SPC Jun 28, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0814 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Valid 280100Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.... ...SUMMARY... The greatest severe-thunderstorm threat is over parts of the northern/central High Plains this evening and tonight. Severe gusts, including some 75+ mph are possible. ...Northern and central Plains... An upper low over the northern Rockies will continue to overspread a warm and moist air mass across the northern Plains this evening. As an attendant surface low deepens, strong mass response and an increasing low-level jet will support further intensification of an ongoing MCS over the western Dakotas. This MCS should continue east/southeast with the potential for severe wind gusts (some 75+ mph) and perhaps a tornado with embedded QLCS circulations. Convection should begin to weaken as it approaches the eastern edge of the buoyancy plume across east-central ND/SD later tonight. Sporadic storms farther south have struggled to remain organized amid warm mid-level temperatures. Isolated storms will remain possible this evening under weak ascent from the northern Rockies upper low and the increase in the nocturnal low-level jet. Moderate buoyancy and 30-40 kt of effective shear support a risk for organized storms capable of hail and damaging gusts, though confidence in convective evolution is low. ...Southern Plains... A loosely organized cluster of storms ongoing from the TX/OK Panhandles into southwest KS should continue eastward within a hot and moist air mass across the southern Plains. Deep-layer shear remains rather weak, but an increase in the low-level jet could support some intensification and additional storm development over southern KS this evening. Damaging gusts and sporadic hail will remain possible before convection gradually diminishes tonight. ...Eastern Great Basin and Southwest... Scattered storms over the Western Slope and Southwest should continue this evening as ascent from the northern Rockies upper low continues over seasonably high moisture. Storm coverage will slowly diminish as buoyancy continues to decrease in the wake of air mass overturning. Still, residual storms interacting with 30-40 kt of mid-level flow could support the risk for an isolated damaging gust or sporadic hail for a few more hours. ..Lyons.. 06/28/2024 Read more

SPC Jun 28, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0814 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Valid 280100Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.... ...SUMMARY... The greatest severe-thunderstorm threat is over parts of the northern/central High Plains this evening and tonight. Severe gusts, including some 75+ mph are possible. ...Northern and central Plains... An upper low over the northern Rockies will continue to overspread a warm and moist air mass across the northern Plains this evening. As an attendant surface low deepens, strong mass response and an increasing low-level jet will support further intensification of an ongoing MCS over the western Dakotas. This MCS should continue east/southeast with the potential for severe wind gusts (some 75+ mph) and perhaps a tornado with embedded QLCS circulations. Convection should begin to weaken as it approaches the eastern edge of the buoyancy plume across east-central ND/SD later tonight. Sporadic storms farther south have struggled to remain organized amid warm mid-level temperatures. Isolated storms will remain possible this evening under weak ascent from the northern Rockies upper low and the increase in the nocturnal low-level jet. Moderate buoyancy and 30-40 kt of effective shear support a risk for organized storms capable of hail and damaging gusts, though confidence in convective evolution is low. ...Southern Plains... A loosely organized cluster of storms ongoing from the TX/OK Panhandles into southwest KS should continue eastward within a hot and moist air mass across the southern Plains. Deep-layer shear remains rather weak, but an increase in the low-level jet could support some intensification and additional storm development over southern KS this evening. Damaging gusts and sporadic hail will remain possible before convection gradually diminishes tonight. ...Eastern Great Basin and Southwest... Scattered storms over the Western Slope and Southwest should continue this evening as ascent from the northern Rockies upper low continues over seasonably high moisture. Storm coverage will slowly diminish as buoyancy continues to decrease in the wake of air mass overturning. Still, residual storms interacting with 30-40 kt of mid-level flow could support the risk for an isolated damaging gust or sporadic hail for a few more hours. ..Lyons.. 06/28/2024 Read more

