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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CHESAPEAKE BAY REGION TO FLORIDA... CORRECTED SLIGHT RISK LINE ...SUMMARY... Strong/severe storms -- capable of producing hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado or two -- will be possible on Wednesday from the Chesapeake Bay region to Florida. ...Chesapeake Bay area southeastward to FLorida... Widespread thunderstorms are forecast to be ongoing at the start of the period, ahead of an advancing cold front, from the Mid-Atlantic region southward to Florida. The convection will make steady eastward progress through the day, in tandem with the frontal advance, with storms moving off South Carolina and Georgia coasts through midday, but lingering across southeastern Virginia and eastern North Carolina into the afternoon. While instability will remain modest, a very favorable kinematic environment will remain in place, with respect to organized/severe storms. As such, potential for locally damaging winds and marginal hail is expected with stronger storms. Additional, a couple of tornadoes may also occur, with greatest potential expected from southeastern Virginia to northeastern South Carolina. Farther to the south over Florida, storms will move slowly eastward across northern and central portions of the Peninsula through the day. Sufficient instability expected ahead of the front should maintain widespread storms, with shear sufficient for organized convection. As a result, damaging wind gusts locally, along with potential for marginal hail, will likely linger through the day, shifting gradually southward before convection weakens toward evening. ..Goss.. 04/02/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CHESAPEAKE BAY REGION TO FLORIDA... CORRECTED SLIGHT RISK LINE ...SUMMARY... Strong/severe storms -- capable of producing hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado or two -- will be possible on Wednesday from the Chesapeake Bay region to Florida. ...Chesapeake Bay area southeastward to FLorida... Widespread thunderstorms are forecast to be ongoing at the start of the period, ahead of an advancing cold front, from the Mid-Atlantic region southward to Florida. The convection will make steady eastward progress through the day, in tandem with the frontal advance, with storms moving off South Carolina and Georgia coasts through midday, but lingering across southeastern Virginia and eastern North Carolina into the afternoon. While instability will remain modest, a very favorable kinematic environment will remain in place, with respect to organized/severe storms. As such, potential for locally damaging winds and marginal hail is expected with stronger storms. Additional, a couple of tornadoes may also occur, with greatest potential expected from southeastern Virginia to northeastern South Carolina. Farther to the south over Florida, storms will move slowly eastward across northern and central portions of the Peninsula through the day. Sufficient instability expected ahead of the front should maintain widespread storms, with shear sufficient for organized convection. As a result, damaging wind gusts locally, along with potential for marginal hail, will likely linger through the day, shifting gradually southward before convection weakens toward evening. ..Goss.. 04/02/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CHESAPEAKE BAY REGION TO FLORIDA... CORRECTED SLIGHT RISK LINE ...SUMMARY... Strong/severe storms -- capable of producing hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado or two -- will be possible on Wednesday from the Chesapeake Bay region to Florida. ...Chesapeake Bay area southeastward to FLorida... Widespread thunderstorms are forecast to be ongoing at the start of the period, ahead of an advancing cold front, from the Mid-Atlantic region southward to Florida. The convection will make steady eastward progress through the day, in tandem with the frontal advance, with storms moving off South Carolina and Georgia coasts through midday, but lingering across southeastern Virginia and eastern North Carolina into the afternoon. While instability will remain modest, a very favorable kinematic environment will remain in place, with respect to organized/severe storms. As such, potential for locally damaging winds and marginal hail is expected with stronger storms. Additional, a couple of tornadoes may also occur, with greatest potential expected from southeastern Virginia to northeastern South Carolina. Farther to the south over Florida, storms will move slowly eastward across northern and central portions of the Peninsula through the day. Sufficient instability expected ahead of the front should maintain widespread storms, with shear sufficient for organized convection. As a result, damaging wind gusts locally, along with potential for marginal hail, will likely linger through the day, shifting gradually southward before convection weakens toward evening. ..Goss.. 04/02/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CHESAPEAKE BAY REGION TO FLORIDA... ...SUMMARY... Strong/severe storms -- capable of producing hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado or two -- will be possible on Wednesday from the Chesapeake Bay region to Florida. ...Chesapeake Bay area southeastward to FLorida... Widespread thunderstorms are forecast to be ongoing at the start of the period, ahead of an advancing cold front, from the Mid-Atlantic region southward to Florida. The convection will make steady eastward progress through the day, in tandem with the frontal advance, with storms moving off South Carolina and Georgia coasts through midday, but lingering across southeastern Virginia and eastern North Carolina into the afternoon. While instability will remain modest, a very favorable kinematic environment will remain in place, with respect to organized/severe storms. As such, potential for locally damaging winds and marginal hail is expected with stronger storms. Additional, a couple of tornadoes may also occur, with greatest potential expected from southeastern Virginia to northeastern South Carolina. Farther to the south over Florida, storms will move slowly eastward across northern and central portions of the Peninsula through the day. Sufficient instability expected ahead of the front should maintain widespread storms, with shear sufficient for organized convection. As a result, damaging wind gusts locally, along with potential for marginal hail, will likely linger through the day, shifting gradually southward before convection weakens toward evening. ..Goss.. 04/02/2024 Read more

