SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0434 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z Widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures accompanying an active trough pattern will mitigate fire weather concerns across the eastern U.S., as well as portions of the Southern Plains through the forecast period. An upper-level ridge, supporting dry and warmer than normal temperatures across the Western U.S., is expected to linger into early next week, though surface winds will remain light. Mid-level ridging transitions into a more zonal flow pattern beginning D6 (Sunday). The potential for stronger leeward downsloping winds emerges late in the forecast period across leeward northern Rockies locations, as northwest flow increases under an amplifying upper ridge across the western U.S. However, some precipitation in the Northern Plains increases the uncertainty in emergent Critical fire weather conditions during this time. ..Squitieri/Williams.. 04/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0434 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z Widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures accompanying an active trough pattern will mitigate fire weather concerns across the eastern U.S., as well as portions of the Southern Plains through the forecast period. An upper-level ridge, supporting dry and warmer than normal temperatures across the Western U.S., is expected to linger into early next week, though surface winds will remain light. Mid-level ridging transitions into a more zonal flow pattern beginning D6 (Sunday). The potential for stronger leeward downsloping winds emerges late in the forecast period across leeward northern Rockies locations, as northwest flow increases under an amplifying upper ridge across the western U.S. However, some precipitation in the Northern Plains increases the uncertainty in emergent Critical fire weather conditions during this time. ..Squitieri/Williams.. 04/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0434 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z Widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures accompanying an active trough pattern will mitigate fire weather concerns across the eastern U.S., as well as portions of the Southern Plains through the forecast period. An upper-level ridge, supporting dry and warmer than normal temperatures across the Western U.S., is expected to linger into early next week, though surface winds will remain light. Mid-level ridging transitions into a more zonal flow pattern beginning D6 (Sunday). The potential for stronger leeward downsloping winds emerges late in the forecast period across leeward northern Rockies locations, as northwest flow increases under an amplifying upper ridge across the western U.S. However, some precipitation in the Northern Plains increases the uncertainty in emergent Critical fire weather conditions during this time. ..Squitieri/Williams.. 04/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0434 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z Widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures accompanying an active trough pattern will mitigate fire weather concerns across the eastern U.S., as well as portions of the Southern Plains through the forecast period. An upper-level ridge, supporting dry and warmer than normal temperatures across the Western U.S., is expected to linger into early next week, though surface winds will remain light. Mid-level ridging transitions into a more zonal flow pattern beginning D6 (Sunday). The potential for stronger leeward downsloping winds emerges late in the forecast period across leeward northern Rockies locations, as northwest flow increases under an amplifying upper ridge across the western U.S. However, some precipitation in the Northern Plains increases the uncertainty in emergent Critical fire weather conditions during this time. ..Squitieri/Williams.. 04/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0434 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z Widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures accompanying an active trough pattern will mitigate fire weather concerns across the eastern U.S., as well as portions of the Southern Plains through the forecast period. An upper-level ridge, supporting dry and warmer than normal temperatures across the Western U.S., is expected to linger into early next week, though surface winds will remain light. Mid-level ridging transitions into a more zonal flow pattern beginning D6 (Sunday). The potential for stronger leeward downsloping winds emerges late in the forecast period across leeward northern Rockies locations, as northwest flow increases under an amplifying upper ridge across the western U.S. However, some precipitation in the Northern Plains increases the uncertainty in emergent Critical fire weather conditions during this time. ..Squitieri/Williams.. 04/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0434 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z Widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures accompanying an active trough pattern will mitigate fire weather concerns across the eastern U.S., as well as portions of the Southern Plains through the forecast period. An upper-level ridge, supporting dry and warmer than normal temperatures across the Western U.S., is expected to linger into early next week, though surface winds will remain light. Mid-level ridging transitions into a more zonal flow pattern beginning D6 (Sunday). The potential for stronger leeward downsloping winds emerges late in the forecast period across leeward northern Rockies locations, as northwest flow increases under an amplifying upper ridge across the western U.S. However, some precipitation in the Northern Plains increases the uncertainty in emergent Critical fire weather conditions during this time. ..Squitieri/Williams.. 04/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0434 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z Widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures accompanying an active trough pattern will mitigate fire weather concerns across the eastern U.S., as well as portions of the Southern Plains through the forecast period. An upper-level ridge, supporting dry and warmer than normal temperatures across the Western U.S., is expected to linger into early next week, though surface winds will remain light. Mid-level ridging transitions into a more zonal flow pattern beginning D6 (Sunday). The potential for stronger leeward downsloping winds emerges late in the forecast period across leeward northern Rockies locations, as northwest flow increases under an amplifying upper ridge across the western U.S. However, some precipitation in the Northern Plains increases the uncertainty in emergent Critical fire weather conditions during this time. ..Squitieri/Williams.. 