SPC Jun 28, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0814 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Valid 280100Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.... ...SUMMARY... The greatest severe-thunderstorm threat is over parts of the northern/central High Plains this evening and tonight. Severe gusts, including some 75+ mph are possible. ...Northern and central Plains... An upper low over the northern Rockies will continue to overspread a warm and moist air mass across the northern Plains this evening. As an attendant surface low deepens, strong mass response and an increasing low-level jet will support further intensification of an ongoing MCS over the western Dakotas. This MCS should continue east/southeast with the potential for severe wind gusts (some 75+ mph) and perhaps a tornado with embedded QLCS circulations. Convection should begin to weaken as it approaches the eastern edge of the buoyancy plume across east-central ND/SD later tonight. Sporadic storms farther south have struggled to remain organized amid warm mid-level temperatures. Isolated storms will remain possible this evening under weak ascent from the northern Rockies upper low and the increase in the nocturnal low-level jet. Moderate buoyancy and 30-40 kt of effective shear support a risk for organized storms capable of hail and damaging gusts, though confidence in convective evolution is low. ...Southern Plains... A loosely organized cluster of storms ongoing from the TX/OK Panhandles into southwest KS should continue eastward within a hot and moist air mass across the southern Plains. Deep-layer shear remains rather weak, but an increase in the low-level jet could support some intensification and additional storm development over southern KS this evening. Damaging gusts and sporadic hail will remain possible before convection gradually diminishes tonight. ...Eastern Great Basin and Southwest... Scattered storms over the Western Slope and Southwest should continue this evening as ascent from the northern Rockies upper low continues over seasonably high moisture. Storm coverage will slowly diminish as buoyancy continues to decrease in the wake of air mass overturning. Still, residual storms interacting with 30-40 kt of mid-level flow could support the risk for an isolated damaging gust or sporadic hail for a few more hours. ..Lyons.. 06/28/2024 Read more

SPC Jun 28, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0814 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Valid 280100Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.... ...SUMMARY... The greatest severe-thunderstorm threat is over parts of the northern/central High Plains this evening and tonight. Severe gusts, including some 75+ mph are possible. ...Northern and central Plains... An upper low over the northern Rockies will continue to overspread a warm and moist air mass across the northern Plains this evening. As an attendant surface low deepens, strong mass response and an increasing low-level jet will support further intensification of an ongoing MCS over the western Dakotas. This MCS should continue east/southeast with the potential for severe wind gusts (some 75+ mph) and perhaps a tornado with embedded QLCS circulations. Convection should begin to weaken as it approaches the eastern edge of the buoyancy plume across east-central ND/SD later tonight. Sporadic storms farther south have struggled to remain organized amid warm mid-level temperatures. Isolated storms will remain possible this evening under weak ascent from the northern Rockies upper low and the increase in the nocturnal low-level jet. Moderate buoyancy and 30-40 kt of effective shear support a risk for organized storms capable of hail and damaging gusts, though confidence in convective evolution is low. ...Southern Plains... A loosely organized cluster of storms ongoing from the TX/OK Panhandles into southwest KS should continue eastward within a hot and moist air mass across the southern Plains. Deep-layer shear remains rather weak, but an increase in the low-level jet could support some intensification and additional storm development over southern KS this evening. Damaging gusts and sporadic hail will remain possible before convection gradually diminishes tonight. ...Eastern Great Basin and Southwest... Scattered storms over the Western Slope and Southwest should continue this evening as ascent from the northern Rockies upper low continues over seasonably high moisture. Storm coverage will slowly diminish as buoyancy continues to decrease in the wake of air mass overturning. Still, residual storms interacting with 30-40 kt of mid-level flow could support the risk for an isolated damaging gust or sporadic hail for a few more hours. ..Lyons.. 06/28/2024 Read more

SPC Jun 28, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0814 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Valid 280100Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.... ...SUMMARY... The greatest severe-thunderstorm threat is over parts of the northern/central High Plains this evening and tonight. Severe gusts, including some 75+ mph are possible. ...Northern and central Plains... An upper low over the northern Rockies will continue to overspread a warm and moist air mass across the northern Plains this evening. As an attendant surface low deepens, strong mass response and an increasing low-level jet will support further intensification of an ongoing MCS over the western Dakotas. This MCS should continue east/southeast with the potential for severe wind gusts (some 75+ mph) and perhaps a tornado with embedded QLCS circulations. Convection should begin to weaken as it approaches the eastern edge of the buoyancy plume across east-central ND/SD later tonight. Sporadic storms farther south have struggled to remain organized amid warm mid-level temperatures. Isolated storms will remain possible this evening under weak ascent from the northern Rockies upper low and the increase in the nocturnal low-level jet. Moderate buoyancy and 30-40 kt of effective shear support a risk for organized storms capable of hail and damaging gusts, though confidence in convective evolution is low. ...Southern Plains... A loosely organized cluster of storms ongoing from the TX/OK Panhandles into southwest KS should continue eastward within a hot and moist air mass across the southern Plains. Deep-layer shear remains rather weak, but an increase in the low-level jet could support some intensification and additional storm development over southern KS this evening. Damaging gusts and sporadic hail will remain possible before convection gradually diminishes tonight. ...Eastern Great Basin and Southwest... Scattered storms over the Western Slope and Southwest should continue this evening as ascent from the northern Rockies upper low continues over seasonably high moisture. Storm coverage will slowly diminish as buoyancy continues to decrease in the wake of air mass overturning. Still, residual storms interacting with 30-40 kt of mid-level flow could support the risk for an isolated damaging gust or sporadic hail for a few more hours. ..Lyons.. 06/28/2024 Read more

