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SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0247 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 132000Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS INTO SOUTHERN LOUISIANA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected through tonight from south central and southeast Texas across southern Louisiana, as well as the Florida Panhandle. The potential exists for multiple corridors of significant wind gusts, very large hail, and a few tornadoes. No major changes to the existing outlook at 20Z. Scattered severe storms are currently threatening parts of the FL Panhandle, and over much of south-central into southeastern TX. A general west-east corridor of severe potential will remain from TX eastward along the northern Gulf Coast through tomorrow morning, with episodes of severe wind, hail, and a few tornadoes. Existing outflows have stabilized parts of the region, but some air mass recovery is possible overnight ahead of progressive storm clusters or MCSs. For more information see mesoscale discussion 768. ..Jewell.. 05/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1128 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024/ ...Northeast Gulf coast today... An MCS with embedded bowing segments is ongoing across the western FL Panhandle, with a history of measured severe gusts in the 54-71 kt range this morning. This convective system will likely persist while moving east-southeastward through the afternoon, along and immediately north of a surface warm front near the coast. Damaging winds will be the main threat, though embedded circulations could produce a couple of tornadoes. ...South central TX to southern LA through tonight... A cluster of supercells formed this morning and is approaching areas near and south of San Antonio as of 16z. Extreme buoyancy (MUCAPE of 4000-6000 J/kg), steep midlevel lapse rates and strong deep-layer vertical shear/long hodographs will favor very large hail near 3 inches in diameter as the primary threat through early afternoon. Some upscale growth in this convection is likely through the afternoon, as the storms spread generally eastward along a stalled front across Houston and Lake Charles, with a continued large hail threat and an increase in the potential for damaging winds of 60-80 mph. The storms could persist into the overnight hours while moving across southern LA, along the outflow-reinforced boundary in the wake of the ongoing storms over the FL Panhandle. Areas northeast of this outflow boundary have been largely overturned into MS/AL, with limited potential for destabilization prior to arrival of the storms from the west. ...Northeast TX/northern LA to AR/MO through early tonight... The primary midlevel trough will move eastward from KS/OK to MO/AR through this evening. Lingering moisture/lapse rates to the north of the Gulf coast convection will be sufficient for at least a low-end hail/wind threat with convection this afternoon/evening along/east of a weak cold front and in the zone of ascent preceding the midlevel trough. The eastward extent of any severe threat tonight will depend on recovery to the north of ongoing/expected convection near the Gulf coast, which is low confidence. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0247 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 132000Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS INTO SOUTHERN LOUISIANA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected through tonight from south central and southeast Texas across southern Louisiana, as well as the Florida Panhandle. The potential exists for multiple corridors of significant wind gusts, very large hail, and a few tornadoes. No major changes to the existing outlook at 20Z. Scattered severe storms are currently threatening parts of the FL Panhandle, and over much of south-central into southeastern TX. A general west-east corridor of severe potential will remain from TX eastward along the northern Gulf Coast through tomorrow morning, with episodes of severe wind, hail, and a few tornadoes. Existing outflows have stabilized parts of the region, but some air mass recovery is possible overnight ahead of progressive storm clusters or MCSs. For more information see mesoscale discussion 768. ..Jewell.. 05/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1128 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024/ ...Northeast Gulf coast today... An MCS with embedded bowing segments is ongoing across the western FL Panhandle, with a history of measured severe gusts in the 54-71 kt range this morning. This convective system will likely persist while moving east-southeastward through the afternoon, along and immediately north of a surface warm front near the coast. Damaging winds will be the main threat, though embedded circulations could produce a couple of tornadoes. ...South central TX to southern LA through tonight... A cluster of supercells formed this morning and is approaching areas near and south of San Antonio as of 16z. Extreme buoyancy (MUCAPE of 4000-6000 J/kg), steep midlevel lapse rates and strong deep-layer vertical shear/long hodographs will favor very large hail near 3 inches in diameter as the primary threat through early afternoon. Some upscale growth in this convection is likely through the afternoon, as the storms spread generally eastward along a stalled front across Houston and Lake Charles, with a continued large hail threat and an increase in the potential for damaging winds of 60-80 mph. The storms could persist into the overnight hours while moving across southern LA, along the outflow-reinforced boundary in the wake of the ongoing storms over the FL Panhandle. Areas northeast of this outflow boundary have been largely overturned into MS/AL, with limited potential for destabilization prior to arrival of the storms from the west. ...Northeast TX/northern LA to AR/MO through early tonight... The primary midlevel trough will move eastward from KS/OK to MO/AR through this evening. Lingering moisture/lapse rates to the north of the Gulf coast convection will be sufficient for at least a low-end hail/wind threat with convection this afternoon/evening along/east of a weak cold front and in the zone of ascent preceding the midlevel trough. The eastward extent of any severe threat tonight will depend on recovery to the north of ongoing/expected convection near the Gulf coast, which is low confidence. