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SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0252 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 262000Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC...FROM THE ARKLATEX TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...AND ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Clusters of thunderstorms accompanied by potentially damaging wind gusts are possible into tonight from the Ohio Valley into the northern Mid Atlantic, parts of the Ozark Plateau into the lower Mississippi Valley, and to the lee of the Front Range and Sangre de Cristo Mountains. ...20z Update... Severe probabilities have been trimmed behind ongoing convection from the Ozarks into northern IN/OH and parts of PA/NY. Meanwhile, the Marginal (level 1 of 5) and Slight (level 2 of 5) has been expanded across southeast TX, southwest LA, and parts of MS/AL ahead of a south and eastward advancing band of storms. A very moist, hot and unstable, but weakly sheared airmass may allow sporadic damaging gusts to persist into early evening to the south and east of WW 465. Severe thunderstorm potential will continue across WW 464 over parts of PA/southern NY, with some increase in severe potential developing over the next couple hours to the south and east of this watch. Reference forthcoming MCD 1429 for info on short term severe concerns across the Mid-Atlantic vicinity. The only other change to severe probabilities with the 20z update was to add 5 percent hail probabilities across ID/MT/far northwest WY. Vertical shear is sufficient for organized cells. Cool temperatures aloft and modest instability amid straight/elongated hodographs will support isolated hail potential in addition to sporadic strong gusts. See MCD 1428 for more information. No changes were made to the central High Plains Slight (level 2 of 5) risk area. Convection is expected to increase in coverage/intensity over the next few hours. Isolated severe gusts and hail remain possible through evening. ..Leitman.. 06/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1119 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024/ ...NY/PA into Mid Atlantic and southern New England... Morning water vapor imagery shows a fast-moving trough over WI. This feature will track across the Great Lakes region today and into the northeast states tonight. Ahead of the system, strong heating is occurring from parts of NY/PA eastward into the Mid Atlantic region and southern New England. A diffuse surface boundary extends from northern PA to coastal New England, with temperatures likely to rise into the 80s/90s to the south. This will result in an environment of steep low-level lapse rates and sufficient CAPE for scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Current indications are that storms will form over OH/western PA by early afternoon and spread eastward through the day. Damaging winds appear to be the main concern. Storms may track across southern New England and to the NJ/DE/MD coast during the evening with a continued severe threat. ...High Plains... A plume of considerable mid-level moisture is present today over the central Rockies. This will lead to scattered thunderstorms over the higher terrain by mid afternoon, spreading eastward into the adjacent plains. Easterly low-level winds over the plains will maintain 40s/50s dewpoints and pose a risk of a few severe storms capable of hail and gusty/damaging winds this evening. ...ArklaTex into TN... A weakening linear MCS currently extends from northeast TX into northeast AR. The air mass ahead of this activity is very moist/unstable, with dewpoints in the mid 70s and afternoon MLCAPE values likely 2000-2500 J/kg. Winds aloft are rather weak, but will maintain ongoing SLGT area in case these storms rejuvenate. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0252 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 262000Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC...FROM THE ARKLATEX TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...AND ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Clusters of thunderstorms accompanied by potentially damaging wind gusts are possible into tonight from the Ohio Valley into the northern Mid Atlantic, parts of the Ozark Plateau into the lower Mississippi Valley, and to the lee of the Front Range and Sangre de Cristo Mountains. ...20z Update... Severe probabilities have been trimmed behind ongoing convection from the Ozarks into northern IN/OH and parts of PA/NY. Meanwhile, the Marginal (level 1 of 5) and Slight (level 2 of 5) has been expanded across southeast TX, southwest LA, and parts of MS/AL ahead of a south and eastward advancing band of storms. A very moist, hot and unstable, but weakly sheared airmass may allow sporadic damaging gusts to persist into early evening to the south and east of WW 465. Severe thunderstorm potential will continue across WW 464 over parts of PA/southern NY, with some increase in severe potential developing over the next couple hours to the south and east of this watch. Reference forthcoming MCD 1429 for info on short term severe concerns across the Mid-Atlantic vicinity. The only other change to severe probabilities with the 20z update was to add 5 percent hail probabilities across ID/MT/far northwest WY. Vertical shear is sufficient for organized cells. Cool temperatures aloft and modest instability amid straight/elongated hodographs will support isolated hail potential in addition to sporadic strong gusts. See MCD 1428 for more information. No changes were made to the central High Plains Slight (level 2 of 5) risk area. Convection is expected to increase in coverage/intensity over the next few hours. Isolated severe gusts and hail remain possible through evening. ..Leitman.. 