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WW 0226 Status Updates
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SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible from the Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas. ...Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas... A stalled front will exist across southern Texas on Wednesday. Strong surface heating will lead to strong instability along this front in an environment featuring long, straight hodographs. Forcing will be somewhat nebulous along the front, but with uncapped forecast soundings and neutral to slightly falling heights along the frontal zone, expect at least isolated supercell development. Any supercells which develop will pose a threat for large to potentially very large hail. Storm coverage precludes higher probabilities at this time. If the front/composite outflow boundary remains onshore across the central Gulf Coast, the Marginal Risk may need to be expanded into this region. However, at this time, there is significant uncertainty how Day 2 convection will evolve which will impact the front/outflow location across Louisiana and southern Mississippi. ...Oklahoma... A weak cold front is forecast to move south through Oklahoma during the day Wednesday. Diurnal destabilization ahead of the front could provide ample instability for a few thunderstorms. Moisture quality along the front is uncertain which precludes a Marginal Risk at this time. However, if low to mid 60s dewpoints appear likely ahead of the front, sufficient instability would exist beneath the cold air aloft to support severe weather probabilities. ..Bentley.. 05/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible from the Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas. ...Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas... A stalled front will exist across southern Texas on Wednesday. Strong surface heating will lead to strong instability along this front in an environment featuring long, straight hodographs. Forcing will be somewhat nebulous along the front, but with uncapped forecast soundings and neutral to slightly falling heights along the frontal zone, expect at least isolated supercell development. Any supercells which develop will pose a threat for large to potentially very large hail. Storm coverage precludes higher probabilities at this time. If the front/composite outflow boundary remains onshore across the central Gulf Coast, the Marginal Risk may need to be expanded into this region. However, at this time, there is significant uncertainty how Day 2 convection will evolve which will impact the front/outflow location across Louisiana and southern Mississippi. ...Oklahoma... A weak cold front is forecast to move south through Oklahoma during the day Wednesday. Diurnal destabilization ahead of the front could provide ample instability for a few thunderstorms. Moisture quality along the front is uncertain which precludes a Marginal Risk at this time. However, if low to mid 60s dewpoints appear likely ahead of the front, sufficient instability would exist beneath the cold air aloft to support severe weather probabilities. ..Bentley.. 05/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible from the Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas. ...Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas... A stalled front will exist across southern Texas on Wednesday. Strong surface heating will lead to strong instability along this front in an environment featuring long, straight hodographs. Forcing will be somewhat nebulous along the front, but with uncapped forecast soundings and neutral to slightly falling heights along the frontal zone, expect at least isolated supercell development. Any supercells which develop will pose a threat for large to potentially very large hail. Storm coverage precludes higher probabilities at this time. If the front/composite outflow boundary remains onshore across the central Gulf Coast, the Marginal Risk may need to be expanded into this region. However, at this time, there is significant uncertainty how Day 2 convection will evolve which will impact the front/outflow location across Louisiana and southern Mississippi. ...Oklahoma... A weak cold front is forecast to move south through Oklahoma during the day Wednesday. Diurnal destabilization ahead of the front could provide ample instability for a few thunderstorms. Moisture quality along the front is uncertain which precludes a Marginal Risk at this time. However, if low to mid 60s dewpoints appear likely ahead of the front, sufficient instability would exist beneath the cold air aloft to support severe weather probabilities. ..Bentley.. 05/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible from the Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas. ...Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas... A stalled front will exist across southern Texas on Wednesday. Strong surface heating will lead to strong instability along this front in an environment featuring long, straight hodographs. Forcing will be somewhat nebulous along the front, but with uncapped forecast soundings and neutral to slightly falling heights along the frontal zone, expect at least isolated supercell development. Any supercells which develop will pose a threat for large to potentially very large hail. Storm coverage precludes higher probabilities at this time. If the front/composite outflow boundary remains onshore across the central Gulf Coast, the Marginal Risk may need to be expanded into this region. However, at this time, there is significant uncertainty how Day 2 convection will evolve which will impact the front/outflow location across Louisiana and southern Mississippi. ...Oklahoma... A weak cold front is forecast to move south through Oklahoma during the day Wednesday. Diurnal destabilization ahead of the front could provide ample instability for a few thunderstorms. Moisture quality along the front is uncertain which precludes a Marginal Risk at this time. However, if low to mid 60s dewpoints appear likely ahead of the front, sufficient instability would exist beneath the cold air aloft to support severe weather probabilities. ..Bentley.. 