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0247 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 132000Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS INTO SOUTHERN LOUISIANA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected through tonight from south central and southeast Texas across southern Louisiana, as well as the Florida Panhandle. The potential exists for multiple corridors of significant wind gusts, very large hail, and a few tornadoes. No major changes to the existing outlook at 20Z. Scattered severe storms are currently threatening parts of the FL Panhandle, and over much of south-central into southeastern TX. A general west-east corridor of severe potential will remain from TX eastward along the northern Gulf Coast through tomorrow morning, with episodes of severe wind, hail, and a few tornadoes. Existing outflows have stabilized parts of the region, but some air mass recovery is possible overnight ahead of progressive storm clusters or MCSs. For more information see mesoscale discussion 768. ..Jewell.. 05/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1128 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024/ ...Northeast Gulf coast today... An MCS with embedded bowing segments is ongoing across the western FL Panhandle, with a history of measured severe gusts in the 54-71 kt range this morning. This convective system will likely persist while moving east-southeastward through the afternoon, along and immediately north of a surface warm front near the coast. Damaging winds will be the main threat, though embedded circulations could produce a couple of tornadoes. ...South central TX to southern LA through tonight... A cluster of supercells formed this morning and is approaching areas near and south of San Antonio as of 16z. Extreme buoyancy (MUCAPE of 4000-6000 J/kg), steep midlevel lapse rates and strong deep-layer vertical shear/long hodographs will favor very large hail near 3 inches in diameter as the primary threat through early afternoon. Some upscale growth in this convection is likely through the afternoon, as the storms spread generally eastward along a stalled front across Houston and Lake Charles, with a continued large hail threat and an increase in the potential for damaging winds of 60-80 mph. The storms could persist into the overnight hours while moving across southern LA, along the outflow-reinforced boundary in the wake of the ongoing storms over the FL Panhandle. Areas northeast of this outflow boundary have been largely overturned into MS/AL, with limited potential for destabilization prior to arrival of the storms from the west. ...Northeast TX/northern LA to AR/MO through early tonight... The primary midlevel trough will move eastward from KS/OK to MO/AR through this evening. Lingering moisture/lapse rates to the north of the Gulf coast convection will be sufficient for at least a low-end hail/wind threat with convection this afternoon/evening along/east of a weak cold front and in the zone of ascent preceding the midlevel trough. The eastward extent of any severe threat tonight will depend on recovery to the north of ongoing/expected convection near the Gulf coast, which is low confidence. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0247 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 132000Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS INTO SOUTHERN LOUISIANA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected through tonight from south central and southeast Texas across southern Louisiana, as well as the Florida Panhandle. The potential exists for multiple corridors of significant wind gusts, very large hail, and a few tornadoes. No major changes to the existing outlook at 20Z. Scattered severe storms are currently threatening parts of the FL Panhandle, and over much of south-central into southeastern TX. A general west-east corridor of severe potential will remain from TX eastward along the northern Gulf Coast through tomorrow morning, with episodes of severe wind, hail, and a few tornadoes. Existing outflows have stabilized parts of the region, but some air mass recovery is possible overnight ahead of progressive storm clusters or MCSs. For more information see mesoscale discussion 768. ..Jewell.. 05/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1128 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024/ ...Northeast Gulf coast today... An MCS with embedded bowing segments is ongoing across the western FL Panhandle, with a history of measured severe gusts in the 54-71 kt range this morning. This convective system will likely persist while moving east-southeastward through the afternoon, along and immediately north of a surface warm front near the coast. Damaging winds will be the main threat, though embedded circulations could produce a couple of tornadoes. ...South central TX to southern LA through tonight... A cluster of supercells formed this morning and is approaching areas near and south of San Antonio as of 16z. Extreme buoyancy (MUCAPE of 4000-6000 J/kg), steep midlevel lapse rates and strong deep-layer vertical shear/long hodographs will favor very large hail near 3 inches in diameter as the primary threat through early afternoon. Some upscale growth in this convection is likely through the afternoon, as the storms spread generally eastward along a stalled front across Houston and Lake Charles, with a continued large hail threat and an increase in the potential for damaging winds of 60-80 mph. The storms could persist into the overnight hours while moving across southern LA, along the outflow-reinforced boundary in the wake of the ongoing storms over the FL Panhandle. Areas northeast of this outflow boundary have been largely overturned into MS/AL, with limited potential for destabilization prior to arrival of the storms from the west. ...Northeast TX/northern LA to AR/MO through early tonight... The primary midlevel trough will move eastward from KS/OK to MO/AR through this evening. Lingering moisture/lapse rates to the north of the Gulf coast convection will be sufficient for at least a low-end hail/wind threat with convection this afternoon/evening along/east of a weak cold front and in the zone of ascent preceding the midlevel trough. The eastward extent of any severe threat tonight will depend on recovery to the north of ongoing/expected convection near the Gulf coast, which is low confidence. Read more

