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1 year 1 month ago
WW 591 SEVERE TSTM CT DC DE MD NJ NY PA VA CW 031720Z - 040100Z
CWZ000-040100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 591
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
120 PM EDT Sat Aug 3 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest Connecticut
District Of Columbia
Delaware
Northeast Maryland
New Jersey
Southeast New York
Southeast Pennsylvania
Northern Virginia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 120 PM until
900 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to increase in coverage and
intensity through the afternoon and early evening, posing a risk of
locally damaging wind gusts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles north of Newark
NJ to 45 miles west southwest of Patuxent River MD. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26030.
...Hart
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
WW 0592 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 592
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE HKY
TO 35 N GSO TO 20 NW DAN TO 30 SW CHO TO 15 W CHO.
..THORNTON..08/03/24
ATTN...WFO...RAH...GSP...RNK...CAE...AKQ...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 592
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-003-007-015-025-033-035-037-045-057-059-063-067-069-071-
077-081-085-091-093-097-105-109-119-123-125-131-135-145-151-153-
157-159-165-167-169-179-181-183-185-197-040040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ALEXANDER ANSON
BERTIE CABARRUS CASWELL
CATAWBA CHATHAM CLEVELAND
DAVIDSON DAVIE DURHAM
FORSYTH FRANKLIN GASTON
GRANVILLE GUILFORD HARNETT
HERTFORD HOKE IREDELL
LEE LINCOLN MECKLENBURG
MONTGOMERY MOORE NORTHAMPTON
ORANGE PERSON RANDOLPH
RICHMOND ROCKINGHAM ROWAN
SCOTLAND STANLY STOKES
UNION VANCE WAKE
WARREN YADKIN
SCC021-023-025-039-047-055-057-059-063-071-079-081-083-087-091-
040040-
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
WW 0592 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 592
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE HKY
TO 35 N GSO TO 20 NW DAN TO 30 SW CHO TO 15 W CHO.
..THORNTON..08/03/24
ATTN...WFO...RAH...GSP...RNK...CAE...AKQ...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 592
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-003-007-015-025-033-035-037-045-057-059-063-067-069-071-
077-081-085-091-093-097-105-109-119-123-125-131-135-145-151-153-
157-159-165-167-169-179-181-183-185-197-040040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ALEXANDER ANSON
BERTIE CABARRUS CASWELL
CATAWBA CHATHAM CLEVELAND
DAVIDSON DAVIE DURHAM
FORSYTH FRANKLIN GASTON
GRANVILLE GUILFORD HARNETT
HERTFORD HOKE IREDELL
LEE LINCOLN MECKLENBURG
MONTGOMERY MOORE NORTHAMPTON
ORANGE PERSON RANDOLPH
RICHMOND ROCKINGHAM ROWAN
SCOTLAND STANLY STOKES
UNION VANCE WAKE
WARREN YADKIN
SCC021-023-025-039-047-055-057-059-063-071-079-081-083-087-091-
040040-
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
WW 0592 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 592
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE HKY
TO 35 N GSO TO 20 NW DAN TO 30 SW CHO TO 15 W CHO.
..THORNTON..08/03/24
ATTN...WFO...RAH...GSP...RNK...CAE...AKQ...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 592
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-003-007-015-025-033-035-037-045-057-059-063-067-069-071-
077-081-085-091-093-097-105-109-119-123-125-131-135-145-151-153-
157-159-165-167-169-179-181-183-185-197-040040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ALEXANDER ANSON
BERTIE CABARRUS CASWELL
CATAWBA CHATHAM CLEVELAND
DAVIDSON DAVIE DURHAM
FORSYTH FRANKLIN GASTON
GRANVILLE GUILFORD HARNETT
HERTFORD HOKE IREDELL
LEE LINCOLN MECKLENBURG
MONTGOMERY MOORE NORTHAMPTON
ORANGE PERSON RANDOLPH
RICHMOND ROCKINGHAM ROWAN
SCOTLAND STANLY STOKES
UNION VANCE WAKE
WARREN YADKIN
SCC021-023-025-039-047-055-057-059-063-071-079-081-083-087-091-
040040-
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
WW 0592 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 592
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE HKY
TO 35 N GSO TO 20 NW DAN TO 30 SW CHO TO 15 W CHO.
