Aggregator

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0503 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z Across the eastern US, ridging will favor dry conditions but with only modest winds through much of the forecast period. Mid-level flow will trend more zonal and weaken slightly over the next several days, before a more amplified pattern emerges mid to late week next week. Lee troughing and westerly flow will increase from the Rockies to the Southwest. This will tend to support an increase in fire-weather concerns midweek and beyond. ...Southwest and Great Basin... As flow aloft becomes more amplified, a stronger upper trough will eject eastward over the Rockies and high Plains supporting strong southwesterly flow a loft. A cooler air mass behind a remnant backdoor front over the southern high Plains will gradually warm and dry through early next week. Dry downslope winds will increase midweek as the main upper trough moves east. Elevated to critical conditions are possible D5/Wed and beyond. Uncertainty on the upper-level evolution remains fairly large, but ensemble agreement increases fire-weather concerns through next weekend. ...Central High Plains... As flow aloft becomes more zonal, westerly downslope flow is likely early next week. Downslope winds may reach critical criteria at times, but substantial uncertainty remains on diurnal RH minimums given the cooler surface temperatures and precipitation over the preceding days. Localized fire-weather concerns will remain possible, but widespread concerns are not expected. ...Southeast... Dry and occasional breezy conditions are possible over much of the Southeast and FL through next week. High pressure over the eastern US will support above normal temperatures and almost no precipitation. This could support some localized fire-weather risk, given the ongoing state of dry fuels and additional drought development. However, confidence in the coverage and intensity of fire-weather conditions is low as winds are not expected to be very strong beneath high pressure. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0503 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z Across the eastern US, ridging will favor dry conditions but with only modest winds through much of the forecast period. Mid-level flow will trend more zonal and weaken slightly over the next several days, before a more amplified pattern emerges mid to late week next week. Lee troughing and westerly flow will increase from the Rockies to the Southwest. This will tend to support an increase in fire-weather concerns midweek and beyond. ...Southwest and Great Basin... As flow aloft becomes more amplified, a stronger upper trough will eject eastward over the Rockies and high Plains supporting strong southwesterly flow a loft. A cooler air mass behind a remnant backdoor front over the southern high Plains will gradually warm and dry through early next week. Dry downslope winds will increase midweek as the main upper trough moves east. Elevated to critical conditions are possible D5/Wed and beyond. Uncertainty on the upper-level evolution remains fairly large, but ensemble agreement increases fire-weather concerns through next weekend. ...Central High Plains... As flow aloft becomes more zonal, westerly downslope flow is likely early next week. Downslope winds may reach critical criteria at times, but substantial uncertainty remains on diurnal RH minimums given the cooler surface temperatures and precipitation over the preceding days. Localized fire-weather concerns will remain possible, but widespread concerns are not expected. ...Southeast... Dry and occasional breezy conditions are possible over much of the Southeast and FL through next week. High pressure over the eastern US will support above normal temperatures and almost no precipitation. This could support some localized fire-weather risk, given the ongoing state of dry fuels and additional drought development. However, confidence in the coverage and intensity of fire-weather conditions is low as winds are not expected to be very strong beneath high pressure. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0503 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z Across the eastern US, ridging will favor dry conditions but with only modest winds through much of the forecast period. Mid-level flow will trend more zonal and weaken slightly over the next several days, before a more amplified pattern emerges mid to late week next week. Lee troughing and westerly flow will increase from the Rockies to the Southwest. This will tend to support an increase in fire-weather concerns midweek and beyond. ...Southwest and Great Basin... As flow aloft becomes more amplified, a stronger upper trough will eject eastward over the Rockies and high Plains supporting strong southwesterly flow a loft. A cooler air mass behind a remnant backdoor front over the southern high Plains will gradually warm and dry through early next week. Dry downslope winds will increase midweek as the main upper trough moves east. Elevated to critical conditions are possible D5/Wed and beyond. Uncertainty on the upper-level evolution remains fairly large, but ensemble agreement increases fire-weather concerns through next weekend. ...Central High Plains... As flow aloft becomes more zonal, westerly downslope flow is likely early next week. Downslope winds may reach critical criteria at times, but substantial uncertainty remains on diurnal RH minimums given the cooler surface temperatures and precipitation over the preceding days. Localized fire-weather concerns will remain possible, but widespread concerns are not expected. ...Southeast... Dry and occasional breezy conditions are possible over much of the Southeast and FL through next week. High pressure over the eastern US will support above normal temperatures and almost no precipitation. This could support some localized fire-weather risk, given the ongoing state of dry fuels and additional drought development. However, confidence in the coverage and intensity of fire-weather conditions is low as winds are not expected to be very strong beneath high pressure. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

