Severe Storms

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0224 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE EASTERN U.S. AND THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible, mainly Saturday afternoon and evening, from the Lower Great Lakes to the Mid/Deep South, and separately across a portion of the Pacific Northwest. ...Lower Great Lakes to the Mid/Deep South... Much of the broad level 1-MRGL risk area has remain unchanged, with a minor expansion across parts of the Mid-South. A slow-moving mid/upper trough should continue east across the Great Lakes vicinity through early Sunday. An occluded surface cyclone over Lower MI should drift into southern ON. A weak cold front will arc to the south over the Upper OH Valley and trail southwest to west across the Mid-South to the KS-OK border area. Along this baroclinic zone, ongoing convection at 12Z Saturday appears most probable over the Ozarks to Mid-South vicinity. It is plausible this activity may intensify, perhaps aided by an attendant MCV generated on D2, as downstream diurnal destabilization occurs in parts of the Mid to Deep South. This region will lie in the gradient of mid-level flow enhancement (outside of any MCV influence) that would aid in semi-organized multicell clustering, with a threat for sporadic damaging winds. Farther north and east, deep-layer flow should be nearly unidirectional with moderate 700-500 mb westerlies. This will foster potential for multiple multicell clusters over a relatively broad warm sector across the OH Valley to the Lower Great Lakes and the Appalachians. Mid-level lapse rates will be weaker with eastern extent, and overall MLCAPE values should tend to be moderate from 1000-2500 J/kg. At least localized damaging winds will be possible across a broad swath of the eastern CONUS. Confidence remains too low at this time in highlighting more focused corridors of greater damaging wind potential. ...Pacific Northwest... A pronounced shortwave impulse, embedded within a broader mid/upper trough, should approach the northern CA and OR coast on Saturday. A strengthening mid to upper jetlet should become centered across northern CA and the Sierra NV Range. Within the exit region of this meridional flow regime, scattered late-afternoon and evening thunderstorms should be focused from south to north across the Cascade Range. While buoyancy should remain weak, steepening mid to low-level lapse rates will support a threat for a few organized high-based cells/clusters. Isolated severe wind gusts should be the main hazard. ..Grams.. 08/15/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0224 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE EASTERN U.S. AND THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible, mainly Saturday afternoon and evening, from the Lower Great Lakes to the Mid/Deep South, and separately across a portion of the Pacific Northwest. ...Lower Great Lakes to the Mid/Deep South... Much of the broad level 1-MRGL risk area has remain unchanged, with a minor expansion across parts of the Mid-South. A slow-moving mid/upper trough should continue east across the Great Lakes vicinity through early Sunday. An occluded surface cyclone over Lower MI should drift into southern ON. A weak cold front will arc to the south over the Upper OH Valley and trail southwest to west across the Mid-South to the KS-OK border area. Along this baroclinic zone, ongoing convection at 12Z Saturday appears most probable over the Ozarks to Mid-South vicinity. It is plausible this activity may intensify, perhaps aided by an attendant MCV generated on D2, as downstream diurnal destabilization occurs in parts of the Mid to Deep South. This region will lie in the gradient of mid-level flow enhancement (outside of any MCV influence) that would aid in semi-organized multicell clustering, with a threat for sporadic damaging winds. Farther north and east, deep-layer flow should be nearly unidirectional with moderate 700-500 mb westerlies. This will foster potential for multiple multicell clusters over a relatively broad warm sector across the OH Valley to the Lower Great Lakes and the Appalachians. Mid-level lapse rates will be weaker with eastern extent, and overall MLCAPE values should tend to be moderate from 1000-2500 J/kg. At least localized damaging winds will be possible across a broad swath of the eastern CONUS. Confidence remains too low at this time in highlighting more focused corridors of greater damaging wind potential. ...Pacific Northwest... A pronounced shortwave impulse, embedded within a broader mid/upper trough, should approach the northern CA and OR coast on Saturday. A strengthening mid to upper jetlet should become centered across northern CA and the Sierra NV Range. Within the exit region of this meridional flow regime, scattered late-afternoon and evening thunderstorms should be focused from south to north across the Cascade Range. While buoyancy should remain weak, steepening mid to low-level lapse rates will support a threat for a few organized high-based cells/clusters. Isolated severe wind gusts should be the main hazard. ..Grams.. 