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SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0757 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 021300Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL/EAST TEXAS TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Widespread strong thunderstorm development is expected from parts of central and eastern Texas to the lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys, and into the Cumberland Plateau by evening. This includes potential for large hail and damaging wind gusts. ...Southern Plains to Lower Mississippi Valley/Tennessee Valley... A residual MCS, with diminished intensity since early on the overnight, persists at daybreak along the Red River and Texas/Oklahoma border region eastward into the Mid-South largely paralleling I-40, with a probable related MCV across eastern Oklahoma. A relatively isolated severe potential will initially exist with these storms this morning. However, an intensification of related/downstream storms is expected by midday, potentially spanning parts of Arkansas into western/Middle Tennessee, western Kentucky, and northern Alabama. Additional severe storm development will be possible this afternoon northeastward into the middle Ohio Valley and toward the Cumberland Plateau, as increasing low-level/deep-layer southwesterly winds overlie a moderately unstable boundary layer. Multiple organizing storm clusters can be expected regionally this afternoon into evening. Farther southwest across central/eastern Texas, while considerable drying and stabilization is still apparent in observational data after last evening's MCS, the air mass should steadily recover with moistening and relatively aggressive destabilization into peak heating. Initial thunderstorm development will be accompanied by the potential for large hail, with supercells capable of very large hail possible especially with west-southwestward extent into the Edwards Plateau and toward the Rio Grande. Damaging wind potential will also increase as convection organizes and spreads southeastward into this evening across central/southeast Texas, and possibly Deep South Texas tonight. ..Guyer/Jewell.. 05/02/2025 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0757 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 021300Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL/EAST TEXAS TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Widespread strong thunderstorm development is expected from parts of central and eastern Texas to the lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys, and into the Cumberland Plateau by evening. This includes potential for large hail and damaging wind gusts. ...Southern Plains to Lower Mississippi Valley/Tennessee Valley... A residual MCS, with diminished intensity since early on the overnight, persists at daybreak along the Red River and Texas/Oklahoma border region eastward into the Mid-South largely paralleling I-40, with a probable related MCV across eastern Oklahoma. A relatively isolated severe potential will initially exist with these storms this morning. However, an intensification of related/downstream storms is expected by midday, potentially spanning parts of Arkansas into western/Middle Tennessee, western Kentucky, and northern Alabama. Additional severe storm development will be possible this afternoon northeastward into the middle Ohio Valley and toward the Cumberland Plateau, as increasing low-level/deep-layer southwesterly winds overlie a moderately unstable boundary layer. Multiple organizing storm clusters can be expected regionally this afternoon into evening. Farther southwest across central/eastern Texas, while considerable drying and stabilization is still apparent in observational data after last evening's MCS, the air mass should steadily recover with moistening and relatively aggressive destabilization into peak heating. Initial thunderstorm development will be accompanied by the potential for large hail, with supercells capable of very large hail possible especially with west-southwestward extent into the Edwards Plateau and toward the Rio Grande. Damaging wind potential will also increase as convection organizes and spreads southeastward into this evening across central/southeast Texas, and possibly Deep South Texas tonight. ..Guyer/Jewell.. 05/02/2025 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0757 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 021300Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL/EAST TEXAS TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Widespread strong thunderstorm development is expected from parts of central and eastern Texas to the lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys, and into the Cumberland Plateau by evening. This includes potential for large hail and damaging wind gusts. ...Southern Plains to Lower Mississippi Valley/Tennessee Valley... A residual MCS, with diminished intensity since early on the overnight, persists at daybreak along the Red River and Texas/Oklahoma border region eastward into the Mid-South largely paralleling I-40, with a probable related MCV across eastern Oklahoma. A relatively isolated severe potential will initially exist with these storms this morning. However, an intensification of related/downstream storms is expected by midday, potentially spanning parts of Arkansas into western/Middle Tennessee, western Kentucky, and northern Alabama. Additional severe storm development will be possible this afternoon northeastward into the middle Ohio Valley and toward the Cumberland Plateau, as increasing low-level/deep-layer southwesterly winds overlie a moderately unstable boundary layer. Multiple organizing storm clusters can be expected regionally this afternoon into evening. Farther southwest across central/eastern Texas, while considerable drying and stabilization is still apparent in observational data after last evening's MCS, the air mass should steadily recover with moistening and relatively aggressive destabilization into peak heating. Initial thunderstorm development will be accompanied by the potential for large hail, with supercells capable of very large hail possible especially with west-southwestward extent into the Edwards Plateau and toward the Rio Grande. Damaging wind potential will also increase as convection organizes and spreads southeastward into this evening across central/southeast Texas, and possibly Deep South Texas tonight. ..Guyer/Jewell.. 