plains...Southeast Texas Panhandle...Far Southwest OK Concerning...Tornado Watch 171... Valid 020056Z - 020230Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 171 continues. SUMMARY...Threat for strong gusts, include some gusts over 75 mph, appears to be increasing across the southeast Texas Panhandle and far southwest Oklahoma. DISCUSSION...Several severe wind gusts have been measured in Lubbock vicinity over the past 30 minutes as a more linear/forward-propagating cluster moved quickly northward. This cluster is beginning to interact with the supercell over Crosby and Floyd Counties, with perhaps some transition to a more organized linear convective system underway. Some interaction between this developing line and the supercell cluster in Briscoe and Hall Counties is then anticipated, likely leading to an increased potential for damaging gusts as well as additional forward propagation. If this scenario is realized, the threat for strong gusts, including some gusts over 75 mph, will increasing. Additionally, this would likely bring storms into southwest OK within the next two hours. ..Mosier.. 05/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA... LAT...LON 33110157 34210180 35050086 35519959 34809916 33170055 33110157 Read more

MD 0594 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0594 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0712 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Areas affected...portions of central Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 020012Z - 020215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Severe threat may increase into the evening. DISCUSSION...Widely scattered thunderstorm development is expected to continue into the evening, with some uncertainty in the coverage of severe potential. Guidance indicates a southern branch of a southerly low-level jet will increase over the next few hours. This may aid in more organized convection, with potential for upscale growth. Thus far, the threat has remained widely scattered, though a few cells near Austin and north of College Station have shown signs of increasing intensity and lightning activity. This area will be monitored for trends and potential watch issuance. ..Thornton/Guyer.. 05/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...SJT... LAT...LON 30109655 29179703 28739750 28789820 29009839 30299878 31499857 32249828 32509796 32509723 32359672 32149613 32009593 31829577 31409566 31189566 31009572 30369649 30109655 Read more

MD 0595 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 172... FOR FAR NORTHEAST CO...WESTERN AND CENTRAL KS
Mesoscale Discussion 0595 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0728 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Areas affected...Far Northeast CO...Western and Central KS Concerning...Tornado Watch 172... Valid 020028Z - 020200Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 172 continues. SUMMARY...Supercells over western KS are expected to persist, with the potential for all severe hazards. An additional severe threat may exist farther north across northwest and north-central KS, downstream of the cluster coming out of northeast CO, and additional watch may be needed. DISCUSSION...Regional radar imagery continues to show pair of well-organized supercells over Logan and Gove Counties in western KS. These supercells are very close to the warm front extending from west to east across the KS, which is likely contributing to both low-level moisture convergence and low-level vorticity. Interactions between these two storms may contribute to some fluctuations in storm intensity, but the overall environment is expected to remain supportive of storm persistence. Additionally, increasing low-level flow over the next few hours will lengthen low-level hodographs, with the low-level kinematic environment becoming more favorable for tornadoes. Regional radar imagery also shows a more linear, forward-propagating cluster of storms moving out of far northeast CO towards far northwest KS. This activity is expected to continue moving southeastward, with the strengthening low-level flow and associated isentropic ascent contributing to storm persistence. Current trajectory takes this cluster north of the warm front, but some interaction with this frontal boundary could occur with more southeastward extent. Hail appears to be the predominant risk with this cluster, although some damaging gusts are possible as well, particularly with eastward/southeastward extent. A watch may be needed north of Tornado Watch 172 to address this threat. ..Mosier/Guyer.. 05/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GID...DDC...GLD... LAT...LON 39550240 40060155 39719906 38499942 38420118 39550240 Read more

WW 0173 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 173 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..THORNTON..05/02/24 ATTN...WFO...FWD...HGX...