Severe Storms

MD 0703 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 224... FOR THE EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA
Mesoscale Discussion 0703 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0533 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Areas affected...the east-central Florida Peninsula Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 224... Valid 052233Z - 060030Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 224 continues. SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development within a buoyancy maximum will likely result in a lingering severe hail and wind threat for the next 1-2 hours across the east-central Florida Peninsula. DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorm development along a convectively reinforced sea-breeze boundary has resulted in overturning of a buoyant air mass for much of the northern and southern east coast of FL. However, a relative minimum in convection across the central part of the east coast (roughly between Lake Okeechobee to Orlando, FL and eastward) has left a reservoir of 2000-2500 J/kg MLCAPE. Over the past 15-30 minutes, robust convection has developed along the sea-breeze boundary and is migrating into this CAPE maximum. 0-6 km BWD values behind the sea-breeze remain near 40 knots per the KMLB VWP, which will support supercells with an attendant risk for damaging winds and large hail, possibly up to the size of golf balls. This activity should persist for the next 1-2 hours before destructive storm interactions, convective overturning, and the onset of nocturnal cooling lead to a gradual reduction in the severe threat. ..Moore.. 05/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW... LAT...LON 26378060 26508099 26698128 26928145 27248147 27828148 28048138 28208116 28278099 28228085 28068069 27618043 27288023 27018015 26788011 26558021 26418032 26408045 26378060 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

MD 0704 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 225... FOR PARTS OF SERN TX
Mesoscale Discussion 0704 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0534 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Areas affected...parts of sern TX Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 225... Valid 052234Z - 060030Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 225 continues. SUMMARY...Scattered strong thunderstorm development will continue for several more hours, including few cells which may become capable of producing severe hail, before activity weakens later this evening. It is unlikely that a new severe weather watch will be needed, but trends will continue to be monitored. DISCUSSION...A broad area of convection, rooted within forcing for ascent associated with lower/mid-tropospheric warm advection, continues to gradually overspread much of eastern/southeastern Texas, with scattered embedded thunderstorm activity. This includes more recent vigorous development northwest of Victoria through mid/upper Texas coastal areas, in closer proximity to a stalled surface frontal zone extending inland of coastal areas, through the Texas Hill Country and Edwards Plateau. The northward edge of the stronger convection appears focused along the leading edge of southward propagating gravity waves, which may reach the Greater Houston and College Station vicinities by 00-01z. Until then, thermodynamic profiles characterized by seasonably moist air, surmounted by modestly steep lapse rates, above the frontal inversion, may remain supportive of convection capable of producing severe hail, aided by strong shear in the convective layer. ..Kerr.. 05/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX... LAT...LON 30879768 30889612 30449458 29689377 29209346 28379536 28519646 29589766 30119827 30719788 30879768 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

MD 0702 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 223... FOR FAR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
Mesoscale Discussion 0702 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0507 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Areas affected...Far southeast Virginia and eastern North Carolina Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 223... Valid 052207Z - 060000Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 223 continues. SUMMARY...Thunderstorms developing along and ahead of a cold front/outflow boundary will continue to see periods of intensification to severe limits through early evening across eastern North Carolina and into far southeast Virginia. DISCUSSION...Over the past hour, discrete/semi-discrete cells across eastern NC and southeast VA have shown a slight downturn in overall intensity and organization based on reflectivity structure/intensity, MRMS echo top/vertical ice metrics, and cloud-top temperatures. For cells developing along an eastward propagating, storm motions along/slightly behind the boundary are likely responsible for this trend. Regardless, the overall convective environment across NC and southeast VA remains favorable for organized convection. Latest RAP mesoanalysis estimates continue to show MLCAPE values upwards of 1500 J/kg and surface-based lifted indices between -6 to -8 C across parts of eastern NC ahead of the boundary. Additionally, the MHX VWP continues to sample deep-layer shear on the order of 40 knots. GOES visible imagery shows agitated cumulus along and ahead of the boundary, suggesting that new cell development remains possible. The expectation for the next couple of hours is that ongoing convection may see an uptick in intensity as it pushes east/northeast further into the buoyant air mass, and new convection may develop along/ahead of the boundary across eastern NC with an attendant hail/wind risk. ..Moore.. 05/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM... LAT...LON 34897850 35687776 36467734 36807736 36987730 37157697 37057651 36797615 36557602 36377605 36047615 35637643 35177684 34527759 34417789 34397813 34457836 34627857 34897850 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

WW 0228 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 228 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE RIC TO 45 SSW MRB. ..MOORE..05/05/25 ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...CTP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 228 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS DCC001-060040- DC . DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA MDC003-005-009-011-013-017-019-021-025-027-029-031-033-035-037- 041-043-510-060040- MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT CAROLINE CARROLL CHARLES DORCHESTER FREDERICK HARFORD HOWARD KENT MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES QUEEN ANNE'S ST. MARYS TALBOT WASHINGTON MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BALTIMORE CITY Read more

