Severe Storms

MD 0517 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 133... FOR SOUTHWESTERN NEBRASKA...NORTHWESTERN KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0517 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0748 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024 Areas affected...southwestern Nebraska...northwestern Kansas Concerning...Tornado Watch 133... Valid 260048Z - 260145Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 133 continues. SUMMARY...Storms have diminished in coverage and intensity over the past hour, but severe threat will continue locally. DISCUSSION...Latest composite radar loop over the central High Plains region shows a decrease in convective coverage and intensity over the past hour -- especially along the western Kansas dryline. The main area of convective persistence is ongoing from northeastern Colorado eastward across southwestern Nebraska and northwestern Kansas. The northwest-to-southeast surface baroclinic zone across western Kansas has been making gradual progress southwestward over the past couple of hours -- in part due to convective outflow reinforcement. As such, convection shifting northeastward across the tornado watch continues to encounter a less-unstable environment. As a result, storms have undergone a weakening trend, particularly a decrease in the number of storms with supercellular characteristics. With that said, local/all-hazards risk continues with stronger storms in/near the WW. Additionally, some CAM runs suggest that as the low-level jet increases this evening, likely contributing to an increase in storm coverage on the cool side of the front, some potential for upscale growth into a bowing line is possible, potentially shifting eastward either side of the Nebraska/Kansas border. This could yield a minor increase in wind potential, though the stable boundary layer with eastward extent should limit overall risk. ..Goss.. 04/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...BOU... LAT...LON 40650209 40590068 40339968 39619931 39159974 38870012 38830061 38790102 39550181 39930177 40460221 40650209 Read more

WW 0134 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 134 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW DHT TO 35 S GLD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0134 ..THORNTON..04/26/24 ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...AMA... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 134 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-101-119-129-135-171-175-187- 189-195-260140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY LANE MEADE MORTON NESS SCOTT SEWARD STANTON STEVENS TREGO OKC007-139-260140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER TEXAS TXC195-233-341-357-421-260140- Read more

WW 0134 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 134 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW DHT TO 35 S GLD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0134 ..THORNTON..04/26/24 ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...AMA... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 134 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-101-119-129-135-171-175-187- 189-195-260140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY LANE MEADE MORTON NESS SCOTT SEWARD STANTON STEVENS TREGO OKC007-139-260140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER TEXAS TXC195-233-341-357-421-260140- Read more

WW 0134 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 134 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW DHT TO 35 S GLD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0134 ..THORNTON..04/26/24 ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...AMA... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 134 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-101-119-129-135-171-175-187- 189-195-260140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY LANE MEADE MORTON NESS SCOTT SEWARD STANTON STEVENS TREGO OKC007-139-260140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER TEXAS TXC195-233-341-357-421-260140- Read more

WW 0134 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 134 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW DHT TO 35 S GLD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0134 ..THORNTON..04/26/24 ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...AMA... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 134 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-101-119-129-135-171-175-187- 189-195-260140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY LANE MEADE MORTON NESS SCOTT SEWARD STANTON STEVENS TREGO OKC007-139-260140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER TEXAS TXC195-233-341-357-421-260140- Read more

WW 0134 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 134 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW DHT TO 35 S GLD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0134 ..THORNTON..04/26/24 ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...AMA... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 134 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-101-119-129-135-171-175-187- 189-195-260140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY LANE MEADE MORTON NESS SCOTT SEWARD STANTON STEVENS TREGO OKC007-139-260140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER TEXAS TXC195-233-341-357-421-260140- Read more

WW 0134 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 134 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW DHT TO 35 S GLD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0134 ..THORNTON..04/26/24 ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...AMA... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 134 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-101-119-129-135-171-175-187- 189-195-260140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY LANE MEADE MORTON NESS SCOTT SEWARD STANTON STEVENS TREGO OKC007-139-260140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER TEXAS TXC195-233-341-357-421-260140- Read more

