Severe Storms

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... On the backside of a midlevel trough over the Midwest, surface high pressure will build over the western CONUS. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry/windy conditions over dry fuels across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 05/01/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... On the backside of a midlevel trough over the Midwest, surface high pressure will build over the western CONUS. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry/windy conditions over dry fuels across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 05/01/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... On the backside of a midlevel trough over the Midwest, surface high pressure will build over the western CONUS. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry/windy conditions over dry fuels across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 05/01/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... On the backside of a midlevel trough over the Midwest, surface high pressure will build over the western CONUS. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry/windy conditions over dry fuels across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 05/01/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

MD 0629 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 201... FOR PARTS OF THE MID-SOUTH
Mesoscale Discussion 0629 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0933 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Areas affected...Parts of the Mid-South Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 201... Valid 010233Z - 010330Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 201 continues. SUMMARY...Risk of locally damaging wind gusts persists with an MCS tracking eastward across the Mid-South. DISCUSSION...A north/south-oriented MCS continues tracking eastward across the Mid-South at around 30-40 kt. Despite some weakening of this system, the well-established cold pool and around 40 kt of 0-6 km shear (per NQA VWP) is supporting embedded severe wind gusts (recent measured gusts of 55-65 mph in northwest MS). As the MCS continues eastward amid increasing nocturnal inhibition, continued weakening is expected. Therefore, a downstream watch is not currently expected, though convective trends will be monitored. ..Weinman/Smith.. 05/01/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN... LAT...LON 33409021 33259061 33389089 33969062 35079028 35649031 36109046 36269031 36308995 36128960 35558957 34498968 33918987 33409021 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH Read more

WW 0202 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 202 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW TPL TO 45 S CRS TO 20 SW TYR. ..WEINMAN..05/01/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 202 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC001-005-027-041-051-073-145-161-185-225-289-293-313-331-347- 395-405-419-455-471-477-010340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON ANGELINA BELL BRAZOS BURLESON CHEROKEE FALLS FREESTONE GRIMES HOUSTON LEON LIMESTONE MADISON MILAM NACOGDOCHES ROBERTSON SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY TRINITY WALKER WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0202 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 202 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW TPL TO 45 S CRS TO 20 SW TYR. ..WEINMAN..05/01/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 202 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC001-005-027-041-051-073-145-161-185-225-289-293-313-331-347- 395-405-419-455-471-477-010340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON ANGELINA BELL BRAZOS BURLESON CHEROKEE FALLS FREESTONE GRIMES HOUSTON LEON LIMESTONE MADISON MILAM NACOGDOCHES ROBERTSON SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY TRINITY WALKER WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0202 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 202 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW TPL TO 45 S CRS TO 20 SW TYR. ..WEINMAN..05/01/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 202 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC001-005-027-041-051-073-145-161-185-225-289-293-313-331-347- 395-405-419-455-471-477-010340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON ANGELINA BELL BRAZOS BURLESON CHEROKEE FALLS FREESTONE GRIMES HOUSTON LEON LIMESTONE MADISON MILAM NACOGDOCHES ROBERTSON SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY TRINITY WALKER WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0202 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 202 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW TPL TO 45 S CRS TO 20 SW TYR. ..WEINMAN..05/01/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 202 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC001-005-027-041-051-073-145-161-185-225-289-293-313-331-347- 395-405-419-455-471-477-010340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON ANGELINA BELL BRAZOS BURLESON CHEROKEE FALLS FREESTONE GRIMES HOUSTON LEON LIMESTONE MADISON MILAM NACOGDOCHES ROBERTSON SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY TRINITY WALKER WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 202 SEVERE TSTM TX 010050Z - 010500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 202 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 750 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central into East Texas * Effective this Wednesday night from 750 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A strong to severe thunderstorm cluster will likely continue to pose a risk for mainly severe gusts and large hail through the evening, from eastern portions of central Texas into east Texas. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles south of Temple TX to 50 miles east northeast of Lufkin TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 198...WW 199...WW 200...WW 201... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27035. ...Smith Read more

