SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z The potential for critical fire weather conditions should remain limited through the extended period. Regional fire concerns remain possible over the weekend across parts of the Great Basin. Long-range ensemble guidance continues to show an upper-level shortwave trough amplifying over the Pacific Northwest during the D4/Sat to D5/Sun time frame. As this occurs, surface pressure falls across NV should support dry, breezy southerly winds across southern NV into western UT. The potential for critical fire weather conditions remains low for D4/Sat, but elevated conditions may develop by late afternoon. Fire weather potential may be greatest on D5/Sun afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front across the Great Basin. Deterministic and ensemble solutions continue to show a reasonable signal for critical fire weather conditions from eastern NV into northwest UT and southwest WY. However, it is unclear whether or not fuels will sufficiently dry by this weekend in the wake of widespread wetting rainfall over the next 12 hours. This concern precludes higher risk probabilities at this time, but trends will continue to be monitored. ..Moore.. 06/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z The potential for critical fire weather conditions should remain limited through the extended period. Regional fire concerns remain possible over the weekend across parts of the Great Basin. Long-range ensemble guidance continues to show an upper-level shortwave trough amplifying over the Pacific Northwest during the D4/Sat to D5/Sun time frame. As this occurs, surface pressure falls across NV should support dry, breezy southerly winds across southern NV into western UT. The potential for critical fire weather conditions remains low for D4/Sat, but elevated conditions may develop by late afternoon. Fire weather potential may be greatest on D5/Sun afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front across the Great Basin. Deterministic and ensemble solutions continue to show a reasonable signal for critical fire weather conditions from eastern NV into northwest UT and southwest WY. However, it is unclear whether or not fuels will sufficiently dry by this weekend in the wake of widespread wetting rainfall over the next 12 hours. This concern precludes higher risk probabilities at this time, but trends will continue to be monitored. ..Moore.. 06/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z The potential for critical fire weather conditions should remain limited through the extended period. Regional fire concerns remain possible over the weekend across parts of the Great Basin. Long-range ensemble guidance continues to show an upper-level shortwave trough amplifying over the Pacific Northwest during the D4/Sat to D5/Sun time frame. As this occurs, surface pressure falls across NV should support dry, breezy southerly winds across southern NV into western UT. The potential for critical fire weather conditions remains low for D4/Sat, but elevated conditions may develop by late afternoon. Fire weather potential may be greatest on D5/Sun afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front across the Great Basin. Deterministic and ensemble solutions continue to show a reasonable signal for critical fire weather conditions from eastern NV into northwest UT and southwest WY. However, it is unclear whether or not fuels will sufficiently dry by this weekend in the wake of widespread wetting rainfall over the next 12 hours. This concern precludes higher risk probabilities at this time, but trends will continue to be monitored. ..Moore.. 06/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z The potential for critical fire weather conditions should remain limited through the extended period. Regional fire concerns remain possible over the weekend across parts of the Great Basin. Long-range ensemble guidance continues to show an upper-level shortwave trough amplifying over the Pacific Northwest during the D4/Sat to D5/Sun time frame. As this occurs, surface pressure falls across NV should support dry, breezy southerly winds across southern NV into western UT. The potential for critical fire weather conditions remains low for D4/Sat, but elevated conditions may develop by late afternoon. Fire weather potential may be greatest on D5/Sun afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front across the Great Basin. Deterministic and ensemble solutions continue to show a reasonable signal for critical fire weather conditions from eastern NV into northwest UT and southwest WY. However, it is unclear whether or not fuels will sufficiently dry by this weekend in the wake of widespread wetting rainfall over the next 12 hours. This concern precludes higher risk probabilities at this time, but trends will continue to be monitored. ..Moore.. 06/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z The potential for critical fire weather conditions should remain limited through the extended period. Regional fire concerns remain possible over the weekend across parts of the Great Basin. Long-range ensemble guidance continues to show an upper-level shortwave trough amplifying over the Pacific Northwest during the D4/Sat to D5/Sun time frame. As this occurs, surface pressure falls across NV should support dry, breezy southerly winds across southern NV into western UT. The potential for critical fire weather conditions remains low for D4/Sat, but elevated conditions may develop by late afternoon. Fire weather potential may be greatest on D5/Sun afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front across the Great Basin. Deterministic and ensemble solutions continue to show a reasonable signal for critical fire weather conditions from eastern NV into northwest UT and southwest WY. However, it is unclear whether or not fuels will sufficiently dry by this weekend in the wake of widespread wetting rainfall over the next 12 hours. This concern precludes higher risk probabilities at this time, but trends will continue to be monitored. ..Moore.. 06/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z The potential for critical fire weather conditions should remain limited through the extended period. Regional fire concerns remain possible over the weekend across parts of the Great Basin. Long-range ensemble guidance continues to show an upper-level shortwave trough amplifying over the Pacific Northwest during the D4/Sat to D5/Sun time frame. As this occurs, surface pressure falls across NV should support dry, breezy southerly winds across southern NV into western UT. The potential for critical fire weather conditions remains low for D4/Sat, but elevated conditions may develop by late afternoon. Fire weather potential may be greatest on D5/Sun afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front across the Great Basin. Deterministic and ensemble solutions continue to show a reasonable signal for critical fire weather conditions from eastern NV into northwest UT and southwest WY. However, it is unclear whether or not fuels will sufficiently dry by this weekend in the wake of widespread wetting rainfall over the next 12 hours. This concern precludes higher risk probabilities at this time, but trends will continue to be monitored. ..Moore.. 06/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z The potential for critical fire weather conditions should remain limited through the extended period. Regional fire concerns remain possible over the weekend across parts of the Great Basin. Long-range ensemble guidance continues to show an upper-level shortwave trough amplifying over the Pacific Northwest during the D4/Sat to D5/Sun time frame. As this occurs, surface pressure falls across NV should support dry, breezy southerly winds across southern NV into western UT. The potential for critical fire weather conditions remains low for D4/Sat, but elevated conditions may develop by late afternoon. Fire weather potential may be greatest on D5/Sun afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front across the Great Basin. Deterministic and ensemble solutions continue to show a reasonable signal for critical fire weather conditions from eastern NV into northwest UT and southwest WY. However, it is unclear whether or not fuels will sufficiently dry by this weekend in the wake of widespread wetting rainfall over the next 12 hours. This concern precludes higher risk probabilities at this time, but trends will continue to be monitored. ..Moore.. 