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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0445 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z A prolonged period of warm, dry, and breezy conditions is expected across much of the Southwest into the southern High Plains during the extended forecast period. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. ...Southwest into the southern High Plains... A broad large-scale trough will be maintained across the western CONUS through the extended forecast period, with the strongest midlevel flow generally confined to the Northwest U.S. until around Day 7/Saturday. Along the southern periphery of the large-scale trough, moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow will persist across the Southwest into the southern High Plains -- where a dry/deeply mixed boundary layer will develop each afternoon. As a result, dry/breezy conditions will favor elevated to locally critical conditions each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. However, a lack of any identifiable large-scale features embedded in the low-latitude west-southwesterlies, and a related modest surface pressure gradient, limits confidence in any more than locally critical conditions each day -- precluding 70-percent probabilities at this time. By Days 7-8/Saturday-Sunday, medium-range guidance depicts a series of southern-stream shortwave troughs crossing the Southwest and southern High Plains. This may promote higher potential for more than locally critical conditions, though the details are unclear at this time. ..Weinman.. 05/19/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0445 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z A prolonged period of warm, dry, and breezy conditions is expected across much of the Southwest into the southern High Plains during the extended forecast period. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. ...Southwest into the southern High Plains... A broad large-scale trough will be maintained across the western CONUS through the extended forecast period, with the strongest midlevel flow generally confined to the Northwest U.S. until around Day 7/Saturday. Along the southern periphery of the large-scale trough, moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow will persist across the Southwest into the southern High Plains -- where a dry/deeply mixed boundary layer will develop each afternoon. As a result, dry/breezy conditions will favor elevated to locally critical conditions each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. However, a lack of any identifiable large-scale features embedded in the low-latitude west-southwesterlies, and a related modest surface pressure gradient, limits confidence in any more than locally critical conditions each day -- precluding 70-percent probabilities at this time. By Days 7-8/Saturday-Sunday, medium-range guidance depicts a series of southern-stream shortwave troughs crossing the Southwest and southern High Plains. This may promote higher potential for more than locally critical conditions, though the details are unclear at this time. ..Weinman.. 05/19/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0445 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z A prolonged period of warm, dry, and breezy conditions is expected across much of the Southwest into the southern High Plains during the extended forecast period. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. ...Southwest into the southern High Plains... A broad large-scale trough will be maintained across the western CONUS through the extended forecast period, with the strongest midlevel flow generally confined to the Northwest U.S. until around Day 7/Saturday. Along the southern periphery of the large-scale trough, moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow will persist across the Southwest into the southern High Plains -- where a dry/deeply mixed boundary layer will develop each afternoon. As a result, dry/breezy conditions will favor elevated to locally critical conditions each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. However, a lack of any identifiable large-scale features embedded in the low-latitude west-southwesterlies, and a related modest surface pressure gradient, limits confidence in any more than locally critical conditions each day -- precluding 70-percent probabilities at this time. By Days 7-8/Saturday-Sunday, medium-range guidance depicts a series of southern-stream shortwave troughs crossing the Southwest and southern High Plains. This may promote higher potential for more than locally critical conditions, though the details are unclear at this time. ..Weinman.. 05/19/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0445 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z A prolonged period of warm, dry, and breezy conditions is expected across much of the Southwest into the southern High Plains during the extended forecast period. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. ...Southwest into the southern High Plains... A broad large-scale trough will be maintained across the western CONUS through the extended forecast period, with the strongest midlevel flow generally confined to the Northwest U.S. until around Day 7/Saturday. Along the southern periphery of the large-scale trough, moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow will persist across the Southwest into the southern High Plains -- where a dry/deeply mixed boundary layer will develop each afternoon. As a result, dry/breezy conditions will favor elevated to locally critical conditions each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. However, a lack of any identifiable large-scale features embedded in the low-latitude west-southwesterlies, and a related modest surface pressure gradient, limits confidence in any more than locally critical conditions each day -- precluding 70-percent probabilities at this time. By Days 7-8/Saturday-Sunday, medium-range guidance depicts a series of southern-stream shortwave troughs crossing the Southwest and southern High Plains. This may promote higher potential for more than locally critical conditions, though the details are unclear at this time. ..Weinman.. 