WW 0075 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 75 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...OHX...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 75 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-003-009-035-045-047-053-057-087-099-137-141-169-171-207- 213-217-219-221-227-021840- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN BARREN CALLOWAY CASEY CHRISTIAN CLINTON CUMBERLAND GREEN HART LINCOLN LOGAN METCALFE MONROE RUSSELL SIMPSON TAYLOR TODD TRIGG WARREN TNC003-005-015-017-021-023-027-031-035-037-039-041-043-049-055- 061-071-077-079-081-083-085-087-099-101-109-111-117-119-125-133- 135-137-141-147-149-159-161-165-169-175-177-181-183-185-187-189- 021840- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEDFORD BENTON CANNON CARROLL CHEATHAM CHESTER CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND Read more

WW 0075 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 75 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...OHX...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 75 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-003-009-035-045-047-053-057-087-099-137-141-169-171-207- 213-217-219-221-227-021840- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN BARREN CALLOWAY CASEY CHRISTIAN CLINTON CUMBERLAND GREEN HART LINCOLN LOGAN METCALFE MONROE RUSSELL SIMPSON TAYLOR TODD TRIGG WARREN TNC003-005-015-017-021-023-027-031-035-037-039-041-043-049-055- 061-071-077-079-081-083-085-087-099-101-109-111-117-119-125-133- 135-137-141-147-149-159-161-165-169-175-177-181-183-185-187-189- 021840- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEDFORD BENTON CANNON CARROLL CHEATHAM CHESTER CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND Read more

WW 0076 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 76 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...PAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-087-127-151-153-165-181-185-191-193- 199-021840- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER EDWARDS FRANKLIN GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN JOHNSON MASSAC POPE PULASKI SALINE UNION WABASH WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON INC051-125-129-147-163-173-021840- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GIBSON PIKE POSEY SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145- 149-157-177-219-221-225-233-021840- Read more

WW 0077 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 77 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...JKL... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 77 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC011-013-025-051-063-065-069-071-095-109-115-119-121-125-129- 131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-199-203-205-231- 235-237-021840- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BATH BELL BREATHITT CLAY ELLIOTT ESTILL FLEMING FLOYD HARLAN JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT KNOX LAUREL LEE LESLIE LETCHER MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN OWSLEY PERRY PIKE POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE ROWAN WAYNE WHITLEY WOLFE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0077 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 77 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...JKL... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 77 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC011-013-025-051-063-065-069-071-095-109-115-119-121-125-129- 131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-199-203-205-231- 235-237-021840- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BATH BELL BREATHITT CLAY ELLIOTT ESTILL FLEMING FLOYD HARLAN JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT KNOX LAUREL LEE LESLIE LETCHER MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN OWSLEY PERRY PIKE POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE ROWAN WAYNE WHITLEY WOLFE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0076 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 76 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...PAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-087-127-151-153-165-181-185-191-193- 199-021840- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER EDWARDS FRANKLIN GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN JOHNSON MASSAC POPE PULASKI SALINE UNION WABASH WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON INC051-125-129-147-163-173-021840- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GIBSON PIKE POSEY SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145- 149-157-177-219-221-225-233-021840- Read more

