Severe Storms

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE TRANS PECOS REGION OF SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... ...Synopsis... A pronounced mid-level trough will traverse the southern Rockies today, encouraging surface cyclone development over the southern Plains. Dry westerly downslope flow across southeast New Mexico into the Trans Pecos region of Texas is expected by afternoon, with sustained surface winds reaching 20-25 mph amid 10-15 percent RH. Given that very dry fuels are also present over the region, Critical highlights have been introduced. Meanwhile, dry southeasterly flow is likely across western portions of the Florida Peninsula this afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained wind speeds may overlap with 25-35 percent RH for several hours, necessitating Elevated highlights given dry fuels. ..Squitieri.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE TRANS PECOS REGION OF SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... ...Synopsis... A pronounced mid-level trough will traverse the southern Rockies today, encouraging surface cyclone development over the southern Plains. Dry westerly downslope flow across southeast New Mexico into the Trans Pecos region of Texas is expected by afternoon, with sustained surface winds reaching 20-25 mph amid 10-15 percent RH. Given that very dry fuels are also present over the region, Critical highlights have been introduced. Meanwhile, dry southeasterly flow is likely across western portions of the Florida Peninsula this afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained wind speeds may overlap with 25-35 percent RH for several hours, necessitating Elevated highlights given dry fuels. ..Squitieri.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE TRANS PECOS REGION OF SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... ...Synopsis... A pronounced mid-level trough will traverse the southern Rockies today, encouraging surface cyclone development over the southern Plains. Dry westerly downslope flow across southeast New Mexico into the Trans Pecos region of Texas is expected by afternoon, with sustained surface winds reaching 20-25 mph amid 10-15 percent RH. Given that very dry fuels are also present over the region, Critical highlights have been introduced. Meanwhile, dry southeasterly flow is likely across western portions of the Florida Peninsula this afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained wind speeds may overlap with 25-35 percent RH for several hours, necessitating Elevated highlights given dry fuels. ..Squitieri.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE TRANS PECOS REGION OF SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... ...Synopsis... A pronounced mid-level trough will traverse the southern Rockies today, encouraging surface cyclone development over the southern Plains. Dry westerly downslope flow across southeast New Mexico into the Trans Pecos region of Texas is expected by afternoon, with sustained surface winds reaching 20-25 mph amid 10-15 percent RH. Given that very dry fuels are also present over the region, Critical highlights have been introduced. Meanwhile, dry southeasterly flow is likely across western portions of the Florida Peninsula this afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained wind speeds may overlap with 25-35 percent RH for several hours, necessitating Elevated highlights given dry fuels. ..Squitieri.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE TRANS PECOS REGION OF SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... ...Synopsis... A pronounced mid-level trough will traverse the southern Rockies today, encouraging surface cyclone development over the southern Plains. Dry westerly downslope flow across southeast New Mexico into the Trans Pecos region of Texas is expected by afternoon, with sustained surface winds reaching 20-25 mph amid 10-15 percent RH. Given that very dry fuels are also present over the region, Critical highlights have been introduced. Meanwhile, dry southeasterly flow is likely across western portions of the Florida Peninsula this afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained wind speeds may overlap with 25-35 percent RH for several hours, necessitating Elevated highlights given dry fuels. ..Squitieri.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE TRANS PECOS REGION OF SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... ...Synopsis... A pronounced mid-level trough will traverse the southern Rockies today, encouraging surface cyclone development over the southern Plains. Dry westerly downslope flow across southeast New Mexico into the Trans Pecos region of Texas is expected by afternoon, with sustained surface winds reaching 20-25 mph amid 10-15 percent RH. Given that very dry fuels are also present over the region, Critical highlights have been introduced. Meanwhile, dry southeasterly flow is likely across western portions of the Florida Peninsula this afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained wind speeds may overlap with 25-35 percent RH for several hours, necessitating Elevated highlights given dry fuels. ..Squitieri.