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MD 1211 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 397... FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN TEXAS TO EXTREME WESTERN LOUISIANA
Mesoscale Discussion 1211 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0618 PM CDT Sun Jun 08 2025 Areas affected...portions of northern and eastern Texas to extreme western Louisiana Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 397... Valid 082318Z - 090045Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 397 continues. SUMMARY...Multiple supercells will continue to traverse a diffuse baroclinic boundary and pose a risk for severe hail and wind over the next few hours. A greater severe risk is expected to evolve later this evening with other storms that approach from the west. DISCUSSION...Multiple mature supercells are in progress across northern TX to the LA border along a diffuse baroclinic boundary. Severe hail has been reported with some storms, and current MRMS mosaic MESH data suggests that 2-3 inch hail may be falling with the more dominant supercells. Given the 4000-5000 J/kg MLCAPE and 50+ kts of effective bulk shear still in place, these storms should continue to pose a significant-severe hail and wind risk for at least a few more hours. Eventually, supercells across the southeast TX Panhandle should merge into an MCS as they approach from the west. While the exact timing and evolution of this scenario is still somewhat uncertain, the general thinking is that a bow echo with an organized significant severe wind swath will approach the region, with peak gusts in the 70-100 mph range. Future MCDs will be written for northern TX as this scenario comes closer to fruition. ..Squitieri.. 06/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD... LAT...LON 32339849 33249714 33389634 32619403 31859365 31469384 31469495 31769664 32009798 32339849 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN Read more

MD 1209 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 394...396... FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
Mesoscale Discussion 1209 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0603 PM CDT Sun Jun 08 2025 Areas affected...portions of western and central Oklahoma Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 394...396... Valid 082303Z - 090000Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 394, 396 continues. SUMMARY...Severe wind and hail will become common with merging multicells and supercells over the next few hours. DISCUSSION...Several multicell clusters and transient supercells have recently developed across western into central OK, with a history of at least marginally severe hail. These storms are increasing in coverage and intensity along a diffuse and broad baroclinic boundary, along the northern extent of deeper/richer moisture. MLCAPE ranges from 1500-5000 J/kg along the baroclinic boundary, and the ongoing storms are expected to move or propagate east-southeastward toward the OKC metro along this boundary over the next hour or so. Gradual upscale growth into an MCS is likely over the next 2-4 hours, where severe gusts will become the main threat. In the meantime, severe hail is likely with the more intense, semi-discrete storms. ..Squitieri.. 06/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN... LAT...LON 35039938 35539983 36009989 36209903 36279870 36159804 35529693 35079695 34719725 34629788 34779870 35039938 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN Read more

WW 394 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 081905Z - 090200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 394 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 205 PM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Western Oklahoma Texas Panhandle * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 205 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3.5 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to steadily develop and increase this afternoon, initially across the Oklahoma Panhandle and northern Texas Panhandle. Intense supercells capable of very large hail are expected, with the damaging wind and possibly the tornado potential possibly increasing toward evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 120 statute miles east and west of a line from 65 miles east northeast of Guymon OK to 60 miles southeast of Amarillo TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 390...WW 391...WW 392...WW 393... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 29025. ...Guyer Read more

MD 1207 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 394...396... FOR PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 1207 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0510 PM CDT Sun Jun 08 2025 Areas affected...portions of the Texas Panhandle Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 394...396... Valid 082210Z - 082345Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 394, 396 continues. SUMMARY...Multiple supercells will continue over the next few hours with a significant-severe wind/hail threat. A tornado may also accompany the more dominant, discrete supercells with unimpeded inflow. DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells have matured across the TX Panhandle over the last few hours, with 4+ inch hail recently reported with the Hall/Briscoe County, TX border storm, and a tornado reported in Dallam County, TX. Supercells across the TX Panhandle are gradually merging, and the development into an MCS may occur over the next 3-4 hours. At the moment, there are two supercells that are remaining more discrete (Hall/Briscoe County and Hartley County). These storms have relatively pristine inflow of 4000+ J/kg MLCAPE, which will support a risk for either 4-5 inch diameter hail or a tornado for the next few hours. Severe gusts remain possible with all storms. 75+ mph gusts are most likely with mature storms that merge. ..Squitieri.. 06/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA... LAT...LON 36310300 36510140 35990037 34949946 34509949 34260060 34780236 35000289 36310300 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...4.00+ IN Read more

