Aggregator

WW 194 TORNADO OK TX 292315Z - 300600Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 194 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 615 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southern Oklahoma North Texas * Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 615 PM until 100 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Clusters of storms including some embedded/semi-discrete supercells will continue to focus along a boundary, moving generally east-northeastward across the region this evening. This will likely have an increasing tornado risk this evening, with a continued large hail risk, and increasing damaging winds as potential MCS development occurs later this evening. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles north northeast of Sherman TX to 115 miles west southwest of Wichita Falls TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 189...WW 190...WW 191...WW 192...WW 193... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 23030. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0195 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0195 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0195 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0195 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0195 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0195 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

MD 0613 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 194... FOR PARTS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS ALONG THE RED RIVER
Mesoscale Discussion 0613 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0909 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 Areas affected...Parts of south-central Oklahoma and north-central Texas along the Red River Concerning...Tornado Watch 194... Valid 300209Z - 300345Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 194 continues. SUMMARY...The risk of embedded tornadoes and severe wind gusts continues across Tornado Watch 194. DISCUSSION...An MCS with embedded supercell structures has evolved over parts of south-central Oklahoma and north-central Texas, which is tracking east-northeastward at 40-50 kt. This activity is tracking along an east/west-oriented stationary boundary, with middle/upper 60s dewpoints along/south of the boundary. The rich boundary-layer moisture, focused convergence along the boundary, and strengthening low-level jet will continue to favor the maintenance of this MCS with eastward extent. Around 40 kt of deep-layer shear oriented perpendicular to the gust front (sampled by VWP) and enhanced SRH along/north of the boundary will support embedded supercell structures and mesovorticies capable of producing severe wind gusts and tornadoes. Along the southern flank of the MCS, semi-discrete storms will pose a risk of large hail and a couple tornadoes as well. ..Weinman.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT... LAT...LON 33879848 34579840 34819811 34899760 34859683 34639664 34089658 33259696 33009742 32879815 32869899 32989923 33279919 33879848 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN Read more

MD 0612 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 190... FOR PARTS OF THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS
Mesoscale Discussion 0612 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0842 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 Areas affected...Parts of the Texas South Plains Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 190... Valid 300142Z - 300345Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 190 continues. SUMMARY...The severe risk has become increasingly isolated across the Texas South Plains in WW190. However, severe potential should once again increase into the overnight hours (03-06Z time frame). DISCUSSION...In the wake of earlier severe storms across the TX South Plains, the severe risk has become increasingly isolated -- with a couple small/discrete storms capable of producing severe hail in the near-term. As a result, current thinking is that WW190 will be allowed to expire across this region at 02Z. However, as a 40-50 kt low-level jet develops and impinges on a stationary boundary draped across the area tonight, another round of thunderstorms is expected in the 03-06Z time frame. Steep deep-layer lapse rates (sampled by the MAF 00Z sounding) and 50-60 kt of effective shear will support clusters of severe storms (some potentially elevated) capable of severe hail and damaging winds. Convective and environmental trends will be monitored for the need for an additional watch. ..Weinman/Guyer.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SJT...LUB...MAF... LAT...LON 31960237 32660215 33620168 34070123 34210072 34090015 33710000 32620010 31440049 31120076 31040121 31130192 31370229 31960237 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

WW 0193 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE LOZ TO 45 E JKL. ..SPC..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC119-133-195-300340- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KNOTT LETCHER PIKE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0193 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE LOZ TO 45 E JKL. ..SPC..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC119-133-195-300340- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KNOTT LETCHER PIKE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0193 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE LOZ TO 45 E JKL. ..SPC..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC119-133-195-300340- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KNOTT LETCHER PIKE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0193 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE LOZ TO 45 E JKL. ..SPC..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC119-133-195-300340- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KNOTT LETCHER PIKE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0193 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE LOZ TO 45 E JKL. ..SPC..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC119-133-195-300340- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KNOTT LETCHER PIKE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0193 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE LOZ TO 45 E JKL. ..SPC..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC119-133-195-300340- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KNOTT LETCHER PIKE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 193 SEVERE TSTM KY 292225Z - 300500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 193 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 525 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of South-central and Eastern Kentucky * Effective this Tuesday afternoon from 525 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Clusters of storms will progress eastward across the region this evening with isolated wind damage as the main severe risk. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles northwest of Bowling Green KY to 40 miles south of Huntington WV. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 189...WW 190...WW 191...WW 192... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 26025. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0194 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 194 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0613 ..WEINMAN..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 194 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC019-033-049-067-069-085-095-099-123-137-300340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARTER COTTON GARVIN JEFFERSON JOHNSTON LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY PONTOTOC STEPHENS TXC009-023-077-097-151-181-207-237-253-275-337-417-447-485-487- 497-503-300340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY COOKE FISHER GRAYSON HASKELL JACK JONES KNOX MONTAGUE SHACKELFORD THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER WISE YOUNG Read more

WW 0193 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 WSW LOZ TO 15 NNE LOZ TO 30 S HTS. ..SPC..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 193 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC013-025-051-071-095-109-115-119-121-125-131-133-147-153-159- 189-193-195-199-231-235-300240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BELL BREATHITT CLAY FLOYD HARLAN JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT KNOX LAUREL LESLIE LETCHER MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN OWSLEY PERRY PIKE PULASKI WAYNE WHITLEY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