06/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z The potential for critical fire weather conditions should remain limited through the extended period. Regional fire concerns remain possible over the weekend across parts of the Great Basin. Long-range ensemble guidance continues to show an upper-level shortwave trough amplifying over the Pacific Northwest during the D4/Sat to D5/Sun time frame. As this occurs, surface pressure falls across NV should support dry, breezy southerly winds across southern NV into western UT. The potential for critical fire weather conditions remains low for D4/Sat, but elevated conditions may develop by late afternoon. Fire weather potential may be greatest on D5/Sun afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front across the Great Basin. Deterministic and ensemble solutions continue to show a reasonable signal for critical fire weather conditions from eastern NV into northwest UT and southwest WY. However, it is unclear whether or not fuels will sufficiently dry by this weekend in the wake of widespread wetting rainfall over the next 12 hours. This concern precludes higher risk probabilities at this time, but trends will continue to be monitored. ..Moore.. 06/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z The potential for critical fire weather conditions should remain limited through the extended period. Regional fire concerns remain possible over the weekend across parts of the Great Basin. Long-range ensemble guidance continues to show an upper-level shortwave trough amplifying over the Pacific Northwest during the D4/Sat to D5/Sun time frame. As this occurs, surface pressure falls across NV should support dry, breezy southerly winds across southern NV into western UT. The potential for critical fire weather conditions remains low for D4/Sat, but elevated conditions may develop by late afternoon. Fire weather potential may be greatest on D5/Sun afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front across the Great Basin. Deterministic and ensemble solutions continue to show a reasonable signal for critical fire weather conditions from eastern NV into northwest UT and southwest WY. However, it is unclear whether or not fuels will sufficiently dry by this weekend in the wake of widespread wetting rainfall over the next 12 hours. This concern precludes higher risk probabilities at this time, but trends will continue to be monitored. ..Moore.. 06/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z The potential for critical fire weather conditions should remain limited through the extended period. Regional fire concerns remain possible over the weekend across parts of the Great Basin. Long-range ensemble guidance continues to show an upper-level shortwave trough amplifying over the Pacific Northwest during the D4/Sat to D5/Sun time frame. As this occurs, surface pressure falls across NV should support dry, breezy southerly winds across southern NV into western UT. The potential for critical fire weather conditions remains low for D4/Sat, but elevated conditions may develop by late afternoon. Fire weather potential may be greatest on D5/Sun afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front across the Great Basin. Deterministic and ensemble solutions continue to show a reasonable signal for critical fire weather conditions from eastern NV into northwest UT and southwest WY. However, it is unclear whether or not fuels will sufficiently dry by this weekend in the wake of widespread wetting rainfall over the next 12 hours. This concern precludes higher risk probabilities at this time, but trends will continue to be monitored. ..Moore.. 06/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z The potential for critical fire weather conditions should remain limited through the extended period. Regional fire concerns remain possible over the weekend across parts of the Great Basin. Long-range ensemble guidance continues to show an upper-level shortwave trough amplifying over the Pacific Northwest during the D4/Sat to D5/Sun time frame. As this occurs, surface pressure falls across NV should support dry, breezy southerly winds across southern NV into western UT. The potential for critical fire weather conditions remains low for D4/Sat, but elevated conditions may develop by late afternoon. Fire weather potential may be greatest on D5/Sun afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front across the Great Basin. Deterministic and ensemble solutions continue to show a reasonable signal for critical fire weather conditions from eastern NV into northwest UT and southwest WY. However, it is unclear whether or not fuels will sufficiently dry by this weekend in the wake of widespread wetting rainfall over the next 12 hours. This concern precludes higher risk probabilities at this time, but trends will continue to be monitored. ..Moore.. 06/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z The potential for critical fire weather conditions should remain limited through the extended period. Regional fire concerns remain possible over the weekend across parts of the Great Basin. Long-range ensemble guidance continues to show an upper-level shortwave trough amplifying over the Pacific Northwest during the D4/Sat to D5/Sun time frame. As this occurs, surface pressure falls across NV should support dry, breezy southerly winds across southern NV into western UT. The potential for critical fire weather conditions remains low for D4/Sat, but elevated conditions may develop by late afternoon. Fire weather potential may be greatest on D5/Sun afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front across the Great Basin. Deterministic and ensemble solutions continue to show a reasonable signal for critical fire weather conditions from eastern NV into northwest UT and southwest WY. However, it is unclear whether or not fuels will sufficiently dry by this weekend in the wake of widespread wetting rainfall over the next 12 hours. This concern precludes higher risk probabilities at this time, but trends will continue to be monitored. ..Moore.. 06/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z The potential for critical fire weather conditions should remain limited through the extended period. Regional fire concerns remain possible over the weekend across parts of the Great Basin. Long-range ensemble guidance continues to show an upper-level shortwave trough amplifying over the Pacific Northwest during the D4/Sat to D5/Sun time frame. As this occurs, surface pressure falls across NV should support dry, breezy southerly winds across southern NV into western UT. The potential for critical fire weather conditions remains low for D4/Sat, but elevated conditions may develop by late afternoon. Fire weather potential may be greatest on D5/Sun afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front across the Great Basin. Deterministic and ensemble solutions continue to show a reasonable signal for critical fire weather conditions from eastern NV into northwest UT and southwest WY. However, it is unclear whether or not fuels will sufficiently dry by this weekend in the wake of widespread wetting rainfall over the next 12 hours. This concern precludes higher risk probabilities at this time, but trends will continue to be monitored. ..Moore.. 06/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 465 Status Reports

