Severe Storms

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1130 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 061630Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST/SOUTHEAST TEXAS TO WESTERN LOUISIANA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected today into this evening, especially across parts of central into east/southeast Texas and Louisiana. Large to very large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes, potentially a few of which may be strong, should occur. Severe thunderstorms may also develop this afternoon across parts of the northern Mid-Atlantic/Northeast and the Florida Peninsula. ...Southern Plains into the Lower Mississippi Valley... Multiple supercells are ongoing late this morning across central TX along/near a surface warm front. As an upper trough/low continues to eject eastward over the southern Plains today, a rather favorable environment will be in place this afternoon and evening for intense severe thunderstorms across central/east-central TX into LA. Even with continued cloudiness across the warm sector, filtered daytime heating and the presence of modestly steep mid-level lapse rates will support moderate to locally strong instability given the rich/moist low-level airmass present. Ample low-level and deep-layer shear will foster continued updraft organization, including the potential for several supercells. The greatest potential for tornadoes, some of which could be strong, will likely remain focused along/near the warm front, which will attempt to lift northward some across east TX and LA through the afternoon and evening. Otherwise, large hail will be possible north of the warm front with elevated supercells. A severe/damaging wind threat will exist with any clusters that can become established. The tornado and damaging wind threat will probably continue through the evening and perhaps overnight hours across parts of the lower MS Valley, given sufficient instability and strong low-level shear along/near the warm front. Have therefore adjusted the Slight Risk eastward some across this region. Have also trimmed the Slight Risk from the southern High Plains, as low-topped convection closer to the cold-core upper low will probably only have access to weak instability this afternoon/evening. Still, this activity may have an isolated hail/wind threat, and the Marginal Risk has been maintained across the southern High Plains for this potential. ...Northern Mid-Atlantic/Northeast... Even in the presence of some cloud cover, thunderstorm development and intensification will occur this afternoon across parts of the northern Mid-Atlantic and vicinity in a modestly moist/unstable air mass preceding an upper low over the upper OH Valley. Relatively steep lapse rates aloft and moderate to strong deep-layer south-southwesterly flow should support organized convection capable of severe hail and damaging winds. The best severe threat should remain focused across parts of eastern PA into NJ and southern NY, where the Slight Risk has been maintained with only small expansions. ...Florida... Upper ridging should be more influential today over FL compared to yesterday. Still, cool temperatures aloft and moderate instability could support occasionally strong to severe thunderstorms capable of producing isolated hail and/or damaging winds this afternoon across parts of the FL Peninsula along/south of a remnant front. ..Gleason/Squitieri.. 05/06/2025 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1130 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 061630Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST/SOUTHEAST TEXAS TO WESTERN LOUISIANA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected today into this evening, especially across parts of central into east/southeast Texas and Louisiana. Large to very large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes, potentially a few of which may be strong, should occur. Severe thunderstorms may also develop this afternoon across parts of the northern Mid-Atlantic/Northeast and the Florida Peninsula. ...Southern Plains into the Lower Mississippi Valley... Multiple supercells are ongoing late this morning across central TX along/near a surface warm front. As an upper trough/low continues to eject eastward over the southern Plains today, a rather favorable environment will be in place this afternoon and evening for intense severe thunderstorms across central/east-central TX into LA. Even with continued cloudiness across the warm sector, filtered daytime heating and the presence of modestly steep mid-level lapse rates will support moderate to locally strong instability given the rich/moist low-level airmass present. Ample low-level and deep-layer shear will foster continued updraft organization, including the potential for several supercells. The greatest potential for tornadoes, some of which could be strong, will likely remain focused along/near the warm front, which will attempt to lift northward some across east TX and LA through the afternoon and evening. Otherwise, large hail will be possible north of the warm front with elevated supercells. A severe/damaging wind threat will exist with any clusters that can become established. The tornado and damaging wind threat will probably continue through the evening and perhaps overnight hours across parts of the lower MS Valley, given sufficient instability and strong low-level shear along/near the warm front. Have therefore adjusted the Slight Risk eastward some across this region. Have also trimmed the Slight Risk from the southern High Plains, as low-topped convection closer to the cold-core upper low will probably only have access to weak instability this afternoon/evening. Still, this activity may have an isolated hail/wind threat, and the Marginal Risk has been maintained across the southern High Plains for this potential. ...Northern Mid-Atlantic/Northeast... Even in the presence of some cloud cover, thunderstorm development and intensification will occur this afternoon across parts of the northern Mid-Atlantic and vicinity in a modestly moist/unstable air mass preceding an upper low over the upper OH Valley. Relatively steep lapse rates aloft and moderate to strong deep-layer south-southwesterly flow should support organized convection capable of severe hail and damaging winds. The best severe threat should remain focused across parts of eastern PA into NJ and southern NY, where the Slight Risk has been maintained with only small expansions. ...Florida... Upper ridging should be more influential today over FL compared to yesterday. Still, cool temperatures aloft and moderate instability could support occasionally strong to severe thunderstorms capable of producing isolated hail and/or damaging winds this afternoon across parts of the FL Peninsula along/south of a remnant front. ..Gleason/Squitieri.. 05/06/2025 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1130 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 061630Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST/SOUTHEAST TEXAS TO WESTERN LOUISIANA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected today into this evening, especially across parts of central into east/southeast Texas and Louisiana. Large to very large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes, potentially a few of which may be strong, should occur. Severe thunderstorms may also develop this afternoon across parts of the northern Mid-Atlantic/Northeast and the Florida Peninsula. ...Southern Plains into the Lower Mississippi Valley... Multiple supercells are ongoing late this morning across central TX along/near a surface warm front. As an upper trough/low continues to eject eastward over the southern Plains today, a rather favorable environment will be in place this afternoon and evening for intense severe thunderstorms across central/east-central TX into LA. Even with continued cloudiness across the warm sector, filtered daytime heating and the presence of modestly steep mid-level lapse rates will support moderate to locally strong instability given the rich/moist low-level airmass present. Ample low-level and deep-layer shear will foster continued updraft organization, including the potential for several supercells. The greatest potential for tornadoes, some of which could be strong, will likely remain focused along/near the warm front, which will attempt to lift northward some across east TX and LA through the afternoon and evening. Otherwise, large hail will be possible north of the warm front with elevated supercells. A severe/damaging wind threat will exist with any clusters that can become established. The tornado and damaging wind threat will probably continue through the evening and perhaps overnight hours across parts of the lower MS Valley, given sufficient instability and strong low-level shear along/near the warm front. Have therefore adjusted the Slight Risk eastward some across this region. Have also trimmed the Slight Risk from the southern High Plains, as low-topped convection closer to the cold-core upper low will probably only have access to weak instability this afternoon/evening. Still, this activity may have an isolated hail/wind threat, and the Marginal Risk has been maintained across the southern High Plains for this potential. ...Northern Mid-Atlantic/Northeast... Even in the presence of some cloud cover, thunderstorm development and intensification will occur this afternoon across parts of the northern Mid-Atlantic and vicinity in a modestly moist/unstable air mass preceding an upper low over the upper OH Valley. Relatively steep lapse rates aloft and moderate to strong deep-layer south-southwesterly flow should support organized convection capable of severe hail and damaging winds. The best severe threat should remain focused across parts of eastern PA into NJ and southern NY, where the Slight Risk has been maintained with only small expansions. ...Florida... Upper ridging should be more influential today over FL compared to yesterday. Still, cool temperatures aloft and moderate instability could support occasionally strong to severe thunderstorms capable of producing isolated hail and/or damaging winds this afternoon across parts of the FL Peninsula along/south of a remnant front. ..Gleason/Squitieri.. 05/06/2025 Read more

