Some range, pasture in poor condition in Southeast Texas

1 year 1 month ago
Southeast Texas reported hotter temperatures and scattered showers. The weather also helped with forage and hay production for most areas with pastures being cut and grazed, and significant yields were being reported. Sorghum and corn were ready to be harvested. Watermelon harvest was delayed due to late planting. Rice looked good, and the break in the weather the past week helped plants start the flowering stage. Cotton looked good in most areas but needed rain to continue good crop growth. There were no insect pest issues. Range and pasture conditions varied from poor to excellent with soil moisture levels ranging from very short to adequate. Livestock looked good in most areas and cattle prices remained strong. AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), July 2, 2024

SPC Jul 3, 2024 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1250 AM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND THE OZARKS TO LOWER OH VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible across parts of the northern to central High Plains and from the Ozarks to Lower Ohio Valley, mainly from late afternoon to mid-evening. The most favorable corridor for isolated very large hail and significant severe wind gusts is centered on the central High Plains. ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough over the southern Canadian Rockies will dig southeast across the northern Rockies before reaching the north-central High Plains by early Thursday. As this occurs, a lee surface trough will sharpen over the High Plains. A convectively modified cold front will shift east-southeast into the Lower Great Lakes to the Ozarks. This front will remain quasi-stationary into the southern TX Panhandle, with the most prominent temperature gradient from here through northern OK owing to pronounced differential heating across OK to KS. ...Central to northern High Plains... To the north of the southern Great Plains baroclinic zone, predominantly southeasterly low-level flow will attempt to advect richer moisture from southern/eastern KS. However, most 00Z models suggest increasing widespread convection from the TX/OK Panhandle into KS this morning amid low-level warm theta-e advection. This overturning will likely slow the northwestward moisture return. In addition, pervasive cloudiness will limit boundary-layer destabilization over the lower plains. These factors yield a probable confined plume of appreciable buoyancy and uncertainty over the amplitude of the peak buoyancy over the central High Plains. Scattered thunderstorms will likely develop along the lee trough towards late afternoon, seemingly most probable from northeast CO to south of the Black Hills. An additional area/round of storms should also form farther northwest into northeast WY, ahead of the mid-level DCVA attendant to the approaching shortwave trough. Relatively modest low-level flow in conjunction with moderate to strong speed shear above 700 mb will yield moderate hodograph elongation. This should support widely spaced supercells capable of large to very large hail, and perhaps a couple tornadoes. Broken upscale growth with amalgamating convective outflows will probably occur during the early to mid-evening, which should yield a threat for isolated wind gusts of 70-80 mph. With potential for convection to spread relatively quickly into a cooler downstream boundary layer, confidence is too low to warrant a level 3-ENH threat this cycle. ...Ozarks to the Lower OH Valley... Scattered thunderstorms will be possible along the weaker portion of the frontal zone during the latter half of the afternoon, aided in part by remnant MCVs from ongoing/forecast convection this morning. Along the fringe of modest mid-level southwesterlies, roughly parallel to the weak front, multicell clustering is anticipated. A threat for strong to localized severe gusts may be sufficient for potentially scattered wind damage. ..Grams/Squitieri.. 07/03/2024 Read more

