SPC Mar 30, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO IA/MO/IL... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible by late Tuesday afternoon across the central and southern Plains, with the severe threat expected to spread eastward Tuesday night. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a few tornadoes are all possible. ...Synopsis... The Slight Risk area has been expanded southward across parts of the central and southern Plains, for a conditional but potentially significant severe-weather threat that could develop into Tuesday evening and early Wednesday morning. ...Central and southern Plains into parts of the Midwest... A potent mid/upper-level trough will begin to influence the Great Plains and Midwest Tuesday into Tuesday night. A 100 kt 500-mb jet will emerge into the central Plains by early Wednesday morning, as a intense surface cyclone moves east across the central High Plains during the day, then northeastward Tuesday night. Richer low-level moisture will initially be confined to central/south TX, but will advance quickly northward during the day/evening in conjunction with a 50+ kt low-level jet. Moderate to locally strong buoyancy will be in place along/east of the dryline by early evening, though lingering CINH results in uncertainty regarding coverage of dryline development. At least isolated supercell development appears possible by early evening, across the central and perhaps southern Plains portion of the dryline, with very favorable deep-layer flow/shear supporting a risk of large to very large hail and severe gusts. Any supercells that persist through the evening could become increasingly tornadic, as boundary-layer moisture and low-level shear continue to increase. Regardless of dryline development through the evening, additional storm development will be possible along the cold front late Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning, which will spread eastward across the Plains and potentially approach the Ozarks. Questions remain regarding the mode of overnight convection and whether it can remain surface-based, but a conditional risk of all severe hazards could persist to the end of the period. Additional elevated storms may develop into parts of the Midwest overnight, with a threat of large hail and locally damaging gusts. ..Dean.. 03/30/2025 Read more

SPC Mar 30, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO IA/MO/IL... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible by late Tuesday afternoon across the central and southern Plains, with the severe threat expected to spread eastward Tuesday night. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a few tornadoes are all possible. ...Synopsis... The Slight Risk area has been expanded southward across parts of the central and southern Plains, for a conditional but potentially significant severe-weather threat that could develop into Tuesday evening and early Wednesday morning. ...Central and southern Plains into parts of the Midwest... A potent mid/upper-level trough will begin to influence the Great Plains and Midwest Tuesday into Tuesday night. A 100 kt 500-mb jet will emerge into the central Plains by early Wednesday morning, as a intense surface cyclone moves east across the central High Plains during the day, then northeastward Tuesday night. Richer low-level moisture will initially be confined to central/south TX, but will advance quickly northward during the day/evening in conjunction with a 50+ kt low-level jet. Moderate to locally strong buoyancy will be in place along/east of the dryline by early evening, though lingering CINH results in uncertainty regarding coverage of dryline development. At least isolated supercell development appears possible by early evening, across the central and perhaps southern Plains portion of the dryline, with very favorable deep-layer flow/shear supporting a risk of large to very large hail and severe gusts. Any supercells that persist through the evening could become increasingly tornadic, as boundary-layer moisture and low-level shear continue to increase. Regardless of dryline development through the evening, additional storm development will be possible along the cold front late Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning, which will spread eastward across the Plains and potentially approach the Ozarks. Questions remain regarding the mode of overnight convection and whether it can remain surface-based, but a conditional risk of all severe hazards could persist to the end of the period. Additional elevated storms may develop into parts of the Midwest overnight, with a threat of large hail and locally damaging gusts. ..Dean.. 03/30/2025 Read more

