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MD 1004 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY FOR WESTERN/MIDDLE TN
Mesoscale Discussion 1004 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0939 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Areas affected...Western/Middle TN Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 270239Z - 270415Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Ongoing convective line will continue to pose a risk for damaging gusts and tornadoes as it moves into TN, and a Tornado Watch will be issued soon. DISCUSSION...Ongoing convective line continues to push southeastward across western KY and the MO Bootheel. Portion of this line moving across far southwest KY is moving at around 45 kt, which will bring it to the south-central KY/middle TN around 0300Z. Strong buoyancy and shear already in place suggest the line will maintain its intensity as it continues southeastward into the region. Damaging gusts will be the primary risk, but the strong low-level veering with height sampled by the 00Z BNA sounding and recent OHX VAD suggests some QLCS tornado potential as well, particularly with the central portions of the line which could be oriented more orthogonal to the deep-layer flow. Given the anticipated threat, a Tornado Watch is being issued. ..Mosier/Smith.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG... LAT...LON 35808918 36658724 36448514 35108649 35008955 35239021 35808918 Read more

WW 0328 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 328 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...MEG...LZK... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 328 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC021-031-035-037-055-067-077-085-093-095-111-117-123-145-147- 270440- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS GREENE JACKSON LEE LONOKE MISSISSIPPI MONROE POINSETT PRAIRIE ST. FRANCIS WHITE WOODRUFF MSC009-033-093-137-143-270440- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON DESOTO MARSHALL TATE TUNICA MOC069-155-270440- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

MD 1002 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 320... FOR CENTRAL/EAST-CENTRAL INTO NORTHEAST AR
Mesoscale Discussion 1002 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0926 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Areas affected...Central/East-Central into Northeast AR Concerning...Tornado Watch 320... Valid 270226Z - 270400Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 320 continues. SUMMARY...New development may occur across central/east-central into northeast AR. The environment is supportive of supercells and convective trends are be monitored closely. An expansion of ongoing Tornado Watches or a new Tornado Watch may be needed if trends merit. DISCUSSION...Recent satellite imagery shows greater vertical development within the cumulus over central AR, with radar returns increasing in this area as well. This appears to be related to a modest area of low-level confluence ahead of the primary wind shift which remains farther northwest. The 00Z LZK sounding sampled a very unstable airmass, with MLCAPE over 3500 J/kg. Strong vertical shear extends across the region as well, with the 00Z LZK sounding sampling 55 kt of 0-6 km bulk shear and the recent LZK VAD sampling over 30 kt of 0-1 km bulk shear. These environmental conditions are more than sufficient for robust updrafts and supercells if dry-air entrainment can be overcome. Convective trends will be monitored closely and an expansion of ongoing Tornado Watches or a new Tornado Watch may be needed if trends merit. ..Mosier/Smith.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MEG...LZK... LAT...LON 35569188 36049089 35929002 35559011 34469069 34089188 34729292 35569188 Read more

WW 0326 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 326 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...MEG...HUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 326 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TNC001-003-007-009-011-013-015-021-023-025-027-031-035-037-039- 041-043-049-051-055-057-061-063-065-067-069-071-073-075-077-081- 083-085-087-089-093-099-101-103-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-119- 121-123-125-127-129-133-135-137-139-141-143-145-147-149-151-153- 155-159-161-165-167-169-173-175-177-181-185-187-189-270440- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON BEDFORD BLEDSOE BLOUNT BRADLEY CAMPBELL CANNON CHEATHAM CHESTER CLAIBORNE CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON DECATUR DE KALB DICKSON FENTRESS FRANKLIN GILES GRAINGER GRUNDY HAMBLEN HAMILTON HANCOCK HARDEMAN HARDIN HAWKINS HAYWOOD HENDERSON HICKMAN HOUSTON HUMPHREYS JACKSON JEFFERSON KNOX LAWRENCE LEWIS LINCOLN LOUDON MCMINN MCNAIRY MACON MADISON MARION MARSHALL MAURY MEIGS MONROE MONTGOMERY MOORE Read more