WW 0231 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 231 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE JCT TO 55 WNW AUS TO 40 WSW TPL TO 25 W TPL TO 25 W ACT. ..BENTLEY..05/06/25 ATTN...WFO...HGX...EWX...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 231 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC015-021-027-031-041-051-053-055-089-091-099-123-145-149-157- 171-177-185-187-201-209-225-259-285-287-289-309-313-331-339-395- 407-453-455-471-473-477-481-491-061740- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUSTIN BASTROP BELL BLANCO BRAZOS BURLESON BURNET CALDWELL COLORADO COMAL CORYELL DEWITT FALLS FAYETTE FORT BEND GILLESPIE GONZALES GRIMES GUADALUPE HARRIS HAYS HOUSTON KENDALL LAVACA LEE LEON MCLENNAN MADISON MILAM MONTGOMERY ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO TRAVIS TRINITY WALKER WALLER WASHINGTON WHARTON WILLIAMSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

WW 0232 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 232 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W ACT TO 25 NNW ACT TO 15 SE FTW TO 30 NNW DAL TO 30 WSW GYI. ..BENTLEY..05/06/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 232 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC001-063-067-073-085-113-121-139-159-161-183-203-213-217-223- 231-251-257-293-315-343-347-349-365-379-397-401-419-423-439-449- 459-467-499-061740- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON CAMP CASS CHEROKEE COLLIN DALLAS DENTON ELLIS FRANKLIN FREESTONE GREGG HARRISON HENDERSON HILL HOPKINS HUNT JOHNSON KAUFMAN LIMESTONE MARION MORRIS NACOGDOCHES NAVARRO PANOLA RAINS ROCKWALL RUSK SHELBY SMITH TARRANT TITUS UPSHUR VAN ZANDT WOOD THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

