SPC Sep 26, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024 Valid 261300Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR COASTAL AREAS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA...GEORGIA...AND SOUTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Several tornadoes are expected today into tonight across the coastal Southeast in association with Hurricane Helene. The greatest threat is expected across parts of Florida into southeast Georgia, the Midlands and Low Country of South Carolina, and southern North Carolina. ...Florida/Georgia and the Carolinas... Hurricane Helene, centered 300-350 miles southwest of Tampa early this morning, will continue to move north-northeast and accelerate over the eastern/northeastern Gulf of Mexico today into tonight, with landfall expected in the Florida Big Bend region this evening. Consult National Hurricane Center forecasts and advisories for more track, intensity, and impact details. Related to Helene's large size and increasingly fast forward speed, an associated increase of low-level flow/shear will occur across the Florida Peninsula today, southeast Georgia and parts of South Carolina by afternoon, and eventually into parts of North Carolina tonight. Low-level shear (and moisture/buoyancy) is already supportive of a tornado risk in some areas regionally, reference 12z observed soundings from Miami and especially Tampa Bay. However, this tornado-supportive scenario will diurnally increase and expand north-northeastward regionally through the afternoon and evening. Low-level hodographs will become quite large, with 0-1 km SRH increasing into at least the 250-500 m2/s2 range. This will support tornado potential with any low-topped supercells that are able to develop and persist within Helene's rain bands. Some tornado potential will reach into parts of North Carolina later tonight. ..Guyer/Broyles.. 09/26/2024 Read more

SPC Sep 26, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024 Valid 261300Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR COASTAL AREAS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA...GEORGIA...AND SOUTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Several tornadoes are expected today into tonight across the coastal Southeast in association with Hurricane Helene. The greatest threat is expected across parts of Florida into southeast Georgia, the Midlands and Low Country of South Carolina, and southern North Carolina. ...Florida/Georgia and the Carolinas... Hurricane Helene, centered 300-350 miles southwest of Tampa early this morning, will continue to move north-northeast and accelerate over the eastern/northeastern Gulf of Mexico today into tonight, with landfall expected in the Florida Big Bend region this evening. Consult National Hurricane Center forecasts and advisories for more track, intensity, and impact details. Related to Helene's large size and increasingly fast forward speed, an associated increase of low-level flow/shear will occur across the Florida Peninsula today, southeast Georgia and parts of South Carolina by afternoon, and eventually into parts of North Carolina tonight. Low-level shear (and moisture/buoyancy) is already supportive of a tornado risk in some areas regionally, reference 12z observed soundings from Miami and especially Tampa Bay. However, this tornado-supportive scenario will diurnally increase and expand north-northeastward regionally through the afternoon and evening. Low-level hodographs will become quite large, with 0-1 km SRH increasing into at least the 250-500 m2/s2 range. This will support tornado potential with any low-topped supercells that are able to develop and persist within Helene's rain bands. Some tornado potential will reach into parts of North Carolina later tonight. ..Guyer/Broyles.. 09/26/2024 Read more

SPC Sep 26, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024 Valid 261300Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR COASTAL AREAS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA...GEORGIA...AND SOUTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Several tornadoes are expected today into tonight across the coastal Southeast in association with Hurricane Helene. The greatest threat is expected across parts of Florida into southeast Georgia, the Midlands and Low Country of South Carolina, and southern North Carolina. ...Florida/Georgia and the Carolinas... Hurricane Helene, centered 300-350 miles southwest of Tampa early this morning, will continue to move north-northeast and accelerate over the eastern/northeastern Gulf of Mexico today into tonight, with landfall expected in the Florida Big Bend region this evening. Consult National Hurricane Center forecasts and advisories for more track, intensity, and impact details. Related to Helene's large size and increasingly fast forward speed, an associated increase of low-level flow/shear will occur across the Florida Peninsula today, southeast Georgia and parts of South Carolina by afternoon, and eventually into parts of North Carolina tonight. Low-level shear (and moisture/buoyancy) is already supportive of a tornado risk in some areas regionally, reference 12z observed soundings from Miami and especially Tampa Bay. However, this tornado-supportive scenario will diurnally increase and expand north-northeastward regionally through the afternoon and evening. Low-level hodographs will become quite large, with 0-1 km SRH increasing into at least the 250-500 m2/s2 range. This will support tornado potential with any low-topped supercells that are able to develop and persist within Helene's rain bands. Some tornado potential will reach into parts of North Carolina later tonight. ..Guyer/Broyles.. 09/26/2024 Read more

