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4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Valid 221200Z - 231200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday across
portions of the southern Plains.
...Synopsis...
Modest west-southwesterly flow is forecast from the Southwest to the
southern Plains on Tuesday with a stronger mid-level jet across the
northern Plains and a sharpening trough in the Pacific Northwest. A
weak mid-level shortwave trough (indicated by most guidance) is
forecast to cross New Mexico during the afternoon which would result
in a sharpening dryline and perhaps some lee cyclogenesis.
...Southern High Plains into southern Kansas...
Low-level moisture advection and strong heating across the southern
High Plains will lead to moderate to strong destabilization ahead of
the dryline. As this airmass becomes uncapped by early to
mid-afternoon and ascent increases ahead of the approaching
mid-level shortwave trough, expect scattered thunderstorm
development. A deeply mixed boundary layer and 25 to 35 knots of
shear will support supercells capable of large hail and severe wind
gusts. Storms will likely congeal into an MCS by later in the
evening as the low-level jet strengthens with some severe wind
threat which could continue into the overnight hours.
A remnant frontal boundary will likely be in place across southern
Kansas Tuesday afternoon which will likely be an additional focus
for potential severe storms Tuesday afternoon. Moisture/instability
remains more questionable across southern Kansas, and shear is not
forecast to be quite as strong amid somewhat veered low-level flow
ahead of the front. Therefore, a marginal risk (level 1 of 5) has
been maintained at this time.
...Central Iowa to southern Wisconsin and Northern Illinois...
Moisture recovery along a warm frontal zone may lead to some weak
instability from eastern Iowa into southern Wisconsin and northern
Illinois. Sustained isentropic ascent may provide sufficient forcing
for isolated to scattered thunderstorm development through the day.
Despite the lack of moisture, cool temperatures aloft and steep
lapse rates may support the potential for isolated large hail and
damaging wind gusts.
..Bentley.. 04/20/2025
Read more
4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Valid 221200Z - 231200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday across
portions of the southern Plains.
...Synopsis...
Modest west-southwesterly flow is forecast from the Southwest to the
southern Plains on Tuesday with a stronger mid-level jet across the
northern Plains and a sharpening trough in the Pacific Northwest. A
weak mid-level shortwave trough (indicated by most guidance) is
forecast to cross New Mexico during the afternoon which would result
in a sharpening dryline and perhaps some lee cyclogenesis.
...Southern High Plains into southern Kansas...
Low-level moisture advection and strong heating across the southern
High Plains will lead to moderate to strong destabilization ahead of
the dryline. As this airmass becomes uncapped by early to
mid-afternoon and ascent increases ahead of the approaching
mid-level shortwave trough, expect scattered thunderstorm
development. A deeply mixed boundary layer and 25 to 35 knots of
shear will support supercells capable of large hail and severe wind
gusts. Storms will likely congeal into an MCS by later in the
evening as the low-level jet strengthens with some severe wind
threat which could continue into the overnight hours.
A remnant frontal boundary will likely be in place across southern
Kansas Tuesday afternoon which will likely be an additional focus
for potential severe storms Tuesday afternoon. Moisture/instability
remains more questionable across southern Kansas, and shear is not
forecast to be quite as strong amid somewhat veered low-level flow
ahead of the front. Therefore, a marginal risk (level 1 of 5) has
been maintained at this time.
...Central Iowa to southern Wisconsin and Northern Illinois...
Moisture recovery along a warm frontal zone may lead to some weak
instability from eastern Iowa into southern Wisconsin and northern
Illinois. Sustained isentropic ascent may provide sufficient forcing
for isolated to scattered thunderstorm development through the day.
Despite the lack of moisture, cool temperatures aloft and steep
lapse rates may support the potential for isolated large hail and
damaging wind gusts.
..Bentley.. 04/20/2025
Read more
4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Valid 221200Z - 231200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday across
portions of the southern Plains.
...Synopsis...
Modest west-southwesterly flow is forecast from the Southwest to the
southern Plains on Tuesday with a stronger mid-level jet across the
northern Plains and a sharpening trough in the Pacific Northwest. A
weak mid-level shortwave trough (indicated by most guidance) is
forecast to cross New Mexico during the afternoon which would result
in a sharpening dryline and perhaps some lee cyclogenesis.
...Southern High Plains into southern Kansas...