05/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible from the Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas. ...Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas... A stalled front will exist across southern Texas on Wednesday. Strong surface heating will lead to strong instability along this front in an environment featuring long, straight hodographs. Forcing will be somewhat nebulous along the front, but with uncapped forecast soundings and neutral to slightly falling heights along the frontal zone, expect at least isolated supercell development. Any supercells which develop will pose a threat for large to potentially very large hail. Storm coverage precludes higher probabilities at this time. If the front/composite outflow boundary remains onshore across the central Gulf Coast, the Marginal Risk may need to be expanded into this region. However, at this time, there is significant uncertainty how Day 2 convection will evolve which will impact the front/outflow location across Louisiana and southern Mississippi. ...Oklahoma... A weak cold front is forecast to move south through Oklahoma during the day Wednesday. Diurnal destabilization ahead of the front could provide ample instability for a few thunderstorms. Moisture quality along the front is uncertain which precludes a Marginal Risk at this time. However, if low to mid 60s dewpoints appear likely ahead of the front, sufficient instability would exist beneath the cold air aloft to support severe weather probabilities. ..Bentley.. 05/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible from the Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas. ...Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas... A stalled front will exist across southern Texas on Wednesday. Strong surface heating will lead to strong instability along this front in an environment featuring long, straight hodographs. Forcing will be somewhat nebulous along the front, but with uncapped forecast soundings and neutral to slightly falling heights along the frontal zone, expect at least isolated supercell development. Any supercells which develop will pose a threat for large to potentially very large hail. Storm coverage precludes higher probabilities at this time. If the front/composite outflow boundary remains onshore across the central Gulf Coast, the Marginal Risk may need to be expanded into this region. However, at this time, there is significant uncertainty how Day 2 convection will evolve which will impact the front/outflow location across Louisiana and southern Mississippi. ...Oklahoma... A weak cold front is forecast to move south through Oklahoma during the day Wednesday. Diurnal destabilization ahead of the front could provide ample instability for a few thunderstorms. Moisture quality along the front is uncertain which precludes a Marginal Risk at this time. However, if low to mid 60s dewpoints appear likely ahead of the front, sufficient instability would exist beneath the cold air aloft to support severe weather probabilities. ..Bentley.. 05/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible from the Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas. ...Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas... A stalled front will exist across southern Texas on Wednesday. Strong surface heating will lead to strong instability along this front in an environment featuring long, straight hodographs. Forcing will be somewhat nebulous along the front, but with uncapped forecast soundings and neutral to slightly falling heights along the frontal zone, expect at least isolated supercell development. Any supercells which develop will pose a threat for large to potentially very large hail. Storm coverage precludes higher probabilities at this time. If the front/composite outflow boundary remains onshore across the central Gulf Coast, the Marginal Risk may need to be expanded into this region. However, at this time, there is significant uncertainty how Day 2 convection will evolve which will impact the front/outflow location across Louisiana and southern Mississippi. ...Oklahoma... A weak cold front is forecast to move south through Oklahoma during the day Wednesday. Diurnal destabilization ahead of the front could provide ample instability for a few thunderstorms. Moisture quality along the front is uncertain which precludes a Marginal Risk at this time. However, if low to mid 60s dewpoints appear likely ahead of the front, sufficient instability would exist beneath the cold air aloft to support severe weather probabilities. ..Bentley.. 05/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible from the Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas. ...Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas... A stalled front will exist across southern Texas on Wednesday. Strong surface heating will lead to strong instability along this front in an environment featuring long, straight hodographs. Forcing will be somewhat nebulous along the front, but with uncapped forecast soundings and neutral to slightly falling heights along the frontal zone, expect at least isolated supercell development. Any supercells which develop will pose a threat for large to potentially very large hail. Storm coverage precludes higher probabilities at this time. If the front/composite outflow boundary remains onshore across the central Gulf Coast, the Marginal Risk may need to be expanded into this region. However, at this time, there is significant uncertainty how Day 2 convection will evolve which will impact the front/outflow location across Louisiana and southern Mississippi. ...Oklahoma... A weak cold front is forecast to move south through Oklahoma during the day Wednesday. Diurnal destabilization ahead of the front could provide ample instability for a few thunderstorms. Moisture quality along the front is uncertain which precludes a Marginal Risk at this time. However, if low to mid 60s dewpoints appear likely ahead of the front, sufficient instability would exist beneath the cold air aloft to support severe weather probabilities. ..Bentley.. 