MD 1208 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 395... FOR NORTHEAST OK/SOUTHEAST KS INTO SOUTHWEST MO
Mesoscale Discussion 1208 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0518 PM CDT Sun Jun 08 2025 Areas affected...Northeast OK/southeast KS into southwest MO Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 395... Valid 082218Z - 082345Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 395 continues. SUMMARY...Strong to locally severe storms may continue into early evening. DISCUSSION...Scattered strong storms are ongoing in the vicinity of a cold front from southeast KS/northeast OK into southwest MO. Moderate to strong buoyancy (with MLCAPE of 1500-2500 J/kg) and effective shear of 30-35 kt will continue to support strong to locally severe storms. Large hail and locally damaging winds are the most likely hazards in the short term, though some tornado threat cannot be ruled out with any supercells that can be sustained and not be undercut by outflow in this regime. Given the concentration of ongoing storms, some modest clustering cannot be ruled out as convection spreads southeastward with time. With the severe threat spreading southward across northeast OK, WW 395 has been locally expanded to the south, and additional expansions may be needed depending on convective trends. ..Dean.. 06/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN... LAT...LON 36719392 36479458 35989529 35889582 35849630 35899676 36339694 37359694 37499543 37479490 37459425 36719392 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

979
ABPZ20 KNHC 082313
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Jun 8 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Cosme, and on Tropical Storm Barbara, both
located in the eastern Pacific basin off the coast of southwestern
Mexico.

South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop later this week south
of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression
could form late this week or over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Cosme are issued under
WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Cosme are issued under
WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Barbara are issued under WMO
header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Barbara are issued
under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 082313
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Jun 8 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Cosme, and on Tropical Storm Barbara, both
located in the eastern Pacific basin off the coast of southwestern
Mexico.

South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop later this week south
of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression
could form late this week or over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Cosme are issued under
WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Cosme are issued under
WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Barbara are issued under WMO
header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Barbara are issued
under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

WW 0398 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0398 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0398 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0398 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 398 SEVERE TSTM NM 082245Z - 090400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 398 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 445 PM MDT Sun Jun 8 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Eastern New Mexico * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 445 PM until 1000 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter possible Isolated significant damaging wind gusts to 75 mph possible SUMMARY...Multiple supercells should pose a threat for mainly large to very large hail this afternoon and evening as they spread slowly east-southeastward. The largest hailstones may reach up to 2-3 inches in diameter, especially across far eastern New Mexico where greater low-level moisture and related instability is present. Isolated severe/damaging winds up to 65-75 mph may also occur with any thunderstorm downdrafts. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles east northeast of Raton NM to 80 miles south southwest of Cannon Afb NM. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 392...WW 393...WW 394...WW 395...WW 396...WW 397... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 29025. ...Gleason Read more

WW 0392 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 392 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..06/08/25 ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...AKQ... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 392 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS DCC001-082340- DC . DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA MDC003-009-017-021-027-031-033-037-043-082340- MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANNE ARUNDEL CALVERT CHARLES FREDERICK HOWARD MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES ST. MARYS WASHINGTON VAC003-013-015-029-033-036-041-043-047-049-057-059-061-065-069- 073-075-079-085-087-095-097-099-101-103-107-109-113-115-119-125- 127-133-137-139-145-153-157-159-165-171-177-179-187-193-199-510- 540-600-610-630-650-660-683-685-700-735-760-790-820-830-840- 082340- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0392 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 392 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..06/08/25 ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...AKQ... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 392 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS DCC001-082340- DC . DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA MDC003-009-017-021-027-031-033-037-043-082340- MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANNE ARUNDEL CALVERT CHARLES FREDERICK HOWARD MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES ST. MARYS WASHINGTON VAC003-013-015-029-033-036-041-043-047-049-057-059-061-065-069- 073-075-079-085-087-095-097-099-101-103-107-109-113-115-119-125- 127-133-137-139-145-153-157-159-165-171-177-179-187-193-199-510- 540-600-610-630-650-660-683-685-700-735-760-790-820-830-840- 082340- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 392 TORNADO DC MD VA WV CW 081825Z - 090200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 392 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 225 PM EDT Sun Jun 8 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Maryland Northern and Central Virginia Far Eastern West Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 225 PM until 1000 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop and further increase through late afternoon and evening, with damaging winds, hail, and tornadoes possible, especially near a warm front. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles north of Martinsburg WV to 20 miles southeast of Richmond VA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 390...WW 391... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25025. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0393 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 393 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..06/08/25 ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RNK... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 393 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC015-029-041-053-073-091-131-139-143-082340- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BERTIE CAMDEN CHOWAN CURRITUCK GATES HERTFORD NORTHAMPTON PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS VAC007-009-011-019-025-031-037-053-081-083-093-111-117-135-143- 147-149-163-175-181-183-530-550-570-590-595-620-670-678-680-710- 730-740-800-810-082340- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AMELIA AMHERST APPOMATTOX BEDFORD BRUNSWICK CAMPBELL CHARLOTTE DINWIDDIE GREENSVILLE HALIFAX ISLE OF WIGHT LUNENBURG MECKLENBURG NOTTOWAY PITTSYLVANIA PRINCE EDWARD PRINCE GEORGE ROCKBRIDGE SOUTHAMPTON SURRY SUSSEX Read more

