SPC May 20, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0813 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/CENTRAL KANSAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of widespread damaging winds and large hail are expected to persist this evening across portions of southern/eastern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. ...Central Plains... 2 storms clusters have now congealed into a large line of storms across central and southern Kansas. This line of storms has a history of producing 75 to 100 mph winds earlier this evening. While the extreme wind threat is likely over, 70-80 mph winds are still possible for a few more hours as this squall line moves east across southeast Kansas with some wind threat expected to persist into Missouri during the overnight period. See MCD 842 for additional information. Farther south, a persistent, large supercell continues across western Oklahoma. This supercell has a history of baseball sized hail and at least one tornado. This storm will encounter increasing inhibition as the boundary layer continues to cool ahead of it. The HRRR suggests additional supercells may develop across northwest/northern Oklahoma late this evening along the trailing outflow boundary from the Kansas MCS as the low-level jet strengthens. These storms will have primary threats of large hail and severe wind gusts, although a tornado or two may also be possible. ...Dakotas... A cluster of storms produced a swath of damaging wind gusts across western South Dakota this afternoon and early evening. This threat has mostly abated, but additional supercells have developed near the ND/SD border which will pose a threat of damaging winds and large hail for a few more hours this evening. For more information, see MCD 841. ..Bentley.. 05/20/2024 Read more

SPC May 20, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0813 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/CENTRAL KANSAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of widespread damaging winds and large hail are expected to persist this evening across portions of southern/eastern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. ...Central Plains... 2 storms clusters have now congealed into a large line of storms across central and southern Kansas. This line of storms has a history of producing 75 to 100 mph winds earlier this evening. While the extreme wind threat is likely over, 70-80 mph winds are still possible for a few more hours as this squall line moves east across southeast Kansas with some wind threat expected to persist into Missouri during the overnight period. See MCD 842 for additional information. Farther south, a persistent, large supercell continues across western Oklahoma. This supercell has a history of baseball sized hail and at least one tornado. This storm will encounter increasing inhibition as the boundary layer continues to cool ahead of it. The HRRR suggests additional supercells may develop across northwest/northern Oklahoma late this evening along the trailing outflow boundary from the Kansas MCS as the low-level jet strengthens. These storms will have primary threats of large hail and severe wind gusts, although a tornado or two may also be possible. ...Dakotas... A cluster of storms produced a swath of damaging wind gusts across western South Dakota this afternoon and early evening. This threat has mostly abated, but additional supercells have developed near the ND/SD border which will pose a threat of damaging winds and large hail for a few more hours this evening. For more information, see MCD 841. ..Bentley.. 05/20/2024 Read more

SPC May 20, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0813 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/CENTRAL KANSAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of widespread damaging winds and large hail are expected to persist this evening across portions of southern/eastern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. ...Central Plains... 2 storms clusters have now congealed into a large line of storms across central and southern Kansas. This line of storms has a history of producing 75 to 100 mph winds earlier this evening. While the extreme wind threat is likely over, 70-80 mph winds are still possible for a few more hours as this squall line moves east across southeast Kansas with some wind threat expected to persist into Missouri during the overnight period. See MCD 842 for additional information. Farther south, a persistent, large supercell continues across western Oklahoma. This supercell has a history of baseball sized hail and at least one tornado. This storm will encounter increasing inhibition as the boundary layer continues to cool ahead of it. The HRRR suggests additional supercells may develop across northwest/northern Oklahoma late this evening along the trailing outflow boundary from the Kansas MCS as the low-level jet strengthens. These storms will have primary threats of large hail and severe wind gusts, although a tornado or two may also be possible. ...Dakotas... A cluster of storms produced a swath of damaging wind gusts across western South Dakota this afternoon and early evening. This threat has mostly abated, but additional supercells have developed near the ND/SD border which will pose a threat of damaging winds and large hail for a few more hours this evening. For more information, see MCD 841. ..Bentley.. 05/20/2024 Read more