WW 0326 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 326 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...MEG...HUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 326 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TNC001-003-007-009-011-013-015-021-023-025-027-031-035-037-039- 041-043-049-051-055-057-061-063-065-067-069-071-073-075-077-081- 083-085-087-089-093-099-101-103-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-119- 121-123-125-127-129-133-135-137-139-141-143-145-147-149-151-153- 155-159-161-165-167-169-173-175-177-181-185-187-189-270440- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON BEDFORD BLEDSOE BLOUNT BRADLEY CAMPBELL CANNON CHEATHAM CHESTER CLAIBORNE CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON DECATUR DE KALB DICKSON FENTRESS FRANKLIN GILES GRAINGER GRUNDY HAMBLEN HAMILTON HANCOCK HARDEMAN HARDIN HAWKINS HAYWOOD HENDERSON HICKMAN HOUSTON HUMPHREYS JACKSON JEFFERSON KNOX LAWRENCE LEWIS LINCOLN LOUDON MCMINN MCNAIRY MACON MADISON MARION MARSHALL MAURY MEIGS MONROE MONTGOMERY MOORE Read more

WW 0327 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 327 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...JKL...RLX...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 327 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC029-077-115-137-155-270440- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DEARBORN JEFFERSON OHIO RIPLEY SWITZERLAND KYC005-011-013-015-017-021-023-025-037-041-043-045-049-051-063- 065-067-069-071-073-077-079-081-095-097-103-109-113-115-117-119- 121-125-127-129-131-133-135-137-147-151-153-159-161-165-167-173- 175-181-185-187-189-191-193-195-197-199-201-203-205-209-211-223- 231-235-237-239-270440- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON BATH BELL BOONE BOURBON BOYLE BRACKEN BREATHITT CAMPBELL CARROLL CARTER CASEY CLARK CLAY ELLIOTT ESTILL FAYETTE FLEMING FLOYD FRANKLIN GALLATIN GARRARD GRANT HARLAN Read more

WW 0327 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 327 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...JKL...RLX...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 327 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC029-077-115-137-155-270440- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DEARBORN JEFFERSON OHIO RIPLEY SWITZERLAND KYC005-011-013-015-017-021-023-025-037-041-043-045-049-051-063- 065-067-069-071-073-077-079-081-095-097-103-109-113-115-117-119- 121-125-127-129-131-133-135-137-147-151-153-159-161-165-167-173- 175-181-185-187-189-191-193-195-197-199-201-203-205-209-211-223- 231-235-237-239-270440- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON BATH BELL BOONE BOURBON BOYLE BRACKEN BREATHITT CAMPBELL CARROLL CARTER CASEY CLARK CLAY ELLIOTT ESTILL FAYETTE FLEMING FLOYD FRANKLIN GALLATIN GARRARD GRANT HARLAN Read more