SPC Jun 28, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0814 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Valid 280100Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.... ...SUMMARY... The greatest severe-thunderstorm threat is over parts of the northern/central High Plains this evening and tonight. Severe gusts, including some 75+ mph are possible. ...Northern and central Plains... An upper low over the northern Rockies will continue to overspread a warm and moist air mass across the northern Plains this evening. As an attendant surface low deepens, strong mass response and an increasing low-level jet will support further intensification of an ongoing MCS over the western Dakotas. This MCS should continue east/southeast with the potential for severe wind gusts (some 75+ mph) and perhaps a tornado with embedded QLCS circulations. Convection should begin to weaken as it approaches the eastern edge of the buoyancy plume across east-central ND/SD later tonight. Sporadic storms farther south have struggled to remain organized amid warm mid-level temperatures. Isolated storms will remain possible this evening under weak ascent from the northern Rockies upper low and the increase in the nocturnal low-level jet. Moderate buoyancy and 30-40 kt of effective shear support a risk for organized storms capable of hail and damaging gusts, though confidence in convective evolution is low. ...Southern Plains... A loosely organized cluster of storms ongoing from the TX/OK Panhandles into southwest KS should continue eastward within a hot and moist air mass across the southern Plains. Deep-layer shear remains rather weak, but an increase in the low-level jet could support some intensification and additional storm development over southern KS this evening. Damaging gusts and sporadic hail will remain possible before convection gradually diminishes tonight. ...Eastern Great Basin and Southwest... Scattered storms over the Western Slope and Southwest should continue this evening as ascent from the northern Rockies upper low continues over seasonably high moisture. Storm coverage will slowly diminish as buoyancy continues to decrease in the wake of air mass overturning. Still, residual storms interacting with 30-40 kt of mid-level flow could support the risk for an isolated damaging gust or sporadic hail for a few more hours. ..Lyons.. 06/28/2024 Read more

SPC Jun 28, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0814 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Valid 280100Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.... ...SUMMARY... The greatest severe-thunderstorm threat is over parts of the northern/central High Plains this evening and tonight. Severe gusts, including some 75+ mph are possible. ...Northern and central Plains... An upper low over the northern Rockies will continue to overspread a warm and moist air mass across the northern Plains this evening. As an attendant surface low deepens, strong mass response and an increasing low-level jet will support further intensification of an ongoing MCS over the western Dakotas. This MCS should continue east/southeast with the potential for severe wind gusts (some 75+ mph) and perhaps a tornado with embedded QLCS circulations. Convection should begin to weaken as it approaches the eastern edge of the buoyancy plume across east-central ND/SD later tonight. Sporadic storms farther south have struggled to remain organized amid warm mid-level temperatures. Isolated storms will remain possible this evening under weak ascent from the northern Rockies upper low and the increase in the nocturnal low-level jet. Moderate buoyancy and 30-40 kt of effective shear support a risk for organized storms capable of hail and damaging gusts, though confidence in convective evolution is low. ...Southern Plains... A loosely organized cluster of storms ongoing from the TX/OK Panhandles into southwest KS should continue eastward within a hot and moist air mass across the southern Plains. Deep-layer shear remains rather weak, but an increase in the low-level jet could support some intensification and additional storm development over southern KS this evening. Damaging gusts and sporadic hail will remain possible before convection gradually diminishes tonight. ...Eastern Great Basin and Southwest... Scattered storms over the Western Slope and Southwest should continue this evening as ascent from the northern Rockies upper low continues over seasonably high moisture. Storm coverage will slowly diminish as buoyancy continues to decrease in the wake of air mass overturning. Still, residual storms interacting with 30-40 kt of mid-level flow could support the risk for an isolated damaging gust or sporadic hail for a few more hours. ..Lyons.. 06/28/2024 Read more