SPC Mar 30, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO IA/MO/IL... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible by late Tuesday afternoon across the central and southern Plains, with the severe threat expected to spread eastward Tuesday night. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a few tornadoes are all possible. ...Synopsis... The Slight Risk area has been expanded southward across parts of the central and southern Plains, for a conditional but potentially significant severe-weather threat that could develop into Tuesday evening and early Wednesday morning. ...Central and southern Plains into parts of the Midwest... A potent mid/upper-level trough will begin to influence the Great Plains and Midwest Tuesday into Tuesday night. A 100 kt 500-mb jet will emerge into the central Plains by early Wednesday morning, as a intense surface cyclone moves east across the central High Plains during the day, then northeastward Tuesday night. Richer low-level moisture will initially be confined to central/south TX, but will advance quickly northward during the day/evening in conjunction with a 50+ kt low-level jet. Moderate to locally strong buoyancy will be in place along/east of the dryline by early evening, though lingering CINH results in uncertainty regarding coverage of dryline development. At least isolated supercell development appears possible by early evening, across the central and perhaps southern Plains portion of the dryline, with very favorable deep-layer flow/shear supporting a risk of large to very large hail and severe gusts. Any supercells that persist through the evening could become increasingly tornadic, as boundary-layer moisture and low-level shear continue to increase. Regardless of dryline development through the evening, additional storm development will be possible along the cold front late Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning, which will spread eastward across the Plains and potentially approach the Ozarks. Questions remain regarding the mode of overnight convection and whether it can remain surface-based, but a conditional risk of all severe hazards could persist to the end of the period. Additional elevated storms may develop into parts of the Midwest overnight, with a threat of large hail and locally damaging gusts. ..Dean.. 03/30/2025 Read more

SPC Mar 30, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO IA/MO/IL... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible by late Tuesday afternoon across the central and southern Plains, with the severe threat expected to spread eastward Tuesday night. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a few tornadoes are all possible. ...Synopsis... The Slight Risk area has been expanded southward across parts of the central and southern Plains, for a conditional but potentially significant severe-weather threat that could develop into Tuesday evening and early Wednesday morning. ...Central and southern Plains into parts of the Midwest... A potent mid/upper-level trough will begin to influence the Great Plains and Midwest Tuesday into Tuesday night. A 100 kt 500-mb jet will emerge into the central Plains by early Wednesday morning, as a intense surface cyclone moves east across the central High Plains during the day, then northeastward Tuesday night. Richer low-level moisture will initially be confined to central/south TX, but will advance quickly northward during the day/evening in conjunction with a 50+ kt low-level jet. Moderate to locally strong buoyancy will be in place along/east of the dryline by early evening, though lingering CINH results in uncertainty regarding coverage of dryline development. At least isolated supercell development appears possible by early evening, across the central and perhaps southern Plains portion of the dryline, with very favorable deep-layer flow/shear supporting a risk of large to very large hail and severe gusts. Any supercells that persist through the evening could become increasingly tornadic, as boundary-layer moisture and low-level shear continue to increase. Regardless of dryline development through the evening, additional storm development will be possible along the cold front late Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning, which will spread eastward across the Plains and potentially approach the Ozarks. Questions remain regarding the mode of overnight convection and whether it can remain surface-based, but a conditional risk of all severe hazards could persist to the end of the period. Additional elevated storms may develop into parts of the Midwest overnight, with a threat of large hail and locally damaging gusts. ..Dean.. 03/30/2025 Read more

SPC Mar 30, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO IA/MO/IL... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible by late Tuesday afternoon across the central and southern Plains, with the severe threat expected to spread eastward Tuesday night. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a few tornadoes are all possible. ...Synopsis... The Slight Risk area has been expanded southward across parts of the central and southern Plains, for a conditional but potentially significant severe-weather threat that could develop into Tuesday evening and early Wednesday morning. ...Central and southern Plains into parts of the Midwest... A potent mid/upper-level trough will begin to influence the Great Plains and Midwest Tuesday into Tuesday night. A 100 kt 500-mb jet will emerge into the central Plains by early Wednesday morning, as a intense surface cyclone moves east across the central High Plains during the day, then northeastward Tuesday night. Richer low-level moisture will initially be confined to central/south TX, but will advance quickly northward during the day/evening in conjunction with a 50+ kt low-level jet. Moderate to locally strong buoyancy will be in place along/east of the dryline by early evening, though lingering CINH results in uncertainty regarding coverage of dryline development. At least isolated supercell development appears possible by early evening, across the central and perhaps southern Plains portion of the dryline, with very favorable deep-layer flow/shear supporting a risk of large to very large hail and severe gusts. Any supercells that persist through the evening could become increasingly tornadic, as boundary-layer moisture and low-level shear continue to increase. Regardless of dryline development through the evening, additional storm development will be possible along the cold front late Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning, which will spread eastward across the Plains and potentially approach the Ozarks. Questions remain regarding the mode of overnight convection and whether it can remain surface-based, but a conditional risk of all severe hazards could persist to the end of the period. Additional elevated storms may develop into parts of the Midwest overnight, with a threat of large hail and locally damaging gusts. ..Dean.. 03/30/2025 Read more