08/15/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0224 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE EASTERN U.S. AND THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible, mainly Saturday afternoon and evening, from the Lower Great Lakes to the Mid/Deep South, and separately across a portion of the Pacific Northwest. ...Lower Great Lakes to the Mid/Deep South... Much of the broad level 1-MRGL risk area has remain unchanged, with a minor expansion across parts of the Mid-South. A slow-moving mid/upper trough should continue east across the Great Lakes vicinity through early Sunday. An occluded surface cyclone over Lower MI should drift into southern ON. A weak cold front will arc to the south over the Upper OH Valley and trail southwest to west across the Mid-South to the KS-OK border area. Along this baroclinic zone, ongoing convection at 12Z Saturday appears most probable over the Ozarks to Mid-South vicinity. It is plausible this activity may intensify, perhaps aided by an attendant MCV generated on D2, as downstream diurnal destabilization occurs in parts of the Mid to Deep South. This region will lie in the gradient of mid-level flow enhancement (outside of any MCV influence) that would aid in semi-organized multicell clustering, with a threat for sporadic damaging winds. Farther north and east, deep-layer flow should be nearly unidirectional with moderate 700-500 mb westerlies. This will foster potential for multiple multicell clusters over a relatively broad warm sector across the OH Valley to the Lower Great Lakes and the Appalachians. Mid-level lapse rates will be weaker with eastern extent, and overall MLCAPE values should tend to be moderate from 1000-2500 J/kg. At least localized damaging winds will be possible across a broad swath of the eastern CONUS. Confidence remains too low at this time in highlighting more focused corridors of greater damaging wind potential. ...Pacific Northwest... A pronounced shortwave impulse, embedded within a broader mid/upper trough, should approach the northern CA and OR coast on Saturday. A strengthening mid to upper jetlet should become centered across northern CA and the Sierra NV Range. Within the exit region of this meridional flow regime, scattered late-afternoon and evening thunderstorms should be focused from south to north across the Cascade Range. While buoyancy should remain weak, steepening mid to low-level lapse rates will support a threat for a few organized high-based cells/clusters. Isolated severe wind gusts should be the main hazard. ..Grams.. 08/15/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0224 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE EASTERN U.S. AND THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible, mainly Saturday afternoon and evening, from the Lower Great Lakes to the Mid/Deep South, and separately across a portion of the Pacific Northwest. ...Lower Great Lakes to the Mid/Deep South... Much of the broad level 1-MRGL risk area has remain unchanged, with a minor expansion across parts of the Mid-South. A slow-moving mid/upper trough should continue east across the Great Lakes vicinity through early Sunday. An occluded surface cyclone over Lower MI should drift into southern ON. A weak cold front will arc to the south over the Upper OH Valley and trail southwest to west across the Mid-South to the KS-OK border area. Along this baroclinic zone, ongoing convection at 12Z Saturday appears most probable over the Ozarks to Mid-South vicinity. It is plausible this activity may intensify, perhaps aided by an attendant MCV generated on D2, as downstream diurnal destabilization occurs in parts of the Mid to Deep South. This region will lie in the gradient of mid-level flow enhancement (outside of any MCV influence) that would aid in semi-organized multicell clustering, with a threat for sporadic damaging winds. Farther north and east, deep-layer flow should be nearly unidirectional with moderate 700-500 mb westerlies. This will foster potential for multiple multicell clusters over a relatively broad warm sector across the OH Valley to the Lower Great Lakes and the Appalachians. Mid-level lapse rates will be weaker with eastern extent, and overall MLCAPE values should tend to be moderate from 1000-2500 J/kg. At least localized damaging winds will be possible across a broad swath of the eastern CONUS. Confidence remains too low at this time in highlighting more focused corridors of greater damaging wind potential. ...Pacific Northwest... A pronounced shortwave impulse, embedded within a broader mid/upper trough, should approach the northern CA and OR coast on Saturday. A strengthening mid to upper jetlet should become centered across northern CA and the Sierra NV Range. Within the exit region of this meridional flow regime, scattered late-afternoon and evening thunderstorms should be focused from south to north across the Cascade Range. While buoyancy should remain weak, steepening mid to low-level lapse rates will support a threat for a few organized high-based cells/clusters. Isolated severe wind gusts should be the main hazard. ..Grams.. 