WW 0324 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 324 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S PAH TO 35 S OWB TO 35 ESE OWB TO 20 W SDF TO 30 ESE IND. ..LYONS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...ILX...PAH...LMK...IND... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 324 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-003-009-029-031-047-053-057-061-085-087-093-099-111-123- 141-155-169-171-179-207-213-215-217-219-221-227-229-270440- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN BARREN BULLITT BUTLER CHRISTIAN CLINTON CUMBERLAND EDMONSON GRAYSON GREEN HARDIN HART JEFFERSON LARUE LOGAN MARION METCALFE MONROE NELSON RUSSELL SIMPSON SPENCER TAYLOR TODD TRIGG WARREN WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0324 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 324 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S PAH TO 35 S OWB TO 35 ESE OWB TO 20 W SDF TO 30 ESE IND. ..LYONS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...ILX...PAH...LMK...IND... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 324 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-003-009-029-031-047-053-057-061-085-087-093-099-111-123- 141-155-169-171-179-207-213-215-217-219-221-227-229-270440- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN BARREN BULLITT BUTLER CHRISTIAN CLINTON CUMBERLAND EDMONSON GRAYSON GREEN HARDIN HART JEFFERSON LARUE LOGAN MARION METCALFE MONROE NELSON RUSSELL SIMPSON SPENCER TAYLOR TODD TRIGG WARREN WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0323 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 323 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N SDF TO 50 E BMG TO 35 SE IND TO 20 ESE IND TO 5 NNE IND. WW 323 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 270400Z. ..LYONS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...ILX...IND... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 323 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC079-270400- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JENNINGS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0323 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 323 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N SDF TO 50 E BMG TO 35 SE IND TO 20 ESE IND TO 5 NNE IND. WW 323 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 270400Z. ..LYONS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...ILX...IND... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 323 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC079-270400- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JENNINGS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0323 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 323 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N SDF TO 50 E BMG TO 35 SE IND TO 20 ESE IND TO 5 NNE IND. WW 323 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 270400Z. ..LYONS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...ILX...IND... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 323 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC079-270400- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JENNINGS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0323 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 323 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N SDF TO 50 E BMG TO 35 SE IND TO 20 ESE IND TO 5 NNE IND. WW 323 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 270400Z. ..LYONS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...ILX...IND... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 323 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC079-270400- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JENNINGS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0323 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 323 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N SDF TO 50 E BMG TO 35 SE IND TO 20 ESE IND TO 5 NNE IND. WW 323 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 270400Z. ..LYONS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...ILX...IND... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 323 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC079-270400- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JENNINGS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0323 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 323 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N SDF TO 50 E BMG TO 35 SE IND TO 20 ESE IND TO 5 NNE IND. WW 323 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 270400Z. ..LYONS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...ILX...IND... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 323 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC079-270400- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JENNINGS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 323 SEVERE TSTM IL IN 262320Z - 270400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 323 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 720 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of East-Central Illinois South-Central Indiana * Effective this Sunday night from 720 PM until Midnight EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A band of thunderstorms is forecast to intensify across Illinois and move east into portions of central and southern Indiana during the evening. Damaging gusts will be the primary severe hazard, although large hail is possible before the evolving thunderstorm band becomes more extensive into the mid evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 30 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles west northwest of Mattoon IL to 60 miles east of Bloomington IN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 316...WW 317...WW 318...WW 319...WW 320...WW 321...WW 322... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 27035. ...Smith Read more

WW 0320 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 320 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W BVX TO 20 S POF TO 25 S CGI TO 10 SSE PAH TO 35 SSW OWB. ..LYONS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...LSX...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 320 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC063-075-270440- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE INDEPENDENCE LAWRENCE KYC035-039-075-083-105-139-157-270440- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALLOWAY CARLISLE FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN LIVINGSTON MARSHALL MOC133-143-270440- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID Read more

WW 0320 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 320 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W BVX TO 20 S POF TO 25 S CGI TO 10 SSE PAH TO 35 SSW OWB. ..LYONS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...LSX...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 320 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC063-075-270440- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE INDEPENDENCE LAWRENCE KYC035-039-075-083-105-139-157-270440- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALLOWAY CARLISLE FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN LIVINGSTON MARSHALL MOC133-143-270440- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID Read more

WW 0320 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 320 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W BVX TO 20 S POF TO 25 S CGI TO 10 SSE PAH TO 35 SSW OWB. ..LYONS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...LSX...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 320 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC063-075-270440- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE INDEPENDENCE LAWRENCE KYC035-039-075-083-105-139-157-270440- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALLOWAY CARLISLE FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN LIVINGSTON MARSHALL MOC133-143-270440- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID Read more

WW 0320 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 320 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W BVX TO 20 S POF TO 25 S CGI TO 10 SSE PAH TO 35 SSW OWB. ..LYONS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...LSX...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 320 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC063-075-270440- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE INDEPENDENCE LAWRENCE KYC035-039-075-083-105-139-157-270440- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALLOWAY CARLISLE FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN LIVINGSTON MARSHALL MOC133-143-270440- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID Read more