SPC Jun 28, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0814 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Valid 280100Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.... ...SUMMARY... The greatest severe-thunderstorm threat is over parts of the northern/central High Plains this evening and tonight. Severe gusts, including some 75+ mph are possible. ...Northern and central Plains... An upper low over the northern Rockies will continue to overspread a warm and moist air mass across the northern Plains this evening. As an attendant surface low deepens, strong mass response and an increasing low-level jet will support further intensification of an ongoing MCS over the western Dakotas. This MCS should continue east/southeast with the potential for severe wind gusts (some 75+ mph) and perhaps a tornado with embedded QLCS circulations. Convection should begin to weaken as it approaches the eastern edge of the buoyancy plume across east-central ND/SD later tonight. Sporadic storms farther south have struggled to remain organized amid warm mid-level temperatures. Isolated storms will remain possible this evening under weak ascent from the northern Rockies upper low and the increase in the nocturnal low-level jet. Moderate buoyancy and 30-40 kt of effective shear support a risk for organized storms capable of hail and damaging gusts, though confidence in convective evolution is low. ...Southern Plains... A loosely organized cluster of storms ongoing from the TX/OK Panhandles into southwest KS should continue eastward within a hot and moist air mass across the southern Plains. Deep-layer shear remains rather weak, but an increase in the low-level jet could support some intensification and additional storm development over southern KS this evening. Damaging gusts and sporadic hail will remain possible before convection gradually diminishes tonight. ...Eastern Great Basin and Southwest... Scattered storms over the Western Slope and Southwest should continue this evening as ascent from the northern Rockies upper low continues over seasonably high moisture. Storm coverage will slowly diminish as buoyancy continues to decrease in the wake of air mass overturning. Still, residual storms interacting with 30-40 kt of mid-level flow could support the risk for an isolated damaging gust or sporadic hail for a few more hours. ..Lyons.. 06/28/2024 Read more

SPC Jun 28, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0814 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Valid 280100Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.... ...SUMMARY... The greatest severe-thunderstorm threat is over parts of the northern/central High Plains this evening and tonight. Severe gusts, including some 75+ mph are possible. ...Northern and central Plains... An upper low over the northern Rockies will continue to overspread a warm and moist air mass across the northern Plains this evening. As an attendant surface low deepens, strong mass response and an increasing low-level jet will support further intensification of an ongoing MCS over the western Dakotas. This MCS should continue east/southeast with the potential for severe wind gusts (some 75+ mph) and perhaps a tornado with embedded QLCS circulations. Convection should begin to weaken as it approaches the eastern edge of the buoyancy plume across east-central ND/SD later tonight. Sporadic storms farther south have struggled to remain organized amid warm mid-level temperatures. Isolated storms will remain possible this evening under weak ascent from the northern Rockies upper low and the increase in the nocturnal low-level jet. Moderate buoyancy and 30-40 kt of effective shear support a risk for organized storms capable of hail and damaging gusts, though confidence in convective evolution is low. ...Southern Plains... A loosely organized cluster of storms ongoing from the TX/OK Panhandles into southwest KS should continue eastward within a hot and moist air mass across the southern Plains. Deep-layer shear remains rather weak, but an increase in the low-level jet could support some intensification and additional storm development over southern KS this evening. Damaging gusts and sporadic hail will remain possible before convection gradually diminishes tonight. ...Eastern Great Basin and Southwest... Scattered storms over the Western Slope and Southwest should continue this evening as ascent from the northern Rockies upper low continues over seasonably high moisture. Storm coverage will slowly diminish as buoyancy continues to decrease in the wake of air mass overturning. Still, residual storms interacting with 30-40 kt of mid-level flow could support the risk for an isolated damaging gust or sporadic hail for a few more hours. ..Lyons.. 06/28/2024 Read more