04/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0434 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z Widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures accompanying an active trough pattern will mitigate fire weather concerns across the eastern U.S., as well as portions of the Southern Plains through the forecast period. An upper-level ridge, supporting dry and warmer than normal temperatures across the Western U.S., is expected to linger into early next week, though surface winds will remain light. Mid-level ridging transitions into a more zonal flow pattern beginning D6 (Sunday). The potential for stronger leeward downsloping winds emerges late in the forecast period across leeward northern Rockies locations, as northwest flow increases under an amplifying upper ridge across the western U.S. However, some precipitation in the Northern Plains increases the uncertainty in emergent Critical fire weather conditions during this time. ..Squitieri/Williams.. 04/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0434 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z Widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures accompanying an active trough pattern will mitigate fire weather concerns across the eastern U.S., as well as portions of the Southern Plains through the forecast period. An upper-level ridge, supporting dry and warmer than normal temperatures across the Western U.S., is expected to linger into early next week, though surface winds will remain light. Mid-level ridging transitions into a more zonal flow pattern beginning D6 (Sunday). The potential for stronger leeward downsloping winds emerges late in the forecast period across leeward northern Rockies locations, as northwest flow increases under an amplifying upper ridge across the western U.S. However, some precipitation in the Northern Plains increases the uncertainty in emergent Critical fire weather conditions during this time. ..Squitieri/Williams.. 04/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0434 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z Widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures accompanying an active trough pattern will mitigate fire weather concerns across the eastern U.S., as well as portions of the Southern Plains through the forecast period. An upper-level ridge, supporting dry and warmer than normal temperatures across the Western U.S., is expected to linger into early next week, though surface winds will remain light. Mid-level ridging transitions into a more zonal flow pattern beginning D6 (Sunday). The potential for stronger leeward downsloping winds emerges late in the forecast period across leeward northern Rockies locations, as northwest flow increases under an amplifying upper ridge across the western U.S. However, some precipitation in the Northern Plains increases the uncertainty in emergent Critical fire weather conditions during this time. ..Squitieri/Williams.. 04/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0434 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z Widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures accompanying an active trough pattern will mitigate fire weather concerns across the eastern U.S., as well as portions of the Southern Plains through the forecast period. An upper-level ridge, supporting dry and warmer than normal temperatures across the Western U.S., is expected to linger into early next week, though surface winds will remain light. Mid-level ridging transitions into a more zonal flow pattern beginning D6 (Sunday). The potential for stronger leeward downsloping winds emerges late in the forecast period across leeward northern Rockies locations, as northwest flow increases under an amplifying upper ridge across the western U.S. However, some precipitation in the Northern Plains increases the uncertainty in emergent Critical fire weather conditions during this time. ..Squitieri/Williams.. 04/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0434 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z Widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures accompanying an active trough pattern will mitigate fire weather concerns across the eastern U.S., as well as portions of the Southern Plains through the forecast period. An upper-level ridge, supporting dry and warmer than normal temperatures across the Western U.S., is expected to linger into early next week, though surface winds will remain light. Mid-level ridging transitions into a more zonal flow pattern beginning D6 (Sunday). The potential for stronger leeward downsloping winds emerges late in the forecast period across leeward northern Rockies locations, as northwest flow increases under an amplifying upper ridge across the western U.S. However, some precipitation in the Northern Plains increases the uncertainty in emergent Critical fire weather conditions during this time. ..Squitieri/Williams.. 04/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0434 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z Widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures accompanying an active trough pattern will mitigate fire weather concerns across the eastern U.S., as well as portions of the Southern Plains through the forecast period. An upper-level ridge, supporting dry and warmer than normal temperatures across the Western U.S., is expected to linger into early next week, though surface winds will remain light. Mid-level ridging transitions into a more zonal flow pattern beginning D6 (Sunday). The potential for stronger leeward downsloping winds emerges late in the forecast period across leeward northern Rockies locations, as northwest flow increases under an amplifying upper ridge across the western U.S. However, some precipitation in the Northern Plains increases the uncertainty in emergent Critical fire weather conditions during this time. ..Squitieri/Williams.. 