05/02/2025 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0757 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 021300Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL/EAST TEXAS TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Widespread strong thunderstorm development is expected from parts of central and eastern Texas to the lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys, and into the Cumberland Plateau by evening. This includes potential for large hail and damaging wind gusts. ...Southern Plains to Lower Mississippi Valley/Tennessee Valley... A residual MCS, with diminished intensity since early on the overnight, persists at daybreak along the Red River and Texas/Oklahoma border region eastward into the Mid-South largely paralleling I-40, with a probable related MCV across eastern Oklahoma. A relatively isolated severe potential will initially exist with these storms this morning. However, an intensification of related/downstream storms is expected by midday, potentially spanning parts of Arkansas into western/Middle Tennessee, western Kentucky, and northern Alabama. Additional severe storm development will be possible this afternoon northeastward into the middle Ohio Valley and toward the Cumberland Plateau, as increasing low-level/deep-layer southwesterly winds overlie a moderately unstable boundary layer. Multiple organizing storm clusters can be expected regionally this afternoon into evening. Farther southwest across central/eastern Texas, while considerable drying and stabilization is still apparent in observational data after last evening's MCS, the air mass should steadily recover with moistening and relatively aggressive destabilization into peak heating. Initial thunderstorm development will be accompanied by the potential for large hail, with supercells capable of very large hail possible especially with west-southwestward extent into the Edwards Plateau and toward the Rio Grande. Damaging wind potential will also increase as convection organizes and spreads southeastward into this evening across central/southeast Texas, and possibly Deep South Texas tonight. ..Guyer/Jewell.. 05/02/2025 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0757 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 021300Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL/EAST TEXAS TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Widespread strong thunderstorm development is expected from parts of central and eastern Texas to the lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys, and into the Cumberland Plateau by evening. This includes potential for large hail and damaging wind gusts. ...Southern Plains to Lower Mississippi Valley/Tennessee Valley... A residual MCS, with diminished intensity since early on the overnight, persists at daybreak along the Red River and Texas/Oklahoma border region eastward into the Mid-South largely paralleling I-40, with a probable related MCV across eastern Oklahoma. A relatively isolated severe potential will initially exist with these storms this morning. However, an intensification of related/downstream storms is expected by midday, potentially spanning parts of Arkansas into western/Middle Tennessee, western Kentucky, and northern Alabama. Additional severe storm development will be possible this afternoon northeastward into the middle Ohio Valley and toward the Cumberland Plateau, as increasing low-level/deep-layer southwesterly winds overlie a moderately unstable boundary layer. Multiple organizing storm clusters can be expected regionally this afternoon into evening. Farther southwest across central/eastern Texas, while considerable drying and stabilization is still apparent in observational data after last evening's MCS, the air mass should steadily recover with moistening and relatively aggressive destabilization into peak heating. Initial thunderstorm development will be accompanied by the potential for large hail, with supercells capable of very large hail possible especially with west-southwestward extent into the Edwards Plateau and toward the Rio Grande. Damaging wind potential will also increase as convection organizes and spreads southeastward into this evening across central/southeast Texas, and possibly Deep South Texas tonight. ..Guyer/Jewell.. 05/02/2025 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0757 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 021300Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL/EAST TEXAS TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Widespread strong thunderstorm development is expected from parts of central and eastern Texas to the lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys, and into the Cumberland Plateau by evening. This includes potential for large hail and damaging wind gusts. ...Southern Plains to Lower Mississippi Valley/Tennessee Valley... A residual MCS, with diminished intensity since early on the overnight, persists at daybreak along the Red River and Texas/Oklahoma border region eastward into the Mid-South largely paralleling I-40, with a probable related MCV across eastern Oklahoma. A relatively isolated severe potential will initially exist with these storms this morning. However, an intensification of related/downstream storms is expected by midday, potentially spanning parts of Arkansas into western/Middle Tennessee, western Kentucky, and northern Alabama. Additional severe storm development will be possible this afternoon northeastward into the middle Ohio Valley and toward the Cumberland Plateau, as increasing low-level/deep-layer southwesterly winds overlie a moderately unstable boundary layer. Multiple organizing storm clusters can be expected regionally this afternoon into evening. Farther southwest across central/eastern Texas, while considerable drying and stabilization is still apparent in observational data after last evening's MCS, the air mass should steadily recover with moistening and relatively aggressive destabilization into peak heating. Initial thunderstorm development will be accompanied by the potential for large hail, with supercells capable of very large hail possible especially with west-southwestward extent into the Edwards Plateau and toward the Rio Grande. Damaging wind potential will also increase as convection organizes and spreads southeastward into this evening across central/southeast Texas, and possibly Deep South Texas tonight. ..Guyer/Jewell.. 