06/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1119 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024/ ...NY/PA into Mid Atlantic and southern New England... Morning water vapor imagery shows a fast-moving trough over WI. This feature will track across the Great Lakes region today and into the northeast states tonight. Ahead of the system, strong heating is occurring from parts of NY/PA eastward into the Mid Atlantic region and southern New England. A diffuse surface boundary extends from northern PA to coastal New England, with temperatures likely to rise into the 80s/90s to the south. This will result in an environment of steep low-level lapse rates and sufficient CAPE for scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Current indications are that storms will form over OH/western PA by early afternoon and spread eastward through the day. Damaging winds appear to be the main concern. Storms may track across southern New England and to the NJ/DE/MD coast during the evening with a continued severe threat. ...High Plains... A plume of considerable mid-level moisture is present today over the central Rockies. This will lead to scattered thunderstorms over the higher terrain by mid afternoon, spreading eastward into the adjacent plains. Easterly low-level winds over the plains will maintain 40s/50s dewpoints and pose a risk of a few severe storms capable of hail and gusty/damaging winds this evening. ...ArklaTex into TN... A weakening linear MCS currently extends from northeast TX into northeast AR. The air mass ahead of this activity is very moist/unstable, with dewpoints in the mid 70s and afternoon MLCAPE values likely 2000-2500 J/kg. Winds aloft are rather weak, but will maintain ongoing SLGT area in case these storms rejuvenate. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0252 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 262000Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC...FROM THE ARKLATEX TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...AND ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Clusters of thunderstorms accompanied by potentially damaging wind gusts are possible into tonight from the Ohio Valley into the northern Mid Atlantic, parts of the Ozark Plateau into the lower Mississippi Valley, and to the lee of the Front Range and Sangre de Cristo Mountains. ...20z Update... Severe probabilities have been trimmed behind ongoing convection from the Ozarks into northern IN/OH and parts of PA/NY. Meanwhile, the Marginal (level 1 of 5) and Slight (level 2 of 5) has been expanded across southeast TX, southwest LA, and parts of MS/AL ahead of a south and eastward advancing band of storms. A very moist, hot and unstable, but weakly sheared airmass may allow sporadic damaging gusts to persist into early evening to the south and east of WW 465. Severe thunderstorm potential will continue across WW 464 over parts of PA/southern NY, with some increase in severe potential developing over the next couple hours to the south and east of this watch. Reference forthcoming MCD 1429 for info on short term severe concerns across the Mid-Atlantic vicinity. The only other change to severe probabilities with the 20z update was to add 5 percent hail probabilities across ID/MT/far northwest WY. Vertical shear is sufficient for organized cells. Cool temperatures aloft and modest instability amid straight/elongated hodographs will support isolated hail potential in addition to sporadic strong gusts. See MCD 1428 for more information. No changes were made to the central High Plains Slight (level 2 of 5) risk area. Convection is expected to increase in coverage/intensity over the next few hours. Isolated severe gusts and hail remain possible through evening. ..Leitman.. 06/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1119 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024/ ...NY/PA into Mid Atlantic and southern New England... Morning water vapor imagery shows a fast-moving trough over WI. This feature will track across the Great Lakes region today and into the northeast states tonight. Ahead of the system, strong heating is occurring from parts of NY/PA eastward into the Mid Atlantic region and southern New England. A diffuse surface boundary extends from northern PA to coastal New England, with temperatures likely to rise into the 80s/90s to the south. This will result in an environment of steep low-level lapse rates and sufficient CAPE for scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Current indications are that storms will form over OH/western PA by early afternoon and spread eastward through the day. Damaging winds appear to be the main concern. Storms may track across southern New England and to the NJ/DE/MD coast during the evening with a continued severe threat. ...High Plains... A plume of considerable mid-level moisture is present today over the central Rockies. This will lead to scattered thunderstorms over the higher terrain by mid afternoon, spreading eastward into the adjacent plains. Easterly low-level winds over the plains will maintain 40s/50s dewpoints and pose a risk of a few severe storms capable of hail and gusty/damaging winds this evening. ...ArklaTex into TN... A weakening linear MCS currently extends from northeast TX into northeast AR. The air mass ahead of this activity is very moist/unstable, with dewpoints in the mid 70s and afternoon MLCAPE values likely 2000-2500 J/kg. Winds aloft are rather weak, but will maintain ongoing SLGT area in case these storms rejuvenate. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0252 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 262000Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC...FROM THE ARKLATEX TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...AND ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Clusters of thunderstorms accompanied by potentially damaging wind gusts are possible into tonight from the Ohio Valley into the northern Mid Atlantic, parts of the Ozark Plateau into the lower Mississippi Valley, and to the lee of the Front Range and Sangre de Cristo Mountains. ...20z Update... Severe probabilities have been trimmed behind ongoing convection from the Ozarks into northern IN/OH and parts of PA/NY. Meanwhile, the Marginal (level 1 of 5) and Slight (level 2 of 5) has been expanded across southeast TX, southwest LA, and parts of MS/AL ahead of a south and eastward advancing band of storms. A very moist, hot and unstable, but weakly sheared airmass may allow sporadic damaging gusts to persist into early evening to the south and east of WW 465. Severe thunderstorm potential will continue across WW 464 over parts of PA/southern NY, with some increase in severe potential developing over the next couple hours to the south and east of this watch. Reference forthcoming MCD 1429 for info on short term severe concerns across the Mid-Atlantic vicinity. The only other change to severe probabilities with the 20z update was to add 5 percent hail probabilities across ID/MT/far northwest WY. Vertical shear is sufficient for organized cells. Cool temperatures aloft and modest instability amid straight/elongated hodographs will support isolated hail potential in addition to sporadic strong gusts. See MCD 1428 for more information. No changes were made to the central High Plains Slight (level 2 of 5) risk area. Convection is expected to increase in coverage/intensity over the next few hours. Isolated severe gusts and hail remain possible through evening. ..Leitman.. 06/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1119 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024/ ...NY/PA into Mid Atlantic and southern New England... Morning water vapor imagery shows a fast-moving trough over WI. This feature will track across the Great Lakes region today and into the northeast states tonight. Ahead of the system, strong heating is occurring from parts of NY/PA eastward into the Mid Atlantic region and southern New England. A diffuse surface boundary extends from northern PA to coastal New England, with temperatures likely to rise into the 80s/90s to the south. This will result in an environment of steep low-level lapse rates and sufficient CAPE for scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Current indications are that storms will form over OH/western PA by early afternoon and spread eastward through the day. Damaging winds appear to be the main concern. Storms may track across southern New England and to the NJ/DE/MD coast during the evening with a continued severe threat. ...High Plains... A plume of considerable mid-level moisture is present today over the central Rockies. This will lead to scattered thunderstorms over the higher terrain by mid afternoon, spreading eastward into the adjacent plains. Easterly low-level winds over the plains will maintain 40s/50s dewpoints and pose a risk of a few severe storms capable of hail and gusty/damaging winds this evening. ...ArklaTex into TN... A weakening linear MCS currently extends from northeast TX into northeast AR. The air mass ahead of this activity is very moist/unstable, with dewpoints in the mid 70s and afternoon MLCAPE values likely 2000-2500 J/kg. Winds aloft are rather weak, but will maintain ongoing SLGT area in case these storms rejuvenate. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0252 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 262000Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC...FROM THE ARKLATEX TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...AND ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Clusters of thunderstorms accompanied by potentially damaging wind gusts are possible into tonight from the Ohio Valley into the northern Mid Atlantic, parts of the Ozark Plateau into the lower Mississippi Valley, and to the lee of the Front Range and Sangre de Cristo Mountains. ...20z Update... Severe probabilities have been trimmed behind ongoing convection from the Ozarks into northern IN/OH and parts of PA/NY. Meanwhile, the Marginal (level 1 of 5) and Slight (level 2 of 5) has been expanded across southeast TX, southwest LA, and parts of MS/AL ahead of a south and eastward advancing band of storms. A very moist, hot and unstable, but weakly sheared airmass may allow sporadic damaging gusts to persist into early evening to the south and east