Low-level moisture advection and strong heating across the southern
High Plains will lead to moderate to strong destabilization ahead of
the dryline. As this airmass becomes uncapped by early to
mid-afternoon and ascent increases ahead of the approaching
mid-level shortwave trough, expect scattered thunderstorm
development. A deeply mixed boundary layer and 25 to 35 knots of
shear will support supercells capable of large hail and severe wind
gusts. Storms will likely congeal into an MCS by later in the
evening as the low-level jet strengthens with some severe wind
threat which could continue into the overnight hours.
A remnant frontal boundary will likely be in place across southern
Kansas Tuesday afternoon which will likely be an additional focus
for potential severe storms Tuesday afternoon. Moisture/instability
remains more questionable across southern Kansas, and shear is not
forecast to be quite as strong amid somewhat veered low-level flow
ahead of the front. Therefore, a marginal risk (level 1 of 5) has
been maintained at this time.
...Central Iowa to southern Wisconsin and Northern Illinois...
Moisture recovery along a warm frontal zone may lead to some weak
instability from eastern Iowa into southern Wisconsin and northern
Illinois. Sustained isentropic ascent may provide sufficient forcing
for isolated to scattered thunderstorm development through the day.
Despite the lack of moisture, cool temperatures aloft and steep
lapse rates may support the potential for isolated large hail and
damaging wind gusts.
..Bentley.. 04/20/2025
Read more
4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Valid 221200Z - 231200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday across
portions of the southern Plains.
...Synopsis...
Modest west-southwesterly flow is forecast from the Southwest to the
southern Plains on Tuesday with a stronger mid-level jet across the
northern Plains and a sharpening trough in the Pacific Northwest. A
weak mid-level shortwave trough (indicated by most guidance) is
forecast to cross New Mexico during the afternoon which would result
in a sharpening dryline and perhaps some lee cyclogenesis.
...Southern High Plains into southern Kansas...
Low-level moisture advection and strong heating across the southern
High Plains will lead to moderate to strong destabilization ahead of
the dryline. As this airmass becomes uncapped by early to
mid-afternoon and ascent increases ahead of the approaching
mid-level shortwave trough, expect scattered thunderstorm
development. A deeply mixed boundary layer and 25 to 35 knots of
shear will support supercells capable of large hail and severe wind
gusts. Storms will likely congeal into an MCS by later in the
evening as the low-level jet strengthens with some severe wind
threat which could continue into the overnight hours.
A remnant frontal boundary will likely be in place across southern
Kansas Tuesday afternoon which will likely be an additional focus
for potential severe storms Tuesday afternoon. Moisture/instability
remains more questionable across southern Kansas, and shear is not
forecast to be quite as strong amid somewhat veered low-level flow
ahead of the front. Therefore, a marginal risk (level 1 of 5) has
been maintained at this time.
...Central Iowa to southern Wisconsin and Northern Illinois...
Moisture recovery along a warm frontal zone may lead to some weak
instability from eastern Iowa into southern Wisconsin and northern
Illinois. Sustained isentropic ascent may provide sufficient forcing
for isolated to scattered thunderstorm development through the day.
Despite the lack of moisture, cool temperatures aloft and steep
lapse rates may support the potential for isolated large hail and
damaging wind gusts.
..Bentley.. 04/20/2025
Read more
4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Valid 221200Z - 231200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday across
portions of the southern Plains.
...Synopsis...
Modest west-southwesterly flow is forecast from the Southwest to the
southern Plains on Tuesday with a stronger mid-level jet across the
northern Plains and a sharpening trough in the Pacific Northwest. A
weak mid-level shortwave trough (indicated by most guidance) is
forecast to cross New Mexico during the afternoon which would result
in a sharpening dryline and perhaps some lee cyclogenesis.
...Southern High Plains into southern Kansas...
Low-level moisture advection and strong heating across the southern
High Plains will lead to moderate to strong destabilization ahead of
the dryline. As this airmass becomes uncapped by early to
mid-afternoon and ascent increases ahead of the approaching
mid-level shortwave trough, expect scattered thunderstorm
development. A deeply mixed boundary layer and 25 to 35 knots of
shear will support supercells capable of large hail and severe wind
gusts. Storms will likely congeal into an MCS by later in the
evening as the low-level jet strengthens with some severe wind
threat which could continue into the overnight hours.
