Severe Storms

MD 1126 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 372... FOR NORTH/NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
Mesoscale Discussion 1126 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Areas affected...north/northeast Texas and southeast Oklahoma Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 372... Valid 021852Z - 022015Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 372 continues. SUMMARY...A line of storms will likely continue as it moves southeast across southeast Oklahoma and north/northeast Texas. DISCUSSION...A line of storms with a well-established cold pool is moving across southern Oklahoma and north Texas. Significant destabilization has occurred ahead of this line with MLCAPE of 2000 to 3000 J/kg. Shear remains weak across the northern half of the line (in Oklahoma), but is somewhat better in Texas, which is where the greater severe weather threat will likely be through late afternoon. However, the well-established cold pool and downstream instability will support some severe gust threat across southeast Oklahoma through the afternoon and perhaps persisting into the evening. Watch 372 may need to be expanded across far southern Oklahoma and to the I-20 vicinity in Texas. ..Bentley/Smith.. 06/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT... LAT...LON 33469964 33809869 34269775 35169732 35079607 34619470 34069449 33159457 32699692 32599906 33119994 33469964 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z The elevated area was extended to the northwest (into Arizona) to include portions of the Mogollon Rim. Here, conditions should be similar to Sunday with winds 10-15 mph sustained (gusts above 20 mph) and minimum relative humidity falling into the upper-single-digits to (more likely) mid-teens. This will result in at least locally elevated fire weather conditions. Elsewhere, the ongoing forecast is on track. Elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions are still expected across parts of southern New Mexico. ..Marsh.. 06/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... Mostly zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue as a shortwave trough over the Southwest translates eastward into the Plains. While flow aloft is expected to be weaker behind the wave, somewhat enhanced westerlies may still linger through the afternoon bolstering surface flow. With hot and dry surface conditions expected, a few hours of elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. ...Parts of the Southwest and southern High Plains... Zonal mid-level flow will persist over the southwest and southern Rockies into D2/Monday. Flow aloft is expected to be somewhat weaker as the upper trough moves eastward. Still, some lingering westerly flow may bolster low-level winds behind a surface trough/dryline over the southern Plains. While not expected to be overly strong or widespread, occasional 15-20 mph surface winds are expected over parts of southeastern AZ, southern NM and far west TX. Hot and dry conditions will also support RH below 15% colocated with areas of dry fuels that have not received recent rainfall. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely through the afternoon. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z The elevated area was extended to the northwest (into Arizona) to include portions of the Mogollon Rim. Here, conditions should be similar to Sunday with winds 10-15 mph sustained (gusts above 20 mph) and minimum relative humidity falling into the upper-single-digits to (more likely) mid-teens. This will result in at least locally elevated fire weather conditions. Elsewhere, the ongoing forecast is on track. Elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions are still expected across parts of southern New Mexico. ..Marsh.. 06/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... Mostly zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue as a shortwave trough over the Southwest translates eastward into the Plains. While flow aloft is expected to be weaker behind the wave, somewhat enhanced westerlies may still linger through the afternoon bolstering surface flow. With hot and dry surface conditions expected, a few hours of elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. ...Parts of the Southwest and southern High Plains... Zonal mid-level flow will persist over the southwest and southern Rockies into D2/Monday. Flow aloft is expected to be somewhat weaker as the upper trough moves eastward. Still, some lingering westerly flow may bolster low-level winds behind a surface trough/dryline over the southern Plains. While not expected to be overly strong or widespread, occasional 15-20 mph surface winds are expected over parts of southeastern AZ, southern NM and far west TX. Hot and dry conditions will also support RH below 15% colocated with areas of dry fuels that have not received recent rainfall. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely through the afternoon. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z The elevated area was extended to the northwest (into Arizona) to include portions of the Mogollon Rim. Here, conditions should be similar to Sunday with winds 10-15 mph sustained (gusts above 20 mph) and minimum relative humidity falling into the upper-single-digits to (more likely) mid-teens. This will result in at least locally elevated fire weather conditions. Elsewhere, the ongoing forecast is on track. Elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions are still expected across parts of southern New Mexico. ..Marsh.. 