of WW 465. Severe thunderstorm potential will continue across WW 464 over parts of PA/southern NY, with some increase in severe potential developing over the next couple hours to the south and east of this watch. Reference forthcoming MCD 1429 for info on short term severe concerns across the Mid-Atlantic vicinity. The only other change to severe probabilities with the 20z update was to add 5 percent hail probabilities across ID/MT/far northwest WY. Vertical shear is sufficient for organized cells. Cool temperatures aloft and modest instability amid straight/elongated hodographs will support isolated hail potential in addition to sporadic strong gusts. See MCD 1428 for more information. No changes were made to the central High Plains Slight (level 2 of 5) risk area. Convection is expected to increase in coverage/intensity over the next few hours. Isolated severe gusts and hail remain possible through evening. ..Leitman.. 06/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1119 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024/ ...NY/PA into Mid Atlantic and southern New England... Morning water vapor imagery shows a fast-moving trough over WI. This feature will track across the Great Lakes region today and into the northeast states tonight. Ahead of the system, strong heating is occurring from parts of NY/PA eastward into the Mid Atlantic region and southern New England. A diffuse surface boundary extends from northern PA to coastal New England, with temperatures likely to rise into the 80s/90s to the south. This will result in an environment of steep low-level lapse rates and sufficient CAPE for scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Current indications are that storms will form over OH/western PA by early afternoon and spread eastward through the day. Damaging winds appear to be the main concern. Storms may track across southern New England and to the NJ/DE/MD coast during the evening with a continued severe threat. ...High Plains... A plume of considerable mid-level moisture is present today over the central Rockies. This will lead to scattered thunderstorms over the higher terrain by mid afternoon, spreading eastward into the adjacent plains. Easterly low-level winds over the plains will maintain 40s/50s dewpoints and pose a risk of a few severe storms capable of hail and gusty/damaging winds this evening. ...ArklaTex into TN... A weakening linear MCS currently extends from northeast TX into northeast AR. The air mass ahead of this activity is very moist/unstable, with dewpoints in the mid 70s and afternoon MLCAPE values likely 2000-2500 J/kg. Winds aloft are rather weak, but will maintain ongoing SLGT area in case these storms rejuvenate. Read more

WW 0466 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0466 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0466 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0466 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0466 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0466 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0466 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0466 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

A water drought emergency ordinance continued in Galena. The order came from the state through the Kansas Department of Health and Environment and required the city to establish three stages of water conservation measures in case of an emergency. The city relies on wells and is striving to get another one up and running. Fourstates Homepage (Joplin, Mo.), June 25, 2024

MD 1427 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA INTO SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
Mesoscale Discussion 1427 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Areas affected...Northeastern Louisiana into Southeast Arkansas and Northern Mississippi Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 261745Z - 261945Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...A QLCS located near and along the Mississippi river, in addition to warm sector thunderstorms developing over much of Northern MS, are being monitored for possible weather watch issuance. The primary threat is for damaging straight-line winds. DISCUSSION...A QLCS located along and near the Mississippi River is advancing east-southeast into northern Mississippi, with another region of stronger reflectivity advancing from southern AR into northern LA. Ahead of the QLCS, warm sector thunderstorms have developed across much of MS and into western AL. This environment is characterized by MLCAPE > 2500 J/kg, but deep layer vertical shear remains weak at only 10-20 kts and mostly unidirectional. Coupled with anomalously high precipitable water values > 2 inches on the 12Z JAN sounding -- near the daily max for this time of year -- the primary severe threat appears to be from wet microbursts, in addition to damaging winds from QLCS outflow. Given current convective trends, the area is being monitored for weather watch issuance. ..Halbert/Weinman/Hart.. 06/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK... LAT...LON 33318934 32848991 32529040 32189086 32109144 32239176 32639183 33039196 33149206 33629241 33869238 34199201 34449157 34819106 35029074 35089013 35028969 34948928 34798898 34598875 34298867 34118872 33718905 33318934 Read more