08/15/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0224 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE EASTERN U.S. AND THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible, mainly Saturday afternoon and evening, from the Lower Great Lakes to the Mid/Deep South, and separately across a portion of the Pacific Northwest. ...Lower Great Lakes to the Mid/Deep South... Much of the broad level 1-MRGL risk area has remain unchanged, with a minor expansion across parts of the Mid-South. A slow-moving mid/upper trough should continue east across the Great Lakes vicinity through early Sunday. An occluded surface cyclone over Lower MI should drift into southern ON. A weak cold front will arc to the south over the Upper OH Valley and trail southwest to west across the Mid-South to the KS-OK border area. Along this baroclinic zone, ongoing convection at 12Z Saturday appears most probable over the Ozarks to Mid-South vicinity. It is plausible this activity may intensify, perhaps aided by an attendant MCV generated on D2, as downstream diurnal destabilization occurs in parts of the Mid to Deep South. This region will lie in the gradient of mid-level flow enhancement (outside of any MCV influence) that would aid in semi-organized multicell clustering, with a threat for sporadic damaging winds. Farther north and east, deep-layer flow should be nearly unidirectional with moderate 700-500 mb westerlies. This will foster potential for multiple multicell clusters over a relatively broad warm sector across the OH Valley to the Lower Great Lakes and the Appalachians. Mid-level lapse rates will be weaker with eastern extent, and overall MLCAPE values should tend to be moderate from 1000-2500 J/kg. At least localized damaging winds will be possible across a broad swath of the eastern CONUS. Confidence remains too low at this time in highlighting more focused corridors of greater damaging wind potential. ...Pacific Northwest... A pronounced shortwave impulse, embedded within a broader mid/upper trough, should approach the northern CA and OR coast on Saturday. A strengthening mid to upper jetlet should become centered across northern CA and the Sierra NV Range. Within the exit region of this meridional flow regime, scattered late-afternoon and evening thunderstorms should be focused from south to north across the Cascade Range. While buoyancy should remain weak, steepening mid to low-level lapse rates will support a threat for a few organized high-based cells/clusters. Isolated severe wind gusts should be the main hazard. ..Grams.. 08/15/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0224 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE EASTERN U.S. AND THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible, mainly Saturday afternoon and evening, from the Lower Great Lakes to the Mid/Deep South, and separately across a portion of the Pacific Northwest. ...Lower Great Lakes to the Mid/Deep South... Much of the broad level 1-MRGL risk area has remain unchanged, with a minor expansion across parts of the Mid-South. A slow-moving mid/upper trough should continue east across the Great Lakes vicinity through early Sunday. An occluded surface cyclone over Lower MI should drift into southern ON. A weak cold front will arc to the south over the Upper OH Valley and trail southwest to west across the Mid-South to the KS-OK border area. Along this baroclinic zone, ongoing convection at 12Z Saturday appears most probable over the Ozarks to Mid-South vicinity. It is plausible this activity may intensify, perhaps aided by an attendant MCV generated on D2, as downstream diurnal destabilization occurs in parts of the Mid to Deep South. This region will lie in the gradient of mid-level flow enhancement (outside of any MCV influence) that would aid in semi-organized multicell clustering, with a threat for sporadic damaging winds. Farther north and east, deep-layer flow should be nearly unidirectional with moderate 700-500 mb westerlies. This will foster potential for multiple multicell clusters over a relatively broad warm sector across the OH Valley to the Lower Great Lakes and the Appalachians. Mid-level lapse rates