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 131920
TWOEP

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1220 PM PDT Mon May 13 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss possible
development to the south of Mexico later this week.

South of the Coast of Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form along a trough several
hundred miles to the south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by the middle
to latter portion of this week. Thereafter, some gradual development
of this system is possible as the low begins to move slowly to the
west-northwest, remaining south of the coast of Mexico through early
next week.
* Formation chance through 48 Hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be
issued by 2 PM PDT Tuesday, or earlier if conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Papin

WW 0235 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 235 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 S DRT TO 60 W COT TO 15 NNW COT TO 15 SSW SAT TO 25 E BAZ TO 20 SW CLL. ..GLEASON..05/13/24 ATTN...WFO...EWX...CRP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 235 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC013-025-123-127-149-163-175-177-187-255-283-285-297-311-323- 469-479-493-132040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATASCOSA BEE DEWITT DIMMIT FAYETTE FRIO GOLIAD GONZALES GUADALUPE KARNES LA SALLE LAVACA LIVE OAK MCMULLEN MAVERICK VICTORIA WEBB WILSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

MD 0767 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY FOR SOUTHERN TEXAS INTO SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA
Mesoscale Discussion 0767 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1239 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Areas affected...southern Texas into southwestern Louisiana Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 131739Z - 131945Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Severe threat to continue downstream of WW235. Downstream watch will likely be needed soon. DISCUSSION...A mix of clustered cells and supercell structures have been ongoing across portions of south-central Texas producing instances of quarter to half dollar size hail. Ahead of this activity, dew points are in the upper 70s to near 80 with MLCAPE around 3000-4000 J/kg. This, in combination with strong deep layer shear around 45-50 kts will continue to support supercells capable of very large hail (2-3.5 in). Trends suggest thunderstorms will gradually grow upscale while moving along a stalled front through the late afternoon/evening. This will lead to an increase in damaging wind threat, with potential for wind speeds 70+ mph and a tornado or two. A downstream watch will likely be needed to cover this threat. ..Thornton/Thompson.. 05/13/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX... LAT...LON 30499682 31059640 31649528 31639459 31569350 31449238 31239172 30439144 30169141 29819142 29489145 29059155 28739266 28749419 28719532 28799611 29029668 29599684 30499682 Read more

WW 0237 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 237 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..GLEASON..05/13/24 ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 237 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC003-011-019-023-053-115-132040- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CAMERON JEFFERSON DAVIS VERNON TXC015-039-041-051-071-089-157-167-185-199-201-239-241-245-291- 321-339-351-361-373-407-457-471-473-477-481-132040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUSTIN BRAZORIA BRAZOS BURLESON CHAMBERS COLORADO FORT BEND GALVESTON GRIMES HARDIN HARRIS JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON LIBERTY MATAGORDA MONTGOMERY NEWTON ORANGE POLK SAN JACINTO TYLER WALKER WALLER WASHINGTON WHARTON Read more