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 173 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC001-015-021-027-031-041-051-053-055-089-091-145-149-161-171- 185-209-225-259-287-289-293-299-313-331-339-373-395-407-453-455- 471-473-477-491-020240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON AUSTIN BASTROP BELL BLANCO BRAZOS BURLESON BURNET CALDWELL COLORADO COMAL FALLS FAYETTE FREESTONE GILLESPIE GRIMES HAYS HOUSTON KENDALL LEE LEON LIMESTONE LLANO MADISON MILAM MONTGOMERY POLK ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO TRAVIS TRINITY WALKER WALLER WASHINGTON WILLIAMSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0809 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AREA OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... All-hazards severe-weather risk will continue this evening and into the overnight hours across portions of the central and southern Plains. ...Central and southern Plains... Widely scattered thunderstorms continue this evening across a broad portion of the central third of the CONUS. For the remainder of the period, two primary areas for severe-weather risk will include the southern Nebraska/northern and central Kansas vicinity, and across parts of Oklahoma southward across much of Texas. Across the Nebraska and Kansas region, a couple of supercell storms persist across western Kansas, while additional convection continues to develop across east-central Colorado. Upscale growth/expansion of the Colorado storms is expected with time in response to a strengthening low-level jet, spreading eastward across southern Nebraska/northern Kansas into the overnight hours. Hail should become the primary severe threat with much of the convection well north of the surface boundary, but locally strong/damaging wind gusts may also occur. Farther south across Texas, a broken band of severe/supercell storms is ongoing from northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle so the South Plains, in the vicinity of a retreating dryline. Recent reports of severe weather including a tornado near Turkey have been received, and expect risk for very large hail and locally damaging wind gusts, along with a couple of tornadoes, to continue this evening. With time, upscale growth of this convection is expected, in conjunction with the strengthening of the low-level jet, spreading eastward with time along with ongoing severe risk into the overnight hours. Other clusters of strong/severe storms are occurring in the Concho Valley vicinity, over the Hill country, and portions of the Piney Woods region. This convection may also persist/spread eastward with time in the broad warm-advection regime, along with local risk for hail/wind this evening and overnight. ..Goss.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0809 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AREA OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... All-hazards severe-weather risk will continue this evening and into the overnight hours across portions of the central and southern Plains. ...Central and southern Plains... Widely scattered thunderstorms continue this evening across a broad portion of the central third of the CONUS. For the remainder of the period, two primary areas for severe-weather risk will include the southern Nebraska/northern and central Kansas vicinity, and across parts of Oklahoma southward across much of Texas. Across the Nebraska and Kansas region, a couple of supercell storms persist across western Kansas, while additional convection continues to develop across east-central Colorado. Upscale growth/expansion of the Colorado storms is expected with time in response to a strengthening low-level jet, spreading eastward across southern Nebraska/northern Kansas into the overnight hours. Hail should become the primary severe threat with much of the convection well north of the surface boundary, but locally strong/damaging wind gusts may also occur. Farther south across Texas, a broken band of severe/supercell storms is ongoing from northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle so the South Plains, in the vicinity of a retreating dryline. Recent reports of severe weather including a tornado near Turkey have been received, and expect risk for very large hail and locally damaging wind gusts, along with a couple of tornadoes, to continue this evening. With time, upscale growth of this convection is expected, in conjunction with the strengthening of the low-level jet, spreading eastward with time along with ongoing severe risk into the overnight hours. Other clusters of strong/severe storms are occurring in the Concho Valley vicinity, over the Hill country, and portions of the Piney Woods region. This convection may also persist/spread eastward with time in the broad warm-advection regime, along with local risk for hail/wind this evening and overnight. ..Goss.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0809 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AREA OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... All-hazards severe-weather risk will continue this evening and into the overnight hours across portions of the central and southern Plains. ...Central and southern Plains... Widely scattered thunderstorms continue this evening across a broad portion of the central third of the CONUS. For the remainder of the period, two primary areas for severe-weather risk will include the southern Nebraska/northern and central Kansas vicinity, and across parts of Oklahoma southward across much of Texas. Across the Nebraska and Kansas region, a couple of supercell storms persist across western Kansas, while additional convection continues to develop across east-central Colorado. Upscale growth/expansion of the Colorado storms is expected with time in response to a strengthening low-level jet, spreading eastward across southern Nebraska/northern Kansas into the overnight hours. Hail should become the primary severe threat with much of the convection well north of the surface boundary, but locally strong/damaging wind gusts may also occur. Farther south across Texas, a broken band of severe/supercell storms is ongoing from northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle so the South Plains, in the vicinity of a retreating dryline. Recent reports of severe weather including a tornado near Turkey have been received, and expect risk for very large hail and locally damaging wind gusts, along with a couple of tornadoes, to continue this evening. With time, upscale growth of this convection is expected, in conjunction with the strengthening of the low-level jet, spreading eastward with time along with ongoing severe risk into the overnight hours. Other clusters of strong/severe storms are occurring in the Concho Valley vicinity, over the Hill country, and portions of the Piney Woods region. This convection may also persist/spread eastward with time in the broad warm-advection regime, along with local risk for hail/wind this evening and overnight. ..Goss.