will be weaker with eastern extent, and overall MLCAPE values should tend to be moderate from 1000-2500 J/kg. At least localized damaging winds will be possible across a broad swath of the eastern CONUS. Confidence remains too low at this time in highlighting more focused corridors of greater damaging wind potential. ...Pacific Northwest... A pronounced shortwave impulse, embedded within a broader mid/upper trough, should approach the northern CA and OR coast on Saturday. A strengthening mid to upper jetlet should become centered across northern CA and the Sierra NV Range. Within the exit region of this meridional flow regime, scattered late-afternoon and evening thunderstorms should be focused from south to north across the Cascade Range. While buoyancy should remain weak, steepening mid to low-level lapse rates will support a threat for a few organized high-based cells/clusters. Isolated severe wind gusts should be the main hazard. ..Grams.. 08/15/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0224 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE EASTERN U.S. AND THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible, mainly Saturday afternoon and evening, from the Lower Great Lakes to the Mid/Deep South, and separately across a portion of the Pacific Northwest. ...Lower Great Lakes to the Mid/Deep South... Much of the broad level 1-MRGL risk area has remain unchanged, with a minor expansion across parts of the Mid-South. A slow-moving mid/upper trough should continue east across the Great Lakes vicinity through early Sunday. An occluded surface cyclone over Lower MI should drift into southern ON. A weak cold front will arc to the south over the Upper OH Valley and trail southwest to west across the Mid-South to the KS-OK border area. Along this baroclinic zone, ongoing convection at 12Z Saturday appears most probable over the Ozarks to Mid-South vicinity. It is plausible this activity may intensify, perhaps aided by an attendant MCV generated on D2, as downstream diurnal destabilization occurs in parts of the Mid to Deep South. This region will lie in the gradient of mid-level flow enhancement (outside of any MCV influence) that would aid in semi-organized multicell clustering, with a threat for sporadic damaging winds. Farther north and east, deep-layer flow should be nearly unidirectional with moderate 700-500 mb westerlies. This will foster potential for multiple multicell clusters over a relatively broad warm sector across the OH Valley to the Lower Great Lakes and the Appalachians. Mid-level lapse rates will be weaker with eastern extent, and overall MLCAPE values should tend to be moderate from 1000-2500 J/kg. At least localized damaging winds will be possible across a broad swath of the eastern CONUS. Confidence remains too low at this time in highlighting more focused corridors of greater damaging wind potential. ...Pacific Northwest... A pronounced shortwave impulse, embedded within a broader mid/upper trough, should approach the northern CA and OR coast on Saturday. A strengthening mid to upper jetlet should become centered across northern CA and the Sierra NV Range. Within the exit region of this meridional flow regime, scattered late-afternoon and evening thunderstorms should be focused from south to north across the Cascade Range. While buoyancy should remain weak, steepening mid to low-level lapse rates will support a threat for a few organized high-based cells/clusters. Isolated severe wind gusts should be the main hazard. ..Grams.. 08/15/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0224 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE EASTERN U.S. AND THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible, mainly Saturday afternoon and evening, from the Lower Great Lakes to the Mid/Deep South, and separately across a portion of the Pacific Northwest. ...Lower Great Lakes to the Mid/Deep South... Much of the broad level 1-MRGL risk area has remain unchanged, with a minor expansion across parts of the Mid-South. A slow-moving mid/upper trough should continue east across the Great Lakes vicinity through early Sunday. An occluded surface cyclone over Lower MI should drift into southern ON. A weak cold front will arc to the south over the Upper OH Valley and trail southwest to west across the Mid-South to the KS-OK border area. Along this baroclinic zone, ongoing convection at 12Z Saturday appears most probable over the Ozarks to Mid-South vicinity. It is plausible this activity may intensify, perhaps aided by an attendant MCV generated on D2, as downstream diurnal destabilization occurs in parts of the Mid to Deep South. This region will lie in the gradient of mid-level flow enhancement (outside of any MCV influence) that would aid in semi-organized multicell clustering, with a threat for