WW 134 TORNADO CO KS OK TX 252200Z - 260500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 134 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 500 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southeastern Colorado Western Kansas Oklahoma Panhandle Northern Texas Panhandle * Effective this Thursday afternoon from 500 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible SUMMARY...Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to evolve out of a belt of convection now building along a slow-moving dryline, from near the CO/KS line southward into the northern TX Panhandle. A few supercells may evolve out of this activity with an early threat for large to very large hail and severe gusts. Tornado potential would ramp up from late afternoon into evening with any remaining supercell(s) as low-level shear increases. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles east southeast of Dalhart TX to 55 miles north of Garden City KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 133... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 23025. ...Edwards Read more

MD 0515 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 133... FOR (NORTHEASTERN COLORADO...SOUTHWESTERN NEBRASKA...AND NORTHWESTERN KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0515 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0542 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024 Areas affected...(northeastern Colorado...southwestern Nebraska...and northwestern Kansas Concerning...Tornado Watch 133... Valid 252242Z - 260045Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 133 continues. SUMMARY...Severe/local tornado risk continues within WW 133, across northwestern Kansas, northeastern Colorado, and southwestern Nebraska early this evening. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows numerous strong/severe storms developing from just southeast of GLD southward across western Kansas (into Tornado Watch 134), near and ahead of a dryline analyzed over far eastern Colorado. Meanwhile, additional strong/severe storms are ongoing from near the surface low over northeastern Colorado, east-southeastward across southwestern Nebraska and adjacent northwestern Kansas -- to the cool side of a warm front bisecting Kansas from northwest to southeast. An axis of moderate instability (2000 to 3000 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE) is indicated across the warm sector, bounded by the dryline on the west, and the warm front on the northeast. South-southeasterly low-level flow across this area (veering to east-southeasterly north of the warm front) beneath mid-level south-southwesterlies near 50 kt, is yielding favorable shear for rotating storms -- confirming radar observations. Storms moving north-northeastward out of northwestern Kansas into southwestern Nebraska should weaken with time, as they move into a more stable airmass north of the warm front. Meanwhile, storms nearer the front, and southward along the dryline, will remain capable of producing very large hail (up to around baseball size) and locally damaging wind gusts. Tornado risk also remains evident, and should increase this evening as a south-southeasterly low-level jet ramps up to in excess of 50 kt with time. ..Goss.. 04/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...BOU... LAT...LON 40680315 40820262 40550112 40060029 39200017 38830039 38300115 38430181 38950179 39580303 40130334 40680315 Read more

WW 0133 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 133 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..GOSS..04/26/24 ATTN...WFO...GLD...BOU...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 133 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC017-063-075-095-115-121-125-260140- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE KIT CARSON LOGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK WASHINGTON YUMA KSC023-039-063-065-071-109-137-153-179-181-193-199-203-260140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE DECATUR GOVE GRAHAM GREELEY LOGAN NORTON RAWLINS SHERIDAN SHERMAN THOMAS WALLACE WICHITA NEC029-057-085-087-145-260140- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0133 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 133 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..GOSS..04/26/24 ATTN...WFO...GLD...BOU...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 133 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC017-063-075-095-115-121-125-260140- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE KIT CARSON LOGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK WASHINGTON YUMA KSC023-039-063-065-071-109-137-153-179-181-193-199-203-260140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE DECATUR GOVE GRAHAM GREELEY LOGAN NORTON RAWLINS SHERIDAN SHERMAN THOMAS WALLACE WICHITA NEC029-057-085-087-145-260140- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