A remnant frontal boundary will likely be in place across southern
Kansas Tuesday afternoon which will likely be an additional focus
for potential severe storms Tuesday afternoon. Moisture/instability
remains more questionable across southern Kansas, and shear is not
forecast to be quite as strong amid somewhat veered low-level flow
ahead of the front. Therefore, a marginal risk (level 1 of 5) has
been maintained at this time.
...Central Iowa to southern Wisconsin and Northern Illinois...
Moisture recovery along a warm frontal zone may lead to some weak
instability from eastern Iowa into southern Wisconsin and northern
Illinois. Sustained isentropic ascent may provide sufficient forcing
for isolated to scattered thunderstorm development through the day.
Despite the lack of moisture, cool temperatures aloft and steep
lapse rates may support the potential for isolated large hail and
damaging wind gusts.
..Bentley.. 04/20/2025
Read more
4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Valid 221200Z - 231200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday across
portions of the southern Plains.
...Synopsis...
Modest west-southwesterly flow is forecast from the Southwest to the
southern Plains on Tuesday with a stronger mid-level jet across the
northern Plains and a sharpening trough in the Pacific Northwest. A
weak mid-level shortwave trough (indicated by most guidance) is
forecast to cross New Mexico during the afternoon which would result
in a sharpening dryline and perhaps some lee cyclogenesis.
...Southern High Plains into southern Kansas...
Low-level moisture advection and strong heating across the southern
High Plains will lead to moderate to strong destabilization ahead of
the dryline. As this airmass becomes uncapped by early to
mid-afternoon and ascent increases ahead of the approaching
mid-level shortwave trough, expect scattered thunderstorm
development. A deeply mixed boundary layer and 25 to 35 knots of
shear will support supercells capable of large hail and severe wind
gusts. Storms will likely congeal into an MCS by later in the
evening as the low-level jet strengthens with some severe wind
threat which could continue into the overnight hours.
A remnant frontal boundary will likely be in place across southern
Kansas Tuesday afternoon which will likely be an additional focus
for potential severe storms Tuesday afternoon. Moisture/instability
remains more questionable across southern Kansas, and shear is not
forecast to be quite as strong amid somewhat veered low-level flow
ahead of the front. Therefore, a marginal risk (level 1 of 5) has
been maintained at this time.
...Central Iowa to southern Wisconsin and Northern Illinois...
Moisture recovery along a warm frontal zone may lead to some weak
instability from eastern Iowa into southern Wisconsin and northern
Illinois. Sustained isentropic ascent may provide sufficient forcing
for isolated to scattered thunderstorm development through the day.
Despite the lack of moisture, cool temperatures aloft and steep
lapse rates may support the potential for isolated large hail and
damaging wind gusts.
..Bentley.. 04/20/2025
Read more
4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Valid 221200Z - 231200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday across
portions of the southern Plains.
...Synopsis...
Modest west-southwesterly flow is forecast from the Southwest to the
southern Plains on Tuesday with a stronger mid-level jet across the
northern Plains and a sharpening trough in the Pacific Northwest. A
weak mid-level shortwave trough (indicated by most guidance) is
forecast to cross New Mexico during the afternoon which would result
in a sharpening dryline and perhaps some lee cyclogenesis.
...Southern High Plains into southern Kansas...
Low-level moisture advection and strong heating across the southern
High Plains will lead to moderate to strong destabilization ahead of
the dryline. As this airmass becomes uncapped by early to
mid-afternoon and ascent increases ahead of the approaching
mid-level shortwave trough, expect scattered thunderstorm
development. A deeply mixed boundary layer and 25 to 35 knots of
shear will support supercells capable of large hail and severe wind
gusts. Storms will likely congeal into an MCS by later in the
evening as the low-level jet strengthens with some severe wind
threat which could continue into the overnight hours.
A remnant frontal boundary will likely be in place across southern
Kansas Tuesday afternoon which will likely be an additional focus
for potential severe storms Tuesday afternoon. Moisture/instability
remains more questionable across southern Kansas, and shear is not
forecast to be quite as strong amid somewhat veered low-level flow
ahead of the front. Therefore, a marginal risk (level 1 of 5) has
been maintained at this time.
...Central Iowa to southern Wisconsin and Northern Illinois...
Moisture recovery along a warm frontal zone may lead to some weak
instability from eastern Iowa into southern Wisconsin and northern
Illinois. Sustained isentropic ascent may provide sufficient forcing
for isolated to scattered thunderstorm development through the day.
