Tropical Storm Dalila Forecast Advisory Number 6

1 month 1 week ago
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT JUN 14 2025 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 140254 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM DALILA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042025 0300 UTC SAT JUN 14 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 103.0W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......270NE 180SE 0SW 120NW. 4 M SEAS....150NE 450SE 150SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 103.0W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 102.7W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.0N 104.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...240NE 180SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.1N 106.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.9N 108.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.1N 110.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.1N 111.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.2N 113.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 18.1N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 103.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 14/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER JELSEMA/REINHART
NHC Webmaster

Tropical Storm Dalila Public Advisory Number 6

1 month 1 week ago
Issued at 900 PM CST Fri Jun 13 2025 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 140254 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Dalila Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042025 900 PM CST Fri Jun 13 2025 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO TECPAN DE GALEANA... SUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.2N 103.0W ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the coast of Mexico from Lazaro Cardenas to Tecpan De Galeana. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Tecpan De Galeana to Playa Perula A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * North of Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM CST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dalila was located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 103.0 West. Dalila is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Saturday. A turn toward the west is forecast by Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Dalila is forecast to move parallel to, but offshore of, the southwestern coast of Mexico. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next day or so. Weakening should begin by Sunday. Dalila is a large storm. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Dalila can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC. RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches are expected across portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán, and Colima through Sunday morning, with localized amounts up to 9 inches near the coast. This rainfall will lead to areas of flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain near the coast. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Dalila, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area and are possible within the watch area tonight and Saturday. SURF: Swells generated by Tropical Storm Dalila will affect portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1200 AM CST. Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Jelsema/Reinhart
NHC Webmaster

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
454
ABPZ20 KNHC 132346
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Jun 13 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Dalila, located in the eastern Pacific basin off the coast of
southwestern Mexico.

Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop late this
weekend or early next week near the coast of Central America. Some
gradual development of this system is possible after that time as it
moves west-northwestward near the coasts of Central America and
southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
NHC Webmaster

Tropical Storm Dalila Public Advisory Number 5a

1 month 1 week ago
Issued at 600 PM CST Fri Jun 13 2025 455 WTPZ34 KNHC 132343 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Dalila Intermediate Advisory Number 5A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042025 600 PM CST Fri Jun 13 2025 ...DALILA BRINGING AREAS OF HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 600 PM CST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.1N 102.8W ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Lazaro Cardenas to Playa Perula A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East of Lazaro Cardenas to Tecpan De Galeana * North of Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 600 PM CST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dalila was located near latitude 15.1 North, longitude 102.8 West. Dalila is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Saturday. A turn toward the west is forecast by Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Dalila is forecast to move parallel to, but offshore of, the southwestern coast of Mexico. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next day or so. Weakening should begin by Sunday. Dalila is a large system. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Dalila can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC. RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches are expected across portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán, and Colima through Sunday morning, with localized amounts up to 9 inches near the coast. This rainfall will lead to areas of flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain near the coast. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Dalila, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area and are possible within the watch area tonight and Saturday. SURF: Swells generated by Tropical Storm Dalila will affect portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
NHC Webmaster