SPC Jun 28, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0814 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Valid 280100Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.... ...SUMMARY... The greatest severe-thunderstorm threat is over parts of the northern/central High Plains this evening and tonight. Severe gusts, including some 75+ mph are possible. ...Northern and central Plains... An upper low over the northern Rockies will continue to overspread a warm and moist air mass across the northern Plains this evening. As an attendant surface low deepens, strong mass response and an increasing low-level jet will support further intensification of an ongoing MCS over the western Dakotas. This MCS should continue east/southeast with the potential for severe wind gusts (some 75+ mph) and perhaps a tornado with embedded QLCS circulations. Convection should begin to weaken as it approaches the eastern edge of the buoyancy plume across east-central ND/SD later tonight. Sporadic storms farther south have struggled to remain organized amid warm mid-level temperatures. Isolated storms will remain possible this evening under weak ascent from the northern Rockies upper low and the increase in the nocturnal low-level jet. Moderate buoyancy and 30-40 kt of effective shear support a risk for organized storms capable of hail and damaging gusts, though confidence in convective evolution is low. ...Southern Plains... A loosely organized cluster of storms ongoing from the TX/OK Panhandles into southwest KS should continue eastward within a hot and moist air mass across the southern Plains. Deep-layer shear remains rather weak, but an increase in the low-level jet could support some intensification and additional storm development over southern KS this evening. Damaging gusts and sporadic hail will remain possible before convection gradually diminishes tonight. ...Eastern Great Basin and Southwest... Scattered storms over the Western Slope and Southwest should continue this evening as ascent from the northern Rockies upper low continues over seasonably high moisture. Storm coverage will slowly diminish as buoyancy continues to decrease in the wake of air mass overturning. Still, residual storms interacting with 30-40 kt of mid-level flow could support the risk for an isolated damaging gust or sporadic hail for a few more hours. ..Lyons.. 06/28/2024 Read more

SPC Jun 28, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0814 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Valid 280100Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.... ...SUMMARY... The greatest severe-thunderstorm threat is over parts of the northern/central High Plains this evening and tonight. Severe gusts, including some 75+ mph are possible. ...Northern and central Plains... An upper low over the northern Rockies will continue to overspread a warm and moist air mass across the northern Plains this evening. As an attendant surface low deepens, strong mass response and an increasing low-level jet will support further intensification of an ongoing MCS over the western Dakotas. This MCS should continue east/southeast with the potential for severe wind gusts (some 75+ mph) and perhaps a tornado with embedded QLCS circulations. Convection should begin to weaken as it approaches the eastern edge of the buoyancy plume across east-central ND/SD later tonight. Sporadic storms farther south have struggled to remain organized amid warm mid-level temperatures. Isolated storms will remain possible this evening under weak ascent from the northern Rockies upper low and the increase in the nocturnal low-level jet. Moderate buoyancy and 30-40 kt of effective shear support a risk for organized storms capable of hail and damaging gusts, though confidence in convective evolution is low. ...Southern Plains... A loosely organized cluster of storms ongoing from the TX/OK Panhandles into southwest KS should continue eastward within a hot and moist air mass across the southern Plains. Deep-layer shear remains rather weak, but an increase in the low-level jet could support some intensification and additional storm development over southern KS this evening. Damaging gusts and sporadic hail will remain possible before convection gradually diminishes tonight. ...Eastern Great Basin and Southwest... Scattered storms over the Western Slope and Southwest should continue this evening as ascent from the northern Rockies upper low continues over seasonably high moisture. Storm coverage will slowly diminish as buoyancy continues to decrease in the wake of air mass overturning. Still, residual storms interacting with 30-40 kt of mid-level flow could support the risk for an isolated damaging gust or sporadic hail for a few more hours. ..Lyons.. 06/28/2024 Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 478 Status Reports

1 year 1 month ago
WW 0478 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 478 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..KARSTENS..06/28/24 ATTN...WFO...BIS...ABR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 478 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NDC015-029-037-043-047-049-051-055-057-059-061-065-083-085-101- 103-280140- ND . NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BURLEIGH EMMONS GRANT KIDDER LOGAN MCHENRY MCINTOSH MCLEAN MERCER MORTON MOUNTRAIL OLIVER SHERIDAN SIOUX WARD WELLS SDC017-021-031-041-045-049-059-065-069-075-085-089-107-117-119- 129-280140- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BUFFALO CAMPBELL CORSON DEWEY EDMUNDS FAULK HAND HUGHES HYDE JONES LYMAN MCPHERSON POTTER STANLEY SULLY WALWORTH Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 478 Status Reports