05/19/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0445 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z A prolonged period of warm, dry, and breezy conditions is expected across much of the Southwest into the southern High Plains during the extended forecast period. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. ...Southwest into the southern High Plains... A broad large-scale trough will be maintained across the western CONUS through the extended forecast period, with the strongest midlevel flow generally confined to the Northwest U.S. until around Day 7/Saturday. Along the southern periphery of the large-scale trough, moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow will persist across the Southwest into the southern High Plains -- where a dry/deeply mixed boundary layer will develop each afternoon. As a result, dry/breezy conditions will favor elevated to locally critical conditions each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. However, a lack of any identifiable large-scale features embedded in the low-latitude west-southwesterlies, and a related modest surface pressure gradient, limits confidence in any more than locally critical conditions each day -- precluding 70-percent probabilities at this time. By Days 7-8/Saturday-Sunday, medium-range guidance depicts a series of southern-stream shortwave troughs crossing the Southwest and southern High Plains. This may promote higher potential for more than locally critical conditions, though the details are unclear at this time. ..Weinman.. 05/19/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0445 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z A prolonged period of warm, dry, and breezy conditions is expected across much of the Southwest into the southern High Plains during the extended forecast period. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. ...Southwest into the southern High Plains... A broad large-scale trough will be maintained across the western CONUS through the extended forecast period, with the strongest midlevel flow generally confined to the Northwest U.S. until around Day 7/Saturday. Along the southern periphery of the large-scale trough, moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow will persist across the Southwest into the southern High Plains -- where a dry/deeply mixed boundary layer will develop each afternoon. As a result, dry/breezy conditions will favor elevated to locally critical conditions each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. However, a lack of any identifiable large-scale features embedded in the low-latitude west-southwesterlies, and a related modest surface pressure gradient, limits confidence in any more than locally critical conditions each day -- precluding 70-percent probabilities at this time. By Days 7-8/Saturday-Sunday, medium-range guidance depicts a series of southern-stream shortwave troughs crossing the Southwest and southern High Plains. This may promote higher potential for more than locally critical conditions, though the details are unclear at this time. ..Weinman.. 05/19/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0445 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z A prolonged period of warm, dry, and breezy conditions is expected across much of the Southwest into the southern High Plains during the extended forecast period. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. ...Southwest into the southern High Plains... A broad large-scale trough will be maintained across the western CONUS through the extended forecast period, with the strongest midlevel flow generally confined to the Northwest U.S. until around Day 7/Saturday. Along the southern periphery of the large-scale trough, moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow will persist across the Southwest into the southern High Plains -- where a dry/deeply mixed boundary layer will develop each afternoon. As a result, dry/breezy conditions will favor elevated to locally critical conditions each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. However, a lack of any identifiable large-scale features embedded in the low-latitude west-southwesterlies, and a related modest surface pressure gradient, limits confidence in any more than locally critical conditions each day -- precluding 70-percent probabilities at this time. By Days 7-8/Saturday-Sunday, medium-range guidance depicts a series of southern-stream shortwave troughs crossing the Southwest and southern High Plains. This may promote higher potential for more than locally critical conditions, though the details are unclear at this time. ..Weinman.. 05/19/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0445 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z A prolonged period of warm, dry, and breezy conditions is expected across much of the Southwest into the southern High Plains during the extended forecast period. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. ...Southwest into the southern High Plains... A broad large-scale trough will be maintained across the western CONUS through the extended forecast period, with the strongest midlevel flow generally confined to the Northwest U.S. until around Day 7/Saturday. Along the southern periphery of the large-scale trough, moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow will persist across the Southwest into the southern High Plains -- where a dry/deeply mixed boundary layer will develop each afternoon. As a result, dry/breezy conditions will favor elevated to locally critical conditions each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. However, a lack of any identifiable large-scale features embedded in the low-latitude west-southwesterlies, and a related modest surface pressure gradient, limits confidence in any more than locally critical conditions each day -- precluding 70-percent probabilities at this time. By Days 7-8/Saturday-Sunday, medium-range guidance depicts a series of southern-stream shortwave troughs crossing the Southwest and southern High Plains. This may promote higher potential for more than locally critical conditions, though the details are unclear at this time. ..Weinman.. 05/19/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0445 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z A prolonged period of warm, dry, and breezy conditions is expected across much of the Southwest into the southern High Plains during the extended forecast period. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. ...Southwest into the southern High Plains... A broad large-scale trough will be maintained across the western CONUS through the extended forecast period, with the strongest midlevel flow generally confined to the Northwest U.S. until around Day 7/Saturday. Along the southern periphery of the large-scale trough, moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow will persist across the Southwest into the southern High Plains -- where a dry/deeply mixed boundary layer will develop each afternoon. As a result, dry/breezy conditions will favor elevated to locally critical conditions each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. However, a lack of any identifiable large-scale features embedded in the low-latitude west-southwesterlies, and a related modest surface pressure gradient, limits confidence in any more than locally critical conditions each day -- precluding 70-percent probabilities at this time. By Days 7-8/Saturday-Sunday, medium-range guidance depicts a series of southern-stream shortwave troughs crossing the Southwest and southern High Plains. This may promote higher potential for more than locally critical conditions, though the details are unclear at this time. ..Weinman.. 05/19/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0445 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z A prolonged period of warm, dry, and breezy conditions is expected across much of the Southwest into the southern High Plains during the extended forecast period. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. ...Southwest into the southern High Plains... A broad large-scale trough will be maintained across the western CONUS through the extended forecast period, with the strongest midlevel flow generally confined to the Northwest U.S. until around Day 7/Saturday. Along the southern periphery of the large-scale trough, moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow will persist across the Southwest into the southern High Plains -- where a dry/deeply mixed boundary layer will develop each afternoon. As a result, dry/breezy conditions will favor elevated to locally critical conditions each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. However, a lack of any identifiable large-scale features embedded in the low-latitude west-southwesterlies, and a related modest surface pressure gradient, limits confidence in any more than locally critical conditions each day -- precluding 70-percent probabilities at this time. By Days 7-8/Saturday-Sunday, medium-range guidance depicts a series of southern-stream shortwave troughs crossing the Southwest and southern High Plains. This may promote higher potential for more than locally critical conditions, though the details are unclear at this time. ..Weinman.. 05/19/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0445 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z A prolonged period of warm, dry, and breezy conditions is expected across much of the Southwest into the southern High Plains during the extended forecast period. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. ...Southwest into the southern High Plains... A broad large-scale trough will be maintained across the western CONUS through the extended forecast period, with the strongest midlevel flow generally confined to the Northwest U.S. until around Day 7/Saturday. Along the southern periphery of the large-scale trough, moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow will persist across the Southwest into the southern High Plains -- where a dry/deeply mixed boundary layer will develop each afternoon. As a result, dry/breezy conditions will favor elevated to locally critical conditions each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. However, a lack of any identifiable large-scale features embedded in the low-latitude west-southwesterlies, and a related modest surface pressure gradient, limits confidence in any more than locally critical conditions each day -- precluding 70-percent probabilities at this time. By Days 7-8/Saturday-Sunday, medium-range guidance depicts a series of southern-stream shortwave troughs crossing the Southwest and southern High Plains. This may promote higher potential for more than locally critical conditions, though the details are unclear at this time. ..Weinman.. 