06/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... Mostly zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue as a shortwave trough over the Southwest translates eastward into the Plains. While flow aloft is expected to be weaker behind the wave, somewhat enhanced westerlies may still linger through the afternoon bolstering surface flow. With hot and dry surface conditions expected, a few hours of elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. ...Parts of the Southwest and southern High Plains... Zonal mid-level flow will persist over the southwest and southern Rockies into D2/Monday. Flow aloft is expected to be somewhat weaker as the upper trough moves eastward. Still, some lingering westerly flow may bolster low-level winds behind a surface trough/dryline over the southern Plains. While not expected to be overly strong or widespread, occasional 15-20 mph surface winds are expected over parts of southeastern AZ, southern NM and far west TX. Hot and dry conditions will also support RH below 15% colocated with areas of dry fuels that have not received recent rainfall. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely through the afternoon. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z The elevated area was extended to the northwest (into Arizona) to include portions of the Mogollon Rim. Here, conditions should be similar to Sunday with winds 10-15 mph sustained (gusts above 20 mph) and minimum relative humidity falling into the upper-single-digits to (more likely) mid-teens. This will result in at least locally elevated fire weather conditions. Elsewhere, the ongoing forecast is on track. Elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions are still expected across parts of southern New Mexico. ..Marsh.. 06/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... Mostly zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue as a shortwave trough over the Southwest translates eastward into the Plains. While flow aloft is expected to be weaker behind the wave, somewhat enhanced westerlies may still linger through the afternoon bolstering surface flow. With hot and dry surface conditions expected, a few hours of elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. ...Parts of the Southwest and southern High Plains... Zonal mid-level flow will persist over the southwest and southern Rockies into D2/Monday. Flow aloft is expected to be somewhat weaker as the upper trough moves eastward. Still, some lingering westerly flow may bolster low-level winds behind a surface trough/dryline over the southern Plains. While not expected to be overly strong or widespread, occasional 15-20 mph surface winds are expected over parts of southeastern AZ, southern NM and far west TX. Hot and dry conditions will also support RH below 15% colocated with areas of dry fuels that have not received recent rainfall. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely through the afternoon. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z The elevated area was extended to the northwest (into Arizona) to include portions of the Mogollon Rim. Here, conditions should be similar to Sunday with winds 10-15 mph sustained (gusts above 20 mph) and minimum relative humidity falling into the upper-single-digits to (more likely) mid-teens. This will result in at least locally elevated fire weather conditions. Elsewhere, the ongoing forecast is on track. Elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions are still expected across parts of southern New Mexico. ..Marsh.. 06/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... Mostly zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue as a shortwave trough over the Southwest translates eastward into the Plains. While flow aloft is expected to be weaker behind the wave, somewhat enhanced westerlies may still linger through the afternoon bolstering surface flow. With hot and dry surface conditions expected, a few hours of elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. ...Parts of the Southwest and southern High Plains... Zonal mid-level flow will persist over the southwest and southern Rockies into D2/Monday. Flow aloft is expected to be somewhat weaker as the upper trough moves eastward. Still, some lingering westerly flow may bolster low-level winds behind a surface trough/dryline over the southern Plains. While not expected to be overly strong or widespread, occasional 15-20 mph surface winds are expected over parts of southeastern AZ, southern NM and far west TX. Hot and dry conditions will also support RH below 15% colocated with areas of dry fuels that have not received recent rainfall. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely through the afternoon. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z The elevated area was extended to the northwest (into Arizona) to include portions of the Mogollon Rim. Here, conditions should be similar to Sunday with winds 10-15 mph sustained (gusts above 20 mph) and minimum relative humidity falling into the upper-single-digits to (more likely) mid-teens. This will result in at least locally elevated fire weather conditions. Elsewhere, the ongoing forecast is on track. Elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions are still expected across parts of southern New Mexico. ..Marsh.. 06/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... Mostly zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue as a shortwave trough over the Southwest translates eastward into the Plains. While flow aloft is expected to be weaker behind the wave, somewhat enhanced westerlies may still linger through the afternoon bolstering surface flow. With hot and dry surface conditions expected, a few hours of elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. ...Parts of the Southwest and southern High Plains... Zonal mid-level flow will persist over the southwest and southern Rockies into D2/Monday. Flow aloft is expected to be somewhat weaker as the upper trough moves eastward. Still, some lingering westerly flow may bolster low-level winds behind a surface trough/dryline over the southern Plains. While not expected to be overly strong or widespread, occasional 15-20 mph surface winds are expected over parts of southeastern AZ, southern NM and far west TX. Hot and dry conditions will also support RH below 15% colocated with areas of dry fuels that have not received recent rainfall. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely through the afternoon. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z The elevated area was extended to the northwest (into Arizona) to include portions of the Mogollon Rim. Here, conditions should be similar to Sunday with winds 10-15 mph sustained (gusts above 20 mph) and minimum relative humidity falling into the upper-single-digits to (more likely) mid-teens. This will result in at least locally elevated fire weather conditions. Elsewhere, the ongoing forecast is on track. Elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions are still expected across parts of southern New Mexico. ..Marsh.. 06/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... Mostly zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue as a shortwave trough over the Southwest translates eastward into the Plains. While flow aloft is expected to be weaker behind the wave, somewhat enhanced westerlies may still linger through the afternoon bolstering surface flow. With hot and dry surface conditions expected, a few hours of elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. ...Parts of the Southwest and southern High Plains... Zonal mid-level flow will persist over the southwest and southern Rockies into D2/Monday. Flow aloft is expected to be somewhat weaker as the upper trough moves eastward. Still, some lingering westerly flow may bolster low-level winds behind a surface trough/dryline over the southern Plains. While not expected to be overly strong or widespread, occasional 15-20 mph surface winds are expected over parts of southeastern AZ, southern NM and far west TX. Hot and dry conditions will also support RH below 15% colocated with areas of dry fuels that have not received recent rainfall. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely through the afternoon. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z The elevated area was extended to the northwest (into Arizona) to include portions of the Mogollon Rim. Here, conditions should be similar to Sunday with winds 10-15 mph sustained (gusts above 20 mph) and minimum relative humidity falling into the upper-single-digits to (more likely) mid-teens. This will result in at least locally elevated fire weather conditions. Elsewhere, the ongoing forecast is on track. Elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions are still expected across parts of southern New Mexico. ..Marsh.. 06/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... Mostly zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue as a shortwave trough over the Southwest translates eastward into the Plains. While flow aloft is expected to be weaker behind the wave, somewhat enhanced westerlies may still linger through the afternoon bolstering surface flow. With hot and dry surface conditions expected, a few hours of elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. ...Parts of the Southwest and southern High Plains... Zonal mid-level flow will persist over the southwest and southern Rockies into D2/Monday. Flow aloft is expected to be somewhat weaker as the upper trough moves eastward. Still, some lingering westerly flow may bolster low-level winds behind a surface trough/dryline over the southern Plains. While not expected to be overly strong or widespread, occasional 15-20 mph surface winds are expected over parts of southeastern AZ, southern NM and far west TX. Hot and dry conditions will also support RH below 15% colocated with areas of dry fuels that have not received recent rainfall. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely through the afternoon. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z The elevated area was extended to the northwest (into Arizona) to include portions of the Mogollon Rim. Here, conditions should be similar to Sunday with winds 10-15 mph sustained (gusts above 20 mph) and minimum relative humidity falling into the upper-single-digits to (more likely) mid-teens. This will result in at least locally elevated fire weather conditions. Elsewhere, the ongoing forecast is on track. Elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions are still expected across parts of southern New Mexico. ..Marsh.. 06/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... Mostly zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue as a shortwave trough over the Southwest translates eastward into the Plains. While flow aloft is expected to be weaker behind the wave, somewhat enhanced westerlies may still linger through the afternoon bolstering surface flow. With hot and dry surface conditions expected, a few hours of elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. ...Parts of the Southwest and southern High Plains... Zonal mid-level flow will persist over the southwest and southern Rockies into D2/Monday. Flow aloft is expected to be somewhat weaker as the upper trough moves eastward. Still, some lingering westerly flow may bolster low-level winds behind a surface trough/dryline over the southern Plains. While not expected to be overly strong or widespread, occasional 15-20 mph surface winds are expected over parts of southeastern AZ, southern NM and far west TX. Hot and dry conditions will also support RH below 15% colocated with areas of dry fuels that have not received recent rainfall. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely through the afternoon. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z The elevated area was extended to the northwest (into Arizona) to include portions of the Mogollon Rim. Here, conditions should be similar to Sunday with winds 10-15 mph sustained (gusts above 20 mph) and minimum relative humidity falling into the upper-single-digits to (more likely) mid-teens. This will result in at least locally elevated fire weather conditions. Elsewhere, the ongoing forecast is on track. Elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions are still expected across parts of southern New Mexico. ..Marsh.. 06/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... Mostly zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue as a shortwave trough over the Southwest translates eastward into the Plains. While flow aloft is expected to be weaker behind the wave, somewhat enhanced westerlies may still linger through the afternoon bolstering surface flow. With hot and dry surface conditions expected, a few hours of elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. ...Parts of the Southwest and southern High Plains... Zonal mid-level flow will persist over the southwest and southern Rockies into D2/Monday. Flow aloft is expected to be somewhat weaker as the upper trough moves eastward. Still, some lingering westerly flow may bolster low-level winds behind a surface trough/dryline over the southern Plains. While not expected to be overly strong or widespread, occasional 15-20 mph surface winds are expected over parts of southeastern AZ, southern NM and far west TX. Hot and dry conditions will also support RH below 15% colocated with areas of dry fuels that have not received recent rainfall. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely through the afternoon. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z The elevated area was extended to the northwest (into Arizona) to include portions of the Mogollon Rim. Here, conditions should be similar to Sunday with winds 10-15 mph sustained (gusts above 20 mph) and minimum relative humidity falling into the upper-single-digits to (more likely) mid-teens. This will result in at least locally elevated fire weather conditions. Elsewhere, the ongoing forecast is on track. Elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions are still expected across parts of southern New Mexico. ..Marsh.. 06/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... Mostly zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue as a shortwave trough over the Southwest translates eastward into the Plains. While flow aloft is expected to be weaker behind the wave, somewhat enhanced westerlies may still linger through the afternoon bolstering surface flow. With hot and dry surface conditions expected, a few hours of elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. ...Parts of the Southwest and southern High Plains... Zonal mid-level flow will persist over the southwest and southern Rockies into D2/Monday. Flow aloft is expected to be somewhat weaker as the upper trough moves eastward. Still, some lingering westerly flow may bolster low-level winds behind a surface trough/dryline over the southern Plains. While not expected to be overly strong or widespread, occasional 15-20 mph surface winds are expected over parts of southeastern AZ, southern NM and far west TX. Hot and dry conditions will also support RH below 15% colocated with areas of dry fuels that have not received recent rainfall. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely through the afternoon. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z The elevated area was extended to the northwest (into Arizona) to include portions of the Mogollon Rim. Here, conditions should be similar to Sunday with winds 10-15 mph sustained (gusts above 20 mph) and minimum relative humidity falling into the upper-single-digits to (more likely) mid-teens. This will result in at least locally elevated fire weather conditions. Elsewhere, the ongoing forecast is on track. Elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions are still expected across parts of southern New Mexico. ..Marsh.. 06/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... Mostly zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue as a shortwave trough over the Southwest translates eastward into the Plains. While flow aloft is expected to be weaker behind the wave, somewhat enhanced westerlies may still linger through the afternoon bolstering surface flow. With hot and dry surface conditions expected, a few hours of elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. ...Parts of the Southwest and southern High Plains... Zonal mid-level flow will persist over the southwest and southern Rockies into D2/Monday. Flow aloft is expected to be somewhat weaker as the upper trough moves eastward. Still, some lingering westerly flow may bolster low-level winds behind a surface trough/dryline over the southern Plains. While not expected to be overly strong or widespread, occasional 15-20 mph surface winds are expected over parts of southeastern AZ, southern NM and far west TX. Hot and dry conditions will also support RH below 15% colocated with areas of dry fuels that have not received recent rainfall. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely through the afternoon. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z The elevated area was extended to the northwest (into Arizona) to include portions of the Mogollon Rim. Here, conditions should be similar to Sunday with winds 10-15 mph sustained (gusts above 20 mph) and minimum relative humidity falling into the upper-single-digits to (more likely) mid-teens. This will result in at least locally elevated fire weather conditions. Elsewhere, the ongoing forecast is on track. Elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions are still expected across parts of southern New Mexico. ..Marsh.. 