Severe Storms

WW 0211 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 211 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE LFK TO 55 NE HEZ TO 45 S GWO TO 30 SSE GWO TO 5 SSW GWO. PARTS OF REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW COULD BE LOCALLY EXTENDED IN TIME AN HOUR OR TWO BEYOND 00Z. OTHERWISE, A NEW WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED. ..KERR..05/02/25 ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 211 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC003-009-011-025-029-039-079-107-115-030000- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN AVOYELLES BEAUREGARD CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EVANGELINE RAPIDES TENSAS VERNON MSC001-007-015-019-021-025-029-043-049-051-063-069-079-083-087- 089-097-099-101-103-105-121-123-133-149-155-159-030000- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ATTALA CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLAY COPIAH GRENADA HINDS HOLMES JEFFERSON KEMPER Read more

WW 0211 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 211 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE LFK TO 55 NE HEZ TO 45 S GWO TO 30 SSE GWO TO 5 SSW GWO. PARTS OF REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW COULD BE LOCALLY EXTENDED IN TIME AN HOUR OR TWO BEYOND 00Z. OTHERWISE, A NEW WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED. ..KERR..05/02/25 ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 211 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC003-009-011-025-029-039-079-107-115-030000- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN AVOYELLES BEAUREGARD CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EVANGELINE RAPIDES TENSAS VERNON MSC001-007-015-019-021-025-029-043-049-051-063-069-079-083-087- 089-097-099-101-103-105-121-123-133-149-155-159-030000- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ATTALA CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLAY COPIAH GRENADA HINDS HOLMES JEFFERSON KEMPER Read more

WW 0211 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 211 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE LFK TO 55 NE HEZ TO 45 S GWO TO 30 SSE GWO TO 5 SSW GWO. PARTS OF REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW COULD BE LOCALLY EXTENDED IN TIME AN HOUR OR TWO BEYOND 00Z. OTHERWISE, A NEW WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED. ..KERR..05/02/25 ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 211 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC003-009-011-025-029-039-079-107-115-030000- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN AVOYELLES BEAUREGARD CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EVANGELINE RAPIDES TENSAS VERNON MSC001-007-015-019-021-025-029-043-049-051-063-069-079-083-087- 089-097-099-101-103-105-121-123-133-149-155-159-030000- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ATTALA CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLAY COPIAH GRENADA HINDS HOLMES JEFFERSON KEMPER Read more

WW 0211 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 211 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE LFK TO 55 NE HEZ TO 45 S GWO TO 30 SSE GWO TO 5 SSW GWO. PARTS OF REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW COULD BE LOCALLY EXTENDED IN TIME AN HOUR OR TWO BEYOND 00Z. OTHERWISE, A NEW WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED. ..KERR..05/02/25 ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 211 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC003-009-011-025-029-039-079-107-115-030000- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN AVOYELLES BEAUREGARD CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EVANGELINE RAPIDES TENSAS VERNON MSC001-007-015-019-021-025-029-043-049-051-063-069-079-083-087- 089-097-099-101-103-105-121-123-133-149-155-159-030000- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ATTALA CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLAY COPIAH GRENADA HINDS HOLMES JEFFERSON KEMPER Read more

WW 0211 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 211 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE LFK TO 55 NE HEZ TO 45 S GWO TO 30 SSE GWO TO 5 SSW GWO. PARTS OF REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW COULD BE LOCALLY EXTENDED IN TIME AN HOUR OR TWO BEYOND 00Z. OTHERWISE, A NEW WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED. ..KERR..05/02/25 ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 211 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC003-009-011-025-029-039-079-107-115-030000- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN AVOYELLES BEAUREGARD CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EVANGELINE RAPIDES TENSAS VERNON MSC001-007-015-019-021-025-029-043-049-051-063-069-079-083-087- 089-097-099-101-103-105-121-123-133-149-155-159-030000- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ATTALA CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLAY COPIAH GRENADA HINDS HOLMES JEFFERSON KEMPER Read more

WW 211 SEVERE TSTM AR LA MS TX 021710Z - 030000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 211 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1210 PM CDT Fri May 2 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southeast Arkansas Central and Northern Louisiana Central Mississippi East Texas * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 1210 PM until 700 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to intensify along an axis from western Louisiana into central Mississippi through the afternoon. A moist and very unstable air mass will promote the risk of severe storms capable of damaging wind gusts and large hail. An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 75 miles west of Fort Polk LA to 25 miles south southeast of Columbus MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 209...WW 210... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25030. ...Hart Read more

WW 0213 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 213 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N RMG TO 35 WNW TRI TO 25 E JKL TO 45 WNW HTS TO 30 S DAY. ..MOORE..05/02/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...JKL...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 213 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC063-071-115-119-133-135-159-195-030040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ELLIOTT FLOYD JOHNSON KNOTT LETCHER LEWIS MARTIN PIKE OHC001-071-030040- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS HIGHLAND TNC139-030040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE POLK Read more