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0809 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AREA OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... All-hazards severe-weather risk will continue this evening and into the overnight hours across portions of the central and southern Plains. ...Central and southern Plains... Widely scattered thunderstorms continue this evening across a broad portion of the central third of the CONUS. For the remainder of the period, two primary areas for severe-weather risk will include the southern Nebraska/northern and central Kansas vicinity, and across parts of Oklahoma southward across much of Texas. Across the Nebraska and Kansas region, a couple of supercell storms persist across western Kansas, while additional convection continues to develop across east-central Colorado. Upscale growth/expansion of the Colorado storms is expected with time in response to a strengthening low-level jet, spreading eastward across southern Nebraska/northern Kansas into the overnight hours. Hail should become the primary severe threat with much of the convection well north of the surface boundary, but locally strong/damaging wind gusts may also occur. Farther south across Texas, a broken band of severe/supercell storms is ongoing from northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle so the South Plains, in the vicinity of a retreating dryline. Recent reports of severe weather including a tornado near Turkey have been received, and expect risk for very large hail and locally damaging wind gusts, along with a couple of tornadoes, to continue this evening. With time, upscale growth of this convection is expected, in conjunction with the strengthening of the low-level jet, spreading eastward with time along with ongoing severe risk into the overnight hours. Other clusters of strong/severe storms are occurring in the Concho Valley vicinity, over the Hill country, and portions of the Piney Woods region. This convection may also persist/spread eastward with time in the broad warm-advection regime, along with local risk for hail/wind this evening and overnight. ..Goss.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0809 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AREA OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... All-hazards severe-weather risk will continue this evening and into the overnight hours across portions of the central and southern Plains. ...Central and southern Plains... Widely scattered thunderstorms continue this evening across a broad portion of the central third of the CONUS. For the remainder of the period, two primary areas for severe-weather risk will include the southern Nebraska/northern and central Kansas vicinity, and across parts of Oklahoma southward across much of Texas. Across the Nebraska and Kansas region, a couple of supercell storms persist across western Kansas, while additional convection continues to develop across east-central Colorado. Upscale growth/expansion of the Colorado storms is expected with time in response to a strengthening low-level jet, spreading eastward across southern Nebraska/northern Kansas into the overnight hours. Hail should become the primary severe threat with much of the convection well north of the surface boundary, but locally strong/damaging wind gusts may also occur. Farther south across Texas, a broken band of severe/supercell storms is ongoing from northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle so the South Plains, in the vicinity of a retreating dryline. Recent reports of severe weather including a tornado near Turkey have been received, and expect risk for very large hail and locally damaging wind gusts, along with a couple of tornadoes, to continue this evening. With time, upscale growth of this convection is expected, in conjunction with the strengthening of the low-level jet, spreading eastward with time along with ongoing severe risk into the overnight hours. Other clusters of strong/severe storms are occurring in the Concho Valley vicinity, over the Hill country, and portions of the Piney Woods region. This convection may also persist/spread eastward with time in the broad warm-advection regime, along with local risk for hail/wind this evening and overnight. ..Goss.