1 month 1 week ago
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT JUN 14 2025 000
WTPZ24 KNHC 140254
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM DALILA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042025
0300 UTC SAT JUN 14 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 103.0W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......270NE 180SE 0SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 450SE 150SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 103.0W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 102.7W
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.0N 104.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 180SE 60SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.1N 106.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 90SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.9N 108.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.1N 110.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.1N 111.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.2N 113.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 18.1N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 103.0W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 14/0600Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA/REINHART
NHC Webmaster
1 month 1 week ago
Issued at 900 PM CST Fri Jun 13 2025 000
WTPZ34 KNHC 140254
TCPEP4
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Dalila Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042025
900 PM CST Fri Jun 13 2025
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM
LAZARO CARDENAS TO TECPAN DE GALEANA...
SUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 103.0W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for
the coast of Mexico from Lazaro Cardenas to Tecpan De Galeana.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Tecpan De Galeana to Playa Perula
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* North of Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 PM CST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dalila was
located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 103.0 West. Dalila is
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue through Saturday. A turn
toward the west is forecast by Sunday. On the forecast track, the
center of Dalila is forecast to move parallel to, but offshore of,
the southwestern coast of Mexico.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is expected during the next day or so.
Weakening should begin by Sunday.
Dalila is a large storm. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward
up to 310 miles (500 km) from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Dalila can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO header
WTPZ44 KNHC.
RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches are expected across
portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán, and Colima
through Sunday morning, with localized amounts up to 9 inches near
the coast. This rainfall will lead to areas of flooding and
mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain near the coast.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Tropical Storm Dalila, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Total Rainfall Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?rainqpf
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area and are possible within the watch area tonight and Saturday.
SURF: Swells generated by Tropical Storm Dalila will affect
portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few
days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 1200 AM CST.
Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST.
$$
Forecaster Jelsema/Reinhart
NHC Webmaster
1 month 1 week ago
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO TECPAN DE GALEANA... As of 9:00 PM CST Fri Jun 13 the center of Dalila was located near 15.2, -103.0 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
NHC Webmaster
1 month 1 week ago
454
ABPZ20 KNHC 132346
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Jun 13 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Dalila, located in the eastern Pacific basin off the coast of
southwestern Mexico.
Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop late this
weekend or early next week near the coast of Central America. Some
gradual development of this system is possible after that time as it
moves west-northwestward near the coasts of Central America and
southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
NHC Webmaster
1 month 1 week ago
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 13 Jun 2025 23:46:49 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 13 Jun 2025 21:22:03 GMT
NHC Webmaster
1 month 1 week ago
Issued at 600 PM CST Fri Jun 13 2025 455
WTPZ34 KNHC 132343
TCPEP4
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Dalila Intermediate Advisory Number 5A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042025
600 PM CST Fri Jun 13 2025
...DALILA BRINGING AREAS OF HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG WINDS ALONG THE
COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 600 PM CST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.1N 102.8W
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Lazaro Cardenas to Playa Perula
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* East of Lazaro Cardenas to Tecpan De Galeana
* North of Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 600 PM CST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dalila was
located near latitude 15.1 North, longitude 102.8 West. Dalila is
moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue through Saturday. A turn
toward the west is forecast by Sunday. On the forecast track, the
center of Dalila is forecast to move parallel to, but offshore of,
the southwestern coast of Mexico.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is expected during the next day or so.
Weakening should begin by Sunday.
Dalila is a large system. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward
up to 310 miles (500 km) from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Dalila can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO header
WTPZ44 KNHC.
RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches are expected across
portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán, and Colima
through Sunday morning, with localized amounts up to 9 inches near
the coast. This rainfall will lead to areas of flooding and
mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain near the coast.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Tropical Storm Dalila, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Total Rainfall Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?rainqpf
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area and are possible within the watch area tonight and Saturday.
SURF: Swells generated by Tropical Storm Dalila will affect
portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few
days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
NHC Webmaster
1 month 1 week ago
...DALILA BRINGING AREAS OF HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... As of 6:00 PM CST Fri Jun 13 the center of Dalila was located near 15.1, -102.8 with movement NW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
NHC Webmaster
1 month 1 week ago
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 13 Jun 2025 20:35:16 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 13 Jun 2025 21:22:03 GMT
NHC Webmaster
1 month 1 week ago
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 13 Jun 2025 20:35:16 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 13 Jun 2025 20:35:16 GMT
NHC Webmaster
1 month 1 week ago
Issued at 300 PM CST Fri Jun 13 2025 832
WTPZ44 KNHC 132032
TCDEP4
Tropical Storm Dalila Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042025
300 PM CST Fri Jun 13 2025
Satellite images and recent ASCAT data show that Dalila is a large
tropical storm with its 34-kt wind radii spread out over a broad
area, especially east of the center. The ASCAT passes showed
tropical-storm-force winds occurring very near the coast of southern
Mexico, which are likely aided by the local terrain. The initial
intensity of the storm remains 35 kt based on the aforementioned
ASCAT data and a Dvorak estimate from TAFB. Dalila is the second
earliest fourth named storm in the eastern Pacific basin since
records began in 1949, behind 1956.
Dalila likely will strengthen during the next day or so while it
remains over warm waters and in a low to moderate wind shear
environment. However, rapid intensification is not expected given
the large size of the storm's wind field and the lack of an inner
core. The opportunity for strengthening should end by late Saturday
when Dalila is expected to cross the 26 C SST isotherm. Thereafter,
a combination of cool waters and stable air should cause rapid
weakening, and Dalila is now forecast to become a post-tropical
cyclone by late Sunday. The NHC intensity forecast is similar to the
previous one and near the high end of the model guidance.