MD 0611 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 192...193... FOR OHIO VALLEY
Mesoscale Discussion 0611 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0659 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 Areas affected...Ohio Valley Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 192...193... Valid 292359Z - 300130Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 192, 193 continues. SUMMARY...Scattered strong-severe thunderstorms will spread across southern Ohio and Kentucky this evening. Wind and hail are the primary concern. DISCUSSION...Long-lived MCS that spread across southern IL/IN appears to be reorganizing across southern OH/KY as new convection develops ahead of the main complex. A notable MCV is located near CVG and is likely contributing to recent upscale growth immediately downstream over southern OH. Wind/hail remain a concern with this activity as it spreads east. ..Darrow.. 04/29/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK... LAT...LON 39568352 39068244 37568239 36748428 36918573 38108419 39188416 39568352 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0804 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 Valid 300100Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF WEST/NORTHWEST TX INTO SOUTHERN OK... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Multiple clusters of severe storms are expected this evening into overnight across parts of the Southern Plains. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a couple tornadoes are all possible. Clusters of storms with locally damaging wind also remain possible across parts of the Ohio Valley into the Northeast. ...Southern Plains into the Ozarks... An intense storm cluster with embedded supercells has developed across western north TX this evening. Large to very large hail and at least localized significant wind gusts will be possible with this cluster as it moves across north TX and southern OK. The downstream environment is also becoming increasingly favorable to tornadoes in the vicinity of a remnant outflow boundary, with enlarging low-level hodographs, rich low-level moisture, and moderate to strong instability in place. The storm mode may remain rather complex with additional upscale growth possible, but any persistent embedded supercells will pose a tornado threat through the evening. Later tonight, this complex may move into parts of eastern OK and the Ozarks, with continued severe potential into the overnight hours. Renewed strong to severe storm development is expected later tonight in the southwest TX vicinity, aided by an approaching mid/upper-level trough and strengthening low-level jet. The environment will remain favorable for supercells, and an additional cluster may evolve and move east-northeastward toward north TX and southern OK overnight. Large to very large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible with the late night storms, along with some tornado potential with any supercells that are able to remain surface-based near the effective cold front and outflow boundary. ...Ohio Valley into the Northeast... Much of the Ohio Valley into parts of the Northeast has stabilized in the wake of multiple severe-wind producing MCSs. However, pockets of locally moderate buoyancy from parts of KY/OH, and also into parts of northern NY. A few strong clusters and/or marginal supercells remain possible through the evening, with a threat of locally damaging wind, isolated hail, and possibly a tornado. ..Dean.. 04/30/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0804 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 Valid 300100Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF WEST/NORTHWEST TX INTO SOUTHERN OK... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Multiple clusters of severe storms are expected this evening into overnight across parts of the Southern Plains. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a couple tornadoes are all possible. Clusters of storms with locally damaging wind also remain possible across parts of the Ohio Valley into the Northeast. ...Southern Plains into the Ozarks... An intense storm cluster with embedded supercells has developed across western north TX this evening. Large to very large hail and at least localized significant wind gusts will be possible with this cluster as it moves across north TX and southern OK. The downstream environment is also becoming increasingly favorable to tornadoes in the vicinity of a remnant outflow boundary, with enlarging low-level hodographs, rich low-level moisture, and moderate to strong instability in place. The storm mode may remain rather complex with additional upscale growth possible, but any persistent embedded supercells will pose a tornado threat through the evening. Later tonight, this complex may move into parts of eastern OK and the Ozarks, with continued severe potential into the overnight hours. Renewed strong to severe storm development is expected later tonight in the southwest TX vicinity, aided by an approaching mid/upper-level trough and strengthening low-level jet. The environment will remain favorable for supercells, and an additional cluster may evolve and move east-northeastward toward north TX and southern OK overnight. Large to very large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible with the late night storms, along with some tornado potential with any supercells that are able to remain surface-based near the effective cold front and outflow boundary. ...Ohio Valley into the Northeast... Much of the Ohio Valley into parts of the Northeast has stabilized in the wake of multiple severe-wind producing MCSs. However, pockets of locally moderate buoyancy from parts of KY/OH, and also into parts of northern NY. A few strong clusters and/or marginal supercells remain possible through the evening, with a threat of locally damaging wind, isolated hail, and possibly a tornado. ..Dean.. 04/30/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0804 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 Valid 300100Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF WEST/NORTHWEST TX INTO SOUTHERN OK... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Multiple clusters of severe storms are expected this evening into overnight across parts of the Southern Plains. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a couple tornadoes are all possible. Clusters of storms with locally damaging wind also remain possible across parts of the Ohio Valley into the Northeast. ...Southern Plains into the Ozarks... An intense storm cluster with embedded supercells has developed across western north TX this evening. Large to very large hail and at least localized significant wind gusts will be possible with this cluster as it moves across north TX and southern OK. The downstream environment is also becoming increasingly favorable to tornadoes in the vicinity of a remnant outflow boundary, with enlarging low-level hodographs, rich low-level moisture, and moderate to strong instability in place. The storm mode may remain rather complex with additional upscale growth possible, but any persistent embedded supercells will pose a tornado threat through the evening. Later tonight, this complex may move into parts of eastern OK and the Ozarks, with continued severe potential into the overnight hours. Renewed strong to severe storm development is expected later tonight in the southwest TX vicinity, aided by an approaching mid/upper-level trough and strengthening low-level jet. The environment will remain favorable for supercells, and an additional cluster may evolve and move east-northeastward toward north TX and southern OK overnight. Large to very large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible with the late night storms, along with some tornado potential with any supercells that are able to remain surface-based near the effective cold front and outflow boundary. ...Ohio Valley into the Northeast... Much of the Ohio Valley into parts of the Northeast has stabilized in the wake of multiple severe-wind producing MCSs. However, pockets of locally moderate buoyancy from parts of KY/OH, and also into parts of northern NY. A few strong clusters and/or marginal supercells remain possible through the evening, with a threat of locally damaging wind, isolated hail, and possibly a tornado. ..Dean.. 04/30/2025 Read more