WW 0393 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 393 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..06/08/25 ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RNK... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 393 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC015-029-041-053-073-091-131-139-143-082340- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BERTIE CAMDEN CHOWAN CURRITUCK GATES HERTFORD NORTHAMPTON PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS VAC007-009-011-019-025-031-037-053-081-083-093-111-117-135-143- 147-149-163-175-181-183-530-550-570-590-595-620-670-678-680-710- 730-740-800-810-082340- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AMELIA AMHERST APPOMATTOX BEDFORD BRUNSWICK CAMPBELL CHARLOTTE DINWIDDIE GREENSVILLE HALIFAX ISLE OF WIGHT LUNENBURG MECKLENBURG NOTTOWAY PITTSYLVANIA PRINCE EDWARD PRINCE GEORGE ROCKBRIDGE SOUTHAMPTON SURRY SUSSEX Read more

WW 393 SEVERE TSTM NC VA CW 081840Z - 090200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 393 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 240 PM EDT Sun Jun 8 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northeast North Carolina Southern Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 240 PM until 1000 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon, with mostly a damaging wind/some hail risk across far southern Virginia and northeast North Carolina. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 35 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles east northeast of Elizabeth City NC to 10 miles west southwest of Lynchburg VA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 390...WW 391...WW 392... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25025. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0395 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 395 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1208 ..DEAN..06/08/25 ATTN...WFO...LSX...ICT...SGF...EAX...TSA... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 395 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC013-061-083-149-082340- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALHOUN GREENE JERSEY PIKE KSC001-011-019-021-035-037-049-099-107-125-133-191-205-082340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN BOURBON CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE COWLEY CRAWFORD ELK LABETTE LINN MONTGOMERY NEOSHO SUMNER WILSON MOC007-011-013-015-019-027-029-039-051-053-055-057-059-065-071- 073-077-083-085-097-099-101-105-109-113-125-131-135-139-141-145- 151-159-161-163-167-169-183-185-189-215-217-219-221-225-229-510- Read more

WW 0395 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 395 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1208 ..DEAN..06/08/25 ATTN...WFO...LSX...ICT...SGF...EAX...TSA... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 395 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC013-061-083-149-082340- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALHOUN GREENE JERSEY PIKE KSC001-011-019-021-035-037-049-099-107-125-133-191-205-082340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN BOURBON CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE COWLEY CRAWFORD ELK LABETTE LINN MONTGOMERY NEOSHO SUMNER WILSON MOC007-011-013-015-019-027-029-039-051-053-055-057-059-065-071- 073-077-083-085-097-099-101-105-109-113-125-131-135-139-141-145- 151-159-161-163-167-169-183-185-189-215-217-219-221-225-229-510- Read more

WW 395 SEVERE TSTM IL KS MO OK 081930Z - 090300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 395 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 230 PM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southwest Illinois Southeast Kansas Missouri Northeast Oklahoma * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 230 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to develop near the advancing front this afternoon, with large hail and damaging winds being the primary hazards. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 90 miles east of Columbia MO to 40 miles west northwest of Bartlesville OK. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 390...WW 391...WW 392...WW 393...WW 394... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 30025. ...Guyer Read more

MD 1205 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN COLORADO AND NEW MEXICO
Mesoscale Discussion 1205 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0350 PM CDT Sun Jun 08 2025 Areas affected...portions of eastern Colorado and New Mexico Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 082050Z - 082245Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Large hail and severe wind threat possible this afternoon. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm development has been ongoing across the Front Range in Colorado and across northeastern New Mexico. The air mass across Colorado remains under the influence of MLCIN, with temperatures cooling with northern extend behind the surface cold front. Moisture is also somewhat limited, with dew points in the upper 40s to 50s. A few instances of severe hail will be possible. Across eastern New Mexico near the dryline, a gradient of more appreciable MLCAPE 500-1500 j/kg is in place along with deep layer shear around 30-45 kts. Temperatures are in the mid 70s to 80s amid dew points in the 50s to upper 60s. This may support some instances of severe wind and hail, with at least one supercell noted on radar. Trends will be monitored for watch potential, but it appears unlikely at this time. ..Thornton/Guyer.. 06/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...ABQ... LAT...LON 35430435 35720483 36590502 37720541 38440568 38860579 40050572 40140528 40170471 39990424 39230365 38670352 37760350 36110345 35830369 35430435 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more