05/02/2025 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0757 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 021300Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL/EAST TEXAS TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Widespread strong thunderstorm development is expected from parts of central and eastern Texas to the lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys, and into the Cumberland Plateau by evening. This includes potential for large hail and damaging wind gusts. ...Southern Plains to Lower Mississippi Valley/Tennessee Valley... A residual MCS, with diminished intensity since early on the overnight, persists at daybreak along the Red River and Texas/Oklahoma border region eastward into the Mid-South largely paralleling I-40, with a probable related MCV across eastern Oklahoma. A relatively isolated severe potential will initially exist with these storms this morning. However, an intensification of related/downstream storms is expected by midday, potentially spanning parts of Arkansas into western/Middle Tennessee, western Kentucky, and northern Alabama. Additional severe storm development will be possible this afternoon northeastward into the middle Ohio Valley and toward the Cumberland Plateau, as increasing low-level/deep-layer southwesterly winds overlie a moderately unstable boundary layer. Multiple organizing storm clusters can be expected regionally this afternoon into evening. Farther southwest across central/eastern Texas, while considerable drying and stabilization is still apparent in observational data after last evening's MCS, the air mass should steadily recover with moistening and relatively aggressive destabilization into peak heating. Initial thunderstorm development will be accompanied by the potential for large hail, with supercells capable of very large hail possible especially with west-southwestward extent into the Edwards Plateau and toward the Rio Grande. Damaging wind potential will also increase as convection organizes and spreads southeastward into this evening across central/southeast Texas, and possibly Deep South Texas tonight. ..Guyer/Jewell.. 05/02/2025 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0757 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 021300Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL/EAST TEXAS TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Widespread strong thunderstorm development is expected from parts of central and eastern Texas to the lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys, and into the Cumberland Plateau by evening. This includes potential for large hail and damaging wind gusts. ...Southern Plains to Lower Mississippi Valley/Tennessee Valley... A residual MCS, with diminished intensity since early on the overnight, persists at daybreak along the Red River and Texas/Oklahoma border region eastward into the Mid-South largely paralleling I-40, with a probable related MCV across eastern Oklahoma. A relatively isolated severe potential will initially exist with these storms this morning. However, an intensification of related/downstream storms is expected by midday, potentially spanning parts of Arkansas into western/Middle Tennessee, western Kentucky, and northern Alabama. Additional severe storm development will be possible this afternoon northeastward into the middle Ohio Valley and toward the Cumberland Plateau, as increasing low-level/deep-layer southwesterly winds overlie a moderately unstable boundary layer. Multiple organizing storm clusters can be expected regionally this afternoon into evening. Farther southwest across central/eastern Texas, while considerable drying and stabilization is still apparent in observational data after last evening's MCS, the air mass should steadily recover with moistening and relatively aggressive destabilization into peak heating. Initial thunderstorm development will be accompanied by the potential for large hail, with supercells capable of very large hail possible especially with west-southwestward extent into the Edwards Plateau and toward the Rio Grande. Damaging wind potential will also increase as convection organizes and spreads southeastward into this evening across central/southeast Texas, and possibly Deep South Texas tonight. ..Guyer/Jewell.. 05/02/2025 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0757 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 021300Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL/EAST TEXAS TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Widespread strong thunderstorm development is expected from parts of central and eastern Texas to the lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys, and into the Cumberland Plateau by evening. This includes potential for large hail and damaging wind gusts. ...Southern Plains to Lower Mississippi Valley/Tennessee Valley... A residual MCS, with diminished intensity since early on the overnight, persists at daybreak along the Red River and Texas/Oklahoma border region eastward into the Mid-South largely paralleling I-40, with a probable related MCV across eastern Oklahoma. A relatively isolated severe potential will initially exist with these storms this morning. However, an intensification of related/downstream storms