SPC Jun 18, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 AM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEAST MISSOURI INTO SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN AND WESTERN OHIO... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe storms are expected today from parts of southern Missouri northeastward into southern lower Michigan and western Ohio. Damaging winds, isolated hail, and a few tornadoes will be possible. More isolated severe storms may develop across the southern Plains. ...Midwest/Southern Great Lakes... A shortwave upper trough is forecast to move across the Mid-MS Valley and Midwest today. A swath of enhanced deep-layer southwesterly flow ahead of this feature will overspread portions of the Ozarks to the Ohio Valley and southern Great Lakes ahead of a surface front. A seasonally warm and moist airmass ahead of the front/composite outflow will support moderate destabilization. A surface low/MCV will develop northeast across central/northern IL to southern Lower MI during the afternoon into early evening. The current expectation is that thunderstorms will develop ahead of the surface low and front, with a mix of clusters and line segments. Midlevel lapse rates will remain modest, but isolated large hail is possible. More likely, damaging gusts will be the main hazard as linear convection develops ahead of the front. Tornado potential is possible near the surface low from portions of northeast IL into northern IN/southern Lower MI where low-level shear may be maximized. However, forecast guidance varies considerable regarding this scenario, so will maintain 5 percent tornado probabilities at this time. ...TX/OK to the Mid-South... A very moist and unstable airmass will be in place across the region. A northeast to southwest oriented outflow boundary related to an MCS that is currently ongoing across northern OK as of 06z this morning will be draped across the Red River/southern OK vicinity into the Ozarks. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop diurnally. Large-scale ascent will be nebulous, but supercell wind profiles and strong instability/steep lapse rates will support isolated damaging wind and hail potential. ...Northern Plains... Modest boundary layer moisture beneath steep midlevel lapse rates will support weak diurnal destabilization. Increasing west/northwesterly flow with height will provide sufficient shear for some storm organization and elongated/straight hodographs are indicated in forecast soundings. Furthermore, a deeply mixed boundary layer is evident. This should support isolated hail and strong gusts during the afternoon/early evening. ...Mid-Atlantic... Strong heating of a very moist airmass will support moderate destabilization. Deep-layer westerly flow will remain somewhat weak, but sufficient for multicell clusters. Strong gusts may accompany this activity. ..Leitman/Weinman.. 06/18/2025 Read more

SPC Jun 18, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 AM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEAST MISSOURI INTO SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN AND WESTERN OHIO... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe storms are expected today from parts of southern Missouri northeastward into southern lower Michigan and western Ohio. Damaging winds, isolated hail, and a few tornadoes will be possible. More isolated severe storms may develop across the southern Plains. ...Midwest/Southern Great Lakes... A shortwave upper trough is forecast to move across the Mid-MS Valley and Midwest today. A swath of enhanced deep-layer southwesterly flow ahead of this feature will overspread portions of the Ozarks to the Ohio Valley and southern Great Lakes ahead of a surface front. A seasonally warm and moist airmass ahead of the front/composite outflow will support moderate destabilization. A surface low/MCV will develop northeast across central/northern IL to southern Lower MI during the afternoon into early evening. The current expectation is that thunderstorms will develop ahead of the surface low and front, with a mix of clusters and line segments. Midlevel lapse rates will remain modest, but isolated large hail is possible. More likely, damaging gusts will be the main hazard as linear convection develops ahead of the front. Tornado potential is possible near the surface low from portions of northeast IL into northern IN/southern Lower MI where low-level shear may be maximized. However, forecast guidance varies considerable regarding this scenario, so will maintain 5 percent tornado probabilities at this time. ...TX/OK to the Mid-South... A very moist and unstable airmass will be in place across the region. A northeast to southwest oriented outflow boundary related to an MCS that is currently ongoing across northern OK as of 06z this morning will be draped across the Red River/southern OK vicinity into the Ozarks. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop diurnally. Large-scale ascent will be nebulous, but supercell wind profiles and strong instability/steep lapse rates will support isolated damaging wind and hail potential. ...Northern Plains... Modest boundary layer moisture beneath steep midlevel lapse rates will support weak diurnal destabilization. Increasing west/northwesterly flow with height will provide sufficient shear for some storm organization and elongated/straight hodographs are indicated in forecast soundings. Furthermore, a deeply mixed boundary layer is evident. This should support isolated hail and strong gusts during the afternoon/early evening. ...Mid-Atlantic... Strong heating of a very moist airmass will support moderate destabilization. Deep-layer westerly flow will remain somewhat weak, but sufficient for multicell clusters. Strong gusts may accompany this activity. ..Leitman/Weinman.. 06/18/2025 Read more