SPC May 20, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0813 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/CENTRAL KANSAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of widespread damaging winds and large hail are expected to persist this evening across portions of southern/eastern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. ...Central Plains... 2 storms clusters have now congealed into a large line of storms across central and southern Kansas. This line of storms has a history of producing 75 to 100 mph winds earlier this evening. While the extreme wind threat is likely over, 70-80 mph winds are still possible for a few more hours as this squall line moves east across southeast Kansas with some wind threat expected to persist into Missouri during the overnight period. See MCD 842 for additional information. Farther south, a persistent, large supercell continues across western Oklahoma. This supercell has a history of baseball sized hail and at least one tornado. This storm will encounter increasing inhibition as the boundary layer continues to cool ahead of it. The HRRR suggests additional supercells may develop across northwest/northern Oklahoma late this evening along the trailing outflow boundary from the Kansas MCS as the low-level jet strengthens. These storms will have primary threats of large hail and severe wind gusts, although a tornado or two may also be possible. ...Dakotas... A cluster of storms produced a swath of damaging wind gusts across western South Dakota this afternoon and early evening. This threat has mostly abated, but additional supercells have developed near the ND/SD border which will pose a threat of damaging winds and large hail for a few more hours this evening. For more information, see MCD 841. ..Bentley.. 05/20/2024 Read more

SPC May 20, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0813 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/CENTRAL KANSAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of widespread damaging winds and large hail are expected to persist this evening across portions of southern/eastern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. ...Central Plains... 2 storms clusters have now congealed into a large line of storms across central and southern Kansas. This line of storms has a history of producing 75 to 100 mph winds earlier this evening. While the extreme wind threat is likely over, 70-80 mph winds are still possible for a few more hours as this squall line moves east across southeast Kansas with some wind threat expected to persist into Missouri during the overnight period. See MCD 842 for additional information. Farther south, a persistent, large supercell continues across western Oklahoma. This supercell has a history of baseball sized hail and at least one tornado. This storm will encounter increasing inhibition as the boundary layer continues to cool ahead of it. The HRRR suggests additional supercells may develop across northwest/northern Oklahoma late this evening along the trailing outflow boundary from the Kansas MCS as the low-level jet strengthens. These storms will have primary threats of large hail and severe wind gusts, although a tornado or two may also be possible. ...Dakotas... A cluster of storms produced a swath of damaging wind gusts across western South Dakota this afternoon and early evening. This threat has mostly abated, but additional supercells have developed near the ND/SD border which will pose a threat of damaging winds and large hail for a few more hours this evening. For more information, see MCD 841. ..Bentley.. 05/20/2024 Read more

SPC May 20, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0813 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/CENTRAL KANSAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of widespread damaging winds and large hail are expected to persist this evening across portions of southern/eastern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. ...Central Plains... 2 storms clusters have now congealed into a large line of storms across central and southern Kansas. This line of storms has a history of producing 75 to 100 mph winds earlier this evening. While the extreme wind threat is likely over, 70-80 mph winds are still possible for a few more hours as this squall line moves east across southeast Kansas with some wind threat expected to persist into Missouri during the overnight period. See MCD 842 for additional information. Farther south, a persistent, large supercell continues across western Oklahoma. This supercell has a history of baseball sized hail and at least one tornado. This storm will encounter increasing inhibition as the boundary layer continues to cool ahead of it. The HRRR suggests additional supercells may develop across northwest/northern Oklahoma late this evening along the trailing outflow boundary from the Kansas MCS as the low-level jet strengthens. These storms will have primary threats of large hail and severe wind gusts, although a tornado or two may also be possible. ...Dakotas... A cluster of storms produced a swath of damaging wind gusts across western South Dakota this afternoon and early evening. This threat has mostly abated, but additional supercells have developed near the ND/SD border which will pose a threat of damaging winds and large hail for a few more hours this evening. For more information, see MCD 841. ..Bentley.. 05/20/2024 Read more