sporadic damaging winds. Farther north and east, deep-layer flow should be nearly unidirectional with moderate 700-500 mb westerlies. This will foster potential for multiple multicell clusters over a relatively broad warm sector across the OH Valley to the Lower Great Lakes and the Appalachians. Mid-level lapse rates will be weaker with eastern extent, and overall MLCAPE values should tend to be moderate from 1000-2500 J/kg. At least localized damaging winds will be possible across a broad swath of the eastern CONUS. Confidence remains too low at this time in highlighting more focused corridors of greater damaging wind potential. ...Pacific Northwest... A pronounced shortwave impulse, embedded within a broader mid/upper trough, should approach the northern CA and OR coast on Saturday. A strengthening mid to upper jetlet should become centered across northern CA and the Sierra NV Range. Within the exit region of this meridional flow regime, scattered late-afternoon and evening thunderstorms should be focused from south to north across the Cascade Range. While buoyancy should remain weak, steepening mid to low-level lapse rates will support a threat for a few organized high-based cells/clusters. Isolated severe wind gusts should be the main hazard. ..Grams.. 08/15/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0224 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE EASTERN U.S. AND THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible, mainly Saturday afternoon and evening, from the Lower Great Lakes to the Mid/Deep South, and separately across a portion of the Pacific Northwest. ...Lower Great Lakes to the Mid/Deep South... Much of the broad level 1-MRGL risk area has remain unchanged, with a minor expansion across parts of the Mid-South. A slow-moving mid/upper trough should continue east across the Great Lakes vicinity through early Sunday. An occluded surface cyclone over Lower MI should drift into southern ON. A weak cold front will arc to the south over the Upper OH Valley and trail southwest to west across the Mid-South to the KS-OK border area. Along this baroclinic zone, ongoing convection at 12Z Saturday appears most probable over the Ozarks to Mid-South vicinity. It is plausible this activity may intensify, perhaps aided by an attendant MCV generated on D2, as downstream diurnal destabilization occurs in parts of the Mid to Deep South. This region will lie in the gradient of mid-level flow enhancement (outside of any MCV influence) that would aid in semi-organized multicell clustering, with a threat for sporadic damaging winds. Farther north and east, deep-layer flow should be nearly unidirectional with moderate 700-500 mb westerlies. This will foster potential for multiple multicell clusters over a relatively broad warm sector across the OH Valley to the Lower Great Lakes and the Appalachians. Mid-level lapse rates will be weaker with eastern extent, and overall MLCAPE values should tend to be moderate from 1000-2500 J/kg. At least localized damaging winds will be possible across a broad swath of the eastern CONUS. Confidence remains too low at this time in highlighting more focused corridors of greater damaging wind potential. ...Pacific Northwest... A pronounced shortwave impulse, embedded within a broader mid/upper trough, should approach the northern CA and OR coast on Saturday. A strengthening mid to upper jetlet should become centered across northern CA and the Sierra NV Range. Within the exit region of this meridional flow regime, scattered late-afternoon and evening thunderstorms should be focused from south to north across the Cascade Range. While buoyancy should remain weak, steepening mid to low-level lapse rates will support a threat for a few organized high-based cells/clusters. Isolated severe wind gusts should be the main hazard. ..Grams.. 08/15/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0224 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE EASTERN U.S. AND THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible, mainly Saturday afternoon and evening, from the Lower Great Lakes to the Mid/Deep South, and separately across a portion of the Pacific Northwest. ...Lower Great Lakes to the Mid/Deep South... Much of the broad level 1-MRGL risk area has remain unchanged, with a minor expansion across parts of the Mid-South. A slow-moving mid/upper trough should continue east across the Great Lakes vicinity through early Sunday. An occluded surface cyclone over Lower MI should drift into southern ON. A weak cold front will arc to the south over the Upper OH Valley and trail southwest to west across the Mid-South to the KS-OK border area. Along this baroclinic zone, ongoing convection at 12Z Saturday appears most probable over the Ozarks to Mid-South vicinity. It is plausible this activity may