05/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible from the Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas. ...Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas... A stalled front will exist across southern Texas on Wednesday. Strong surface heating will lead to strong instability along this front in an environment featuring long, straight hodographs. Forcing will be somewhat nebulous along the front, but with uncapped forecast soundings and neutral to slightly falling heights along the frontal zone, expect at least isolated supercell development. Any supercells which develop will pose a threat for large to potentially very large hail. Storm coverage precludes higher probabilities at this time. If the front/composite outflow boundary remains onshore across the central Gulf Coast, the Marginal Risk may need to be expanded into this region. However, at this time, there is significant uncertainty how Day 2 convection will evolve which will impact the front/outflow location across Louisiana and southern Mississippi. ...Oklahoma... A weak cold front is forecast to move south through Oklahoma during the day Wednesday. Diurnal destabilization ahead of the front could provide ample instability for a few thunderstorms. Moisture quality along the front is uncertain which precludes a Marginal Risk at this time. However, if low to mid 60s dewpoints appear likely ahead of the front, sufficient instability would exist beneath the cold air aloft to support severe weather probabilities. ..Bentley.. 05/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible from the Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas. ...Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas... A stalled front will exist across southern Texas on Wednesday. Strong surface heating will lead to strong instability along this front in an environment featuring long, straight hodographs. Forcing will be somewhat nebulous along the front, but with uncapped forecast soundings and neutral to slightly falling heights along the frontal zone, expect at least isolated supercell development. Any supercells which develop will pose a threat for large to potentially very large hail. Storm coverage precludes higher probabilities at this time. If the front/composite outflow boundary remains onshore across the central Gulf Coast, the Marginal Risk may need to be expanded into this region. However, at this time, there is significant uncertainty how Day 2 convection will evolve which will impact the front/outflow location across Louisiana and southern Mississippi. ...Oklahoma... A weak cold front is forecast to move south through Oklahoma during the day Wednesday. Diurnal destabilization ahead of the front could provide ample instability for a few thunderstorms. Moisture quality along the front is uncertain which precludes a Marginal Risk at this time. However, if low to mid 60s dewpoints appear likely ahead of the front, sufficient instability would exist beneath the cold air aloft to support severe weather probabilities. ..Bentley.. 05/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible from the Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas. ...Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas... A stalled front will exist across southern Texas on Wednesday. Strong surface heating will lead to strong instability along this front in an environment featuring long, straight hodographs. Forcing will be somewhat nebulous along the front, but with uncapped forecast soundings and neutral to slightly falling heights along the frontal zone, expect at least isolated supercell development. Any supercells which develop will pose a threat for large to potentially very large hail. Storm coverage precludes higher probabilities at this time. If the front/composite outflow boundary remains onshore across the central Gulf Coast, the Marginal Risk may need to be expanded into this region. However, at this time, there is significant uncertainty how Day 2 convection will evolve which will impact the front/outflow location across Louisiana and southern Mississippi. ...Oklahoma... A weak cold front is forecast to move south through Oklahoma during the day Wednesday. Diurnal destabilization ahead of the front could provide ample instability for a few thunderstorms. Moisture quality along the front is uncertain which precludes a Marginal Risk at this time. However, if low to mid 60s dewpoints appear likely ahead of the front, sufficient instability would exist beneath the cold air aloft to support severe weather probabilities. ..Bentley.. 05/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible from the Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas. ...Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas... A stalled front will exist across southern Texas on Wednesday. Strong surface heating will lead to strong instability along this front in an environment featuring long, straight hodographs. Forcing will be somewhat nebulous along the front, but with uncapped forecast soundings and neutral to slightly falling heights along the frontal zone, expect at least isolated supercell development. Any supercells which develop will pose a threat for large to potentially very large hail. Storm coverage precludes higher probabilities at this time. If the front/composite outflow boundary remains onshore across the central Gulf Coast, the Marginal Risk may need to be expanded into this region. However, at this time, there is significant uncertainty how Day 2 convection will evolve which will impact the front/outflow location across Louisiana and southern Mississippi. ...Oklahoma... A weak cold front is forecast to move south through Oklahoma during the day Wednesday. Diurnal destabilization ahead of the front could provide ample instability for a few thunderstorms. Moisture quality along the front is uncertain which precludes a Marginal Risk at this time. However, if low to mid 60s dewpoints appear likely ahead of the front, sufficient instability would exist beneath the cold air aloft to support severe weather probabilities. ..Bentley.. 05/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible from the Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas. ...Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas... A stalled front will exist across southern Texas on Wednesday. Strong surface heating will lead to strong instability along this front in an environment featuring long, straight hodographs. Forcing will be somewhat nebulous along the front, but with uncapped forecast soundings and neutral to slightly falling heights along the frontal zone, expect at least isolated supercell development. Any supercells which develop will pose a threat for large to potentially very large hail. Storm coverage precludes higher probabilities at this time. If the front/composite outflow boundary remains onshore across the central Gulf Coast, the Marginal Risk may need to be expanded into this region. However, at this time, there is significant uncertainty how Day 2 convection will evolve which will impact the front/outflow location across Louisiana and southern Mississippi. ...Oklahoma... A weak cold front is forecast to move south through Oklahoma during the day Wednesday. Diurnal destabilization ahead of the front could provide ample instability for a few thunderstorms. Moisture quality along the front is uncertain which precludes a Marginal Risk at this time. However, if low to mid 60s dewpoints appear likely ahead of the front, sufficient instability would exist beneath the cold air aloft to support severe weather probabilities. ..Bentley.. 05/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible from the Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas. ...Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas... A stalled front will exist across southern Texas on Wednesday. Strong surface heating will lead to strong instability along this front in an environment featuring long, straight hodographs. Forcing will be somewhat nebulous along the front, but with uncapped forecast soundings and neutral to slightly falling heights along the frontal zone, expect at least isolated supercell development. Any supercells which develop will pose a threat for large to potentially very large hail. Storm coverage precludes higher probabilities at this time. If the front/composite outflow boundary remains onshore across the central Gulf Coast, the Marginal Risk may need to be expanded into this region. However, at this time, there is significant uncertainty how Day 2 convection will evolve which will impact the front/outflow location across Louisiana and southern Mississippi. ...Oklahoma... A weak cold front is forecast to move south through Oklahoma during the day Wednesday. Diurnal destabilization ahead of the front could provide ample instability for a few thunderstorms. Moisture quality along the front is uncertain which precludes a Marginal Risk at this time. However, if low to mid 60s dewpoints appear likely ahead of the front, sufficient instability would exist beneath the cold air aloft to support severe weather probabilities. ..Bentley.. 05/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible from the Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas. ...Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas... A stalled front will exist across southern Texas on Wednesday. Strong surface heating will lead to strong instability along this front in an environment featuring long, straight hodographs. Forcing will be somewhat nebulous along the front, but with uncapped forecast soundings and neutral to slightly falling heights along the frontal zone, expect at least isolated supercell development. Any supercells which develop will pose a threat for large to potentially very large hail. Storm coverage precludes higher probabilities at this time. If the front/composite outflow boundary remains onshore across the central Gulf Coast, the Marginal Risk may need to be expanded into this region. However, at this time, there is significant uncertainty how Day 2 convection will evolve which will impact the front/outflow location across Louisiana and southern Mississippi. ...Oklahoma... A weak cold front is forecast to move south through Oklahoma during the day Wednesday. Diurnal destabilization ahead of the front could provide ample instability for a few thunderstorms. Moisture quality along the front is uncertain which precludes a Marginal Risk at this time. However, if low to mid 60s dewpoints appear likely ahead of the front, sufficient instability would exist beneath the cold air aloft to support severe weather probabilities. ..Bentley.. 05/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible from the Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas. ...Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas... A stalled front will exist across southern Texas on Wednesday. Strong surface heating will lead to strong instability along this front in an environment featuring long, straight hodographs. Forcing will be somewhat nebulous along the front, but with uncapped forecast soundings and neutral to slightly falling heights along the frontal zone, expect at least isolated supercell development. Any supercells which develop will pose a threat for large to potentially very large hail. Storm coverage precludes higher probabilities at this time. If the front/composite outflow boundary remains onshore across the central Gulf Coast, the Marginal Risk may need to be expanded into this region. However, at this time, there is significant uncertainty how Day 2 convection will evolve which will impact the front/outflow location across Louisiana and southern Mississippi. ...Oklahoma... A weak cold front is forecast to move south through Oklahoma during the day Wednesday. Diurnal destabilization ahead of the front could provide ample instability for a few thunderstorms. Moisture quality along the front is uncertain which precludes a Marginal Risk at this time. However, if low to mid 60s dewpoints appear likely ahead of the front, sufficient instability would exist beneath the cold air aloft to support severe weather probabilities. ..Bentley.. 05/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible from the Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas. ...Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas... A stalled front will exist across southern Texas on Wednesday. Strong surface heating will lead to strong instability along this front in an environment featuring long, straight hodographs. Forcing will be somewhat nebulous along the front, but with uncapped forecast soundings and neutral to slightly falling heights along the frontal zone, expect at least isolated supercell development. Any supercells which develop will pose a threat for large to potentially very large hail. Storm coverage precludes higher probabilities at this time. If the front/composite outflow boundary remains onshore across the central Gulf Coast, the Marginal Risk may need to be expanded into this region. However, at this time, there is significant uncertainty how Day 2 convection will evolve which will impact the front/outflow location across Louisiana and southern Mississippi. ...Oklahoma... A weak cold front is forecast to move south through Oklahoma during the day Wednesday. Diurnal destabilization ahead of the front could provide ample instability for a few thunderstorms. Moisture quality along the front is uncertain which precludes a Marginal Risk at this time. However, if low to mid 60s dewpoints appear likely ahead of the front, sufficient instability would exist beneath the cold air aloft to support severe weather probabilities. ..Bentley.. 05/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible from the Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas. ...Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas... A stalled front will exist across southern Texas on Wednesday. Strong surface heating will lead to strong instability along this front in an environment featuring long, straight hodographs. Forcing will be somewhat nebulous along the front, but with uncapped forecast soundings and neutral to slightly falling heights along the frontal zone, expect at least isolated supercell development. Any supercells which develop will pose a threat for large to potentially very large hail. Storm coverage precludes higher probabilities at this time. If the front/composite outflow boundary remains onshore across the central Gulf Coast, the Marginal Risk may need to be expanded into this region. However, at this time, there is significant uncertainty how Day 2 convection will evolve which will impact the front/outflow location across Louisiana and southern Mississippi. ...Oklahoma... A weak cold front is forecast to move south through Oklahoma during the day Wednesday. Diurnal destabilization ahead of the front could provide ample instability for a few thunderstorms. Moisture quality along the front is uncertain which precludes a Marginal Risk at this time. However, if low to mid 60s dewpoints appear likely ahead of the front, sufficient instability would exist beneath the cold air aloft to support severe weather probabilities. ..Bentley.. 05/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Mon May 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible from the Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas. ...Edwards Plateau to Southeast Texas... A stalled front will exist across southern Texas on Wednesday. Strong surface heating will lead to strong instability along this front in an environment featuring long, straight hodographs. Forcing will be somewhat nebulous along the front, but with uncapped forecast soundings and neutral to slightly falling heights along the frontal zone, expect at least isolated supercell development. Any supercells which develop will pose a threat for large to potentially very large hail. Storm coverage precludes higher probabilities at this time. If the front/composite outflow boundary remains onshore across the central Gulf Coast, the Marginal Risk may need to be expanded into this region. However, at this time, there is significant uncertainty how Day 2 convection will evolve which will impact the front/outflow location across Louisiana and southern Mississippi. ...Oklahoma... A weak cold front is forecast to move south through Oklahoma during the day Wednesday. Diurnal destabilization ahead of the front could provide ample instability for a few thunderstorms. Moisture quality along the front is uncertain which precludes a Marginal Risk at this time. However, if low to mid 60s dewpoints appear likely ahead of the front, sufficient instability would exist beneath the cold air aloft to support severe weather probabilities. ..Bentley.. 05/05/2025 Read more