The fall drought in South Carolina forced an Oconee County farmer to plant her grass later than ever before in December. That grass, which would normally be six to eight inches tall, was barely two inches tall as of February 2024. The 2023 drought led her to spend $7,000 more on hay than in the year prior. Farmers attest that drought in the state began well before it was officially declared by the South Carolina Drought Response Committee. In October 2023, the committee recognized 23 of the state’s 46 counties as being in drought. But the Oconee County farmer noticed dry conditions as early as June 2023. The committee considers water levels in lakes and streams, wildfire threat level, precipitation and soil condition when monitoring drought. A grower in Greenville County planted and fertilized his pasture as usual in the fall, but the lack of soil moisture left the grass just two inches high in 2024. Greenville News (S.C.), April 2, 2024

MD 0346 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 74... FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN WV INTO WESTERN VA
Mesoscale Discussion 0346 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Areas affected...Portions of southeastern WV into western VA Concerning...Tornado Watch 74... Valid 021612Z - 021715Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 74 continues. SUMMARY...A compact, bowing cluster should gradually weaken as it moves into western Virginia this afternoon. Downstream watch issuance is not expected at this time. DISCUSSION...It appears that the small, compact cluster/bow that has produced multiple measured severe wind gusts and damage reports across WV is slowly weakening as it encounters a less unstable and increasingly hostile thermodynamic environment in far southeastern WV and western VA. While strong/gusty winds and occasional damage will remain possible in the short term given the cluster's continued organization, downstream watch issuance is not currently expected into western VA. ..Gleason.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...RLX... LAT...LON 37818101 37978066 38458026 38547968 38397910 38137894 37607890 37347914 37307972 37458055 37818101 Read more

Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1154 AM CDT TUE APR 02 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys and Southeast this afternoon and tonight... * LOCATIONS... Kentucky Ohio Indiana West Virginia Alabama Tennessee Western/central Georgia Northeastern Mississippi Far southeastern Illinois Far southwestern Virginia * HAZARDS... Several tornadoes, a few intense Scattered damaging winds, some hurricane force Scattered large hail, some baseball size * SUMMARY... A severe weather outbreak is possible through this evening over the Ohio Valley with the broader severe weather risk including parts of the Southeast. Strong and potentially long-track tornadoes are possible from Indiana and Ohio southward into the Mid South. A threat for strong tornadoes may focus this evening into tonight across parts of Alabama and Georgia. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A tornado Read more

Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1154 AM CDT TUE APR 02 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys and Southeast this afternoon and tonight... * LOCATIONS... Kentucky Ohio Indiana West Virginia Alabama Tennessee Western/central Georgia Northeastern Mississippi Far southeastern Illinois Far southwestern Virginia * HAZARDS... Several tornadoes, a few intense Scattered damaging winds, some hurricane force Scattered large hail, some baseball size * SUMMARY... A severe weather outbreak is possible through this evening over the Ohio Valley with the broader severe weather risk including parts of the Southeast. Strong and potentially long-track tornadoes are possible from Indiana and Ohio southward into the Mid South. A threat for strong tornadoes may focus this evening into tonight across parts of Alabama and Georgia. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A tornado Read more

Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1154 AM CDT TUE APR 02 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys and Southeast this afternoon and tonight... * LOCATIONS... Kentucky Ohio Indiana West Virginia Alabama Tennessee Western/central Georgia Northeastern Mississippi Far southeastern Illinois Far southwestern Virginia * HAZARDS... Several tornadoes, a few intense Scattered damaging winds, some hurricane force Scattered large hail, some baseball size * SUMMARY... A severe weather outbreak is possible through this evening over the Ohio Valley with the broader severe weather risk including parts of the Southeast. Strong and potentially long-track tornadoes are possible from Indiana and Ohio southward into the Mid South. A threat for strong tornadoes may focus this evening into tonight across parts of Alabama and Georgia. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A tornado Read more

Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1154 AM CDT TUE APR 02 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys and Southeast this afternoon and tonight... * LOCATIONS... Kentucky Ohio Indiana West Virginia Alabama Tennessee Western/central Georgia Northeastern Mississippi Far southeastern Illinois Far southwestern Virginia * HAZARDS... Several tornadoes, a few intense Scattered damaging winds, some hurricane force Scattered large hail, some baseball size * SUMMARY... A severe weather outbreak is possible through this evening over the Ohio Valley with the broader severe weather risk including parts of the Southeast. Strong and potentially long-track tornadoes are possible from Indiana and Ohio southward into the Mid South. A threat for strong tornadoes may focus this evening into tonight across parts of Alabama and Georgia. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A tornado Read more

Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1154 AM CDT TUE APR 02 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys and Southeast this afternoon and tonight... * LOCATIONS... Kentucky Ohio Indiana West Virginia Alabama Tennessee Western/central Georgia Northeastern Mississippi Far southeastern Illinois Far southwestern Virginia * HAZARDS... Several tornadoes, a few intense Scattered damaging winds, some hurricane force Scattered large hail, some baseball size * SUMMARY... A severe weather outbreak is possible through this evening over the Ohio Valley with the broader severe weather risk including parts of the Southeast. Strong and potentially long-track tornadoes are possible from Indiana and Ohio southward into the Mid South. A threat for strong tornadoes may focus this evening into tonight across parts of Alabama and Georgia. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A tornado Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1139 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 021700Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast reasoning (see below) remains the same, and no changes were made with this update. Latest surface observations show dry/breezy conditions developing across portions of the southern Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande in south-central TX. While these elevated to locally/briefly critical meteorological conditions should persist into early evening, below-normal fuel loading in this area suggests limited potential for large fires -- precluding highlights at this time. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... A trough will amplify across the Great Lakes today with a deepening surface low across Indiana. Dry, northerly flow is expected across the entire Plains today from North Dakota to Texas. Fuels are moist across most of this region and temperatures are somewhat cool. Therefore, the fire potential should remain limited. Elsewhere in the CONUS fuels are moist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1139 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 021700Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast reasoning (see below) remains the same, and no changes were made with this update. Latest surface observations show dry/breezy conditions developing across portions of the southern Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande in south-central TX. While these elevated to locally/briefly critical meteorological conditions should persist into early evening, below-normal fuel loading in this area suggests limited potential for large fires -- precluding highlights at this time. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... A trough will amplify across the Great Lakes today with a deepening surface low across Indiana. Dry, northerly flow is expected across the entire Plains today from North Dakota to Texas. Fuels are moist across most of this region and temperatures are somewhat cool. Therefore, the fire potential should remain limited. Elsewhere in the CONUS fuels are moist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1139 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 021700Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast reasoning (see below) remains the same, and no changes were made with this update. Latest surface observations show dry/breezy conditions developing across portions of the southern Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande in south-central TX. While these elevated to locally/briefly critical meteorological conditions should persist into early evening, below-normal fuel loading in this area suggests limited potential for large fires -- precluding highlights at this time. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... A trough will amplify across the Great Lakes today with a deepening surface low across Indiana. Dry, northerly flow is expected across the entire Plains today from North Dakota to Texas. Fuels are moist across most of this region and temperatures are somewhat cool. Therefore, the fire potential should remain limited. Elsewhere in the CONUS fuels are moist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more