SPC May 20, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0813 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/CENTRAL KANSAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of widespread damaging winds and large hail are expected to persist this evening across portions of southern/eastern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. ...Central Plains... 2 storms clusters have now congealed into a large line of storms across central and southern Kansas. This line of storms has a history of producing 75 to 100 mph winds earlier this evening. While the extreme wind threat is likely over, 70-80 mph winds are still possible for a few more hours as this squall line moves east across southeast Kansas with some wind threat expected to persist into Missouri during the overnight period. See MCD 842 for additional information. Farther south, a persistent, large supercell continues across western Oklahoma. This supercell has a history of baseball sized hail and at least one tornado. This storm will encounter increasing inhibition as the boundary layer continues to cool ahead of it. The HRRR suggests additional supercells may develop across northwest/northern Oklahoma late this evening along the trailing outflow boundary from the Kansas MCS as the low-level jet strengthens. These storms will have primary threats of large hail and severe wind gusts, although a tornado or two may also be possible. ...Dakotas... A cluster of storms produced a swath of damaging wind gusts across western South Dakota this afternoon and early evening. This threat has mostly abated, but additional supercells have developed near the ND/SD border which will pose a threat of damaging winds and large hail for a few more hours this evening. For more information, see MCD 841. ..Bentley.. 05/20/2024 Read more

SPC May 20, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0813 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/CENTRAL KANSAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of widespread damaging winds and large hail are expected to persist this evening across portions of southern/eastern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. ...Central Plains... 2 storms clusters have now congealed into a large line of storms across central and southern Kansas. This line of storms has a history of producing 75 to 100 mph winds earlier this evening. While the extreme wind threat is likely over, 70-80 mph winds are still possible for a few more hours as this squall line moves east across southeast Kansas with some wind threat expected to persist into Missouri during the overnight period. See MCD 842 for additional information. Farther south, a persistent, large supercell continues across western Oklahoma. This supercell has a history of baseball sized hail and at least one tornado. This storm will encounter increasing inhibition as the boundary layer continues to cool ahead of it. The HRRR suggests additional supercells may develop across northwest/northern Oklahoma late this evening along the trailing outflow boundary from the Kansas MCS as the low-level jet strengthens. These storms will have primary threats of large hail and severe wind gusts, although a tornado or two may also be possible. ...Dakotas... A cluster of storms produced a swath of damaging wind gusts across western South Dakota this afternoon and early evening. This threat has mostly abated, but additional supercells have developed near the ND/SD border which will pose a threat of damaging winds and large hail for a few more hours this evening. For more information, see MCD 841. ..Bentley.. 05/20/2024 Read more

SPC May 20, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0813 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/CENTRAL KANSAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of widespread damaging winds and large hail are expected to persist this evening across portions of southern/eastern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. ...Central Plains... 2 storms clusters have now congealed into a large line of storms across central and southern Kansas. This line of storms has a history of producing 75 to 100 mph winds earlier this evening. While the extreme wind threat is likely over, 70-80 mph winds are still possible for a few more hours as this squall line moves east across southeast Kansas with some wind threat expected to persist into Missouri during the overnight period. See MCD 842 for additional information. Farther south, a persistent, large supercell continues across western Oklahoma. This supercell has a history of baseball sized hail and at least one tornado. This storm will encounter increasing inhibition as the boundary layer continues to cool ahead of it. The HRRR suggests additional supercells may develop across northwest/northern Oklahoma late this evening along the trailing outflow boundary from the Kansas MCS as the low-level jet strengthens. These storms will have primary threats of large hail and severe wind gusts, although a tornado or two may also be possible. ...Dakotas... A cluster of storms produced a swath of damaging wind gusts across western South Dakota this afternoon and early evening. This threat has mostly abated, but additional supercells have developed near the ND/SD border which will pose a threat of damaging winds and large hail for a few more hours this evening. For more information, see MCD 841. ..Bentley.. 05/20/2024 Read more

SPC May 20, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0813 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/CENTRAL KANSAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of widespread damaging winds and large hail are expected to persist this evening across portions of southern/eastern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. ...Central Plains... 2 storms clusters have now congealed into a large line of storms across central and southern Kansas. This line of storms has a history of producing 75 to 100 mph winds earlier this evening. While the extreme wind threat is likely over, 70-80 mph winds are still possible for a few more hours as this squall line moves east across southeast Kansas with some wind threat expected to persist into Missouri during the overnight period. See MCD 842 for additional information. Farther south, a persistent, large supercell continues across western Oklahoma. This supercell has a history of baseball sized hail and at least one tornado. This storm will encounter increasing inhibition as the boundary layer continues to cool ahead of it. The HRRR suggests additional supercells may develop across northwest/northern Oklahoma late this evening along the trailing outflow boundary from the Kansas MCS as the low-level jet strengthens. These storms will have primary threats of large hail and severe wind gusts, although a tornado or two may also be possible. ...Dakotas... A cluster of storms produced a swath of damaging wind gusts across western South Dakota this afternoon and early evening. This threat has mostly abated, but additional supercells have developed near the ND/SD border which will pose a threat of damaging winds and large hail for a few more hours this evening. For more information, see MCD 841. ..Bentley.. 05/20/2024 Read more