intensify, perhaps aided by an attendant MCV generated on D2, as downstream diurnal destabilization occurs in parts of the Mid to Deep South. This region will lie in the gradient of mid-level flow enhancement (outside of any MCV influence) that would aid in semi-organized multicell clustering, with a threat for sporadic damaging winds. Farther north and east, deep-layer flow should be nearly unidirectional with moderate 700-500 mb westerlies. This will foster potential for multiple multicell clusters over a relatively broad warm sector across the OH Valley to the Lower Great Lakes and the Appalachians. Mid-level lapse rates will be weaker with eastern extent, and overall MLCAPE values should tend to be moderate from 1000-2500 J/kg. At least localized damaging winds will be possible across a broad swath of the eastern CONUS. Confidence remains too low at this time in highlighting more focused corridors of greater damaging wind potential. ...Pacific Northwest... A pronounced shortwave impulse, embedded within a broader mid/upper trough, should approach the northern CA and OR coast on Saturday. A strengthening mid to upper jetlet should become centered across northern CA and the Sierra NV Range. Within the exit region of this meridional flow regime, scattered late-afternoon and evening thunderstorms should be focused from south to north across the Cascade Range. While buoyancy should remain weak, steepening mid to low-level lapse rates will support a threat for a few organized high-based cells/clusters. Isolated severe wind gusts should be the main hazard. ..Grams.. 08/15/2024 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z An Elevated risk area has been introduced to portions of southeast CA into southern/eastern NV. Latest guidance continues to show high confidence in a corridor of 20-25 mph winds emanating out of the southern Sierra Nevada with RH values in the single digits. Fuel conditions continue to be somewhat marginal across eastern NV, but become increasingly dry with westward extent. Given the high confidence in reaching critical fire weather thresholds, an Elevated risk area has been introduced where the overlap of 20+ mph winds with sub-10% RH and ERCs at/above the 80th percentile is greatest. ..Moore.. 08/15/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0112 AM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024/ ...Synopsis... Friday will be characterized by west-southwesterly mid-level flow across the Western U.S., with a shortwave trough approaching the Oregon/Washington coasts late in the period. This will support some dry/windy conditions across portions of southern Nevada and western Utah, with relative humidity dropping to 10-15% with winds reaching 20-25 MPH. However, these conditions will largely occur over fuels that have received recent wetting rainfall or are only modestly dry, precluding highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z An Elevated risk area has been introduced to portions of southeast CA into southern/eastern NV. Latest guidance continues to show high confidence in a corridor of 20-25 mph winds emanating out of the southern Sierra Nevada with RH values in the single digits. Fuel conditions continue to be somewhat marginal across eastern NV, but become increasingly dry with westward extent. Given the high confidence in reaching critical fire weather thresholds, an Elevated risk area has been introduced where the overlap of 20+ mph winds with sub-10% RH and ERCs at/above the 80th percentile is greatest. ..Moore.. 08/15/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0112 AM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024/ ...Synopsis... Friday will be characterized by west-southwesterly mid-level flow across the Western U.S., with a shortwave trough approaching the Oregon/Washington coasts late in the period. This will support some dry/windy conditions across portions of southern Nevada and western Utah, with relative humidity dropping to 10-15% with winds reaching 20-25 MPH. However, these conditions will largely occur over fuels that have received recent wetting rainfall or are only modestly dry, precluding highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z An Elevated risk area has been introduced to portions of southeast CA into southern/eastern NV. Latest guidance continues to show high confidence in a corridor of 20-25 mph winds emanating out of the southern Sierra Nevada with RH values in the single digits. Fuel conditions continue to be somewhat marginal across eastern NV, but become increasingly dry with westward extent. Given the high confidence in reaching critical fire weather thresholds, an Elevated risk area has been introduced where the overlap of 20+ mph winds with sub-10% RH and ERCs at/above the 80th percentile is greatest. ..Moore.. 