SPC Jul 3, 2024 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1250 AM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND THE OZARKS TO LOWER OH VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible across parts of the northern to central High Plains and from the Ozarks to Lower Ohio Valley, mainly from late afternoon to mid-evening. The most favorable corridor for isolated very large hail and significant severe wind gusts is centered on the central High Plains. ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough over the southern Canadian Rockies will dig southeast across the northern Rockies before reaching the north-central High Plains by early Thursday. As this occurs, a lee surface trough will sharpen over the High Plains. A convectively modified cold front will shift east-southeast into the Lower Great Lakes to the Ozarks. This front will remain quasi-stationary into the southern TX Panhandle, with the most prominent temperature gradient from here through northern OK owing to pronounced differential heating across OK to KS. ...Central to northern High Plains... To the north of the southern Great Plains baroclinic zone, predominantly southeasterly low-level flow will attempt to advect richer moisture from southern/eastern KS. However, most 00Z models suggest increasing widespread convection from the TX/OK Panhandle into KS this morning amid low-level warm theta-e advection. This overturning will likely slow the northwestward moisture return. In addition, pervasive cloudiness will limit boundary-layer destabilization over the lower plains. These factors yield a probable confined plume of appreciable buoyancy and uncertainty over the amplitude of the peak buoyancy over the central High Plains. Scattered thunderstorms will likely develop along the lee trough towards late afternoon, seemingly most probable from northeast CO to south of the Black Hills. An additional area/round of storms should also form farther northwest into northeast WY, ahead of the mid-level DCVA attendant to the approaching shortwave trough. Relatively modest low-level flow in conjunction with moderate to strong speed shear above 700 mb will yield moderate hodograph elongation. This should support widely spaced supercells capable of large to very large hail, and perhaps a couple tornadoes. Broken upscale growth with amalgamating convective outflows will probably occur during the early to mid-evening, which should yield a threat for isolated wind gusts of 70-80 mph. With potential for convection to spread relatively quickly into a cooler downstream boundary layer, confidence is too low to warrant a level 3-ENH threat this cycle. ...Ozarks to the Lower OH Valley... Scattered thunderstorms will be possible along the weaker portion of the frontal zone during the latter half of the afternoon, aided in part by remnant MCVs from ongoing/forecast convection this morning. Along the fringe of modest mid-level southwesterlies, roughly parallel to the weak front, multicell clustering is anticipated. A threat for strong to localized severe gusts may be sufficient for potentially scattered wind damage. ..Grams/Squitieri.. 07/03/2024 Read more

SPC Jul 3, 2024 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1250 AM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND THE OZARKS TO LOWER OH VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible across parts of the northern to central High Plains and from the Ozarks to Lower Ohio Valley, mainly from late afternoon to mid-evening. The most favorable corridor for isolated very large hail and significant severe wind gusts is centered on the central High Plains. ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough over the southern Canadian Rockies will dig southeast across the northern Rockies before reaching the north-central High Plains by early Thursday. As this occurs, a lee surface trough will sharpen over the High Plains. A convectively modified cold front will shift east-southeast into the Lower Great Lakes to the Ozarks. This front will remain quasi-stationary into the southern TX Panhandle, with the most prominent temperature gradient from here through northern OK owing to pronounced differential heating across OK to KS. ...Central to northern High Plains... To the north of the southern Great Plains baroclinic zone, predominantly southeasterly low-level flow will attempt to advect richer moisture from southern/eastern KS. However, most 00Z models suggest increasing widespread convection from the TX/OK Panhandle into KS this morning amid low-level warm theta-e advection. This overturning will likely slow the northwestward moisture return. In addition, pervasive cloudiness will limit boundary-layer destabilization over the lower plains. These factors yield a probable confined plume of appreciable buoyancy and uncertainty over the amplitude of the peak buoyancy over the central High Plains. Scattered thunderstorms will likely develop along the lee trough towards late afternoon, seemingly most probable from northeast CO to south of the Black Hills. An additional area/round of storms should also form farther northwest into northeast WY, ahead of the mid-level DCVA attendant to the approaching shortwave trough. Relatively modest low-level flow in conjunction with moderate to strong speed shear above 700 mb will yield moderate hodograph elongation. This should support widely spaced supercells capable of large to very large hail, and perhaps a couple tornadoes. Broken upscale growth with amalgamating convective outflows will probably occur during the early to mid-evening, which should yield a threat for isolated wind gusts of 70-80 mph. With potential for convection to spread relatively quickly into a cooler downstream boundary layer, confidence is too low to warrant a level 3-ENH threat this cycle. ...Ozarks to the Lower OH Valley... Scattered thunderstorms will be possible along the weaker portion of the frontal zone during the latter half of the afternoon, aided in part by remnant MCVs from ongoing/forecast convection this morning. Along the fringe of modest mid-level southwesterlies, roughly parallel to the weak front, multicell clustering is anticipated. A threat for strong to localized severe gusts may be sufficient for potentially scattered wind damage. ..Grams/Squitieri.. 07/03/2024 Read more

