Severe Storms

WW 0023 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 23 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ENE BVE TO 50 S MOB. ..KERR..02/12/24 ATTN...WFO...LIX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 23 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GMZ536-121340- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0023 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 23 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ENE BVE TO 50 S MOB. ..KERR..02/12/24 ATTN...WFO...LIX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 23 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GMZ536-121340- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0023 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 23 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ENE BVE TO 50 S MOB. ..KERR..02/12/24 ATTN...WFO...LIX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 23 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GMZ536-121340- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0023 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 23 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ENE BVE TO 50 S MOB. ..KERR..02/12/24 ATTN...WFO...LIX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 23 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GMZ536-121340- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 23 TORNADO LA MS CW 120935Z - 121500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 23 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 335 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southeast Louisiana Far Southern Mississippi Coastal Waters * Effective this Monday morning from 335 AM until 900 AM CST. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible SUMMARY...A severe-weather risk including isolated tornado/damaging wind potential will continue through the early morning hours. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles south southwest of New Orleans LA to 40 miles east of Gulfport MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 22... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 24030. ...Guyer Read more

MD 0137 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 22...23... FOR PARTS OF FAR SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 0137 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0416 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2024 Areas affected...parts of far southeastern Mississippi...southern Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle Concerning...Tornado Watch 22...23... Valid 121016Z - 121245Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 22, 23 continues. SUMMARY...While the ongoing, slowly eastward advancing line of storms may continue to weaken into and beyond daybreak, intensifying new thunderstorm development ahead of it may begin to pose increasing potential for at least severe hail and locally damaging wind gusts. DISCUSSION...Mid/upper flow appears to trending increasingly difluent across the north central into northeastern Gulf coast vicinity, as a significant upstream short wave trough begins to take on more of a neutral to negative tilt across the southern Great Plains toward the lower Mississippi Valley. Beneath this regime, increasing large-scale ascent, aided by low-level warm advection, likely is contributing to an increase in convective development offshore of southeastern Louisiana coastal areas into southern Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle. Across and inland of the coastal waters a shallow moist adiabatic or more stable near-surface layer appears to linger based on model forecast soundings. However, CAPE for slightly elevated most unstable parcels might be as high as 1000 J/kg, which may support a continuing increase and intensification of this newer thunderstorm development. Latest trends appear to support the High Resolution Rapid Refresh depiction that this will become the most prominent thunderstorm activity into and beyond daybreak, while the trailing ongoing pre-frontal line of thunderstorms dissipates. It appears that this may coincide with notable strengthening of a southerly low-level jet off the Gulf of Mexico (40-50+ kt around 850 mb), with forecasts soundings exhibiting enlarging low-level hodographs at least somewhat more conducive to supercells structures potentially supportive of a risk for tornadoes. Otherwise, stronger new thunderstorm development may gradually pose increasing potential for severe hail and locally damaging surface gusts. ..Kerr.. 02/12/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...LIX... LAT...LON 30158885 31098837 31678769 31708655 31778553 30848535 30258516 29728609 29368737 29278885 29518929 30158885 Read more

WW 0022 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 22 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW PNS TO 10 ENE GZH TO 35 E TOI. ..KERR..02/12/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 22 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC005-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-109-121340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBOUR COFFEE CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA GENEVA PIKE FLC033-059-091-113-131-121340- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ESCAMBIA HOLMES OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON MSC111-121340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE PERRY Read more

WW 0022 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 22 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N GPT TO 45 WNW GZH TO 15 WNW SEM. ..KERR..02/12/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 22 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC001-003-005-011-013-031-035-039-041-045-047-051-053-061-081- 085-087-097-099-101-109-113-131-121240- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUTAUGA BALDWIN BARBOUR BULLOCK BUTLER COFFEE CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE DALLAS ELMORE ESCAMBIA GENEVA LEE LOWNDES MACON MOBILE MONROE MONTGOMERY PIKE RUSSELL WILCOX FLC033-059-091-113-131-121240- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ESCAMBIA HOLMES OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON Read more

WW 0023 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 23 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE HUM TO 25 NNE ASD. ..KERR..02/12/24 ATTN...WFO...LIX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 23 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC075-121240- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE PLAQUEMINES MSC045-047-059-121240- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HANCOCK HARRISON JACKSON GMZ532-534-536-538-121240- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE MISSISSIPPI SOUND LAKE BORGNE Read more

