Severe Storms

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 PM CST Sun Dec 03 2023 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... High pressure will shift east across the Rockies on Tuesday, keeping primarily light winds across much of the central and western CONUS. Light winds and cool temperatures in combination with moist fuels across much of the US will keep fire weather concerns low. Building high pressure across the Great Basin will lead to offshore flow across portions of Southern California Monday into Tuesday. Gradients will peak overnight, weakening through the day Tuesday. Localized elevated fire weather conditions will be possible where fuels are the driest across the foothills in Santa Barbara and Ventura counties. ..Thornton.. 12/04/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 PM CST Sun Dec 03 2023 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... High pressure will shift east across the Rockies on Tuesday, keeping primarily light winds across much of the central and western CONUS. Light winds and cool temperatures in combination with moist fuels across much of the US will keep fire weather concerns low. Building high pressure across the Great Basin will lead to offshore flow across portions of Southern California Monday into Tuesday. Gradients will peak overnight, weakening through the day Tuesday. Localized elevated fire weather conditions will be possible where fuels are the driest across the foothills in Santa Barbara and Ventura counties. ..Thornton.. 12/04/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 PM CST Sun Dec 03 2023 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... High pressure will shift east across the Rockies on Tuesday, keeping primarily light winds across much of the central and western CONUS. Light winds and cool temperatures in combination with moist fuels across much of the US will keep fire weather concerns low. Building high pressure across the Great Basin will lead to offshore flow across portions of Southern California Monday into Tuesday. Gradients will peak overnight, weakening through the day Tuesday. Localized elevated fire weather conditions will be possible where fuels are the driest across the foothills in Santa Barbara and Ventura counties. ..Thornton.. 12/04/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 PM CST Sun Dec 03 2023 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... High pressure will shift east across the Rockies on Tuesday, keeping primarily light winds across much of the central and western CONUS. Light winds and cool temperatures in combination with moist fuels across much of the US will keep fire weather concerns low. Building high pressure across the Great Basin will lead to offshore flow across portions of Southern California Monday into Tuesday. Gradients will peak overnight, weakening through the day Tuesday. Localized elevated fire weather conditions will be possible where fuels are the driest across the foothills in Santa Barbara and Ventura counties. ..Thornton.. 12/04/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 PM CST Sun Dec 03 2023 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... High pressure will shift east across the Rockies on Tuesday, keeping primarily light winds across much of the central and western CONUS. Light winds and cool temperatures in combination with moist fuels across much of the US will keep fire weather concerns low. Building high pressure across the Great Basin will lead to offshore flow across portions of Southern California Monday into Tuesday. Gradients will peak overnight, weakening through the day Tuesday. Localized elevated fire weather conditions will be possible where fuels are the driest across the foothills in Santa Barbara and Ventura counties. ..Thornton.. 12/04/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1113 PM CST Sun Dec 03 2023 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis... An intense mid-level shortwave trough initially near the MS-OH River confluence, will quickly move east through the base of a larger-scale trough over the eastern U.S., and reach the Mid-Atlantic coast by early evening. Upstream of this disturbance, another strong mid-level disturbance will rotate southeast from the western Dakotas to the mid MS Valley. In the low levels, a weak surface low over western KY will move east to the Outer Banks during the day. Showers and a few weak thunderstorms are possible mainly during the morning across parts of KY before diminishing. Mainly tranquil conditions via surface high pressure will characterize weather conditions for a large part of the CONUS. ..Smith/Thornton.. 12/04/2023 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1113 PM CST Sun Dec 03 2023 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis... An intense mid-level shortwave trough initially near the MS-OH River confluence, will quickly move east through the base of a larger-scale trough over the eastern U.S., and reach the Mid-Atlantic coast by early evening. Upstream of this disturbance, another strong mid-level disturbance will rotate southeast from the western Dakotas to the mid MS Valley. In the low levels, a weak surface low over western KY will move east to the Outer Banks during the day. Showers and a few weak thunderstorms are possible mainly during the morning across parts of KY before diminishing. Mainly tranquil conditions via surface high pressure will characterize weather conditions for a large part of the CONUS. ..Smith/Thornton.. 12/04/2023 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1113 PM CST Sun Dec 03 2023 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis... An intense mid-level shortwave trough initially near the MS-OH River confluence, will quickly move east through the base of a larger-scale trough over the eastern U.S., and reach the Mid-Atlantic coast by early evening. Upstream of this disturbance, another strong mid-level disturbance will rotate southeast from the western Dakotas to the mid MS Valley. In the low levels, a weak surface low over western KY will move east to the Outer Banks during the day. Showers and a few weak thunderstorms are possible mainly during the morning across parts of KY before diminishing. Mainly tranquil conditions via surface high pressure will characterize weather conditions for a large part of the CONUS. ..Smith/Thornton.. 12/04/2023 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1113 PM CST Sun Dec 03 2023 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis... An intense mid-level shortwave trough initially near the MS-OH River confluence, will quickly move east through the base of a larger-scale trough over the eastern U.S., and reach the Mid-Atlantic coast by early evening. Upstream of this disturbance, another strong mid-level disturbance will rotate southeast from the western Dakotas to the mid MS Valley. In the low levels, a weak surface low over western KY will move east to the Outer Banks during the day. Showers and a few weak thunderstorms are possible mainly during the morning across parts of KY before diminishing. Mainly tranquil conditions via surface high pressure will characterize weather conditions for a large part of the CONUS. ..Smith/Thornton.. 