SPC Jul 3, 2024 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1250 AM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND THE OZARKS TO LOWER OH VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible across parts of the northern to central High Plains and from the Ozarks to Lower Ohio Valley, mainly from late afternoon to mid-evening. The most favorable corridor for isolated very large hail and significant severe wind gusts is centered on the central High Plains. ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough over the southern Canadian Rockies will dig southeast across the northern Rockies before reaching the north-central High Plains by early Thursday. As this occurs, a lee surface trough will sharpen over the High Plains. A convectively modified cold front will shift east-southeast into the Lower Great Lakes to the Ozarks. This front will remain quasi-stationary into the southern TX Panhandle, with the most prominent temperature gradient from here through northern OK owing to pronounced differential heating across OK to KS. ...Central to northern High Plains... To the north of the southern Great Plains baroclinic zone, predominantly southeasterly low-level flow will attempt to advect richer moisture from southern/eastern KS. However, most 00Z models suggest increasing widespread convection from the TX/OK Panhandle into KS this morning amid low-level warm theta-e advection. This overturning will likely slow the northwestward moisture return. In addition, pervasive cloudiness will limit boundary-layer destabilization over the lower plains. These factors yield a probable confined plume of appreciable buoyancy and uncertainty over the amplitude of the peak buoyancy over the central High Plains. Scattered thunderstorms will likely develop along the lee trough towards late afternoon, seemingly most probable from northeast CO to south of the Black Hills. An additional area/round of storms should also form farther northwest into northeast WY, ahead of the mid-level DCVA attendant to the approaching shortwave trough. Relatively modest low-level flow in conjunction with moderate to strong speed shear above 700 mb will yield moderate hodograph elongation. This should support widely spaced supercells capable of large to very large hail, and perhaps a couple tornadoes. Broken upscale growth with amalgamating convective outflows will probably occur during the early to mid-evening, which should yield a threat for isolated wind gusts of 70-80 mph. With potential for convection to spread relatively quickly into a cooler downstream boundary layer, confidence is too low to warrant a level 3-ENH threat this cycle. ...Ozarks to the Lower OH Valley... Scattered thunderstorms will be possible along the weaker portion of the frontal zone during the latter half of the afternoon, aided in part by remnant MCVs from ongoing/forecast convection this morning. Along the fringe of modest mid-level southwesterlies, roughly parallel to the weak front, multicell clustering is anticipated. A threat for strong to localized severe gusts may be sufficient for potentially scattered wind damage. ..Grams/Squitieri.. 07/03/2024 Read more

SPC Jul 3, 2024 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1250 AM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND THE OZARKS TO LOWER OH VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible across parts of the northern to central High Plains and from the Ozarks to Lower Ohio Valley, mainly from late afternoon to mid-evening. The most favorable corridor for isolated very large hail and significant severe wind gusts is centered on the central High Plains. ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough over the southern Canadian Rockies will dig southeast across the northern Rockies before reaching the north-central High Plains by early Thursday. As this occurs, a lee surface trough will sharpen over the High Plains. A convectively modified cold front will shift east-southeast into the Lower Great Lakes to the Ozarks. This front will remain quasi-stationary into the southern TX Panhandle, with the most prominent temperature gradient from here through northern OK owing to pronounced differential heating across OK to KS. ...Central to northern High Plains... To the north of the southern Great Plains baroclinic zone, predominantly southeasterly low-level flow will attempt to advect richer moisture from southern/eastern KS. However, most 00Z models suggest increasing widespread convection from the TX/OK Panhandle into KS this morning amid low-level warm theta-e advection. This overturning will likely slow the northwestward moisture return. In addition, pervasive cloudiness will limit boundary-layer destabilization over the lower plains. These factors yield a probable confined plume of appreciable buoyancy and uncertainty over the amplitude of the peak buoyancy over the central High Plains. Scattered thunderstorms will likely develop along the lee trough towards late afternoon, seemingly most probable from northeast CO to south of the Black Hills. An additional area/round of storms should also form farther northwest into northeast WY, ahead of the mid-level DCVA attendant to the approaching shortwave trough. Relatively modest low-level flow in conjunction with moderate to strong speed shear above 700 mb will yield moderate hodograph elongation. This should support widely spaced supercells capable of large to very large hail, and perhaps a couple tornadoes. Broken upscale growth with amalgamating convective outflows will probably occur during the early to mid-evening, which should yield a threat for isolated wind gusts of 70-80 mph. With potential for convection to spread relatively quickly into a cooler downstream boundary layer, confidence is too low to warrant a level 3-ENH threat this cycle. ...Ozarks to the Lower OH Valley... Scattered thunderstorms will be possible along the weaker portion of the frontal zone during the latter half of the afternoon, aided in part by remnant MCVs from ongoing/forecast convection this morning. Along the fringe of modest mid-level southwesterlies, roughly parallel to the weak front, multicell clustering is anticipated. A threat for strong to localized severe gusts may be sufficient for potentially scattered wind damage. ..Grams/Squitieri.. 07/03/2024 Read more