Despite the lack of moisture, cool temperatures aloft and steep
lapse rates may support the potential for isolated large hail and
damaging wind gusts.
..Bentley.. 04/20/2025
Read more
4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Valid 221200Z - 231200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday across
portions of the southern Plains.
...Synopsis...
Modest west-southwesterly flow is forecast from the Southwest to the
southern Plains on Tuesday with a stronger mid-level jet across the
northern Plains and a sharpening trough in the Pacific Northwest. A
weak mid-level shortwave trough (indicated by most guidance) is
forecast to cross New Mexico during the afternoon which would result
in a sharpening dryline and perhaps some lee cyclogenesis.
...Southern High Plains into southern Kansas...
Low-level moisture advection and strong heating across the southern
High Plains will lead to moderate to strong destabilization ahead of
the dryline. As this airmass becomes uncapped by early to
mid-afternoon and ascent increases ahead of the approaching
mid-level shortwave trough, expect scattered thunderstorm
development. A deeply mixed boundary layer and 25 to 35 knots of
shear will support supercells capable of large hail and severe wind
gusts. Storms will likely congeal into an MCS by later in the
evening as the low-level jet strengthens with some severe wind
threat which could continue into the overnight hours.
A remnant frontal boundary will likely be in place across southern
Kansas Tuesday afternoon which will likely be an additional focus
for potential severe storms Tuesday afternoon. Moisture/instability
remains more questionable across southern Kansas, and shear is not
forecast to be quite as strong amid somewhat veered low-level flow
ahead of the front. Therefore, a marginal risk (level 1 of 5) has
been maintained at this time.
...Central Iowa to southern Wisconsin and Northern Illinois...
Moisture recovery along a warm frontal zone may lead to some weak
instability from eastern Iowa into southern Wisconsin and northern
Illinois. Sustained isentropic ascent may provide sufficient forcing
for isolated to scattered thunderstorm development through the day.
Despite the lack of moisture, cool temperatures aloft and steep
lapse rates may support the potential for isolated large hail and
damaging wind gusts.
..Bentley.. 04/20/2025
Read more
4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Valid 221200Z - 231200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday across
portions of the southern Plains.
...Synopsis...
Modest west-southwesterly flow is forecast from the Southwest to the
southern Plains on Tuesday with a stronger mid-level jet across the
northern Plains and a sharpening trough in the Pacific Northwest. A
weak mid-level shortwave trough (indicated by most guidance) is
forecast to cross New Mexico during the afternoon which would result
in a sharpening dryline and perhaps some lee cyclogenesis.
...Southern High Plains into southern Kansas...
Low-level moisture advection and strong heating across the southern
High Plains will lead to moderate to strong destabilization ahead of
the dryline. As this airmass becomes uncapped by early to
mid-afternoon and ascent increases ahead of the approaching
mid-level shortwave trough, expect scattered thunderstorm
development. A deeply mixed boundary layer and 25 to 35 knots of
shear will support supercells capable of large hail and severe wind
gusts. Storms will likely congeal into an MCS by later in the
evening as the low-level jet strengthens with some severe wind
threat which could continue into the overnight hours.
A remnant frontal boundary will likely be in place across southern
Kansas Tuesday afternoon which will likely be an additional focus
for potential severe storms Tuesday afternoon. Moisture/instability
remains more questionable across southern Kansas, and shear is not
forecast to be quite as strong amid somewhat veered low-level flow
ahead of the front. Therefore, a marginal risk (level 1 of 5) has
been maintained at this time.
...Central Iowa to southern Wisconsin and Northern Illinois...
Moisture recovery along a warm frontal zone may lead to some weak
instability from eastern Iowa into southern Wisconsin and northern
Illinois. Sustained isentropic ascent may provide sufficient forcing
for isolated to scattered thunderstorm development through the day.
Despite the lack of moisture, cool temperatures aloft and steep
lapse rates may support the potential for isolated large hail and
damaging wind gusts.
..Bentley.. 04/20/2025
Read more
4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...19z Update...
The prior outlook remains valid with only minor changes. Some
adjustments were made to the Elevated area over the central high
Plains to better align with surface trough and axis of stronger
winds. Some areas were also trimmed where fuel green up has
occurred.