MD 0714 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 230... FOR NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0714 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0917 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Areas affected...north-central Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 230... Valid 061417Z - 061515Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 230 continues. SUMMARY...A downstream/replacement severe thunderstorm watch will be needed soon. DISCUSSION...A line of storms continues to move east across north Texas. This line appears mostly elevated with occasional wind signatures, but no substantial measured wind gusts. Ahead of this line, elevated storms have started to develop into supercells. Expect this elevated activity to increase through the morning as a 40-45 knot low-level jet intensifies across northeast Texas with ~1500 J/kg MUCAPE. Some supercell structures will be possible given the strong wind profile. Large hail will be the primary threat from this activity. A replacement severe thunderstorm watch will be needed by 15Z across north-central Texas with additional areas east of watch 230 also needed. ..Bentley/Gleason.. 05/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD... LAT...LON 31429837 32309818 32869814 33309789 33479698 33289584 32729544 31859548 31539597 31499709 31499781 31429837 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

WW 0232 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0232 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0232 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0232 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0230 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 230 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ENE JCT TO 50 NE JCT TO 20 E BWD TO 10 WNW SEP TO 10 SW MWL. ..BENTLEY..05/06/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 230 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC019-035-093-113-137-139-143-193-217-221-251-265-267-319-325- 333-367-385-411-425-439-061540- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANDERA BOSQUE COMANCHE DALLAS EDWARDS ELLIS ERATH HAMILTON HILL HOOD JOHNSON KERR KIMBLE MASON MEDINA MILLS PARKER REAL SAN SABA SOMERVELL TARRANT THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0230 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 230 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ENE JCT TO 50 NE JCT TO 20 E BWD TO 10 WNW SEP TO 10 SW MWL. ..BENTLEY..05/06/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 230 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC019-035-093-113-137-139-143-193-217-221-251-265-267-319-325- 333-367-385-411-425-439-061540- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANDERA BOSQUE COMANCHE DALLAS EDWARDS ELLIS ERATH HAMILTON HILL HOOD JOHNSON KERR KIMBLE MASON MEDINA MILLS PARKER REAL SAN SABA SOMERVELL TARRANT THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0230 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 230 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ENE JCT TO 50 NE JCT TO 20 E BWD TO 10 WNW SEP TO 10 SW MWL. ..BENTLEY..05/06/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 230 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC019-035-093-113-137-139-143-193-217-221-251-265-267-319-325- 333-367-385-411-425-439-061540- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANDERA BOSQUE COMANCHE DALLAS EDWARDS ELLIS ERATH HAMILTON HILL HOOD JOHNSON KERR KIMBLE MASON MEDINA MILLS PARKER REAL SAN SABA SOMERVELL TARRANT THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0230 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 230 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ENE JCT TO 50 NE JCT TO 20 E BWD TO 10 WNW SEP TO 10 SW MWL. ..BENTLEY..05/06/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 230 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC019-035-093-113-137-139-143-193-217-221-251-265-267-319-325- 333-367-385-411-425-439-061540- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANDERA BOSQUE COMANCHE DALLAS EDWARDS ELLIS ERATH HAMILTON HILL HOOD JOHNSON KERR KIMBLE MASON MEDINA MILLS PARKER REAL SAN SABA SOMERVELL TARRANT THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0230 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 230 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ENE JCT TO 50 NE JCT TO 20 E BWD TO 10 WNW SEP TO 10 SW MWL. ..BENTLEY..05/06/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 230 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC019-035-093-113-137-139-143-193-217-221-251-265-267-319-325- 333-367-385-411-425-439-061540- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANDERA BOSQUE COMANCHE DALLAS EDWARDS ELLIS ERATH HAMILTON HILL HOOD JOHNSON KERR KIMBLE MASON MEDINA MILLS PARKER REAL SAN SABA SOMERVELL TARRANT THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0230 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 230 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ENE JCT TO 50 NE JCT TO 20 E BWD TO 10 WNW SEP TO 10 SW MWL. ..BENTLEY..05/06/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 230 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC019-035-093-113-137-139-143-193-217-221-251-265-267-319-325- 333-367-385-411-425-439-061540- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANDERA BOSQUE COMANCHE DALLAS EDWARDS ELLIS ERATH HAMILTON HILL HOOD JOHNSON KERR KIMBLE MASON MEDINA MILLS PARKER REAL SAN SABA SOMERVELL TARRANT THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 230 SEVERE TSTM TX 060825Z - 061500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 230 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 325 AM CDT Tue May 6 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of West-Central and North-Central Texas * Effective this Tuesday morning from 325 AM until 1000 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...At least isolated severe storms are expected to expand east-northeastward across parts of the Low Rolling Plains toward North-central/central Texas. Large hail will be the primary hazard overnight, with locally damaging winds also possible. Tornado potential should increase into central Texas/I-35 vicinity later this morning. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles north and south of a line from 60 miles north northwest of San Angelo TX to 55 miles north of Austin TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 229... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 23030. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0231 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 231 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BENTLEY..05/06/25 ATTN...WFO...HGX...EWX...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 231 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC015-021-027-031-041-051-053-055-089-091-099-123-145-149-157- 171-177-185-187-201-209-225-259-281-285-287-289-299-309-313-331- 339-395-407-453-455-471-473-477-481-491-061540- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUSTIN BASTROP BELL BLANCO BRAZOS BURLESON BURNET CALDWELL COLORADO COMAL CORYELL DEWITT FALLS FAYETTE FORT BEND GILLESPIE GONZALES GRIMES GUADALUPE HARRIS HAYS HOUSTON KENDALL LAMPASAS LAVACA LEE LEON LLANO MCLENNAN MADISON MILAM MONTGOMERY ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO TRAVIS TRINITY WALKER WALLER WASHINGTON WHARTON WILLIAMSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