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 030549
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Jul 2 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico (EP91):
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few
hundred miles offshore of the coast of southern Mexico is associated
with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions are
conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical
depression could form within a day or two while it moves northward
to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining offshore of the
southwestern coast of Mexico. However, this system should move
over cooler waters on Friday, preventing further development
thereafter.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium....50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake
NHC Webmaster

Crops ruined by drought, heat in Edgecombe County, North Carolina

1 year 1 month ago
Scarce rain since mid-May and increasing heat has damaged crops in Edgecombe County. The president of the Edgecombe County Farm Bureau stated that the corn will yield little to nothing and that no amount of rain can revive it. WITN-TV NBC 7 Greenville (N.C.), July 2, 2024

SPC MD 1518

1 year 1 month ago
MD 1518 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 498... FOR NORTHERN MO...WESTERN IL
Mesoscale Discussion 1518 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1107 PM CDT Tue Jul 02 2024 Areas affected...Northern MO...Western IL Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 498... Valid 030407Z - 030530Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 498 continues. SUMMARY...Locally damaging winds will accompany convection as it propagates across northeast MO into western IL. DISCUSSION...Weak MCV has evolved within remnant convection that tracked across eastern KS into northwest MO, just east of Kansas City over Ray County. This feature may be partly responsible for organized squall line that currently extends from near Sedalia to Randolph County. Larger MCS appears to be evolving along the nose of LLJ which is forecast to translate downstream into central IL later tonight. This activity is currently propagating through the main instability axis which should continue to support robust updrafts, at least into extreme western IL before weaker buoyancy is encountered. Locally damaging winds are the primary concern with this cluster of storms. ..Darrow.. 07/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...SGF...EAX... LAT...LON 40009254 39819037 39179067 38599223 38549363 40009254 Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 500 Status Reports

1 year 1 month ago
WW 0500 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 500 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S MLI TO 35 NE PIA. ..SQUITIERI..07/03/24 ATTN...WFO...DVN...ILX...LOT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 500 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC057-095-143-169-030340- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FULTON KNOX PEORIA SCHUYLER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 500 Status Reports

1 year 1 month ago
WW 0500 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 500 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S MLI TO 35 NE PIA. ..SQUITIERI..07/03/24 ATTN...WFO...DVN...ILX...LOT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 500 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC057-095-143-169-030340- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FULTON KNOX PEORIA SCHUYLER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 500 Status Reports

1 year 1 month ago
WW 0500 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 500 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S MLI TO 35 NE PIA. ..SQUITIERI..07/03/24 ATTN...WFO...DVN...ILX...LOT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 500 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC057-095-143-169-030340- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FULTON KNOX PEORIA SCHUYLER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 500

1 year 1 month ago
WW 500 SEVERE TSTM IL 030030Z - 030400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 500 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 730 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern into Central Illinois * Effective this Tuesday evening from 730 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...A squall line will continue east into the Watch area this evening. The more intense portions of the line may yield a risk for 50-65 mph gusts and potential wind damage. The severe risk will likely lessen with eastward extent as the thunderstorm band encounters weaker instability farther east in Illinois. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 25 statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles northwest of Rockford IL to 50 miles southwest of Peoria IL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 497...WW 498...WW 499... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 27035. ...Smith Read more