04/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0434 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z Widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures accompanying an active trough pattern will mitigate fire weather concerns across the eastern U.S., as well as portions of the Southern Plains through the forecast period. An upper-level ridge, supporting dry and warmer than normal temperatures across the Western U.S., is expected to linger into early next week, though surface winds will remain light. Mid-level ridging transitions into a more zonal flow pattern beginning D6 (Sunday). The potential for stronger leeward downsloping winds emerges late in the forecast period across leeward northern Rockies locations, as northwest flow increases under an amplifying upper ridge across the western U.S. However, some precipitation in the Northern Plains increases the uncertainty in emergent Critical fire weather conditions during this time. ..Squitieri/Williams.. 04/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0434 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z Widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures accompanying an active trough pattern will mitigate fire weather concerns across the eastern U.S., as well as portions of the Southern Plains through the forecast period. An upper-level ridge, supporting dry and warmer than normal temperatures across the Western U.S., is expected to linger into early next week, though surface winds will remain light. Mid-level ridging transitions into a more zonal flow pattern beginning D6 (Sunday). The potential for stronger leeward downsloping winds emerges late in the forecast period across leeward northern Rockies locations, as northwest flow increases under an amplifying upper ridge across the western U.S. However, some precipitation in the Northern Plains increases the uncertainty in emergent Critical fire weather conditions during this time. ..Squitieri/Williams.. 04/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0434 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z Widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures accompanying an active trough pattern will mitigate fire weather concerns across the eastern U.S., as well as portions of the Southern Plains through the forecast period. An upper-level ridge, supporting dry and warmer than normal temperatures across the Western U.S., is expected to linger into early next week, though surface winds will remain light. Mid-level ridging transitions into a more zonal flow pattern beginning D6 (Sunday). The potential for stronger leeward downsloping winds emerges late in the forecast period across leeward northern Rockies locations, as northwest flow increases under an amplifying upper ridge across the western U.S. However, some precipitation in the Northern Plains increases the uncertainty in emergent Critical fire weather conditions during this time. ..Squitieri/Williams.. 04/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 4 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0434 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z Widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures accompanying an active trough pattern will mitigate fire weather concerns across the eastern U.S., as well as portions of the Southern Plains through the forecast period. An upper-level ridge, supporting dry and warmer than normal temperatures across the Western U.S., is expected to linger into early next week, though surface winds will remain light. Mid-level ridging transitions into a more zonal flow pattern beginning D6 (Sunday). The potential for stronger leeward downsloping winds emerges late in the forecast period across leeward northern Rockies locations, as northwest flow increases under an amplifying upper ridge across the western U.S. However, some precipitation in the Northern Plains increases the uncertainty in emergent Critical fire weather conditions during this time. ..Squitieri/Williams.. 04/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 107 Status Reports

4 months 4 weeks ago
WW 0107 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 107 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SUPINIE..04/03/25 ATTN...WFO...MEG...LMK...JKL...OHX...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 107 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC035-077-107-032240- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRITTENDEN LEE PHILLIPS KYC001-003-009-013-025-045-051-053-057-095-109-119-121-125-129- 131-133-137-147-169-171-189-193-199-203-207-213-231-235- 032240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN BARREN BELL BREATHITT CASEY CLAY CLINTON CUMBERLAND HARLAN JACKSON KNOTT KNOX LAUREL LEE LESLIE LETCHER LINCOLN MCCREARY METCALFE MONROE OWSLEY PERRY PULASKI ROCKCASTLE RUSSELL SIMPSON WAYNE WHITLEY Read more

SPC MD 379

4 months 4 weeks ago
MD 0379 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 107... FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
Mesoscale Discussion 0379 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0211 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025 Areas affected...eastern Kentucky Concerning...Tornado Watch 107... Valid 031911Z - 032115Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 107 continues. SUMMARY...Storms across eastern Kentucky continue to pose a threat of damaging winds, hail, and tornadoes this afternoon. DISCUSSION...Sustained low-level warm-air advection continues to support thunderstorms across eastern Kentucky. Afternoon insolation and a narrow axis of better moisture (upper 60s dewpoints) extending into eastern Kentucky have resulted in MLCAPE values approaching 1000 J/kg. The deep-layer flow and shear (over 50 kts per mesoanalysis and local VWPs) are more than sufficient for organized storm modes. Currently, the dominant convective mode of north-south oriented bands along the differential heating zone seems to favor severe-wind potential at this time; however, the strong low-level shear would support tornado potential pending a more favorable convective mode. ..Jirak.. 04/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...JKL...LMK... LAT...LON 37058597 37458492 37808397 37838326 37858314 37768271 37498253 37238280 37158316 37078347 36998401 36778495 36728558 36728576 37058597 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 109 Status Reports

4 months 4 weeks ago
WW 0109 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 109 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0382 ..DEAN..04/03/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 109 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC001-003-011-013-017-025-027-039-041-043-057-069-073-079-081- 091-095-099-103-139-032140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY CALHOUN CHICOT CLEVELAND COLUMBIA DALLAS DESHA DREW HEMPSTEAD JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LINCOLN LITTLE RIVER MILLER MONROE NEVADA OUACHITA UNION LAC015-017-027-111-119-032140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BOSSIER CADDO CLAIBORNE UNION WEBSTER Read more