MD 0515 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 133... FOR (NORTHEASTERN COLORADO...SOUTHWESTERN NEBRASKA...AND NORTHWESTERN KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0515 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0542 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024 Areas affected...(northeastern Colorado...southwestern Nebraska...and northwestern Kansas Concerning...Tornado Watch 133... Valid 252242Z - 260045Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 133 continues. SUMMARY...Severe/local tornado risk continues within WW 133, across northwestern Kansas, northeastern Colorado, and southwestern Nebraska early this evening. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows numerous strong/severe storms developing from just southeast of GLD southward across western Kansas (into Tornado Watch 134), near and ahead of a dryline analyzed over far eastern Colorado. Meanwhile, additional strong/severe storms are ongoing from near the surface low over northeastern Colorado, east-southeastward across southwestern Nebraska and adjacent northwestern Kansas -- to the cool side of a warm front bisecting Kansas from northwest to southeast. An axis of moderate instability (2000 to 3000 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE) is indicated across the warm sector, bounded by the dryline on the west, and the warm front on the northeast. South-southeasterly low-level flow across this area (veering to east-southeasterly north of the warm front) beneath mid-level south-southwesterlies near 50 kt, is yielding favorable shear for rotating storms -- confirming radar observations. Storms moving north-northeastward out of northwestern Kansas into southwestern Nebraska should weaken with time, as they move into a more stable airmass north of the warm front. Meanwhile, storms nearer the front, and southward along the dryline, will remain capable of producing very large hail (up to around baseball size) and locally damaging wind gusts. Tornado risk also remains evident, and should increase this evening as a south-southeasterly low-level jet ramps up to in excess of 50 kt with time. ..Goss.. 04/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...BOU... LAT...LON 40680315 40820262 40550112 40060029 39200017 38830039 38300115 38430181 38950179 39580303 40130334 40680315 Read more

MD 0514 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR SOUTHWEST KANSAS INTO THE CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 0514 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0347 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024 Areas affected...southwest Kansas into the central Texas Panhandle Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 252047Z - 252315Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...A narrow zone of isolated storm potential exists from southwest Kansas into the central Texas Panhandle, with conditional supercell threat. DISCUSSION...Clouds hampered heating for much of the day from the South Plains into most of the TX Panhandle, but boundary layer mixing continues with decreasing clouds. High-based cumulus have formed within the warmer, deeply mixed air mass just west of the dryline, with signs of increasing warm sector cumulus as well. Special midday soundings from AMA and DDC show steep lapse rates aloft and strong mid and high level winds. While dewpoints have dropped in some areas such as western KS, GPS water vapor sensors indicate greater overall moisture content roughly from AMA southeastward toward CDS. Given continued cloud erosion, mixing along the dryline, and an increasing low-level jet into the evening, isolated severe storms cannot be ruled out within this narrow north-south zone. ..Jewell/Hart.. 04/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...LUB...AMA... LAT...LON 33910188 34670189 35470209 35970215 36730202 37480168 38410150 38450086 37940070 36300094 34960091 34160096 33810139 33910188 Read more

WW 0134 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0134 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0134 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0134 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 134 TORNADO CO KS OK TX 252200Z - 260500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 134 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 500 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southeastern Colorado Western Kansas Oklahoma Panhandle Northern Texas Panhandle * Effective this Thursday afternoon from 500 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible SUMMARY...Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to evolve out of a belt of convection now building along a slow-moving dryline, from near the CO/KS line southward into the northern TX Panhandle. A few supercells may evolve out of this activity with an early threat for large to very large hail and severe gusts. Tornado potential would ramp up from late afternoon into evening with any remaining supercell(s) as low-level shear increases. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles east southeast of Dalhart TX to 55 miles north of Garden City KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 133... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 23025. ...Edwards Read more