A few hours of breezy winds and relatively dry surface conditions
are possible across southwestern FL Monday afternoon. Dry fuels are
in place and no rainfall is expected. However, winds should be
weaker than the prior couple of days, suggesting fire-weather
concerns will be more localized. See the prior outlook for more
info.
..Lyons.. 04/20/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0208 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025/
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will impinge on the Northeast as a second
mid-level trough ejects into the northern Plains tomorrow (Monday).
Accompanying surface lows over the north-central and northeastern
CONUS will encourage moisture return from the central Plains to the
East Coast. However, given surface lee troughing along the central
High Plains, dry downslope flow is expected tomorrow afternoon.
Guidance consensus depicts 15-20 mph sustained southwesterly surface
winds overlapping with 15-20 percent RH for several hours tomorrow
afternoon. Elevated highlights have been added where the
aforementioned meteorological surface conditions may overspread
areas that have received minimal rainfall in the past week, allowing
fine fuels to support some wildfire-spread potential.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...19z Update...
The prior outlook remains valid with only minor changes. Some
adjustments were made to the Elevated area over the central high
Plains to better align with surface trough and axis of stronger
winds. Some areas were also trimmed where fuel green up has
occurred.
A few hours of breezy winds and relatively dry surface conditions
are possible across southwestern FL Monday afternoon. Dry fuels are
in place and no rainfall is expected. However, winds should be
weaker than the prior couple of days, suggesting fire-weather
concerns will be more localized. See the prior outlook for more
info.
..Lyons.. 04/20/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0208 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025/
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will impinge on the Northeast as a second
mid-level trough ejects into the northern Plains tomorrow (Monday).
Accompanying surface lows over the north-central and northeastern
CONUS will encourage moisture return from the central Plains to the
East Coast. However, given surface lee troughing along the central
High Plains, dry downslope flow is expected tomorrow afternoon.
Guidance consensus depicts 15-20 mph sustained southwesterly surface
winds overlapping with 15-20 percent RH for several hours tomorrow
afternoon. Elevated highlights have been added where the
aforementioned meteorological surface conditions may overspread
areas that have received minimal rainfall in the past week, allowing
fine fuels to support some wildfire-spread potential.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...19z Update...
The prior outlook remains valid with only minor changes. Some
adjustments were made to the Elevated area over the central high
Plains to better align with surface trough and axis of stronger
winds. Some areas were also trimmed where fuel green up has
occurred.
A few hours of breezy winds and relatively dry surface conditions
are possible across southwestern FL Monday afternoon. Dry fuels are
in place and no rainfall is expected. However, winds should be
weaker than the prior couple of days, suggesting fire-weather
concerns will be more localized. See the prior outlook for more
info.
..Lyons.. 04/20/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0208 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025/
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will impinge on the Northeast as a second
mid-level trough ejects into the northern Plains tomorrow (Monday).
Accompanying surface lows over the north-central and northeastern
CONUS will encourage moisture return from the central Plains to the
East Coast. However, given surface lee troughing along the central
High Plains, dry downslope flow is expected tomorrow afternoon.
Guidance consensus depicts 15-20 mph sustained southwesterly surface
winds overlapping with 15-20 percent RH for several hours tomorrow
afternoon. Elevated highlights have been added where the
aforementioned meteorological surface conditions may overspread
areas that have received minimal rainfall in the past week, allowing
fine fuels to support some wildfire-spread potential.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...19z Update...
The prior outlook remains valid with only minor changes. Some
adjustments were made to the Elevated area over the central high
Plains to better align with surface trough and axis of stronger
winds. Some areas were also trimmed where fuel green up has
occurred.
A few hours of breezy winds and relatively dry surface conditions
are possible across southwestern FL Monday afternoon. Dry fuels are
in place and no rainfall is expected. However, winds should be
weaker than the prior couple of days, suggesting fire-weather
concerns will be more localized. See the prior outlook for more
info.
..Lyons.. 04/20/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0208 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025/
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will impinge on the Northeast as a second
mid-level trough ejects into the northern Plains tomorrow (Monday).
Accompanying surface lows over the north-central and northeastern
CONUS will encourage moisture return from the central Plains to the
East Coast. However, given surface lee troughing along the central
High Plains, dry downslope flow is expected tomorrow afternoon.
