Severe Storms

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0356 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 051200Z - 101200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Friday/Day 4 and Saturday/Day 5... An upper-level trough is forecast to move quickly eastward from the West Coast on Friday into the Desert Southwest on Saturday. Moisture return is forecast take place ahead of the trough across the southern and central Plains, with surface dewpoints reaching the 50s and possibly low 60s F, from north Texas into south-central Kansas. As large-scale ascent comes out into the southern and central Plains during the evening, scattered strong to severe thunderstorm development will be possible. Large hail and wind damage are expected to be the primary threats. There is still considerable uncertainty on Saturday, mainly due to the lack of low-level moisture and instability. ...Sunday/Day 6 to Tuesday/Day 8... The upper-level low over the Desert Southwest is forecast to move into the north-central U.S. on Sunday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Ark-La-Tex. Isolated to scattered strong thunderstorms will be possible along and ahead of the front. However, uncertainty is still considerable concerning the timing/placement of the front, and magnitude of instability. On Monday, a moist airmass is forecast to be in place across parts of the southern Plains and lower Mississippi Valley. Strong thunderstorm development will be possible during the afternoon and evening. However, a lack of large-scale ascent suggests any severe threat that develops will remain unfocused. The potential for a more widespread severe threat may increase across the southern and central Plains on Tuesday, as an upper-level low moves across the Desert Southwest. As forecast spatial uncertainty decreases for Monday into Tuesday, the addition of a 15 percent contour in later outlooks may considered. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0356 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 051200Z - 101200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Friday/Day 4 and Saturday/Day 5... An upper-level trough is forecast to move quickly eastward from the West Coast on Friday into the Desert Southwest on Saturday. Moisture return is forecast take place ahead of the trough across the southern and central Plains, with surface dewpoints reaching the 50s and possibly low 60s F, from north Texas into south-central Kansas. As large-scale ascent comes out into the southern and central Plains during the evening, scattered strong to severe thunderstorm development will be possible. Large hail and wind damage are expected to be the primary threats. There is still considerable uncertainty on Saturday, mainly due to the lack of low-level moisture and instability. ...Sunday/Day 6 to Tuesday/Day 8... The upper-level low over the Desert Southwest is forecast to move into the north-central U.S. on Sunday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Ark-La-Tex. Isolated to scattered strong thunderstorms will be possible along and ahead of the front. However, uncertainty is still considerable concerning the timing/placement of the front, and magnitude of instability. On Monday, a moist airmass is forecast to be in place across parts of the southern Plains and lower Mississippi Valley. Strong thunderstorm development will be possible during the afternoon and evening. However, a lack of large-scale ascent suggests any severe threat that develops will remain unfocused. The potential for a more widespread severe threat may increase across the southern and central Plains on Tuesday, as an upper-level low moves across the Desert Southwest. As forecast spatial uncertainty decreases for Monday into Tuesday, the addition of a 15 percent contour in later outlooks may considered. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0356 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 051200Z - 101200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Friday/Day 4 and Saturday/Day 5... An upper-level trough is forecast to move quickly eastward from the West Coast on Friday into the Desert Southwest on Saturday. Moisture return is forecast take place ahead of the trough across the southern and central Plains, with surface dewpoints reaching the 50s and possibly low 60s F, from north Texas into south-central Kansas. As large-scale ascent comes out into the southern and central Plains during the evening, scattered strong to severe thunderstorm development will be possible. Large hail and wind damage are expected to be the primary threats. There is still considerable uncertainty on Saturday, mainly due to the lack of low-level moisture and instability. ...Sunday/Day 6 to Tuesday/Day 8... The upper-level low over the Desert Southwest is forecast to move into the north-central U.S. on Sunday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Ark-La-Tex. Isolated to scattered strong thunderstorms will be possible along and ahead of the front. However, uncertainty is still considerable concerning the timing/placement of the front, and magnitude of instability. On Monday, a moist airmass is forecast to be in place across parts of the southern Plains and lower Mississippi Valley. Strong thunderstorm development will be possible during the afternoon and evening. However, a lack of large-scale ascent suggests any severe threat that develops will remain unfocused. The potential for a more widespread severe threat may increase across the southern and central Plains on Tuesday, as an upper-level low moves across the Desert Southwest. As forecast spatial uncertainty decreases for Monday into Tuesday, the addition of a 15 percent contour in later outlooks may considered. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0356 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 051200Z - 101200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Friday/Day 4 and Saturday/Day 5... An upper-level trough is forecast to move quickly eastward from the West Coast on Friday into the Desert Southwest on Saturday. Moisture return is forecast take place ahead of the trough across the southern and central Plains, with surface dewpoints reaching the 50s and possibly low 60s F, from north Texas into south-central Kansas. As large-scale ascent comes out into the southern and central Plains during the evening, scattered strong to severe thunderstorm development will be possible. Large hail and wind damage are expected to be the primary threats. There is still considerable uncertainty on Saturday, mainly due to the lack of low-level moisture and instability. ...Sunday/Day 6 to Tuesday/Day 8... The upper-level low over the Desert Southwest is forecast to move into the north-central U.S. on Sunday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Ark-La-Tex. Isolated to scattered strong thunderstorms will be possible along and ahead of the front. However, uncertainty is still considerable concerning the timing/placement of the front, and magnitude of instability. On Monday, a moist airmass is forecast to be in place across parts of the southern Plains and lower Mississippi Valley. Strong thunderstorm development will be possible during the afternoon and evening. However, a lack of large-scale ascent suggests any severe threat that develops will remain unfocused. The potential for a more widespread severe threat may increase across the southern and central Plains on Tuesday, as an upper-level low moves across the Desert Southwest. As forecast spatial uncertainty decreases for Monday into Tuesday, the addition of a 15 percent contour in later outlooks may considered. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0356 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 051200Z - 101200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Friday/Day 4 and Saturday/Day 5... An upper-level trough is forecast to move quickly eastward from the West Coast on Friday into the Desert Southwest on Saturday. Moisture return is forecast take place ahead of the trough across the southern and central Plains, with surface dewpoints reaching the 50s and possibly low 60s F, from north Texas into south-central Kansas. As large-scale ascent comes out into the southern and central Plains during the evening, scattered strong to severe thunderstorm development will be possible. Large hail and wind damage are expected to be the primary threats. There is still considerable uncertainty on Saturday, mainly due to the lack of low-level moisture and instability. ...Sunday/Day 6 to Tuesday/Day 8... The upper-level low over the Desert Southwest is forecast to move into the north-central U.S. on Sunday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Ark-La-Tex. Isolated to scattered strong thunderstorms will be possible along and ahead of the front. However, uncertainty is still considerable concerning the timing/placement of the front, and magnitude of instability. On Monday, a moist airmass is forecast to be in place across parts of the southern Plains and lower Mississippi Valley. Strong thunderstorm development will be possible during the afternoon and evening. However, a lack of large-scale ascent suggests any severe threat that develops will remain unfocused. The potential for a more widespread severe threat may increase across the southern and central Plains on Tuesday, as an upper-level low moves across the Desert Southwest. As forecast spatial uncertainty decreases for Monday into Tuesday, the addition of a 15 percent contour in later outlooks may considered. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0356 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 051200Z - 101200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Friday/Day 4 and Saturday/Day 5... An upper-level trough is forecast to move quickly eastward from the West Coast on Friday into the Desert Southwest on Saturday. Moisture return is forecast take place ahead of the trough across the southern and central Plains, with surface dewpoints reaching the 50s and possibly low 60s F, from north Texas into south-central Kansas. As large-scale ascent comes out into the southern and central Plains during the evening, scattered strong to severe thunderstorm development will be possible. Large hail and wind damage are expected to be the primary threats. There is still considerable uncertainty on Saturday, mainly due to the lack of low-level moisture and instability. ...Sunday/Day 6 to Tuesday/Day 8... The upper-level low over the Desert Southwest is forecast to move into the north-central U.S. on Sunday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Ark-La-Tex. Isolated to scattered strong thunderstorms will be possible along and ahead of the front. However, uncertainty is still considerable concerning the timing/placement of the front, and magnitude of instability. On Monday, a moist airmass is forecast to be in place across parts of the southern Plains and lower Mississippi Valley. Strong thunderstorm development will be possible during the afternoon and evening. However, a lack of large-scale ascent suggests any severe threat that develops will remain unfocused. The potential for a more widespread severe threat may increase across the southern and central Plains on Tuesday, as an upper-level low moves across the Desert Southwest. As forecast spatial uncertainty decreases for Monday into Tuesday, the addition of a 15 percent contour in later outlooks may considered. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0356 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 051200Z - 101200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Friday/Day 4 and Saturday/Day 5... An upper-level trough is forecast to move quickly eastward from the West Coast on Friday into the Desert Southwest on Saturday. Moisture return is forecast take place ahead of the trough across the southern and central Plains, with surface dewpoints reaching the 50s and possibly low 60s F, from north Texas into south-central Kansas. As large-scale ascent comes out into the southern and central Plains during the evening, scattered strong to severe thunderstorm development will be possible. Large hail and wind damage are expected to be the primary threats. There is still considerable uncertainty on Saturday, mainly due to the lack of low-level moisture and instability. ...Sunday/Day 6 to Tuesday/Day 8... The upper-level low over the Desert Southwest is forecast to move into the north-central U.S. on Sunday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Ark-La-Tex. Isolated to scattered strong thunderstorms will be possible along and ahead of the front. However, uncertainty is still considerable concerning the timing/placement of the front, and magnitude of instability. On Monday, a moist airmass is forecast to be in place across parts of the southern Plains and lower Mississippi Valley. Strong thunderstorm development will be possible during the afternoon and evening. However, a lack of large-scale ascent suggests any severe threat that develops will remain unfocused. The potential for a more widespread severe threat may increase across the southern and central Plains on Tuesday, as an upper-level low moves across the Desert Southwest. As forecast spatial uncertainty decreases for Monday into Tuesday, the addition of a 15 percent contour in later outlooks may considered. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0356 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 051200Z - 101200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Friday/Day 4 and Saturday/Day 5... An upper-level trough is forecast to move quickly eastward from the West Coast on Friday into the Desert Southwest on Saturday. Moisture return is forecast take place ahead of the trough across the southern and central Plains, with surface dewpoints reaching the 50s and possibly low 60s F, from north Texas into south-central Kansas. As large-scale ascent comes out into the southern and central Plains during the evening, scattered strong to severe thunderstorm development will be possible. Large hail and wind damage are expected to be the primary threats. There is still considerable uncertainty on Saturday, mainly due to the lack of low-level moisture and instability. ...Sunday/Day 6 to Tuesday/Day 8... The upper-level low over the Desert Southwest is forecast to move into the north-central U.S. on Sunday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Ark-La-Tex. Isolated to scattered strong thunderstorms will be possible along and ahead of the front. However, uncertainty is still considerable concerning the timing/placement of the front, and magnitude of instability. On Monday, a moist airmass is forecast to be in place across parts of the southern Plains and lower Mississippi Valley. Strong thunderstorm development will be possible during the afternoon and evening. However, a lack of large-scale ascent suggests any severe threat that develops will remain unfocused. The potential for a more widespread severe threat may increase across the southern and central Plains on Tuesday, as an upper-level low moves across the Desert Southwest. As forecast spatial uncertainty decreases for Monday into Tuesday, the addition of a 15 percent contour in later outlooks may considered. Read more

Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0341 AM CDT TUE APR 02 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Ohio Valley this afternoon... * LOCATIONS... Ohio Kentucky Eastern Indiana Western West Virginia Tennessee Northern Alabama Northeast Mississippi Northwest Georgia Georgia * HAZARDS... Several tornadoes, a few intense Scattered damaging winds, some hurricane force Scattered large hail, some baseball size * SUMMARY... A potentially substantial severe weather outbreak -- possibly including a few significant/long-track tornadoes -- is anticipated this afternoon and evening, with the highest probability centered over the Ohio Valley. Severe risk exists as far south as the Gulf Coast, and as far east as western portions of Virginia and the Carolinas. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A tornado watch means that conditions are favorable for tornadoes to form during the next several hours. If a tornado warning is issued for Read more

Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0341 AM CDT TUE APR 02 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Ohio Valley this afternoon... * LOCATIONS... Ohio Kentucky Eastern Indiana Western West Virginia Tennessee Northern Alabama Northeast Mississippi Northwest Georgia Georgia * HAZARDS... Several tornadoes, a few intense Scattered damaging winds, some hurricane force Scattered large hail, some baseball size * SUMMARY... A potentially substantial severe weather outbreak -- possibly including a few significant/long-track tornadoes -- is anticipated this afternoon and evening, with the highest probability centered over the Ohio Valley. Severe risk exists as far south as the Gulf Coast, and as far east as western portions of Virginia and the Carolinas. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A tornado watch means that conditions are favorable for tornadoes to form during the next several hours. If a tornado warning is issued for Read more

Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0341 AM CDT TUE APR 02 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Ohio Valley this afternoon... * LOCATIONS... Ohio Kentucky Eastern Indiana Western West Virginia Tennessee Northern Alabama Northeast Mississippi Northwest Georgia Georgia * HAZARDS... Several tornadoes, a few intense Scattered damaging winds, some hurricane force Scattered large hail, some baseball size * SUMMARY... A potentially substantial severe weather outbreak -- possibly including a few significant/long-track tornadoes -- is anticipated this afternoon and evening, with the highest probability centered over the Ohio Valley. Severe risk exists as far south as the Gulf Coast, and as far east as western portions of Virginia and the Carolinas. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A tornado watch means that conditions are favorable for tornadoes to form during the next several hours. If a tornado warning is issued for Read more

Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0341 AM CDT TUE APR 02 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Ohio Valley this afternoon... * LOCATIONS... Ohio Kentucky Eastern Indiana Western West Virginia Tennessee Northern Alabama Northeast Mississippi Northwest Georgia Georgia * HAZARDS... Several tornadoes, a few intense Scattered damaging winds, some hurricane force Scattered large hail, some baseball size * SUMMARY... A potentially substantial severe weather outbreak -- possibly including a few significant/long-track tornadoes -- is anticipated this afternoon and evening, with the highest probability centered over the Ohio Valley. Severe risk exists as far south as the Gulf Coast, and as far east as western portions of Virginia and the Carolinas. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A tornado watch means that conditions are favorable for tornadoes to form during the next several hours. If a tornado warning is issued for Read more

Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0341 AM CDT TUE APR 02 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Ohio Valley this afternoon... * LOCATIONS... Ohio Kentucky Eastern Indiana Western West Virginia Tennessee Northern Alabama Northeast Mississippi Northwest Georgia Georgia * HAZARDS... Several tornadoes, a few intense Scattered damaging winds, some hurricane force Scattered large hail, some baseball size * SUMMARY... A potentially substantial severe weather outbreak -- possibly including a few significant/long-track tornadoes -- is anticipated this afternoon and evening, with the highest probability centered over the Ohio Valley. Severe risk exists as far south as the Gulf Coast, and as far east as western portions of Virginia and the Carolinas. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A tornado watch means that conditions are favorable for tornadoes to form during the next several hours. If a tornado warning is issued for Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. on Thursday and Thursday night. ...DISCUSSION... Upper-level low will move across the Northeast on Thursday, as an associated trough moves eastward through the Southeast. At the surface, a low will move into southern New England. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible during the day near and to the northeast of the surface low. Additional thunderstorms will be possible further southwest in parts of the central Appalachians, close to the upper-level low. Thunderstorms will also be possible across parts of the western U.S., as an upper-level trough moves to the near the West Coast. No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. on Thursday or Thursday night. ..Broyles.. 04/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. on Thursday and Thursday night. ...DISCUSSION... Upper-level low will move across the Northeast on Thursday, as an associated trough moves eastward through the Southeast. At the surface, a low will move into southern New England. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible during the day near and to the northeast of the surface low. Additional thunderstorms will be possible further southwest in parts of the central Appalachians, close to the upper-level low. Thunderstorms will also be possible across parts of the western U.S., as an upper-level trough moves to the near the West Coast. No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. on Thursday or Thursday night. ..Broyles.. 04/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. on Thursday and Thursday night. ...DISCUSSION... Upper-level low will move across the Northeast on Thursday, as an associated trough moves eastward through the Southeast. At the surface, a low will move into southern New England. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible during the day near and to the northeast of the surface low. Additional thunderstorms will be possible further southwest in parts of the central Appalachians, close to the upper-level low. Thunderstorms will also be possible across parts of the western U.S., as an upper-level trough moves to the near the West Coast. No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. on Thursday or Thursday night. ..Broyles.. 04/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. on Thursday and Thursday night. ...DISCUSSION... Upper-level low will move across the Northeast on Thursday, as an associated trough moves eastward through the Southeast. At the surface, a low will move into southern New England. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible during the day near and to the northeast of the surface low. Additional thunderstorms will be possible further southwest in parts of the central Appalachians, close to the upper-level low. Thunderstorms will also be possible across parts of the western U.S., as an upper-level trough moves to the near the West Coast. No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. on Thursday or Thursday night. ..Broyles.. 04/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. on Thursday and Thursday night. ...DISCUSSION... Upper-level low will move across the Northeast on Thursday, as an associated trough moves eastward through the Southeast. At the surface, a low will move into southern New England. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible during the day near and to the northeast of the surface low. Additional thunderstorms will be possible further southwest in parts of the central Appalachians, close to the upper-level low. Thunderstorms will also be possible across parts of the western U.S., as an upper-level trough moves to the near the West Coast. No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. on Thursday or Thursday night. ..Broyles.. 04/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. on Thursday and Thursday night. ...DISCUSSION... Upper-level low will move across the Northeast on Thursday, as an associated trough moves eastward through the Southeast. At the surface, a low will move into southern New England. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible during the day near and to the northeast of the surface low. Additional thunderstorms will be possible further southwest in parts of the central Appalachians, close to the upper-level low. Thunderstorms will also be possible across parts of the western U.S., as an upper-level trough moves to the near the West Coast. No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. on Thursday or Thursday night. ..Broyles.. 04/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. on Thursday and Thursday night. ...DISCUSSION... Upper-level low will move across the Northeast on Thursday, as an associated trough moves eastward through the Southeast. At the surface, a low will move into southern New England. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible during the day near and to the northeast of the surface low. Additional thunderstorms will be possible further southwest in parts of the central Appalachians, close to the upper-level low. Thunderstorms will also be possible across parts of the western U.S., as an upper-level trough moves to the near the West Coast. No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. on Thursday or Thursday night. ..Broyles.. 04/02/2024 Read more