..THORNTON..08/03/24
ATTN...WFO...RAH...GSP...RNK...CAE...AKQ...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 592
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-003-007-015-025-033-035-037-045-057-059-063-067-069-071-
077-081-085-091-093-097-105-109-119-123-125-131-135-145-151-153-
157-159-165-167-169-179-181-183-185-197-040040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ALEXANDER ANSON
BERTIE CABARRUS CASWELL
CATAWBA CHATHAM CLEVELAND
DAVIDSON DAVIE DURHAM
FORSYTH FRANKLIN GASTON
GRANVILLE GUILFORD HARNETT
HERTFORD HOKE IREDELL
LEE LINCOLN MECKLENBURG
MONTGOMERY MOORE NORTHAMPTON
ORANGE PERSON RANDOLPH
RICHMOND ROCKINGHAM ROWAN
SCOTLAND STANLY STOKES
UNION VANCE WAKE
WARREN YADKIN
SCC021-023-025-039-047-055-057-059-063-071-079-081-083-087-091-
040040-
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
WW 0592 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 592
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE HKY
TO 35 N GSO TO 20 NW DAN TO 30 SW CHO TO 15 W CHO.
..THORNTON..08/03/24
ATTN...WFO...RAH...GSP...RNK...CAE...AKQ...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 592
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-003-007-015-025-033-035-037-045-057-059-063-067-069-071-
077-081-085-091-093-097-105-109-119-123-125-131-135-145-151-153-
157-159-165-167-169-179-181-183-185-197-040040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ALEXANDER ANSON
BERTIE CABARRUS CASWELL
CATAWBA CHATHAM CLEVELAND
DAVIDSON DAVIE DURHAM
FORSYTH FRANKLIN GASTON
GRANVILLE GUILFORD HARNETT
HERTFORD HOKE IREDELL
LEE LINCOLN MECKLENBURG
MONTGOMERY MOORE NORTHAMPTON
ORANGE PERSON RANDOLPH
RICHMOND ROCKINGHAM ROWAN
SCOTLAND STANLY STOKES
UNION VANCE WAKE
WARREN YADKIN
SCC021-023-025-039-047-055-057-059-063-071-079-081-083-087-091-
040040-
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
WW 592 SEVERE TSTM NC SC VA 031810Z - 040100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 592
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
210 PM EDT Sat Aug 3 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central North Carolina
Central South Carolina
Central Virginia
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until
900 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are increasing in a corridor from central
Virginia into central South Carolina. These storms will track
northeastward through the afternoon, posing a risk of locally
damaging wind gusts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles north of
Richmond VA to 65 miles south southwest of Charlotte NC. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 591...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25025.
...Hart
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
WW 0592 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 592
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE HKY
TO 35 N GSO TO 20 NW DAN TO 30 SW CHO TO 15 W CHO.
..THORNTON..08/03/24
ATTN...WFO...RAH...GSP...RNK...CAE...AKQ...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 592
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-003-007-015-025-033-035-037-045-057-059-063-067-069-071-
077-081-085-091-093-097-105-109-119-123-125-131-135-145-151-153-
157-159-165-167-169-179-181-183-185-197-040040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ALEXANDER ANSON
BERTIE CABARRUS CASWELL
CATAWBA CHATHAM CLEVELAND
DAVIDSON DAVIE DURHAM
FORSYTH FRANKLIN GASTON
GRANVILLE GUILFORD HARNETT
HERTFORD HOKE IREDELL
LEE LINCOLN MECKLENBURG
MONTGOMERY MOORE NORTHAMPTON
ORANGE PERSON RANDOLPH
RICHMOND ROCKINGHAM ROWAN
SCOTLAND STANLY STOKES
UNION VANCE WAKE
WARREN YADKIN
SCC021-023-025-039-047-055-057-059-063-071-079-081-083-087-091-
040040-
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
MD 1809 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA INTO CENTRAL/SOUTHERN MINNESOTA
Mesoscale Discussion 1809
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0456 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024
Areas affected...eastern South Dakota into central/southern
Minnesota
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 032156Z - 040000Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorm potential is increasing late this
afternoon across eastern South Dakota into central/southern
Minnesota. Timing for thunderstorm development is uncertain, but
this area is being monitored for possible watch issuance.
DISCUSSION...A surface low is located over north-central MN this
afternoon, with a trailing cold front dropping south across
northeast South Dakota/far southeast North Dakota and west-central
MN. A warm front extends south/southeast from the low over eastern
MN. Between these surface boundaries, a very moist airmass is in
place with dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s F. Heating into the
mid 80s to low 90s F has weakened MLCIN, especially across western
portions of the discussion area. Steep midlevel lapse rates near 8
C/km atop the moist boundary layer are contributing to a corridor of
strong instability ahead of the south/southeastward progressing cold
front. Visible satellite imagery shows deepening cumulus near the
front, with some modest development within the broader warm sector.
Vertically veering wind profiles, with effective shear magnitudes
greater than 35 kt will support organized convection. Initial
supercells capable of large to very large hail are possible. With
time, convection may cluster into a southeastward progressing MCS
later this evening, posing a increasing risk for damaging gusts.