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0809 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AREA OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... All-hazards severe-weather risk will continue this evening and into the overnight hours across portions of the central and southern Plains. ...Central and southern Plains... Widely scattered thunderstorms continue this evening across a broad portion of the central third of the CONUS. For the remainder of the period, two primary areas for severe-weather risk will include the southern Nebraska/northern and central Kansas vicinity, and across parts of Oklahoma southward across much of Texas. Across the Nebraska and Kansas region, a couple of supercell storms persist across western Kansas, while additional convection continues to develop across east-central Colorado. Upscale growth/expansion of the Colorado storms is expected with time in response to a strengthening low-level jet, spreading eastward across southern Nebraska/northern Kansas into the overnight hours. Hail should become the primary severe threat with much of the convection well north of the surface boundary, but locally strong/damaging wind gusts may also occur. Farther south across Texas, a broken band of severe/supercell storms is ongoing from northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle so the South Plains, in the vicinity of a retreating dryline. Recent reports of severe weather including a tornado near Turkey have been received, and expect risk for very large hail and locally damaging wind gusts, along with a couple of tornadoes, to continue this evening. With time, upscale growth of this convection is expected, in conjunction with the strengthening of the low-level jet, spreading eastward with time along with ongoing severe risk into the overnight hours. Other clusters of strong/severe storms are occurring in the Concho Valley vicinity, over the Hill country, and portions of the Piney Woods region. This convection may also persist/spread eastward with time in the broad warm-advection regime, along with local risk for hail/wind this evening and overnight. ..Goss.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0809 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AREA OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... All-hazards severe-weather risk will continue this evening and into the overnight hours across portions of the central and southern Plains. ...Central and southern Plains... Widely scattered thunderstorms continue this evening across a broad portion of the central third of the CONUS. For the remainder of the period, two primary areas for severe-weather risk will include the southern Nebraska/northern and central Kansas vicinity, and across parts of Oklahoma southward across much of Texas. Across the Nebraska and Kansas region, a couple of supercell storms persist across western Kansas, while additional convection continues to develop across east-central Colorado. Upscale growth/expansion of the Colorado storms is expected with time in response to a strengthening low-level jet, spreading eastward across southern Nebraska/northern Kansas into the overnight hours. Hail should become the primary severe threat with much of the convection well north of the surface boundary, but locally strong/damaging wind gusts may also occur. Farther south across Texas, a broken band of severe/supercell storms is ongoing from northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle so the South Plains, in the vicinity of a retreating dryline. Recent reports of severe weather including a tornado near Turkey have been received, and expect risk for very large hail and locally damaging wind gusts, along with a couple of tornadoes, to continue this evening. With time, upscale growth of this convection is expected, in conjunction with the strengthening of the low-level jet, spreading eastward with time along with ongoing severe risk into the overnight hours. Other clusters of strong/severe storms are occurring in the Concho Valley vicinity, over the Hill country, and portions of the Piney Woods region. This convection may also persist/spread eastward with time in the broad warm-advection regime, along with local risk for hail/wind this evening and overnight. ..Goss.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0809 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AREA OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... All-hazards severe-weather risk will continue this evening and into the overnight hours across portions of the central and southern Plains. ...Central and southern Plains... Widely scattered thunderstorms continue this evening across a broad portion of the central third of the CONUS. For the remainder of the period, two primary areas for severe-weather risk will include the southern Nebraska/northern and central Kansas vicinity, and across parts of Oklahoma southward across much of Texas. Across the Nebraska and Kansas region, a couple of supercell storms persist across western Kansas, while additional convection continues to develop across east-central Colorado. Upscale growth/expansion of the Colorado storms is expected with time in response to a strengthening low-level jet, spreading eastward across southern Nebraska/northern Kansas into the overnight hours. Hail should become the primary severe threat with much of the convection well north of the surface boundary, but locally strong/damaging wind gusts may also occur. Farther south across Texas, a broken band of severe/supercell storms is ongoing from northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle so the South Plains, in the vicinity of a retreating dryline. Recent reports of severe weather including a tornado near Turkey have been received, and expect risk for very large hail and locally damaging wind gusts, along with a couple of tornadoes, to continue this evening. With time, upscale growth of this convection is expected, in conjunction with the strengthening of the low-level jet, spreading eastward with time along with ongoing severe risk into the overnight hours. Other clusters of strong/severe storms are occurring in the Concho Valley vicinity, over the Hill country, and portions of the Piney Woods region. This convection may also persist/spread eastward with time in the broad warm-advection regime, along with local risk for hail/wind this evening and overnight. ..Goss.