SPC May 20, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0813 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/CENTRAL KANSAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of widespread damaging winds and large hail are expected to persist this evening across portions of southern/eastern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. ...Central Plains... 2 storms clusters have now congealed into a large line of storms across central and southern Kansas. This line of storms has a history of producing 75 to 100 mph winds earlier this evening. While the extreme wind threat is likely over, 70-80 mph winds are still possible for a few more hours as this squall line moves east across southeast Kansas with some wind threat expected to persist into Missouri during the overnight period. See MCD 842 for additional information. Farther south, a persistent, large supercell continues across western Oklahoma. This supercell has a history of baseball sized hail and at least one tornado. This storm will encounter increasing inhibition as the boundary layer continues to cool ahead of it. The HRRR suggests additional supercells may develop across northwest/northern Oklahoma late this evening along the trailing outflow boundary from the Kansas MCS as the low-level jet strengthens. These storms will have primary threats of large hail and severe wind gusts, although a tornado or two may also be possible. ...Dakotas... A cluster of storms produced a swath of damaging wind gusts across western South Dakota this afternoon and early evening. This threat has mostly abated, but additional supercells have developed near the ND/SD border which will pose a threat of damaging winds and large hail for a few more hours this evening. For more information, see MCD 841. ..Bentley.. 05/20/2024 Read more

SPC May 20, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0813 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/CENTRAL KANSAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of widespread damaging winds and large hail are expected to persist this evening across portions of southern/eastern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. ...Central Plains... 2 storms clusters have now congealed into a large line of storms across central and southern Kansas. This line of storms has a history of producing 75 to 100 mph winds earlier this evening. While the extreme wind threat is likely over, 70-80 mph winds are still possible for a few more hours as this squall line moves east across southeast Kansas with some wind threat expected to persist into Missouri during the overnight period. See MCD 842 for additional information. Farther south, a persistent, large supercell continues across western Oklahoma. This supercell has a history of baseball sized hail and at least one tornado. This storm will encounter increasing inhibition as the boundary layer continues to cool ahead of it. The HRRR suggests additional supercells may develop across northwest/northern Oklahoma late this evening along the trailing outflow boundary from the Kansas MCS as the low-level jet strengthens. These storms will have primary threats of large hail and severe wind gusts, although a tornado or two may also be possible. ...Dakotas... A cluster of storms produced a swath of damaging wind gusts across western South Dakota this afternoon and early evening. This threat has mostly abated, but additional supercells have developed near the ND/SD border which will pose a threat of damaging winds and large hail for a few more hours this evening. For more information, see MCD 841. ..Bentley.. 05/20/2024 Read more

SPC May 20, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0813 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/CENTRAL KANSAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of widespread damaging winds and large hail are expected to persist this evening across portions of southern/eastern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. ...Central Plains... 2 storms clusters have now congealed into a large line of storms across central and southern Kansas. This line of storms has a history of producing 75 to 100 mph winds earlier this evening. While the extreme wind threat is likely over, 70-80 mph winds are still possible for a few more hours as this squall line moves east across southeast Kansas with some wind threat expected to persist into Missouri during the overnight period. See MCD 842 for additional information. Farther south, a persistent, large supercell continues across western Oklahoma. This supercell has a history of baseball sized hail and at least one tornado. This storm will encounter increasing inhibition as the boundary layer continues to cool ahead of it. The HRRR suggests additional supercells may develop across northwest/northern Oklahoma late this evening along the trailing outflow boundary from the Kansas MCS as the low-level jet strengthens. These storms will have primary threats of large hail and severe wind gusts, although a tornado or two may also be possible. ...Dakotas... A cluster of storms produced a swath of damaging wind gusts across western South Dakota this afternoon and early evening. This threat has mostly abated, but additional supercells have developed near the ND/SD border which will pose a threat of damaging winds and large hail for a few more hours this evening. For more information, see MCD 841. ..Bentley.. 05/20/2024 Read more

