SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC MD 352

1 year 4 months ago
MD 0352 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 75...77... FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE/EASTERN TENNESSEE INTO EASTERN KENTUCKY
Mesoscale Discussion 0352 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Areas affected...Portions of Middle/Eastern Tennessee into eastern Kentucky Concerning...Tornado Watch 75...77... Valid 021949Z - 022145Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 75, 77 continues. SUMMARY...Tornado potential will continue into the evening as additional storms do appear probable. Wind profiles will remain favorable, but thermodynamic profiles are less supportive. A new tornado watch will be needed. DISCUSSION...Storms have struggled to mature and organize across much of Tennessee into eastern Kentucky. The 18Z observed sounding from Nashville showed very favorable wind profile for rotating storms, though the thermodynamic profile indicated weak lapse rates due to the influence of earlier convection/precipitation. Lack of cloud cover near the surface boundary within the Mississippi Valley has allowed some destabilization to occur and cumulus continue to deepen in this area. Mid-level height falls will continue to increase into the evening and the wind profile should still favor tornado potential with any organized storms. That being said, additional storms appear probable later this afternoon into the evening either with the boundary or moving northeast out of Mississippi. The main question will be how intense this activity will be given the thermodynamic constraints. With WW 75 set to expire at 3 PM CDT, a new watch will be needed to account for some continued tornado potential into the evening. ..Wendt.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG... LAT...LON 35068608 34378780 34008884 33848921 33948966 34508972 35598884 35988846 36318806 36448725 37218542 37368439 37958315 38008309 37618250 37288254 36598295 36248369 35768468 35068608 Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 76 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0076 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE PAH TO 35 SSW EVV TO 35 S BMG. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...PAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC033-035-047-059-107-143-149-157-177-219-221-233-022240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN DAVIESS HOPKINS LYON MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG TODD TRIGG WEBSTER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 76 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0076 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE PAH TO 35 SSW EVV TO 35 S BMG. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...PAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC033-035-047-059-107-143-149-157-177-219-221-233-022240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN DAVIESS HOPKINS LYON MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG TODD TRIGG WEBSTER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 76 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0076 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE PAH TO 35 SSW EVV TO 35 S BMG. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...PAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC033-035-047-059-107-143-149-157-177-219-221-233-022240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN DAVIESS HOPKINS LYON MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG TODD TRIGG WEBSTER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 76 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0076 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE PAH TO 35 SSW EVV TO 35 S BMG. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...PAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC033-035-047-059-107-143-149-157-177-219-221-233-022240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN DAVIESS HOPKINS LYON MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG TODD TRIGG WEBSTER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 76 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0076 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE PAH TO 35 SSW EVV TO 35 S BMG. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...PAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC033-035-047-059-107-143-149-157-177-219-221-233-022240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN DAVIESS HOPKINS LYON MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG TODD TRIGG WEBSTER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 76

1 year 4 months ago
WW 76 TORNADO IL IN KY MO 021710Z - 022300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 76 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1210 PM CDT Tue Apr 2 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southeast Illinois Southwest Indiana Western Kentucky Extreme southeast Missouri * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 1210 PM until 600 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible SUMMARY...Scattered supercell development is expected along a wind shift from extreme southeast Missouri into southeast Illinois early this afternoon, and additional storms will form and move into western Kentucky and southwest Indiana through the afternoon. The environment favors fast-moving supercells capable of producing tornadoes (a couple of which could be strong/EF2), large hail of 1-2 inches in diameter, and damaging gusts of 60-75 mph. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north of Evansville IN to 40 miles south southwest of Paducah KY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 75... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24050. ...Thompson Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 77 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0077 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 77 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...JKL... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 77 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC011-013-025-051-063-065-069-071-095-109-115-119-121-125-129- 131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-199-203-205-231- 235-237-022240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BATH BELL BREATHITT CLAY ELLIOTT ESTILL FLEMING FLOYD HARLAN JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT KNOX LAUREL LEE LESLIE LETCHER MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN OWSLEY PERRY PIKE POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE ROWAN WAYNE WHITLEY WOLFE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 77 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0077 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 77 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...JKL... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 77 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC011-013-025-051-063-065-069-071-095-109-115-119-121-125-129- 131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-199-203-205-231- 235-237-022240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BATH BELL BREATHITT CLAY ELLIOTT ESTILL FLEMING FLOYD HARLAN JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT KNOX LAUREL LEE LESLIE LETCHER MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN OWSLEY PERRY PIKE POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE ROWAN WAYNE WHITLEY WOLFE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 77 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0077 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 77 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...JKL... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 77 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC011-013-025-051-063-065-069-071-095-109-115-119-121-125-129- 131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-199-203-205-231- 235-237-022240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BATH BELL BREATHITT CLAY ELLIOTT ESTILL FLEMING FLOYD HARLAN JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT KNOX LAUREL LEE LESLIE LETCHER MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN OWSLEY PERRY PIKE POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE ROWAN WAYNE WHITLEY WOLFE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 77

