SPC Jul 19, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

2 days 8 hours ago
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0745 AM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025 Valid 191300Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES...AND VIRGINIA/NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds are possible today across parts of the Midwest/Great Lakes and southern Mid-Atlantic. Scattered large to very large hail and severe gusts are possible across the northern/central Plains during the late afternoon and evening. ...Midwest/Great Lakes... A small thunderstorm cluster ongoing this morning across southern/eastern IA should continue to track east-southeastward along an instability gradient across parts of northern MO, IL, and perhaps IN into at least the early afternoon. With sufficient organization and evidence of a cold pool, this cluster may pose a threat for strong to locally damaging winds. Reference Mesoscale Discussion 1719 for more details. The potential for additional strong to severe thunderstorms across the Midwest and Great Lakes regions remains somewhat unclear given rather nebulous/weak forcing aloft. Stronger westerly mid-level flow associated with upper troughing over eastern Canada should tend to remain mostly displaced to the north of the surface warm sector. Still, daytime heating of a moist low-level airmass will likely encourage the development of moderate to locally strong instability by early to mid afternoon away from convective influences. Somewhat stronger flow aloft and related deep-layer shear should be present this afternoon across Lower MI. A mix of multicells and marginal supercells may spread eastward from ongoing activity across WI, or develop separately over this area while posing a threat for isolated severe hail and damaging winds. Farther south into the Midwest/OH Valley, weaker deep-layer shear and the bulk of convection-allowing model guidance suggests that multicell clusters should be the main convective mode. One or more of these clusters will probably persist from the ongoing activity this morning, or develop this afternoon along its outflow. Scattered severe/damaging winds will likely be the main threat as these thunderstorms move east-southeastward this afternoon into early evening across much of the OH Valley/Midwest. This convection should eventually weaken this evening as it encounters a less unstable airmass across the Lower Great Lakes and central Appalachians. ...Virginia/North Carolina... The Mid-Atlantic region will once again reside between upper troughing to the north over the Northeast/eastern Canada, and a mid/upper-level anticyclone anchored over the Southeast. The primary synoptic front remains draped generally east-west along/near the MD/PA/DE border. A very moist low-level airmass remains in place to the south of this boundary, with surface dewpoints generally in the low to mid 70s. A similar convective scenario to yesterday is forecast again today. Diurnal heating of this moist airmass will likely encourage moderate to locally strong MLCAPE by early afternoon, even though mid-level lapse rates are expected to remain poor. Around 15-25 kt of mid-level westerly flow should enable thunderstorms that initially develop over the Appalachians/Blue Ridge to advance eastward towards the lower elevations/coastal regions of VA/NC this afternoon and early evening. Scattered damaging winds should be the main threat with loosely organized multicells/clusters. Isolated hail may occur with the stronger cores as well. ...Northern/Central Plains... An upper trough/low is expected to persist today over western Canada. On the southern periphery of this feature, a weak mid-level shortwave trough should move eastward across the northern Rockies/High Plains through this evening. Weaker mid-level westerly flow will remain farther south into the central High Plains. At the surface, a lee trough will extend southward from eastern MT to eastern CO. Generally low to mid 60s surface dewpoints should exist this afternoon along/east of the lee trough, with greater low-level moisture present near a remnant front/boundary in NE. Isolated thunderstorms across northeast MT may pose an isolated hail threat this morning. Current expectations are for scattered thunderstorms to develop initially over the higher terrain of the northern/central Rockies this afternoon, with additional development farther east along the lee trough. As this convection spreads eastward into a moderately to strongly unstable airmass across the northern/central High Plains, it should strengthen. Weak low-level winds are forecast to veer and increase with height through mid/upper levels, supporting strong deep-layer shear and the potential for supercells. Scattered large hail will be possible with any supercells that can persist, with most guidance indicating a greater concentration of severe thunderstorms across eastern MT into western ND, and separately across western/central NE. Given the presence of steep mid-level lapse rates and 40-50+ kt of deep-layer shear, isolated very large hail appears possible. If one or more clusters can develop from the initial supercells, then a greater threat for severe gusts would be realized this evening with eastward extent across the northern/central Plains. There is low confidence in this scenario occurring, however. ..Gleason/Bentley.. 07/19/2025 Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 525 Status Reports

