Severe Storms

WW 0591 Status Updates
340- STATUS REPORT ON WW 591 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE LYH TO 35 WSW DCA TO 30 ESE MRB TO 15 E MRB. ..THORNTON..08/03/24 ATTN...WFO...OKX...LWX...PHI...CTP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 591 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS CTC001-032340- CT . CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FAIRFIELD DEC001-003-005-032340- DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX DCC001-032340- DC . DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA Read more

WW 0592 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 592 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE HKY TO 20 NW DAN TO 20 SW CHO TO 15 WSW CHO. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1807 ..THORNTON..08/03/24 ATTN...WFO...RAH...GSP...RNK...CAE...AKQ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 592 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC001-003-007-015-025-033-035-037-045-057-059-063-067-069-071- 077-081-085-091-093-097-105-109-119-123-125-131-135-145-151-153- 157-159-165-167-169-179-181-183-185-197-032340- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALAMANCE ALEXANDER ANSON BERTIE CABARRUS CASWELL CATAWBA CHATHAM CLEVELAND DAVIDSON DAVIE DURHAM FORSYTH FRANKLIN GASTON GRANVILLE GUILFORD HARNETT HERTFORD HOKE IREDELL LEE LINCOLN MECKLENBURG MONTGOMERY MOORE NORTHAMPTON ORANGE PERSON RANDOLPH RICHMOND ROCKINGHAM ROWAN SCOTLAND STANLY STOKES UNION VANCE WAKE WARREN YADKIN Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0446 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... By D3/Monday, a mid to upper-level ridge will slowly begin to extend eastward over the Southern Plains, and remain in place over the Southwest. Throughout the rest of the week, and especially by D6/Thursday, heights will begin to fall within the ridge over the northwestern CONUS as mid-level shortwave troughs move atop it. Quasi-zonal flow will transpire from the Pacific Northwest eastward through the Upper Atlantic into most of the extended forecast period. ...Isolated Dry Thunderstorms... A mid to upper-level plume of monsoonal moisture rotating around the ridge D3/Monday will present the opportunity for additional isolated dry thunderstorm chances from the northern to central Rockies, where a drier boundary layer and receptive fuel conditions will reside. Although similar chances are expected D4/Tuesday, increasing moisture through the troposphere should narrow this potential area to a portion of the northern Rockies from western MT, southeastward into western and central WY. ...Wind and RH... Increasing westerly winds will develop across portions of the northwestern Great Basin and Snake River Plain D3/Monday through D5/Wednesday on the northern periphery of the mid to upper-level ridge. The mostly likely time for the highest sustained surface wind speeds appears to be Tuesday into Wednesday via a mid-level jet accompanying a Pacific shortwave trough traversing the northern Rockies, and an increasing surface pressure gradient. Although temperatures will be relatively cooler, a dry boundary layer will remain in place keeping critical minimum RH in present during the afternoons. However, most of these critical weather conditions should overlap with recovering fuels precluding the need for a 40 percent Critical probability area at this time. The exception may be across far northwestern NV. ..Barnes.. 08/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0446 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... By D3/Monday, a mid to upper-level ridge will slowly begin to extend eastward over the Southern Plains, and remain in place over the Southwest. Throughout the rest of the week, and especially by D6/Thursday, heights will begin to fall within the ridge over the northwestern CONUS as mid-level shortwave troughs move atop it. Quasi-zonal flow will transpire from the Pacific Northwest eastward through the Upper Atlantic into most of the extended forecast period. ...Isolated Dry Thunderstorms... A mid to upper-level plume of monsoonal moisture rotating around the ridge D3/Monday will present the opportunity for additional isolated dry thunderstorm chances from the northern to central Rockies, where a drier boundary layer and receptive fuel conditions will reside. Although similar chances are expected D4/Tuesday, increasing moisture through the troposphere should narrow this potential area to a portion of the northern Rockies from western MT, southeastward into western and central WY. ...Wind and RH... Increasing westerly winds will develop across portions of the northwestern Great Basin and Snake River Plain D3/Monday through D5/Wednesday on the northern periphery of the mid to upper-level ridge. The mostly likely time for the highest sustained surface wind speeds appears to be Tuesday into Wednesday via a mid-level jet accompanying a Pacific shortwave trough traversing the northern Rockies, and an increasing surface pressure gradient. Although temperatures will be relatively cooler, a dry boundary layer will remain in place keeping critical minimum RH in present during the afternoons. However, most of these critical weather conditions should overlap with recovering fuels precluding the need for a 40 percent Critical probability area at this time. The exception may be across far northwestern NV. ..Barnes.. 