Severe Storms

MD 0662 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 216... FOR FAR EASTERN ALABAMA...NORTHERN GEORGIA...AND ADJANCENT PARTS OF THE FAR WESTERN CAROLINAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0662 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0805 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Areas affected...Far eastern Alabama...northern Georgia...and adjancent parts of the far western Carolinas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 216... Valid 030105Z - 030230Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 216 continues. SUMMARY...Sporadic damaging winds will remain possible as a weakening squall line moves across northern Georgia through the evening hours. However, the onset of nocturnal cooling should limit a more robust/widespread severe threat. Downstream watch issuance is not expected. DISCUSSION...The convective line pushing east across eastern AL and northern GA has begun to become predominantly outflow dominant and is showing signs of weakening via falling echo tops and warming cloud-top temperatures in latest GOES IR imagery. This is likely due to the onset of nocturnal cooling with surface temperatures falling from the upper 70s and low 80s into the low 70s/upper 60s over the past 1-2 hours. Modifying the observed 00z FFC sounding for current temperature/dewpoints suggests that the low-level inversion is relatively shallow at this point in the nocturnal cooling cycle, and 7-7.5 C/km lapse rates remain over the region. Consequently, there may be sufficient buoyancy lingering across northern/northeast GA and the far western Carolinas (where dewpoints remain in the low to mid 60s) to allow for a few stronger, but transient, updraft pulses within the line. The collapse of these pulses may promote damaging winds at the surface, but the overall threat should continue to wane with time and eastern extent as low-level stability increases in a modestly sheared environment. ..Moore.. 05/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...BMX... LAT...LON 33418558 33908509 34398467 34758438 35098396 35178374 35188347 35128304 34998283 34788278 34568284 34008316 33578356 33308400 33208442 33088508 33098545 33188564 33308569 33418558 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

MD 0661 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 215... FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0661 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0712 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Areas affected...parts of south central Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 215... Valid 030012Z - 030215Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 215 continues. SUMMARY...Potential for a substantive increase in thunderstorm development and intensification continues, primarily along a southward-southwestward advancing cold front. It remains uncertain whether an additional severe weather watch will be needed across the lower Rio Grande Valley into lower Texas coastal areas, but trends are being monitored for this possibility. DISCUSSION...A steady southward advancement of the cold front continues across/south of San Antonio, into the Uvalde and Del Rio vicinities. Aided by mid-level cooling beneath moderate to strong westerly to northwesterly mid/upper flow, low-level convergence/frontogenetic forcing may still contribute to forcing for increasing thunderstorm development along it this evening. The seasonably moist and heated boundary layer inland of lower Texas coastal areas, across the Rio Grande River remains characterized by strong convective and potential instability, beneath steep lapse rates associated with elevated mixed-layer air. Otherwise, southeasterly near surface winds continue to focus low-level convergence west of the lower Rio Grande River. It appears that a pair of discrete supercells, which initiated off the higher terrain to the southwest of Del Rio, will maintain a rightward propagation (with respect to the mean flow and shear) to the west of the river, unless their cold pools consolidate and support further upscale growth. ..Kerr.. 05/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...BRO... LAT...LON 29890152 29940049 29309886 28849775 27729785 27249901 27370118 29890152 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN Read more

WW 0216 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW AUO TO 10 NNW ATL TO 50 NW AHN TO 50 SSE TYS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0662 ..MOORE..05/03/25 ATTN...WFO...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC011-013-035-063-077-089-113-117-121-135-139-149-151-157-171- 199-217-231-247-255-281-285-297-311-030240- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANKS BARROW BUTTS CLAYTON COWETA DEKALB FAYETTE FORSYTH FULTON GWINNETT HALL HEARD HENRY JACKSON LAMAR MERIWETHER NEWTON PIKE ROCKDALE SPALDING TOWNS TROUP WALTON WHITE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0216 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW AUO TO 10 NNW ATL TO 50 NW AHN TO 50 SSE TYS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0662 ..MOORE..05/03/25 ATTN...WFO...