1 year 2 months ago
WW 0465 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 465 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S TYR TO 10 NE LFK TO 35 SW IER TO 15 NE IER TO 25 WSW MLU TO 35 N MLU. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1430 ..HALBERT..06/26/24 ATTN...WFO...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 465 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC021-043-059-069-073-127-262140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL GRANT LA SALLE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA WINN TXC005-403-262140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANGELINA SABINE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 465 Status Reports

1 year 2 months ago
WW 0465 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 465 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S TYR TO 10 NE LFK TO 35 SW IER TO 15 NE IER TO 25 WSW MLU TO 35 N MLU. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1430 ..HALBERT..06/26/24 ATTN...WFO...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 465 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC021-043-059-069-073-127-262140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL GRANT LA SALLE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA WINN TXC005-403-262140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANGELINA SABINE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 465 Status Reports

1 year 2 months ago
WW 0465 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 465 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S TYR TO 10 NE LFK TO 35 SW IER TO 15 NE IER TO 25 WSW MLU TO 35 N MLU. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1430 ..HALBERT..06/26/24 ATTN...WFO...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 465 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC021-043-059-069-073-127-262140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL GRANT LA SALLE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA WINN TXC005-403-262140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANGELINA SABINE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 465 Status Reports

1 year 2 months ago
WW 0465 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 465 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S TYR TO 10 NE LFK TO 35 SW IER TO 15 NE IER TO 25 WSW MLU TO 35 N MLU. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1430 ..HALBERT..06/26/24 ATTN...WFO...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 465 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC021-043-059-069-073-127-262140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL GRANT LA SALLE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA WINN TXC005-403-262140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANGELINA SABINE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 465

1 year 2 months ago
WW 465 SEVERE TSTM AR LA TX 261745Z - 270000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 465 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southern Arkansas Northern Louisiana Northeast Texas * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 1245 PM until 700 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms will sag southward across the watch area this afternoon. Hot and humid conditions ahead of the storms will promote a risk of locally damaging wind gusts. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles southwest of Longview TX to 75 miles northeast of Natchitoches LA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 464... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 33025. ...Hart Read more