1 year 4 months ago
WW 77 TORNADO KY 021725Z - 030000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 77 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 125 PM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Eastern Kentucky * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 125 PM until 800 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Supercells will be possible this afternoon along a remnant outflow boundary from storms this morning. The environment will become more favorable for tornadoes with time through the afternoon, and a couple of strong (EF2+) tornadoes will be possible. Otherwise, large hail (1-2 inch diameter) and damaging gusts (60-75 mph) will also be possible. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles west of London KY to 60 miles east northeast of Jackson KY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 75...WW 76... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25045. ...Thompson Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 78 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0078 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 78 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE EVV TO 40 S BMG TO 25 E BMG TO 10 S IND. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...IND...LMK...ILN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 78 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC005-013-019-025-029-031-041-043-047-061-071-077-079-081-115- 117-123-137-139-143-145-155-161-175-177-022240- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTHOLOMEW BROWN CLARK CRAWFORD DEARBORN DECATUR FAYETTE FLOYD FRANKLIN HARRISON JACKSON JEFFERSON JENNINGS JOHNSON OHIO ORANGE PERRY RIPLEY RUSH SCOTT SHELBY SWITZERLAND UNION WASHINGTON WAYNE KYC001-003-005-009-015-017-021-023-027-029-031-037-041-045-049- 053-057-061-067-073-077-079-081-085-087-091-093-097-099-103-111- 113-117-123-135-137-141-151-155-161-163-167-169-171-179-181-183- 185-187-191-201-207-209-211-213-215-217-223-227-229-239- 022240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 79 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0079 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 79 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...HUN...MEG...OHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 79 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC033-059-077-079-083-089-103-022240- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLBERT FRANKLIN LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON MORGAN MSC003-009-013-017-057-081-095-115-117-139-141-145-022240- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALCORN BENTON CALHOUN CHICKASAW ITAWAMBA LEE MONROE PONTOTOC PRENTISS TIPPAH TISHOMINGO UNION TNC003-005-015-017-021-023-027-031-035-037-039-041-043-049-051- 055-061-069-071-077-079-081-083-085-087-099-101-103-109-111-113- 117-119-125-127-133-135-137-141-147-149-159-161-165-169-175-177- 181-185-187-189-022240- Read more

SPC MD 351

1 year 4 months ago
MD 0351 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 75...76... FOR PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHERN IL INTO WESTERN/NORTHERN KY...SOUTHERN IN...AND SOUTHWESTERN OH
Mesoscale Discussion 0351 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0228 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Areas affected...Portions of far southern IL into western/northern KY...southern IN...and southwestern OH Concerning...Tornado Watch 75...76... Valid 021928Z - 022100Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 75, 76 continues. SUMMARY...Thunderstorms moving across western Kentucky and southern Indiana should continue to pose some severe risk this afternoon. Downstream watch issuance will eventually be needed. Tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds all appear possible. A strong tornado may also occur with any supercell that can be sustained. DISCUSSION...Convection has generally struggled to intensify this afternoon in far southern IL/western KY along a pre-frontal trough/wind shift line. Still, the airmass downstream is attempting to destabilize in the wake of earlier convection across parts of northern KY and southern IN. Visible satellite imagery shows some clearing across this area, with surface temperatures gradually warming into the 70s in the vicinity of the Ohio River. The low-level airmass is also slowly moistening as the outflow boundary from morning thunderstorms becomes less well defined, with surface dewpoints rising into the mid to upper 60s. Enhanced deep-layer shear of 50-60 kt will support supercells with associated hail threat, if any can develop ahead of the ongoing cluster. Otherwise, favorable low-level shear, with effective SRH around 250-300 m2/s2, will also foster a tornado risk assuming robust thunderstorms can be sustained. A strong tornado appears possible given the strength of the low-level flow/shear shown in recent VWPs from KLVX. Damaging winds remain a possibility with any small clusters. Given current observational trends and gradual destabilization occurring downstream of the ongoing activity, a downstream Tornado Watch into parts of central KY, southern IN, and southwestern OH will likely be needed before the scheduled 20Z expiration of WW 75. ..Gleason.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IND...PAH... LAT...LON 38058774 38998711 39328656 39608544 39638422 39128378 38558394 37968431 37498472 36918625 36858829 37358861 38058774 Read more