05/19/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0445 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z A prolonged period of warm, dry, and breezy conditions is expected across much of the Southwest into the southern High Plains during the extended forecast period. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. ...Southwest into the southern High Plains... A broad large-scale trough will be maintained across the western CONUS through the extended forecast period, with the strongest midlevel flow generally confined to the Northwest U.S. until around Day 7/Saturday. Along the southern periphery of the large-scale trough, moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow will persist across the Southwest into the southern High Plains -- where a dry/deeply mixed boundary layer will develop each afternoon. As a result, dry/breezy conditions will favor elevated to locally critical conditions each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. However, a lack of any identifiable large-scale features embedded in the low-latitude west-southwesterlies, and a related modest surface pressure gradient, limits confidence in any more than locally critical conditions each day -- precluding 70-percent probabilities at this time. By Days 7-8/Saturday-Sunday, medium-range guidance depicts a series of southern-stream shortwave troughs crossing the Southwest and southern High Plains. This may promote higher potential for more than locally critical conditions, though the details are unclear at this time. ..Weinman.. 05/19/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0445 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z A prolonged period of warm, dry, and breezy conditions is expected across much of the Southwest into the southern High Plains during the extended forecast period. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. ...Southwest into the southern High Plains... A broad large-scale trough will be maintained across the western CONUS through the extended forecast period, with the strongest midlevel flow generally confined to the Northwest U.S. until around Day 7/Saturday. Along the southern periphery of the large-scale trough, moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow will persist across the Southwest into the southern High Plains -- where a dry/deeply mixed boundary layer will develop each afternoon. As a result, dry/breezy conditions will favor elevated to locally critical conditions each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. However, a lack of any identifiable large-scale features embedded in the low-latitude west-southwesterlies, and a related modest surface pressure gradient, limits confidence in any more than locally critical conditions each day -- precluding 70-percent probabilities at this time. By Days 7-8/Saturday-Sunday, medium-range guidance depicts a series of southern-stream shortwave troughs crossing the Southwest and southern High Plains. This may promote higher potential for more than locally critical conditions, though the details are unclear at this time. ..Weinman.. 05/19/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0445 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z A prolonged period of warm, dry, and breezy conditions is expected across much of the Southwest into the southern High Plains during the extended forecast period. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. ...Southwest into the southern High Plains... A broad large-scale trough will be maintained across the western CONUS through the extended forecast period, with the strongest midlevel flow generally confined to the Northwest U.S. until around Day 7/Saturday. Along the southern periphery of the large-scale trough, moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow will persist across the Southwest into the southern High Plains -- where a dry/deeply mixed boundary layer will develop each afternoon. As a result, dry/breezy conditions will favor elevated to locally critical conditions each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. However, a lack of any identifiable large-scale features embedded in the low-latitude west-southwesterlies, and a related modest surface pressure gradient, limits confidence in any more than locally critical conditions each day -- precluding 70-percent probabilities at this time. By Days 7-8/Saturday-Sunday, medium-range guidance depicts a series of southern-stream shortwave troughs crossing the Southwest and southern High Plains. This may promote higher potential for more than locally critical conditions, though the details are unclear at this time. ..Weinman.. 05/19/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0445 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z A prolonged period of warm, dry, and breezy conditions is expected across much of the Southwest into the southern High Plains during the extended forecast period. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. ...Southwest into the southern High Plains... A broad large-scale trough will be maintained across the western CONUS through the extended forecast period, with the strongest midlevel flow generally confined to the Northwest U.S. until around Day 7/Saturday. Along the southern periphery of the large-scale trough, moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow will persist across the Southwest into the southern High Plains -- where a dry/deeply mixed boundary layer will develop each afternoon. As a result, dry/breezy conditions will favor elevated to locally critical conditions each afternoon, given increasingly receptive fuels across the region. However, a lack of any identifiable large-scale features embedded in the low-latitude west-southwesterlies, and a related modest surface pressure gradient, limits confidence in any more than locally critical conditions each day -- precluding 70-percent probabilities at this time. By Days 7-8/Saturday-Sunday, medium-range guidance depicts a series of southern-stream shortwave troughs crossing the Southwest and southern High Plains. This may promote higher potential for more than locally critical conditions, though the details are unclear at this time. ..Weinman.. 05/19/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0261 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0261 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0261 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0261 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