SPC May 20, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0813 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/CENTRAL KANSAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of widespread damaging winds and large hail are expected to persist this evening across portions of southern/eastern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. ...Central Plains... 2 storms clusters have now congealed into a large line of storms across central and southern Kansas. This line of storms has a history of producing 75 to 100 mph winds earlier this evening. While the extreme wind threat is likely over, 70-80 mph winds are still possible for a few more hours as this squall line moves east across southeast Kansas with some wind threat expected to persist into Missouri during the overnight period. See MCD 842 for additional information. Farther south, a persistent, large supercell continues across western Oklahoma. This supercell has a history of baseball sized hail and at least one tornado. This storm will encounter increasing inhibition as the boundary layer continues to cool ahead of it. The HRRR suggests additional supercells may develop across northwest/northern Oklahoma late this evening along the trailing outflow boundary from the Kansas MCS as the low-level jet strengthens. These storms will have primary threats of large hail and severe wind gusts, although a tornado or two may also be possible. ...Dakotas... A cluster of storms produced a swath of damaging wind gusts across western South Dakota this afternoon and early evening. This threat has mostly abated, but additional supercells have developed near the ND/SD border which will pose a threat of damaging winds and large hail for a few more hours this evening. For more information, see MCD 841. ..Bentley.. 05/20/2024 Read more

SPC May 20, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0813 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/CENTRAL KANSAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of widespread damaging winds and large hail are expected to persist this evening across portions of southern/eastern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. ...Central Plains... 2 storms clusters have now congealed into a large line of storms across central and southern Kansas. This line of storms has a history of producing 75 to 100 mph winds earlier this evening. While the extreme wind threat is likely over, 70-80 mph winds are still possible for a few more hours as this squall line moves east across southeast Kansas with some wind threat expected to persist into Missouri during the overnight period. See MCD 842 for additional information. Farther south, a persistent, large supercell continues across western Oklahoma. This supercell has a history of baseball sized hail and at least one tornado. This storm will encounter increasing inhibition as the boundary layer continues to cool ahead of it. The HRRR suggests additional supercells may develop across northwest/northern Oklahoma late this evening along the trailing outflow boundary from the Kansas MCS as the low-level jet strengthens. These storms will have primary threats of large hail and severe wind gusts, although a tornado or two may also be possible. ...Dakotas... A cluster of storms produced a swath of damaging wind gusts across western South Dakota this afternoon and early evening. This threat has mostly abated, but additional supercells have developed near the ND/SD border which will pose a threat of damaging winds and large hail for a few more hours this evening. For more information, see MCD 841. ..Bentley.. 05/20/2024 Read more

SPC May 20, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0813 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/CENTRAL KANSAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of widespread damaging winds and large hail are expected to persist this evening across portions of southern/eastern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. ...Central Plains... 2 storms clusters have now congealed into a large line of storms across central and southern Kansas. This line of storms has a history of producing 75 to 100 mph winds earlier this evening. While the extreme wind threat is likely over, 70-80 mph winds are still possible for a few more hours as this squall line moves east across southeast Kansas with some wind threat expected to persist into Missouri during the overnight period. See MCD 842 for additional information. Farther south, a persistent, large supercell continues across western Oklahoma. This supercell has a history of baseball sized hail and at least one tornado. This storm will encounter increasing inhibition as the boundary layer continues to cool ahead of it. The HRRR suggests additional supercells may develop across northwest/northern Oklahoma late this evening along the trailing outflow boundary from the Kansas MCS as the low-level jet strengthens. These storms will have primary threats of large hail and severe wind gusts, although a tornado or two may also be possible. ...Dakotas... A cluster of storms produced a swath of damaging wind gusts across western South Dakota this afternoon and early evening. This threat has mostly abated, but additional supercells have developed near the ND/SD border which will pose a threat of damaging winds and large hail for a few more hours this evening. For more information, see MCD 841. ..Bentley.. 05/20/2024 Read more