WW 0465 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 465 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W TYR TO 25 SSW GGG TO 20 SSW SHV TO 30 ENE SHV TO 10 SW ELD TO 15 NE ELD. ..HALBERT..06/26/24 ATTN...WFO...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 465 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC139-262040- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE UNION LAC013-021-027-031-043-049-059-061-069-073-081-085-111-127- 262040- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BIENVILLE CALDWELL CLAIBORNE DE SOTO GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RED RIVER SABINE UNION WINN TXC005-073-347-403-405-419-262040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z The previous forecast remains on track with only minor adjustments needed based on recent trends in model guidance and rainfall totals over the past 24 hours. MRMS QPE data indicated that wetting rainfall has recently fallen across portions of western to central NV, which should mitigate fuel receptiveness for the near term. The Elevated risk area across northeast NV has been trimmed to account for this factor. Further north into the Snake River Plain, critical fire weather conditions remain possible, but ensemble guidance continues to suggest that such conditions will be fairly transient (1-2 hours). ...Southeast New Mexico into far West Texas... Localized elevated conditions appear possible across southeast NM into the Trans Pecos region of far west TX as winds increase to around 15 mph and temperatures climb to around 100 F. Areas that have not received rainfall in recent days likely have dry grasses given the ongoing drought conditions, which may support a localized fire weather concern. ..Moore.. 06/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0225 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level shortwave trough, jet max, and associated cold front will pass over the Pacific Northwest and western/northwestern Great Basin Thursday. Although some cloud cover is expected throughout the day, pockets of clearer skies will allow for deeper mixing through the lower troposphere near the Upper Snake River Plain and portions of the northern Great Basin around the UT/NV border. This, along with a tightening surface pressure gradient, will support sustained winds around 25 to 30 mph (with localized gusts up to 40 mph possible) across the Upper Snake Region and 15 to 20 mph winds further south. Warm temperatures and dry boundary-layer conditions near a prefrontal trough axis will also yield RH in the upper to lower teens north to south respectively. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z The previous forecast remains on track with only minor adjustments needed based on recent trends in model guidance and rainfall totals over the past 24 hours. MRMS QPE data indicated that wetting rainfall has recently fallen across portions of western to central NV, which should mitigate fuel receptiveness for the near term. The Elevated risk area across northeast NV has been trimmed to account for this factor. Further north into the Snake River Plain, critical fire weather conditions remain possible, but ensemble guidance continues to suggest that such conditions will be fairly transient (1-2 hours). ...Southeast New Mexico into far West Texas... Localized elevated conditions appear possible across southeast NM into the Trans Pecos region of far west TX as winds increase to around 15 mph and temperatures climb to around 100 F. Areas that have not received rainfall in recent days likely have dry grasses given the ongoing drought conditions, which may support a localized fire weather concern. ..Moore.. 06/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0225 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level shortwave trough, jet max, and associated cold front will pass over the Pacific Northwest and western/northwestern Great Basin Thursday. Although some cloud cover is expected throughout the day, pockets of clearer skies will allow for deeper mixing through the lower troposphere near the Upper Snake River Plain and portions of the northern Great Basin around the UT/NV border. This, along with a tightening surface pressure gradient, will support sustained winds around 25 to 30 mph (with localized gusts up to 40 mph possible) across the Upper Snake Region and 15 to 20 mph winds further south. Warm temperatures and dry boundary-layer conditions near a prefrontal trough axis will also yield RH in the upper to lower teens north to south respectively. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z The previous forecast remains on track with only minor adjustments needed based on recent trends in model guidance and rainfall totals over the past 24 hours. MRMS QPE data indicated that wetting rainfall has recently fallen across portions of western to central NV, which should mitigate fuel receptiveness for the near term. The Elevated risk area across northeast NV has been trimmed to account for this factor. Further north into the Snake River Plain, critical fire weather conditions remain possible, but ensemble guidance continues to suggest that such conditions will be fairly transient (1-2 hours). ...Southeast New Mexico into far West Texas... Localized elevated conditions appear possible across southeast NM into the Trans Pecos region of far west TX as winds increase to around 15 mph and temperatures climb to around 100 F. Areas that have not received rainfall in recent days likely have dry grasses given the ongoing drought conditions, which may support a localized fire weather concern. ..Moore.. 