SPC Jun 18, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 AM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEAST MISSOURI INTO SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN AND WESTERN OHIO... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe storms are expected today from parts of southern Missouri northeastward into southern lower Michigan and western Ohio. Damaging winds, isolated hail, and a few tornadoes will be possible. More isolated severe storms may develop across the southern Plains. ...Midwest/Southern Great Lakes... A shortwave upper trough is forecast to move across the Mid-MS Valley and Midwest today. A swath of enhanced deep-layer southwesterly flow ahead of this feature will overspread portions of the Ozarks to the Ohio Valley and southern Great Lakes ahead of a surface front. A seasonally warm and moist airmass ahead of the front/composite outflow will support moderate destabilization. A surface low/MCV will develop northeast across central/northern IL to southern Lower MI during the afternoon into early evening. The current expectation is that thunderstorms will develop ahead of the surface low and front, with a mix of clusters and line segments. Midlevel lapse rates will remain modest, but isolated large hail is possible. More likely, damaging gusts will be the main hazard as linear convection develops ahead of the front. Tornado potential is possible near the surface low from portions of northeast IL into northern IN/southern Lower MI where low-level shear may be maximized. However, forecast guidance varies considerable regarding this scenario, so will maintain 5 percent tornado probabilities at this time. ...TX/OK to the Mid-South... A very moist and unstable airmass will be in place across the region. A northeast to southwest oriented outflow boundary related to an MCS that is currently ongoing across northern OK as of 06z this morning will be draped across the Red River/southern OK vicinity into the Ozarks. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop diurnally. Large-scale ascent will be nebulous, but supercell wind profiles and strong instability/steep lapse rates will support isolated damaging wind and hail potential. ...Northern Plains... Modest boundary layer moisture beneath steep midlevel lapse rates will support weak diurnal destabilization. Increasing west/northwesterly flow with height will provide sufficient shear for some storm organization and elongated/straight hodographs are indicated in forecast soundings. Furthermore, a deeply mixed boundary layer is evident. This should support isolated hail and strong gusts during the afternoon/early evening. ...Mid-Atlantic... Strong heating of a very moist airmass will support moderate destabilization. Deep-layer westerly flow will remain somewhat weak, but sufficient for multicell clusters. Strong gusts may accompany this activity. ..Leitman/Weinman.. 06/18/2025 Read more

SPC MD 1341

2 months 3 weeks ago
MD 1341 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 431... FOR NORTHERN/CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
Mesoscale Discussion 1341 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1034 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025 Areas affected...Northern/Central Oklahoma Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 431... Valid 180334Z - 180500Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 431 continues. SUMMARY...Severe winds are expected to become more widespread across portions of northern and central Oklahoma over the next few hours. Gusts in excess of 60-70kt are anticipated. DISCUSSION...Leading edge of large-scale support, associated with the central High Plains short-wave trough, appears to be influencing convection over northern OK this evening. LLJ is strengthening in response to this feature and VAD Profile from TLX supports this with very strong 0-3km SRH. 00z sounding from OUN exhibited around 3000 J/kg MLCAPE, but some capping was evident around 2km. Over the last few hours, convection has gradually expanded in coverage across northwestern OK and this activity is growing upscale rapidly within a very buoyant, and steep lapse rate environment. 2km capping favors MCS storm mode, and over the next hour or so a more pronounced MCS will evolve over north central OK. As this occurs, southern line segment may begin to surge which will likely generate severe winds, possibly in excess of 60kt. 50+kt gusts have already been reported and continued maturation should lead to potentially significant gusts, especially north of I-40. ..Darrow.. 06/18/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN... LAT...LON 36719771 36759640 35819629 35519790 36719771 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 431 Status Reports