SPC Sep 26, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024 Valid 261300Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR COASTAL AREAS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA...GEORGIA...AND SOUTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Several tornadoes are expected today into tonight across the coastal Southeast in association with Hurricane Helene. The greatest threat is expected across parts of Florida into southeast Georgia, the Midlands and Low Country of South Carolina, and southern North Carolina. ...Florida/Georgia and the Carolinas... Hurricane Helene, centered 300-350 miles southwest of Tampa early this morning, will continue to move north-northeast and accelerate over the eastern/northeastern Gulf of Mexico today into tonight, with landfall expected in the Florida Big Bend region this evening. Consult National Hurricane Center forecasts and advisories for more track, intensity, and impact details. Related to Helene's large size and increasingly fast forward speed, an associated increase of low-level flow/shear will occur across the Florida Peninsula today, southeast Georgia and parts of South Carolina by afternoon, and eventually into parts of North Carolina tonight. Low-level shear (and moisture/buoyancy) is already supportive of a tornado risk in some areas regionally, reference 12z observed soundings from Miami and especially Tampa Bay. However, this tornado-supportive scenario will diurnally increase and expand north-northeastward regionally through the afternoon and evening. Low-level hodographs will become quite large, with 0-1 km SRH increasing into at least the 250-500 m2/s2 range. This will support tornado potential with any low-topped supercells that are able to develop and persist within Helene's rain bands. Some tornado potential will reach into parts of North Carolina later tonight. ..Guyer/Broyles.. 09/26/2024 Read more

SPC Sep 26, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024 Valid 261300Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR COASTAL AREAS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA...GEORGIA...AND SOUTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Several tornadoes are expected today into tonight across the coastal Southeast in association with Hurricane Helene. The greatest threat is expected across parts of Florida into southeast Georgia, the Midlands and Low Country of South Carolina, and southern North Carolina. ...Florida/Georgia and the Carolinas... Hurricane Helene, centered 300-350 miles southwest of Tampa early this morning, will continue to move north-northeast and accelerate over the eastern/northeastern Gulf of Mexico today into tonight, with landfall expected in the Florida Big Bend region this evening. Consult National Hurricane Center forecasts and advisories for more track, intensity, and impact details. Related to Helene's large size and increasingly fast forward speed, an associated increase of low-level flow/shear will occur across the Florida Peninsula today, southeast Georgia and parts of South Carolina by afternoon, and eventually into parts of North Carolina tonight. Low-level shear (and moisture/buoyancy) is already supportive of a tornado risk in some areas regionally, reference 12z observed soundings from Miami and especially Tampa Bay. However, this tornado-supportive scenario will diurnally increase and expand north-northeastward regionally through the afternoon and evening. Low-level hodographs will become quite large, with 0-1 km SRH increasing into at least the 250-500 m2/s2 range. This will support tornado potential with any low-topped supercells that are able to develop and persist within Helene's rain bands. Some tornado potential will reach into parts of North Carolina later tonight. ..Guyer/Broyles.. 09/26/2024 Read more

SPC Sep 26, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024 Valid 261300Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR COASTAL AREAS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA...GEORGIA...AND SOUTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Several tornadoes are expected today into tonight across the coastal Southeast in association with Hurricane Helene. The greatest threat is expected across parts of Florida into southeast Georgia, the Midlands and Low Country of South Carolina, and southern North Carolina. ...Florida/Georgia and the Carolinas... Hurricane Helene, centered 300-350 miles southwest of Tampa early this morning, will continue to move north-northeast and accelerate over the eastern/northeastern Gulf of Mexico today into tonight, with landfall expected in the Florida Big Bend region this evening. Consult National Hurricane Center forecasts and advisories for more track, intensity, and impact details. Related to Helene's large size and increasingly fast forward speed, an associated increase of low-level flow/shear will occur across the Florida Peninsula today, southeast Georgia and parts of South Carolina by afternoon, and eventually into parts of North Carolina tonight. Low-level shear (and moisture/buoyancy) is already supportive of a tornado risk in some areas regionally, reference 12z observed soundings from Miami and especially Tampa Bay. However, this tornado-supportive scenario will diurnally increase and expand north-northeastward regionally through the afternoon and evening. Low-level hodographs will become quite large, with 0-1 km SRH increasing into at least the 250-500 m2/s2 range. This will support tornado potential with any low-topped supercells that are able to develop and persist within Helene's rain bands. Some tornado potential will reach into parts of North Carolina later tonight. ..Guyer/Broyles.. 09/26/2024 Read more

