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WW 0193 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE LOZ TO 45 E JKL. ..SPC..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC119-133-195-300340- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KNOTT LETCHER PIKE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0193 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE LOZ TO 45 E JKL. ..SPC..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC119-133-195-300340- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KNOTT LETCHER PIKE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0193 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE LOZ TO 45 E JKL. ..SPC..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC119-133-195-300340- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KNOTT LETCHER PIKE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0193 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE LOZ TO 45 E JKL. ..SPC..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC119-133-195-300340- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KNOTT LETCHER PIKE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 193 SEVERE TSTM KY 292225Z - 300500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 193 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 525 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of South-central and Eastern Kentucky * Effective this Tuesday afternoon from 525 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Clusters of storms will progress eastward across the region this evening with isolated wind damage as the main severe risk. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles northwest of Bowling Green KY to 40 miles south of Huntington WV. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 189...WW 190...WW 191...WW 192... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 26025. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0194 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 194 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0613 ..WEINMAN..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 194 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC019-033-049-067-069-085-095-099-123-137-300340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARTER COTTON GARVIN JEFFERSON JOHNSTON LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY PONTOTOC STEPHENS TXC009-023-077-097-151-181-207-237-253-275-337-417-447-485-487- 497-503-300340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY COOKE FISHER GRAYSON HASKELL JACK JONES KNOX MONTAGUE SHACKELFORD THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER WISE YOUNG Read more

WW 0193 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 WSW LOZ TO 15 NNE LOZ TO 30 S HTS. ..SPC..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC013-025-051-071-095-109-115-119-121-125-131-133-147-153-159- 189-193-195-199-231-235-300240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BELL BREATHITT CLAY FLOYD HARLAN JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT KNOX LAUREL LESLIE LETCHER MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN OWSLEY PERRY PIKE PULASKI WAYNE WHITLEY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

MD 0611 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 192...193... FOR OHIO VALLEY
Mesoscale Discussion 0611 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0659 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 Areas affected...Ohio Valley Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 192...193... Valid 292359Z - 300130Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 192, 193 continues. SUMMARY...Scattered strong-severe thunderstorms will spread across southern Ohio and Kentucky this evening. Wind and hail are the primary concern. DISCUSSION...Long-lived MCS that spread across southern IL/IN appears to be reorganizing across southern OH/KY as new convection develops ahead of the main complex. A notable MCV is located near CVG and is likely contributing to recent upscale growth immediately downstream over southern OH. Wind/hail remain a concern with this activity as it spreads east. ..Darrow.. 04/29/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK... LAT...LON 39568352 39068244 37568239 36748428 36918573 38108419 39188416 39568352 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0804 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 Valid 300100Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF WEST/NORTHWEST TX INTO SOUTHERN OK... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Multiple clusters of severe storms are expected this evening into overnight across parts of the Southern Plains. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a couple tornadoes are all possible. Clusters of storms with locally damaging wind also remain possible across parts of the Ohio Valley into the Northeast. ...Southern Plains into the Ozarks... An intense storm cluster with embedded supercells has developed across western north TX this evening. Large to very large hail and at least localized significant wind gusts will be possible with this cluster as it moves across north TX and southern OK. The downstream environment is also becoming increasingly favorable to tornadoes in the vicinity of a remnant outflow boundary, with enlarging low-level hodographs, rich low-level moisture, and moderate to strong instability in place. The storm mode may remain rather complex with additional upscale growth possible, but any persistent embedded supercells will pose a tornado threat through the evening. Later tonight, this complex may move into parts of eastern OK and the Ozarks, with continued severe potential into the overnight hours. Renewed strong to severe storm development is expected later tonight in the southwest TX vicinity, aided by an approaching mid/upper-level trough and strengthening low-level jet. The environment will remain favorable for supercells, and an additional cluster may evolve and move east-northeastward toward north TX and southern OK overnight. Large to very large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible with the late night storms, along with some tornado potential with any supercells that are able to remain surface-based near the effective cold front and outflow boundary. ...Ohio Valley into the Northeast... Much of the Ohio Valley into parts of the Northeast has stabilized in the wake of multiple severe-wind producing MCSs. However, pockets of locally moderate buoyancy from parts of KY/OH, and also into parts of northern NY. A few strong clusters and/or marginal supercells remain possible through the evening, with a threat of locally damaging wind, isolated hail, and possibly a tornado. ..Dean.. 04/30/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0804 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 Valid 300100Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF WEST/NORTHWEST TX INTO SOUTHERN OK... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Multiple clusters of severe storms are expected this evening into overnight across parts of the Southern Plains. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a couple tornadoes are all possible. Clusters of storms with locally damaging wind also remain possible across parts of the Ohio Valley into the Northeast. ...Southern Plains into the Ozarks... An intense storm cluster with embedded supercells has developed across western north TX this evening. Large to very large hail and at least localized significant wind gusts will be possible with this cluster as it moves across north TX and southern OK. The downstream environment is also becoming increasingly favorable to tornadoes in the vicinity of a remnant outflow boundary, with enlarging low-level hodographs, rich low-level moisture, and moderate to strong instability in place. The storm mode may remain rather complex with additional upscale growth possible, but any persistent embedded supercells will pose a tornado threat through the evening. Later tonight, this complex may move into parts of eastern OK and the Ozarks, with continued severe potential into the overnight hours. Renewed strong to severe storm development is expected later tonight in the southwest TX vicinity, aided by an approaching mid/upper-level trough and strengthening low-level jet. The environment will remain favorable for supercells, and an additional cluster may evolve and move east-northeastward toward north TX and southern OK overnight. Large to very large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible with the late night storms, along with some tornado potential with any supercells that are able to remain surface-based near the effective cold front and outflow boundary. ...Ohio Valley into the Northeast... Much of the Ohio Valley into parts of the Northeast has stabilized in the wake of multiple severe-wind producing MCSs. However, pockets of locally moderate buoyancy from parts of KY/OH, and also into parts of northern NY. A few strong clusters and/or marginal supercells remain possible through the evening, with a threat of locally damaging wind, isolated hail, and possibly a tornado. ..Dean.. 04/30/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0804 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 Valid 300100Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF WEST/NORTHWEST TX INTO SOUTHERN OK... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Multiple clusters of severe storms are expected this evening into overnight across parts of the Southern Plains. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a couple tornadoes are all possible. Clusters of storms with locally damaging wind also remain possible across parts of the Ohio Valley into the Northeast. ...Southern Plains into the Ozarks... An intense storm cluster with embedded supercells has developed across western north TX this evening. Large to very large hail and at least localized significant wind gusts will be possible with this cluster as it moves across north TX and southern OK. The downstream environment is also becoming increasingly favorable to tornadoes in the vicinity of a remnant outflow boundary, with enlarging low-level hodographs, rich low-level moisture, and moderate to strong instability in place. The storm mode may remain rather complex with additional upscale growth possible, but any persistent embedded supercells will pose a tornado threat through the evening. Later tonight, this complex may move into parts of eastern OK and the Ozarks, with continued severe potential into the overnight hours. Renewed strong to severe storm development is expected later tonight in the southwest TX vicinity, aided by an approaching mid/upper-level trough and strengthening low-level jet. The environment will remain favorable for supercells, and an additional cluster may evolve and move east-northeastward toward north TX and southern OK overnight. Large to very large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible with the late night storms, along with some tornado potential with any supercells that are able to remain surface-based near the effective cold front and outflow boundary. ...Ohio Valley into the Northeast... Much of the Ohio Valley into parts of the Northeast has stabilized in the wake of multiple severe-wind producing MCSs. However, pockets of locally moderate buoyancy from parts of KY/OH, and also into parts of northern NY. A few strong clusters and/or marginal supercells remain possible through the evening, with a threat of locally damaging wind, isolated hail, and possibly a tornado. ..Dean.. 04/30/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0804 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 Valid 300100Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF WEST/NORTHWEST TX INTO SOUTHERN OK... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Multiple clusters of severe storms are expected this evening into overnight across parts of the Southern Plains. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a couple tornadoes are all possible. Clusters of storms with locally damaging wind also remain possible across parts of the Ohio Valley into the Northeast. ...Southern Plains into the Ozarks... An intense storm cluster with embedded supercells has developed across western north TX this evening. Large to very large hail and at least localized significant wind gusts will be possible with this cluster as it moves across north TX and southern OK. The downstream environment is also becoming increasingly favorable to tornadoes in the vicinity of a remnant outflow boundary, with enlarging low-level hodographs, rich low-level moisture, and moderate to strong instability in place. The storm mode may remain rather complex with additional upscale growth possible, but any persistent embedded supercells will pose a tornado threat through the evening. Later tonight, this complex may move into parts of eastern OK and the Ozarks, with continued severe potential into the overnight hours. Renewed strong to severe storm development is expected later tonight in the southwest TX vicinity, aided by an approaching mid/upper-level trough and strengthening low-level jet. The environment will remain favorable for supercells, and an additional cluster may evolve and move east-northeastward toward north TX and southern OK overnight. Large to very large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible with the late night storms, along with some tornado potential with any supercells that are able to remain surface-based near the effective cold front and outflow boundary. ...Ohio Valley into the Northeast... Much of the Ohio Valley into parts of the Northeast has stabilized in the wake of multiple severe-wind producing MCSs. However, pockets of locally moderate buoyancy from parts of KY/OH, and also into parts of northern NY. A few strong clusters and/or marginal supercells remain possible through the evening, with a threat of locally damaging wind, isolated hail, and possibly a tornado. ..Dean.. 04/30/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0804 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 Valid 300100Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF WEST/NORTHWEST TX INTO SOUTHERN OK... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Multiple clusters of severe storms are expected this evening into overnight across parts of the Southern Plains. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a couple tornadoes are all possible. Clusters of storms with locally damaging wind also remain possible across parts of the Ohio Valley into the Northeast. ...Southern Plains into the Ozarks... An intense storm cluster with embedded supercells has developed across western north TX this evening. Large to very large hail and at least localized significant wind gusts will be possible with this cluster as it moves across north TX and southern OK. The downstream environment is also becoming increasingly favorable to tornadoes in the vicinity of a remnant outflow boundary, with enlarging low-level hodographs, rich low-level moisture, and moderate to strong instability in place. The storm mode may remain rather complex with additional upscale growth possible, but any persistent embedded supercells will pose a tornado threat through the evening. Later tonight, this complex may move into parts of eastern OK and the Ozarks, with continued severe potential into the overnight hours. Renewed strong to severe storm development is expected later tonight in the southwest TX vicinity, aided by an approaching mid/upper-level trough and strengthening low-level jet. The environment will remain favorable for supercells, and an additional cluster may evolve and move east-northeastward toward north TX and southern OK overnight. Large to very large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible with the late night storms, along with some tornado potential with any supercells that are able to remain surface-based near the effective cold front and outflow boundary. ...Ohio Valley into the Northeast... Much of the Ohio Valley into parts of the Northeast has stabilized in the wake of multiple severe-wind producing MCSs. However, pockets of locally moderate buoyancy from parts of KY/OH, and also into parts of northern NY. A few strong clusters and/or marginal supercells remain possible through the evening, with a threat of locally damaging wind, isolated hail, and possibly a tornado. ..Dean.. 04/30/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0804 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 Valid 300100Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF WEST/NORTHWEST TX INTO SOUTHERN OK... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Multiple clusters of severe storms are expected this evening into overnight across parts of the Southern Plains. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a couple tornadoes are all possible. Clusters of storms with locally damaging wind also remain possible across parts of the Ohio Valley into the Northeast. ...Southern Plains into the Ozarks... An intense storm cluster with embedded supercells has developed across western north TX this evening. Large to very large hail and at least localized significant wind gusts will be possible with this cluster as it moves across north TX and southern OK. The downstream environment is also becoming increasingly favorable to tornadoes in the vicinity of a remnant outflow boundary, with enlarging low-level hodographs, rich low-level moisture, and moderate to strong instability in place. The storm mode may remain rather complex with additional upscale growth possible, but any persistent embedded supercells will pose a tornado threat through the evening. Later tonight, this complex may move into parts of eastern OK and the Ozarks, with continued severe potential into the overnight hours. Renewed strong to severe storm development is expected later tonight in the southwest TX vicinity, aided by an approaching mid/upper-level trough and strengthening low-level jet. The environment will remain favorable for supercells, and an additional cluster may evolve and move east-northeastward toward north TX and southern OK overnight. Large to very large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible with the late night storms, along with some tornado potential with any supercells that are able to remain surface-based near the effective cold front and outflow boundary. ...Ohio Valley into the Northeast... Much of the Ohio Valley into parts of the Northeast has stabilized in the wake of multiple severe-wind producing MCSs. However, pockets of locally moderate buoyancy from parts of KY/OH, and also into parts of northern NY. A few strong clusters and/or marginal supercells remain possible through the evening, with a threat of locally damaging wind, isolated hail, and possibly a tornado. ..Dean.. 04/30/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0804 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 Valid 300100Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF WEST/NORTHWEST TX INTO SOUTHERN OK... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Multiple clusters of severe storms are expected this evening into overnight across parts of the Southern Plains. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a couple tornadoes are all possible. Clusters of storms with locally damaging wind also remain possible across parts of the Ohio Valley into the Northeast. ...Southern Plains into the Ozarks... An intense storm cluster with embedded supercells has developed across western north TX this evening. Large to very large hail and at least localized significant wind gusts will be possible with this cluster as it moves across north TX and southern OK. The downstream environment is also becoming increasingly favorable to tornadoes in the vicinity of a remnant outflow boundary, with enlarging low-level hodographs, rich low-level moisture, and moderate to strong instability in place. The storm mode may remain rather complex with additional upscale growth possible, but any persistent embedded supercells will pose a tornado threat through the evening. Later tonight, this complex may move into parts of eastern OK and the Ozarks, with continued severe potential into the overnight hours. Renewed strong to severe storm development is expected later tonight in the southwest TX vicinity, aided by an approaching mid/upper-level trough and strengthening low-level jet. The environment will remain favorable for supercells, and an additional cluster may evolve and move east-northeastward toward north TX and southern OK overnight. Large to very large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible with the late night storms, along with some tornado potential with any supercells that are able to remain surface-based near the effective cold front and outflow boundary. ...Ohio Valley into the Northeast... Much of the Ohio Valley into parts of the Northeast has stabilized in the wake of multiple severe-wind producing MCSs. However, pockets of locally moderate buoyancy from parts of KY/OH, and also into parts of northern NY. A few strong clusters and/or marginal supercells remain possible through the evening, with a threat of locally damaging wind, isolated hail, and possibly a tornado. ..Dean.. 04/30/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0804 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 Valid 300100Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF WEST/NORTHWEST TX INTO SOUTHERN OK... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Multiple clusters of severe storms are expected this evening into overnight across parts of the Southern Plains. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a couple tornadoes are all possible. Clusters of storms with locally damaging wind also remain possible across parts of the Ohio Valley into the Northeast. ...Southern Plains into the Ozarks... An intense storm cluster with embedded supercells has developed across western north TX this evening. Large to very large hail and at least localized significant wind gusts will be possible with this cluster as it moves across north TX and southern OK. The downstream environment is also becoming increasingly favorable to tornadoes in the vicinity of a remnant outflow boundary, with enlarging low-level hodographs, rich low-level moisture, and moderate to strong instability in place. The storm mode may remain rather complex with additional upscale growth possible, but any persistent embedded supercells will pose a tornado threat through the evening. Later tonight, this complex may move into parts of eastern OK and the Ozarks, with continued severe potential into the overnight hours. Renewed strong to severe storm development is expected later tonight in the southwest TX vicinity, aided by an approaching mid/upper-level trough and strengthening low-level jet. The environment will remain favorable for supercells, and an additional cluster may evolve and move east-northeastward toward north TX and southern OK overnight. Large to very large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible with the late night storms, along with some tornado potential with any supercells that are able to remain surface-based near the effective cold front and outflow boundary. ...Ohio Valley into the Northeast... Much of the Ohio Valley into parts of the Northeast has stabilized in the wake of multiple severe-wind producing MCSs. However, pockets of locally moderate buoyancy from parts of KY/OH, and also into parts of northern NY. A few strong clusters and/or marginal supercells remain possible through the evening, with a threat of locally damaging wind, isolated hail, and possibly a tornado. ..Dean.. 04/30/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0804 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 Valid 300100Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF WEST/NORTHWEST TX INTO SOUTHERN OK... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Multiple clusters of severe storms are expected this evening into overnight across parts of the Southern Plains. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a couple tornadoes are all possible. Clusters of storms with locally damaging wind also remain possible across parts of the Ohio Valley into the Northeast. ...Southern Plains into the Ozarks... An intense storm cluster with embedded supercells has developed across western north TX this evening. Large to very large hail and at least localized significant wind gusts will be possible with this cluster as it moves across north TX and southern OK. The downstream environment is also becoming increasingly favorable to tornadoes in the vicinity of a remnant outflow boundary, with enlarging low-level hodographs, rich low-level moisture, and moderate to strong instability in place. The storm mode may remain rather complex with additional upscale growth possible, but any persistent embedded supercells will pose a tornado threat through the evening. Later tonight, this complex may move into parts of eastern OK and the Ozarks, with continued severe potential into the overnight hours. Renewed strong to severe storm development is expected later tonight in the southwest TX vicinity, aided by an approaching mid/upper-level trough and strengthening low-level jet. The environment will remain favorable for supercells, and an additional cluster may evolve and move east-northeastward toward north TX and southern OK overnight. Large to very large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible with the late night storms, along with some tornado potential with any supercells that are able to remain surface-based near the effective cold front and outflow boundary. ...Ohio Valley into the Northeast... Much of the Ohio Valley into parts of the Northeast has stabilized in the wake of multiple severe-wind producing MCSs. However, pockets of locally moderate buoyancy from parts of KY/OH, and also into parts of northern NY. A few strong clusters and/or marginal supercells remain possible through the evening, with a threat of locally damaging wind, isolated hail, and possibly a tornado. ..Dean.. 04/30/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0804 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 Valid 300100Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF WEST/NORTHWEST TX INTO SOUTHERN OK... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Multiple clusters of severe storms are expected this evening into overnight across parts of the Southern Plains. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a couple tornadoes are all possible. Clusters of storms with locally damaging wind also remain possible across parts of the Ohio Valley into the Northeast. ...Southern Plains into the Ozarks... An intense storm cluster with embedded supercells has developed across western north TX this evening. Large to very large hail and at least localized significant wind gusts will be possible with this cluster as it moves across north TX and southern OK. The downstream environment is also becoming increasingly favorable to tornadoes in the vicinity of a remnant outflow boundary, with enlarging low-level hodographs, rich low-level moisture, and moderate to strong instability in place. The storm mode may remain rather complex with additional upscale growth possible, but any persistent embedded supercells will pose a tornado threat through the evening. Later tonight, this complex may move into parts of eastern OK and the Ozarks, with continued severe potential into the overnight hours. Renewed strong to severe storm development is expected later tonight in the southwest TX vicinity, aided by an approaching mid/upper-level trough and strengthening low-level jet. The environment will remain favorable for supercells, and an additional cluster may evolve and move east-northeastward toward north TX and southern OK overnight. Large to very large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible with the late night storms, along with some tornado potential with any supercells that are able to remain surface-based near the effective cold front and outflow boundary. ...Ohio Valley into the Northeast... Much of the Ohio Valley into parts of the Northeast has stabilized in the wake of multiple severe-wind producing MCSs. However, pockets of locally moderate buoyancy from parts of KY/OH, and also into parts of northern NY. A few strong clusters and/or marginal supercells remain possible through the evening, with a threat of locally damaging wind, isolated hail, and possibly a tornado. ..Dean.. 04/30/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0804 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 Valid 300100Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF WEST/NORTHWEST TX INTO SOUTHERN OK... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Multiple clusters of severe storms are expected this evening into overnight across parts of the Southern Plains. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a couple tornadoes are all possible. Clusters of storms with locally damaging wind also remain possible across parts of the Ohio Valley into the Northeast. ...Southern Plains into the Ozarks... An intense storm cluster with embedded supercells has developed across western north TX this evening. Large to very large hail and at least localized significant wind gusts will be possible with this cluster as it moves across north TX and southern OK. The downstream environment is also becoming increasingly favorable to tornadoes in the vicinity of a remnant outflow boundary, with enlarging low-level hodographs, rich low-level moisture, and moderate to strong instability in place. The storm mode may remain rather complex with additional upscale growth possible, but any persistent embedded supercells will pose a tornado threat through the evening. Later tonight, this complex may move into parts of eastern OK and the Ozarks, with continued severe potential into the overnight hours. Renewed strong to severe storm development is expected later tonight in the southwest TX vicinity, aided by an approaching mid/upper-level trough and strengthening low-level jet. The environment will remain favorable for supercells, and an additional cluster may evolve and move east-northeastward toward north TX and southern OK overnight. Large to very large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible with the late night storms, along with some tornado potential with any supercells that are able to remain surface-based near the effective cold front and outflow boundary. ...Ohio Valley into the Northeast... Much of the Ohio Valley into parts of the Northeast has stabilized in the wake of multiple severe-wind producing MCSs. However, pockets of locally moderate buoyancy from parts of KY/OH, and also into parts of northern NY. A few strong clusters and/or marginal supercells remain possible through the evening, with a threat of locally damaging wind, isolated hail, and possibly a tornado. ..Dean.. 04/30/2025 Read more