is expected by midday, potentially spanning parts of Arkansas into western/Middle Tennessee, western Kentucky, and northern Alabama. Additional severe storm development will be possible this afternoon northeastward into the middle Ohio Valley and toward the Cumberland Plateau, as increasing low-level/deep-layer southwesterly winds overlie a moderately unstable boundary layer. Multiple organizing storm clusters can be expected regionally this afternoon into evening. Farther southwest across central/eastern Texas, while considerable drying and stabilization is still apparent in observational data after last evening's MCS, the air mass should steadily recover with moistening and relatively aggressive destabilization into peak heating. Initial thunderstorm development will be accompanied by the potential for large hail, with supercells capable of very large hail possible especially with west-southwestward extent into the Edwards Plateau and toward the Rio Grande. Damaging wind potential will also increase as convection organizes and spreads southeastward into this evening across central/southeast Texas, and possibly Deep South Texas tonight. ..Guyer/Jewell.. 05/02/2025 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0757 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 021300Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL/EAST TEXAS TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Widespread strong thunderstorm development is expected from parts of central and eastern Texas to the lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys, and into the Cumberland Plateau by evening. This includes potential for large hail and damaging wind gusts. ...Southern Plains to Lower Mississippi Valley/Tennessee Valley... A residual MCS, with diminished intensity since early on the overnight, persists at daybreak along the Red River and Texas/Oklahoma border region eastward into the Mid-South largely paralleling I-40, with a probable related MCV across eastern Oklahoma. A relatively isolated severe potential will initially exist with these storms this morning. However, an intensification of related/downstream storms is expected by midday, potentially spanning parts of Arkansas into western/Middle Tennessee, western Kentucky, and northern Alabama. Additional severe storm development will be possible this afternoon northeastward into the middle Ohio Valley and toward the Cumberland Plateau, as increasing low-level/deep-layer southwesterly winds overlie a moderately unstable boundary layer. Multiple organizing storm clusters can be expected regionally this afternoon into evening. Farther southwest across central/eastern Texas, while considerable drying and stabilization is still apparent in observational data after last evening's MCS, the air mass should steadily recover with moistening and relatively aggressive destabilization into peak heating. Initial thunderstorm development will be accompanied by the potential for large hail, with supercells capable of very large hail possible especially with west-southwestward extent into the Edwards Plateau and toward the Rio Grande. Damaging wind potential will also increase as convection organizes and spreads southeastward into this evening across central/southeast Texas, and possibly Deep South Texas tonight. ..Guyer/Jewell.. 05/02/2025 Read more

WW 0208 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 208 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW SPS TO 15 E SPS TO 40 E SPS TO 25 WNW ADM TO 30 SE OKC TO 20 E OKC TO 15 SSW CQB TO 20 ENE CQB. ..JEWELL..05/02/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 208 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-013-019-023-027-029-049-061-063-067-069-077-079-081-085- 087-091-095-099-107-111-121-123-125-127-133-021040- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BRYAN CARTER CHOCTAW CLEVELAND COAL GARVIN HASKELL HUGHES JEFFERSON JOHNSTON LATIMER LE FLORE LINCOLN LOVE MCCLAIN MCINTOSH MARSHALL MURRAY OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE PITTSBURG PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA SEMINOLE TXC077-097-147-181-277-337-021040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON LAMAR MONTAGUE Read more

WW 0208 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 208 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW SPS TO 15 E SPS TO 40 E SPS TO 25 WNW ADM TO 30 SE OKC TO 20 E OKC TO 15 SSW CQB TO 20 ENE CQB. ..JEWELL..05/02/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 208 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-013-019-023-027-029-049-061-063-067-069-077-079-081-085- 087-091-095-099-107-111-121-123-125-127-133-021040- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BRYAN CARTER CHOCTAW CLEVELAND COAL GARVIN HASKELL HUGHES JEFFERSON JOHNSTON LATIMER LE FLORE LINCOLN LOVE MCCLAIN MCINTOSH MARSHALL MURRAY OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE PITTSBURG PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA SEMINOLE TXC077-097-147-181-277-337-021040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON LAMAR MONTAGUE Read more

WW 0208 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 208 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW SPS TO 15 E SPS TO 40 E SPS TO 25 WNW ADM TO 30 SE OKC TO 20 E OKC TO 15 SSW CQB TO 20 ENE CQB. ..JEWELL..05/02/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 208 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-013-019-023-027-029-049-061-063-067-069-077-079-081-085- 087-091-095-099-107-111-121-123-125-127-133-021040- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BRYAN CARTER CHOCTAW CLEVELAND COAL GARVIN HASKELL HUGHES JEFFERSON JOHNSTON LATIMER LE FLORE LINCOLN LOVE MCCLAIN MCINTOSH MARSHALL MURRAY OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE PITTSBURG PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA SEMINOLE TXC077-097-147-181-277-337-021040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON LAMAR MONTAGUE Read more