MD 0834 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 258... FOR SOUTHEAST FLORIDA
Mesoscale Discussion 0834 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0235 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Areas affected...Southeast Florida Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 258... Valid 191935Z - 192130Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 258 continues. SUMMARY...The threat for severe hail and damaging winds is gradually spreading southward along the southeastern Florida coast. Areas that have not yet seen thunderstorm activity should see the severe threat increase in the coming hours. DISCUSSION...Latest imagery from KMLB and surface observations show an outflow boundary pushing southward along the southeastern FL coast. This outflow continues to initiate, and quickly undercut, convection as storms move east off shore. Despite the undercutting nature of the front, splitting supercells have been observed given favorable elongated hodographs with severe hail reported over the past hour or so. New convection (including the potential for splitting supercells) should continue to develop along the boundary as it migrates south where temperatures in the low to mid 90s are supporting SBCAPE in excess of 4000 J/kg (per recent RAP mesoanalyses). Further south, a few attempts at convective initiation are noted along a sea breeze boundary draped from roughly Fort Lauderdale to Homestead, FL. Sustained convection may initiate after a few more attempts within the next 1-2 hours, but the exact timing and coverage of storms is uncertain given weaker forcing for ascent along this boundary. Regardless, the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms (with an attendant hail/wind threat) should continue, if not increase, across much of Watch 258 given improving thermodynamic conditions. ..Moore.. 05/19/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB... LAT...LON 26128002 25738010 25508017 25298046 25288059 25338072 25518083 25678085 25838078 25978069 26148069 26328073 26458082 26568094 26868097 27128084 27268052 27368034 27328016 27238005 27098002 26617996 26128002 Read more

MD 0833 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0833 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0205 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Areas affected...Parts of Central Kansas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 191905Z - 192100Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...A favorable mesoscale environment for severe weather, including tornadoes, will exist along an outflow boundary in central Kansas. Storm coverage may remain isolated at least in the short term. A watch is likely this afternoon. DISCUSSION...A storm has developed in Trego County. This development appears to have evolved out of elevated convective activity. This storm has not been overly organized per KGLD/KDDC radar imagery, but the environment along an outflow boundary continues to destabilize. The potential exists for this storm to become rooted at the surface. With surface heating occurring north of the outflow, MLCIN should steadily erode and not be overly prohibitive to storm maintenance. Low-level shear will be locally maximized near the outflow boundary. As such, any storm that can favorably interact with this boundary will have greater potential to produce a tornado as well as very-large hail. Additional storms could develop farther east, but this scenario is more uncertain. Some high-resolution guidance evolves this activity into a linear segment. Severe wind gusts would become a greater threat if that occurs. ..Wendt/Hart.. 05/19/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD... LAT...LON 38699862 38589952 38740019 38960014 39049982 39059946 39299860 39849761 39819695 39519679 38829789 38699862 Read more

WW 0260 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 260 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..MOORE..05/19/24 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TOP...GLD...GID...OUN...AMA... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 260 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-009-015-017-025-027-029-033-041-047-051-053-055-057-061- 063-065-067-069-071-075-077-079-081-083-093-095-097-101-105-113- 115-119-123-127-129-135-141-143-145-151-155-159-161-163-165-167- 169-171-173-175-185-187-189-191-195-203-192140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BARTON BUTLER CHASE CLARK CLAY CLOUD COMANCHE DICKINSON EDWARDS ELLIS ELLSWORTH FINNEY FORD GEARY GOVE GRAHAM GRANT GRAY GREELEY HAMILTON HARPER HARVEY HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KINGMAN KIOWA LANE LINCOLN MCPHERSON MARION MEADE MITCHELL MORRIS MORTON NESS OSBORNE OTTAWA PAWNEE PRATT RENO RICE RILEY ROOKS RUSH RUSSELL SALINE SCOTT SEDGWICK SEWARD STAFFORD STANTON STEVENS Read more