Guidance consensus depicts 15-20 mph sustained southwesterly surface
winds overlapping with 15-20 percent RH for several hours tomorrow
afternoon. Elevated highlights have been added where the
aforementioned meteorological surface conditions may overspread
areas that have received minimal rainfall in the past week, allowing
fine fuels to support some wildfire-spread potential.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...19z Update...
The prior outlook remains valid with only minor changes. Some
adjustments were made to the Elevated area over the central high
Plains to better align with surface trough and axis of stronger
winds. Some areas were also trimmed where fuel green up has
occurred.
A few hours of breezy winds and relatively dry surface conditions
are possible across southwestern FL Monday afternoon. Dry fuels are
in place and no rainfall is expected. However, winds should be
weaker than the prior couple of days, suggesting fire-weather
concerns will be more localized. See the prior outlook for more
info.
..Lyons.. 04/20/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0208 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025/
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will impinge on the Northeast as a second
mid-level trough ejects into the northern Plains tomorrow (Monday).
Accompanying surface lows over the north-central and northeastern
CONUS will encourage moisture return from the central Plains to the
East Coast. However, given surface lee troughing along the central
High Plains, dry downslope flow is expected tomorrow afternoon.
Guidance consensus depicts 15-20 mph sustained southwesterly surface
winds overlapping with 15-20 percent RH for several hours tomorrow
afternoon. Elevated highlights have been added where the
aforementioned meteorological surface conditions may overspread
areas that have received minimal rainfall in the past week, allowing
fine fuels to support some wildfire-spread potential.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...19z Update...
The prior outlook remains valid with only minor changes. Some
adjustments were made to the Elevated area over the central high
Plains to better align with surface trough and axis of stronger
winds. Some areas were also trimmed where fuel green up has
occurred.
A few hours of breezy winds and relatively dry surface conditions
are possible across southwestern FL Monday afternoon. Dry fuels are
in place and no rainfall is expected. However, winds should be
weaker than the prior couple of days, suggesting fire-weather
concerns will be more localized. See the prior outlook for more
info.
..Lyons.. 04/20/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0208 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025/
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will impinge on the Northeast as a second
mid-level trough ejects into the northern Plains tomorrow (Monday).
Accompanying surface lows over the north-central and northeastern
CONUS will encourage moisture return from the central Plains to the
East Coast. However, given surface lee troughing along the central
High Plains, dry downslope flow is expected tomorrow afternoon.
Guidance consensus depicts 15-20 mph sustained southwesterly surface
winds overlapping with 15-20 percent RH for several hours tomorrow
afternoon. Elevated highlights have been added where the
aforementioned meteorological surface conditions may overspread
areas that have received minimal rainfall in the past week, allowing
fine fuels to support some wildfire-spread potential.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...19z Update...
The prior outlook remains valid with only minor changes. Some
adjustments were made to the Elevated area over the central high
Plains to better align with surface trough and axis of stronger
winds. Some areas were also trimmed where fuel green up has
occurred.
A few hours of breezy winds and relatively dry surface conditions
are possible across southwestern FL Monday afternoon. Dry fuels are
in place and no rainfall is expected. However, winds should be
weaker than the prior couple of days, suggesting fire-weather
concerns will be more localized. See the prior outlook for more
info.
..Lyons.. 04/20/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0208 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025/
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will impinge on the Northeast as a second
mid-level trough ejects into the northern Plains tomorrow (Monday).
Accompanying surface lows over the north-central and northeastern
CONUS will encourage moisture return from the central Plains to the
East Coast. However, given surface lee troughing along the central
High Plains, dry downslope flow is expected tomorrow afternoon.
Guidance consensus depicts 15-20 mph sustained southwesterly surface
winds overlapping with 15-20 percent RH for several hours tomorrow
afternoon. Elevated highlights have been added where the
aforementioned meteorological surface conditions may overspread
areas that have received minimal rainfall in the past week, allowing
fine fuels to support some wildfire-spread potential.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...19z Update...
The prior outlook remains valid with only minor changes. Some
adjustments were made to the Elevated area over the central high
Plains to better align with surface trough and axis of stronger
winds. Some areas were also trimmed where fuel green up has
occurred.
A few hours of breezy winds and relatively dry surface conditions
are possible across southwestern FL Monday afternoon. Dry fuels are
in place and no rainfall is expected. However, winds should be
weaker than the prior couple of days, suggesting fire-weather
concerns will be more localized. See the prior outlook for more
info.