MD 0513 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR NORTHEAST COLORADO INTO MUCH OF NORTHWEST KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0513 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0223 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024 Areas affected...northeast Colorado into much of northwest Kansas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 251923Z - 252200Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Storms are expected to rapidly develop along the boundary from northeast Colorado into northwest Kansas, and far southwest Nebraska. Very large hail is likely, along with a few tornadoes and damaging gusts. DISCUSSION...Strong heating persists across the region, now on both sides of a stationary front extending from northeast CO into northwest KS. Southeasterly surface winds have brought 50s F dewpoints westward into CO, which is contributing to up to 2000 J/kg MUCAPE within the narrow moist plume. Moderate southwest flow aloft atop the backed low-level southeasterlies is further aiding shear near the boundary which strongly favors long-lived severe storms. Supercells or bows will be possible producing very large hail, a few tornadoes and damaging gusts. ..Jewell/Hart.. 04/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...BOU... LAT...LON 38840054 38690063 38620074 38550110 38870201 39380281 39530324 39720340 39990338 40240327 40400311 40480274 40470196 40420132 40240087 39970060 39580042 39020048 38840054 Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0421 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 031200Z A strong mid-level trough will be present across the Southwest CONUS at the beginning of the period. This trough will shift into the Upper Midwest on Sunday/Monday. Beyond Monday a more zonal pattern should lead to relatively benign fire weather conditions for the day 4-8 period. ...Day 3/Sat - Southern High Plains... A very strong mid-level jet streak will round the base of the mid-upper level trough and eject across the southern High Plains Saturday afternoon. A deeply mixed airmass is present across this region which will allow for some of this stronger flow to mix to the surface. In addition, a developing lee cyclone and the associated tightening of the surface pressure gradient will also aid in stronger winds at the surface. Relative humidity is expected to be around 8 to 12 percent with surface sustained winds around 25 to 35 mph. While this technically meets the criteria for extremely critical fire weather conditions, it does not appear fuels are quite to the extremely critical fuel dryness needed to support true extremely critical fire weather. However, conditions will be monitored for this higher end potential. ...Day 4/Sunday - Southern High Plains... Some dry and breezy conditions are possible in the southern High Plains again on Sunday. These conditions should be mostly confined to southeast New Mexico and vicinity where stronger mid-level flow should be present and at least some weak lee cyclogenesis is possible with a passing weak mid-level shortwave trough. ..Bentley.. 04/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0421 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 031200Z A strong mid-level trough will be present across the Southwest CONUS at the beginning of the period. This trough will shift into the Upper Midwest on Sunday/Monday. Beyond Monday a more zonal pattern should lead to relatively benign fire weather conditions for the day 4-8 period. ...Day 3/Sat - Southern High Plains... A very strong mid-level jet streak will round the base of the mid-upper level trough and eject across the southern High Plains Saturday afternoon. A deeply mixed airmass is present across this region which will allow for some of this stronger flow to mix to the surface. In addition, a developing lee cyclone and the associated tightening of the surface pressure gradient will also aid in stronger winds at the surface. Relative humidity is expected to be around 8 to 12 percent with surface sustained winds around 25 to 35 mph. While this technically meets the criteria for extremely critical fire weather conditions, it does not appear fuels are quite to the extremely critical fuel dryness needed to support true extremely critical fire weather. However, conditions will be monitored for this higher end potential. ...Day 4/Sunday - Southern High Plains... Some dry and breezy conditions are possible in the southern High Plains again on Sunday. These conditions should be mostly confined to southeast New Mexico and vicinity where stronger mid-level flow should be present and at least some weak lee cyclogenesis is possible with a passing weak mid-level shortwave trough. ..Bentley.. 04/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0421 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 031200Z A strong mid-level trough will be present across the Southwest CONUS at the beginning of the period. This trough will shift into the Upper Midwest on Sunday/Monday. Beyond Monday a more zonal pattern should lead to relatively benign fire weather conditions for the day 4-8 period. ...Day 3/Sat - Southern High Plains... A very strong mid-level jet streak will round the base of the mid-upper level trough and eject across the southern High Plains Saturday afternoon. A deeply mixed airmass is present across this region which will allow for some of this stronger flow to mix to the surface. In addition, a developing lee cyclone and the associated tightening of the surface pressure gradient will also aid in stronger winds at the surface. Relative humidity is expected to be around 8 to 12 percent with surface sustained winds around 25 to 35 mph. While this technically meets the criteria for extremely critical fire weather conditions, it does not appear fuels are quite to the extremely critical fuel dryness needed to support true extremely critical fire weather. However, conditions will be monitored for this higher end potential. ...Day 4/Sunday - Southern High Plains... Some dry and breezy conditions are possible in the southern High Plains again on Sunday. These conditions should be mostly confined to southeast New Mexico and vicinity where stronger mid-level flow should be present and at least some weak lee cyclogenesis is possible with a passing weak mid-level shortwave trough. ..Bentley.. 04/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more