WW 0022 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 22 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE PIB TO 55 E PIB TO 45 E MEI. ..KERR..02/12/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 22 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC001-003-005-011-013-025-031-035-039-041-045-047-051-053-061- 081-085-087-091-097-099-101-105-109-113-129-131-121140- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUTAUGA BALDWIN BARBOUR BULLOCK BUTLER CLARKE COFFEE CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE DALLAS ELMORE ESCAMBIA GENEVA LEE LOWNDES MACON MARENGO MOBILE MONROE MONTGOMERY PERRY PIKE RUSSELL WASHINGTON WILCOX FLC033-059-091-113-131-121140- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ESCAMBIA HOLMES OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2024 Valid 151200Z - 201200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Thursday/Day 4 to Saturday/Day 6... West-northwest mid-level flow is forecast across much of the nation on Thursday. A shortwave trough will likely move southeastward into the north-central states from Thursday night into Friday. This feature is forecast to reach the eastern U.S. on Saturday. At the surface, a cold front is forecast to move southeastward into the south-central U.S. on Friday. Weak moisture return should take place ahead of the front across parts of the southern Plains and Ark-La-Tex. Thunderstorm development will be possible along and near the moist axis from Friday afternoon into the overnight. This activity is not expected to be severe due to limited instability. ...Sunday/Day 7 and Monday/Day 8... On Sunday and Monday, a large area of high pressure at the surface is forecast to be in place across the central and eastern U.S. Dry and cold air associated with this high will make conditions unfavorable for thunderstorm development. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2024 Valid 151200Z - 201200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Thursday/Day 4 to Saturday/Day 6... West-northwest mid-level flow is forecast across much of the nation on Thursday. A shortwave trough will likely move southeastward into the north-central states from Thursday night into Friday. This feature is forecast to reach the eastern U.S. on Saturday. At the surface, a cold front is forecast to move southeastward into the south-central U.S. on Friday. Weak moisture return should take place ahead of the front across parts of the southern Plains and Ark-La-Tex. Thunderstorm development will be possible along and near the moist axis from Friday afternoon into the overnight. This activity is not expected to be severe due to limited instability. ...Sunday/Day 7 and Monday/Day 8... On Sunday and Monday, a large area of high pressure at the surface is forecast to be in place across the central and eastern U.S. Dry and cold air associated with this high will make conditions unfavorable for thunderstorm development. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2024 Valid 151200Z - 201200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Thursday/Day 4 to Saturday/Day 6... West-northwest mid-level flow is forecast across much of the nation on Thursday. A shortwave trough will likely move southeastward into the north-central states from Thursday night into Friday. This feature is forecast to reach the eastern U.S. on Saturday. At the surface, a cold front is forecast to move southeastward into the south-central U.S. on Friday. Weak moisture return should take place ahead of the front across parts of the southern Plains and Ark-La-Tex. Thunderstorm development will be possible along and near the moist axis from Friday afternoon into the overnight. This activity is not expected to be severe due to limited instability. ...Sunday/Day 7 and Monday/Day 8... On Sunday and Monday, a large area of high pressure at the surface is forecast to be in place across the central and eastern U.S. Dry and cold air associated with this high will make conditions unfavorable for thunderstorm development. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2024 Valid 151200Z - 201200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Thursday/Day 4 to Saturday/Day 6... West-northwest mid-level flow is forecast across much of the nation on Thursday. A shortwave trough will likely move southeastward into the north-central states from Thursday night into Friday. This feature is forecast to reach the eastern U.S. on Saturday. At the surface, a cold front is forecast to move southeastward into the south-central U.S. on Friday. Weak moisture return should take place ahead of the front across parts of the southern Plains and Ark-La-Tex. Thunderstorm development will be possible along and near the moist axis from Friday afternoon into the overnight. This activity is not expected to be severe due to limited instability. ...Sunday/Day 7 and Monday/Day 8... On Sunday and Monday, a large area of high pressure at the surface is forecast to be in place across the central and eastern U.S. Dry and cold air associated with this high will make conditions unfavorable for thunderstorm development. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2024 Valid 151200Z - 201200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Thursday/Day 4 to Saturday/Day 6... West-northwest mid-level flow is forecast across much of the nation on Thursday. A shortwave trough will likely move southeastward into the north-central states from Thursday night into Friday. This feature is forecast to reach the eastern U.S. on Saturday. At the surface, a cold front is forecast to move southeastward into the south-central U.S. on Friday. Weak moisture return should take place ahead of the front across parts of the southern Plains and Ark-La-Tex. Thunderstorm development will be possible along and near the moist axis from Friday afternoon into the overnight. This activity is not expected to be severe due to limited instability. ...Sunday/Day 7 and Monday/Day 8... On Sunday and Monday, a large area of high pressure at the surface is forecast to be in place across the central and eastern U.S. Dry and cold air associated with this high will make conditions unfavorable for thunderstorm development. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2024 Valid 151200Z - 201200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Thursday/Day 4 to Saturday/Day 6... West-northwest mid-level flow is forecast across much of the nation on Thursday. A shortwave trough will likely move southeastward into the north-central states from Thursday night into Friday. This feature is forecast to reach the eastern U.S. on Saturday. At the surface, a cold front is forecast to move southeastward into the south-central U.S. on Friday. Weak moisture return should take place ahead of the front across parts of the southern Plains and Ark-La-Tex. Thunderstorm development will be possible along and near the moist axis from Friday afternoon into the overnight. This activity is not expected to be severe due to limited instability. ...Sunday/Day 7 and Monday/Day 8... On Sunday and Monday, a large area of high pressure at the surface is forecast to be in place across the central and eastern U.S. Dry and cold air associated with this high will make conditions unfavorable for thunderstorm development. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2024 Valid 151200Z - 201200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Thursday/Day 4 to Saturday/Day 6... West-northwest mid-level flow is forecast across much of the nation on Thursday. A shortwave trough will likely move southeastward into the north-central states from Thursday night into Friday. This feature is forecast to reach the eastern U.S. on Saturday. At the surface, a cold front is forecast to move southeastward into the south-central U.S. on Friday. Weak moisture return should take place ahead of the front across parts of the southern Plains and Ark-La-Tex. Thunderstorm development will be possible along and near the moist axis from Friday afternoon into the overnight. This activity is not expected to be severe due to limited instability. ...Sunday/Day 7 and Monday/Day 8... On Sunday and Monday, a large area of high pressure at the surface is forecast to be in place across the central and eastern U.S. Dry and cold air associated with this high will make conditions unfavorable for thunderstorm development. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2024 Valid 151200Z - 201200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Thursday/Day 4 to Saturday/Day 6... West-northwest mid-level flow is forecast across much of the nation on Thursday. A shortwave trough will likely move southeastward into the north-central states from Thursday night into Friday. This feature is forecast to reach the eastern U.S. on Saturday. At the surface, a cold front is forecast to move southeastward into the south-central U.S. on Friday. Weak moisture return should take place ahead of the front across parts of the southern Plains and Ark-La-Tex. Thunderstorm development will be possible along and near the moist axis from Friday afternoon into the overnight. This activity is not expected to be severe due to limited instability. ...Sunday/Day 7 and Monday/Day 8... On Sunday and Monday, a large area of high pressure at the surface is forecast to be in place across the central and eastern U.S. Dry and cold air associated with this high will make conditions unfavorable for thunderstorm development. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2024 Valid 151200Z - 201200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Thursday/Day 4 to Saturday/Day 6... West-northwest mid-level flow is forecast across much of the nation on Thursday. A shortwave trough will likely move southeastward into the north-central states from Thursday night into Friday. This feature is forecast to reach the eastern U.S. on Saturday. At the surface, a cold front is forecast to move southeastward into the south-central U.S. on Friday. Weak moisture return should take place ahead of the front across parts of the southern Plains and Ark-La-Tex. Thunderstorm development will be possible along and near the moist axis from Friday afternoon into the overnight. This activity is not expected to be severe due to limited instability. ...Sunday/Day 7 and Monday/Day 8... On Sunday and Monday, a large area of high pressure at the surface is forecast to be in place across the central and eastern U.S. Dry and cold air associated with this high will make conditions unfavorable for thunderstorm development. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2024 Valid 151200Z - 201200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Thursday/Day 4 to Saturday/Day 6... West-northwest mid-level flow is forecast across much of the nation on Thursday. A shortwave trough will likely move southeastward into the north-central states from Thursday night into Friday. This feature is forecast to reach the eastern U.S. on Saturday. At the surface, a cold front is forecast to move southeastward into the south-central U.S. on Friday. Weak moisture return should take place ahead of the front across parts of the southern Plains and Ark-La-Tex. Thunderstorm development will be possible along and near the moist axis from Friday afternoon into the overnight. This activity is not expected to be severe due to limited instability. ...Sunday/Day 7 and Monday/Day 8... On Sunday and Monday, a large area of high pressure at the surface is forecast to be in place across the central and eastern U.S. Dry and cold air associated with this high will make conditions unfavorable for thunderstorm development. Read more