SPC Sep 26, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024 Valid 261300Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR COASTAL AREAS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA...GEORGIA...AND SOUTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Several tornadoes are expected today into tonight across the coastal Southeast in association with Hurricane Helene. The greatest threat is expected across parts of Florida into southeast Georgia, the Midlands and Low Country of South Carolina, and southern North Carolina. ...Florida/Georgia and the Carolinas... Hurricane Helene, centered 300-350 miles southwest of Tampa early this morning, will continue to move north-northeast and accelerate over the eastern/northeastern Gulf of Mexico today into tonight, with landfall expected in the Florida Big Bend region this evening. Consult National Hurricane Center forecasts and advisories for more track, intensity, and impact details. Related to Helene's large size and increasingly fast forward speed, an associated increase of low-level flow/shear will occur across the Florida Peninsula today, southeast Georgia and parts of South Carolina by afternoon, and eventually into parts of North Carolina tonight. Low-level shear (and moisture/buoyancy) is already supportive of a tornado risk in some areas regionally, reference 12z observed soundings from Miami and especially Tampa Bay. However, this tornado-supportive scenario will diurnally increase and expand north-northeastward regionally through the afternoon and evening. Low-level hodographs will become quite large, with 0-1 km SRH increasing into at least the 250-500 m2/s2 range. This will support tornado potential with any low-topped supercells that are able to develop and persist within Helene's rain bands. Some tornado potential will reach into parts of North Carolina later tonight. ..Guyer/Broyles.. 09/26/2024 Read more

SPC Sep 26, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024 Valid 261300Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR COASTAL AREAS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA...GEORGIA...AND SOUTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Several tornadoes are expected today into tonight across the coastal Southeast in association with Hurricane Helene. The greatest threat is expected across parts of Florida into southeast Georgia, the Midlands and Low Country of South Carolina, and southern North Carolina. ...Florida/Georgia and the Carolinas... Hurricane Helene, centered 300-350 miles southwest of Tampa early this morning, will continue to move north-northeast and accelerate over the eastern/northeastern Gulf of Mexico today into tonight, with landfall expected in the Florida Big Bend region this evening. Consult National Hurricane Center forecasts and advisories for more track, intensity, and impact details. Related to Helene's large size and increasingly fast forward speed, an associated increase of low-level flow/shear will occur across the Florida Peninsula today, southeast Georgia and parts of South Carolina by afternoon, and eventually into parts of North Carolina tonight. Low-level shear (and moisture/buoyancy) is already supportive of a tornado risk in some areas regionally, reference 12z observed soundings from Miami and especially Tampa Bay. However, this tornado-supportive scenario will diurnally increase and expand north-northeastward regionally through the afternoon and evening. Low-level hodographs will become quite large, with 0-1 km SRH increasing into at least the 250-500 m2/s2 range. This will support tornado potential with any low-topped supercells that are able to develop and persist within Helene's rain bands. Some tornado potential will reach into parts of North Carolina later tonight. ..Guyer/Broyles.. 09/26/2024 Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 683 Status Reports

9 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0683 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 683 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..09/26/24 ATTN...WFO...MLB...MFL...TBW...JAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 683 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC009-011-015-017-021-027-043-049-051-053-055-057-061-069-071- 075-081-083-085-086-087-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-111-115-117- 119-127-261340- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BREVARD BROWARD CHARLOTTE CITRUS COLLIER DESOTO GLADES HARDEE HENDRY HERNANDO HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH INDIAN RIVER LAKE LEE LEVY MANATEE MARION MARTIN MIAMI-DADE MONROE OKEECHOBEE ORANGE OSCEOLA PALM BEACH PASCO PINELLAS POLK ST. LUCIE SARASOTA SEMINOLE SUMTER VOLUSIA AMZ550-552-555-610-630-650-651-GMZ656-657-830-836-850-853-856- 261340- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 683 Status Reports