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE TRANS PECOS REGION OF SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... ...Synopsis... A pronounced mid-level trough will traverse the southern Rockies today, encouraging surface cyclone development over the southern Plains. Dry westerly downslope flow across southeast New Mexico into the Trans Pecos region of Texas is expected by afternoon, with sustained surface winds reaching 20-25 mph amid 10-15 percent RH. Given that very dry fuels are also present over the region, Critical highlights have been introduced. Meanwhile, dry southeasterly flow is likely across western portions of the Florida Peninsula this afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained wind speeds may overlap with 25-35 percent RH for several hours, necessitating Elevated highlights given dry fuels. ..Squitieri.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE TRANS PECOS REGION OF SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... ...Synopsis... A pronounced mid-level trough will traverse the southern Rockies today, encouraging surface cyclone development over the southern Plains. Dry westerly downslope flow across southeast New Mexico into the Trans Pecos region of Texas is expected by afternoon, with sustained surface winds reaching 20-25 mph amid 10-15 percent RH. Given that very dry fuels are also present over the region, Critical highlights have been introduced. Meanwhile, dry southeasterly flow is likely across western portions of the Florida Peninsula this afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained wind speeds may overlap with 25-35 percent RH for several hours, necessitating Elevated highlights given dry fuels. ..Squitieri.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE TRANS PECOS REGION OF SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... ...Synopsis... A pronounced mid-level trough will traverse the southern Rockies today, encouraging surface cyclone development over the southern Plains. Dry westerly downslope flow across southeast New Mexico into the Trans Pecos region of Texas is expected by afternoon, with sustained surface winds reaching 20-25 mph amid 10-15 percent RH. Given that very dry fuels are also present over the region, Critical highlights have been introduced. Meanwhile, dry southeasterly flow is likely across western portions of the Florida Peninsula this afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained wind speeds may overlap with 25-35 percent RH for several hours, necessitating Elevated highlights given dry fuels. ..Squitieri.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE TRANS PECOS REGION OF SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... ...Synopsis... A pronounced mid-level trough will traverse the southern Rockies today, encouraging surface cyclone development over the southern Plains. Dry westerly downslope flow across southeast New Mexico into the Trans Pecos region of Texas is expected by afternoon, with sustained surface winds reaching 20-25 mph amid 10-15 percent RH. Given that very dry fuels are also present over the region, Critical highlights have been introduced. Meanwhile, dry southeasterly flow is likely across western portions of the Florida Peninsula this afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained wind speeds may overlap with 25-35 percent RH for several hours, necessitating Elevated highlights given dry fuels. ..Squitieri.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE TRANS PECOS REGION OF SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... ...Synopsis... A pronounced mid-level trough will traverse the southern Rockies today, encouraging surface cyclone development over the southern Plains. Dry westerly downslope flow across southeast New Mexico into the Trans Pecos region of Texas is expected by afternoon, with sustained surface winds reaching 20-25 mph amid 10-15 percent RH. Given that very dry fuels are also present over the region, Critical highlights have been introduced. Meanwhile, dry southeasterly flow is likely across western portions of the Florida Peninsula this afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained wind speeds may overlap with 25-35 percent RH for several hours, necessitating Elevated highlights given dry fuels. ..Squitieri.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE TRANS PECOS REGION OF SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... ...Synopsis... A pronounced mid-level trough will traverse the southern Rockies today, encouraging surface cyclone development over the southern Plains. Dry westerly downslope flow across southeast New Mexico into the Trans Pecos region of Texas is expected by afternoon, with sustained surface winds reaching 20-25 mph amid 10-15 percent RH. Given that very dry fuels are also present over the region, Critical highlights have been introduced. Meanwhile, dry southeasterly flow is likely across western portions of the Florida Peninsula this afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained wind speeds may overlap with 25-35 percent RH for several hours, necessitating Elevated highlights given dry fuels. ..Squitieri.