Tropical Storm Dalila Forecast Discussion Number 5

1 month 1 week ago
Issued at 300 PM CST Fri Jun 13 2025 832 WTPZ44 KNHC 132032 TCDEP4 Tropical Storm Dalila Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042025 300 PM CST Fri Jun 13 2025 Satellite images and recent ASCAT data show that Dalila is a large tropical storm with its 34-kt wind radii spread out over a broad area, especially east of the center. The ASCAT passes showed tropical-storm-force winds occurring very near the coast of southern Mexico, which are likely aided by the local terrain. The initial intensity of the storm remains 35 kt based on the aforementioned ASCAT data and a Dvorak estimate from TAFB. Dalila is the second earliest fourth named storm in the eastern Pacific basin since records began in 1949, behind 1956. Dalila likely will strengthen during the next day or so while it remains over warm waters and in a low to moderate wind shear environment. However, rapid intensification is not expected given the large size of the storm's wind field and the lack of an inner core. The opportunity for strengthening should end by late Saturday when Dalila is expected to cross the 26 C SST isotherm. Thereafter, a combination of cool waters and stable air should cause rapid weakening, and Dalila is now forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone by late Sunday. The NHC intensity forecast is similar to the previous one and near the high end of the model guidance. The storm is still moving north-northwestward at about 12 kt. A gradual turn to the northwest and then the west is expected over the next few days as Dalila moves on the south side of a building mid-level ridge. There is high confidence that the center of the system should stay off the coast of Mexico, but the northern extent of the tropical-storm-force winds are expected to brush the southwestern coast of Mexico tonight and Saturday. The NHC track forecast is a touch north of the previous one and near the middle of the guidance envelope. KEY MESSAGES: 1. The outer bands of Tropical Storm Dalila could bring locally heavy rainfall to the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán, and Colima through this weekend. Isolated flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain, are possible. 2. Dalila is expected to produce tropical-storm-force winds across portions of the warning area tonight and Saturday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 13/2100Z 14.8N 102.4W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 14/0600Z 15.7N 103.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 14/1800Z 16.8N 105.1W 55 KT 65 MPH 36H 15/0600Z 17.8N 107.0W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 15/1800Z 18.4N 108.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 60H 16/0600Z 18.5N 110.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 72H 16/1800Z 18.5N 112.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 17/1800Z 18.5N 115.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
NHC Webmaster

Tropical Storm Dalila Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5

1 month 1 week ago
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUN 13 2025 959 FOPZ14 KNHC 132031 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042025 2100 UTC FRI JUN 13 2025 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAN BLAS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) P VALLARTA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 105W 34 9 23(32) 2(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 17(17) 11(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) MANZANILLO 34 4 44(48) 8(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) L CARDENAS 34 74 7(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) ZIHUATANEJO 34 84 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) 15N 100W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ACAPULCO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 15N 110W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 9(23) X(23) X(23) 20N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 18(27) 1(28) X(28) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
NHC Webmaster

Tropical Storm Dalila Public Advisory Number 5

1 month 1 week ago
Issued at 300 PM CST Fri Jun 13 2025 925 WTPZ34 KNHC 132031 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Dalila Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042025 300 PM CST Fri Jun 13 2025 ...DALILA BRINGING AREAS OF HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.8N 102.4W ABOUT 205 MI...335 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Lazaro Cardenas to Playa Perula A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East of Lazaro Cardenas to Tecpan De Galeana * North of Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dalila was located near latitude 14.8 North, longitude 102.4 West. Dalila is moving toward the north-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected later today, with a turn toward the west forecast by Sunday. On the forecast track, Dalila is forecast to move parallel to, but offshore of, the southwestern coast of Mexico. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next day or so. Weakening should begin by Sunday. Dalila is a large system. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Dalila can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC. RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches, with localized amounts up to 6 inches, are possible across portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán, and Colima through this weekend. This rainfall may lead to areas of flooding and mudslides. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Dalila, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area, and tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area tonight and Saturday. SURF: Swells generated by Tropical Storm Dalila will affect portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 600 PM CST. Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
NHC Webmaster

Tropical Storm Dalila Forecast Advisory Number 5

1 month 1 week ago
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUN 13 2025 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 132030 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM DALILA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042025 2100 UTC FRI JUN 13 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 102.4W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......270NE 180SE 0SW 120NW. 4 M SEAS....270NE 480SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 102.4W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 102.0W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.7N 103.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...240NE 180SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.8N 105.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.8N 107.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.4N 108.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.5N 110.9W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.5N 112.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 18.5N 115.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 102.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 14/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
NHC Webmaster

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
759
ABPZ20 KNHC 131732
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Jun 13 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Dalila, located in the eastern Pacific basin
off the coast of southwestern Mexico.

Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late this weekend or
early next week near the coast of Central America. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this
system as it moves west-northwestward near the coasts of Central
America and southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Dalila are issued under WMO
header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Dalila are issued under WMO
header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Blake
NHC Webmaster

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 131732
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Jun 13 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Dalila, located in the eastern Pacific basin
off the coast of southwestern Mexico.

Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late this weekend or
early next week near the coast of Central America. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this
system as it moves west-northwestward near the coasts of Central
America and southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Dalila are issued under WMO
header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Dalila are issued under WMO
header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Blake
NHC Webmaster
Checked
5 years 9 months ago
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