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2 weeks 4 days ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0800 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025
Valid 250100Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEAST
COLORADO TO THE TX/OK PANHANDLE AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA...
...SUMMARY...
A few severe thunderstorms are expected to continue evening across
the southern/central High Plains spanning from eastern Colorado into
western Oklahoma. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are also
possible for a few more hours across portions of Pennsylvania and
New York.
...Discussion...
Several thunderstorms are ongoing across southeast Colorado where a
few hail and wind reports have been received. These storms are
expected to congeal into larger clusters. However, the severe threat
should only last for a few more hours while moderate instability
remains. However, decreasing instability and increasing inhibition
should limit the overall threat by later this evening. See MCD 2012
for additional discussion of this threat area.
A few severe storms have developed across western Oklahoma this
evening where 1000 to 1500 J/kg MLCAPE and moderate shear is
present. These storms should persist for at least a few more hours
with a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts. Increasing
inhibition should reduce the threat by later this evening. See MCD
2011 for additional discussion of the near-term threat across this
area.
..Bentley.. 08/25/2025
Read more
2 weeks 4 days ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0800 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025
Valid 250100Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEAST
COLORADO TO THE TX/OK PANHANDLE AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA...
...SUMMARY...
A few severe thunderstorms are expected to continue evening across
the southern/central High Plains spanning from eastern Colorado into
western Oklahoma. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are also
possible for a few more hours across portions of Pennsylvania and
New York.
...Discussion...
Several thunderstorms are ongoing across southeast Colorado where a
few hail and wind reports have been received. These storms are
expected to congeal into larger clusters. However, the severe threat
should only last for a few more hours while moderate instability
remains. However, decreasing instability and increasing inhibition
should limit the overall threat by later this evening. See MCD 2012
for additional discussion of this threat area.
A few severe storms have developed across western Oklahoma this
evening where 1000 to 1500 J/kg MLCAPE and moderate shear is
present. These storms should persist for at least a few more hours
with a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts. Increasing
inhibition should reduce the threat by later this evening. See MCD
2011 for additional discussion of the near-term threat across this
area.
..Bentley.. 08/25/2025
Read more
2 weeks 4 days ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0800 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025
Valid 250100Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEAST
COLORADO TO THE TX/OK PANHANDLE AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA...
...SUMMARY...
A few severe thunderstorms are expected to continue evening across
the southern/central High Plains spanning from eastern Colorado into
western Oklahoma. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are also
possible for a few more hours across portions of Pennsylvania and
New York.
...Discussion...
Several thunderstorms are ongoing across southeast Colorado where a
few hail and wind reports have been received. These storms are
expected to congeal into larger clusters. However, the severe threat
should only last for a few more hours while moderate instability
remains. However, decreasing instability and increasing inhibition
should limit the overall threat by later this evening. See MCD 2012
for additional discussion of this threat area.
A few severe storms have developed across western Oklahoma this
evening where 1000 to 1500 J/kg MLCAPE and moderate shear is
present. These storms should persist for at least a few more hours
with a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts. Increasing
inhibition should reduce the threat by later this evening. See MCD
2011 for additional discussion of the near-term threat across this
area.
..Bentley.. 08/25/2025
Read more
2 weeks 4 days ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0800 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025
Valid 250100Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEAST
COLORADO TO THE TX/OK PANHANDLE AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA...
...SUMMARY...
A few severe thunderstorms are expected to continue evening across
the southern/central High Plains spanning from eastern Colorado into
western Oklahoma. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are also
possible for a few more hours across portions of Pennsylvania and
New York.
...Discussion...
Several thunderstorms are ongoing across southeast Colorado where a
few hail and wind reports have been received. These storms are
expected to congeal into larger clusters. However, the severe threat
should only last for a few more hours while moderate instability
remains. However, decreasing instability and increasing inhibition
should limit the overall threat by later this evening. See MCD 2012
for additional discussion of this threat area.
A few severe storms have developed across western Oklahoma this
evening where 1000 to 1500 J/kg MLCAPE and moderate shear is
present. These storms should persist for at least a few more hours
with a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts. Increasing
inhibition should reduce the threat by later this evening. See MCD
2011 for additional discussion of the near-term threat across this
area.
..Bentley.. 08/25/2025
Read more
2 weeks 4 days ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0800 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025
Valid 250100Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEAST
COLORADO TO THE TX/OK PANHANDLE AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA...
...SUMMARY...
A few severe thunderstorms are expected to continue evening across
the southern/central High Plains spanning from eastern Colorado into
western Oklahoma. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are also
possible for a few more hours across portions of Pennsylvania and
New York.