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0809 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AREA OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... All-hazards severe-weather risk will continue this evening and into the overnight hours across portions of the central and southern Plains. ...Central and southern Plains... Widely scattered thunderstorms continue this evening across a broad portion of the central third of the CONUS. For the remainder of the period, two primary areas for severe-weather risk will include the southern Nebraska/northern and central Kansas vicinity, and across parts of Oklahoma southward across much of Texas. Across the Nebraska and Kansas region, a couple of supercell storms persist across western Kansas, while additional convection continues to develop across east-central Colorado. Upscale growth/expansion of the Colorado storms is expected with time in response to a strengthening low-level jet, spreading eastward across southern Nebraska/northern Kansas into the overnight hours. Hail should become the primary severe threat with much of the convection well north of the surface boundary, but locally strong/damaging wind gusts may also occur. Farther south across Texas, a broken band of severe/supercell storms is ongoing from northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle so the South Plains, in the vicinity of a retreating dryline. Recent reports of severe weather including a tornado near Turkey have been received, and expect risk for very large hail and locally damaging wind gusts, along with a couple of tornadoes, to continue this evening. With time, upscale growth of this convection is expected, in conjunction with the strengthening of the low-level jet, spreading eastward with time along with ongoing severe risk into the overnight hours. Other clusters of strong/severe storms are occurring in the Concho Valley vicinity, over the Hill country, and portions of the Piney Woods region. This convection may also persist/spread eastward with time in the broad warm-advection regime, along with local risk for hail/wind this evening and overnight. ..Goss.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0809 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AREA OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... All-hazards severe-weather risk will continue this evening and into the overnight hours across portions of the central and southern Plains. ...Central and southern Plains... Widely scattered thunderstorms continue this evening across a broad portion of the central third of the CONUS. For the remainder of the period, two primary areas for severe-weather risk will include the southern Nebraska/northern and central Kansas vicinity, and across parts of Oklahoma southward across much of Texas. Across the Nebraska and Kansas region, a couple of supercell storms persist across western Kansas, while additional convection continues to develop across east-central Colorado. Upscale growth/expansion of the Colorado storms is expected with time in response to a strengthening low-level jet, spreading eastward across southern Nebraska/northern Kansas into the overnight hours. Hail should become the primary severe threat with much of the convection well north of the surface boundary, but locally strong/damaging wind gusts may also occur. Farther south across Texas, a broken band of severe/supercell storms is ongoing from northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle so the South Plains, in the vicinity of a retreating dryline. Recent reports of severe weather including a tornado near Turkey have been received, and expect risk for very large hail and locally damaging wind gusts, along with a couple of tornadoes, to continue this evening. With time, upscale growth of this convection is expected, in conjunction with the strengthening of the low-level jet, spreading eastward with time along with ongoing severe risk into the overnight hours. Other clusters of strong/severe storms are occurring in the Concho Valley vicinity, over the Hill country, and portions of the Piney Woods region. This convection may also persist/spread eastward with time in the broad warm-advection regime, along with local risk for hail/wind this evening and overnight. ..Goss.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0809 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AREA OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... All-hazards severe-weather risk will continue this evening and into the overnight hours across portions of the central and southern Plains. ...Central and southern Plains... Widely scattered thunderstorms continue this evening across a broad portion of the central third of the CONUS. For the remainder of the period, two primary areas for severe-weather risk will include the southern Nebraska/northern and central Kansas vicinity, and across parts of Oklahoma southward across much of Texas. Across the Nebraska and Kansas region, a couple of supercell storms persist across western Kansas, while additional convection continues to develop across east-central Colorado. Upscale growth/expansion of the Colorado storms is expected with time in response to a strengthening low-level jet, spreading eastward across southern Nebraska/northern Kansas into the overnight hours. Hail should become the primary severe threat with much of the convection well north of the surface boundary, but locally strong/damaging wind gusts may also occur. Farther south across Texas, a broken band of severe/supercell storms is ongoing from northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle so the South Plains, in the vicinity of a retreating dryline. Recent reports of severe weather including a tornado near Turkey have been received, and expect risk for very large hail and locally damaging wind gusts, along with a couple of tornadoes, to continue this evening. With time, upscale growth of this convection is expected, in conjunction with the strengthening of the low-level jet, spreading eastward with time along with ongoing severe risk into the overnight hours. Other clusters of strong/severe storms are occurring in the Concho Valley vicinity, over the Hill country, and portions of the Piney Woods region. This convection may also persist/spread eastward with time in the broad warm-advection regime, along with local risk for hail/wind this evening and overnight. ..Goss.