WW 0213 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 213 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N RMG TO 35 WNW TRI TO 25 E JKL TO 45 WNW HTS TO 30 S DAY. ..MOORE..05/02/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...JKL...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 213 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC063-071-115-119-133-135-159-195-030040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ELLIOTT FLOYD JOHNSON KNOTT LETCHER LEWIS MARTIN PIKE OHC001-071-030040- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS HIGHLAND TNC139-030040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE POLK Read more

WW 0213 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 213 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N RMG TO 35 WNW TRI TO 25 E JKL TO 45 WNW HTS TO 30 S DAY. ..MOORE..05/02/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...JKL...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 213 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC063-071-115-119-133-135-159-195-030040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ELLIOTT FLOYD JOHNSON KNOTT LETCHER LEWIS MARTIN PIKE OHC001-071-030040- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS HIGHLAND TNC139-030040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE POLK Read more

WW 0213 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 213 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N RMG TO 35 WNW TRI TO 25 E JKL TO 45 WNW HTS TO 30 S DAY. ..MOORE..05/02/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...JKL...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 213 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC063-071-115-119-133-135-159-195-030040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ELLIOTT FLOYD JOHNSON KNOTT LETCHER LEWIS MARTIN PIKE OHC001-071-030040- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS HIGHLAND TNC139-030040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE POLK Read more

WW 0213 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 213 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N RMG TO 35 WNW TRI TO 25 E JKL TO 45 WNW HTS TO 30 S DAY. ..MOORE..05/02/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...JKL...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 213 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC063-071-115-119-133-135-159-195-030040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ELLIOTT FLOYD JOHNSON KNOTT LETCHER LEWIS MARTIN PIKE OHC001-071-030040- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS HIGHLAND TNC139-030040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE POLK Read more

WW 213 SEVERE TSTM IN KY OH TN VA 021800Z - 030100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 213 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 200 PM EDT Fri May 2 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southeast Indiana Eastern Kentucky Southweest Ohio East Tennessee Extreme Southwest Virginia * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 200 PM until 900 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Lines and clusters of thunderstorms over central Kentucky and middle Tennessee will track northeastward across the watch area through the afternoon, posing a risk of damaging winds and large hail. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles northwest of Cincinnati OH to 5 miles southeast of Chattanooga TN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 209...WW 210...WW 211...WW 212... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24030. ...Hart Read more

MD 0659 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 214...216... FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA TO FAR NORTHWEST GEORGIA
Mesoscale Discussion 0659 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0534 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Areas affected...Central Alabama to far northwest Georgia Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 214...216... Valid 022234Z - 030030Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 214, 216 continues. SUMMARY...A squall line moving east across central/northern Alabama and into far northwest Georgia will continue to pose a damaging wind threat through the early evening hours. DISCUSSION...Regional radar mosaics show the development of a consolidated squall line extending from northeast to central AL. Local reflectivity and velocity data show segments of the line are struggling to maintain a balanced updraft/downdraft convergence zone - likely the result of weak low/mid-level shear as sampled by the KBMX VWP - but other segments show strong low-level velocities. The KHTX VWP recently sampled 35-50 mph winds within the lowest 1-2 km associated with the passage of the line, and surface observations have also recently sampled gusts between 35-40 mph. Downstream of the line, low-level lapse rates remain near 8-8.5 C/km, which will continue to facilitate efficient downward momentum transfer of the stronger low-level winds. Additionally, the line is migrating into the apex of a buoyancy ridge draped across AL with MLCAPE values upwards of 1000-1500 J/kg. As such, the potential for damaging winds should persist for the next few hours as the squall line progresses east - especially where balanced updraft/downdraft convergence zones can be maintained. In the absence of a stronger kinematic environment, the onset of nocturnal cooling after 00/01 UTC should result in increasing inhibition and modulate the wind threat heading into the late evening hours. ..Moore.. 05/02/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...BMX...HUN... LAT...LON 32548819 33288749 34048671 34678616 34938579 35018524 34968482 34758460 34428464 33908499 33518540 33048586 32778623 32558662 32418698 32368724 32338764 32368795 32428813 32548819 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

