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4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025
Valid 091200Z - 141200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into
the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the
Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast.
An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains
and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low
near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across
part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe
potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level
lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not
expected.
With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move
eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the
East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a
strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture
return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That
said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf
will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The
potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough
remains uncertain at this point in time.
Read more
4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025
Valid 091200Z - 141200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into
the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the
Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast.
An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains
and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low
near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across
part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe
potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level
lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not
expected.
With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move
eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the
East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a
strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture
return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That
said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf
will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The
potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough
remains uncertain at this point in time.
Read more
4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025
Valid 091200Z - 141200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into
the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the
Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast.
An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains
and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low
near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across
part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe
potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level
lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not
expected.
With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move
eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the
East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a
strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture
return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That
said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf
will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The
potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough
remains uncertain at this point in time.
Read more
4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025
Valid 091200Z - 141200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into
the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the
Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast.
An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains
and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low
near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across
part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe
potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level
lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not
expected.
With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move
eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the
East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a
strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture
return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That
said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf
will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The
potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough
remains uncertain at this point in time.
Read more
4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025
Valid 091200Z - 141200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into
the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the
Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast.
An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains
and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low
near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across
part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe
potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level
lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not
expected.
With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move
eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the
East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a
strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture
return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That
said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf
will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The
potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough
remains uncertain at this point in time.
Read more
4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025
Valid 091200Z - 141200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into
the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the
Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast.
An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains
and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low
near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across
part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe
potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level
lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not
expected.
With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move
eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the
East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a
strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture
return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That
said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf
will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The
potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough
remains uncertain at this point in time.
Read more
4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025
Valid 091200Z - 141200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into
the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the
Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast.
An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains
and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low
near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across
part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe
potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level
lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not
expected.
With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move
eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the
East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a
strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture
return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That
said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf
will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The
potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough
remains uncertain at this point in time.
Read more
4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025
Valid 091200Z - 141200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into
the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the
Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast.
An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains
and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low
near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across
part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe
potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level
lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not
expected.
With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move
eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the
East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a
strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture
return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That
said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf
will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The
potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough
remains uncertain at this point in time.
Read more
4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025
Valid 091200Z - 141200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into
the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the
Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast.
An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains
and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low
near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across
part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe
potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level
lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not
expected.
With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move
eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the
East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a
strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture
return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That
said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf
will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The
potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough
remains uncertain at this point in time.
Read more
4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025
Valid 091200Z - 141200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into
the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the
Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast.
An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains
and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low
near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across
part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe
potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level
lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not
expected.
With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move
eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the
East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a
strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture
return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That
said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf
will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The
potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough
remains uncertain at this point in time.
Read more
4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025
Valid 091200Z - 141200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into
the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the
Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast.
An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains
and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low
near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across
part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe
potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level
lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not
expected.
With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move
eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the
East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a
strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture
return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That
said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf
will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The
potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough
remains uncertain at this point in time.
Read more
4 months 2 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0355 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025
Valid 091200Z - 141200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Late this week, an elongated upper trough from the Southeast into
the Northeast will evolve into a cutoff low centered roughly on the
Gulf Coast with stronger cyclonic flow remaining in the Northeast.
An upper-level ridge will continue to build in the West and Plains
and shift eastward into early next week. With the weak upper low
near the Gulf, this will spur repeated days of convection across
part of the Southeast and Florida. It is possible low-end severe
potential will exist with some of this activity until low/mid-level
lapse rates become poor. However, substantive severe threats are not
expected.
With the ridge building over the cutoff low, it will be slow to move
eastward. Model guidance suggests that this feature will reach the
East Coast around the middle of next week. At the same time, a
strong upper trough is expected to move into the West. Moisture
return into the Plains will begin as the trough moves eastward. That
said, at least a few days worth of offshore flow in the western Gulf
will likely limit the initial quality of that moisture return. The
potential for severe weather with the incoming western trough
remains uncertain at this point in time.
Read more
4 months 2 weeks ago
MD 0710 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 229... FOR PARTS OF THE TX PERMIAN BASIN/EDWARDS PLATEAU
Mesoscale Discussion 0710
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0233 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025
Areas affected...Parts of the TX Permian Basin/Edwards Plateau
Concerning...Tornado Watch 229...
Valid 060733Z - 060900Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 229 continues.
SUMMARY...Tornadoes remain possible near/south of the warm front.
Otherwise, a threat for large hail and localized severe gusts will
continue.
DISCUSSION...Extensive convection is ongoing early this morning
across parts of the TX Permian Basin and Edwards Plateau. While the
mode has become complex, a few supercells have persisted, with a
recent report of 2.5 inch hail in Crane County, TX. Convection may
continue to increase in coverage overnight, in response to an
eastward-moving mid/upper-level cyclone over the Southwest and
related strong low-level jet.
Moderate to strong instability and very favorable deep-layer shear
will continue to support supercell potential overnight, though some
continued clustering of storms is possible, especially along an
eastward moving cold front. Large to very large hail and localized
severe gusts will continue to be a threat overnight with the
strongest storms.