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0809 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AREA OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... All-hazards severe-weather risk will continue this evening and into the overnight hours across portions of the central and southern Plains. ...Central and southern Plains... Widely scattered thunderstorms continue this evening across a broad portion of the central third of the CONUS. For the remainder of the period, two primary areas for severe-weather risk will include the southern Nebraska/northern and central Kansas vicinity, and across parts of Oklahoma southward across much of Texas. Across the Nebraska and Kansas region, a couple of supercell storms persist across western Kansas, while additional convection continues to develop across east-central Colorado. Upscale growth/expansion of the Colorado storms is expected with time in response to a strengthening low-level jet, spreading eastward across southern Nebraska/northern Kansas into the overnight hours. Hail should become the primary severe threat with much of the convection well north of the surface boundary, but locally strong/damaging wind gusts may also occur. Farther south across Texas, a broken band of severe/supercell storms is ongoing from northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle so the South Plains, in the vicinity of a retreating dryline. Recent reports of severe weather including a tornado near Turkey have been received, and expect risk for very large hail and locally damaging wind gusts, along with a couple of tornadoes, to continue this evening. With time, upscale growth of this convection is expected, in conjunction with the strengthening of the low-level jet, spreading eastward with time along with ongoing severe risk into the overnight hours. Other clusters of strong/severe storms are occurring in the Concho Valley vicinity, over the Hill country, and portions of the Piney Woods region. This convection may also persist/spread eastward with time in the broad warm-advection regime, along with local risk for hail/wind this evening and overnight. ..Goss.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0809 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AREA OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... All-hazards severe-weather risk will continue this evening and into the overnight hours across portions of the central and southern Plains. ...Central and southern Plains... Widely scattered thunderstorms continue this evening across a broad portion of the central third of the CONUS. For the remainder of the period, two primary areas for severe-weather risk will include the southern Nebraska/northern and central Kansas vicinity, and across parts of Oklahoma southward across much of Texas. Across the Nebraska and Kansas region, a couple of supercell storms persist across western Kansas, while additional convection continues to develop across east-central Colorado. Upscale growth/expansion of the Colorado storms is expected with time in response to a strengthening low-level jet, spreading eastward across southern Nebraska/northern Kansas into the overnight hours. Hail should become the primary severe threat with much of the convection well north of the surface boundary, but locally strong/damaging wind gusts may also occur. Farther south across Texas, a broken band of severe/supercell storms is ongoing from northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle so the South Plains, in the vicinity of a retreating dryline. Recent reports of severe weather including a tornado near Turkey have been received, and expect risk for very large hail and locally damaging wind gusts, along with a couple of tornadoes, to continue this evening. With time, upscale growth of this convection is expected, in conjunction with the strengthening of the low-level jet, spreading eastward with time along with ongoing severe risk into the overnight hours. Other clusters of strong/severe storms are occurring in the Concho Valley vicinity, over the Hill country, and portions of the Piney Woods region. This convection may also persist/spread eastward with time in the broad warm-advection regime, along with local risk for hail/wind this evening and overnight. ..Goss.