MD 0660 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 211...212... FOR MID/UPPER TEXAS COASTAL PLAIN INTO SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA
Mesoscale Discussion 0660 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0535 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Areas affected...mid/upper Texas coastal plain into southwestern Louisiana Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 211...212... Valid 022235Z - 030030Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 211, 212 continues. SUMMARY...A renewed intensification of thunderstorms, after some weakening, still appears possible into early evening, accompanied by a risk for strong to severe wind gusts as activity advances southeastward toward coastal areas. DISCUSSION...Vigorous convective development along/ahead of the slowly southward advancing cold front continues to merge with convection developing along outflow surging northwestward across the coastal plain, now roughly along a corridor extending from near Lufkin into the San Antonio vicinity. Substantive cooling of cloud tops has been occurring, but unstable inflow into ongoing convection is becoming at least temporarily disrupted. The boundary layer across the mid/upper coastal plain remains seasonably moist and potential unstable. Beneath a difluent upper regime, and 35-45+ kt westerly mid-level flow, increasing southeasterly inflow of this airmass into the updrafts of the consolidating convection might still support renewed convective intensification within the next few hours. At the same time, entrainment of initially dry mid-level air may contribute to further strengthening of downdrafts and increasing potential for strong to severe surface gusts, as convection begins to propagate toward coastal areas. Already several gusts approaching severe limits have recently been observed along the corridor of consolidating convection. ..Kerr.. 05/02/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...CRP...EWX... LAT...LON 29989808 30699650 31459494 31739397 31079258 29729389 29049522 28559744 29029851 29989808 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

WW 0213 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 213 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N RMG TO 35 WNW TRI TO 25 E JKL TO 45 WNW HTS TO 30 S DAY. ..MOORE..05/02/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...JKL...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 213 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC063-071-115-119-133-135-159-195-030040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ELLIOTT FLOYD JOHNSON KNOTT LETCHER LEWIS MARTIN PIKE OHC001-071-030040- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS HIGHLAND TNC139-030040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE POLK Read more

WW 213 SEVERE TSTM IN KY OH TN VA 021800Z - 030100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 213 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 200 PM EDT Fri May 2 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southeast Indiana Eastern Kentucky Southweest Ohio East Tennessee Extreme Southwest Virginia * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 200 PM until 900 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Lines and clusters of thunderstorms over central Kentucky and middle Tennessee will track northeastward across the watch area through the afternoon, posing a risk of damaging winds and large hail. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles northwest of Cincinnati OH to 5 miles southeast of Chattanooga TN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 209...WW 210...WW 211...WW 212... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24030. ...Hart Read more

WW 0214 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 214 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE MEI TO 25 SSW GAD TO 20 NNW RMG. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0659 ..MOORE..05/02/25 ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 214 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC001-007-015-019-021-027-029-037-047-051-065-091-105-111-117- 121-123-030040- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUTAUGA BIBB CALHOUN CHEROKEE CHILTON CLAY CLEBURNE COOSA DALLAS ELMORE HALE MARENGO PERRY RANDOLPH SHELBY TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 214 SEVERE TSTM AL 021855Z - 030100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 214 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 155 PM CDT Fri May 2 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern Alabama * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 155 PM until 800 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to spread eastward and across the watch area through the afternoon and early evening. The strongest cells will pose a risk of locally damaging wind gusts and hail. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west northwest of Tuscaloosa AL to 45 miles northeast of Gadsden AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 209...WW 210...WW 211...WW 212...WW 213... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25025. ...Hart Read more

MD 0658 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 210... FOR NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA INTO CENTRAL NEW YORK
Mesoscale Discussion 0658 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0442 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Areas affected...Northern Pennsylvania into central New York Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 210... Valid 022142Z - 022345Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 210 continues. SUMMARY...A severe hail and damaging wind threat may persist into northern Pennsylvania and adjacent portions of New York through 00-01 UTC, but downstream watch issuance is not anticipated. DISCUSSION...A broken line of thunderstorms over western PA and far western NY has generally shown signs of weakening over the past 1-2 hours via warming cloud top temperatures. However, a few cells remain fairly robust and will continue to pose a severe hail and damaging wind threat for the next couple of hours. Downstream of this activity, the environment remains supportive of robust convection with MLCAPE estimates to be between 1000-1500 J/kg and sufficient deep-layer wind shear on the order of 30 knots as sampled by regional VWPs. Additionally, low-level lapse rates remain between 7-8 C/km across northern PA into NY. This thermodynamic/kinematic environment should continue to promote an isolated damaging wind threat as storms migrate out of WW 210 and into northern PA/NY between 22-00 UTC. The onset of nocturnal cooling will quickly begin to hinder the thermodynamic environment after 00 UTC, which should result in an increasingly isolated/sporadic severe threat through the remainder of the evening. ..Moore.. 05/02/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BUF...CTP...PBZ... LAT...LON 40748046 41727949 42317830 42897567 42767499 42397451 42007442 41527467 41127517 40947595 40368002 40468034 40748046 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

WW 0212 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 212 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW SAT TO 40 SW CLL TO 35 SSE LFK. ..KERR..05/02/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD...HGX...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 212 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC015-021-029-055-089-091-123-149-157-177-187-201-209-255-259- 285-291-339-407-473-493-030040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUSTIN BASTROP BEXAR CALDWELL COLORADO COMAL DEWITT FAYETTE FORT BEND GONZALES GUADALUPE HARRIS HAYS KARNES KENDALL LAVACA LIBERTY MONTGOMERY SAN JACINTO WALLER WILSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more