2 days 8 hours ago
WW 0525 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 525 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WNW DSM TO 10 NE DSM TO 20 NNE OXV TO 25 NE OXV TO 30 N OTM TO 30 WSW CID TO 20 WSW CID TO 15 NW CID TO 20 NNW CID TO 35 N CID TO 45 NW DBQ. ..BENTLEY..07/19/25 ATTN...WFO...DVN...DMX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 525 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC031-055-057-087-095-101-103-105-107-113-115-117-123-125-135- 139-179-181-183-191340- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CEDAR DELAWARE DES MOINES HENRY IOWA JEFFERSON JOHNSON JONES KEOKUK LINN LOUISA LUCAS MAHASKA MARION MONROE MUSCATINE WAPELLO WARREN WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 525 Status Reports

2 days 9 hours ago
WW 0525 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 525 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW DSM TO 45 NNE OXV TO 35 ENE ALO. ..GLEASON..07/19/25 ATTN...WFO...DVN...DMX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 525 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC011-013-019-031-055-057-087-095-099-101-103-105-107-113-115- 117-123-125-135-139-153-157-171-179-181-183-191240- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON BLACK HAWK BUCHANAN CEDAR DELAWARE DES MOINES HENRY IOWA JASPER JEFFERSON JOHNSON JONES KEOKUK LINN LOUISA LUCAS MAHASKA MARION MONROE MUSCATINE POLK POWESHIEK TAMA WAPELLO WARREN WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Jul 19, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

2 days 12 hours ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0347 AM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance continues to indicate a belt of strengthening west-northwesterly flow across Ontario, Quebec and adjacent portions of the U.S. Upper Midwest/Great Lakes toward the St. Lawrence Valley and Northeast during the middle to latter portions of the coming work week. This is forecast to occur as a notable mid-level low, digging southeast of the Canadian Arctic latitudes over the next couple of days, accelerates east-southeast of the Canadian Northwest Territories through the Hudson Bay vicinity and northern Quebec, to the north of an increasingly prominent high becoming centered over the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys by next Wednesday/Thursday. Potential forcing for ascent associated with smaller-scale perturbations emerging from initial troughing across the Pacific Northwest, or other more subtle perturbations migrating around the northwestern periphery of the high, before progressing eastward along the southern periphery of this regime remain much more unclear. However, guidance remains suggestive that moistening beneath a plume of eastward advecting elevated mixed-layer air might become supportive of destabilization conducive to the evolution of progressive organized clusters of storms capable of producing swaths of strong to severe gusts, in the presence of favorable shear. Read more

SPC Jul 19, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

2 days 12 hours ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0347 AM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance continues to indicate a belt of strengthening west-northwesterly flow across Ontario, Quebec and adjacent portions of the U.S. Upper Midwest/Great Lakes toward the St. Lawrence Valley and Northeast during the middle to latter portions of the coming work week. This is forecast to occur as a notable mid-level low, digging southeast of the Canadian Arctic latitudes over the next couple of days, accelerates east-southeast of the Canadian Northwest Territories through the Hudson Bay vicinity and northern Quebec, to the north of an increasingly prominent high becoming centered over the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys by next Wednesday/Thursday. Potential forcing for ascent associated with smaller-scale perturbations emerging from initial troughing across the Pacific Northwest, or other more subtle perturbations migrating around the northwestern periphery of the high, before progressing eastward along the southern periphery of this regime remain much more unclear. However, guidance remains suggestive that moistening beneath a plume of eastward advecting elevated mixed-layer air might become supportive of destabilization conducive to the evolution of progressive organized clusters of storms capable of producing swaths of strong to severe gusts, in the presence of favorable shear. Read more

SPC Jul 19, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

2 days 12 hours ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0347 AM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance continues to indicate a belt of strengthening west-northwesterly flow across Ontario, Quebec and adjacent portions of the U.S. Upper Midwest/Great Lakes toward the St. Lawrence Valley and Northeast during the middle to latter portions of the coming work week. This is forecast to occur as a notable mid-level low, digging southeast of the Canadian Arctic latitudes over the next couple of days, accelerates east-southeast of the Canadian Northwest Territories through the Hudson Bay vicinity and northern Quebec, to the north of an increasingly prominent high becoming centered over the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys by next Wednesday/Thursday. Potential forcing for ascent associated with smaller-scale perturbations emerging from initial troughing across the Pacific Northwest, or other more subtle perturbations migrating around the northwestern periphery of the high, before progressing eastward along the southern periphery of this regime remain much more unclear. However, guidance remains suggestive that moistening beneath a plume of eastward advecting elevated mixed-layer air might become supportive of destabilization conducive to the evolution of progressive organized clusters of storms capable of producing swaths of strong to severe gusts, in the presence of favorable shear. Read more

