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1 year 9 months ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1137 PM CST Fri Dec 15 2023
Valid 161200Z - 171200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA AND KEYS...
...SUMMARY...
Severe threat will increase across the Florida Peninsula and Keys,
primarily during the latter half of the period. Damaging winds along
with some tornado threat are the main risks.
...Florida...
Upper trough currently located over the eastern Plains is forecast
to advance into the mid MS Valley by late afternoon. As the trough
shifts east, midlevel speed max will dig across TX into the western
Gulf basin where it will kick a low-latitude short-wave trough
northeast toward the FL Peninsula. This low-latitude short wave will
be primarily responsible for inducing surface cyclogenesis which
will deepen as it tracks across the northern FL Peninsula after
midnight.
Latest NAM is particularly aggressive with the 850mb response to
this feature. LLJ is forecast to increase markedly this evening
across the Peninsula, with speeds in excess of 80kt immediately
ahead of the surface low track. Intense low-level warm advection
will contribute to convection within an environment characterized by
poor lapse rates, but seasonally high PW values. Forecast soundings
suggest surface-based parcels could yield around 1000 J/kg across
southern portions of the Peninsula by late evening where around 70F
dew points are expected. Destabilization will be delayed farther
north until after midnight, but adequate buoyancy should develop to
near the GA border for surface-based updrafts. Very strong
deep-layer shear and SRH favor supercells and tornadoes. Have
expanded severe probabilities farther north to account for
boundary-layer destabilization very late in the period, immediately
ahead of the surface low. Damaging winds are also a threat with this
activity.
..Darrow/Squitieri.. 12/16/2023
Read more
1 year 9 months ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1137 PM CST Fri Dec 15 2023
Valid 161200Z - 171200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA AND KEYS...
...SUMMARY...
Severe threat will increase across the Florida Peninsula and Keys,
primarily during the latter half of the period. Damaging winds along
with some tornado threat are the main risks.
...Florida...
Upper trough currently located over the eastern Plains is forecast
to advance into the mid MS Valley by late afternoon. As the trough
shifts east, midlevel speed max will dig across TX into the western
Gulf basin where it will kick a low-latitude short-wave trough
northeast toward the FL Peninsula. This low-latitude short wave will
be primarily responsible for inducing surface cyclogenesis which
will deepen as it tracks across the northern FL Peninsula after
midnight.
Latest NAM is particularly aggressive with the 850mb response to
this feature. LLJ is forecast to increase markedly this evening
across the Peninsula, with speeds in excess of 80kt immediately
ahead of the surface low track. Intense low-level warm advection
will contribute to convection within an environment characterized by
poor lapse rates, but seasonally high PW values. Forecast soundings
suggest surface-based parcels could yield around 1000 J/kg across
southern portions of the Peninsula by late evening where around 70F
dew points are expected. Destabilization will be delayed farther
north until after midnight, but adequate buoyancy should develop to
near the GA border for surface-based updrafts. Very strong
deep-layer shear and SRH favor supercells and tornadoes. Have
expanded severe probabilities farther north to account for
boundary-layer destabilization very late in the period, immediately
ahead of the surface low. Damaging winds are also a threat with this
activity.
..Darrow/Squitieri.. 12/16/2023
Read more
1 year 9 months ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1137 PM CST Fri Dec 15 2023
Valid 161200Z - 171200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA AND KEYS...
...SUMMARY...
Severe threat will increase across the Florida Peninsula and Keys,
primarily during the latter half of the period. Damaging winds along
with some tornado threat are the main risks.
...Florida...
Upper trough currently located over the eastern Plains is forecast
to advance into the mid MS Valley by late afternoon. As the trough
shifts east, midlevel speed max will dig across TX into the western
Gulf basin where it will kick a low-latitude short-wave trough
northeast toward the FL Peninsula. This low-latitude short wave will
be primarily responsible for inducing surface cyclogenesis which
will deepen as it tracks across the northern FL Peninsula after
midnight.
Latest NAM is particularly aggressive with the 850mb response to
this feature. LLJ is forecast to increase markedly this evening
across the Peninsula, with speeds in excess of 80kt immediately
ahead of the surface low track. Intense low-level warm advection
will contribute to convection within an environment characterized by
poor lapse rates, but seasonally high PW values. Forecast soundings
suggest surface-based parcels could yield around 1000 J/kg across
southern portions of the Peninsula by late evening where around 70F
dew points are expected. Destabilization will be delayed farther
north until after midnight, but adequate buoyancy should develop to
near the GA border for surface-based updrafts. Very strong
deep-layer shear and SRH favor supercells and tornadoes. Have
expanded severe probabilities farther north to account for
boundary-layer destabilization very late in the period, immediately
ahead of the surface low. Damaging winds are also a threat with this
activity.