SPC Mar 30, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO IA/MO/IL... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible by late Tuesday afternoon across the central and southern Plains, with the severe threat expected to spread eastward Tuesday night. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a few tornadoes are all possible. ...Synopsis... The Slight Risk area has been expanded southward across parts of the central and southern Plains, for a conditional but potentially significant severe-weather threat that could develop into Tuesday evening and early Wednesday morning. ...Central and southern Plains into parts of the Midwest... A potent mid/upper-level trough will begin to influence the Great Plains and Midwest Tuesday into Tuesday night. A 100 kt 500-mb jet will emerge into the central Plains by early Wednesday morning, as a intense surface cyclone moves east across the central High Plains during the day, then northeastward Tuesday night. Richer low-level moisture will initially be confined to central/south TX, but will advance quickly northward during the day/evening in conjunction with a 50+ kt low-level jet. Moderate to locally strong buoyancy will be in place along/east of the dryline by early evening, though lingering CINH results in uncertainty regarding coverage of dryline development. At least isolated supercell development appears possible by early evening, across the central and perhaps southern Plains portion of the dryline, with very favorable deep-layer flow/shear supporting a risk of large to very large hail and severe gusts. Any supercells that persist through the evening could become increasingly tornadic, as boundary-layer moisture and low-level shear continue to increase. Regardless of dryline development through the evening, additional storm development will be possible along the cold front late Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning, which will spread eastward across the Plains and potentially approach the Ozarks. Questions remain regarding the mode of overnight convection and whether it can remain surface-based, but a conditional risk of all severe hazards could persist to the end of the period. Additional elevated storms may develop into parts of the Midwest overnight, with a threat of large hail and locally damaging gusts. ..Dean.. 03/30/2025 Read more

SPC Mar 30, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO IA/MO/IL... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible by late Tuesday afternoon across the central and southern Plains, with the severe threat expected to spread eastward Tuesday night. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a few tornadoes are all possible. ...Synopsis... The Slight Risk area has been expanded southward across parts of the central and southern Plains, for a conditional but potentially significant severe-weather threat that could develop into Tuesday evening and early Wednesday morning. ...Central and southern Plains into parts of the Midwest... A potent mid/upper-level trough will begin to influence the Great Plains and Midwest Tuesday into Tuesday night. A 100 kt 500-mb jet will emerge into the central Plains by early Wednesday morning, as a intense surface cyclone moves east across the central High Plains during the day, then northeastward Tuesday night. Richer low-level moisture will initially be confined to central/south TX, but will advance quickly northward during the day/evening in conjunction with a 50+ kt low-level jet. Moderate to locally strong buoyancy will be in place along/east of the dryline by early evening, though lingering CINH results in uncertainty regarding coverage of dryline development. At least isolated supercell development appears possible by early evening, across the central and perhaps southern Plains portion of the dryline, with very favorable deep-layer flow/shear supporting a risk of large to very large hail and severe gusts. Any supercells that persist through the evening could become increasingly tornadic, as boundary-layer moisture and low-level shear continue to increase. Regardless of dryline development through the evening, additional storm development will be possible along the cold front late Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning, which will spread eastward across the Plains and potentially approach the Ozarks. Questions remain regarding the mode of overnight convection and whether it can remain surface-based, but a conditional risk of all severe hazards could persist to the end of the period. Additional elevated storms may develop into parts of the Midwest overnight, with a threat of large hail and locally damaging gusts. ..Dean.. 03/30/2025 Read more