08/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0446 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... By D3/Monday, a mid to upper-level ridge will slowly begin to extend eastward over the Southern Plains, and remain in place over the Southwest. Throughout the rest of the week, and especially by D6/Thursday, heights will begin to fall within the ridge over the northwestern CONUS as mid-level shortwave troughs move atop it. Quasi-zonal flow will transpire from the Pacific Northwest eastward through the Upper Atlantic into most of the extended forecast period. ...Isolated Dry Thunderstorms... A mid to upper-level plume of monsoonal moisture rotating around the ridge D3/Monday will present the opportunity for additional isolated dry thunderstorm chances from the northern to central Rockies, where a drier boundary layer and receptive fuel conditions will reside. Although similar chances are expected D4/Tuesday, increasing moisture through the troposphere should narrow this potential area to a portion of the northern Rockies from western MT, southeastward into western and central WY. ...Wind and RH... Increasing westerly winds will develop across portions of the northwestern Great Basin and Snake River Plain D3/Monday through D5/Wednesday on the northern periphery of the mid to upper-level ridge. The mostly likely time for the highest sustained surface wind speeds appears to be Tuesday into Wednesday via a mid-level jet accompanying a Pacific shortwave trough traversing the northern Rockies, and an increasing surface pressure gradient. Although temperatures will be relatively cooler, a dry boundary layer will remain in place keeping critical minimum RH in present during the afternoons. However, most of these critical weather conditions should overlap with recovering fuels precluding the need for a 40 percent Critical probability area at this time. The exception may be across far northwestern NV. ..Barnes.. 08/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0446 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... By D3/Monday, a mid to upper-level ridge will slowly begin to extend eastward over the Southern Plains, and remain in place over the Southwest. Throughout the rest of the week, and especially by D6/Thursday, heights will begin to fall within the ridge over the northwestern CONUS as mid-level shortwave troughs move atop it. Quasi-zonal flow will transpire from the Pacific Northwest eastward through the Upper Atlantic into most of the extended forecast period. ...Isolated Dry Thunderstorms... A mid to upper-level plume of monsoonal moisture rotating around the ridge D3/Monday will present the opportunity for additional isolated dry thunderstorm chances from the northern to central Rockies, where a drier boundary layer and receptive fuel conditions will reside. Although similar chances are expected D4/Tuesday, increasing moisture through the troposphere should narrow this potential area to a portion of the northern Rockies from western MT, southeastward into western and central WY. ...Wind and RH... Increasing westerly winds will develop across portions of the northwestern Great Basin and Snake River Plain D3/Monday through D5/Wednesday on the northern periphery of the mid to upper-level ridge. The mostly likely time for the highest sustained surface wind speeds appears to be Tuesday into Wednesday via a mid-level jet accompanying a Pacific shortwave trough traversing the northern Rockies, and an increasing surface pressure gradient. Although temperatures will be relatively cooler, a dry boundary layer will remain in place keeping critical minimum RH in present during the afternoons. However, most of these critical weather conditions should overlap with recovering fuels precluding the need for a 40 percent Critical probability area at this time. The exception may be across far northwestern NV. ..Barnes.. 08/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0446 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... By D3/Monday, a mid to upper-level ridge will slowly begin to extend eastward over the Southern Plains, and remain in place over the Southwest. Throughout the rest of the week, and especially by D6/Thursday, heights will begin to fall within the ridge over the northwestern CONUS as mid-level shortwave troughs move atop it. Quasi-zonal flow will transpire from the Pacific Northwest eastward through the Upper Atlantic into most of the extended forecast period. ...Isolated Dry Thunderstorms... A mid to upper-level plume of monsoonal moisture rotating around the ridge D3/Monday will present the opportunity for additional isolated dry thunderstorm chances from the northern to central Rockies, where a drier boundary layer and receptive fuel conditions will reside. Although similar chances are expected D4/Tuesday, increasing moisture through the troposphere should narrow this potential area to a portion of the northern Rockies from western MT, southeastward into western and central WY. ...Wind and RH... Increasing westerly winds will develop across portions of the northwestern Great Basin and Snake River Plain D3/Monday through D5/Wednesday on the northern periphery of the mid to upper-level ridge. The mostly likely time for the highest sustained surface wind speeds appears to be Tuesday into Wednesday via a mid-level jet accompanying a Pacific shortwave trough traversing the northern Rockies, and an increasing surface pressure gradient. Although temperatures will be relatively cooler, a dry boundary layer will remain in place keeping critical minimum RH in present during the afternoons. However, most of these critical weather conditions should overlap with recovering fuels precluding the need for a 40 percent Critical probability area at this time. The exception may be across far northwestern NV. ..Barnes.. 