Aggregator

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... An upper low will meander over the Southwest as a mid-level trough amplifies over the eastern U.S. today, with northwest flow aloft prevailing everywhere east of the Mississippi River. As such, relatively cool conditions will prevail over much of the CONUS, with significant wildfire-spread potential expected to be limited over most locations. One exception may be central and eastern portions of the Florida Peninsula, where 10-15 mph sustained westerly surface winds, amid 25-35 percent RH, may overspread dry fuels during the afternoon, warranting Elevated highlights. A few other areas may also experience localized conditions favorable for wildfire growth. First, dry and occasionally breezy conditions may overlap modestly receptive fuels over parts of southeast Arizona into far southwestern New Mexico, which may promote locally Elevated fire concerns during the afternoon. Second, dry northerly surface winds will overspread the northern Plains behind the cold front, though any wildfire-spread that materializes should be localized given marginally receptive fuels. ..Squitieri.. 05/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... An upper low will meander over the Southwest as a mid-level trough amplifies over the eastern U.S. today, with northwest flow aloft prevailing everywhere east of the Mississippi River. As such, relatively cool conditions will prevail over much of the CONUS, with significant wildfire-spread potential expected to be limited over most locations. One exception may be central and eastern portions of the Florida Peninsula, where 10-15 mph sustained westerly surface winds, amid 25-35 percent RH, may overspread dry fuels during the afternoon, warranting Elevated highlights. A few other areas may also experience localized conditions favorable for wildfire growth. First, dry and occasionally breezy conditions may overlap modestly receptive fuels over parts of southeast Arizona into far southwestern New Mexico, which may promote locally Elevated fire concerns during the afternoon. Second, dry northerly surface winds will overspread the northern Plains behind the cold front, though any wildfire-spread that materializes should be localized given marginally receptive fuels. ..Squitieri.. 05/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... An upper low will meander over the Southwest as a mid-level trough amplifies over the eastern U.S. today, with northwest flow aloft prevailing everywhere east of the Mississippi River. As such, relatively cool conditions will prevail over much of the CONUS, with significant wildfire-spread potential expected to be limited over most locations. One exception may be central and eastern portions of the Florida Peninsula, where 10-15 mph sustained westerly surface winds, amid 25-35 percent RH, may overspread dry fuels during the afternoon, warranting Elevated highlights. A few other areas may also experience localized conditions favorable for wildfire growth. First, dry and occasionally breezy conditions may overlap modestly receptive fuels over parts of southeast Arizona into far southwestern New Mexico, which may promote locally Elevated fire concerns during the afternoon. Second, dry northerly surface winds will overspread the northern Plains behind the cold front, though any wildfire-spread that materializes should be localized given marginally receptive fuels. ..Squitieri.. 05/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... An upper low will meander over the Southwest as a mid-level trough amplifies over the eastern U.S. today, with northwest flow aloft prevailing everywhere east of the Mississippi River. As such, relatively cool conditions will prevail over much of the CONUS, with significant wildfire-spread potential expected to be limited over most locations. One exception may be central and eastern portions of the Florida Peninsula, where 10-15 mph sustained westerly surface winds, amid 25-35 percent RH, may overspread dry fuels during the afternoon, warranting Elevated highlights. A few other areas may also experience localized conditions favorable for wildfire growth. First, dry and occasionally breezy conditions may overlap modestly receptive fuels over parts of southeast Arizona into far southwestern New Mexico, which may promote locally Elevated fire concerns during the afternoon. Second, dry northerly surface winds will overspread the northern Plains behind the cold front, though any wildfire-spread that materializes should be localized given marginally receptive fuels. ..Squitieri.. 05/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... An upper low will meander over the Southwest as a mid-level trough amplifies over the eastern U.S. today, with northwest flow aloft prevailing everywhere east of the Mississippi River. As such, relatively cool conditions will prevail over much of the CONUS, with significant wildfire-spread potential expected to be limited over most locations. One exception may be central and eastern portions of the Florida Peninsula, where 10-15 mph sustained westerly surface winds, amid 25-35 percent RH, may overspread dry fuels during the afternoon, warranting Elevated highlights. A few other areas may also experience localized conditions favorable for wildfire growth. First, dry and occasionally breezy conditions may overlap modestly receptive fuels over parts of southeast Arizona into far southwestern New Mexico, which may promote locally Elevated fire concerns during the afternoon. Second, dry northerly surface winds will overspread the northern Plains behind the cold front, though any wildfire-spread that materializes should be localized given marginally receptive fuels. ..Squitieri.. 05/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... An upper low will meander over the Southwest as a mid-level trough amplifies over the eastern U.S. today, with northwest flow aloft prevailing everywhere east of the Mississippi River. As such, relatively cool conditions will prevail over much of the CONUS, with significant wildfire-spread potential expected to be limited over most locations. One exception may be central and eastern portions of the Florida Peninsula, where 10-15 mph sustained westerly surface winds, amid 25-35 percent RH, may overspread dry fuels during the afternoon, warranting Elevated highlights. A few other areas may also experience localized conditions favorable for wildfire growth. First, dry and occasionally breezy conditions may overlap modestly receptive fuels over parts of southeast Arizona into far southwestern New Mexico, which may promote locally Elevated fire concerns during the afternoon. Second, dry northerly surface winds will overspread the northern Plains behind the cold front, though any wildfire-spread that materializes should be localized given marginally receptive fuels. ..Squitieri.. 