The environment remains conditionally favorable for tornadoes
near/south of a northwest-to-southeast oriented warm front, with
substantial low-level SRH continuing to be noted in the KDFX VWP.
Thus far, storms have tended to quickly move to the cool side of the
front and become elevated. However, it remains possible that ongoing
developing convection west of Del Rio could evolve into a supercell
that would pose a tornado threat in addition to the hail/wind
potential. Storms near the intersection of the warm front and
eastward-moving cold front/outflow could also pose some embedded
tornado potential.
With some severe threat likely to persist beyond the 4 AM CDT
expiration time of WW 229, local watch extension and/or new watch
issuance will be possible later this morning.
..Dean/Guyer.. 05/06/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...MAF...
LAT...LON 30870316 31980225 31980079 31839951 31499835 30959830
30389867 29529957 29030029 29050107 29510198 29860257
30320317 30870316
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN
Read more
4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0229 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 229
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW FST
TO 40 SE MAF TO 20 ENE MAF TO 40 N MAF TO 40 SW LBB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0710
..DEAN..05/06/25
ATTN...WFO...MAF...EWX...SJT...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 229
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC019-105-137-173-235-265-267-271-371-383-385-413-431-435-443-
451-463-465-060940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANDERA CROCKETT EDWARDS
GLASSCOCK IRION KERR
KIMBLE KINNEY PECOS
REAGAN REAL SCHLEICHER
STERLING SUTTON TERRELL
TOM GREEN UVALDE VAL VERDE
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0229 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 229
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW FST
TO 40 SE MAF TO 20 ENE MAF TO 40 N MAF TO 40 SW LBB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0710
..DEAN..05/06/25
ATTN...WFO...MAF...EWX...SJT...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 229
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC019-105-137-173-235-265-267-271-371-383-385-413-431-435-443-
451-463-465-060940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANDERA CROCKETT EDWARDS
GLASSCOCK IRION KERR
KIMBLE KINNEY PECOS
REAGAN REAL SCHLEICHER
STERLING SUTTON TERRELL
TOM GREEN UVALDE VAL VERDE
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0229 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 229
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW FST
TO 40 SE MAF TO 20 ENE MAF TO 40 N MAF TO 40 SW LBB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0710
..DEAN..05/06/25
ATTN...WFO...MAF...EWX...SJT...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 229
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC019-105-137-173-235-265-267-271-371-383-385-413-431-435-443-
451-463-465-060940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANDERA CROCKETT EDWARDS
GLASSCOCK IRION KERR
KIMBLE KINNEY PECOS
REAGAN REAL SCHLEICHER
STERLING SUTTON TERRELL
TOM GREEN UVALDE VAL VERDE
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0229 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 229
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW FST
TO 40 SE MAF TO 20 ENE MAF TO 40 N MAF TO 40 SW LBB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0710
..DEAN..05/06/25
ATTN...WFO...MAF...EWX...SJT...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 229
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC019-105-137-173-235-265-267-271-371-383-385-413-431-435-443-
451-463-465-060940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANDERA CROCKETT EDWARDS
GLASSCOCK IRION KERR
KIMBLE KINNEY PECOS
REAGAN REAL SCHLEICHER
STERLING SUTTON TERRELL
TOM GREEN UVALDE VAL VERDE
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0229 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 229
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW FST
TO 40 SE MAF TO 20 ENE MAF TO 40 N MAF TO 40 SW LBB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0710
..DEAN..05/06/25
ATTN...WFO...MAF...EWX...SJT...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 229
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC019-105-137-173-235-265-267-271-371-383-385-413-431-435-443-
451-463-465-060940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANDERA CROCKETT EDWARDS
GLASSCOCK IRION KERR
KIMBLE KINNEY PECOS
REAGAN REAL SCHLEICHER
STERLING SUTTON TERRELL
TOM GREEN UVALDE VAL VERDE
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0229 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 229
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW FST
TO 40 SE MAF TO 20 ENE MAF TO 40 N MAF TO 40 SW LBB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0710
..DEAN..05/06/25
ATTN...WFO...MAF...EWX...SJT...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 229
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC019-105-137-173-235-265-267-271-371-383-385-413-431-435-443-
451-463-465-060940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANDERA CROCKETT EDWARDS
GLASSCOCK IRION KERR
KIMBLE KINNEY PECOS
REAGAN REAL SCHLEICHER
STERLING SUTTON TERRELL
TOM GREEN UVALDE VAL VERDE
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 229 TORNADO NM TX 060155Z - 060900Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 229
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
855 PM CDT Mon May 5 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Far Southeast New Mexico
West into Southwest and South-Central Texas
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 855 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are forecast to continue across the
Permian Basin this evening. Additional severe thunderstorms are
forecast farther southeast into the Pecos Valley and Edwards Plateau
regions. It is here that scattered supercells are forecast to
evolve by late evening and persist into the overnight. Moist low
levels with strengthening flow fields will support supercells
potentially capable of a couple of tornadoes, large to very large
hail, and severe gusts.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
north and south of a line from 50 miles west southwest of Hobbs NM
to 50 miles south southeast of Junction TX. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 227...WW 228...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 21035.
...Smith
Read more
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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