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SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0747 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN NE TO FAR WESTERN IA... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms should persist for a few more hours across a portion of eastern Nebraska into far western Iowa, before diminishing tonight. ...01Z Update... Most of the severe threat across the central and northern Great Plains has diminished and this trend should largely persist through the rest of evening. One exception, where a severe wind and brief tornado threat should persist, is across eastern NE into far western IA. A leading supercell over south-central NE has recently become absorbed into a mostly non-severe QLCS. This process may yield some short-term strengthening of the severe wind threat along the south side of the QLCS amid a 45-kt low-level jet per UEX VWP data. Further increase of the low-level jet through the evening will probably maintain a threat for strong to locally severe wind gusts despite the more hostile airmass for surface-based convection near and east of the MO River, per the 00Z OAX sounding. A lone high-based supercell in east-central WY may persist east-southeast along the surface front for a couple more hours, with some potential for an addition storm or two to form after dusk. Marginal severe hail and wind will remain possible. ..Grams.. 07/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0747 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN NE TO FAR WESTERN IA... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms should persist for a few more hours across a portion of eastern Nebraska into far western Iowa, before diminishing tonight. ...01Z Update... Most of the severe threat across the central and northern Great Plains has diminished and this trend should largely persist through the rest of evening. One exception, where a severe wind and brief tornado threat should persist, is across eastern NE into far western IA. A leading supercell over south-central NE has recently become absorbed into a mostly non-severe QLCS. This process may yield some short-term strengthening of the severe wind threat along the south side of the QLCS amid a 45-kt low-level jet per UEX VWP data. Further increase of the low-level jet through the evening will probably maintain a threat for strong to locally severe wind gusts despite the more hostile airmass for surface-based convection near and east of the MO River, per the 00Z OAX sounding. A lone high-based supercell in east-central WY may persist east-southeast along the surface front for a couple more hours, with some potential for an addition storm or two to form after dusk. Marginal severe hail and wind will remain possible. ..Grams.. 07/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0747 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN NE TO FAR WESTERN IA... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms should persist for a few more hours across a portion of eastern Nebraska into far western Iowa, before diminishing tonight. ...01Z Update... Most of the severe threat across the central and northern Great Plains has diminished and this trend should largely persist through the rest of evening. One exception, where a severe wind and brief tornado threat should persist, is across eastern NE into far western IA. A leading supercell over south-central NE has recently become absorbed into a mostly non-severe QLCS. This process may yield some short-term strengthening of the severe wind threat along the south side of the QLCS amid a 45-kt low-level jet per UEX VWP data. Further increase of the low-level jet through the evening will probably maintain a threat for strong to locally severe wind gusts despite the more hostile airmass for surface-based convection near and east of the MO River, per the 00Z OAX sounding. A lone high-based supercell in east-central WY may persist east-southeast along the surface front for a couple more hours, with some potential for an addition storm or two to form after dusk. Marginal severe hail and wind will remain possible. ..Grams.. 07/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0747 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN NE TO FAR WESTERN IA... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms should persist for a few more hours across a portion of eastern Nebraska into far western Iowa, before diminishing tonight. ...01Z Update... Most of the severe threat across the central and northern Great Plains has diminished and this trend should largely persist through the rest of evening. One exception, where a severe wind and brief tornado threat should persist, is across eastern NE into far western IA. A leading supercell over south-central NE has recently become absorbed into a mostly non-severe QLCS. This process may yield some short-term strengthening of the severe wind threat along the south side of the QLCS amid a 45-kt low-level jet per UEX VWP data. Further increase of the low-level jet through the evening will probably maintain a threat for strong to locally severe wind gusts despite the more hostile airmass for surface-based convection near and east of the MO River, per the 00Z OAX sounding. A lone high-based supercell in east-central WY may persist east-southeast along the surface front for a couple more hours, with some potential for an addition storm or two to form after dusk. Marginal severe hail and wind will remain possible. ..Grams.. 07/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0747 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN NE TO FAR WESTERN IA... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms should persist for a few more hours across a portion of eastern Nebraska into far western Iowa, before diminishing tonight. ...01Z Update... Most of the severe threat across the central and northern Great Plains has diminished and this trend should largely persist through the rest of evening. One exception, where a severe wind and brief tornado threat should persist, is across eastern NE into far western IA. A leading supercell over south-central NE has recently become absorbed into a mostly non-severe QLCS. This process may yield some short-term strengthening of the severe wind threat along the south side of the QLCS amid a 45-kt low-level jet per UEX VWP data. Further increase of the low-level jet through the evening will probably maintain a threat for strong to locally severe wind gusts despite the more hostile airmass for surface-based convection near and east of the MO River, per the 00Z OAX sounding. A lone high-based supercell in east-central WY may persist east-southeast along the surface front for a couple more hours, with some potential for an addition storm or two to form after dusk. Marginal severe hail and wind will remain possible. ..Grams.. 07/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0747 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN NE TO FAR WESTERN IA... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms should persist for a few more hours across a portion of eastern Nebraska into far western Iowa, before diminishing tonight. ...01Z Update... Most of the severe threat across the central and northern Great Plains has diminished and this trend should largely persist through the rest of evening. One exception, where a severe wind and brief tornado threat should persist, is across eastern NE into far western IA. A leading supercell over south-central NE has recently become absorbed into a mostly non-severe QLCS. This process may yield some short-term strengthening of the severe wind threat along the south side of the QLCS amid a 45-kt low-level jet per UEX VWP data. Further increase of the low-level jet through the evening will probably maintain a threat for strong to locally severe wind gusts despite the more hostile airmass for surface-based convection near and east of the MO River, per the 00Z OAX sounding. A lone high-based supercell in east-central WY may persist east-southeast along the surface front for a couple more hours, with some potential for an addition storm or two to form after dusk. Marginal severe hail and wind will remain possible. ..Grams.. 07/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0747 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN NE TO FAR WESTERN IA... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms should persist for a few more hours across a portion of eastern Nebraska into far western Iowa, before diminishing tonight. ...01Z Update... Most of the severe threat across the central and northern Great Plains has diminished and this trend should largely persist through the rest of evening. One exception, where a severe wind and brief tornado threat should persist, is across eastern NE into far western IA. A leading supercell over south-central NE has recently become absorbed into a mostly non-severe QLCS. This process may yield some short-term strengthening of the severe wind threat along the south side of the QLCS amid a 45-kt low-level jet per UEX VWP data. Further increase of the low-level jet through the evening will probably maintain a threat for strong to locally severe wind gusts despite the more hostile airmass for surface-based convection near and east of the MO River, per the 00Z OAX sounding. A lone high-based supercell in east-central WY may persist east-southeast along the surface front for a couple more hours, with some potential for an addition storm or two to form after dusk. Marginal severe hail and wind will remain possible. ..Grams.. 07/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0747 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN NE TO FAR WESTERN IA... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms should persist for a few more hours across a portion of eastern Nebraska into far western Iowa, before diminishing tonight. ...01Z Update... Most of the severe threat across the central and northern Great Plains has diminished and this trend should largely persist through the rest of evening. One exception, where a severe wind and brief tornado threat should persist, is across eastern NE into far western IA. A leading supercell over south-central NE has recently become absorbed into a mostly non-severe QLCS. This process may yield some short-term strengthening of the severe wind threat along the south side of the QLCS amid a 45-kt low-level jet per UEX VWP data. Further increase of the low-level jet through the evening will probably maintain a threat for strong to locally severe wind gusts despite the more hostile airmass for surface-based convection near and east of the MO River, per the 00Z OAX sounding. A lone high-based supercell in east-central WY may persist east-southeast along the surface front for a couple more hours, with some potential for an addition storm or two to form after dusk. Marginal severe hail and wind will remain possible. ..Grams.. 07/02/2024 Read more