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC011-013-035-063-077-089-113-117-121-135-139-149-151-157-171- 199-217-231-247-255-281-285-297-311-030240- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANKS BARROW BUTTS CLAYTON COWETA DEKALB FAYETTE FORSYTH FULTON GWINNETT HALL HEARD HENRY JACKSON LAMAR MERIWETHER NEWTON PIKE ROCKDALE SPALDING TOWNS TROUP WALTON WHITE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0216 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW AUO TO 10 NNW ATL TO 50 NW AHN TO 50 SSE TYS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0662 ..MOORE..05/03/25 ATTN...WFO...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC011-013-035-063-077-089-113-117-121-135-139-149-151-157-171- 199-217-231-247-255-281-285-297-311-030240- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANKS BARROW BUTTS CLAYTON COWETA DEKALB FAYETTE FORSYTH FULTON GWINNETT HALL HEARD HENRY JACKSON LAMAR MERIWETHER NEWTON PIKE ROCKDALE SPALDING TOWNS TROUP WALTON WHITE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0216 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW AUO TO 10 NNW ATL TO 50 NW AHN TO 50 SSE TYS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0662 ..MOORE..05/03/25 ATTN...WFO...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC011-013-035-063-077-089-113-117-121-135-139-149-151-157-171- 199-217-231-247-255-281-285-297-311-030240- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANKS BARROW BUTTS CLAYTON COWETA DEKALB FAYETTE FORSYTH FULTON GWINNETT HALL HEARD HENRY JACKSON LAMAR MERIWETHER NEWTON PIKE ROCKDALE SPALDING TOWNS TROUP WALTON WHITE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0216 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW AUO TO 10 NNW ATL TO 50 NW AHN TO 50 SSE TYS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0662 ..MOORE..05/03/25 ATTN...WFO...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC011-013-035-063-077-089-113-117-121-135-139-149-151-157-171- 199-217-231-247-255-281-285-297-311-030240- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANKS BARROW BUTTS CLAYTON COWETA DEKALB FAYETTE FORSYTH FULTON GWINNETT HALL HEARD HENRY JACKSON LAMAR MERIWETHER NEWTON PIKE ROCKDALE SPALDING TOWNS TROUP WALTON WHITE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 216 SEVERE TSTM GA 022135Z - 030300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 216 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 535 PM EDT Fri May 2 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northwest Georgia * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 535 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Clusters of storms will spread eastward from northern Alabama into northwest Georgia through late evening with the potential to produce occasional damaging gusts up to 65 mph and large hail up to 1.5 inches in diameter. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 35 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles north northeast of Rome GA to 30 miles southeast of Rome GA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 209...WW 210...WW 211...WW 212...WW 213...WW 214...WW 215... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27025. ...Thompson Read more

WW 0215 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 215 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW DRT TO 10 NE HDO. ..KERR..05/03/25 ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 215 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC013-127-163-271-323-325-463-507-030240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATASCOSA DIMMIT FRIO KINNEY MAVERICK MEDINA UVALDE ZAVALA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTH TX/LA INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue this evening and tonight from parts of central and south Texas northeastward to the Carolinas. ...Parts of central/south TX... Widely scattered supercells are ongoing this evening from parts of the Edwards Plateau into south-central TX, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. A threat for large to very large hail, localized severe gusts, and possibly a tornado will continue with these supercells through mid evening. While MLCINH will gradually increase with time, there is some potential for storms to cluster in the vicinity of a southward-moving cold front later tonight, which could eventually bring an organized severe threat into parts of Deep South TX. ...Southeast TX into the Allegheny Plateau... Large-scale ascent in advance of a southeastward-moving mid/upper-level shortwave trough may help to maintain occasional strong to severe storms through the evening and into the overnight near and north of the central Gulf Coast vicinity, posing a threat of localized wind damage. Other ongoing storms from central AL/north GA into parts of the Carolinas will tend to gradually weaken with time with the onset of nocturnal cooling/stabilization, but at least a localized severe threat may persist through mid/late evening as occasionally organized cells/clusters move east-northeastward. A strong storm or two also remains possible into parts of the Northeast, with isolated gusty/damaging winds possible. ..Dean.. 