Timing of thunderstorm development remains uncertain, but given
satellite trends, expected storms to develop within the next couple
of hours. Furthermore, at least weak MLCIN will likely persist with
eastward extent. This may confine overall severe potential to a
relatively narrow corridor. This area will continue to be monitored
for possible watch issuance in the next couple of hours.
..Leitman/Smith.. 08/03/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...FSD...ABR...
LAT...LON 46619510 46599635 46339674 46139759 45409821 44919831
44229800 43709728 43599682 43619607 43629462 43759366
44349339 45339334 45879351 46269396 46619510
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
WW 592 SEVERE TSTM NC SC VA 031810Z - 040100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 592
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
210 PM EDT Sat Aug 3 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central North Carolina
Central South Carolina
Central Virginia
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until
900 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are increasing in a corridor from central
Virginia into central South Carolina. These storms will track
northeastward through the afternoon, posing a risk of locally
damaging wind gusts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles north of
Richmond VA to 65 miles south southwest of Charlotte NC. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 591...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25025.
...Hart
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
WW 0591 Status Updates
040-
STATUS REPORT ON WW 591
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE CHO
TO 20 WSW DCA TO 10 SW BWI TO 30 ENE HGR.
..THORNTON..08/03/24
ATTN...WFO...OKX...LWX...PHI...CTP...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 591
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
CTC001-040040-
CT
. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAIRFIELD
DEC001-003-005-040040-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX
DCC001-040040-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
WW 591 SEVERE TSTM CT DC DE MD NJ NY PA VA CW 031720Z - 040100Z
CWZ000-040100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 591
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
120 PM EDT Sat Aug 3 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest Connecticut
District Of Columbia
Delaware
Northeast Maryland
New Jersey
Southeast New York
Southeast Pennsylvania
Northern Virginia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 120 PM until
900 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to increase in coverage and
intensity through the afternoon and early evening, posing a risk of
locally damaging wind gusts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles north of Newark
NJ to 45 miles west southwest of Patuxent River MD. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26030.
...Hart
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
MD 1808 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR EASTERN CT...RI...SOUTHEAST MA
Mesoscale Discussion 1808
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0435 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024
Areas affected...eastern CT...RI...southeast MA
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 032135Z - 032330Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated strong to locally severe gusts (50-60 mph)
capable of pockets of wind damage are possible through 8pm EDT. The
isolated coverage of the expected wind threat will preclude a severe
thunderstorm watch issuance.
DISCUSSION...A warm/moist boundary layer is evident in late
afternoon surface observations (temperatures in the upper 80s to 90
with mid 70 deg F dewpoints) over southern New England ahead of a
small strong-severe thunderstorm cluster in southwest parts of CT.
This activity will likely move east-northeast over the next few
hours. Short-term model forecast soundings show upwards of 2000+
J/kg MLCAPE with PW around 1.9 inches. A couple of the stronger
thunderstorm cores may yield a localized damaging wind risk into the
evening before this activity weakens.
..Smith.. 08/03/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...
LAT...LON 41567268 41677258 42067077 41877051 41657055 41507073
41207283 41567268
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
MD 1806 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS
Mesoscale Discussion 1806
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0423 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024
Areas affected...portions of the southern High Plains
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 032123Z - 032330Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms may produce
sporadic strong gusts around 50-65 mph and hail up to 1.25 inch
diameter into this evening.
DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms have developed this afternoon
under the influence of a southward developing convectively enhanced
vorticity max over eastern CO/western KS. While moisture is
limited, steep midlevel lapse rates are contributing to 1000-1500
J/kg MLCAPE. Aided by the vorticity max and vertically veering wind
profiles, effective shear magnitudes greater than 35 kt will support
sporadic organized convection despite modest boundary-layer
moisture/instability. Modified 12z and forecast soundings indicated
a deeply mixed boundary layer with inverted-v sub-cloud
thermodynamic profiles. This will aid in development of strong
downdrafts and sporadic severe thunderstorm gusts. Furthermore,
elongated hodographs amid favorable vertical shear and steep lapse
rates suggests any longer-lived and well-organized cells may produce
hail to near 1.25 inch diameter. Given the modest thermodynamic
environment, a severe thunderstorm watch is not expected, but
sporadic strong to locally severe storms are possible into the
evening.
..Leitman/Smith.. 08/03/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...DDC...LUB...AMA...PUB...ABQ...
LAT...LON 36870392 37110369 37250308 37360230 37500126 37240069
36660055 35920073 34940143 33870217 33750325 34070398
35160420 36390398 36870392
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
WW 0593 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0593 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
WW 593 SEVERE TSTM MN SD WI 032325Z - 040600Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 593
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
625 PM CDT Sat Aug 3 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central Minnesota
Northeast South Dakota
Northwest Wisconsin
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 625 PM
until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are forecast to
continue to develop and move east-southeast through the evening.