WW 0496 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 496 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE HLC TO 45 ENE MCK TO 30 E BUB. ..WEINMAN..07/02/24 ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 496 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC001-019-035-059-061-073-077-079-081-083-093-099-121-125-129- 137-143-163-169-175-181-185-020140- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BUFFALO CLAY FILLMORE FRANKLIN GOSPER GREELEY HALL HAMILTON HARLAN HOWARD KEARNEY MERRICK NANCE NUCKOLLS PHELPS POLK SHERMAN THAYER VALLEY WEBSTER YORK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0496 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 496 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE HLC TO 45 ENE MCK TO 30 E BUB. ..WEINMAN..07/02/24 ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 496 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC001-019-035-059-061-073-077-079-081-083-093-099-121-125-129- 137-143-163-169-175-181-185-020140- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BUFFALO CLAY FILLMORE FRANKLIN GOSPER GREELEY HALL HAMILTON HARLAN HOWARD KEARNEY MERRICK NANCE NUCKOLLS PHELPS POLK SHERMAN THAYER VALLEY WEBSTER YORK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

The Alabama Forestry Commission encourages the public to be extra cautious with fires and fireworks due to the dry conditions across the state. All outdoor fires should be monitored while they burn and properly extinguished. The Tallassee Tribune (Alexander City, Ala.), July 1, 2024