05/03/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTH TX/LA INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue this evening and tonight from parts of central and south Texas northeastward to the Carolinas. ...Parts of central/south TX... Widely scattered supercells are ongoing this evening from parts of the Edwards Plateau into south-central TX, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. A threat for large to very large hail, localized severe gusts, and possibly a tornado will continue with these supercells through mid evening. While MLCINH will gradually increase with time, there is some potential for storms to cluster in the vicinity of a southward-moving cold front later tonight, which could eventually bring an organized severe threat into parts of Deep South TX. ...Southeast TX into the Allegheny Plateau... Large-scale ascent in advance of a southeastward-moving mid/upper-level shortwave trough may help to maintain occasional strong to severe storms through the evening and into the overnight near and north of the central Gulf Coast vicinity, posing a threat of localized wind damage. Other ongoing storms from central AL/north GA into parts of the Carolinas will tend to gradually weaken with time with the onset of nocturnal cooling/stabilization, but at least a localized severe threat may persist through mid/late evening as occasionally organized cells/clusters move east-northeastward. A strong storm or two also remains possible into parts of the Northeast, with isolated gusty/damaging winds possible. ..Dean.. 05/03/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTH TX/LA INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue this evening and tonight from parts of central and south Texas northeastward to the Carolinas. ...Parts of central/south TX... Widely scattered supercells are ongoing this evening from parts of the Edwards Plateau into south-central TX, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. A threat for large to very large hail, localized severe gusts, and possibly a tornado will continue with these supercells through mid evening. While MLCINH will gradually increase with time, there is some potential for storms to cluster in the vicinity of a southward-moving cold front later tonight, which could eventually bring an organized severe threat into parts of Deep South TX. ...Southeast TX into the Allegheny Plateau... Large-scale ascent in advance of a southeastward-moving mid/upper-level shortwave trough may help to maintain occasional strong to severe storms through the evening and into the overnight near and north of the central Gulf Coast vicinity, posing a threat of localized wind damage. Other ongoing storms from central AL/north GA into parts of the Carolinas will tend to gradually weaken with time with the onset of nocturnal cooling/stabilization, but at least a localized severe threat may persist through mid/late evening as occasionally organized cells/clusters move east-northeastward. A strong storm or two also remains possible into parts of the Northeast, with isolated gusty/damaging winds possible. ..Dean.. 05/03/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTH TX/LA INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue this evening and tonight from parts of central and south Texas northeastward to the Carolinas. ...Parts of central/south TX... Widely scattered supercells are ongoing this evening from parts of the Edwards Plateau into south-central TX, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. A threat for large to very large hail, localized severe gusts, and possibly a tornado will continue with these supercells through mid evening. While MLCINH will gradually increase with time, there is some potential for storms to cluster in the vicinity of a southward-moving cold front later tonight, which could eventually bring an organized severe threat into parts of Deep South TX. ...Southeast TX into the Allegheny Plateau... Large-scale ascent in advance of a southeastward-moving mid/upper-level shortwave trough may help to maintain occasional strong to severe storms through the evening and into the overnight near and north of the central Gulf Coast vicinity, posing a threat of localized wind damage. Other ongoing storms from central AL/north GA into parts of the Carolinas will tend to gradually weaken with time with the onset of nocturnal cooling/stabilization, but at least a localized severe threat may persist through mid/late evening as occasionally organized cells/clusters move east-northeastward. A strong storm or two also remains possible into parts of the Northeast, with isolated gusty/damaging winds possible. ..Dean.. 05/03/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTH TX/LA INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue this evening and tonight from parts of central and south Texas northeastward to the Carolinas. ...Parts of central/south TX... Widely scattered supercells are ongoing this evening from parts of the Edwards Plateau into south-central TX, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. A threat for large to very large hail, localized severe gusts, and possibly a tornado will continue with these supercells