08/15/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0112 AM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024/ ...Synopsis... Friday will be characterized by west-southwesterly mid-level flow across the Western U.S., with a shortwave trough approaching the Oregon/Washington coasts late in the period. This will support some dry/windy conditions across portions of southern Nevada and western Utah, with relative humidity dropping to 10-15% with winds reaching 20-25 MPH. However, these conditions will largely occur over fuels that have received recent wetting rainfall or are only modestly dry, precluding highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z An Elevated risk area has been introduced to portions of southeast CA into southern/eastern NV. Latest guidance continues to show high confidence in a corridor of 20-25 mph winds emanating out of the southern Sierra Nevada with RH values in the single digits. Fuel conditions continue to be somewhat marginal across eastern NV, but become increasingly dry with westward extent. Given the high confidence in reaching critical fire weather thresholds, an Elevated risk area has been introduced where the overlap of 20+ mph winds with sub-10% RH and ERCs at/above the 80th percentile is greatest. ..Moore.. 08/15/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0112 AM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024/ ...Synopsis... Friday will be characterized by west-southwesterly mid-level flow across the Western U.S., with a shortwave trough approaching the Oregon/Washington coasts late in the period. This will support some dry/windy conditions across portions of southern Nevada and western Utah, with relative humidity dropping to 10-15% with winds reaching 20-25 MPH. However, these conditions will largely occur over fuels that have received recent wetting rainfall or are only modestly dry, precluding highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z An Elevated risk area has been introduced to portions of southeast CA into southern/eastern NV. Latest guidance continues to show high confidence in a corridor of 20-25 mph winds emanating out of the southern Sierra Nevada with RH values in the single digits. Fuel conditions continue to be somewhat marginal across eastern NV, but become increasingly dry with westward extent. Given the high confidence in reaching critical fire weather thresholds, an Elevated risk area has been introduced where the overlap of 20+ mph winds with sub-10% RH and ERCs at/above the 80th percentile is greatest. ..Moore.. 08/15/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0112 AM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024/ ...Synopsis... Friday will be characterized by west-southwesterly mid-level flow across the Western U.S., with a shortwave trough approaching the Oregon/Washington coasts late in the period. This will support some dry/windy conditions across portions of southern Nevada and western Utah, with relative humidity dropping to 10-15% with winds reaching 20-25 MPH. However, these conditions will largely occur over fuels that have received recent wetting rainfall or are only modestly dry, precluding highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z An Elevated risk area has been introduced to portions of southeast CA into southern/eastern NV. Latest guidance continues to show high confidence in a corridor of 20-25 mph winds emanating out of the southern Sierra Nevada with RH values in the single digits. Fuel conditions continue to be somewhat marginal across eastern NV, but become increasingly dry with westward extent. Given the high confidence in reaching critical fire weather thresholds, an Elevated risk area has been introduced where the overlap of 20+ mph winds with sub-10% RH and ERCs at/above the 80th percentile is greatest. ..Moore.. 08/15/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0112 AM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024/ ...Synopsis... Friday will be characterized by west-southwesterly mid-level flow across the Western U.S., with a shortwave trough approaching the Oregon/Washington coasts late in the period. This will support some dry/windy conditions across portions of southern Nevada and western Utah, with relative humidity dropping to 10-15% with winds reaching 20-25 MPH. However, these conditions will largely occur over fuels that have received recent wetting rainfall or are only modestly dry, precluding highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z An Elevated risk area has been introduced to portions of southeast CA into southern/eastern NV. Latest guidance continues to show high confidence in a corridor of 20-25 mph winds emanating out of the southern Sierra Nevada with RH values in the single digits. Fuel conditions continue to be somewhat marginal across eastern NV, but become increasingly dry with westward extent. Given the high confidence in reaching critical fire weather thresholds, an Elevated risk area has been introduced where the overlap of 20+ mph winds with sub-10% RH and ERCs at/above the 80th percentile is greatest. ..Moore.. 