WW 228 SEVERE TSTM DC MD PA VA WV CW 052200Z - 060400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 228 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 600 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Maryland Southern Pennsylvania Northern and Eastern Virginia Eastern Panhandle West Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Monday night from 600 PM until Midnight EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Scattered linear clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms will likely develop and move northward into the Watch area this evening. A few of the stronger cellular storms will pose a risk for large hail (1 to 1.5 inches in diameter). A transient supercell or two is possible in addition to a couple of line segments. Strong to severe gusts capable of wind damage will be the primary hazard with these storms, but a brief tornado is possible mainly early this evening with this activity. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles east northeast of Hagerstown MD to 25 miles southwest of Patuxent River MD. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 223...WW 224...WW 225...WW 226...WW 227... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector 19030. ...Smith Read more

WW 0223 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 223 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW ILM TO 35 ENE RWI TO 45 WNW ECG TO 40 SSE RIC TO 30 WSW NHK. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0702 ..MOORE..05/05/25 ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 223 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC013-015-041-049-073-107-117-133-143-147-187-060040- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAUFORT BERTIE CHOWAN CRAVEN GATES LENOIR MARTIN ONSLOW PERQUIMANS PITT WASHINGTON VAC057-073-093-095-097-103-115-119-133-159-181-193-199-650-700- 735-800-830-060040- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ESSEX GLOUCESTER ISLE OF WIGHT JAMES CITY KING AND QUEEN LANCASTER MATHEWS MIDDLESEX NORTHUMBERLAND RICHMOND SURRY WESTMORELAND YORK Read more

WW 223 SEVERE TSTM NC VA CW 051725Z - 060100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 223 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 125 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central and Eastern North Carolina Southeast and Central Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 125 PM until 900 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to spread north-northeastward this afternoon and evening while posing a threat for large hail generally up to 1-1.5 inches in diameter along with damaging winds. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles north of Richmond VA to 40 miles south of Goldsboro NC. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 21025. ...Gleason Read more

WW 0226 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 226 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W FKL TO 15 ENE ZZV TO 15 ESE FDY. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0705 ..MOORE..05/05/25 ATTN...WFO...CLE...PBZ...ILN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 226 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OHC005-019-029-033-035-043-075-077-093-099-103-133-139-143-147- 151-153-155-157-169-060040- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ASHLAND CARROLL COLUMBIANA CRAWFORD CUYAHOGA ERIE HOLMES HURON LORAIN MAHONING MEDINA PORTAGE RICHLAND SANDUSKY SENECA STARK SUMMIT TRUMBULL TUSCARAWAS WAYNE LEZ146-060040- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE LEZ146 Read more

WW 226 SEVERE TSTM OH WV 052005Z - 060100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 226 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 405 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central and Eastern Ohio The Northern Panhandle of West Virginia * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 405 PM until 900 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms spreading northward this afternoon and evening should pose a threat for both large hail around 1-1.5 inches in diameter and damaging winds up to 60-70 mph. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles north northwest of Akron OH to 30 miles south southeast of Zanesville OH. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 223...WW 224...WW 225... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 18030. ...Gleason Read more

WW 0227 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 227 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..KERR..05/05/25 ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 227 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC005-011-015-025-041-060040- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAVES DE BACA EDDY LEA ROOSEVELT TXC003-103-135-165-301-317-329-461-475-495-501-060040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS CRANE ECTOR GAINES LOVING MARTIN MIDLAND UPTON WARD WINKLER YOAKUM THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 227 TORNADO NM TX 052025Z - 060200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 227 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 325 PM CDT Mon May 5 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southeast New Mexico West Texas * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 325 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible SUMMARY...Supercell thunderstorms will pose a threat for a few tornadoes and large to very large hail (potentially up to baseball size/2.75 inches in diameter) as they move slowly east-northeastward through the afternoon and evening. Severe wind gusts up to 65-75 mph may also occur on a more isolated basis. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles northwest of Roswell NM to 20 miles east southeast of Midland TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 223...WW 224...WW 225...WW 226... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24025. ...Gleason Read more

WW 0225 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 225 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..KERR..05/05/25 ATTN...WFO...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 225 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC015-039-041-051-089-157-167-185-201-321-339-473-477-481- 060040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUSTIN BRAZORIA BRAZOS BURLESON COLORADO FORT BEND GALVESTON GRIMES HARRIS MATAGORDA MONTGOMERY WALLER WASHINGTON WHARTON GMZ335-060040- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE GMZ335 THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 225 SEVERE TSTM TX 051855Z - 060100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 225 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 155 PM CDT Mon May 5 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southeast Texas * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 155 PM until 800 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...An intense supercell will likely pose a threat for large to very large hail up to 1.5 to 2.5 inches in diameter as it tracks east-southeastward towards the Houston metro area over the next few hours. Additional robust thunderstorms may also develop through the rest of the afternoon into early evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles east and west of a line from 5 miles northeast of College Station TX to 40 miles west southwest of Houston TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 223...WW 224... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 28030. ...Gleason Read more