08/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0446 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... By D3/Monday, a mid to upper-level ridge will slowly begin to extend eastward over the Southern Plains, and remain in place over the Southwest. Throughout the rest of the week, and especially by D6/Thursday, heights will begin to fall within the ridge over the northwestern CONUS as mid-level shortwave troughs move atop it. Quasi-zonal flow will transpire from the Pacific Northwest eastward through the Upper Atlantic into most of the extended forecast period. ...Isolated Dry Thunderstorms... A mid to upper-level plume of monsoonal moisture rotating around the ridge D3/Monday will present the opportunity for additional isolated dry thunderstorm chances from the northern to central Rockies, where a drier boundary layer and receptive fuel conditions will reside. Although similar chances are expected D4/Tuesday, increasing moisture through the troposphere should narrow this potential area to a portion of the northern Rockies from western MT, southeastward into western and central WY. ...Wind and RH... Increasing westerly winds will develop across portions of the northwestern Great Basin and Snake River Plain D3/Monday through D5/Wednesday on the northern periphery of the mid to upper-level ridge. The mostly likely time for the highest sustained surface wind speeds appears to be Tuesday into Wednesday via a mid-level jet accompanying a Pacific shortwave trough traversing the northern Rockies, and an increasing surface pressure gradient. Although temperatures will be relatively cooler, a dry boundary layer will remain in place keeping critical minimum RH in present during the afternoons. However, most of these critical weather conditions should overlap with recovering fuels precluding the need for a 40 percent Critical probability area at this time. The exception may be across far northwestern NV. ..Barnes.. 08/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0446 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... By D3/Monday, a mid to upper-level ridge will slowly begin to extend eastward over the Southern Plains, and remain in place over the Southwest. Throughout the rest of the week, and especially by D6/Thursday, heights will begin to fall within the ridge over the northwestern CONUS as mid-level shortwave troughs move atop it. Quasi-zonal flow will transpire from the Pacific Northwest eastward through the Upper Atlantic into most of the extended forecast period. ...Isolated Dry Thunderstorms... A mid to upper-level plume of monsoonal moisture rotating around the ridge D3/Monday will present the opportunity for additional isolated dry thunderstorm chances from the northern to central Rockies, where a drier boundary layer and receptive fuel conditions will reside. Although similar chances are expected D4/Tuesday, increasing moisture through the troposphere should narrow this potential area to a portion of the northern Rockies from western MT, southeastward into western and central WY. ...Wind and RH... Increasing westerly winds will develop across portions of the northwestern Great Basin and Snake River Plain D3/Monday through D5/Wednesday on the northern periphery of the mid to upper-level ridge. The mostly likely time for the highest sustained surface wind speeds appears to be Tuesday into Wednesday via a mid-level jet accompanying a Pacific shortwave trough traversing the northern Rockies, and an increasing surface pressure gradient. Although temperatures will be relatively cooler, a dry boundary layer will remain in place keeping critical minimum RH in present during the afternoons. However, most of these critical weather conditions should overlap with recovering fuels precluding the need for a 40 percent Critical probability area at this time. The exception may be across far northwestern NV. ..Barnes.. 08/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0446 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... By D3/Monday, a mid to upper-level ridge will slowly begin to extend eastward over the Southern Plains, and remain in place over the Southwest. Throughout the rest of the week, and especially by D6/Thursday, heights will begin to fall within the ridge over the northwestern CONUS as mid-level shortwave troughs move atop it. Quasi-zonal flow will transpire from the Pacific Northwest eastward through the Upper Atlantic into most of the extended forecast period. ...Isolated Dry Thunderstorms... A mid to upper-level plume of monsoonal moisture rotating around the ridge D3/Monday will present the opportunity for additional isolated dry thunderstorm chances from the northern to central Rockies, where a drier boundary layer and receptive fuel conditions will reside. Although similar chances are expected D4/Tuesday, increasing moisture through the troposphere should narrow this potential area to a portion of the northern Rockies from western MT, southeastward into western and central WY. ...Wind and RH... Increasing westerly winds will develop across portions of the northwestern Great Basin and Snake River Plain D3/Monday through D5/Wednesday on the northern periphery of the mid to upper-level ridge. The mostly likely time for the highest sustained surface wind speeds appears to be Tuesday into Wednesday via a mid-level jet accompanying a Pacific shortwave trough traversing the northern Rockies, and an increasing surface pressure gradient. Although temperatures will be relatively cooler, a dry boundary layer will remain in place keeping critical minimum RH in present during the afternoons. However, most of these critical weather conditions should overlap with recovering fuels precluding the need for a 40 percent Critical probability area at this time. The exception may be across far northwestern NV. ..Barnes.. 