through mid evening. While MLCINH will gradually increase with time, there is some potential for storms to cluster in the vicinity of a southward-moving cold front later tonight, which could eventually bring an organized severe threat into parts of Deep South TX. ...Southeast TX into the Allegheny Plateau... Large-scale ascent in advance of a southeastward-moving mid/upper-level shortwave trough may help to maintain occasional strong to severe storms through the evening and into the overnight near and north of the central Gulf Coast vicinity, posing a threat of localized wind damage. Other ongoing storms from central AL/north GA into parts of the Carolinas will tend to gradually weaken with time with the onset of nocturnal cooling/stabilization, but at least a localized severe threat may persist through mid/late evening as occasionally organized cells/clusters move east-northeastward. A strong storm or two also remains possible into parts of the Northeast, with isolated gusty/damaging winds possible. ..Dean.. 05/03/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTH TX/LA INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue this evening and tonight from parts of central and south Texas northeastward to the Carolinas. ...Parts of central/south TX... Widely scattered supercells are ongoing this evening from parts of the Edwards Plateau into south-central TX, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. A threat for large to very large hail, localized severe gusts, and possibly a tornado will continue with these supercells through mid evening. While MLCINH will gradually increase with time, there is some potential for storms to cluster in the vicinity of a southward-moving cold front later tonight, which could eventually bring an organized severe threat into parts of Deep South TX. ...Southeast TX into the Allegheny Plateau... Large-scale ascent in advance of a southeastward-moving mid/upper-level shortwave trough may help to maintain occasional strong to severe storms through the evening and into the overnight near and north of the central Gulf Coast vicinity, posing a threat of localized wind damage. Other ongoing storms from central AL/north GA into parts of the Carolinas will tend to gradually weaken with time with the onset of nocturnal cooling/stabilization, but at least a localized severe threat may persist through mid/late evening as occasionally organized cells/clusters move east-northeastward. A strong storm or two also remains possible into parts of the Northeast, with isolated gusty/damaging winds possible. ..Dean.. 05/03/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTH TX/LA INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue this evening and tonight from parts of central and south Texas northeastward to the Carolinas. ...Parts of central/south TX... Widely scattered supercells are ongoing this evening from parts of the Edwards Plateau into south-central TX, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. A threat for large to very large hail, localized severe gusts, and possibly a tornado will continue with these supercells through mid evening. While MLCINH will gradually increase with time, there is some potential for storms to cluster in the vicinity of a southward-moving cold front later tonight, which could eventually bring an organized severe threat into parts of Deep South TX. ...Southeast TX into the Allegheny Plateau... Large-scale ascent in advance of a southeastward-moving mid/upper-level shortwave trough may help to maintain occasional strong to severe storms through the evening and into the overnight near and north of the central Gulf Coast vicinity, posing a threat of localized wind damage. Other ongoing storms from central AL/north GA into parts of the Carolinas will tend to gradually weaken with time with the onset of nocturnal cooling/stabilization, but at least a localized severe threat may persist through mid/late evening as occasionally organized cells/clusters move east-northeastward. A strong storm or two also remains possible into parts of the Northeast, with isolated gusty/damaging winds possible. ..Dean.. 05/03/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTH TX/LA INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue this evening and tonight from parts of central and south Texas northeastward to the Carolinas. ...Parts of central/south TX... Widely scattered supercells are ongoing this evening from parts of the Edwards Plateau into south-central TX, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. A threat for large to very large hail, localized severe gusts, and possibly a tornado will continue with these supercells through mid evening. While MLCINH will gradually increase with time, there is some potential for storms to cluster in the vicinity of a southward-moving cold front later tonight, which could eventually bring an organized severe threat into parts of Deep South TX. ...Southeast TX into the Allegheny Plateau... Large-scale ascent in advance of a southeastward-moving mid/upper-level shortwave trough may help to maintain occasional strong to severe storms through the evening and into the overnight near and north of the