2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0431 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 431 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SPC..06/18/25 ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...SGF...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 431 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC007-143-180540- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON WASHINGTON KSC001-011-015-019-021-035-037-049-073-077-099-125-133-191-205- 207-180540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN BOURBON BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE COWLEY CRAWFORD ELK GREENWOOD HARPER LABETTE MONTGOMERY NEOSHO SUMNER WILSON WOODSON MOC009-011-039-057-097-109-119-145-217-180540- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC MD 1340

2 months 3 weeks ago
MD 1340 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 430... FOR PARTS OF THE ROLLING PLAINS
Mesoscale Discussion 1340 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0848 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025 Areas affected...Parts of the Rolling Plains Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 430... Valid 180148Z - 180315Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 430 continues. SUMMARY...The risk of severe wind gusts and sporadic large hail continues across the Rolling Plains. DISCUSSION...A pair of organized thunderstorm clusters (with occasional supercellular structures) continue tracking slowly east-southeastward across the Rolling Plains. These storms have a history of producing severe wind gusts (measured 68 mph) and marginally severe hail. The MAF 00Z sounding (which should be generally representative of the near-storm environment) sampled steep deep-layer lapse rates, while the LBB VWP depicts a long/straight hodograph (around 45 kt of 0-6 km shear). This should support the maintenance of the ongoing storms, with a continued risk of severe wind gusts and sporadic large hail. While these storms will have a tendency of tracking southeastward out of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 430 with time, current thinking is that increased inhibition at the base of the EML will eventually lead to weakening with southeastward extent. Therefore, a new watch is not currently expected, though convective trends are being monitored. ..Weinman.. 06/18/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF... LAT...LON 33330203 34200104 34340066 34310022 34059984 33649981 33130021 32610122 32710175 32950199 33330203 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

SPC MD 1339

2 months 3 weeks ago
MD 1339 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 429... FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN KS...NORTHERN OK...FAR SOUTHWEST MO...AND FAR NORTHWEST AR
Mesoscale Discussion 1339 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0813 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025 Areas affected...Parts of southern KS...northern OK...far southwest MO...and far northwest AR Concerning...Tornado Watch 429... Valid 180113Z - 180315Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 429 continues. SUMMARY...A general increase in thunderstorm coverage is expected across the area during the next several hours. One or more MCSs may evolve out of this activity, posing a risk of scattered severe wind gusts. A new watch will likely be issued before 03Z to replace Tornado Watch 429. DISCUSSION...A persistent upscale-growing supercell cluster continues tracking east-southeastward along the KS/OK border -- along the immediate cool side of a large-scale outflow boundary extending across northern OK. These storms should continue moving along a related east/west-oriented instability gradient, where around 60 kt of 0-6 km shear (per nearby VWP) and ample low-level hodograph curvature will continue to support large hail, severe wind gusts, and possibly an embedded tornado. Farther west, an intense semi-discrete supercell is moving southeastward over far northwest OK and the northeastern TX Panhandle. Very strong surface-based instability and a large clockwise-curved hodograph (around 300 m2/s2 effective SRH) will continue to favor a risk of tornadoes (some possibly strong) and large hail in the near-term. Over the next several hours, a general increase in thunderstorm coverage is expected along outflow boundaries, as a midlevel wave (evident in water-vapor imagery) moves into the region. While overall convective evolution is uncertain, a strongly unstable air mass remains in place along/south of the large-scale outflow boundary in northern OK/southern KS (see OUN 00Z sounding). This, combined with the increasing large-scale ascent and a focused low-level jet, should support the development of one or more organized MCSs -- capable of producing scattered severe wind gusts. A new watch will likely be issued prior to the expiration of Tornado Watch 429 at 03Z. ..Weinman/Mosier.. 06/18/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA... LAT...LON 35389951 35570005 35890028 36310030 36810019 37549949 37789888 38089768 38159659 37979525 37549427 37009392 36499412 36089458 35699528 35459663 35389951 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 430 Status Reports

2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0430 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 430 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WNW LBB TO 20 WSW CDS TO 40 NNE CDS. ..SPC..06/18/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 430 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC075-101-107-125-169-269-303-305-345-180340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHILDRESS COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS GARZA KING LUBBOCK LYNN MOTLEY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 430 Status Reports