WW 0231 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 231 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BENTLEY..05/06/25 ATTN...WFO...HGX...EWX...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 231 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC015-021-027-031-041-051-053-055-089-091-099-123-145-149-157- 171-177-185-187-201-209-225-259-281-285-287-289-299-309-313-331- 339-395-407-453-455-471-473-477-481-491-061540- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUSTIN BASTROP BELL BLANCO BRAZOS BURLESON BURNET CALDWELL COLORADO COMAL CORYELL DEWITT FALLS FAYETTE FORT BEND GILLESPIE GONZALES GRIMES GUADALUPE HARRIS HAYS HOUSTON KENDALL LAMPASAS LAVACA LEE LEON LLANO MCLENNAN MADISON MILAM MONTGOMERY ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO TRAVIS TRINITY WALKER WALLER WASHINGTON WHARTON WILLIAMSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

MD 0713 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 230... FOR PARTS OF NORTH-CENTRAL TX AND FAR SOUTH-CENTRAL OK
Mesoscale Discussion 0713 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Areas affected...Parts of north-central TX and far south-central OK Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 230... Valid 061255Z - 061430Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 230 continues. SUMMARY...Some severe threat could spread eastward with time this morning. DISCUSSION...A persistent storm cluster with an embedded supercell is approaching north-central TX this morning, with other convection increasing in advance of this cluster within a low-level warm-advection regime. The 12Z FWD sounding depicted moderate elevated buoyancy and sufficient deep-layer shear for storm organization, and some short-term threat for hail and isolated strong to severe gusts may spread eastward this morning, both with the ongoing cluster and any intensifying downstream cells. Depending on short-term trends, local extension of WW 230 and/or new watch issuance is possible later this morning. ..Dean/Guyer.. 05/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT... LAT...LON 33129906 34039832 34019722 33439699 33049679 32449677 32069711 31949816 31899889 32019891 32249892 33129906 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

MD 0712 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 230... FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL INTO EAST-CENTRAL TX
Mesoscale Discussion 0712 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0611 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Areas affected...South-central into east-central TX Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 230... Valid 061111Z - 061415Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 230 continues. SUMMARY...An increase in the tornado threat is expected with time this morning. Tornado Watch issuance is likely later this morning, though timing is uncertain. DISCUSSION...Some increase in convection has recently been noted across parts of the TX Hill Country, in close proximity to a surface warm front that is expected to lift northward through the morning across parts of south-central into east-central TX. Favorable deep-layer shear and low-level SRH (as noted on the KEWX VWP) will result in supercell potential through the morning, especially as the warm front moves northward and rich low-level moisture continues to support moderate to locally strong buoyancy. Timing of additional supercell development and maturation within the warm-advection regime remains somewhat uncertain, as does the potential influence of an ongoing eastward-moving storm cluster near San Angelo. However, as the threat for surface-based supercells increases, a corresponding increase in the tornado threat is expected with time this morning, in addition to potential for large hail and locally damaging winds. A Tornado Watch will likely be needed later this morning, though timing is uncertain. ..Dean/Guyer.. 05/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT... LAT...LON 30109969 30469938 31789706 31789594 31279547 30499537 30219581 29779648 29509720 29339823 29329926 30109969 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

WW 0231 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0231 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more