08/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0446 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... By D3/Monday, a mid to upper-level ridge will slowly begin to extend eastward over the Southern Plains, and remain in place over the Southwest. Throughout the rest of the week, and especially by D6/Thursday, heights will begin to fall within the ridge over the northwestern CONUS as mid-level shortwave troughs move atop it. Quasi-zonal flow will transpire from the Pacific Northwest eastward through the Upper Atlantic into most of the extended forecast period. ...Isolated Dry Thunderstorms... A mid to upper-level plume of monsoonal moisture rotating around the ridge D3/Monday will present the opportunity for additional isolated dry thunderstorm chances from the northern to central Rockies, where a drier boundary layer and receptive fuel conditions will reside. Although similar chances are expected D4/Tuesday, increasing moisture through the troposphere should narrow this potential area to a portion of the northern Rockies from western MT, southeastward into western and central WY. ...Wind and RH... Increasing westerly winds will develop across portions of the northwestern Great Basin and Snake River Plain D3/Monday through D5/Wednesday on the northern periphery of the mid to upper-level ridge. The mostly likely time for the highest sustained surface wind speeds appears to be Tuesday into Wednesday via a mid-level jet accompanying a Pacific shortwave trough traversing the northern Rockies, and an increasing surface pressure gradient. Although temperatures will be relatively cooler, a dry boundary layer will remain in place keeping critical minimum RH in present during the afternoons. However, most of these critical weather conditions should overlap with recovering fuels precluding the need for a 40 percent Critical probability area at this time. The exception may be across far northwestern NV. ..Barnes.. 08/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0446 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... By D3/Monday, a mid to upper-level ridge will slowly begin to extend eastward over the Southern Plains, and remain in place over the Southwest. Throughout the rest of the week, and especially by D6/Thursday, heights will begin to fall within the ridge over the northwestern CONUS as mid-level shortwave troughs move atop it. Quasi-zonal flow will transpire from the Pacific Northwest eastward through the Upper Atlantic into most of the extended forecast period. ...Isolated Dry Thunderstorms... A mid to upper-level plume of monsoonal moisture rotating around the ridge D3/Monday will present the opportunity for additional isolated dry thunderstorm chances from the northern to central Rockies, where a drier boundary layer and receptive fuel conditions will reside. Although similar chances are expected D4/Tuesday, increasing moisture through the troposphere should narrow this potential area to a portion of the northern Rockies from western MT, southeastward into western and central WY. ...Wind and RH... Increasing westerly winds will develop across portions of the northwestern Great Basin and Snake River Plain D3/Monday through D5/Wednesday on the northern periphery of the mid to upper-level ridge. The mostly likely time for the highest sustained surface wind speeds appears to be Tuesday into Wednesday via a mid-level jet accompanying a Pacific shortwave trough traversing the northern Rockies, and an increasing surface pressure gradient. Although temperatures will be relatively cooler, a dry boundary layer will remain in place keeping critical minimum RH in present during the afternoons. However, most of these critical weather conditions should overlap with recovering fuels precluding the need for a 40 percent Critical probability area at this time. The exception may be across far northwestern NV. ..Barnes.. 08/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0446 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... By D3/Monday, a mid to upper-level ridge will slowly begin to extend eastward over the Southern Plains, and remain in place over the Southwest. Throughout the rest of the week, and especially by D6/Thursday, heights will begin to fall within the ridge over the northwestern CONUS as mid-level shortwave troughs move atop it. Quasi-zonal flow will transpire from the Pacific Northwest eastward through the Upper Atlantic into most of the extended forecast period. ...Isolated Dry Thunderstorms... A mid to upper-level plume of monsoonal moisture rotating around the ridge D3/Monday will present the opportunity for additional isolated dry thunderstorm chances from the northern to central Rockies, where a drier boundary layer and receptive fuel conditions will reside. Although similar