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE TRANS PECOS REGION OF SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... ...Synopsis... A pronounced mid-level trough will traverse the southern Rockies today, encouraging surface cyclone development over the southern Plains. Dry westerly downslope flow across southeast New Mexico into the Trans Pecos region of Texas is expected by afternoon, with sustained surface winds reaching 20-25 mph amid 10-15 percent RH. Given that very dry fuels are also present over the region, Critical highlights have been introduced. Meanwhile, dry southeasterly flow is likely across western portions of the Florida Peninsula this afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained wind speeds may overlap with 25-35 percent RH for several hours, necessitating Elevated highlights given dry fuels. ..Squitieri.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorm potential appears low on Monday. ...Ohio Valley... An upper shortwave trough over the mid/upper MS Valley will lift east/northeast across the Great Lakes/OH Valley on Monday. A belt of enhanced mid/upper southwesterly flow will overspread much of the Midwest/Ohio Valley ahead of the upper trough. At the surface, low pressure over southern WI will lift northeast into Ontario/Quebec and a trailing cold front will move across the Ohio Valley. A narrow corridor of modest boundary layer moisture will overspread portions of KY/IL/OH/MI ahead of the front. Modest destabilization may allow for isolated diurnal thunderstorm development across the Ohio Valley. Poor lapse rates and weak instability should temper overall severe potential, but a few strong storms may produce gusty winds or small hail. ...Southeast TX to TN Valley... The southwest extent of the Ohio Valley cold front will stall across the region. Large-scale ascent will be nebulous across the region as the main upper shortwave trough continues to lift well to the northeast. Nevertheless, diurnal heating and low to mid 60s F dewpoints along the surface boundary will support isolated thunderstorm development. A few stronger storms could produce gusty winds or small hail, but overall severe potential appears limited given a lack of stronger forcing. ..Leitman.. 04/19/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorm potential appears low on Monday. ...Ohio Valley... An upper shortwave trough over the mid/upper MS Valley will lift east/northeast across the Great Lakes/OH Valley on Monday. A belt of enhanced mid/upper southwesterly flow will overspread much of the Midwest/Ohio Valley ahead of the upper trough. At the surface, low pressure over southern WI will lift northeast into Ontario/Quebec and a trailing cold front will move across the Ohio Valley. A narrow corridor of modest boundary layer moisture will overspread portions of KY/IL/OH/MI ahead of the front. Modest destabilization may allow for isolated diurnal thunderstorm development across the Ohio Valley. Poor lapse rates and weak instability should temper overall severe potential, but a few strong storms may produce gusty winds or small hail. ...Southeast TX to TN Valley... The southwest extent of the Ohio Valley cold front will stall across the region. Large-scale ascent will be nebulous across the region as the main upper shortwave trough continues to lift well to the northeast. Nevertheless, diurnal heating and low to mid 60s F dewpoints along the surface boundary will support isolated thunderstorm development. A few stronger storms could produce gusty winds or small hail, but overall severe potential appears limited given a lack of stronger forcing. ..Leitman.. 04/19/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorm potential appears low on Monday. ...Ohio Valley... An upper shortwave trough over the mid/upper MS Valley will lift east/northeast across the Great Lakes/OH Valley on Monday. A belt of enhanced mid/upper southwesterly flow will overspread much of the Midwest/Ohio Valley ahead of the upper trough. At the surface, low pressure over southern WI will lift northeast into Ontario/Quebec and a trailing cold front will move across the Ohio Valley. A narrow corridor of modest boundary layer moisture will overspread portions of KY/IL/OH/MI ahead of the front. Modest destabilization may allow for isolated diurnal thunderstorm development across the Ohio Valley. Poor lapse rates and weak instability should temper overall severe potential, but a few strong storms may produce gusty winds or small hail. ...Southeast TX to TN Valley... The southwest extent of the Ohio Valley cold front will stall across the region. Large-scale ascent will be nebulous across the region as the main upper shortwave trough continues to lift well to the northeast. Nevertheless, diurnal heating and low to mid 60s F dewpoints along the surface boundary will support isolated thunderstorm development. A few stronger storms could produce gusty winds or small hail, but overall severe potential appears limited given a lack of stronger forcing. ..Leitman.. 