SPC MD 299

4 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0299 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST ILLINOIS...NORTHERN INDIANA...SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
Mesoscale Discussion 0299 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1243 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Areas affected...Portions of northeast Illinois...northern Indiana...southwest Lower Michigan Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 301743Z - 301945Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Damaging winds will be the primary hazard with storms this afternoon. Isolated large hail may also occur. The tornado threat is less certain, but a few line-embedded circulations do appear possible. DISCUSSION...Temperatures in northeast Illinois into northern Indiana have risen into the low/mid 70s F. Cumulus along the cold front has deepened in northeast Illinois and storms appear likely to initiate as the shortwave trough moves through the region. In addition, some portion of the activity in central Illinois will move northeastward into parts of northern Indiana. Destabilization should continue through the afternoon, particularly in northern Indiana into southern Lower Michigan. MLCAPE in northeast Illinois is 500-750 J/kg and it is not clear how much more buoyancy will develop before the fast moving storms move through. The greatest risk will be strong/damaging wind gusts with what is expected to be one or more linear segments. Large hail is possible, but should be more spatially limited given storm mode. The tornado threat is less clear this far north. Low-level winds are veered and effective SRH values from objective mesoanalysis and regional VAD profiles is not large. However, the QLCS tornado threat is nonzero as line-embedded circulations are certainly possible. A watch is likely this afternoon. ..Wendt/Smith.. 03/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...LOT...ILX... LAT...LON 40848645 40448774 40378826 40878876 41708893 41928887 42328804 42768640 42598582 41918550 40948614 40848645 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

SPC MD 298

4 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0298 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL INTO EAST-CENTRAL MISSOURI
Mesoscale Discussion 0298 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1217 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Areas affected...South-central into east-central Missouri Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 301717Z - 301915Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Isolated small to marginally severe hail and strong wind gusts possible into mid-afternoon. A watch is not anticipated. DISCUSSION...With a secondary shortwave trough pivoting out of Oklahoma, additional convection has developed both along and just behind the cold front. Convection behind the cold front will be elevated, but cold temperatures aloft and 30-35 kts of effective shear will support some threat for small to perhaps marginally severe hail. Convection along the front will likely remain linear, but initial development could pose a similar hail threat with the addition of an isolated strong gust or two. A watch is not expected for this activity. ..Wendt/Smith.. 03/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF... LAT...LON 36999360 37579360 38279227 38699133 38849085 38879029 38739012 38409026 38029055 36979165 36759237 36669318 36999360 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

SPC MD 297

4 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0297 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
Mesoscale Discussion 0297 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1204 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Areas affected...Parts of the Florida Peninsula Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 301704Z - 301930Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorm coverage is expected to increase across the Florida Peninsula through the afternoon. Sporadic damaging winds, and perhaps large hail, will be possible, but watch issuance is not expected. DISCUSSION...Deep convective development is underway across the southeastern FL Peninsula as temperatures warm into the low to mid 80s within a moist and uncapped environment. Rapid lightning jumps and cooling cloud top temperatures in some cells across southern FL suggest that convection is beginning to realize the nearly 3000 J/kg SBCAPE environment. Continued daytime heating will steepen near-surface lapse rates and support an environment favorable for damaging downburst winds through the afternoon. As storms spread northward they should be influenced by slightly stronger mid-level flow in proximity to a weak upper disturbance over northern FL. This may promote some storm organization/longevity and attendant hail threat; however, effective bulk wind shear values are forecast to remain somewhat marginal (around 20-25 knots) through the day, and storm interactions/outflows may limit the potential for transient supercells. As such, the severe threat is not expected to reach sufficient intensity/coverage to warrant watch issuance. ..Moore/Smith.. 03/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW... LAT...LON 25688021 25808073 26278134 26898183 27748223 28238216 28638162 28868121 28868096 28678074 28068046 27518024 26957996 26677989 26147998 25828000 25718004 25688021 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more