WW 208 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 020355Z - 021200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 208 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1055 PM CDT Thu May 1 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Western, Central, and Eastern Oklahoma North Texas * Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 1055 PM until 700 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A broken band of thunderstorms will likely continue east into the Watch tonight. Scattered storm development near a frontal zone is forecast, in addition to upscale growth into an eastward moving squall line. Large to very large hail will be possible with the stronger cells. Severe gusts are possible with the more intense portions of the squall line. A threat for a brief tornado cannot be ruled out mainly across south-central Oklahoma into eastern Oklahoma late tonight. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles west northwest of Altus OK to 65 miles east of Mcalester OK. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 205...WW 207... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27035. ...Smith Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0344 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 051200Z - 101200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Monday - Southern High Plains... Lee cyclogenesis will strengthen on Monday in the southern High Plains as a mid-level trough advects eastward. As this occurs, rich low-level moisture will advect into West Texas which will result in strong instability as temperatures continue to cool aloft. Expect scattered thunderstorm development along the dryline during the afternoon/evening. However, more widespread storm development is likely after 00Z as the low-level jet strengthens across West Texas. Initial supercells will have a threat for all severe weather hazards before eventual upscale growth into a MCS likely results in a greater severe wind threat. ...Day 5/Tuesday - Central/East Texas into Louisiana... Day 4 thunderstorms will likely be ongoing at the beginning of the period along a frontal zone across central/East Texas and persist eastward through the day. Destabilization remains questionable as strong high pressure and the low-latitude nature of the mid-level trough may limit northward movement of the warm front. The potential for this front to be stationary, in addition to widespread convection/cloud cover concerns along the front, preclude severe weather probabilities at this time. However, there will likely be a corridor along the frontal zone with some greater severe weather threat which may become more clear as the event draws closer. Additional severe storms will be possible Day 6 and 7 along the frontal zone/composite outflow in Texas, but the location of this feature and degree of destabilization along it will be highly dependent on prior days convective activity. For these reasons, no probabilities have been added at this time. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0344 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 051200Z - 101200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Monday - Southern High Plains... Lee cyclogenesis will strengthen on Monday in the southern High Plains as a mid-level trough advects eastward. As this occurs, rich low-level moisture will advect into West Texas which will result in strong instability as temperatures continue to cool aloft. Expect scattered thunderstorm development along the dryline during the afternoon/evening. However, more widespread storm development is likely after 00Z as the low-level jet strengthens across West Texas. Initial supercells will have a threat for all severe weather hazards before eventual upscale growth into a MCS likely results in a greater severe wind threat. ...Day 5/Tuesday - Central/East Texas into Louisiana... Day 4 thunderstorms will likely be ongoing at the beginning of the period along a frontal zone across central/East Texas and persist eastward through the day. Destabilization remains questionable as strong high pressure and the low-latitude nature of the mid-level trough may limit northward movement of the warm front. The potential for this front to be stationary, in addition to widespread convection/cloud cover concerns along the front, preclude severe weather probabilities at this time. However, there will likely be a corridor along the frontal zone with some greater severe weather threat which may become more clear as the event draws closer. Additional severe storms will be possible Day 6 and 7 along the frontal zone/composite outflow in Texas, but the location of this feature and degree of destabilization along it will be highly dependent on prior days convective activity. For these reasons, no probabilities have been added at this time. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0344 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 051200Z - 101200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Monday - Southern High Plains... Lee cyclogenesis will strengthen on Monday in the southern High Plains as a mid-level trough advects eastward. As this occurs, rich low-level moisture will advect into West Texas which will result in strong instability as temperatures continue to cool aloft. Expect scattered thunderstorm development along the dryline during the afternoon/evening. However, more widespread storm development is likely after 00Z as the low-level jet strengthens across West Texas. Initial supercells will have a threat for all severe weather hazards before eventual upscale growth into a MCS likely results in a greater severe wind threat. ...Day 5/Tuesday - Central/East Texas into Louisiana... Day 4 thunderstorms will likely be ongoing at the beginning of the period along a frontal zone across central/East Texas and persist eastward through the day. Destabilization remains questionable as strong high pressure and the low-latitude nature of the mid-level trough may limit northward movement of the warm front. The potential for this front to be stationary, in addition to widespread convection/cloud cover concerns along the front, preclude severe weather probabilities at this time. However, there will likely be a corridor along the frontal zone with some greater severe weather threat which may become more clear as the event draws closer. Additional severe storms will be possible Day 6 and 7 along the frontal zone/composite outflow in Texas, but the location of this feature and degree of destabilization along it will be highly dependent on prior days convective activity. For these reasons, no probabilities have been added at this time. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0344 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 051200Z - 101200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Monday - Southern High Plains... Lee cyclogenesis will strengthen on Monday in the southern High Plains as a mid-level trough advects eastward. As this occurs, rich low-level moisture will advect into West Texas which will result in strong instability as temperatures continue to cool aloft. Expect scattered thunderstorm development along the dryline during the afternoon/evening. However, more widespread storm development is likely after 00Z as the low-level jet strengthens across West Texas. Initial supercells will have a threat for all severe weather hazards before eventual upscale growth into a MCS likely results in a greater severe wind threat. ...Day 5/Tuesday - Central/East Texas into Louisiana... Day 4 thunderstorms will likely be ongoing at the beginning of the period along a frontal zone across central/East Texas and persist eastward through the day. Destabilization remains questionable as strong high pressure and the low-latitude nature of the mid-level trough may limit northward movement of the warm front. The potential for this front to be stationary, in addition to widespread convection/cloud cover concerns along the front, preclude severe weather probabilities at this time. However, there will likely be a corridor along the frontal zone with some greater severe weather threat which may become more clear as the event draws closer. Additional severe storms will be possible Day 6 and 7 along the frontal zone/composite outflow in Texas, but the location of this feature and degree of destabilization along it will be highly dependent on prior days convective activity. For these reasons, no probabilities have been added at this time. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0344 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 051200Z - 101200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Monday - Southern High Plains... Lee cyclogenesis will strengthen on Monday in the southern High Plains as a mid-level trough advects eastward. As this occurs, rich low-level moisture will advect into West Texas which will result in strong instability as temperatures continue to cool aloft. Expect scattered thunderstorm development along the dryline during the afternoon/evening. However, more widespread storm development is likely after 00Z as the low-level jet strengthens across West Texas. Initial supercells will have a threat for all severe weather hazards before eventual upscale growth into a MCS likely results in a greater severe wind threat. ...Day 5/Tuesday - Central/East Texas into Louisiana... Day 4 thunderstorms will likely be ongoing at the beginning of the period along a frontal zone across central/East Texas and persist eastward through the day. Destabilization remains questionable as strong high pressure and the low-latitude nature of the mid-level trough may limit northward movement of the warm front. The potential for this front to be stationary, in addition to widespread convection/cloud cover concerns along the front, preclude severe weather probabilities at this time. However, there will likely be a corridor along the frontal zone with some greater severe weather threat which may become more clear as the event draws closer. Additional severe storms will be possible Day 6 and 7 along the frontal zone/composite outflow in Texas, but the location of this feature and degree of destabilization along it will be highly dependent on prior days convective activity. For these reasons, no probabilities have been added at this time. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0344 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 051200Z - 101200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Monday - Southern High Plains... Lee cyclogenesis will strengthen on Monday in the southern High Plains as a mid-level trough advects eastward. As this occurs, rich low-level moisture will advect into West Texas which will result in strong instability as temperatures continue to cool aloft. Expect scattered thunderstorm development along the dryline during the afternoon/evening. However, more widespread storm development is likely after 00Z as the low-level jet strengthens across West Texas. Initial supercells will have a threat for all severe weather hazards before eventual upscale growth into a MCS likely results in a greater severe wind threat. ...Day 5/Tuesday - Central/East Texas into Louisiana... Day 4 thunderstorms will likely be ongoing at the beginning of the period along a frontal zone across central/East Texas and persist eastward through the day. Destabilization remains questionable as strong high pressure and the low-latitude nature of the mid-level trough may limit northward movement of the warm front. The potential for this front to be stationary, in addition to widespread convection/cloud cover concerns along the front, preclude severe weather probabilities at this time. However, there will likely be a corridor along the frontal zone with some greater severe weather threat which may become more clear as the event draws closer. Additional severe storms will be possible Day 6 and 7 along the frontal zone/composite outflow in Texas, but the location of this feature and degree of destabilization along it will be highly dependent on prior days convective activity. For these reasons, no probabilities have been added at this time. Read more