9 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0683 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 683 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..09/26/24 ATTN...WFO...MLB...MFL...TBW...JAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 683 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC009-011-015-017-021-027-043-049-051-053-055-057-061-069-071- 075-081-083-085-086-087-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-111-115-117- 119-127-261340- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BREVARD BROWARD CHARLOTTE CITRUS COLLIER DESOTO GLADES HARDEE HENDRY HERNANDO HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH INDIAN RIVER LAKE LEE LEVY MANATEE MARION MARTIN MIAMI-DADE MONROE OKEECHOBEE ORANGE OSCEOLA PALM BEACH PASCO PINELLAS POLK ST. LUCIE SARASOTA SEMINOLE SUMTER VOLUSIA AMZ550-552-555-610-630-650-651-GMZ656-657-830-836-850-853-856- 261340- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 683 Status Reports

9 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0683 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 683 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..09/26/24 ATTN...WFO...MLB...MFL...TBW...JAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 683 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC009-011-015-017-021-027-043-049-051-053-055-057-061-069-071- 075-081-083-085-086-087-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-111-115-117- 119-127-261340- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BREVARD BROWARD CHARLOTTE CITRUS COLLIER DESOTO GLADES HARDEE HENDRY HERNANDO HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH INDIAN RIVER LAKE LEE LEVY MANATEE MARION MARTIN MIAMI-DADE MONROE OKEECHOBEE ORANGE OSCEOLA PALM BEACH PASCO PINELLAS POLK ST. LUCIE SARASOTA SEMINOLE SUMTER VOLUSIA AMZ550-552-555-610-630-650-651-GMZ656-657-830-836-850-853-856- 261340- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 683 Status Reports

9 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0683 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 683 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..09/26/24 ATTN...WFO...MLB...MFL...TBW...JAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 683 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC009-011-015-017-021-027-043-049-051-053-055-057-061-069-071- 075-081-083-085-086-087-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-111-115-117- 119-127-261340- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BREVARD BROWARD CHARLOTTE CITRUS COLLIER DESOTO GLADES HARDEE HENDRY HERNANDO HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH INDIAN RIVER LAKE LEE LEVY MANATEE MARION MARTIN MIAMI-DADE MONROE OKEECHOBEE ORANGE OSCEOLA PALM BEACH PASCO PINELLAS POLK ST. LUCIE SARASOTA SEMINOLE SUMTER VOLUSIA AMZ550-552-555-610-630-650-651-GMZ656-657-830-836-850-853-856- 261340- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 683 Status Reports

9 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0683 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 683 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..09/26/24 ATTN...WFO...MLB...MFL...TBW...JAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 683 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC009-011-015-017-021-027-043-049-051-053-055-057-061-069-071- 075-081-083-085-086-087-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-111-115-117- 119-127-261340- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BREVARD BROWARD CHARLOTTE CITRUS COLLIER DESOTO GLADES HARDEE HENDRY HERNANDO HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH INDIAN RIVER LAKE LEE LEVY MANATEE MARION MARTIN MIAMI-DADE MONROE OKEECHOBEE ORANGE OSCEOLA PALM BEACH PASCO PINELLAS POLK ST. LUCIE SARASOTA SEMINOLE SUMTER VOLUSIA AMZ550-552-555-610-630-650-651-GMZ656-657-830-836-850-853-856- 261340- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 683 Status Reports

9 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0683 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 683 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..09/26/24 ATTN...WFO...MLB...MFL...TBW...JAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 683 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC009-011-015-017-021-027-043-049-051-053-055-057-061-069-071- 075-081-083-085-086-087-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-111-115-117- 119-127-261340- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BREVARD BROWARD CHARLOTTE CITRUS COLLIER DESOTO GLADES HARDEE HENDRY HERNANDO HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH INDIAN RIVER LAKE LEE LEVY MANATEE MARION MARTIN MIAMI-DADE MONROE OKEECHOBEE ORANGE OSCEOLA PALM BEACH PASCO PINELLAS POLK ST. LUCIE SARASOTA SEMINOLE SUMTER VOLUSIA AMZ550-552-555-610-630-650-651-GMZ656-657-830-836-850-853-856- 261340- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE Read more