...Discussion...
Several thunderstorms are ongoing across southeast Colorado where a
few hail and wind reports have been received. These storms are
expected to congeal into larger clusters. However, the severe threat
should only last for a few more hours while moderate instability
remains. However, decreasing instability and increasing inhibition
should limit the overall threat by later this evening. See MCD 2012
for additional discussion of this threat area.
A few severe storms have developed across western Oklahoma this
evening where 1000 to 1500 J/kg MLCAPE and moderate shear is
present. These storms should persist for at least a few more hours
with a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts. Increasing
inhibition should reduce the threat by later this evening. See MCD
2011 for additional discussion of the near-term threat across this
area.
..Bentley.. 08/25/2025
Read more
2 weeks 4 days ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0800 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025
Valid 250100Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEAST
COLORADO TO THE TX/OK PANHANDLE AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA...
...SUMMARY...
A few severe thunderstorms are expected to continue evening across
the southern/central High Plains spanning from eastern Colorado into
western Oklahoma. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are also
possible for a few more hours across portions of Pennsylvania and
New York.
...Discussion...
Several thunderstorms are ongoing across southeast Colorado where a
few hail and wind reports have been received. These storms are
expected to congeal into larger clusters. However, the severe threat
should only last for a few more hours while moderate instability
remains. However, decreasing instability and increasing inhibition
should limit the overall threat by later this evening. See MCD 2012
for additional discussion of this threat area.
A few severe storms have developed across western Oklahoma this
evening where 1000 to 1500 J/kg MLCAPE and moderate shear is
present. These storms should persist for at least a few more hours
with a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts. Increasing
inhibition should reduce the threat by later this evening. See MCD
2011 for additional discussion of the near-term threat across this
area.
..Bentley.. 08/25/2025
Read more
2 weeks 4 days ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0800 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025
Valid 250100Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEAST
COLORADO TO THE TX/OK PANHANDLE AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA...
...SUMMARY...
A few severe thunderstorms are expected to continue evening across
the southern/central High Plains spanning from eastern Colorado into
western Oklahoma. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are also
possible for a few more hours across portions of Pennsylvania and
New York.
...Discussion...
Several thunderstorms are ongoing across southeast Colorado where a
few hail and wind reports have been received. These storms are
expected to congeal into larger clusters. However, the severe threat
should only last for a few more hours while moderate instability
remains. However, decreasing instability and increasing inhibition
should limit the overall threat by later this evening. See MCD 2012
for additional discussion of this threat area.
A few severe storms have developed across western Oklahoma this
evening where 1000 to 1500 J/kg MLCAPE and moderate shear is
present. These storms should persist for at least a few more hours
with a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts. Increasing
inhibition should reduce the threat by later this evening. See MCD
2011 for additional discussion of the near-term threat across this
area.
..Bentley.. 08/25/2025
Read more
2 weeks 4 days ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0800 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025
Valid 250100Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEAST
COLORADO TO THE TX/OK PANHANDLE AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA...
...SUMMARY...
A few severe thunderstorms are expected to continue evening across
the southern/central High Plains spanning from eastern Colorado into
western Oklahoma. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are also
possible for a few more hours across portions of Pennsylvania and
New York.
...Discussion...
Several thunderstorms are ongoing across southeast Colorado where a
few hail and wind reports have been received. These storms are
expected to congeal into larger clusters. However, the severe threat
should only last for a few more hours while moderate instability
remains. However, decreasing instability and increasing inhibition
should limit the overall threat by later this evening. See MCD 2012
for additional discussion of this threat area.
A few severe storms have developed across western Oklahoma this
evening where 1000 to 1500 J/kg MLCAPE and moderate shear is
present. These storms should persist for at least a few more hours
with a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts. Increasing
inhibition should reduce the threat by later this evening. See MCD
2011 for additional discussion of the near-term threat across this
area.
..Bentley.. 08/25/2025
Read more
2 weeks 4 days ago
WW 0602 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 602
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W PUB TO
20 SE COS TO 30 WNW LIC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2011
..WEINMAN..08/25/25
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 602
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC011-017-025-041-061-063-073-089-099-101-250140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY
EL PASO KIOWA KIT CARSON
LINCOLN OTERO PROWERS
PUEBLO
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
2 weeks 4 days ago
WW 0603 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0603 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
2 weeks 4 days ago
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sun Aug 24 23:00:15 UTC 2025.