SPC Jul 19, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

2 days 12 hours ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0347 AM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance continues to indicate a belt of strengthening west-northwesterly flow across Ontario, Quebec and adjacent portions of the U.S. Upper Midwest/Great Lakes toward the St. Lawrence Valley and Northeast during the middle to latter portions of the coming work week. This is forecast to occur as a notable mid-level low, digging southeast of the Canadian Arctic latitudes over the next couple of days, accelerates east-southeast of the Canadian Northwest Territories through the Hudson Bay vicinity and northern Quebec, to the north of an increasingly prominent high becoming centered over the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys by next Wednesday/Thursday. Potential forcing for ascent associated with smaller-scale perturbations emerging from initial troughing across the Pacific Northwest, or other more subtle perturbations migrating around the northwestern periphery of the high, before progressing eastward along the southern periphery of this regime remain much more unclear. However, guidance remains suggestive that moistening beneath a plume of eastward advecting elevated mixed-layer air might become supportive of destabilization conducive to the evolution of progressive organized clusters of storms capable of producing swaths of strong to severe gusts, in the presence of favorable shear. Read more

SPC Jul 19, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

2 days 12 hours ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0347 AM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance continues to indicate a belt of strengthening west-northwesterly flow across Ontario, Quebec and adjacent portions of the U.S. Upper Midwest/Great Lakes toward the St. Lawrence Valley and Northeast during the middle to latter portions of the coming work week. This is forecast to occur as a notable mid-level low, digging southeast of the Canadian Arctic latitudes over the next couple of days, accelerates east-southeast of the Canadian Northwest Territories through the Hudson Bay vicinity and northern Quebec, to the north of an increasingly prominent high becoming centered over the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys by next Wednesday/Thursday. Potential forcing for ascent associated with smaller-scale perturbations emerging from initial troughing across the Pacific Northwest, or other more subtle perturbations migrating around the northwestern periphery of the high, before progressing eastward along the southern periphery of this regime remain much more unclear. However, guidance remains suggestive that moistening beneath a plume of eastward advecting elevated mixed-layer air might become supportive of destabilization conducive to the evolution of progressive organized clusters of storms capable of producing swaths of strong to severe gusts, in the presence of favorable shear. Read more

SPC Jul 19, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

2 days 12 hours ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0347 AM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance continues to indicate a belt of strengthening west-northwesterly flow across Ontario, Quebec and adjacent portions of the U.S. Upper Midwest/Great Lakes toward the St. Lawrence Valley and Northeast during the middle to latter portions of the coming work week. This is forecast to occur as a notable mid-level low, digging southeast of the Canadian Arctic latitudes over the next couple of days, accelerates east-southeast of the Canadian Northwest Territories through the Hudson Bay vicinity and northern Quebec, to the north of an increasingly prominent high becoming centered over the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys by next Wednesday/Thursday. Potential forcing for ascent associated with smaller-scale perturbations emerging from initial troughing across the Pacific Northwest, or other more subtle perturbations migrating around the northwestern periphery of the high, before progressing eastward along the southern periphery of this regime remain much more unclear. However, guidance remains suggestive that moistening beneath a plume of eastward advecting elevated mixed-layer air might become supportive of destabilization conducive to the evolution of progressive organized clusters of storms capable of producing swaths of strong to severe gusts, in the presence of favorable shear. Read more