chances are expected D4/Tuesday, increasing moisture through the troposphere should narrow this potential area to a portion of the northern Rockies from western MT, southeastward into western and central WY. ...Wind and RH... Increasing westerly winds will develop across portions of the northwestern Great Basin and Snake River Plain D3/Monday through D5/Wednesday on the northern periphery of the mid to upper-level ridge. The mostly likely time for the highest sustained surface wind speeds appears to be Tuesday into Wednesday via a mid-level jet accompanying a Pacific shortwave trough traversing the northern Rockies, and an increasing surface pressure gradient. Although temperatures will be relatively cooler, a dry boundary layer will remain in place keeping critical minimum RH in present during the afternoons. However, most of these critical weather conditions should overlap with recovering fuels precluding the need for a 40 percent Critical probability area at this time. The exception may be across far northwestern NV. ..Barnes.. 08/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0446 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... By D3/Monday, a mid to upper-level ridge will slowly begin to extend eastward over the Southern Plains, and remain in place over the Southwest. Throughout the rest of the week, and especially by D6/Thursday, heights will begin to fall within the ridge over the northwestern CONUS as mid-level shortwave troughs move atop it. Quasi-zonal flow will transpire from the Pacific Northwest eastward through the Upper Atlantic into most of the extended forecast period. ...Isolated Dry Thunderstorms... A mid to upper-level plume of monsoonal moisture rotating around the ridge D3/Monday will present the opportunity for additional isolated dry thunderstorm chances from the northern to central Rockies, where a drier boundary layer and receptive fuel conditions will reside. Although similar chances are expected D4/Tuesday, increasing moisture through the troposphere should narrow this potential area to a portion of the northern Rockies from western MT, southeastward into western and central WY. ...Wind and RH... Increasing westerly winds will develop across portions of the northwestern Great Basin and Snake River Plain D3/Monday through D5/Wednesday on the northern periphery of the mid to upper-level ridge. The mostly likely time for the highest sustained surface wind speeds appears to be Tuesday into Wednesday via a mid-level jet accompanying a Pacific shortwave trough traversing the northern Rockies, and an increasing surface pressure gradient. Although temperatures will be relatively cooler, a dry boundary layer will remain in place keeping critical minimum RH in present during the afternoons. However, most of these critical weather conditions should overlap with recovering fuels precluding the need for a 40 percent Critical probability area at this time. The exception may be across far northwestern NV. ..Barnes.. 08/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0446 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... By D3/Monday, a mid to upper-level ridge will slowly begin to extend eastward over the Southern Plains, and remain in place over the Southwest. Throughout the rest of the week, and especially by D6/Thursday, heights will begin to fall within the ridge over the northwestern CONUS as mid-level shortwave troughs move atop it. Quasi-zonal flow will transpire from the Pacific Northwest eastward through the Upper Atlantic into most of the extended forecast period. ...Isolated Dry Thunderstorms... A mid to upper-level plume of monsoonal moisture rotating around the ridge D3/Monday will present the opportunity for additional isolated dry thunderstorm chances from the northern to central Rockies, where a drier boundary layer and receptive fuel conditions will reside. Although similar chances are expected D4/Tuesday, increasing moisture through the troposphere should narrow this potential area to a portion of the northern Rockies from western MT, southeastward into western and central WY. ...Wind and RH... Increasing westerly winds will develop across portions of the northwestern Great Basin and Snake River Plain D3/Monday through D5/Wednesday on the northern periphery of the mid to upper-level ridge. The mostly likely time for the highest sustained surface wind speeds appears to be Tuesday into Wednesday via a mid-level jet accompanying a Pacific shortwave trough traversing the northern Rockies, and an increasing surface pressure gradient. Although temperatures will be relatively cooler, a dry boundary layer will remain in place keeping critical minimum RH in present during the afternoons. However, most of these critical weather conditions should overlap with recovering fuels precluding the need for a 40 percent Critical probability area at this time. The exception may be across far northwestern NV. ..Barnes.. 