The storm is still moving north-northwestward at about 12 kt. A
gradual turn to the northwest and then the west is expected over the
next few days as Dalila moves on the south side of a building
mid-level ridge. There is high confidence that the center of the
system should stay off the coast of Mexico, but the northern extent
of the tropical-storm-force winds are expected to brush the
southwestern coast of Mexico tonight and Saturday. The NHC track
forecast is a touch north of the previous one and near the middle of
the guidance envelope.
KEY MESSAGES:
1. The outer bands of Tropical Storm Dalila could bring locally
heavy rainfall to the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán, and
Colima through this weekend. Isolated flooding and mudslides,
especially in areas of steep terrain, are possible.
2. Dalila is expected to produce tropical-storm-force winds across
portions of the warning area tonight and Saturday.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 13/2100Z 14.8N 102.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 14/0600Z 15.7N 103.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 14/1800Z 16.8N 105.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 15/0600Z 17.8N 107.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 15/1800Z 18.4N 108.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 16/0600Z 18.5N 110.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
72H 16/1800Z 18.5N 112.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 17/1800Z 18.5N 115.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
NHC Webmaster
1 month 1 week ago
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUN 13 2025 959
FOPZ14 KNHC 132031
PWSEP4
TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042025
2100 UTC FRI JUN 13 2025
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAN BLAS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
P VALLARTA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
15N 105W 34 9 23(32) 2(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 17(17) 11(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
MANZANILLO 34 4 44(48) 8(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
L CARDENAS 34 74 7(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 84 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
15N 100W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ACAPULCO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
15N 110W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
20N 110W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 9(23) X(23) X(23)
20N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 18(27) 1(28) X(28)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
NHC Webmaster
1 month 1 week ago
Issued at 300 PM CST Fri Jun 13 2025 925
WTPZ34 KNHC 132031
TCPEP4
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Dalila Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042025
300 PM CST Fri Jun 13 2025
...DALILA BRINGING AREAS OF HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG WINDS ALONG THE
COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.8N 102.4W
ABOUT 205 MI...335 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Lazaro Cardenas to Playa Perula
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* East of Lazaro Cardenas to Tecpan De Galeana
* North of Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dalila was
located near latitude 14.8 North, longitude 102.4 West. Dalila is
moving toward the north-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A turn
toward the northwest is expected later today, with a turn toward the
west forecast by Sunday. On the forecast track, Dalila is forecast
to move parallel to, but offshore of, the southwestern coast of
Mexico.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is expected during the next day or so.
Weakening should begin by Sunday.
Dalila is a large system. Tropical-storm-force winds extend
outward up to 310 miles (500 km) from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Dalila can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO header
WTPZ44 KNHC.
RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches, with localized amounts
up to 6 inches, are possible across portions of the Mexican states
of Guerrero, Michoacán, and Colima through this weekend. This
rainfall may lead to areas of flooding and mudslides.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Tropical Storm Dalila, please see the National Weather Service
Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?rainqpf
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area, and tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area tonight and Saturday.
SURF: Swells generated by Tropical Storm Dalila will affect
portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few
days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 600 PM CST.
Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
NHC Webmaster
1 month 1 week ago
...DALILA BRINGING AREAS OF HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... As of 3:00 PM CST Fri Jun 13 the center of Dalila was located near 14.8, -102.4 with movement NNW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
NHC Webmaster
1 month 1 week ago
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUN 13 2025 000
WTPZ24 KNHC 132030
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM DALILA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042025
2100 UTC FRI JUN 13 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 102.4W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......270NE 180SE 0SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 480SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 102.4W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 102.0W
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.7N 103.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 180SE 60SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.8N 105.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 90SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.8N 107.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.4N 108.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.5N 110.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.5N 112.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 18.5N 115.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 102.4W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 14/0000Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
NHC Webmaster
1 month 1 week ago
...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM DALILA... As of 21:00 UTC FRI JUN 13 2025 the center of Dalila was located near 14.8, -102.4 with movement NNW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
NHC Webmaster
1 month 1 week ago
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 13 Jun 2025 17:31:49 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 13 Jun 2025 15:22:16 GMT
NHC Webmaster
1 month 1 week ago
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 13 Jun 2025 17:31:49 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 13 Jun 2025 15:22:16 GMT
NHC Webmaster
1 month 1 week ago
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 13 Jun 2025 17:31:49 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 13 Jun 2025 15:22:16 GMT
NHC Webmaster
1 month 1 week ago
759
ABPZ20 KNHC 131732
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Jun 13 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Dalila, located in the eastern Pacific basin
off the coast of southwestern Mexico.
Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late this weekend or
early next week near the coast of Central America. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this
system as it moves west-northwestward near the coasts of Central
America and southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Dalila are issued under WMO
header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Dalila are issued under WMO
header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.
$$
Forecaster Blake
NHC Webmaster
1 month 1 week ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 131732
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Jun 13 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Dalila, located in the eastern Pacific basin
off the coast of southwestern Mexico.
Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late this weekend or
early next week near the coast of Central America. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this
system as it moves west-northwestward near the coasts of Central
America and southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Dalila are issued under WMO
header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Dalila are issued under WMO
header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.
$$
Forecaster Blake
NHC Webmaster
Checked
5 years 9 months ago
Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific
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