SPC MD 1516

1 year 1 month ago
MD 1516 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHERN WISCONSIN INTO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ILLINOIS
Mesoscale Discussion 1516 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0627 PM CDT Tue Jul 02 2024 Areas affected...portions of far southern Wisconsin into northern and central Illinois Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 022327Z - 030130Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...A QLCS is moving eastward across eastern IA and is approaching the MS River. Though buoyancy and shear decreases rapidly with eastern extent, the approaching QLCS may persist with a risk of isolated 50-60 mph wind gusts. Convective trends will be monitored for the need of a WW issuance. DISCUSSION...The ongoing QLCS, including a pronounced line-end mesovortex accompanied by a rear-inflow jet, continues to track eastward across eastern IA with a history of 60-80 mph wind gusts and reported tornadoes. The QLCS mesovortex is preceded by strong low-level shear, characterized by 300+ m2/s2 effective SRH (per 23Z mesoanalysis and the latest DVN VAD profiler data). As such, the QLCS may remain organized as it crosses the MS river in a few hours. However, buoyancy decreases/MLCINH increases substantially with eastward extent, which could weaken the MCS substantially by the time it enters IL. As such, continued severe potential east of the current bounds of WWs 497-498 is a bit uncertain. As such, convective trends will continue to be monitored for continued severe gust potential and subsequent need for a WW issuance as the QLCS begins to exit the ongoing watches. ..Squitieri/Smith.. 07/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...MKX...LSX...DVN... LAT...LON 39909085 40509029 41478974 42348972 42848969 42968946 42648884 41908847 40968868 40308914 39908981 39759042 39909085 Read more

SPC MD 1517

1 year 1 month ago
MD 1517 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 498... FOR NORTHEAST KANSAS...NORTHERN MISSOURI
Mesoscale Discussion 1517 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0702 PM CDT Tue Jul 02 2024 Areas affected...Northeast Kansas...Northern Missouri Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 498... Valid 030002Z - 030130Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 498 continues. SUMMARY...Convective threat will increase across northeast Kansas and northern Missouri this evening. DISCUSSION...Southern influence of central Plains short-wave trough is beginning to affect the lower MO Valley region. Height falls will glance northeast KS/northern MO this evening and this should encourage a gradual expansion of convection along/ahead of surface front. Additionally, LLJ is forecast to strengthen into northern MO in response to the approaching short wave. This is expected to aid a potential MCS that will sag southeast across a reservoir of strong buoyancy (3000 J/kg MLCAPE). Primary risk remains damaging winds. ..Darrow.. 07/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LSX...EAX...TOP... LAT...LON 38509576 39829378 40179163 39689145 39149393 38139533 38509576 Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 499 Status Reports

1 year 1 month ago
WW 0499 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 499 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 SSW AVK TO 35 SE ICT TO 35 W CNU TO 25 NNE EMP. ..MOORE..07/03/24 ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 499 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC019-035-049-030140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY ELK OKC003-053-071-030140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA GRANT KAY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 499 Status Reports

1 year 1 month ago
WW 0499 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 499 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 SSW AVK TO 35 SE ICT TO 35 W CNU TO 25 NNE EMP. ..MOORE..07/03/24 ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 499 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC019-035-049-030140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY ELK OKC003-053-071-030140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA GRANT KAY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 499 Status Reports

1 year 1 month ago
WW 0499 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 499 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 SSW AVK TO 35 SE ICT TO 35 W CNU TO 25 NNE EMP. ..MOORE..07/03/24 ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 499 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC019-035-049-030140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY ELK OKC003-053-071-030140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA GRANT KAY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 499 Status Reports

1 year 1 month ago
WW 0499 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 499 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 SSW AVK TO 35 SE ICT TO 35 W CNU TO 25 NNE EMP. ..MOORE..07/03/24 ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 499 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC019-035-049-030140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY ELK OKC003-053-071-030140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA GRANT KAY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more