2 weeks 4 days ago
MD 2010 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND FAR SOUTHWEST KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 2010
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0357 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025
Areas affected...Portions of the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles into
northwest Oklahoma and far southwest Kansas
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 242057Z - 242300Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development across parts of the OK/TX
Panhandles into far northwest Oklahoma and far southwest Kansas
appears possible this afternoon. If initiation occurs, severe
hail/wind will be possible.
DISCUSSION...Recent GOES imagery and surface observations show slow
vertical development of cumulus along an outflow boundary draped
from northwest OK into southwest KS/eastern CO. Temperatures warming
into the low 90s and low/mid 80s on the warm and cool side of the
boundary (respectively) suggest that MLCIN continues to erode across
this region. Given that forcing for ascent is weak and largely tied
to the outflow boundary, it remains uncertain whether or not
sustained convective initiation will occur through peak heating.
However, the recent satellite and surface observation trends suggest
that this is a possibility. If sustained convection can develop, it
will mature within an environment characterized by around 1000-1500
J/kg MLCAPE and elongated hodographs featuring around 30-40 knots of
effective bulk shear per recent forecast soundings. Convective
coverage would likely be sufficiently isolated to promote
supercells, which may be capable of severe gusts and large hail
(possibly up to 2-2.5 inches). Enhanced near-surface vorticity along
the boundary and southeasterly flow/augmented low-level SRH to the
immediate east of the boundary may support some tornado threat.
While watch issuance is not expected due to uncertainty regarding
initiation, convective trends will be monitored.
..Moore/Gleason.. 08/24/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...AMA...
LAT...LON 37360138 37340108 37180076 36990037 36759992 36629953
36359938 36049950 35789972 35730004 35870044 36260117
36400138 36640159 36870169 37200167 37360138
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
Read more
2 weeks 4 days ago
WW 0602 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 602
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WEINMAN..08/24/25
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 602
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC011-017-025-041-061-063-073-089-099-101-242340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY
EL PASO KIOWA KIT CARSON
LINCOLN OTERO PROWERS
PUEBLO
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
2 weeks 4 days ago
WW 0602 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 602
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WEINMAN..08/24/25
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 602
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC011-017-025-041-061-063-073-089-099-101-242340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY
EL PASO KIOWA KIT CARSON
LINCOLN OTERO PROWERS
PUEBLO
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
2 weeks 4 days ago
WW 602 SEVERE TSTM CO 242055Z - 250300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 602
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
255 PM MDT Sun Aug 24 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Colorado
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until
900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Multiple supercells should continue to pose a threat for
mainly large hail up to 1-2 inches in diameter as they move slowly
south-southeastward across parts of eastern Colorado this afternoon
and evening. Occasional severe/damaging winds may also occur.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles west northwest
of Pueblo CO to 35 miles south southeast of Burlington CO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
35020.
...Gleason
Read more
2 weeks 4 days ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0433 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025
Valid 261200Z - 011200Z
Upper-level troughing is likely to continue over much of the West
this week but weaken from its peak this weekend. Weak upper-level
troughing is forecast to develop off the West Coast through mid-week
with an upper-level trough likely to approach the Northwest Day
5/Thursday. Monsoonal moisture will continue to push northward
through the Northwest and the Northern Rockies by Day 5/Thursday.
Daily wet thunderstorms and showers remain likely for much of the
southern/central Intermountain West, with wet thunderstorms and
wetting rain moving into central/north Idaho and western Montana Day
4/Wednesday - Day 5/Thursday. Drier air will begin to filter into
the West behind this monsoonal surge, mostly from west to east mid
to late week.
Mixed wet/dry thunderstorms over receptive fuels are possible in
portions of the Cascades, especially from northern Oregon northward,
and northern Rockies mainly north Idaho and northwest Montana.
Additionally, as drier air filters into portions of California and
the Great Basin, areas will be monitored for potential introduction
of dry thunderstorm probabilities. The main reason for not including
probabilities at this time is the uncertainty regarding the spatial
extent and magnitude of ongoing/upcoming wetting rain coupled with
thunderstorm chances away from these areas.
..Nauslar.. 08/24/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
2 weeks 4 days ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0433 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025
Valid 261200Z - 011200Z
Upper-level troughing is likely to continue over much of the West
this week but weaken from its peak this weekend. Weak upper-level
troughing is forecast to develop off the West Coast through mid-week
with an upper-level trough likely to approach the Northwest Day
5/Thursday. Monsoonal moisture will continue to push northward
through the Northwest and the Northern Rockies by Day 5/Thursday.