WW 0201 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 201 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 E GLH TO 30 NW MEM TO 35 WNW POF. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0629 ..WEINMAN..05/01/25 ATTN...WFO...MEG...LZK...PAH...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 201 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC021-035-055-093-010340- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY CRITTENDEN GREENE MISSISSIPPI MSC027-033-107-119-133-135-137-143-010340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COAHOMA DESOTO PANOLA QUITMAN SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE TATE TUNICA MOC023-069-143-155-207-010340- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0201 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 201 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 E GLH TO 30 NW MEM TO 35 WNW POF. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0629 ..WEINMAN..05/01/25 ATTN...WFO...MEG...LZK...PAH...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 201 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC021-035-055-093-010340- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY CRITTENDEN GREENE MISSISSIPPI MSC027-033-107-119-133-135-137-143-010340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COAHOMA DESOTO PANOLA QUITMAN SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE TATE TUNICA MOC023-069-143-155-207-010340- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0201 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 201 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 E GLH TO 30 NW MEM TO 35 WNW POF. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0629 ..WEINMAN..05/01/25 ATTN...WFO...MEG...LZK...PAH...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 201 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC021-035-055-093-010340- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY CRITTENDEN GREENE MISSISSIPPI MSC027-033-107-119-133-135-137-143-010340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COAHOMA DESOTO PANOLA QUITMAN SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE TATE TUNICA MOC023-069-143-155-207-010340- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0201 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 201 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 E GLH TO 30 NW MEM TO 35 WNW POF. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0629 ..WEINMAN..05/01/25 ATTN...WFO...MEG...LZK...PAH...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 201 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC021-035-055-093-010340- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY CRITTENDEN GREENE MISSISSIPPI MSC027-033-107-119-133-135-137-143-010340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COAHOMA DESOTO PANOLA QUITMAN SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE TATE TUNICA MOC023-069-143-155-207-010340- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 201 SEVERE TSTM AR MO MS TN 010010Z - 010400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 201 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 710 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Eastern Arkansas Southeast Missouri Northwest Mississippi Western Tennessee * Effective this Wednesday evening from 710 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible SUMMARY...A squall line will continue east into the Watch area this evening. Strong to severe gusts capable of wind damage will be the primary hazard with the more intense portions of the thunderstorm band. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles northeast of Walnut Ridge AR to 105 miles south southwest of Memphis TN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 198...WW 199...WW 200... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 26025. ...Smith Read more

WW 0202 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 202 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0628 ..WEINMAN..05/01/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 202 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC001-005-027-041-051-073-145-161-185-225-289-293-313-331-347- 395-405-419-455-471-477-010240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON ANGELINA BELL BRAZOS BURLESON CHEROKEE FALLS FREESTONE GRIMES HOUSTON LEON LIMESTONE MADISON MILAM NACOGDOCHES ROBERTSON SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY TRINITY WALKER WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

MD 0628 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 198... FOR PARTS OF EAST TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0628 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0719 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Areas affected...Parts of east Texas Concerning...Tornado Watch 198... Valid 010019Z - 010145Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 198 continues. SUMMARY...Risk of severe hail persists across parts of east Texas -- within WW198. DISCUSSION...Semi-discrete storms have been confined to the north of an outflow-reinforced cold front across east TX -- where steep midlevel lapse rates/ample elevated instability and 50 kt of effective shear is favoring a severe hail risk. Over the next few hours, the front may move slowly southward, though it is unclear if storms will become surface-based. Nevertheless, a severe hail risk should persist for another couple hours, and either an extension of the current watch or an additional watch (Severe Thunderstorm) would be warranted. ..Weinman/Smith.. 05/01/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX... LAT...LON 31209766 31499746 31859667 32179524 32069486 31709473 31339512 30719655 30659715 30849759 31209766 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

WW 0201 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 201 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..WEINMAN..05/01/25 ATTN...WFO...MEG...LZK...PAH...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 201 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC021-031-035-037-055-075-077-093-107-111-121-123-135-010240- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS GREENE LAWRENCE LEE MISSISSIPPI PHILLIPS POINSETT RANDOLPH ST. FRANCIS SHARP MSC011-027-033-107-119-133-135-137-143-010240- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOLIVAR COAHOMA DESOTO PANOLA QUITMAN SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE TATE TUNICA MOC023-069-143-155-181-207-010240- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0199 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 199 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW GLH TO 45 SE BVX. ..WEINMAN..05/01/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 199 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC001-041-095-010240- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARKANSAS DESHA MONROE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0199 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 199 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW GLH TO 45 SE BVX. ..WEINMAN..05/01/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 199 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC001-041-095-010240- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARKANSAS DESHA MONROE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more