SPC Jul 19, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

2 days 12 hours ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0347 AM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance continues to indicate a belt of strengthening west-northwesterly flow across Ontario, Quebec and adjacent portions of the U.S. Upper Midwest/Great Lakes toward the St. Lawrence Valley and Northeast during the middle to latter portions of the coming work week. This is forecast to occur as a notable mid-level low, digging southeast of the Canadian Arctic latitudes over the next couple of days, accelerates east-southeast of the Canadian Northwest Territories through the Hudson Bay vicinity and northern Quebec, to the north of an increasingly prominent high becoming centered over the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys by next Wednesday/Thursday. Potential forcing for ascent associated with smaller-scale perturbations emerging from initial troughing across the Pacific Northwest, or other more subtle perturbations migrating around the northwestern periphery of the high, before progressing eastward along the southern periphery of this regime remain much more unclear. However, guidance remains suggestive that moistening beneath a plume of eastward advecting elevated mixed-layer air might become supportive of destabilization conducive to the evolution of progressive organized clusters of storms capable of producing swaths of strong to severe gusts, in the presence of favorable shear. Read more

SPC Jul 19, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

2 days 12 hours ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0347 AM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance continues to indicate a belt of strengthening west-northwesterly flow across Ontario, Quebec and adjacent portions of the U.S. Upper Midwest/Great Lakes toward the St. Lawrence Valley and Northeast during the middle to latter portions of the coming work week. This is forecast to occur as a notable mid-level low, digging southeast of the Canadian Arctic latitudes over the next couple of days, accelerates east-southeast of the Canadian Northwest Territories through the Hudson Bay vicinity and northern Quebec, to the north of an increasingly prominent high becoming centered over the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys by next Wednesday/Thursday. Potential forcing for ascent associated with smaller-scale perturbations emerging from initial troughing across the Pacific Northwest, or other more subtle perturbations migrating around the northwestern periphery of the high, before progressing eastward along the southern periphery of this regime remain much more unclear. However, guidance remains suggestive that moistening beneath a plume of eastward advecting elevated mixed-layer air might become supportive of destabilization conducive to the evolution of progressive organized clusters of storms capable of producing swaths of strong to severe gusts, in the presence of favorable shear. Read more

SPC Jul 19, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

2 days 12 hours ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0347 AM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance continues to indicate a belt of strengthening west-northwesterly flow across Ontario, Quebec and adjacent portions of the U.S. Upper Midwest/Great Lakes toward the St. Lawrence Valley and Northeast during the middle to latter portions of the coming work week. This is forecast to occur as a notable mid-level low, digging southeast of the Canadian Arctic latitudes over the next couple of days, accelerates east-southeast of the Canadian Northwest Territories through the Hudson Bay vicinity and northern Quebec, to the north of an increasingly prominent high becoming centered over the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys by next Wednesday/Thursday. Potential forcing for ascent associated with smaller-scale perturbations emerging from initial troughing across the Pacific Northwest, or other more subtle perturbations migrating around the northwestern periphery of the high, before progressing eastward along the southern periphery of this regime remain much more unclear. However, guidance remains suggestive that moistening beneath a plume of eastward advecting elevated mixed-layer air might become supportive of destabilization conducive to the evolution of progressive organized clusters of storms capable of producing swaths of strong to severe gusts, in the presence of favorable shear. Read more

SPC Jul 19, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

2 days 12 hours ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0347 AM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance continues to indicate a belt of strengthening west-northwesterly flow across Ontario, Quebec and adjacent portions of the U.S. Upper Midwest/Great Lakes toward the St. Lawrence Valley and Northeast during the middle to latter portions of the coming work week. This is forecast to occur as a notable mid-level low, digging southeast of the Canadian Arctic latitudes over the next couple of days, accelerates east-southeast of the Canadian Northwest Territories through the Hudson Bay vicinity and northern Quebec, to the north of an increasingly prominent high becoming centered over the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys by next Wednesday/Thursday. Potential forcing for ascent associated with smaller-scale perturbations emerging from initial troughing across the Pacific Northwest, or other more subtle perturbations migrating around the northwestern periphery of the high, before progressing eastward along the southern periphery of this regime remain much more unclear. However, guidance remains suggestive that moistening beneath a plume of eastward advecting elevated mixed-layer air might become supportive of destabilization conducive to the evolution of progressive organized clusters of storms capable of producing swaths of strong to severe gusts, in the presence of favorable shear. Read more