WW 0236 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 236 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW AAF TO 25 SSE PFN TO 20 E PFN TO 25 S MAI TO 30 WSW MGR. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0768 ..GLEASON..05/13/24 ATTN...WFO...TAE... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 236 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC013-029-037-039-045-065-067-073-077-079-123-129-132040- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALHOUN DIXIE FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LEON LIBERTY MADISON TAYLOR WAKULLA GMZ730-752-755-765-132040- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...19z Update... No changes, fire-weather concerns are modest. Locally dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of the central High Plains and southern/central FL. However, confidence in temporal and spatial coverage is low. See the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 05/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024/ ...Synopsis... Low amplitude mid-level troughs will slowly traverse the southern half of the CONUS tomorrow (Tuesday), supporting modest low-level moisture return for portions of the southern Plains and points east. Similar to today, modestly dry conditions will persist along the High Plains, but with relatively weak surface winds, which will limit significant wildfire-spread potential. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...19z Update... No changes, fire-weather concerns are modest. Locally dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of the central High Plains and southern/central FL. However, confidence in temporal and spatial coverage is low. See the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 05/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024/ ...Synopsis... Low amplitude mid-level troughs will slowly traverse the southern half of the CONUS tomorrow (Tuesday), supporting modest low-level moisture return for portions of the southern Plains and points east. Similar to today, modestly dry conditions will persist along the High Plains, but with relatively weak surface winds, which will limit significant wildfire-spread potential. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...19z Update... No changes, fire-weather concerns are modest. Locally dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of the central High Plains and southern/central FL. However, confidence in temporal and spatial coverage is low. See the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 05/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024/ ...Synopsis... Low amplitude mid-level troughs will slowly traverse the southern half of the CONUS tomorrow (Tuesday), supporting modest low-level moisture return for portions of the southern Plains and points east. Similar to today, modestly dry conditions will persist along the High Plains, but with relatively weak surface winds, which will limit significant wildfire-spread potential. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...19z Update... No changes, fire-weather concerns are modest. Locally dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of the central High Plains and southern/central FL. However, confidence in temporal and spatial coverage is low. See the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 05/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024/ ...Synopsis... Low amplitude mid-level troughs will slowly traverse the southern half of the CONUS tomorrow (Tuesday), supporting modest low-level moisture return for portions of the southern Plains and points east. Similar to today, modestly dry conditions will persist along the High Plains, but with relatively weak surface winds, which will limit significant wildfire-spread potential. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...19z Update... No changes, fire-weather concerns are modest. Locally dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of the central High Plains and southern/central FL. However, confidence in temporal and spatial coverage is low. See the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 05/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024/ ...Synopsis... Low amplitude mid-level troughs will slowly traverse the southern half of the CONUS tomorrow (Tuesday), supporting modest low-level moisture return for portions of the southern Plains and points east. Similar to today, modestly dry conditions will persist along the High Plains, but with relatively weak surface winds, which will limit significant wildfire-spread potential. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...19z Update... No changes, fire-weather concerns are modest. Locally dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of the central High Plains and southern/central FL. However, confidence in temporal and spatial coverage is low. See the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 05/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024/ ...Synopsis... Low amplitude mid-level troughs will slowly traverse the southern half of the CONUS tomorrow (Tuesday), supporting modest low-level moisture return for portions of the southern Plains and points east. Similar to today, modestly dry conditions will persist along the High Plains, but with relatively weak surface winds, which will limit significant wildfire-spread potential. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...19z Update... No changes, fire-weather concerns are modest. Locally dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of the central High Plains and southern/central FL. However, confidence in temporal and spatial coverage is low. See the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 05/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024/ ...Synopsis... Low amplitude mid-level troughs will slowly traverse the southern half of the CONUS tomorrow (Tuesday), supporting modest low-level moisture return for portions of the southern Plains and points east. Similar to today, modestly dry conditions will persist along the High Plains, but with relatively weak surface winds, which will limit significant wildfire-spread potential. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...19z Update... No changes, fire-weather concerns are modest. Locally dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of the central High Plains and southern/central FL. However, confidence in temporal and spatial coverage is low. See the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 05/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024/ ...Synopsis... Low amplitude mid-level troughs will slowly traverse the southern half of the CONUS tomorrow (Tuesday), supporting modest low-level moisture return for portions of the southern Plains and points east. Similar to today, modestly dry conditions will persist along the High Plains, but with relatively weak surface winds, which will limit significant wildfire-spread potential. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...19z Update... No changes, fire-weather concerns are modest. Locally dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of the central High Plains and southern/central FL. However, confidence in temporal and spatial coverage is low. See the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 05/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024/ ...Synopsis... Low amplitude mid-level troughs will slowly traverse the southern half of the CONUS tomorrow (Tuesday), supporting modest low-level moisture return for portions of the southern Plains and points east. Similar to today, modestly dry conditions will persist along the High Plains, but with relatively weak surface winds, which will limit significant wildfire-spread potential. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...19z Update... No changes, fire-weather concerns are modest. Locally dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of the central High Plains and southern/central FL. However, confidence in temporal and spatial coverage is low. See the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 05/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024/ ...Synopsis... Low amplitude mid-level troughs will slowly traverse the southern half of the CONUS tomorrow (Tuesday), supporting modest low-level moisture return for portions of the southern Plains and points east. Similar to today, modestly dry conditions will persist along the High Plains, but with relatively weak surface winds, which will limit significant wildfire-spread potential. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...19z Update... No changes, fire-weather concerns are modest. Locally dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of the central High Plains and southern/central FL. However, confidence in temporal and spatial coverage is low. See the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 05/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024/ ...Synopsis... Low amplitude mid-level troughs will slowly traverse the southern half of the CONUS tomorrow (Tuesday), supporting modest low-level moisture return for portions of the southern Plains and points east. Similar to today, modestly dry conditions will persist along the High Plains, but with relatively weak surface winds, which will limit significant wildfire-spread potential. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more