1 year 1 month ago
WW 0478 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 478 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..KARSTENS..06/28/24 ATTN...WFO...BIS...ABR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 478 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NDC015-029-037-043-047-049-051-055-057-059-061-065-083-085-101- 103-280140- ND . NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BURLEIGH EMMONS GRANT KIDDER LOGAN MCHENRY MCINTOSH MCLEAN MERCER MORTON MOUNTRAIL OLIVER SHERIDAN SIOUX WARD WELLS SDC017-021-031-041-045-049-059-065-069-075-085-089-107-117-119- 129-280140- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BUFFALO CAMPBELL CORSON DEWEY EDMUNDS FAULK HAND HUGHES HYDE JONES LYMAN MCPHERSON POTTER STANLEY SULLY WALWORTH Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 477 Status Reports

1 year 1 month ago
WW 0477 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 477 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..KARSTENS..06/28/24 ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 477 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-097-101-119-129- 135-145-165-171-175-187-189-195-280140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KIOWA LANE MEADE MORTON NESS PAWNEE RUSH SCOTT SEWARD STANTON STEVENS TREGO OKC007-025-059-139-280140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER CIMARRON HARPER TEXAS TXC111-195-295-357-421-280140- Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 477 Status Reports

1 year 1 month ago
WW 0477 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 477 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..KARSTENS..06/28/24 ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 477 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-097-101-119-129- 135-145-165-171-175-187-189-195-280140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KIOWA LANE MEADE MORTON NESS PAWNEE RUSH SCOTT SEWARD STANTON STEVENS TREGO OKC007-025-059-139-280140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER CIMARRON HARPER TEXAS TXC111-195-295-357-421-280140- Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 477 Status Reports

1 year 1 month ago
WW 0477 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 477 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..KARSTENS..06/28/24 ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 477 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-097-101-119-129- 135-145-165-171-175-187-189-195-280140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KIOWA LANE MEADE MORTON NESS PAWNEE RUSH SCOTT SEWARD STANTON STEVENS TREGO OKC007-025-059-139-280140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER CIMARRON HARPER TEXAS TXC111-195-295-357-421-280140- Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 477 Status Reports

1 year 1 month ago
WW 0477 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 477 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..KARSTENS..06/28/24 ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 477 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-097-101-119-129- 135-145-165-171-175-187-189-195-280140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KIOWA LANE MEADE MORTON NESS PAWNEE RUSH SCOTT SEWARD STANTON STEVENS TREGO OKC007-025-059-139-280140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER CIMARRON HARPER TEXAS TXC111-195-295-357-421-280140- Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 477 Status Reports

1 year 1 month ago
WW 0477 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 477 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..KARSTENS..06/28/24 ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 477 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-097-101-119-129- 135-145-165-171-175-187-189-195-280140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KIOWA LANE MEADE MORTON NESS PAWNEE RUSH SCOTT SEWARD STANTON STEVENS TREGO OKC007-025-059-139-280140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER CIMARRON HARPER TEXAS TXC111-195-295-357-421-280140- Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 477 Status Reports

1 year 1 month ago
WW 0477 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 477 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..KARSTENS..06/28/24 ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 477 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-097-101-119-129- 135-145-165-171-175-187-189-195-280140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KIOWA LANE MEADE MORTON NESS PAWNEE RUSH SCOTT SEWARD STANTON STEVENS TREGO OKC007-025-059-139-280140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER CIMARRON HARPER TEXAS TXC111-195-295-357-421-280140- Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 477

1 year 1 month ago
WW 477 SEVERE TSTM KS OK TX 272215Z - 280500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 477 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 515 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of West and Southwest Kansas Far Northwest Oklahoma and the Panhandle Northern Texas Panhandle * Effective this Thursday afternoon from 515 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are forecast to continue to develop this evening over western parts of the Watch area, and move east into a more moist airmass as a low-level jet intensifies. The stronger storms will be capable of a risk for severe gusts (60-70 mph) and perhaps large hail with the stronger thunderstorm cores. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles north northeast of Garden City KS to 40 miles south of Guymon OK. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 473...WW 474...WW 475...WW 476... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 26025. ...Smith Read more
Checked
5 years 10 months ago
Severe Storms
Storm Prediction Center
Subscribe to Severe Storms feed