08/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0446 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... By D3/Monday, a mid to upper-level ridge will slowly begin to extend eastward over the Southern Plains, and remain in place over the Southwest. Throughout the rest of the week, and especially by D6/Thursday, heights will begin to fall within the ridge over the northwestern CONUS as mid-level shortwave troughs move atop it. Quasi-zonal flow will transpire from the Pacific Northwest eastward through the Upper Atlantic into most of the extended forecast period. ...Isolated Dry Thunderstorms... A mid to upper-level plume of monsoonal moisture rotating around the ridge D3/Monday will present the opportunity for additional isolated dry thunderstorm chances from the northern to central Rockies, where a drier boundary layer and receptive fuel conditions will reside. Although similar chances are expected D4/Tuesday, increasing moisture through the troposphere should narrow this potential area to a portion of the northern Rockies from western MT, southeastward into western and central WY. ...Wind and RH... Increasing westerly winds will develop across portions of the northwestern Great Basin and Snake River Plain D3/Monday through D5/Wednesday on the northern periphery of the mid to upper-level ridge. The mostly likely time for the highest sustained surface wind speeds appears to be Tuesday into Wednesday via a mid-level jet accompanying a Pacific shortwave trough traversing the northern Rockies, and an increasing surface pressure gradient. Although temperatures will be relatively cooler, a dry boundary layer will remain in place keeping critical minimum RH in present during the afternoons. However, most of these critical weather conditions should overlap with recovering fuels precluding the need for a 40 percent Critical probability area at this time. The exception may be across far northwestern NV. ..Barnes.. 08/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

MD 1805 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR MUCH OF SOUTHERN FLORIDA
Mesoscale Discussion 1805 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0217 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024 Areas affected...much of southern Florida Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 031917Z - 032145Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Locally strong wind gusts and perhaps a brief/weak tornado remain possible across southern Florida today, but a watch is not anticipated at this time. DISCUSSION...Daytime heating along with mid to upper 70s F dewpoints is resulting in moderate instability, which is aiding a band of convection over far southern FL. Additional cells east of the main band are noted on radar, with signs of outflow surges pushing northwestward. Thus far, low-level shear has not strengthened much. Area VWPs indicate 0-1 SRH values generally in the 75-100 m2/s2 range, which is on the low-end for tornado potential. However, as the TC deepens and low-level convergence increases, some of these bands could become a bit better organized, at which time the stronger cells could exhibit transient mesocyclones. Otherwise, moderate mean winds in the lowest few km will favor strong to locally damaging wind gusts. ..Jewell.. 08/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...KEY...TBW... LAT...LON 26178205 26898248 27478282 27958283 28268216 28028127 27388032 26807993 26017996 25408010 24908050 24558131 24418208 24658221 25598211 26178205 Read more

WW 0592 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 592 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1807 ..THORNTON..08/03/24 ATTN...WFO...RAH...GSP...RNK...CAE...AKQ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 592 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC001-003-007-015-025-033-035-037-045-057-059-063-067-069-071- 077-081-085-091-093-097-105-109-119-123-125-131-135-145-151-153- 157-159-165-167-169-171-179-181-183-185-197-032240- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALAMANCE ALEXANDER ANSON BERTIE CABARRUS CASWELL CATAWBA CHATHAM CLEVELAND DAVIDSON DAVIE DURHAM FORSYTH FRANKLIN GASTON GRANVILLE GUILFORD HARNETT HERTFORD HOKE IREDELL LEE LINCOLN MECKLENBURG MONTGOMERY MOORE NORTHAMPTON ORANGE PERSON RANDOLPH RICHMOND ROCKINGHAM ROWAN SCOTLAND STANLY STOKES SURRY UNION VANCE WAKE WARREN YADKIN SCC021-023-025-039-047-055-057-059-063-071-079-081-083-087-091- Read more

WW 0591 Status Updates
240- STATUS REPORT ON WW 591 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..THORNTON..08/03/24 ATTN...WFO...OKX...LWX...PHI...CTP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 591 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS CTC001-032240- CT . CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FAIRFIELD DEC001-003-005-032240- DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX DCC001-032240- DC . DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA MDC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-021-025-027-029-031-033-035-037- Read more

WW 0592 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 592 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..THORNTON..08/03/24 ATTN...WFO...RAH...GSP...RNK...CAE...AKQ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 592 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC001-003-007-015-025-033-035-037-045-057-059-063-067-069-071- 077-081-085-091-093-097-105-109-119-123-125-131-135-145-151-153- 157-159-165-167-169-171-179-181-183-185-197-032140- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALAMANCE ALEXANDER ANSON BERTIE CABARRUS CASWELL CATAWBA CHATHAM CLEVELAND DAVIDSON DAVIE DURHAM FORSYTH FRANKLIN GASTON GRANVILLE GUILFORD HARNETT HERTFORD HOKE IREDELL LEE LINCOLN MECKLENBURG MONTGOMERY MOORE NORTHAMPTON ORANGE PERSON RANDOLPH RICHMOND ROCKINGHAM ROWAN SCOTLAND STANLY STOKES SURRY UNION VANCE WAKE WARREN YADKIN SCC021-023-025-039-047-055-057-059-063-071-079-081-083-087-091- 032140- Read more