08/15/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0112 AM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024/ ...Synopsis... Friday will be characterized by west-southwesterly mid-level flow across the Western U.S., with a shortwave trough approaching the Oregon/Washington coasts late in the period. This will support some dry/windy conditions across portions of southern Nevada and western Utah, with relative humidity dropping to 10-15% with winds reaching 20-25 MPH. However, these conditions will largely occur over fuels that have received recent wetting rainfall or are only modestly dry, precluding highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z An Elevated risk area has been introduced to portions of southeast CA into southern/eastern NV. Latest guidance continues to show high confidence in a corridor of 20-25 mph winds emanating out of the southern Sierra Nevada with RH values in the single digits. Fuel conditions continue to be somewhat marginal across eastern NV, but become increasingly dry with westward extent. Given the high confidence in reaching critical fire weather thresholds, an Elevated risk area has been introduced where the overlap of 20+ mph winds with sub-10% RH and ERCs at/above the 80th percentile is greatest. ..Moore.. 08/15/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0112 AM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024/ ...Synopsis... Friday will be characterized by west-southwesterly mid-level flow across the Western U.S., with a shortwave trough approaching the Oregon/Washington coasts late in the period. This will support some dry/windy conditions across portions of southern Nevada and western Utah, with relative humidity dropping to 10-15% with winds reaching 20-25 MPH. However, these conditions will largely occur over fuels that have received recent wetting rainfall or are only modestly dry, precluding highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z An Elevated risk area has been introduced to portions of southeast CA into southern/eastern NV. Latest guidance continues to show high confidence in a corridor of 20-25 mph winds emanating out of the southern Sierra Nevada with RH values in the single digits. Fuel conditions continue to be somewhat marginal across eastern NV, but become increasingly dry with westward extent. Given the high confidence in reaching critical fire weather thresholds, an Elevated risk area has been introduced where the overlap of 20+ mph winds with sub-10% RH and ERCs at/above the 80th percentile is greatest. ..Moore.. 08/15/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0112 AM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024/ ...Synopsis... Friday will be characterized by west-southwesterly mid-level flow across the Western U.S., with a shortwave trough approaching the Oregon/Washington coasts late in the period. This will support some dry/windy conditions across portions of southern Nevada and western Utah, with relative humidity dropping to 10-15% with winds reaching 20-25 MPH. However, these conditions will largely occur over fuels that have received recent wetting rainfall or are only modestly dry, precluding highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z An Elevated risk area has been introduced to portions of southeast CA into southern/eastern NV. Latest guidance continues to show high confidence in a corridor of 20-25 mph winds emanating out of the southern Sierra Nevada with RH values in the single digits. Fuel conditions continue to be somewhat marginal across eastern NV, but become increasingly dry with westward extent. Given the high confidence in reaching critical fire weather thresholds, an Elevated risk area has been introduced where the overlap of 20+ mph winds with sub-10% RH and ERCs at/above the 80th percentile is greatest. ..Moore.. 08/15/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0112 AM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024/ ...Synopsis... Friday will be characterized by west-southwesterly mid-level flow across the Western U.S., with a shortwave trough approaching the Oregon/Washington coasts late in the period. This will support some dry/windy conditions across portions of southern Nevada and western Utah, with relative humidity dropping to 10-15% with winds reaching 20-25 MPH. However, these conditions will largely occur over fuels that have received recent wetting rainfall or are only modestly dry, precluding highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more