Supercells capable of large to very large hail (diameter 1 to 2.5
inches) and severe gusts (60-70 mph) will be the primary storm mode
through the early evening. Upscale growth into a linear cluster may
occur later this evening with severe gusts possibly becoming the
main hazard.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles northwest of
Ortonville MN to 80 miles northeast of Minneapolis MN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 591...WW 592...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
30025.
...Smith
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
MD 1807 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 592... FOR NORTHERN SOUTHERN CAROLINA...CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA
Mesoscale Discussion 1807
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0427 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024
Areas affected...Northern Southern Carolina...Central North
Carolina...Central Virginia
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 592...
Valid 032127Z - 032300Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 592
continues.
SUMMARY...Damaging wind threat continues in WW592.
DISCUSSION...A line of thunderstorms continues from east-central
Virginia into the Carolinas producing occasional damaging winds
(e.g., tree damage). This line has generally been moving
north-northeast, and a local extensions to WW592 may be utilized,
though surface objective analysis indicates mid-level capping
remains in place further eastward across NC/VI. This leads to some
uncertainty in how long storms will maintain severe characteristics
with eastward extent. Occasional severe winds can be expected in the
near term with this line.
Further west along the front, additional storm development may be
possible. Due to the more discrete nature of this convection,
potential for large hail and damaging wind will be possible.
..Thornton.. 08/03/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CAE...GSP...
LAT...LON 34168152 34598179 34908187 35078187 35468182 36108128
37067971 37677877 37947780 37737719 37447706 37157711
36317732 35797778 35387821 34947877 34707912 34467952
34108000 33898054 33708086 33808133 34168152
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
WW 0591 Status Updates
340-
STATUS REPORT ON WW 591
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE LYH TO
35 WSW DCA TO 30 ESE MRB TO 15 E MRB.
..THORNTON..08/03/24
ATTN...WFO...OKX...LWX...PHI...CTP...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 591
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
CTC001-032340-
CT
. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAIRFIELD
DEC001-003-005-032340-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX
DCC001-032340-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
WW 0592 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 592
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE HKY
TO 20 NW DAN TO 20 SW CHO TO 15 WSW CHO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1807
..THORNTON..08/03/24
ATTN...WFO...RAH...GSP...RNK...CAE...AKQ...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 592
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-003-007-015-025-033-035-037-045-057-059-063-067-069-071-
077-081-085-091-093-097-105-109-119-123-125-131-135-145-151-153-
157-159-165-167-169-179-181-183-185-197-032340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ALEXANDER ANSON
BERTIE CABARRUS CASWELL
CATAWBA CHATHAM CLEVELAND
DAVIDSON DAVIE DURHAM
FORSYTH FRANKLIN GASTON
GRANVILLE GUILFORD HARNETT
HERTFORD HOKE IREDELL
LEE LINCOLN MECKLENBURG
MONTGOMERY MOORE NORTHAMPTON
ORANGE PERSON RANDOLPH
RICHMOND ROCKINGHAM ROWAN
SCOTLAND STANLY STOKES
UNION VANCE WAKE
WARREN YADKIN
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1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0446 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024
Valid 051200Z - 111200Z
...Synopsis...
By D3/Monday, a mid to upper-level ridge will slowly begin to extend
eastward over the Southern Plains, and remain in place over the
Southwest. Throughout the rest of the week, and especially by
D6/Thursday, heights will begin to fall within the ridge over the
northwestern CONUS as mid-level shortwave troughs move atop it.
Quasi-zonal flow will transpire from the Pacific Northwest eastward
through the Upper Atlantic into most of the extended forecast
period.
...Isolated Dry Thunderstorms...
A mid to upper-level plume of monsoonal moisture rotating around the
ridge D3/Monday will present the opportunity for additional isolated
dry thunderstorm chances from the northern to central Rockies, where
a drier boundary layer and receptive fuel conditions will reside.
Although similar chances are expected D4/Tuesday, increasing
moisture through the troposphere should narrow this potential area
to a portion of the northern Rockies from western MT, southeastward
into western and central WY.
...Wind and RH...
Increasing westerly winds will develop across portions of the
northwestern Great Basin and Snake River Plain D3/Monday through
D5/Wednesday on the northern periphery of the mid to upper-level
ridge. The mostly likely time for the highest sustained surface wind
speeds appears to be Tuesday into Wednesday via a mid-level jet
accompanying a Pacific shortwave trough traversing the northern
Rockies, and an increasing surface pressure gradient. Although
temperatures will be relatively cooler, a dry boundary layer will
remain in place keeping critical minimum RH in present during the
afternoons. However, most of these critical weather conditions
should overlap with recovering fuels precluding the need for a 40
percent Critical probability area at this time. The exception may be
across far northwestern NV.
..Barnes.. 08/03/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
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5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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