central Gulf Coast vicinity, posing a threat of localized wind damage. Other ongoing storms from central AL/north GA into parts of the Carolinas will tend to gradually weaken with time with the onset of nocturnal cooling/stabilization, but at least a localized severe threat may persist through mid/late evening as occasionally organized cells/clusters move east-northeastward. A strong storm or two also remains possible into parts of the Northeast, with isolated gusty/damaging winds possible. ..Dean.. 05/03/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTH TX/LA INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue this evening and tonight from parts of central and south Texas northeastward to the Carolinas. ...Parts of central/south TX... Widely scattered supercells are ongoing this evening from parts of the Edwards Plateau into south-central TX, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. A threat for large to very large hail, localized severe gusts, and possibly a tornado will continue with these supercells through mid evening. While MLCINH will gradually increase with time, there is some potential for storms to cluster in the vicinity of a southward-moving cold front later tonight, which could eventually bring an organized severe threat into parts of Deep South TX. ...Southeast TX into the Allegheny Plateau... Large-scale ascent in advance of a southeastward-moving mid/upper-level shortwave trough may help to maintain occasional strong to severe storms through the evening and into the overnight near and north of the central Gulf Coast vicinity, posing a threat of localized wind damage. Other ongoing storms from central AL/north GA into parts of the Carolinas will tend to gradually weaken with time with the onset of nocturnal cooling/stabilization, but at least a localized severe threat may persist through mid/late evening as occasionally organized cells/clusters move east-northeastward. A strong storm or two also remains possible into parts of the Northeast, with isolated gusty/damaging winds possible. ..Dean.. 05/03/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTH TX/LA INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue this evening and tonight from parts of central and south Texas northeastward to the Carolinas. ...Parts of central/south TX... Widely scattered supercells are ongoing this evening from parts of the Edwards Plateau into south-central TX, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. A threat for large to very large hail, localized severe gusts, and possibly a tornado will continue with these supercells through mid evening. While MLCINH will gradually increase with time, there is some potential for storms to cluster in the vicinity of a southward-moving cold front later tonight, which could eventually bring an organized severe threat into parts of Deep South TX. ...Southeast TX into the Allegheny Plateau... Large-scale ascent in advance of a southeastward-moving mid/upper-level shortwave trough may help to maintain occasional strong to severe storms through the evening and into the overnight near and north of the central Gulf Coast vicinity, posing a threat of localized wind damage. Other ongoing storms from central AL/north GA into parts of the Carolinas will tend to gradually weaken with time with the onset of nocturnal cooling/stabilization, but at least a localized severe threat may persist through mid/late evening as occasionally organized cells/clusters move east-northeastward. A strong storm or two also remains possible into parts of the Northeast, with isolated gusty/damaging winds possible. ..Dean.. 05/03/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTH TX/LA INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue this evening and tonight from parts of central and south Texas northeastward to the Carolinas. ...Parts of central/south TX... Widely scattered supercells are ongoing this evening from parts of the Edwards Plateau into south-central TX, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. A threat for large to very large hail, localized severe gusts, and possibly a tornado will continue with these supercells through mid evening. While MLCINH will gradually increase with time, there is some potential for storms to cluster in the vicinity of a southward-moving cold front later tonight, which could eventually bring an organized severe threat into parts of Deep South TX. ...Southeast TX into the Allegheny Plateau... Large-scale ascent in advance of a southeastward-moving mid/upper-level shortwave trough may help to maintain occasional strong to severe storms through the evening and into the overnight near and north of the central Gulf Coast vicinity, posing a threat of localized wind damage. Other ongoing storms from central AL/north GA into parts of the Carolinas will tend to gradually weaken with time with the onset of nocturnal cooling/stabilization, but at least a localized severe threat may persist through mid/late evening as occasionally organized cells/clusters move east-northeastward. A strong storm or two also remains possible into parts of the Northeast, with isolated gusty/damaging winds possible. ..Dean.. 05/03/2025 Read more