06/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0225 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level shortwave trough, jet max, and associated cold front will pass over the Pacific Northwest and western/northwestern Great Basin Thursday. Although some cloud cover is expected throughout the day, pockets of clearer skies will allow for deeper mixing through the lower troposphere near the Upper Snake River Plain and portions of the northern Great Basin around the UT/NV border. This, along with a tightening surface pressure gradient, will support sustained winds around 25 to 30 mph (with localized gusts up to 40 mph possible) across the Upper Snake Region and 15 to 20 mph winds further south. Warm temperatures and dry boundary-layer conditions near a prefrontal trough axis will also yield RH in the upper to lower teens north to south respectively. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z The previous forecast remains on track with only minor adjustments needed based on recent trends in model guidance and rainfall totals over the past 24 hours. MRMS QPE data indicated that wetting rainfall has recently fallen across portions of western to central NV, which should mitigate fuel receptiveness for the near term. The Elevated risk area across northeast NV has been trimmed to account for this factor. Further north into the Snake River Plain, critical fire weather conditions remain possible, but ensemble guidance continues to suggest that such conditions will be fairly transient (1-2 hours). ...Southeast New Mexico into far West Texas... Localized elevated conditions appear possible across southeast NM into the Trans Pecos region of far west TX as winds increase to around 15 mph and temperatures climb to around 100 F. Areas that have not received rainfall in recent days likely have dry grasses given the ongoing drought conditions, which may support a localized fire weather concern. ..Moore.. 06/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0225 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level shortwave trough, jet max, and associated cold front will pass over the Pacific Northwest and western/northwestern Great Basin Thursday. Although some cloud cover is expected throughout the day, pockets of clearer skies will allow for deeper mixing through the lower troposphere near the Upper Snake River Plain and portions of the northern Great Basin around the UT/NV border. This, along with a tightening surface pressure gradient, will support sustained winds around 25 to 30 mph (with localized gusts up to 40 mph possible) across the Upper Snake Region and 15 to 20 mph winds further south. Warm temperatures and dry boundary-layer conditions near a prefrontal trough axis will also yield RH in the upper to lower teens north to south respectively. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z The previous forecast remains on track with only minor adjustments needed based on recent trends in model guidance and rainfall totals over the past 24 hours. MRMS QPE data indicated that wetting rainfall has recently fallen across portions of western to central NV, which should mitigate fuel receptiveness for the near term. The Elevated risk area across northeast NV has been trimmed to account for this factor. Further north into the Snake River Plain, critical fire weather conditions remain possible, but ensemble guidance continues to suggest that such conditions will be fairly transient (1-2 hours). ...Southeast New Mexico into far West Texas... Localized elevated conditions appear possible across southeast NM into the Trans Pecos region of far west TX as winds increase to around 15 mph and temperatures climb to around 100 F. Areas that have not received rainfall in recent days likely have dry grasses given the ongoing drought conditions, which may support a localized fire weather concern. ..Moore.. 06/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0225 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level shortwave trough, jet max, and associated cold front will pass over the Pacific Northwest and western/northwestern Great Basin Thursday. Although some cloud cover is expected throughout the day, pockets of clearer skies will allow for deeper mixing through the lower troposphere near the Upper Snake River Plain and portions of the northern Great Basin around the UT/NV border. This, along with a tightening surface pressure gradient, will support sustained winds around 25 to 30 mph (with localized gusts up to 40 mph possible) across the Upper Snake Region and 15 to 20 mph winds further south. Warm temperatures and dry boundary-layer conditions near a prefrontal trough axis will also yield RH in the upper to lower teens north to south respectively. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z The previous forecast remains on track with only minor adjustments needed based on recent trends in model guidance and rainfall totals over the past 24 hours. MRMS QPE data indicated that wetting rainfall has recently fallen across portions of western to central NV, which should mitigate fuel receptiveness for the near term. The Elevated risk area across northeast NV has been trimmed to account for this factor. Further north into the Snake River Plain, critical fire weather conditions remain possible, but ensemble guidance continues to suggest that such conditions will be fairly transient (1-2 hours). ...Southeast New Mexico into far West Texas... Localized elevated conditions appear possible across southeast NM into the Trans Pecos region of far west TX as winds increase to around 15 mph and temperatures climb to around 100 F. Areas that have not received rainfall in recent days likely have dry grasses given the ongoing drought conditions, which may support a localized fire weather concern. ..Moore.. 06/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0225 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level shortwave trough, jet max, and associated cold front will pass over the Pacific Northwest and western/northwestern Great Basin Thursday. Although some cloud cover is expected throughout the day, pockets of clearer skies will allow for deeper mixing through the lower troposphere near the Upper Snake River Plain and portions of the northern Great Basin around the UT/NV border. This, along with a tightening surface pressure gradient, will support sustained winds around 25 to 30 mph (with localized gusts up to 40 mph possible) across the Upper Snake Region and 15 to 20 mph winds further south. Warm temperatures and dry boundary-layer conditions near a prefrontal trough axis will also yield RH in the upper to lower teens north to south respectively. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z The previous forecast remains on track with only minor adjustments needed based on recent trends in model guidance and rainfall totals over the past 24 hours. MRMS QPE data indicated that wetting rainfall has recently fallen across portions of western to central NV, which should mitigate fuel receptiveness for the near term. The Elevated risk area across northeast NV has been trimmed to account for this factor. Further north into the Snake River Plain, critical fire weather conditions remain possible, but ensemble guidance continues to suggest that such conditions will be fairly transient (1-2 hours). ...Southeast New Mexico into far West Texas... Localized elevated conditions appear possible across southeast NM into the Trans Pecos region of far west TX as winds increase to around 15 mph and temperatures climb to around 100 F. Areas that have not received rainfall in recent days likely have dry grasses given the ongoing drought conditions, which may support a localized fire weather concern. ..Moore.. 06/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0225 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level shortwave trough, jet max, and associated cold front will pass over the Pacific Northwest and western/northwestern Great Basin Thursday. Although some cloud cover is expected throughout the day, pockets of clearer skies will allow for deeper mixing through the lower troposphere near the Upper Snake River Plain and portions of the northern Great Basin around the UT/NV border. This, along with a tightening surface pressure gradient, will support sustained winds around 25 to 30 mph (with localized gusts up to 40 mph possible) across the Upper Snake Region and 15 to 20 mph winds further south. Warm temperatures and dry boundary-layer conditions near a prefrontal trough axis will also yield RH in the upper to lower teens north to south respectively. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z The previous forecast remains on track with only minor adjustments needed based on recent trends in model guidance and rainfall totals over the past 24 hours. MRMS QPE data indicated that wetting rainfall has recently fallen across portions of western to central NV, which should mitigate fuel receptiveness for the near term. The Elevated risk area across northeast NV has been trimmed to account for this factor. Further north into the Snake River Plain, critical fire weather conditions remain possible, but ensemble guidance continues to suggest that such conditions will be fairly transient (1-2 hours). ...Southeast New Mexico into far West Texas... Localized elevated conditions appear possible across southeast NM into the Trans Pecos region of far west TX as winds increase to around 15 mph and temperatures climb to around 100 F. Areas that have not received rainfall in recent days likely have dry grasses given the ongoing drought conditions, which may support a localized fire weather concern. ..Moore.. 06/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0225 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level shortwave trough, jet max, and associated cold front will pass over the Pacific Northwest and western/northwestern Great Basin Thursday. Although some cloud cover is expected throughout the day, pockets of clearer skies will allow for deeper mixing through the lower troposphere near the Upper Snake River Plain and portions of the northern Great Basin around the UT/NV border. This, along with a tightening surface pressure gradient, will support sustained winds around 25 to 30 mph (with localized gusts up to 40 mph possible) across the Upper Snake Region and 15 to 20 mph winds further south. Warm temperatures and dry boundary-layer conditions near a prefrontal trough axis will also yield RH in the upper to lower teens north to south respectively. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more