..Lyons.. 04/20/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0208 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025/
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will impinge on the Northeast as a second
mid-level trough ejects into the northern Plains tomorrow (Monday).
Accompanying surface lows over the north-central and northeastern
CONUS will encourage moisture return from the central Plains to the
East Coast. However, given surface lee troughing along the central
High Plains, dry downslope flow is expected tomorrow afternoon.
Guidance consensus depicts 15-20 mph sustained southwesterly surface
winds overlapping with 15-20 percent RH for several hours tomorrow
afternoon. Elevated highlights have been added where the
aforementioned meteorological surface conditions may overspread
areas that have received minimal rainfall in the past week, allowing
fine fuels to support some wildfire-spread potential.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...19z Update...
The prior outlook remains valid with only minor changes. Some
adjustments were made to the Elevated area over the central high
Plains to better align with surface trough and axis of stronger
winds. Some areas were also trimmed where fuel green up has
occurred.
A few hours of breezy winds and relatively dry surface conditions
are possible across southwestern FL Monday afternoon. Dry fuels are
in place and no rainfall is expected. However, winds should be
weaker than the prior couple of days, suggesting fire-weather
concerns will be more localized. See the prior outlook for more
info.
..Lyons.. 04/20/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0208 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025/
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will impinge on the Northeast as a second
mid-level trough ejects into the northern Plains tomorrow (Monday).
Accompanying surface lows over the north-central and northeastern
CONUS will encourage moisture return from the central Plains to the
East Coast. However, given surface lee troughing along the central
High Plains, dry downslope flow is expected tomorrow afternoon.
Guidance consensus depicts 15-20 mph sustained southwesterly surface
winds overlapping with 15-20 percent RH for several hours tomorrow
afternoon. Elevated highlights have been added where the
aforementioned meteorological surface conditions may overspread
areas that have received minimal rainfall in the past week, allowing
fine fuels to support some wildfire-spread potential.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...19z Update...
The prior outlook remains valid with only minor changes. Some
adjustments were made to the Elevated area over the central high
Plains to better align with surface trough and axis of stronger
winds. Some areas were also trimmed where fuel green up has
occurred.
A few hours of breezy winds and relatively dry surface conditions
are possible across southwestern FL Monday afternoon. Dry fuels are
in place and no rainfall is expected. However, winds should be
weaker than the prior couple of days, suggesting fire-weather
concerns will be more localized. See the prior outlook for more
info.
..Lyons.. 04/20/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0208 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025/
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will impinge on the Northeast as a second
mid-level trough ejects into the northern Plains tomorrow (Monday).
Accompanying surface lows over the north-central and northeastern
CONUS will encourage moisture return from the central Plains to the
East Coast. However, given surface lee troughing along the central
High Plains, dry downslope flow is expected tomorrow afternoon.
Guidance consensus depicts 15-20 mph sustained southwesterly surface
winds overlapping with 15-20 percent RH for several hours tomorrow
afternoon. Elevated highlights have been added where the
aforementioned meteorological surface conditions may overspread
areas that have received minimal rainfall in the past week, allowing
fine fuels to support some wildfire-spread potential.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...19z Update...
The prior outlook remains valid with only minor changes. Some
adjustments were made to the Elevated area over the central high
Plains to better align with surface trough and axis of stronger
winds. Some areas were also trimmed where fuel green up has
occurred.
A few hours of breezy winds and relatively dry surface conditions
are possible across southwestern FL Monday afternoon. Dry fuels are
in place and no rainfall is expected. However, winds should be
weaker than the prior couple of days, suggesting fire-weather
concerns will be more localized. See the prior outlook for more
info.
..Lyons.. 04/20/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0208 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025/
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will impinge on the Northeast as a second
mid-level trough ejects into the northern Plains tomorrow (Monday).
Accompanying surface lows over the north-central and northeastern
CONUS will encourage moisture return from the central Plains to the
East Coast. However, given surface lee troughing along the central
High Plains, dry downslope flow is expected tomorrow afternoon.
Guidance consensus depicts 15-20 mph sustained southwesterly surface
winds overlapping with 15-20 percent RH for several hours tomorrow
afternoon. Elevated highlights have been added where the
aforementioned meteorological surface conditions may overspread
areas that have received minimal rainfall in the past week, allowing
fine fuels to support some wildfire-spread potential.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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