12/04/2023 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1113 PM CST Sun Dec 03 2023 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis... An intense mid-level shortwave trough initially near the MS-OH River confluence, will quickly move east through the base of a larger-scale trough over the eastern U.S., and reach the Mid-Atlantic coast by early evening. Upstream of this disturbance, another strong mid-level disturbance will rotate southeast from the western Dakotas to the mid MS Valley. In the low levels, a weak surface low over western KY will move east to the Outer Banks during the day. Showers and a few weak thunderstorms are possible mainly during the morning across parts of KY before diminishing. Mainly tranquil conditions via surface high pressure will characterize weather conditions for a large part of the CONUS. ..Smith/Thornton.. 12/04/2023 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0647 PM CST Sun Dec 03 2023 Valid 040100Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight across the contiguous United States. ...Synopsis... Water-vapor imagery early this evening shows a potent mid-level shortwave trough moving east-northeast across the Lower Great Lakes/central Appalachians. This upper feature will quickly move into the Northeast tonight. Scant instability immediately ahead of the disturbance will lend a low probability for a few thunderstorms through the mid evening across mainly portions of Upstate NY. Elsewhere, quiescent conditions for thunderstorms will prevail in large part due to stable and/or dry conditions. ..Smith.. 12/04/2023 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0647 PM CST Sun Dec 03 2023 Valid 040100Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight across the contiguous United States. ...Synopsis... Water-vapor imagery early this evening shows a potent mid-level shortwave trough moving east-northeast across the Lower Great Lakes/central Appalachians. This upper feature will quickly move into the Northeast tonight. Scant instability immediately ahead of the disturbance will lend a low probability for a few thunderstorms through the mid evening across mainly portions of Upstate NY. Elsewhere, quiescent conditions for thunderstorms will prevail in large part due to stable and/or dry conditions. ..Smith.. 12/04/2023 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0647 PM CST Sun Dec 03 2023 Valid 040100Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight across the contiguous United States. ...Synopsis... Water-vapor imagery early this evening shows a potent mid-level shortwave trough moving east-northeast across the Lower Great Lakes/central Appalachians. This upper feature will quickly move into the Northeast tonight. Scant instability immediately ahead of the disturbance will lend a low probability for a few thunderstorms through the mid evening across mainly portions of Upstate NY. Elsewhere, quiescent conditions for thunderstorms will prevail in large part due to stable and/or dry conditions. ..Smith.. 12/04/2023 Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 PM CST Sun Dec 03 2023 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z Cool temperatures and moist fuels will be present across most of the CONUS through the week. Fine fuels in the southern High Plains will continue to dry through the period, but winds will be light for much of the week which should minimize fire weather concerns. There will be at least some increase in fire weather potential in the southern High Plains toward the end of the week and into the weekend as stronger mid-level flow overspreads the region and dry and breezy conditions resume. However, confidence still remains too low for any probabilities given questionably dry fuels and the majority of windy conditions in the post frontal airmass when temperatures are expected to be cooler. ..Bentley.. 12/03/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 PM CST Sun Dec 03 2023 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z Cool temperatures and moist fuels will be present across most of the CONUS through the week. Fine fuels in the southern High Plains will continue to dry through the period, but winds will be light for much of the week which should minimize fire weather concerns. There will be at least some increase in fire weather potential in the southern High Plains toward the end of the week and into the weekend as stronger mid-level flow overspreads the region and dry and breezy conditions resume. However, confidence still remains too low for any probabilities given questionably dry fuels and the majority of windy conditions in the post frontal airmass when temperatures are expected to be cooler. ..Bentley.. 12/03/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 PM CST Sun Dec 03 2023 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z Cool temperatures and moist fuels will be present across most of the CONUS through the week. Fine fuels in the southern High Plains will continue to dry through the period, but winds will be light for much of the week which should minimize fire weather concerns. There will be at least some increase in fire weather potential in the southern High Plains toward the end of the week and into the weekend as stronger mid-level flow overspreads the region and dry and breezy conditions resume. However, confidence still remains too low for any probabilities given questionably dry fuels and the majority of windy conditions in the post frontal airmass when temperatures are expected to be cooler. ..Bentley.. 12/03/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sun Dec 3 21:54:01 UTC 2023.

No watches are valid as of Sun Dec 3 21:54:01 UTC 2023.

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0155 PM CST Sun Dec 03 2023 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes. See previous discussion below. ..Bentley.. 12/03/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1228 AM CST Sun Dec 03 2023/ ...Synopsis... High pressure will build in across the western US on Monday, with a dry cold frontal passage bringing cooler temperatures across much of the Plains. Weakening westerly gradients will give way to lighter southerly winds, with higher afternoon relative humidity across the central and southern Plains. As such, fire weather concerns will remain low on Monday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0155 PM CST Sun Dec 03 2023 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes. See previous discussion below. ..Bentley.. 12/03/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1228 AM CST Sun Dec 03 2023/ ...Synopsis... High pressure will build in across the western US on Monday, with a dry cold frontal passage bringing cooler temperatures across much of the Plains. Weakening westerly gradients will give way to lighter southerly winds, with higher afternoon relative humidity across the central and southern Plains. As such, fire weather concerns will remain low on Monday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more