MD 0701 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC
Mesoscale Discussion 0701 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0429 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Areas affected...Parts of the Mid-Atlantic Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 052129Z - 052330Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorms moving north out of southeast Virginia will migrate into a buoyant air mass in place across the DelMarVa region. Re-intensification is expected and may result in an uptick in the severe hail/wind threat. Watch issuance is being considered to address this potential. DISCUSSION...A mix of semi-discrete thunderstorms and weakly organized linear segments continues to migrate north out of southeast VA. While a few stronger cores persist, much of the convection currently appears weak/disorganized based on GOES IR imagery and MRMS vertical ice/echo top data. However, these storms are moving into an environment characterized by better buoyancy (MLCAPE between 1000-2000 J/kg) that is in place across the DelMarVa region. Consequently, some uptick in intensity is anticipated within the next 1-2 hours. Deep-layer wind shear sampled by regional VWPs is fairly modest - around 20-25 knots of 0-6 km BWD. However, this should be sufficient for a few organized cells and linear segments capable of producing damaging winds and 1.0 to 1.5 inch hail. ..Moore/Smith.. 05/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX... LAT...LON 37687760 38617858 39057882 39307881 39677865 39997827 40077798 40057760 39837722 39257636 38867603 38407592 38117592 37777606 37557624 37357656 37357685 37467726 37687760 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

WW 0227 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 227 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..THORNTON..05/05/25 ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 227 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC005-011-015-025-041-052340- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAVES DE BACA EDDY LEA ROOSEVELT TXC003-103-135-165-301-317-329-461-475-495-501-052340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS CRANE ECTOR GAINES LOVING MARTIN MIDLAND UPTON WARD WINKLER YOAKUM THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0226 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 226 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W FKL TO 25 S ZZV. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION ..THORNTON..05/05/25 ATTN...WFO...CLE...PBZ...ILN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 226 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OHC005-019-029-031-059-075-083-099-103-117-119-133-139-151-153- 155-157-169-052340- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ASHLAND CARROLL COLUMBIANA COSHOCTON GUERNSEY HOLMES KNOX MAHONING MEDINA MORROW MUSKINGUM PORTAGE RICHLAND STARK SUMMIT TRUMBULL TUSCARAWAS WAYNE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0225 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 225 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..THORNTON..05/05/25 ATTN...WFO...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 225 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC015-039-041-051-089-157-167-185-201-321-339-473-477-481- 052340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUSTIN BRAZORIA BRAZOS BURLESON COLORADO FORT BEND GALVESTON GRIMES HARRIS MATAGORDA MONTGOMERY WALLER WASHINGTON WHARTON GMZ335-052340- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE GMZ335 THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0224 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 224 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SE PBI TO 45 ESE APF. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0703 ..THORNTON..05/05/25 ATTN...WFO...MLB...MFL... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 224 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC009-011-061-085-093-095-097-099-111-117-127-052340- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BREVARD BROWARD INDIAN RIVER MARTIN OKEECHOBEE ORANGE OSCEOLA PALM BEACH ST. LUCIE SEMINOLE VOLUSIA AMZ550-552-555-610-650-052340- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM Read more

WW 0223 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 223 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W OAJ TO 5 SW RWI TO 25 SSW RIC TO 35 E CHO. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0702 ..THORNTON..05/05/25 ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 223 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC013-015-041-049-061-065-073-079-083-091-103-107-117-131-133- 143-147-187-195-052340- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAUFORT BERTIE CHOWAN CRAVEN DUPLIN EDGECOMBE GATES GREENE HALIFAX HERTFORD JONES LENOIR MARTIN NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW PERQUIMANS PITT WASHINGTON WILSON VAC033-036-041-057-073-081-085-087-093-095-097-101-103-115-119- 127-133-149-159-175-181-183-193-199-570-595-620-650-670-700-730- 735-760-800-830-052340- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CAROLINE CHARLES CITY CHESTERFIELD Read more

MD 0700 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 225... FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0700 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Areas affected...portions of southeastern Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 225... Valid 052048Z - 052215Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 225 continues. SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 225. Large hail remains the main concern, but a tornado could still occur if a supercell can become surface based. DISCUSSION...Multiple supercell structures have developed across southeast Texas, and have been progressing eastward on the immediate cool side of a baroclinic zone. These supercells are likely still elevated, and given adequate buoyancy above 700 mb (per RAP forecast soundings), severe hail could still occur given elongated mid to upper-level hodographs and corresponding 50+ kts of effective bulk shear. Closer to the Gulf Coast, multiple thunderstorms continue to intensify within a WAA regime. These storms are associated with a relatively more unstable, surface-based airmass. Regional VADs on the warm side of the baroclinic boundary show low-level hodographs with modest size and curvature, with around 300 m2/s2 SRH present (per 19Z mesoanalysis). It is unclear if these storms can organize and intensify into mature surface-based supercells before reaching the cool side of the baroclinic boundary. If they do though, a tornado remains possible. ..Squitieri.. 05/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX... LAT...LON 28649649 29699684 30299679 30719650 30779603 30489538 29969505 29509497 29139500 28909533 28719573 28599604 28649649 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more