Daily wet thunderstorms and showers remain likely for much of the
southern/central Intermountain West, with wet thunderstorms and
wetting rain moving into central/north Idaho and western Montana Day
4/Wednesday - Day 5/Thursday. Drier air will begin to filter into
the West behind this monsoonal surge, mostly from west to east mid
to late week.
Mixed wet/dry thunderstorms over receptive fuels are possible in
portions of the Cascades, especially from northern Oregon northward,
and northern Rockies mainly north Idaho and northwest Montana.
Additionally, as drier air filters into portions of California and
the Great Basin, areas will be monitored for potential introduction
of dry thunderstorm probabilities. The main reason for not including
probabilities at this time is the uncertainty regarding the spatial
extent and magnitude of ongoing/upcoming wetting rain coupled with
thunderstorm chances away from these areas.
..Nauslar.. 08/24/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
2 weeks 4 days ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0433 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025
Valid 261200Z - 011200Z
Upper-level troughing is likely to continue over much of the West
this week but weaken from its peak this weekend. Weak upper-level
troughing is forecast to develop off the West Coast through mid-week
with an upper-level trough likely to approach the Northwest Day
5/Thursday. Monsoonal moisture will continue to push northward
through the Northwest and the Northern Rockies by Day 5/Thursday.
Daily wet thunderstorms and showers remain likely for much of the
southern/central Intermountain West, with wet thunderstorms and
wetting rain moving into central/north Idaho and western Montana Day
4/Wednesday - Day 5/Thursday. Drier air will begin to filter into
the West behind this monsoonal surge, mostly from west to east mid
to late week.
Mixed wet/dry thunderstorms over receptive fuels are possible in
portions of the Cascades, especially from northern Oregon northward,
and northern Rockies mainly north Idaho and northwest Montana.
Additionally, as drier air filters into portions of California and
the Great Basin, areas will be monitored for potential introduction
of dry thunderstorm probabilities. The main reason for not including
probabilities at this time is the uncertainty regarding the spatial
extent and magnitude of ongoing/upcoming wetting rain coupled with
thunderstorm chances away from these areas.
..Nauslar.. 08/24/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
2 weeks 4 days ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0433 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025
Valid 261200Z - 011200Z
Upper-level troughing is likely to continue over much of the West
this week but weaken from its peak this weekend. Weak upper-level
troughing is forecast to develop off the West Coast through mid-week
with an upper-level trough likely to approach the Northwest Day
5/Thursday. Monsoonal moisture will continue to push northward
through the Northwest and the Northern Rockies by Day 5/Thursday.
Daily wet thunderstorms and showers remain likely for much of the
southern/central Intermountain West, with wet thunderstorms and
wetting rain moving into central/north Idaho and western Montana Day
4/Wednesday - Day 5/Thursday. Drier air will begin to filter into
the West behind this monsoonal surge, mostly from west to east mid
to late week.
Mixed wet/dry thunderstorms over receptive fuels are possible in
portions of the Cascades, especially from northern Oregon northward,
and northern Rockies mainly north Idaho and northwest Montana.
Additionally, as drier air filters into portions of California and
the Great Basin, areas will be monitored for potential introduction
of dry thunderstorm probabilities. The main reason for not including
probabilities at this time is the uncertainty regarding the spatial
extent and magnitude of ongoing/upcoming wetting rain coupled with
thunderstorm chances away from these areas.
..Nauslar.. 08/24/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
2 weeks 4 days ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0433 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025
Valid 261200Z - 011200Z
Upper-level troughing is likely to continue over much of the West
this week but weaken from its peak this weekend. Weak upper-level
troughing is forecast to develop off the West Coast through mid-week
with an upper-level trough likely to approach the Northwest Day
5/Thursday. Monsoonal moisture will continue to push northward
through the Northwest and the Northern Rockies by Day 5/Thursday.
Daily wet thunderstorms and showers remain likely for much of the
southern/central Intermountain West, with wet thunderstorms and
wetting rain moving into central/north Idaho and western Montana Day
4/Wednesday - Day 5/Thursday. Drier air will begin to filter into
the West behind this monsoonal surge, mostly from west to east mid
to late week.
Mixed wet/dry thunderstorms over receptive fuels are possible in
portions of the Cascades, especially from northern Oregon northward,
and northern Rockies mainly north Idaho and northwest Montana.
Additionally, as drier air filters into portions of California and
the Great Basin, areas will be monitored for potential introduction
of dry thunderstorm probabilities. The main reason for not including
probabilities at this time is the uncertainty regarding the spatial
extent and magnitude of ongoing/upcoming wetting rain coupled with
thunderstorm chances away from these areas.
..Nauslar.. 08/24/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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