..Darrow/Squitieri.. 12/16/2023
Read more
1 year 9 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0633 PM CST Fri Dec 15 2023
Valid 160100Z - 161200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The risk for severe thunderstorms remains negligible across the U.S.
tonight.
...01z Update...
Plains upper trough will shift slowly east overnight with the
primary zone of high-level diffluence expected to focus across the
lower MS Valley and lower latitudes. Large-scale forcing should
encourage surface cyclogenesis well offshore -- likely over the
southern Gulf basin. Resultant low-level convergence over southeast
TX/LA will be somewhat negated by this offshore development.
Early-evening radar data suggests a few stronger showers are noted
along the advancing cold front west of Victoria TX, but otherwise
most convection remains quite shallow and lightning-free. While
buoyancy will remain weak through sunrise, forecast soundings
suggest some threat for lightning despite poor lapse rates/buoyancy.
Lightning may also accompany deeper updrafts across extreme south
FL, but more likely over the Straits.
..Darrow.. 12/16/2023
Read more
1 year 9 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0633 PM CST Fri Dec 15 2023
Valid 160100Z - 161200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The risk for severe thunderstorms remains negligible across the U.S.
tonight.
...01z Update...
Plains upper trough will shift slowly east overnight with the
primary zone of high-level diffluence expected to focus across the
lower MS Valley and lower latitudes. Large-scale forcing should
encourage surface cyclogenesis well offshore -- likely over the
southern Gulf basin. Resultant low-level convergence over southeast
TX/LA will be somewhat negated by this offshore development.
Early-evening radar data suggests a few stronger showers are noted
along the advancing cold front west of Victoria TX, but otherwise
most convection remains quite shallow and lightning-free. While
buoyancy will remain weak through sunrise, forecast soundings
suggest some threat for lightning despite poor lapse rates/buoyancy.
Lightning may also accompany deeper updrafts across extreme south
FL, but more likely over the Straits.
..Darrow.. 12/16/2023
Read more
1 year 9 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0633 PM CST Fri Dec 15 2023
Valid 160100Z - 161200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The risk for severe thunderstorms remains negligible across the U.S.
tonight.
...01z Update...
Plains upper trough will shift slowly east overnight with the
primary zone of high-level diffluence expected to focus across the
lower MS Valley and lower latitudes. Large-scale forcing should
encourage surface cyclogenesis well offshore -- likely over the
southern Gulf basin. Resultant low-level convergence over southeast
TX/LA will be somewhat negated by this offshore development.
Early-evening radar data suggests a few stronger showers are noted
along the advancing cold front west of Victoria TX, but otherwise
most convection remains quite shallow and lightning-free. While
buoyancy will remain weak through sunrise, forecast soundings
suggest some threat for lightning despite poor lapse rates/buoyancy.
Lightning may also accompany deeper updrafts across extreme south
FL, but more likely over the Straits.
..Darrow.. 12/16/2023
Read more
1 year 9 months ago
No watches are valid as of Fri Dec 15 22:26:01 UTC 2023.
1 year 9 months ago
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Fri Dec 15 22:26:01 UTC 2023.
1 year 9 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0329 PM CST Fri Dec 15 2023
Valid 171200Z - 231200Z
Amplified mid-level flow is expected over the CONUS through the
weekend and into early next week. Broad troughing over the eastern
US will allow for cooler and wetter conditions as a strong coastal
storms develops. To the west, a Pacific trough will quickly deepen
off the coast before cutting off and persisting through midweek next
week. Broad strong southwesterly flow aloft will spread inland
bringing widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures to much of
the West Coast. Transient ridging over the central US will keep
temperatures abnormally warm, but winds should remain light. With
the active and amplified weather pattern expected to continue into
mid to late week, widespread precipitation appears likely over much
of the CONUS. Little in the way of dry and windy conditions are
expected, suggesting fire-weather concerns are limited.