06/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... Mostly zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue as a shortwave trough over the Southwest translates eastward into the Plains. While flow aloft is expected to be weaker behind the wave, somewhat enhanced westerlies may still linger through the afternoon bolstering surface flow. With hot and dry surface conditions expected, a few hours of elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. ...Parts of the Southwest and southern High Plains... Zonal mid-level flow will persist over the southwest and southern Rockies into D2/Monday. Flow aloft is expected to be somewhat weaker as the upper trough moves eastward. Still, some lingering westerly flow may bolster low-level winds behind a surface trough/dryline over the southern Plains. While not expected to be overly strong or widespread, occasional 15-20 mph surface winds are expected over parts of southeastern AZ, southern NM and far west TX. Hot and dry conditions will also support RH below 15% colocated with areas of dry fuels that have not received recent rainfall. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely through the afternoon. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z The elevated area was extended to the northwest (into Arizona) to include portions of the Mogollon Rim. Here, conditions should be similar to Sunday with winds 10-15 mph sustained (gusts above 20 mph) and minimum relative humidity falling into the upper-single-digits to (more likely) mid-teens. This will result in at least locally elevated fire weather conditions. Elsewhere, the ongoing forecast is on track. Elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions are still expected across parts of southern New Mexico. ..Marsh.. 06/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... Mostly zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue as a shortwave trough over the Southwest translates eastward into the Plains. While flow aloft is expected to be weaker behind the wave, somewhat enhanced westerlies may still linger through the afternoon bolstering surface flow. With hot and dry surface conditions expected, a few hours of elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. ...Parts of the Southwest and southern High Plains... Zonal mid-level flow will persist over the southwest and southern Rockies into D2/Monday. Flow aloft is expected to be somewhat weaker as the upper trough moves eastward. Still, some lingering westerly flow may bolster low-level winds behind a surface trough/dryline over the southern Plains. While not expected to be overly strong or widespread, occasional 15-20 mph surface winds are expected over parts of southeastern AZ, southern NM and far west TX. Hot and dry conditions will also support RH below 15% colocated with areas of dry fuels that have not received recent rainfall. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely through the afternoon. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z The elevated area was extended to the northwest (into Arizona) to include portions of the Mogollon Rim. Here, conditions should be similar to Sunday with winds 10-15 mph sustained (gusts above 20 mph) and minimum relative humidity falling into the upper-single-digits to (more likely) mid-teens. This will result in at least locally elevated fire weather conditions. Elsewhere, the ongoing forecast is on track. Elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions are still expected across parts of southern New Mexico. ..Marsh.. 06/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... Mostly zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue as a shortwave trough over the Southwest translates eastward into the Plains. While flow aloft is expected to be weaker behind the wave, somewhat enhanced westerlies may still linger through the afternoon bolstering surface flow. With hot and dry surface conditions expected, a few hours of elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. ...Parts of the Southwest and southern High Plains... Zonal mid-level flow will persist over the southwest and southern Rockies into D2/Monday. Flow aloft is expected to be somewhat weaker as the upper trough moves eastward. Still, some lingering westerly flow may bolster low-level winds behind a surface trough/dryline over the southern Plains. While not expected to be overly strong or widespread, occasional 15-20 mph surface winds are expected over parts of southeastern AZ, southern NM and far west TX. Hot and dry conditions will also support RH below 15% colocated with areas of dry fuels that have not received recent rainfall. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely through the afternoon. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z The elevated area was extended to the northwest (into Arizona) to include portions of the Mogollon Rim. Here, conditions should be similar to Sunday with winds 10-15 mph sustained (gusts above 20 mph) and minimum relative humidity falling into the upper-single-digits to (more likely) mid-teens. This will result in at least locally elevated fire weather conditions. Elsewhere, the ongoing forecast is on track. Elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions are still expected across parts of southern New Mexico. ..Marsh.. 06/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... Mostly zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue as a shortwave trough over the Southwest translates eastward into the Plains. While flow aloft is expected to be weaker behind the wave, somewhat enhanced westerlies may still linger through the afternoon bolstering surface flow. With hot and dry surface conditions expected, a few hours of elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. ...Parts of the Southwest and southern High Plains... Zonal mid-level flow will persist over the southwest and southern Rockies into D2/Monday. Flow aloft is expected to be somewhat weaker as the upper trough moves eastward. Still, some lingering westerly flow may bolster low-level winds behind a surface trough/dryline over the southern Plains. While not expected to be overly strong or widespread, occasional 15-20 mph surface winds are expected over parts of southeastern AZ, southern NM and far west TX. Hot and dry conditions will also support RH below 15% colocated with areas of dry fuels that have not received recent rainfall. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely through the afternoon. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z The elevated area was extended to the northwest (into Arizona) to include portions of the Mogollon Rim. Here, conditions should be similar to Sunday with winds 10-15 mph sustained (gusts above 20 mph) and minimum relative humidity falling into the upper-single-digits to (more likely) mid-teens. This will result in at least locally elevated fire weather conditions. Elsewhere, the ongoing forecast is on track. Elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions are still expected across parts of southern New Mexico. ..Marsh.. 06/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... Mostly zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue as a shortwave trough over the Southwest translates eastward into the Plains. While flow aloft is expected to be weaker behind the wave, somewhat enhanced westerlies may still linger through the afternoon bolstering surface flow. With hot and dry surface conditions expected, a few hours of elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. ...Parts of the Southwest and southern High Plains... Zonal mid-level flow will persist over the southwest and southern Rockies into D2/Monday. Flow aloft is expected to be somewhat weaker as the upper trough moves eastward. Still, some lingering westerly flow may bolster low-level winds behind a surface trough/dryline over the southern Plains. While not expected to be overly strong or widespread, occasional 15-20 mph surface winds are expected over parts of southeastern AZ, southern NM and far west TX. Hot and dry conditions will also support RH below 15% colocated with areas of dry fuels that have not received recent rainfall. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely through the afternoon. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z The elevated area was extended to the northwest (into Arizona) to include portions of the Mogollon Rim. Here, conditions should be similar to Sunday with winds 10-15 mph sustained (gusts above 20 mph) and minimum relative humidity falling into the upper-single-digits to (more likely) mid-teens. This will result in at least locally elevated fire weather conditions. Elsewhere, the ongoing forecast is on track. Elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions are still expected across parts of southern New Mexico. ..Marsh.. 06/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... Mostly zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue as a shortwave trough over the Southwest translates eastward into the Plains. While flow aloft is expected to be weaker behind the wave, somewhat enhanced westerlies may still linger through the afternoon bolstering surface flow. With hot and dry surface conditions expected, a few hours of elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. ...Parts of the Southwest and southern High Plains... Zonal mid-level flow will persist over the southwest and southern Rockies into D2/Monday. Flow aloft is expected to be somewhat weaker as the upper trough moves eastward. Still, some lingering westerly flow may bolster low-level winds behind a surface trough/dryline over the southern Plains. While not expected to be overly strong or widespread, occasional 15-20 mph surface winds are expected over parts of southeastern AZ, southern NM and far west TX. Hot and dry conditions will also support RH below 15% colocated with areas of dry fuels that have not received recent rainfall. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely through the afternoon. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z The elevated area was extended to the northwest (into Arizona) to include portions of the Mogollon Rim. Here, conditions should be similar to Sunday with winds 10-15 mph sustained (gusts above 20 mph) and minimum relative humidity falling into the upper-single-digits to (more likely) mid-teens. This will result in at least locally elevated fire weather conditions. Elsewhere, the ongoing forecast is on track. Elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions are still expected across parts of southern New Mexico. ..Marsh.. 06/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... Mostly zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue as a shortwave trough over the Southwest translates eastward into the Plains. While flow aloft is expected to be weaker behind the wave, somewhat enhanced westerlies may still linger through the afternoon bolstering surface flow. With hot and dry surface conditions expected, a few hours of elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. ...Parts of the Southwest and southern High Plains... Zonal mid-level flow will persist over the southwest and southern Rockies into D2/Monday. Flow aloft is expected to be somewhat weaker as the upper trough moves eastward. Still, some lingering westerly flow may bolster low-level winds behind a surface trough/dryline over the southern Plains. While not expected to be overly strong or widespread, occasional 15-20 mph surface winds are expected over parts of southeastern AZ, southern NM and far west TX. Hot and dry conditions will also support RH below 15% colocated with areas of dry fuels that have not received recent rainfall. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely through the afternoon. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more