SPC May 6, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 091200Z - 141200Z ...DISCUSSION... Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast. An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not expected. With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough remains uncertain at this point in time. Read more

SPC May 6, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 091200Z - 141200Z ...DISCUSSION... Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast. An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not expected. With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough remains uncertain at this point in time. Read more

SPC May 6, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 091200Z - 141200Z ...DISCUSSION... Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast. An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not expected. With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough remains uncertain at this point in time. Read more

SPC May 6, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 091200Z - 141200Z ...DISCUSSION... Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast. An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not expected. With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough remains uncertain at this point in time. Read more

SPC May 6, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 091200Z - 141200Z ...DISCUSSION... Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast. An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not expected. With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough remains uncertain at this point in time. Read more

SPC May 6, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 091200Z - 141200Z ...DISCUSSION... Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast. An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not expected. With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough remains uncertain at this point in time. Read more

SPC May 6, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 091200Z - 141200Z ...DISCUSSION... Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast. An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not expected. With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough remains uncertain at this point in time. Read more

SPC May 6, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 091200Z - 141200Z ...DISCUSSION... Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast. An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not expected. With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough remains uncertain at this point in time. Read more

SPC May 6, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 091200Z - 141200Z ...DISCUSSION... Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast. An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not expected. With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough remains uncertain at this point in time. Read more

SPC May 6, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 091200Z - 141200Z ...DISCUSSION... Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast. An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not expected. With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough remains uncertain at this point in time. Read more

SPC May 6, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 091200Z - 141200Z ...DISCUSSION... Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast. An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not expected. With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough remains uncertain at this point in time. Read more

SPC May 6, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 091200Z - 141200Z ...DISCUSSION... Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast. An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not expected. With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough remains uncertain at this point in time. Read more

SPC MD 710

4 months 2 weeks ago
MD 0710 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 229... FOR PARTS OF THE TX PERMIAN BASIN/EDWARDS PLATEAU
Mesoscale Discussion 0710 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0233 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Areas affected...Parts of the TX Permian Basin/Edwards Plateau Concerning...Tornado Watch 229... Valid 060733Z - 060900Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 229 continues. SUMMARY...Tornadoes remain possible near/south of the warm front. Otherwise, a threat for large hail and localized severe gusts will continue. DISCUSSION...Extensive convection is ongoing early this morning across parts of the TX Permian Basin and Edwards Plateau. While the mode has become complex, a few supercells have persisted, with a recent report of 2.5 inch hail in Crane County, TX. Convection may continue to increase in coverage overnight, in response to an eastward-moving mid/upper-level cyclone over the Southwest and related strong low-level jet. Moderate to strong instability and very favorable deep-layer shear will continue to support supercell potential overnight, though some continued clustering of storms is possible, especially along an eastward moving cold front. Large to very large hail and localized severe gusts will continue to be a threat overnight with the strongest storms. The environment remains conditionally favorable for tornadoes near/south of a northwest-to-southeast oriented warm front, with substantial low-level SRH continuing to be noted in the KDFX VWP. Thus far, storms have tended to quickly move to the cool side of the front and become elevated. However, it remains possible that ongoing developing convection west of Del Rio could evolve into a supercell that would pose a tornado threat in addition to the hail/wind potential. Storms near the intersection of the warm front and eastward-moving cold front/outflow could also pose some embedded tornado potential. With some severe threat likely to persist beyond the 4 AM CDT expiration time of WW 229, local watch extension and/or new watch issuance will be possible later this morning. ..Dean/Guyer.. 05/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...MAF... LAT...LON 30870316 31980225 31980079 31839951 31499835 30959830 30389867 29529957 29030029 29050107 29510198 29860257 30320317 30870316 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 229 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0229 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 229 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW FST TO 40 SE MAF TO 20 ENE MAF TO 40 N MAF TO 40 SW LBB. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0710 ..DEAN..05/06/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...EWX...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 229 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC019-105-137-173-235-265-267-271-371-383-385-413-431-435-443- 451-463-465-060940- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANDERA CROCKETT EDWARDS GLASSCOCK IRION KERR KIMBLE KINNEY PECOS REAGAN REAL SCHLEICHER STERLING SUTTON TERRELL TOM GREEN UVALDE VAL VERDE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 229 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0229 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 229 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW FST TO 40 SE MAF TO 20 ENE MAF TO 40 N MAF TO 40 SW LBB. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0710 ..DEAN..05/06/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...EWX...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 229 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC019-105-137-173-235-265-267-271-371-383-385-413-431-435-443- 451-463-465-060940- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANDERA CROCKETT EDWARDS GLASSCOCK IRION KERR KIMBLE KINNEY PECOS REAGAN REAL SCHLEICHER STERLING SUTTON TERRELL TOM GREEN UVALDE VAL VERDE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 229 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0229 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 229 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW FST TO 40 SE MAF TO 20 ENE MAF TO 40 N MAF TO 40 SW LBB. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0710 ..DEAN..05/06/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...EWX...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 229 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC019-105-137-173-235-265-267-271-371-383-385-413-431-435-443- 451-463-465-060940- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANDERA CROCKETT EDWARDS GLASSCOCK IRION KERR KIMBLE KINNEY PECOS REAGAN REAL SCHLEICHER STERLING SUTTON TERRELL TOM GREEN UVALDE VAL VERDE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 229 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0229 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 229 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW FST TO 40 SE MAF TO 20 ENE MAF TO 40 N MAF TO 40 SW LBB. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0710 ..DEAN..05/06/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...EWX...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 229 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC019-105-137-173-235-265-267-271-371-383-385-413-431-435-443- 451-463-465-060940- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANDERA CROCKETT EDWARDS GLASSCOCK IRION KERR KIMBLE KINNEY PECOS REAGAN REAL SCHLEICHER STERLING SUTTON TERRELL TOM GREEN UVALDE VAL VERDE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 229 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0229 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 229 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW FST TO 40 SE MAF TO 20 ENE MAF TO 40 N MAF TO 40 SW LBB. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0710 ..DEAN..05/06/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...EWX...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 229 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC019-105-137-173-235-265-267-271-371-383-385-413-431-435-443- 451-463-465-060940- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANDERA CROCKETT EDWARDS GLASSCOCK IRION KERR KIMBLE KINNEY PECOS REAGAN REAL SCHLEICHER STERLING SUTTON TERRELL TOM GREEN UVALDE VAL VERDE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 229 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0229 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 229 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW FST TO 40 SE MAF TO 20 ENE MAF TO 40 N MAF TO 40 SW LBB. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0710 ..DEAN..05/06/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...EWX...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 229 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC019-105-137-173-235-265-267-271-371-383-385-413-431-435-443- 451-463-465-060940- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANDERA CROCKETT EDWARDS GLASSCOCK IRION KERR KIMBLE KINNEY PECOS REAGAN REAL SCHLEICHER STERLING SUTTON TERRELL TOM GREEN UVALDE VAL VERDE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 229

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 229 TORNADO NM TX 060155Z - 060900Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 229 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 855 PM CDT Mon May 5 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Far Southeast New Mexico West into Southwest and South-Central Texas * Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 855 PM until 400 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are forecast to continue across the Permian Basin this evening. Additional severe thunderstorms are forecast farther southeast into the Pecos Valley and Edwards Plateau regions. It is here that scattered supercells are forecast to evolve by late evening and persist into the overnight. Moist low levels with strengthening flow fields will support supercells potentially capable of a couple of tornadoes, large to very large hail, and severe gusts. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles west southwest of Hobbs NM to 50 miles south southeast of Junction TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 227...WW 228... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 21035. ...Smith Read more
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