..Lyons.. 12/15/2023
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 9 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0329 PM CST Fri Dec 15 2023
Valid 171200Z - 231200Z
Amplified mid-level flow is expected over the CONUS through the
weekend and into early next week. Broad troughing over the eastern
US will allow for cooler and wetter conditions as a strong coastal
storms develops. To the west, a Pacific trough will quickly deepen
off the coast before cutting off and persisting through midweek next
week. Broad strong southwesterly flow aloft will spread inland
bringing widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures to much of
the West Coast. Transient ridging over the central US will keep
temperatures abnormally warm, but winds should remain light. With
the active and amplified weather pattern expected to continue into
mid to late week, widespread precipitation appears likely over much
of the CONUS. Little in the way of dry and windy conditions are
expected, suggesting fire-weather concerns are limited.
..Lyons.. 12/15/2023
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 9 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0329 PM CST Fri Dec 15 2023
Valid 171200Z - 231200Z
Amplified mid-level flow is expected over the CONUS through the
weekend and into early next week. Broad troughing over the eastern
US will allow for cooler and wetter conditions as a strong coastal
storms develops. To the west, a Pacific trough will quickly deepen
off the coast before cutting off and persisting through midweek next
week. Broad strong southwesterly flow aloft will spread inland
bringing widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures to much of
the West Coast. Transient ridging over the central US will keep
temperatures abnormally warm, but winds should remain light. With
the active and amplified weather pattern expected to continue into
mid to late week, widespread precipitation appears likely over much
of the CONUS. Little in the way of dry and windy conditions are
expected, suggesting fire-weather concerns are limited.
..Lyons.. 12/15/2023
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 9 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0329 PM CST Fri Dec 15 2023
Valid 171200Z - 231200Z
Amplified mid-level flow is expected over the CONUS through the
weekend and into early next week. Broad troughing over the eastern
US will allow for cooler and wetter conditions as a strong coastal
storms develops. To the west, a Pacific trough will quickly deepen
off the coast before cutting off and persisting through midweek next
week. Broad strong southwesterly flow aloft will spread inland
bringing widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures to much of
the West Coast. Transient ridging over the central US will keep
temperatures abnormally warm, but winds should remain light. With
the active and amplified weather pattern expected to continue into
mid to late week, widespread precipitation appears likely over much
of the CONUS. Little in the way of dry and windy conditions are
expected, suggesting fire-weather concerns are limited.
..Lyons.. 12/15/2023
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 9 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0145 PM CST Fri Dec 15 2023
Valid 152000Z - 161200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The risk for severe thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S.
through tonight.
...20Z Update...
Lightning has diminished with convection embedded within a band of
precipitation, ahead of mid-level troughing slowly progressing
across the Great Plains. Stronger mid/upper support and colder air
aloft, associated with a remnant embedded low, appear to be shifting
northeast of the better low-level moisture return off the
northwestern Gulf, and potential for renewed thunderstorm activity
may be low in the near term. However, as the trailing flank of the
mid-level troughing begins to dig across central Texas, toward the
coastal plain, guidance suggests that probabilities for scattered
weak thunderstorm activity may increase across parts of
eastern/southeastern Texas later this evening or overnight.
..Kerr.. 12/15/2023
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1020 AM CST Fri Dec 15 2023/
...Discussion...
A central U.S. upper trough -- flanked by ridging over both eastern
and western portions of the country -- will shift slowly eastward
today and tonight. In response, very weak surface cyclogenesis will
occur, with a low expected to reside over the southern
Iowa/northwestern Missouri area early Saturday morning.
Ahead of this low, and the associated/trailing weak surface
trough/front, very little in the way of moisture return is expected,
given the northeasterly/northerly cyclonic flow over the northern
and western Gulf of Mexico. As such, an overall lack of buoyancy
with this system suggests only occasional/sporadic lightning through
tonight -- primarily across the eastern Texas/western
Louisiana/Arklatex area.
A few flashes may also occur across southern Florida and the Keys
later in the period, within easterly low-level flow east of the weak
southern Gulf surface low.
Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected.
Read more
1 year 9 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0145 PM CST Fri Dec 15 2023
Valid 152000Z - 161200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The risk for severe thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S.
through tonight.
...20Z Update...
Lightning has diminished with convection embedded within a band of
precipitation, ahead of mid-level troughing slowly progressing
across the Great Plains. Stronger mid/upper support and colder air
aloft, associated with a remnant embedded low, appear to be shifting
northeast of the better low-level moisture return off the
northwestern Gulf, and potential for renewed thunderstorm activity
may be low in the near term. However, as the trailing flank of the
mid-level troughing begins to dig across central Texas, toward the
coastal plain, guidance suggests that probabilities for scattered
weak thunderstorm activity may increase across parts of
eastern/southeastern Texas later this evening or overnight.