SPC MD 1717

2 days 13 hours ago
MD 1717 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN...CENTRAL...AND EASTERN IOWA
Mesoscale Discussion 1717 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0154 AM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025 Areas affected...much of northern...central...and eastern Iowa Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 190654Z - 190830Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...A downstream severe thunderstorm watch is possible if a more organized storm cluster can develop. DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms across southern Minnesota has started to show some strengthening over the past hour. The environment downstream of this activity is still mostly uncapped with 1500 to 2000 J/kg MUCAPE and 35-40 knots of effective shear. Continued upscale growth along the synoptic boundary from southern Minnesota into northwest Iowa is expected. This may result in a more organized damaging wind threat persisting beyond 08Z and east of the current severe thunderstorm watch. This solution is supported by the HRRR/RRFS with more robust convection between 08Z and 12Z across northern/eastern Iowa. Convective trends will continue to be monitored and if a more organized/bowing lie segment develops, a downstream severe thunderstorm watch may need to be issued. ..Bentley/Gleason.. 07/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DVN...ARX...DMX...FSD... LAT...LON 41269208 41619327 42029483 42619590 43269609 43459590 43499450 43479300 43319166 42639084 42229055 41759071 41409111 41259185 41269208 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 524 Status Reports

2 days 13 hours ago
WW 0524 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 524 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE LBF TO 10 ESE ANW TO 30 SSE MHE TO 15 ENE OTG TO 30 SE MKT. ..BENTLEY..07/19/25 ATTN...WFO...FSD...MPX...OAX...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 524 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC041-059-119-141-143-149-167-190840- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY DICKINSON LYON O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH SIOUX MNC013-043-047-063-091-105-133-147-161-165-190840- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLUE EARTH FARIBAULT FREEBORN JACKSON MARTIN NOBLES ROCK STEELE WASECA WATONWAN NEC003-009-015-027-041-051-071-089-107-115-139-149-179-183- 190840- NE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 524 Status Reports

2 days 13 hours ago
WW 0524 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 524 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE LBF TO 10 ESE ANW TO 30 SSE MHE TO 15 ENE OTG TO 30 SE MKT. ..BENTLEY..07/19/25 ATTN...WFO...FSD...MPX...OAX...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 524 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC041-059-119-141-143-149-167-190840- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY DICKINSON LYON O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH SIOUX MNC013-043-047-063-091-105-133-147-161-165-190840- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLUE EARTH FARIBAULT FREEBORN JACKSON MARTIN NOBLES ROCK STEELE WASECA WATONWAN NEC003-009-015-027-041-051-071-089-107-115-139-149-179-183- 190840- NE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 524 Status Reports

2 days 13 hours ago
WW 0524 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 524 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE LBF TO 10 ESE ANW TO 30 SSE MHE TO 15 ENE OTG TO 30 SE MKT. ..BENTLEY..07/19/25 ATTN...WFO...FSD...MPX...OAX...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 524 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC041-059-119-141-143-149-167-190840- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY DICKINSON LYON O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH SIOUX MNC013-043-047-063-091-105-133-147-161-165-190840- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLUE EARTH FARIBAULT FREEBORN JACKSON MARTIN NOBLES ROCK STEELE WASECA WATONWAN NEC003-009-015-027-041-051-071-089-107-115-139-149-179-183- 190840- NE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 524 Status Reports

2 days 13 hours ago
WW 0524 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 524 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE LBF TO 10 ESE ANW TO 30 SSE MHE TO 15 ENE OTG TO 30 SE MKT. ..BENTLEY..07/19/25 ATTN...WFO...FSD...MPX...OAX...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 524 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC041-059-119-141-143-149-167-190840- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY DICKINSON LYON O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH SIOUX MNC013-043-047-063-091-105-133-147-161-165-190840- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLUE EARTH FARIBAULT FREEBORN JACKSON MARTIN NOBLES ROCK STEELE WASECA WATONWAN NEC003-009-015-027-041-051-071-089-107-115-139-149-179-183- 190840- NE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 524

2 days 13 hours ago
WW 524 SEVERE TSTM IA MN NE SD 190110Z - 190800Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 524 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 810 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northwest Iowa Southwest Minnesota Central and Northeast Nebraska Southeast South Dakota * Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 810 PM until 300 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Widely scattered intense thunderstorms including supercells will develop and track across the watch area into the overnight period. Large hail and damaging wind gusts are the primary concerns. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west northwest of North Platte NE to 45 miles north northeast of Fairmont MN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 29025. ...Hart Read more
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