05/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... An upper low will meander over the Southwest as a mid-level trough amplifies over the eastern U.S. today, with northwest flow aloft prevailing everywhere east of the Mississippi River. As such, relatively cool conditions will prevail over much of the CONUS, with significant wildfire-spread potential expected to be limited over most locations. One exception may be central and eastern portions of the Florida Peninsula, where 10-15 mph sustained westerly surface winds, amid 25-35 percent RH, may overspread dry fuels during the afternoon, warranting Elevated highlights. A few other areas may also experience localized conditions favorable for wildfire growth. First, dry and occasionally breezy conditions may overlap modestly receptive fuels over parts of southeast Arizona into far southwestern New Mexico, which may promote locally Elevated fire concerns during the afternoon. Second, dry northerly surface winds will overspread the northern Plains behind the cold front, though any wildfire-spread that materializes should be localized given marginally receptive fuels. ..Squitieri.. 05/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... An upper low will meander over the Southwest as a mid-level trough amplifies over the eastern U.S. today, with northwest flow aloft prevailing everywhere east of the Mississippi River. As such, relatively cool conditions will prevail over much of the CONUS, with significant wildfire-spread potential expected to be limited over most locations. One exception may be central and eastern portions of the Florida Peninsula, where 10-15 mph sustained westerly surface winds, amid 25-35 percent RH, may overspread dry fuels during the afternoon, warranting Elevated highlights. A few other areas may also experience localized conditions favorable for wildfire growth. First, dry and occasionally breezy conditions may overlap modestly receptive fuels over parts of southeast Arizona into far southwestern New Mexico, which may promote locally Elevated fire concerns during the afternoon. Second, dry northerly surface winds will overspread the northern Plains behind the cold front, though any wildfire-spread that materializes should be localized given marginally receptive fuels. ..Squitieri.. 05/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... An upper low will meander over the Southwest as a mid-level trough amplifies over the eastern U.S. today, with northwest flow aloft prevailing everywhere east of the Mississippi River. As such, relatively cool conditions will prevail over much of the CONUS, with significant wildfire-spread potential expected to be limited over most locations. One exception may be central and eastern portions of the Florida Peninsula, where 10-15 mph sustained westerly surface winds, amid 25-35 percent RH, may overspread dry fuels during the afternoon, warranting Elevated highlights. A few other areas may also experience localized conditions favorable for wildfire growth. First, dry and occasionally breezy conditions may overlap modestly receptive fuels over parts of southeast Arizona into far southwestern New Mexico, which may promote locally Elevated fire concerns during the afternoon. Second, dry northerly surface winds will overspread the northern Plains behind the cold front, though any wildfire-spread that materializes should be localized given marginally receptive fuels. ..Squitieri.. 05/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0228 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0228 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0225 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 225 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N LFT TO 15 WSW HEZ TO 40 WNW PIB TO 30 NNE MEI TO 45 NNE MEI. ..BROYLES..05/10/24 ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 225 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MSC001-023-031-037-061-065-067-075-077-085-100740- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLARKE COVINGTON FRANKLIN JASPER JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LINCOLN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0225 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 225 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N LFT TO 15 WSW HEZ TO 40 WNW PIB TO 30 NNE MEI TO 45 NNE MEI. ..BROYLES..05/10/24 ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 225 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MSC001-023-031-037-061-065-067-075-077-085-100740- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLARKE COVINGTON FRANKLIN JASPER JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LINCOLN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0225 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 225 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N LFT TO 15 WSW HEZ TO 40 WNW PIB TO 30 NNE MEI TO 45 NNE MEI. ..BROYLES..05/10/24 ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 225 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MSC001-023-031-037-061-065-067-075-077-085-100740- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLARKE COVINGTON FRANKLIN JASPER JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LINCOLN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0225 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 225 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N LFT TO 15 WSW HEZ TO 40 WNW PIB TO 30 NNE MEI TO 45 NNE MEI. ..BROYLES..05/10/24 ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 225 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MSC001-023-031-037-061-065-067-075-077-085-100740- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLARKE COVINGTON FRANKLIN JASPER JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LINCOLN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0225 