..Kerr.. 12/15/2023
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1020 AM CST Fri Dec 15 2023/
...Discussion...
A central U.S. upper trough -- flanked by ridging over both eastern
and western portions of the country -- will shift slowly eastward
today and tonight. In response, very weak surface cyclogenesis will
occur, with a low expected to reside over the southern
Iowa/northwestern Missouri area early Saturday morning.
Ahead of this low, and the associated/trailing weak surface
trough/front, very little in the way of moisture return is expected,
given the northeasterly/northerly cyclonic flow over the northern
and western Gulf of Mexico. As such, an overall lack of buoyancy
with this system suggests only occasional/sporadic lightning through
tonight -- primarily across the eastern Texas/western
Louisiana/Arklatex area.
A few flashes may also occur across southern Florida and the Keys
later in the period, within easterly low-level flow east of the weak
southern Gulf surface low.
Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected.
Read more
1 year 9 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0145 PM CST Fri Dec 15 2023
Valid 152000Z - 161200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The risk for severe thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S.
through tonight.
...20Z Update...
Lightning has diminished with convection embedded within a band of
precipitation, ahead of mid-level troughing slowly progressing
across the Great Plains. Stronger mid/upper support and colder air
aloft, associated with a remnant embedded low, appear to be shifting
northeast of the better low-level moisture return off the
northwestern Gulf, and potential for renewed thunderstorm activity
may be low in the near term. However, as the trailing flank of the
mid-level troughing begins to dig across central Texas, toward the
coastal plain, guidance suggests that probabilities for scattered
weak thunderstorm activity may increase across parts of
eastern/southeastern Texas later this evening or overnight.
..Kerr.. 12/15/2023
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1020 AM CST Fri Dec 15 2023/
...Discussion...
A central U.S. upper trough -- flanked by ridging over both eastern
and western portions of the country -- will shift slowly eastward
today and tonight. In response, very weak surface cyclogenesis will
occur, with a low expected to reside over the southern
Iowa/northwestern Missouri area early Saturday morning.
Ahead of this low, and the associated/trailing weak surface
trough/front, very little in the way of moisture return is expected,
given the northeasterly/northerly cyclonic flow over the northern
and western Gulf of Mexico. As such, an overall lack of buoyancy
with this system suggests only occasional/sporadic lightning through
tonight -- primarily across the eastern Texas/western
Louisiana/Arklatex area.
A few flashes may also occur across southern Florida and the Keys
later in the period, within easterly low-level flow east of the weak
southern Gulf surface low.
Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected.
Read more
1 year 9 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0145 PM CST Fri Dec 15 2023
Valid 152000Z - 161200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The risk for severe thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S.
through tonight.
...20Z Update...
Lightning has diminished with convection embedded within a band of
precipitation, ahead of mid-level troughing slowly progressing
across the Great Plains. Stronger mid/upper support and colder air
aloft, associated with a remnant embedded low, appear to be shifting
northeast of the better low-level moisture return off the
northwestern Gulf, and potential for renewed thunderstorm activity
may be low in the near term. However, as the trailing flank of the
mid-level troughing begins to dig across central Texas, toward the
coastal plain, guidance suggests that probabilities for scattered
weak thunderstorm activity may increase across parts of
eastern/southeastern Texas later this evening or overnight.
..Kerr.. 12/15/2023
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1020 AM CST Fri Dec 15 2023/
...Discussion...
A central U.S. upper trough -- flanked by ridging over both eastern
and western portions of the country -- will shift slowly eastward
today and tonight. In response, very weak surface cyclogenesis will
occur, with a low expected to reside over the southern
Iowa/northwestern Missouri area early Saturday morning.
Ahead of this low, and the associated/trailing weak surface
trough/front, very little in the way of moisture return is expected,
given the northeasterly/northerly cyclonic flow over the northern
and western Gulf of Mexico. As such, an overall lack of buoyancy
with this system suggests only occasional/sporadic lightning through
tonight -- primarily across the eastern Texas/western
Louisiana/Arklatex area.
A few flashes may also occur across southern Florida and the Keys
later in the period, within easterly low-level flow east of the weak
southern Gulf surface low.
Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected.