MD 1508 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 496... FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL NEBRASKA
Mesoscale Discussion 1508 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0600 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Areas affected...portions of south-central Nebraska Concerning...Tornado Watch 496... Valid 012300Z - 020030Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 496 continues. SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Tornado Watch 496. All severe hazards are possible with the more dominant supercell structures this evening, especially with any storms that can anchor to the surface warm front. DISCUSSION...Scattered multicells and at least one sustained supercell have become established north of a surface warm front over south-central NE. These storms continue to progress east-northeast amid a strongly sheared and unstable airmass through evening. At the moment, most of these storms are rooted above a stable boundary layer north of the warm front. The supercell over Furnas County, NE appears anchored on or immediately north of the surface warm front, and this storm has the best potential to be surface based and produce all severe hazards. Storms south of the warm front will occur in a deep boundary layer and veered low-level flow, with severe gusts the main threat. Storms north of the front should remain elevated, accompanied by mainly a large hail threat, though a severe gust cannot be ruled out. ..Squitieri.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF... LAT...LON 39989923 40049963 40249988 40750008 41060000 41459940 41469852 41219783 40739751 40289764 40129840 39989923 Read more

WW 0494 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 494 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW MHN TO 50 SE BIS. ..WEINMAN..07/01/24 ATTN...WFO...CYS...LBF...UNR...ABR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 494 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC031-075-020040- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHERRY GRANT SDC021-045-049-065-069-075-085-089-095-107-117-119-121-123-129- 020040- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CAMPBELL EDMUNDS FAULK HUGHES HYDE JONES LYMAN MCPHERSON MELLETTE POTTER STANLEY SULLY TODD TRIPP WALWORTH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0494 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 494 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW MHN TO 50 SE BIS. ..WEINMAN..07/01/24 ATTN...WFO...CYS...LBF...UNR...ABR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 494 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC031-075-020040- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHERRY GRANT SDC021-045-049-065-069-075-085-089-095-107-117-119-121-123-129- 020040- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CAMPBELL EDMUNDS FAULK HUGHES HYDE JONES LYMAN MCPHERSON MELLETTE POTTER STANLEY SULLY TODD TRIPP WALWORTH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

MD 1507 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 495... FOR CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
Mesoscale Discussion 1507 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0544 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Areas affected...Central North Dakota Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 495... Valid 012244Z - 020015Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 495 continues. SUMMARY...Gusty winds and hail are possible with convection this evening. DISCUSSION...Strongest mid-level height falls are spreading across the northern High Plains this evening in response to upstream short-wave trough. Extensive cloudiness has limited surface heating across much of ND, and low-level lapse rates are not particularly steep. Even so, a narrow corridor of pre-frontal buoyancy extends across south-central into central ND where MLCAPE values are near 1000 J/kg. Convection should continue to congeal along/ahead of the wind shift, but in the absence of meaningful supercell development, hail should generally remain below 1.5 inches. Gusty winds may be the primary concern, and generally less than 50kt. ..Darrow.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ABR...BIS... LAT...LON 45930049 46890045 47770144 47950022 47329928 46039957 45930049 Read more

WW 0494 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 494 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW MHN TO 50 SE BIS. ..WEINMAN..07/01/24 ATTN...WFO...CYS...LBF...UNR...ABR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 494 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC031-075-020040- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHERRY GRANT SDC021-045-049-065-069-075-085-089-095-107-117-119-121-123-129- 020040- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CAMPBELL EDMUNDS FAULK HUGHES HYDE JONES LYMAN MCPHERSON MELLETTE POTTER STANLEY SULLY TODD TRIPP WALWORTH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 494 SEVERE TSTM NE SD 011935Z - 020200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 494 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 135 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of The Nebraska Panhandle into Northwest Nebraska Western and Central South Dakota * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 135 PM until 800 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Initial supercell thunderstorms should pose a threat for large hail generally 1-2 inches in diameter this afternoon. As this activity spreads eastward later this afternoon and evening, it should grow upscale in more of a line/cluster, with a greater threat for severe/damaging winds up to around 60-70 mph. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 105 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles north northwest of Mobridge SD to 70 miles southeast of Chadron NE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 26035. ...Gleason Read more

WW 0495 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 495 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW MBG TO 45 W DVL. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1507 ..WEINMAN..07/01/24 ATTN...WFO...BIS... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 495 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NDC029-031-043-047-051-093-103-020040- ND . NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EMMONS FOSTER KIDDER LOGAN MCINTOSH STUTSMAN WELLS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0495 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 495 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW MBG TO 45 W DVL. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1507 ..WEINMAN..07/01/24 ATTN...WFO...BIS... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 495 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NDC029-031-043-047-051-093-103-020040- ND . NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EMMONS FOSTER KIDDER LOGAN MCINTOSH STUTSMAN WELLS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0495 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 495 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW MBG TO 45 W DVL. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1507 ..WEINMAN..07/01/24 ATTN...WFO...BIS... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 495 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NDC029-031-043-047-051-093-103-020040- ND . NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EMMONS FOSTER KIDDER LOGAN MCINTOSH STUTSMAN WELLS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more