2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0430 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 430 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WNW LBB TO 20 WSW CDS TO 40 NNE CDS. ..SPC..06/18/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 430 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC075-101-107-125-169-269-303-305-345-180340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHILDRESS COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS GARZA KING LUBBOCK LYNN MOTLEY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 430 Status Reports

2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0430 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 430 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WNW LBB TO 20 WSW CDS TO 40 NNE CDS. ..SPC..06/18/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 430 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC075-101-107-125-169-269-303-305-345-180340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHILDRESS COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS GARZA KING LUBBOCK LYNN MOTLEY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 430 Status Reports

2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0430 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 430 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WNW LBB TO 20 WSW CDS TO 40 NNE CDS. ..SPC..06/18/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 430 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC075-101-107-125-169-269-303-305-345-180340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHILDRESS COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS GARZA KING LUBBOCK LYNN MOTLEY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 430 Status Reports

2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0430 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 430 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WNW LBB TO 20 WSW CDS TO 40 NNE CDS. ..SPC..06/18/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 430 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC075-101-107-125-169-269-303-305-345-180340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHILDRESS COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS GARZA KING LUBBOCK LYNN MOTLEY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 430 Status Reports

2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0430 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 430 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WNW LBB TO 20 WSW CDS TO 40 NNE CDS. ..SPC..06/18/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 430 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC075-101-107-125-169-269-303-305-345-180340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHILDRESS COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS GARZA KING LUBBOCK LYNN MOTLEY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 430

2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 430 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 172305Z - 180400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 430 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 605 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southwest Oklahoma Texas South Plains into Northwest Texas * Effective this Tuesday evening from 605 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is anticipated across the Texas South Plains this afternoon. High storm bases and a deeply mixed boundary layer suggest that some of these storms could produce strong outflow capable of strong/severe gusts. Isolated hail is possible as well, particularly with the early-stage development. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles west of Lubbock TX to 40 miles east northeast of Altus OK. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 429... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Mosier Read more

SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

2 months 3 weeks ago
Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1134 AM CDT TUE JUN 17 2025 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the central and southern Plains this afternoon and tonight... * LOCATIONS... Southern Kansas Northern Oklahoma Northeast Texas Panhandle * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force A couple of tornadoes Scattered large hail, some baseball size * SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms producing numerous to widespread damaging winds, scattered large hail (isolated 2+ inches), and a few tornadoes are expected this afternoon and evening across parts of the central/southern Plains. The greatest threat for destructive gusts up to 70-100 mph is forecast across portions of southern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. && Read more

SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

2 months 3 weeks ago
Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1134 AM CDT TUE JUN 17 2025 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the central and southern Plains this afternoon and tonight... * LOCATIONS... Southern Kansas Northern Oklahoma Northeast Texas Panhandle * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force A couple of tornadoes Scattered large hail, some baseball size * SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms producing numerous to widespread damaging winds, scattered large hail (isolated 2+ inches), and a few tornadoes are expected this afternoon and evening across parts of the central/southern Plains. The greatest threat for destructive gusts up to 70-100 mph is forecast across portions of southern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. && Read more

SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

2 months 3 weeks ago
Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1134 AM CDT TUE JUN 17 2025 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the central and southern Plains this afternoon and tonight... * LOCATIONS... Southern Kansas Northern Oklahoma Northeast Texas Panhandle * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force A couple of tornadoes Scattered large hail, some baseball size * SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms producing numerous to widespread damaging winds, scattered large hail (isolated 2+ inches), and a few tornadoes are expected this afternoon and evening across parts of the central/southern Plains. The greatest threat for destructive gusts up to 70-100 mph is forecast across portions of southern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. && Read more

SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

2 months 3 weeks ago
Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1134 AM CDT TUE JUN 17 2025 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the central and southern Plains this afternoon and tonight... * LOCATIONS... Southern Kansas Northern Oklahoma Northeast Texas Panhandle * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force A couple of tornadoes Scattered large hail, some baseball size * SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms producing numerous to widespread damaging winds, scattered large hail (isolated 2+ inches), and a few tornadoes are expected this afternoon and evening across parts of the central/southern Plains. The greatest threat for destructive gusts up to 70-100 mph is forecast across portions of southern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. && Read more
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