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 225 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N LFT TO 15 WSW HEZ TO 40 WNW PIB TO 30 NNE MEI TO 45 NNE MEI. ..BROYLES..05/10/24 ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 225 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MSC001-023-031-037-061-065-067-075-077-085-100740- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLARKE COVINGTON FRANKLIN JASPER JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LINCOLN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0225 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 225 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N LFT TO 15 WSW HEZ TO 40 WNW PIB TO 30 NNE MEI TO 45 NNE MEI. ..BROYLES..05/10/24 ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 225 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MSC001-023-031-037-061-065-067-075-077-085-100740- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLARKE COVINGTON FRANKLIN JASPER JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LINCOLN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 225 SEVERE TSTM LA MS TX 100115Z - 100800Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 225 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 815 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central Louisiana Central Mississippi Southeast Texas * Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 815 PM until 300 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter likely A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms over East Texas and northern Louisiana will develop eastward through the evening across the watch area, large hail is possible early, with an increasing risk of damaging winds as storms organize into lines. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 80 miles west of Fort Polk LA to 25 miles northeast of Meridian MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 221...WW 222...WW 223...WW 224... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27035. ...Hart Read more

WW 0226 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 226 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..05/10/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 226 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC001-005-011-013-021-023-025-031-035-039-041-045-047-051-053- 061-063-065-067-069-085-087-091-099-101-105-109-113-119-129-131- 100740- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUTAUGA BARBOUR BULLOCK BUTLER CHILTON CHOCTAW CLARKE COFFEE CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE DALLAS ELMORE ESCAMBIA GENEVA GREENE HALE HENRY HOUSTON LOWNDES MACON MARENGO MONROE MONTGOMERY PERRY PIKE RUSSELL SUMTER WASHINGTON WILCOX GAC037-053-061-099-215-239-243-259-273-307-100740- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE CLAY Read more

WW 0227 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 227 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..05/10/24 ATTN...WFO...LIX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 227 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC033-037-063-077-091-103-105-117-121-125-100740- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA LIVINGSTON POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA MSC005-045-047-059-109-113-147-157-100740- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AMITE HANCOCK HARRISON JACKSON PEARL RIVER PIKE WALTHALL WILKINSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1244 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE TRANS-PECOS AND FAR WEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms may occur Saturday across portions of the Trans-Pecos and Far West Texas. ...Synopsis... Southern-stream upper low is forecast to move eastward across the Four Corners and into the central Rockies on Saturday, devolving into an open wave as it does. Moderate mid-level flow will extend through the base of this wave, expanding eastward across northern Mexico and into TX. Surface lee troughing is anticipated ahead of this wave, with some northward expansion of a modified low-level moisture across the southern High Plains. A shortwave trough is also expected to progress through the northern stream, moving from its early morning position over Lower MI southeastward to the northern Mid-Atlantic by early Sunday morning. An associated surface low will move just ahead of the parent shortwave, while an attendant cold front moves across the OH and TN Valleys by Saturday evening and through the Mid-Atlantic by early Sunday morning. Isolated thunderstorms are possible along and ahead of this cold front as it moves across the OH Valley. A few stronger, convectively augmented gusts are possible within any deeper cores. ...Southern High Plains... Showers and thunderstorms will likely be ongoing across the region, within the broad warm-air advection regime ahead of the approaching shortwave trough. Buoyancy will be modest, but moderate vertical shear could still support a few updrafts capable of producing small hail. This area of precipitation will likely persist throughout the day, likely contributing to a fairly narrow warm sector between the rain-cooled airmass over much of the TX Panhandle and Permian Basin and the sharpening lee trough southeast NM and Far West TX. General expectation is for upper 50s/low 60s dewpoints to advect into the Trans-Pecos by the late afternoon, contributing to airmass destabilization amid filtered daytime heating. Ascent provided by a combination of modest upslope with convergence along surface lee trough and gradually increasing large-scale forcing should be enough to initiate a few storms within this destabilizing airmass. Strong vertical shear should result in updraft organization/supercells with any robust updrafts. Large hail and severe gusts are both possible with any supercells. High cloud bases and modest low-level shear should keep the tornado threat low, although not zero across much of the region. If a storm can persist farther east, better low-level flow and low-level moisture will be in place, contributing to a greater tornado potential. In general, coverage is expected to remain isolated, precluding the need for higher severe probabilities with this outlook. ..Mosier.. 05/10/2024 Read more