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0809 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AREA OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... All-hazards severe-weather risk will continue this evening and into the overnight hours across portions of the central and southern Plains. ...Central and southern Plains... Widely scattered thunderstorms continue this evening across a broad portion of the central third of the CONUS. For the remainder of the period, two primary areas for severe-weather risk will include the southern Nebraska/northern and central Kansas vicinity, and across parts of Oklahoma southward across much of Texas. Across the Nebraska and Kansas region, a couple of supercell storms persist across western Kansas, while additional convection continues to develop across east-central Colorado. Upscale growth/expansion of the Colorado storms is expected with time in response to a strengthening low-level jet, spreading eastward across southern Nebraska/northern Kansas into the overnight hours. Hail should become the primary severe threat with much of the convection well north of the surface boundary, but locally strong/damaging wind gusts may also occur. Farther south across Texas, a broken band of severe/supercell storms is ongoing from northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle so the South Plains, in the vicinity of a retreating dryline. Recent reports of severe weather including a tornado near Turkey have been received, and expect risk for very large hail and locally damaging wind gusts, along with a couple of tornadoes, to continue this evening. With time, upscale growth of this convection is expected, in conjunction with the strengthening of the low-level jet, spreading eastward with time along with ongoing severe risk into the overnight hours. Other clusters of strong/severe storms are occurring in the Concho Valley vicinity, over the Hill country, and portions of the Piney Woods region. This convection may also persist/spread eastward with time in the broad warm-advection regime, along with local risk for hail/wind this evening and overnight. ..Goss.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0809 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AREA OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... All-hazards severe-weather risk will continue this evening and into the overnight hours across portions of the central and southern Plains. ...Central and southern Plains... Widely scattered thunderstorms continue this evening across a broad portion of the central third of the CONUS. For the remainder of the period, two primary areas for severe-weather risk will include the southern Nebraska/northern and central Kansas vicinity, and across parts of Oklahoma southward across much of Texas. Across the Nebraska and Kansas region, a couple of supercell storms persist across western Kansas, while additional convection continues to develop across east-central Colorado. Upscale growth/expansion of the Colorado storms is expected with time in response to a strengthening low-level jet, spreading eastward across southern Nebraska/northern Kansas into the overnight hours. Hail should become the primary severe threat with much of the convection well north of the surface boundary, but locally strong/damaging wind gusts may also occur. Farther south across Texas, a broken band of severe/supercell storms is ongoing from northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle so the South Plains, in the vicinity of a retreating dryline. Recent reports of severe weather including a tornado near Turkey have been received, and expect risk for very large hail and locally damaging wind gusts, along with a couple of tornadoes, to continue this evening. With time, upscale growth of this convection is expected, in conjunction with the strengthening of the low-level jet, spreading eastward with time along with ongoing severe risk into the overnight hours. Other clusters of strong/severe storms are occurring in the Concho Valley vicinity, over the Hill country, and portions of the Piney Woods region. This convection may also persist/spread eastward with time in the broad warm-advection regime, along with local risk for hail/wind this evening and overnight. ..Goss.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0809 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AREA OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... All-hazards severe-weather risk will continue this evening and into the overnight hours across portions of the central and southern Plains. ...Central and southern Plains... Widely scattered thunderstorms continue this evening across a broad portion of the central third of the CONUS. For the remainder of the period, two primary areas for severe-weather risk will include the southern Nebraska/northern and central Kansas vicinity, and across parts of Oklahoma southward across much of Texas. Across the Nebraska and Kansas region, a couple of supercell storms persist across western Kansas, while additional convection continues to develop across east-central Colorado. Upscale growth/expansion of the Colorado storms is expected with time in response to a strengthening low-level jet, spreading eastward across southern Nebraska/northern Kansas into the overnight hours. Hail should become the primary severe threat with much of the convection well north of the surface boundary, but locally strong/damaging wind gusts may also occur. Farther south across Texas, a broken band of severe/supercell storms is ongoing from northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle so the South Plains, in the vicinity of a retreating dryline. Recent reports of severe weather including a tornado near Turkey have been received, and expect risk for very large hail and locally damaging wind gusts, along with a couple of tornadoes, to continue this evening. With time, upscale growth of this convection is expected, in conjunction with the strengthening of the low-level jet, spreading eastward with time along with ongoing severe risk into the overnight hours. Other clusters of strong/severe storms are occurring in the Concho Valley vicinity, over the Hill country, and portions of the Piney Woods region. This convection may also persist/spread eastward with time in the broad warm-advection regime, along with local risk for hail/wind this evening and overnight. ..Goss.. 05/02/2024 Read more