Read more
1 year 9 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0145 PM CST Fri Dec 15 2023
Valid 152000Z - 161200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The risk for severe thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S.
through tonight.
...20Z Update...
Lightning has diminished with convection embedded within a band of
precipitation, ahead of mid-level troughing slowly progressing
across the Great Plains. Stronger mid/upper support and colder air
aloft, associated with a remnant embedded low, appear to be shifting
northeast of the better low-level moisture return off the
northwestern Gulf, and potential for renewed thunderstorm activity
may be low in the near term. However, as the trailing flank of the
mid-level troughing begins to dig across central Texas, toward the
coastal plain, guidance suggests that probabilities for scattered
weak thunderstorm activity may increase across parts of
eastern/southeastern Texas later this evening or overnight.
..Kerr.. 12/15/2023
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1020 AM CST Fri Dec 15 2023/
...Discussion...
A central U.S. upper trough -- flanked by ridging over both eastern
and western portions of the country -- will shift slowly eastward
today and tonight. In response, very weak surface cyclogenesis will
occur, with a low expected to reside over the southern
Iowa/northwestern Missouri area early Saturday morning.
Ahead of this low, and the associated/trailing weak surface
trough/front, very little in the way of moisture return is expected,
given the northeasterly/northerly cyclonic flow over the northern
and western Gulf of Mexico. As such, an overall lack of buoyancy
with this system suggests only occasional/sporadic lightning through
tonight -- primarily across the eastern Texas/western
Louisiana/Arklatex area.
A few flashes may also occur across southern Florida and the Keys
later in the period, within easterly low-level flow east of the weak
southern Gulf surface low.
Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected.
Read more
1 year 9 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0142 PM CST Fri Dec 15 2023
Valid 161200Z - 171200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Southern CA...
Locally elevated offshore winds and low humidity are possible early
Saturday and into early Sunday across parts of southern CA. High
pressure over the interior West will continue to support moderate
offshore pressure gradients and dry conditions. A few hours of
breezy winds greater than 15-20 mph and RH below 20% are possible.
However, weak upper-level support and spotty fuels should keep
broader concerns limited. Elsewhere across the country, seasonably
cool and moist conditions will negate fire-weather concerns.
..Lyons.. 12/15/2023
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0146 AM CST Fri Dec 15 2023/
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will deepen across the eastern CONUS as a surface
cyclone deepens across the eastern Gulf of Mexico and traverses the
Florida Peninsula. Surface high pressure should overspread most of
the rest of the CONUS, promoting relatively cooler surface
conditions amid poorly receptive fuels, dampening significant
wildfire-spread potential.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 9 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0142 PM CST Fri Dec 15 2023
Valid 161200Z - 171200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Southern CA...
Locally elevated offshore winds and low humidity are possible early
Saturday and into early Sunday across parts of southern CA. High
pressure over the interior West will continue to support moderate
offshore pressure gradients and dry conditions. A few hours of
breezy winds greater than 15-20 mph and RH below 20% are possible.
However, weak upper-level support and spotty fuels should keep
broader concerns limited. Elsewhere across the country, seasonably
cool and moist conditions will negate fire-weather concerns.
..Lyons.. 12/15/2023
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0146 AM CST Fri Dec 15 2023/
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will deepen across the eastern CONUS as a surface
cyclone deepens across the eastern Gulf of Mexico and traverses the
Florida Peninsula. Surface high pressure should overspread most of
the rest of the CONUS, promoting relatively cooler surface
conditions amid poorly receptive fuels, dampening significant
wildfire-spread potential.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 9 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0142 PM CST Fri Dec 15 2023
Valid 161200Z - 171200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Southern CA...
Locally elevated offshore winds and low humidity are possible early
Saturday and into early Sunday across parts of southern CA. High
pressure over the interior West will continue to support moderate
offshore pressure gradients and dry conditions. A few hours of
breezy winds greater than 15-20 mph and RH below 20% are possible.
However, weak upper-level support and spotty fuels should keep
broader concerns limited. Elsewhere across the country, seasonably
cool and moist conditions will negate fire-weather concerns.
..Lyons.. 12/15/2023
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0146 AM CST Fri Dec 15 2023/
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will deepen across the eastern CONUS as a surface
cyclone deepens across the eastern Gulf of Mexico and traverses the
Florida Peninsula. Surface high pressure should overspread most of
the rest of the CONUS, promoting relatively cooler surface
conditions amid poorly receptive fuels, dampening significant
wildfire-spread potential.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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