MD 0485 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 147... FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0485 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0421 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Areas affected...Portions of southwestern Texas Concerning...Tornado Watch 147... Valid 192121Z - 192215Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 147 continues. SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 147. The highest tornado threat exists with supercells interacting with a boundary. DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells have become sustained across portions of southwestern Texas, with the lead supercell having a history of producing a tornado while interacting with a mesoscale baroclinic boundary. While severe gusts and hail will remain a concern with these storms over the next several hours, additional tornadoes remain possible with any of these storms if their updrafts can anchor to the boundary and effectively ingest locally higher SRH. ..Squitieri.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF... LAT...LON 31080228 32170133 32850017 32939959 32569937 32029956 31550001 31220058 31040114 30940195 31080228 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN Read more

MD 0484 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN INDIANA...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...AND SOUTHWESTERN OHIO
Mesoscale Discussion 0484 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Areas affected...parts of southern Indiana...northern Kentucky...and southwestern Ohio Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 191925Z - 192130Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...A few stronger storms -- capable producing strong wind gusts and small hail -- will be possible this afternoon. WW issuance is not anticipated at this time. DISCUSSION...Latest satellite imagery shows that filtered sunshine -- and associated afternoon heating -- has occurred over the last couple of hours, but with an increase in cu/cb at this time -- particularly over southern Indiana. On the western fringe of the cumuliform cloudiness, radar indicates increasing deep convection (over far southwestern Indiana) near the cold front, with some lightning now indicated. RAP-based objective analysis shows -- aided by the aforementioned heating -- that mixed-layer CAPE has increased to near/just above 500 J/kg, and with a bit of additional heating destabilization possible, some increase in convective intensity is expected over the next couple of hours. With low-level flow weakly veering, and increasing to 50 kt between 2km and 3km AGL, and in excess of 70 kt at mid levels, shear is plenty sufficient to aid in convective organization, and associated potential for strong wind gusts locally. Though coverage of any severe-weather reports would likely remain sparse, thus negating any current consideration for WW issuance, we will continue to monitor environmental evolution across the area. ..Goss/Mosier.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...JKL...ILN...LMK...IND...PAH... LAT...LON 37898660 37938741 38488714 39268587 39918382 39418305 38518373 38328457 37898660 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

MD 0483 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0483 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Areas affected...Portions of western and central Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 191858Z - 192030Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Supercell thunderstorms capable of large hail (2.00-3.50 in) and 65-80 MPH winds likely over portions of western and central Texas through this evening DISCUSSION...Current visible satellite and radar imagery show developing thunderstorms along a mostly stationary boundary draped SW-NE across western and central Texas. With steep lapse rates and 80kts of effective bulk shear, supercells capable of large hail (2.00-3.50 inch) and damaging winds (65-80 MPH) will develop along the boundary and move north and eastward through the afternoon and evening. Lack of low-level shear will keep the tornado threat low for the moment, though cannot be ruled out as shear increases into the evening. A severe thunderstorm watch will be likely within the next hour. ..Halbert/Mosier.. 04/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF... LAT...LON 30200249 30430266 30580273 30850263 31620231 32400172 32850124 33370006 33659940 33789850 33669804 33469756 33269735 32879727 32459736 31879770 31579806 31249838 30959867 30519918 30209975 29950033 29800082 29770127 29850190 29990219 30200249 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...20z Update... The prior outlook remains valid with no changes. Relatively dry and breezy easterly winds may support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential over western FL. Offshore flow over parts of New England could support some localized fire-weather risk, but wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures are unlikely to favor much drying of fuels. See the previous discussion. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0214 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will progress toward the OH Valley, encouraging the deepening of a surface cyclone as it tracks from the southern Plains to the Great Lakes tomorrow (Sunday). Another mid-level trough will eject into the Atlantic from New England, promoting deep-layer offshore flow across the region. Dry southeasterly surface flow is expected across western portions of the Florida Peninsula again Sunday afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained winds amid 25-40 percent RH will support Elevated fire conditions given dry fuels. Solidly Elevated meteorological conditions are also likely across coastal New England in association with the deep-layer offshore flow. However, recent appreciable rainfall accumulations will likely dampen fuels to the point where any wildfire-spread potential that manifests will likely be localized in nature. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...20z Update... The prior outlook remains valid with no changes. Relatively dry and breezy easterly winds may support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential over western FL. Offshore flow over parts of New England could support some localized fire-weather risk, but wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures are unlikely to favor much drying of fuels. See the previous discussion. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0214 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will progress toward the OH Valley, encouraging the deepening of a surface cyclone as it tracks from the southern Plains to the Great Lakes tomorrow (Sunday). Another mid-level trough will eject into the Atlantic from New England, promoting deep-layer offshore flow across the region. Dry southeasterly surface flow is expected across western portions of the Florida Peninsula again Sunday afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained winds amid 25-40 percent RH will support Elevated fire conditions given dry fuels. Solidly Elevated meteorological conditions are also likely across coastal New England in association with the deep-layer offshore flow. However, recent appreciable rainfall accumulations will likely dampen fuels to the point where any wildfire-spread potential that manifests will likely be localized in nature. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...20z Update... The prior outlook remains valid with no changes. Relatively dry and breezy easterly winds may support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential over western FL. Offshore flow over parts of New England could support some localized fire-weather risk, but wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures are unlikely to favor much drying of fuels. See the previous discussion. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0214 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will progress toward the OH Valley, encouraging the deepening of a surface cyclone as it tracks from the southern Plains to the Great Lakes tomorrow (Sunday). Another mid-level trough will eject into the Atlantic from New England, promoting deep-layer offshore flow across the region. Dry southeasterly surface flow is expected across western portions of the Florida Peninsula again Sunday afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained winds amid 25-40 percent RH will support Elevated fire conditions given dry fuels. Solidly Elevated meteorological conditions are also likely across coastal New England in association with the deep-layer offshore flow. However, recent appreciable rainfall accumulations will likely dampen fuels to the point where any wildfire-spread potential that manifests will likely be localized in nature. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...20z Update... The prior outlook remains valid with no changes. Relatively dry and breezy easterly winds may support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential over western FL. Offshore flow over parts of New England could support some localized fire-weather risk, but wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures are unlikely to favor much drying of fuels. See the previous discussion. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0214 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will progress toward the OH Valley, encouraging the deepening of a surface cyclone as it tracks from the southern Plains to the Great Lakes tomorrow (Sunday). Another mid-level trough will eject into the Atlantic from New England, promoting deep-layer offshore flow across the region. Dry southeasterly surface flow is expected across western portions of the Florida Peninsula again Sunday afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained winds amid 25-40 percent RH will support Elevated fire conditions given dry fuels. Solidly Elevated meteorological conditions are also likely across coastal New England in association with the deep-layer offshore flow. However, recent appreciable rainfall accumulations will likely dampen fuels to the point where any wildfire-spread potential that manifests will likely be localized in nature. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...20z Update... The prior outlook remains valid with no changes. Relatively dry and breezy easterly winds may support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential over western FL. Offshore flow over parts of New England could support some localized fire-weather risk, but wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures are unlikely to favor much drying of fuels. See the previous discussion. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0214 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will progress toward the OH Valley, encouraging the deepening of a surface cyclone as it tracks from the southern Plains to the Great Lakes tomorrow (Sunday). Another mid-level trough will eject into the Atlantic from New England, promoting deep-layer offshore flow across the region. Dry southeasterly surface flow is expected across western portions of the Florida Peninsula again Sunday afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained winds amid 25-40 percent RH will support Elevated fire conditions given dry fuels. Solidly Elevated meteorological conditions are also likely across coastal New England in association with the deep-layer offshore flow. However, recent appreciable rainfall accumulations will likely dampen fuels to the point where any wildfire-spread potential that manifests will likely be localized in nature. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...20z Update... The prior outlook remains valid with no changes. Relatively dry and breezy easterly winds may support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential over western FL. Offshore flow over parts of New England could support some localized fire-weather risk, but wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures are unlikely to favor much drying of fuels. See the previous discussion. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0214 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will progress toward the OH Valley, encouraging the deepening of a surface cyclone as it tracks from the southern Plains to the Great Lakes tomorrow (Sunday). Another mid-level trough will eject into the Atlantic from New England, promoting deep-layer offshore flow across the region. Dry southeasterly surface flow is expected across western portions of the Florida Peninsula again Sunday afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained winds amid 25-40 percent RH will support Elevated fire conditions given dry fuels. Solidly Elevated meteorological conditions are also likely across coastal New England in association with the deep-layer offshore flow. However, recent appreciable rainfall accumulations will likely dampen fuels to the point where any wildfire-spread potential that manifests will likely be localized in nature. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...20z Update... The prior outlook remains valid with no changes. Relatively dry and breezy easterly winds may support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential over western FL. Offshore flow over parts of New England could support some localized fire-weather risk, but wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures are unlikely to favor much drying of fuels. See the previous discussion. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0214 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will progress toward the OH Valley, encouraging the deepening of a surface cyclone as it tracks from the southern Plains to the Great Lakes tomorrow (Sunday). Another mid-level trough will eject into the Atlantic from New England, promoting deep-layer offshore flow across the region. Dry southeasterly surface flow is expected across western portions of the Florida Peninsula again Sunday afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained winds amid 25-40 percent RH will support Elevated fire conditions given dry fuels. Solidly Elevated meteorological conditions are also likely across coastal New England in association with the deep-layer offshore flow. However, recent appreciable rainfall accumulations will likely dampen fuels to the point where any wildfire-spread potential that manifests will likely be localized in nature. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...20z Update... The prior outlook remains valid with no changes. Relatively dry and breezy easterly winds may support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential over western FL. Offshore flow over parts of New England could support some localized fire-weather risk, but wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures are unlikely to favor much drying of fuels. See the previous discussion. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0214 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will progress toward the OH Valley, encouraging the deepening of a surface cyclone as it tracks from the southern Plains to the Great Lakes tomorrow (Sunday). Another mid-level trough will eject into the Atlantic from New England, promoting deep-layer offshore flow across the region. Dry southeasterly surface flow is expected across western portions of the Florida Peninsula again Sunday afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained winds amid 25-40 percent RH will support Elevated fire conditions given dry fuels. Solidly Elevated meteorological conditions are also likely across coastal New England in association with the deep-layer offshore flow. However, recent appreciable rainfall accumulations will likely dampen fuels to the point where any wildfire-spread potential that manifests will likely be localized in nature. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...20z Update... The prior outlook remains valid with no changes. Relatively dry and breezy easterly winds may support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential over western FL. Offshore flow over parts of New England could support some localized fire-weather risk, but wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures are unlikely to favor much drying of fuels. See the previous discussion. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0214 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will progress toward the OH Valley, encouraging the deepening of a surface cyclone as it tracks from the southern Plains to the Great Lakes tomorrow (Sunday). Another mid-level trough will eject into the Atlantic from New England, promoting deep-layer offshore flow across the region. Dry southeasterly surface flow is expected across western portions of the Florida Peninsula again Sunday afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained winds amid 25-40 percent RH will support Elevated fire conditions given dry fuels. Solidly Elevated meteorological conditions are also likely across coastal New England in association with the deep-layer offshore flow. However, recent appreciable rainfall accumulations will likely dampen fuels to the point where any wildfire-spread potential that manifests will likely be localized in nature. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...20z Update... The prior outlook remains valid with no changes. Relatively dry and breezy easterly winds may support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential over western FL. Offshore flow over parts of New England could support some localized fire-weather risk, but wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures are unlikely to favor much drying of fuels. See the previous discussion. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0214 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will progress toward the OH Valley, encouraging the deepening of a surface cyclone as it tracks from the southern Plains to the Great Lakes tomorrow (Sunday). Another mid-level trough will eject into the Atlantic from New England, promoting deep-layer offshore flow across the region. Dry southeasterly surface flow is expected across western portions of the Florida Peninsula again Sunday afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained winds amid 25-40 percent RH will support Elevated fire conditions given dry fuels. Solidly Elevated meteorological conditions are also likely across coastal New England in association with the deep-layer offshore flow. However, recent appreciable rainfall accumulations will likely dampen fuels to the point where any wildfire-spread potential that manifests will likely be localized in nature. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...20z Update... The prior outlook remains valid with no changes. Relatively dry and breezy easterly winds may support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential over western FL. Offshore flow over parts of New England could support some localized fire-weather risk, but wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures are unlikely to favor much drying of fuels. See the previous discussion. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0214 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will progress toward the OH Valley, encouraging the deepening of a surface cyclone as it tracks from the southern Plains to the Great Lakes tomorrow (Sunday). Another mid-level trough will eject into the Atlantic from New England, promoting deep-layer offshore flow across the region. Dry southeasterly surface flow is expected across western portions of the Florida Peninsula again Sunday afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained winds amid 25-40 percent RH will support Elevated fire conditions given dry fuels. Solidly Elevated meteorological conditions are also likely across coastal New England in association with the deep-layer offshore flow. However, recent appreciable rainfall accumulations will likely dampen fuels to the point where any wildfire-spread potential that manifests will likely be localized in nature. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...20z Update... The prior outlook remains valid with no changes. Relatively dry and breezy easterly winds may support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential over western FL. Offshore flow over parts of New England could support some localized fire-weather risk, but wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures are unlikely to favor much drying of fuels. See the previous discussion. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0214 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will progress toward the OH Valley, encouraging the deepening of a surface cyclone as it tracks from the southern Plains to the Great Lakes tomorrow (Sunday). Another mid-level trough will eject into the Atlantic from New England, promoting deep-layer offshore flow across the region. Dry southeasterly surface flow is expected across western portions of the Florida Peninsula again Sunday afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained winds amid 25-40 percent RH will support Elevated fire conditions given dry fuels. Solidly Elevated meteorological conditions are also likely across coastal New England in association with the deep-layer offshore flow. However, recent appreciable rainfall accumulations will likely dampen fuels to the point where any wildfire-spread potential that manifests will likely be localized in nature. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...20z Update... The prior outlook remains valid with no changes. Relatively dry and breezy easterly winds may support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential over western FL. Offshore flow over parts of New England could support some localized fire-weather risk, but wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures are unlikely to favor much drying of fuels. See the previous discussion. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0214 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will progress toward the OH Valley, encouraging the deepening of a surface cyclone as it tracks from the southern Plains to the Great Lakes tomorrow (Sunday). Another mid-level trough will eject into the Atlantic from New England, promoting deep-layer offshore flow across the region. Dry southeasterly surface flow is expected across western portions of the Florida Peninsula again Sunday afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained winds amid 25-40 percent RH will support Elevated fire conditions given dry fuels. Solidly Elevated meteorological conditions are also likely across coastal New England in association with the deep-layer offshore flow. However, recent appreciable rainfall accumulations will likely dampen fuels to the point where any wildfire-spread potential that manifests will likely be localized in nature. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...20z Update... The prior outlook remains valid with no changes. Relatively dry and breezy easterly winds may support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential over western FL. Offshore flow over parts of New England could support some localized fire-weather risk, but wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures are unlikely to favor much drying of fuels. See the previous discussion. ..Lyons.. 04/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0214 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will progress toward the OH Valley, encouraging the deepening of a surface cyclone as it tracks from the southern Plains to the Great Lakes tomorrow (Sunday). Another mid-level trough will eject into the Atlantic from New England, promoting deep-layer offshore flow across the region. Dry southeasterly surface flow is expected across western portions of the Florida Peninsula again Sunday afternoon. 10-15 mph sustained winds amid 25-40 percent RH will support Elevated fire conditions given dry fuels. Solidly Elevated meteorological conditions are also likely across coastal New England in association with the deep-layer offshore flow. However, recent appreciable rainfall accumulations will likely dampen fuels to the point where any wildfire-spread potential that manifests will likely be localized in nature. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more