04/19/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorm potential appears low on Monday. ...Ohio Valley... An upper shortwave trough over the mid/upper MS Valley will lift east/northeast across the Great Lakes/OH Valley on Monday. A belt of enhanced mid/upper southwesterly flow will overspread much of the Midwest/Ohio Valley ahead of the upper trough. At the surface, low pressure over southern WI will lift northeast into Ontario/Quebec and a trailing cold front will move across the Ohio Valley. A narrow corridor of modest boundary layer moisture will overspread portions of KY/IL/OH/MI ahead of the front. Modest destabilization may allow for isolated diurnal thunderstorm development across the Ohio Valley. Poor lapse rates and weak instability should temper overall severe potential, but a few strong storms may produce gusty winds or small hail. ...Southeast TX to TN Valley... The southwest extent of the Ohio Valley cold front will stall across the region. Large-scale ascent will be nebulous across the region as the main upper shortwave trough continues to lift well to the northeast. Nevertheless, diurnal heating and low to mid 60s F dewpoints along the surface boundary will support isolated thunderstorm development. A few stronger storms could produce gusty winds or small hail, but overall severe potential appears limited given a lack of stronger forcing. ..Leitman.. 04/19/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorm potential appears low on Monday. ...Ohio Valley... An upper shortwave trough over the mid/upper MS Valley will lift east/northeast across the Great Lakes/OH Valley on Monday. A belt of enhanced mid/upper southwesterly flow will overspread much of the Midwest/Ohio Valley ahead of the upper trough. At the surface, low pressure over southern WI will lift northeast into Ontario/Quebec and a trailing cold front will move across the Ohio Valley. A narrow corridor of modest boundary layer moisture will overspread portions of KY/IL/OH/MI ahead of the front. Modest destabilization may allow for isolated diurnal thunderstorm development across the Ohio Valley. Poor lapse rates and weak instability should temper overall severe potential, but a few strong storms may produce gusty winds or small hail. ...Southeast TX to TN Valley... The southwest extent of the Ohio Valley cold front will stall across the region. Large-scale ascent will be nebulous across the region as the main upper shortwave trough continues to lift well to the northeast. Nevertheless, diurnal heating and low to mid 60s F dewpoints along the surface boundary will support isolated thunderstorm development. A few stronger storms could produce gusty winds or small hail, but overall severe potential appears limited given a lack of stronger forcing. ..Leitman.. 04/19/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorm potential appears low on Monday. ...Ohio Valley... An upper shortwave trough over the mid/upper MS Valley will lift east/northeast across the Great Lakes/OH Valley on Monday. A belt of enhanced mid/upper southwesterly flow will overspread much of the Midwest/Ohio Valley ahead of the upper trough. At the surface, low pressure over southern WI will lift northeast into Ontario/Quebec and a trailing cold front will move across the Ohio Valley. A narrow corridor of modest boundary layer moisture will overspread portions of KY/IL/OH/MI ahead of the front. Modest destabilization may allow for isolated diurnal thunderstorm development across the Ohio Valley. Poor lapse rates and weak instability should temper overall severe potential, but a few strong storms may produce gusty winds or small hail. ...Southeast TX to TN Valley... The southwest extent of the Ohio Valley cold front will stall across the region. Large-scale ascent will be nebulous across the region as the main upper shortwave trough continues to lift well to the northeast. Nevertheless, diurnal heating and low to mid 60s F dewpoints along the surface boundary will support isolated thunderstorm development. A few stronger storms could produce gusty winds or small hail, but overall severe potential appears limited given a lack of stronger forcing. ..Leitman.. 04/19/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorm potential appears low on Monday. ...Ohio Valley... An upper shortwave trough over the mid/upper MS Valley will lift east/northeast across the Great Lakes/OH Valley on Monday. A belt of enhanced mid/upper southwesterly flow will overspread much of the Midwest/Ohio Valley ahead of the upper trough. At the surface, low pressure over southern WI will lift northeast into Ontario/Quebec and a trailing cold front will move across the Ohio Valley. A narrow corridor of modest boundary layer moisture will overspread portions of KY/IL/OH/MI ahead of the front. Modest destabilization may allow for isolated diurnal thunderstorm development across the Ohio Valley. Poor lapse rates and weak instability should temper overall severe potential, but a few strong storms may produce gusty winds or small hail. ...Southeast TX to TN Valley... The southwest extent of the Ohio Valley cold front will stall across the region. Large-scale ascent will be nebulous across the region as the main upper shortwave trough continues to lift well to the northeast. Nevertheless, diurnal heating and low to mid 60s F dewpoints along the surface boundary will support isolated thunderstorm development. A few stronger storms could produce gusty winds or small hail, but overall severe potential appears limited given a lack of stronger forcing. ..Leitman.. 04/19/2025 Read more