SPC May 20, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0813 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/CENTRAL KANSAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of widespread damaging winds and large hail are expected to persist this evening across portions of southern/eastern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. ...Central Plains... 2 storms clusters have now congealed into a large line of storms across central and southern Kansas. This line of storms has a history of producing 75 to 100 mph winds earlier this evening. While the extreme wind threat is likely over, 70-80 mph winds are still possible for a few more hours as this squall line moves east across southeast Kansas with some wind threat expected to persist into Missouri during the overnight period. See MCD 842 for additional information. Farther south, a persistent, large supercell continues across western Oklahoma. This supercell has a history of baseball sized hail and at least one tornado. This storm will encounter increasing inhibition as the boundary layer continues to cool ahead of it. The HRRR suggests additional supercells may develop across northwest/northern Oklahoma late this evening along the trailing outflow boundary from the Kansas MCS as the low-level jet strengthens. These storms will have primary threats of large hail and severe wind gusts, although a tornado or two may also be possible. ...Dakotas... A cluster of storms produced a swath of damaging wind gusts across western South Dakota this afternoon and early evening. This threat has mostly abated, but additional supercells have developed near the ND/SD border which will pose a threat of damaging winds and large hail for a few more hours this evening. For more information, see MCD 841. ..Bentley.. 05/20/2024 Read more

SPC May 20, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0813 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/CENTRAL KANSAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of widespread damaging winds and large hail are expected to persist this evening across portions of southern/eastern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. ...Central Plains... 2 storms clusters have now congealed into a large line of storms across central and southern Kansas. This line of storms has a history of producing 75 to 100 mph winds earlier this evening. While the extreme wind threat is likely over, 70-80 mph winds are still possible for a few more hours as this squall line moves east across southeast Kansas with some wind threat expected to persist into Missouri during the overnight period. See MCD 842 for additional information. Farther south, a persistent, large supercell continues across western Oklahoma. This supercell has a history of baseball sized hail and at least one tornado. This storm will encounter increasing inhibition as the boundary layer continues to cool ahead of it. The HRRR suggests additional supercells may develop across northwest/northern Oklahoma late this evening along the trailing outflow boundary from the Kansas MCS as the low-level jet strengthens. These storms will have primary threats of large hail and severe wind gusts, although a tornado or two may also be possible. ...Dakotas... A cluster of storms produced a swath of damaging wind gusts across western South Dakota this afternoon and early evening. This threat has mostly abated, but additional supercells have developed near the ND/SD border which will pose a threat of damaging winds and large hail for a few more hours this evening. For more information, see MCD 841. ..Bentley.. 05/20/2024 Read more

SPC MD 841

1 year 3 months ago
MD 0841 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 259... FOR CENTRAL TO WESTERN SD INTO THE NE PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 0841 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0640 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Areas affected...Central to western SD into the NE Panhandle Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 259... Valid 192340Z - 200115Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 259 continues. SUMMARY...Primary severe threat exists within the South Dakota portion of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 259. This activity should spread into parts of north-central South Dakota, where an additional small watch or local extension may occur. Overall severe threat appears to have diminished in the Nebraska portion of the watch. DISCUSSION...While thunderstorms have subsided over the NE portion of WW 259, several individual cells appear to be growing upscale into a small MCS from western into central SD. Short-term CAM guidance suggests an MCV should emanate out of this process and yield strong to locally severe storms persisting somewhat east of the watch and beyond the 02Z scheduled expiration. Large hail from 1-1.5 inches in diameter and wind gusts of 55-70 mph will remain the primary hazards. After dusk, a fairly pronounced gradient in MLCAPE between central to eastern SD, in conjunction with increasing nocturnal MLCIN, should result in the severe threat becoming more isolated/marginal during the late evening over eastern SD. ..Grams.. 05/19/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FSD...ABR...BIS...LBF...UNR... LAT...LON 46060075 46079951 45899852 45079831 44569843 44029963 42900083 42560194 42880244 44720156 45940114 46060075 Read more