Severe Storms

WW 0148 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0148 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sat Apr 19 22:21:02 UTC 2025.

WW 148 TORNADO TX 192220Z - 200300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 148 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 520 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of West-Central Texas * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 520 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Several supercells will continue to develop and mature in the vicinity of a west to east oriented boundary over the Watch area through the evening. The supercells will pose a risk for a couple of tornadoes, as well as large to very large hail and severe gusts. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 35 statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles west northwest of San Angelo TX to 75 miles east northeast of San Angelo TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 147... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25035. ...Smith Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0503 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z Across the eastern US, ridging will favor dry conditions but with only modest winds through much of the forecast period. Mid-level flow will trend more zonal and weaken slightly over the next several days, before a more amplified pattern emerges mid to late week next week. Lee troughing and westerly flow will increase from the Rockies to the Southwest. This will tend to support an increase in fire-weather concerns midweek and beyond. ...Southwest and Great Basin... As flow aloft becomes more amplified, a stronger upper trough will eject eastward over the Rockies and high Plains supporting strong southwesterly flow a loft. A cooler air mass behind a remnant backdoor front over the southern high Plains will gradually warm and dry through early next week. Dry downslope winds will increase midweek as the main upper trough moves east. Elevated to critical conditions are possible D5/Wed and beyond. Uncertainty on the upper-level evolution remains fairly large, but ensemble agreement increases fire-weather concerns through next weekend. ...Central High Plains... As flow aloft becomes more zonal, westerly downslope flow is likely early next week. Downslope winds may reach critical criteria at times, but substantial uncertainty remains on diurnal RH minimums given the cooler surface temperatures and precipitation over the preceding days. Localized fire-weather concerns will remain possible, but widespread concerns are not expected. ...Southeast... Dry and occasional breezy conditions are possible over much of the Southeast and FL through next week. High pressure over the eastern US will support above normal temperatures and almost no precipitation. This could support some localized fire-weather risk, given the ongoing state of dry fuels and additional drought development. However, confidence in the coverage and intensity of fire-weather conditions is low as winds are not expected to be very strong beneath high pressure. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0503 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z Across the eastern US, ridging will favor dry conditions but with only modest winds through much of the forecast period. Mid-level flow will trend more zonal and weaken slightly over the next several days, before a more amplified pattern emerges mid to late week next week. Lee troughing and westerly flow will increase from the Rockies to the Southwest. This will tend to support an increase in fire-weather concerns midweek and beyond. ...Southwest and Great Basin... As flow aloft becomes more amplified, a stronger upper trough will eject eastward over the Rockies and high Plains supporting strong southwesterly flow a loft. A cooler air mass behind a remnant backdoor front over the southern high Plains will gradually warm and dry through early next week. Dry downslope winds will increase midweek as the main upper trough moves east. Elevated to critical conditions are possible D5/Wed and beyond. Uncertainty on the upper-level evolution remains fairly large, but ensemble agreement increases fire-weather concerns through next weekend. ...Central High Plains... As flow aloft becomes more zonal, westerly downslope flow is likely early next week. Downslope winds may reach critical criteria at times, but substantial uncertainty remains on diurnal RH minimums given the cooler surface temperatures and precipitation over the preceding days. Localized fire-weather concerns will remain possible, but widespread concerns are not expected. ...Southeast... Dry and occasional breezy conditions are possible over much of the Southeast and FL through next week. High pressure over the eastern US will support above normal temperatures and almost no precipitation. This could support some localized fire-weather risk, given the ongoing state of dry fuels and additional drought development. However, confidence in the coverage and intensity of fire-weather conditions is low as winds are not expected to be very strong beneath high pressure. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0503 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z Across the eastern US, ridging will favor dry conditions but with only modest winds through much of the forecast period. Mid-level flow will trend more zonal and weaken slightly over the next several days, before a more amplified pattern emerges mid to late week next week. Lee troughing and westerly flow will increase from the Rockies to the Southwest. This will tend to support an increase in fire-weather concerns midweek and beyond. ...Southwest and Great Basin... As flow aloft becomes more amplified, a stronger upper trough will eject eastward over the Rockies and high Plains supporting strong southwesterly flow a loft. A cooler air mass behind a remnant backdoor front over the southern high Plains will gradually warm and dry through early next week. Dry downslope winds will increase midweek as the main upper trough moves east. Elevated to critical conditions are possible D5/Wed and beyond. Uncertainty on the upper-level evolution remains fairly large, but ensemble agreement increases fire-weather concerns through next weekend. ...Central High Plains... As flow aloft becomes more zonal, westerly downslope flow is likely early next week. Downslope winds may reach critical criteria at times, but substantial uncertainty remains on diurnal RH minimums given the cooler surface temperatures and precipitation over the preceding days. Localized fire-weather concerns will remain possible, but widespread concerns are not expected. ...Southeast... Dry and occasional breezy conditions are possible over much of the Southeast and FL through next week. High pressure over the eastern US will support above normal temperatures and almost no precipitation. This could support some localized fire-weather risk, given the ongoing state of dry fuels and additional drought development. However, confidence in the coverage and intensity of fire-weather conditions is low as winds are not expected to be very strong beneath high pressure. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0503 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z Across the eastern US, ridging will favor dry conditions but with only modest winds through much of the forecast period. Mid-level flow will trend more zonal and weaken slightly over the next several days, before a more amplified pattern emerges mid to late week next week. Lee troughing and westerly flow will increase from the Rockies to the Southwest. This will tend to support an increase in fire-weather concerns midweek and beyond. ...Southwest and Great Basin... As flow aloft becomes more amplified, a stronger upper trough will eject eastward over the Rockies and high Plains supporting strong southwesterly flow a loft. A cooler air mass behind a remnant backdoor front over the southern high Plains will gradually warm and dry through early next week. Dry downslope winds will increase midweek as the main upper trough moves east. Elevated to critical conditions are possible D5/Wed and beyond. Uncertainty on the upper-level evolution remains fairly large, but ensemble agreement increases fire-weather concerns through next weekend. ...Central High Plains... As flow aloft becomes more zonal, westerly downslope flow is likely early next week. Downslope winds may reach critical criteria at times, but substantial uncertainty remains on diurnal RH minimums given the cooler surface temperatures and precipitation over the preceding days. Localized fire-weather concerns will remain possible, but widespread concerns are not expected. ...Southeast... Dry and occasional breezy conditions are possible over much of the Southeast and FL through next week. High pressure over the eastern US will support above normal temperatures and almost no precipitation. This could support some localized fire-weather risk, given the ongoing state of dry fuels and additional drought development. However, confidence in the coverage and intensity of fire-weather conditions is low as winds are not expected to be very strong beneath high pressure. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0503 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z Across the eastern US, ridging will favor dry conditions but with only modest winds through much of the forecast period. Mid-level flow will trend more zonal and weaken slightly over the next several days, before a more amplified pattern emerges mid to late week next week. Lee troughing and westerly flow will increase from the Rockies to the Southwest. This will tend to support an increase in fire-weather concerns midweek and beyond. ...Southwest and Great Basin... As flow aloft becomes more amplified, a stronger upper trough will eject eastward over the Rockies and high Plains supporting strong southwesterly flow a loft. A cooler air mass behind a remnant backdoor front over the southern high Plains will gradually warm and dry through early next week. Dry downslope winds will increase midweek as the main upper trough moves east. Elevated to critical conditions are possible D5/Wed and beyond. Uncertainty on the upper-level evolution remains fairly large, but ensemble agreement increases fire-weather concerns through next weekend. ...Central High Plains... As flow aloft becomes more zonal, westerly downslope flow is likely early next week. Downslope winds may reach critical criteria at times, but substantial uncertainty remains on diurnal RH minimums given the cooler surface temperatures and precipitation over the preceding days. Localized fire-weather concerns will remain possible, but widespread concerns are not expected. ...Southeast... Dry and occasional breezy conditions are possible over much of the Southeast and FL through next week. High pressure over the eastern US will support above normal temperatures and almost no precipitation. This could support some localized fire-weather risk, given the ongoing state of dry fuels and additional drought development. However, confidence in the coverage and intensity of fire-weather conditions is low as winds are not expected to be very strong beneath high pressure. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0503 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z Across the eastern US, ridging will favor dry conditions but with only modest winds through much of the forecast period. Mid-level flow will trend more zonal and weaken slightly over the next several days, before a more amplified pattern emerges mid to late week next week. Lee troughing and westerly flow will increase from the Rockies to the Southwest. This will tend to support an increase in fire-weather concerns midweek and beyond. ...Southwest and Great Basin... As flow aloft becomes more amplified, a stronger upper trough will eject eastward over the Rockies and high Plains supporting strong southwesterly flow a loft. A cooler air mass behind a remnant backdoor front over the southern high Plains will gradually warm and dry through early next week. Dry downslope winds will increase midweek as the main upper trough moves east. Elevated to critical conditions are possible D5/Wed and beyond. Uncertainty on the upper-level evolution remains fairly large, but ensemble agreement increases fire-weather concerns through next weekend. ...Central High Plains... As flow aloft becomes more zonal, westerly downslope flow is likely early next week. Downslope winds may reach critical criteria at times, but substantial uncertainty remains on diurnal RH minimums given the cooler surface temperatures and precipitation over the preceding days. Localized fire-weather concerns will remain possible, but widespread concerns are not expected. ...Southeast... Dry and occasional breezy conditions are possible over much of the Southeast and FL through next week. High pressure over the eastern US will support above normal temperatures and almost no precipitation. This could support some localized fire-weather risk, given the ongoing state of dry fuels and additional drought development. However, confidence in the coverage and intensity of fire-weather conditions is low as winds are not expected to be very strong beneath high pressure. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0503 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z Across the eastern US, ridging will favor dry conditions but with only modest winds through much of the forecast period. Mid-level flow will trend more zonal and weaken slightly over the next several days, before a more amplified pattern emerges mid to late week next week. Lee troughing and westerly flow will increase from the Rockies to the Southwest. This will tend to support an increase in fire-weather concerns midweek and beyond. ...Southwest and Great Basin... As flow aloft becomes more amplified, a stronger upper trough will eject eastward over the Rockies and high Plains supporting strong southwesterly flow a loft. A cooler air mass behind a remnant backdoor front over the southern high Plains will gradually warm and dry through early next week. Dry downslope winds will increase midweek as the main upper trough moves east. Elevated to critical conditions are possible D5/Wed and beyond. Uncertainty on the upper-level evolution remains fairly large, but ensemble agreement increases fire-weather concerns through next weekend. ...Central High Plains... As flow aloft becomes more zonal, westerly downslope flow is likely early next week. Downslope winds may reach critical criteria at times, but substantial uncertainty remains on diurnal RH minimums given the cooler surface temperatures and precipitation over the preceding days. Localized fire-weather concerns will remain possible, but widespread concerns are not expected. ...Southeast... Dry and occasional breezy conditions are possible over much of the Southeast and FL through next week. High pressure over the eastern US will support above normal temperatures and almost no precipitation. This could support some localized fire-weather risk, given the ongoing state of dry fuels and additional drought development. However, confidence in the coverage and intensity of fire-weather conditions is low as winds are not expected to be very strong beneath high pressure. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0503 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z Across the eastern US, ridging will favor dry conditions but with only modest winds through much of the forecast period. Mid-level flow will trend more zonal and weaken slightly over the next several days, before a more amplified pattern emerges mid to late week next week. Lee troughing and westerly flow will increase from the Rockies to the Southwest. This will tend to support an increase in fire-weather concerns midweek and beyond. ...Southwest and Great Basin... As flow aloft becomes more amplified, a stronger upper trough will eject eastward over the Rockies and high Plains supporting strong southwesterly flow a loft. A cooler air mass behind a remnant backdoor front over the southern high Plains will gradually warm and dry through early next week. Dry downslope winds will increase midweek as the main upper trough moves east. Elevated to critical conditions are possible D5/Wed and beyond. Uncertainty on the upper-level evolution remains fairly large, but ensemble agreement increases fire-weather concerns through next weekend. ...Central High Plains... As flow aloft becomes more zonal, westerly downslope flow is likely early next week. Downslope winds may reach critical criteria at times, but substantial uncertainty remains on diurnal RH minimums given the cooler surface temperatures and precipitation over the preceding days. Localized fire-weather concerns will remain possible, but widespread concerns are not expected. ...Southeast... Dry and occasional breezy conditions are possible over much of the Southeast and FL through next week. High pressure over the eastern US will support above normal temperatures and almost no precipitation. This could support some localized fire-weather risk, given the ongoing state of dry fuels and additional drought development. However, confidence in the coverage and intensity of fire-weather conditions is low as winds are not expected to be very strong beneath high pressure. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0503 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z Across the eastern US, ridging will favor dry conditions but with only modest winds through much of the forecast period. Mid-level flow will trend more zonal and weaken slightly over the next several days, before a more amplified pattern emerges mid to late week next week. Lee troughing and westerly flow will increase from the Rockies to the Southwest. This will tend to support an increase in fire-weather concerns midweek and beyond. ...Southwest and Great Basin... As flow aloft becomes more amplified, a stronger upper trough will eject eastward over the Rockies and high Plains supporting strong southwesterly flow a loft. A cooler air mass behind a remnant backdoor front over the southern high Plains will gradually warm and dry through early next week. Dry downslope winds will increase midweek as the main upper trough moves east. Elevated to critical conditions are possible D5/Wed and beyond. Uncertainty on the upper-level evolution remains fairly large, but ensemble agreement increases fire-weather concerns through next weekend. ...Central High Plains... As flow aloft becomes more zonal, westerly downslope flow is likely early next week. Downslope winds may reach critical criteria at times, but substantial uncertainty remains on diurnal RH minimums given the cooler surface temperatures and precipitation over the preceding days. Localized fire-weather concerns will remain possible, but widespread concerns are not expected. ...Southeast... Dry and occasional breezy conditions are possible over much of the Southeast and FL through next week. High pressure over the eastern US will support above normal temperatures and almost no precipitation. This could support some localized fire-weather risk, given the ongoing state of dry fuels and additional drought development. However, confidence in the coverage and intensity of fire-weather conditions is low as winds are not expected to be very strong beneath high pressure. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0503 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z Across the eastern US, ridging will favor dry conditions but with only modest winds through much of the forecast period. Mid-level flow will trend more zonal and weaken slightly over the next several days, before a more amplified pattern emerges mid to late week next week. Lee troughing and westerly flow will increase from the Rockies to the Southwest. This will tend to support an increase in fire-weather concerns midweek and beyond. ...Southwest and Great Basin... As flow aloft becomes more amplified, a stronger upper trough will eject eastward over the Rockies and high Plains supporting strong southwesterly flow a loft. A cooler air mass behind a remnant backdoor front over the southern high Plains will gradually warm and dry through early next week. Dry downslope winds will increase midweek as the main upper trough moves east. Elevated to critical conditions are possible D5/Wed and beyond. Uncertainty on the upper-level evolution remains fairly large, but ensemble agreement increases fire-weather concerns through next weekend. ...Central High Plains... As flow aloft becomes more zonal, westerly downslope flow is likely early next week. Downslope winds may reach critical criteria at times, but substantial uncertainty remains on diurnal RH minimums given the cooler surface temperatures and precipitation over the preceding days. Localized fire-weather concerns will remain possible, but widespread concerns are not expected. ...Southeast... Dry and occasional breezy conditions are possible over much of the Southeast and FL through next week. High pressure over the eastern US will support above normal temperatures and almost no precipitation. This could support some localized fire-weather risk, given the ongoing state of dry fuels and additional drought development. However, confidence in the coverage and intensity of fire-weather conditions is low as winds are not expected to be very strong beneath high pressure. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0503 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z Across the eastern US, ridging will favor dry conditions but with only modest winds through much of the forecast period. Mid-level flow will trend more zonal and weaken slightly over the next several days, before a more amplified pattern emerges mid to late week next week. Lee troughing and westerly flow will increase from the Rockies to the Southwest. This will tend to support an increase in fire-weather concerns midweek and beyond. ...Southwest and Great Basin... As flow aloft becomes more amplified, a stronger upper trough will eject eastward over the Rockies and high Plains supporting strong southwesterly flow a loft. A cooler air mass behind a remnant backdoor front over the southern high Plains will gradually warm and dry through early next week. Dry downslope winds will increase midweek as the main upper trough moves east. Elevated to critical conditions are possible D5/Wed and beyond. Uncertainty on the upper-level evolution remains fairly large, but ensemble agreement increases fire-weather concerns through next weekend. ...Central High Plains... As flow aloft becomes more zonal, westerly downslope flow is likely early next week. Downslope winds may reach critical criteria at times, but substantial uncertainty remains on diurnal RH minimums given the cooler surface temperatures and precipitation over the preceding days. Localized fire-weather concerns will remain possible, but widespread concerns are not expected. ...Southeast... Dry and occasional breezy conditions are possible over much of the Southeast and FL through next week. High pressure over the eastern US will support above normal temperatures and almost no precipitation. This could support some localized fire-weather risk, given the ongoing state of dry fuels and additional drought development. However, confidence in the coverage and intensity of fire-weather conditions is low as winds are not expected to be very strong beneath high pressure. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0503 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z Across the eastern US, ridging will favor dry conditions but with only modest winds through much of the forecast period. Mid-level flow will trend more zonal and weaken slightly over the next several days, before a more amplified pattern emerges mid to late week next week. Lee troughing and westerly flow will increase from the Rockies to the Southwest. This will tend to support an increase in fire-weather concerns midweek and beyond. ...Southwest and Great Basin... As flow aloft becomes more amplified, a stronger upper trough will eject eastward over the Rockies and high Plains supporting strong southwesterly flow a loft. A cooler air mass behind a remnant backdoor front over the southern high Plains will gradually warm and dry through early next week. Dry downslope winds will increase midweek as the main upper trough moves east. Elevated to critical conditions are possible D5/Wed and beyond. Uncertainty on the upper-level evolution remains fairly large, but ensemble agreement increases fire-weather concerns through next weekend. ...Central High Plains... As flow aloft becomes more zonal, westerly downslope flow is likely early next week. Downslope winds may reach critical criteria at times, but substantial uncertainty remains on diurnal RH minimums given the cooler surface temperatures and precipitation over the preceding days. Localized fire-weather concerns will remain possible, but widespread concerns are not expected. ...Southeast... Dry and occasional breezy conditions are possible over much of the Southeast and FL through next week. High pressure over the eastern US will support above normal temperatures and almost no precipitation. This could support some localized fire-weather risk, given the ongoing state of dry fuels and additional drought development. However, confidence in the coverage and intensity of fire-weather conditions is low as winds are not expected to be very strong beneath high pressure. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0503 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z Across the eastern US, ridging will favor dry conditions but with only modest winds through much of the forecast period. Mid-level flow will trend more zonal and weaken slightly over the next several days, before a more amplified pattern emerges mid to late week next week. Lee troughing and westerly flow will increase from the Rockies to the Southwest. This will tend to support an increase in fire-weather concerns midweek and beyond. ...Southwest and Great Basin... As flow aloft becomes more amplified, a stronger upper trough will eject eastward over the Rockies and high Plains supporting strong southwesterly flow a loft. A cooler air mass behind a remnant backdoor front over the southern high Plains will gradually warm and dry through early next week. Dry downslope winds will increase midweek as the main upper trough moves east. Elevated to critical conditions are possible D5/Wed and beyond. Uncertainty on the upper-level evolution remains fairly large, but ensemble agreement increases fire-weather concerns through next weekend. ...Central High Plains... As flow aloft becomes more zonal, westerly downslope flow is likely early next week. Downslope winds may reach critical criteria at times, but substantial uncertainty remains on diurnal RH minimums given the cooler surface temperatures and precipitation over the preceding days. Localized fire-weather concerns will remain possible, but widespread concerns are not expected. ...Southeast... Dry and occasional breezy conditions are possible over much of the Southeast and FL through next week. High pressure over the eastern US will support above normal temperatures and almost no precipitation. This could support some localized fire-weather risk, given the ongoing state of dry fuels and additional drought development. However, confidence in the coverage and intensity of fire-weather conditions is low as winds are not expected to be very strong beneath high pressure. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0503 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z Across the eastern US, ridging will favor dry conditions but with only modest winds through much of the forecast period. Mid-level flow will trend more zonal and weaken slightly over the next several days, before a more amplified pattern emerges mid to late week next week. Lee troughing and westerly flow will increase from the Rockies to the Southwest. This will tend to support an increase in fire-weather concerns midweek and beyond. ...Southwest and Great Basin... As flow aloft becomes more amplified, a stronger upper trough will eject eastward over the Rockies and high Plains supporting strong southwesterly flow a loft. A cooler air mass behind a remnant backdoor front over the southern high Plains will gradually warm and dry through early next week. Dry downslope winds will increase midweek as the main upper trough moves east. Elevated to critical conditions are possible D5/Wed and beyond. Uncertainty on the upper-level evolution remains fairly large, but ensemble agreement increases fire-weather concerns through next weekend. ...Central High Plains... As flow aloft becomes more zonal, westerly downslope flow is likely early next week. Downslope winds may reach critical criteria at times, but substantial uncertainty remains on diurnal RH minimums given the cooler surface temperatures and precipitation over the preceding days. Localized fire-weather concerns will remain possible, but widespread concerns are not expected. ...Southeast... Dry and occasional breezy conditions are possible over much of the Southeast and FL through next week. High pressure over the eastern US will support above normal temperatures and almost no precipitation. This could support some localized fire-weather risk, given the ongoing state of dry fuels and additional drought development. However, confidence in the coverage and intensity of fire-weather conditions is low as winds are not expected to be very strong beneath high pressure. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0503 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z Across the eastern US, ridging will favor dry conditions but with only modest winds through much of the forecast period. Mid-level flow will trend more zonal and weaken slightly over the next several days, before a more amplified pattern emerges mid to late week next week. Lee troughing and westerly flow will increase from the Rockies to the Southwest. This will tend to support an increase in fire-weather concerns midweek and beyond. ...Southwest and Great Basin... As flow aloft becomes more amplified, a stronger upper trough will eject eastward over the Rockies and high Plains supporting strong southwesterly flow a loft. A cooler air mass behind a remnant backdoor front over the southern high Plains will gradually warm and dry through early next week. Dry downslope winds will increase midweek as the main upper trough moves east. Elevated to critical conditions are possible D5/Wed and beyond. Uncertainty on the upper-level evolution remains fairly large, but ensemble agreement increases fire-weather concerns through next weekend. ...Central High Plains... As flow aloft becomes more zonal, westerly downslope flow is likely early next week. Downslope winds may reach critical criteria at times, but substantial uncertainty remains on diurnal RH minimums given the cooler surface temperatures and precipitation over the preceding days. Localized fire-weather concerns will remain possible, but widespread concerns are not expected. ...Southeast... Dry and occasional breezy conditions are possible over much of the Southeast and FL through next week. High pressure over the eastern US will support above normal temperatures and almost no precipitation. This could support some localized fire-weather risk, given the ongoing state of dry fuels and additional drought development. However, confidence in the coverage and intensity of fire-weather conditions is low as winds are not expected to be very strong beneath high pressure. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0503 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z Across the eastern US, ridging will favor dry conditions but with only modest winds through much of the forecast period. Mid-level flow will trend more zonal and weaken slightly over the next several days, before a more amplified pattern emerges mid to late week next week. Lee troughing and westerly flow will increase from the Rockies to the Southwest. This will tend to support an increase in fire-weather concerns midweek and beyond. ...Southwest and Great Basin... As flow aloft becomes more amplified, a stronger upper trough will eject eastward over the Rockies and high Plains supporting strong southwesterly flow a loft. A cooler air mass behind a remnant backdoor front over the southern high Plains will gradually warm and dry through early next week. Dry downslope winds will increase midweek as the main upper trough moves east. Elevated to critical conditions are possible D5/Wed and beyond. Uncertainty on the upper-level evolution remains fairly large, but ensemble agreement increases fire-weather concerns through next weekend. ...Central High Plains... As flow aloft becomes more zonal, westerly downslope flow is likely early next week. Downslope winds may reach critical criteria at times, but substantial uncertainty remains on diurnal RH minimums given the cooler surface temperatures and precipitation over the preceding days. Localized fire-weather concerns will remain possible, but widespread concerns are not expected. ...Southeast... Dry and occasional breezy conditions are possible over much of the Southeast and FL through next week. High pressure over the eastern US will support above normal temperatures and almost no precipitation. This could support some localized fire-weather risk, given the ongoing state of dry fuels and additional drought development. However, confidence in the coverage and intensity of fire-weather conditions is low as winds are not expected to be very strong beneath high pressure. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0503 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z Across the eastern US, ridging will favor dry conditions but with only modest winds through much of the forecast period. Mid-level flow will trend more zonal and weaken slightly over the next several days, before a more amplified pattern emerges mid to late week next week. Lee troughing and westerly flow will increase from the Rockies to the Southwest. This will tend to support an increase in fire-weather concerns midweek and beyond. ...Southwest and Great Basin... As flow aloft becomes more amplified, a stronger upper trough will eject eastward over the Rockies and high Plains supporting strong southwesterly flow a loft. A cooler air mass behind a remnant backdoor front over the southern high Plains will gradually warm and dry through early next week. Dry downslope winds will increase midweek as the main upper trough moves east. Elevated to critical conditions are possible D5/Wed and beyond. Uncertainty on the upper-level evolution remains fairly large, but ensemble agreement increases fire-weather concerns through next weekend. ...Central High Plains... As flow aloft becomes more zonal, westerly downslope flow is likely early next week. Downslope winds may reach critical criteria at times, but substantial uncertainty remains on diurnal RH minimums given the cooler surface temperatures and precipitation over the preceding days. Localized fire-weather concerns will remain possible, but widespread concerns are not expected. ...Southeast... Dry and occasional breezy conditions are possible over much of the Southeast and FL through next week. High pressure over the eastern US will support above normal temperatures and almost no precipitation. This could support some localized fire-weather risk, given the ongoing state of dry fuels and additional drought development. However, confidence in the coverage and intensity of fire-weather conditions is low as winds are not expected to be very strong beneath high pressure. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more